Foreign Direct Investments and Corruption The impact of corruption on foreign investments and trade Prague, 31 October 2005 Jeppe Kromann Hansen Introduction Overview: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Subjects: • Measuring corruption • FDI (Foreign Direct Investments) and corruption • Cases: – (Denmark) – Czech Republic – Russia Introduction Overview: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Jeