The role of noncognitive skills in academic success David Payne Vice President and Chief Operating Officer Higher Education Division Patrick Kyllonen Sr. Research Director Center for Academic & Workplace Readiness & Success R&D Division 21st Century Knowledge and Skills: The New Curriculum and the Future of Assessment Center for Enrollment Research, Policy, and Practice (CERPP) Marriott Downtown, Los Angeles, CA January 11-13, 2012 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 Overview of ETS’s Commitment to the Measurement of Noncognitive Attributes 2 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. Assessing Noncognitive Attributes 1. Areas of use in higher education – Graduate and professional Admissions – Undergraduate Admissions – Workforce 2. Implementation issues – Leading change in well-established processes – Concerns about unintended consequences – Demands on evaluators 3 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 Overview of the Rest of the Talk • What does “noncognitive skills” mean? – Economics, Psychology, “21st Century Knowledge & Skills” • Why do we think these are important? – Leaders (education, workforce) say so – Prediction studies (education, labor market) show • Do they change? Or are they fixed? – Intervention studies (K-12) show they can be developed • Why should they be assessed? – Admissions, skill development, outcomes • How do we measure them? – Self report, others’ ratings, situational judgment tests 4 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. WHAT DOES “NONCOGNITIVE SKILLS” MEAN? 5 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 Economics perspective • Schooling produces both “cognitive skills,” measured by test scores, and “noncognitive skills,” unmeasured • Years of schooling predicts labor market outcomes—cognitive skills account for only 20%; therefore 80% of the “years of schooling” benefit is due to noncognitive skills (Bowles, Gintis, & Osborne, 2001) • Early childhood interventions do not raise IQ, but improve noncognitive skills which affect education, employment, earnings, and crime (Heckman et al., 2010) • GED holders have equal cognitive skills as HS grads, but have worse labor market outcomes, commit more crime (Heckman & Rubinstein, 2001) 6 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 2010 2011 2012 Deeper Learning and 21st Century Skills, Washington, DC: National Academy of Sciences / National Research Council. 7 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. “21st Century Skills” Cognitive • (Non-routine) problem solving • Critical thinking • Systems thinking • Study skills • Adaptability • Creativity • Meta-cognitive skills Interpersonal (social) • Complex communication • Emotional/ social intelligence • Teamwork/ Collaboration • Leadership • Cultural sensitivity • Tolerance for diversity Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. Intrapersonal (emotional, selfregulatory) • • • • • • • • • • Anxiety Self-efficacy Self-concept Attributions Work Ethic Persistence Organization Time management Ethics & Integrity Life-long learning Why do we think noncognitive attributes are important? LEADERS SAY NONCOGNITIVE ATTRIBUTES ARE IMPORTANT 9 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 Percentage Employers Rating Skill as “Very Important” Oral Communications Teamwork/Collaboration Professionalism/Work Ethic Written Communications Critical Thinking/Problem Solving Ethics/Social Responsibility Leadership Information Technology Creativity/Innovation Lifelong Learning/Self direction Diversity English Language Mathematics Science 4-year college High School graduates Graduates 95% 70% 94 75 94 80 93 53 92 58 86 63 82 29 81 53 81 36 78 43 72 52 88 62 64 30 33 9 Conference Board et al (2008) 10 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 Taxonomy of Valued Academic Skills: Mission Statements from 35 Universities (College Board/Michigan State University)1,2 I. Knowledge, learning, mastery of general principles II. Continuous learning, intellectual interest and curiosity III. Artistic cultural appreciation and curiosity IV. Multicultural tolerance and appreciation V. Leadership VI. Interpersonal skills VII. Social responsibility, citizenship and involvement VIII. Physical and psychological health IX. Career orientation X. Adaptability and life skills XI. Perseverance XII. Ethics and integrity Schmitt, Oswald, Kim, Imus, Drzakowski, Friede, & Shivpuri (2007). 2 Oswald, Schmitt, Kim, Ramsay, & Gillespie (2004). 1 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. Why do we think noncognitive attributes are important? PREDICTION STUDIES OF EDUCATION & LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES 12 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 Noncognitive predictions of school grades1 by school level correlation K-8 High School College Conscientiousness .28 .21 .23 Openness .24 .12 .07 Agreeableness .30 .05 .06 Emotional Stability .20 .01 -.01 Extraversion .18 -.01 -.03 Cognitive ability .58 .24 .23 Socioeconomic Status .32 .32 .32 1 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. Poropat, A. (2009). Psychological Bulletin. “Using <NELS data> …. The main finding is that eighth grade misbehavior1 [based on 8th grade teacher evaluations] is important for earnings over and above eighth grade test scores. Moreover, controlling for educational attainment, childhood misbehavior is associated with earnings at all educational levels. By contrast, achievement test scores are only related to earnings for young men with postsecondary degrees.” Segal, Carmit (2011). Misbehavior, Education, and Labor Market Outcomes. (Stanford dissertation) www.econ.upf.edu/~segal/MisbehaviorJan2011.pdf . 1absenteeism, Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 14 disruptiveness, inattentiveness, tardiness, and homework completion 1/18/2012 Noncognitive skills measured at age 18 predict labor market outcomes for 30+ year olds • Data (Swedish military enlistment data) – Noncognitive: 30 min clinical interview to measure responsibility, independence, outgoingness, persistence, emotional stability, initiative – Cognitive: synonyms, induction, metal folding, technical comprehension – Outcomes: wages, educational attainment, experience, family status, etc. • Participants – 14,703 18-19 yo Swedish enlistees , examined at age 32 – 41 yo • Findings – Noncognitive > cognitive predictions; a change in 1 SD in the predictor = … • Changes in wages: 9% vs. 5% (d = .33 vs. .15) • Changes in employment status: 3.3% vs. 1.1% • Changes in probability (annual earnings < 10th percentile): 4.7% vs. .2% (when noncognitive controlled for) (1.5% when noncognitive not controlled for) Lindqvist, Erik, & Vestman, Roine (2011). The Labor Market Returns to Cognitive and Noncognitive Ability: Evidence from the Swedish Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. Enlistment. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 3 (1), 101-128. NON-COGNITIVE SKILLS CAN BE IMPROVED 16 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 Social Emotional Learning (SEL) • “the process of acquiring core competencies to – – – – – – recognize and manage emotions, set and achieve positive goals, appreciate the perspectives of others, establish and maintain positive relationships, make responsible decisions, and handle interpersonal situations constructively” Durlak, Weissberg, Dymnicki, Taylor, & Schellinger (2011) 17 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 Social Emotional Learning (SEL) • • 18 Findings (N = 270,034 K-12 students) from treatment vs. control studies (Durlak et al., 2011) SEL treatment resulted in improvements in… – Effect size – social and emotional skills .57 – attitudes .23 – positive social behavior .24 – conduct problems .22 – reducing emotional stress .24 – academic performance .27 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 20 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. HOW CAN NON-COGNITIVE DATA BE USED? 21 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 Uses of Noncognitive Data • Admissions – Noncognitive skills can supplement grades and standardized test scores for admissions decisions, increases validity, less adverse impact • Skill Development – Students can be given feedback, resources, and action plans to improve their noncognitive skills • Outcomes – Programs, interventions can be evaluated for their noncognitive outcomes as well as cognitive outcomes 22 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 What are the approaches for measuring noncognitive skills? HOW DO WE MEASURE THEM? 23 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 Approaches to measuring noncognitive skills • 24 Self-assessments Objective measures (Situational Judgment Test; Implicit Bio-data Association Test; Conditional Reasoning Test) Ratings-by-others, Interviews For high-stakes assessments ratings-byothers are best because they’re not fakeable Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. How can we assess noncognitive attributes? • Self assessments – Simple self report (subject to coaching/faking) – Forced choice • Objective tests – Situational judgment tests – Implicit association test – Conditional reasoning test • Others’ ratings (higher validity than self-ratings; Conneley & Ones, 2011) – Teacher grades, ratings in K-12 – Letters of Recommendation; ETS’s Personal Potential Index (PPI) in Higher Education – Interviews Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 25 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. For each statement, evaluators rate the applicant on a five-point scale that ranges from “Below Average” to “Truly Exceptional (Top 1%)" •Critical Thinking and Problem Solving • Generates good ideas • Forms opinions based on logic and facts • Understands different points of view • Knows how to apply knowledge to solve problems •Persistence and Resilience • Remains calm under pressure • Accepts feedback without getting defensive • Can overcome challenges and setbacks • Does not give up easily •Motivation and Work Ethic • Works hard • Is goal-oriented • Shows initiative • Meets deadlines •Leadership and Teamwork • Is skilled in handling social situations • Has a talent for influencing people • Works well in group settings • Gives criticism/feedback to others in a helpful way •Ethics and Integrity • Shows respect for classmates and teachers • Is worthy of trust from others • Is engaged in school or community citizenship activities • Treats all people fairly •Communication Skills • Writes essays well • Expresses ideas clearly in short written text (emails, notes, memos) • Expresses ideas clearly in oral presentations • Effective at getting point across in conversations and discussions Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. The case for noncognitive skills assessment SUMMARY 28 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 Summary • Employers and educators say noncognitive skills are important – They may facilitate content skills, or be valuable in their own right • Prediction studies show that noncognitive skills are important – Educational achievement, labor market outcomes • Noncognitive skills can be assessed for admissions, and also for skill development, and outcomes • How we measure noncognitive skills is important • Including noncognitive skills in admissions, outcomes, skill development could lead to positive changes in quality and diversity Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. Discussion Questions • How important are noncognitive skills? • Can they be measured reliably? • How can they be used (e.g., college admissions, student learning outcomes, self help, school monitoring) 30 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. 1/18/2012 Questions? Comments? 31 Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. References & Bibliography • • • • • • • Almlund, M., Duckworth, A. L., Heckman, J. & Kautz, T. (2011) Personality Psychology and Economics, (January 17, 2001 version) ¨IZA Workshop: Cognitive and Non-Cognitive Skills¨, January 25-27, (Bonn, Germany). Available as: http://iza.org/conference_files/CoNoCoSk2011/heckman_j130.pdf. Almlund, M., Duckworth, A. L., Heckman, J. & Kautz, T. (2011) Personality Psychology and Economics, (January 17, 2001 version) ¨IZA Workshop: Cognitive and Non-Cognitive Skills¨, January 25-27, (Bonn, Germany). Available as: http://iza.org/conference_files/CoNoCoSk2011/heckman_j130.pdf. Baird, L. L., & Knapp, J. E. (1981). The inventory of documented accomplishments for graduate admissions: Results of a field trial study and its reliability, short-term correlates, and evaluation. Princeton, NJ: Educational Testing Service. (ERIC Document Reproduction Service No. ED214940) Borghans, L. , Duckworth, A. L., Heckman, J. J., &: ter Weel, B. (2008) “The Economics and Psychology of Personality Traits,” The Journal of Human Resources, XLIII(4), pp. 972-1059. Borghans,L, ter Weel, B & Weinberg, B. A. (2008) “Interpersonal Styles and Labor Market Outcomes,” The Journal of Human Resources, XLIII(4), pp. 815-858. Bowles, S., Gintis, H., & Osborne, M. (2001) “The Determinants of Earnings: A Behavioral Approach,” Journal of Economic Literature,” 39(4), pp. 137-1176. Casner-Lotto, J., & Barrington, L. (2006). Are they really ready to work? Employers’ perspectives on the basic knowledge and applied skills of new entrants to the 21st century U.S. workforce. New York: The Conference Board. Retrieved October 22, 2008, from http://www.conferenceboard.org/pdf_free/BED-06-Workforce.pdf Confidential and Proprietary. Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. Copyright © 2009 Educational References & Bibliography • • • • • • • Connelly, B.S., & Ones, D.S. (in press). An other perspective on personality: Meta-analytic integration of observers’ accuracy and predictive validity. Psychological Bulletin. Crede, M., & Kuncel, N. R. (2008). Study habits, skills, and attitudes: The third pillar supporting collegiate academic performance. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 3(6), 425-453. Durlak, J.A.,, Weissberg, R.P., Dymnicki, A.B., Taylor, R.D., Schellinger, K.B. (2011). The Impact of Enhancing Students’ Social and Emotional Learning: A Meta-Analysis of School-Based Universal Interventions. Child Development, 82(1), 405-432. Heckman, J. & Rubenstein, Y. (2001) “The Importance of Noncognitive Skills: Lessons from the GED Testing Program,” American Economic Review, 91(2), pp. 145-149. Heckman, J. Moon, S. H., Pinto, R., Savelyev, P. & Yavitz, A. (2010) ¨A New Cost-Benefit and Rate of Return Analysis for the Perry Preschool Program: A Summary,¨ In Reynolds, A. J., Rolnick, A. J., Englund, M. M., & Temple, J. A., eds., Childhood Programs and Practices in the First Decade of Life ,pp. 366-380 (New York: Cambridge University Press). Heckman, J.J., Malofeeva, L., Pinto, R. &Savelyev, P. (2010). Understanding the mechanisms through which an influential early childhood program boosted adult outcomes. Department of Economics, University of Chicago. Kyllonen, P. C., Lipnevich, A. A. , Burrus, J. & Roberts, R. D. (2008) Personality, Motivation, and College Readiness: A Prospectus for Assessment and Development (Princeton, Educational Testing Service). Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2009 Educational References & Bibliography • • • • • • • Lindqvist, E. & Vestman, R. (2011) ¨The Labor Market Returns to Cognitive and Noncognitive Ability: Evidence from the Swedish Enlistment,¨ American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 3, pp. 101128. Noftle, E. E. :L& Robins, R. W. (2007) “Personality Predictors of Academic Outcomes: Big Five Correlates of GPA and SAT Scores,” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 93(1), pp. 116-130. Oswald, F. L., Schmitt, N., Kim, B. H., Ramsay, L. J., & Gillespie, M. A. (2004). Developing a biodata measure and situational judgment inventory as predictors of college student performance. Journal of Applied Psychology, 89, 187-207. Roberts, B. W., Walton, K. & Viechtbauer, W. (2006). Patterns of mean-level change in personality traits across the life course: A meta-analysis of longitudinal studies. Psychological Bulletin, 132, 125. Sackett, P.R., Schmitt, N., Ellingson, J.E., Kabin, M. (2001). High stakes testing in employment, credentialing, and higher education: Prospects in a post-affirmative-action world. American Psychologist, 56(4), 302-318. Schmitt, N., Oswald, F. L., Kim, B. H., Imus, A., Drzakowski, S., Friede, A., & Shivpuri, S. (2007). The use of background and ability profiles to predict college student outcomes. Journal of Applied Psychology, 92, 165-180. Stricker, L. J., Rock, D. A., & Bennett, R. E. (2001). Sex and ethnic-group differences on accomplishments measures. Applied Measurement in Education, 14(3), 205–218. Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2009 Educational References & Bibliography • • The Conference Board, Corporate Voices for Working Families, Partnership for 21st Century Skills, Society for Human Resource Management (2006). Are they really ready to work? Employers’ perspectives on the basic knowledge and applied skills of new entrants to the 21st century workforce. Retrieved November 1, 2009, from: www.21stcenturyskills.org/documents/FINAL_REPORT_PDF9-29-06.pdf Willingham, W. W., & Breland, H. M. (1982). Personal qualities and college admissions. New York: College Entrance Examination Board. Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2010 Educational Testing Service. All rights reserved. Confidential and Proprietary. Copyright © 2009 Educational
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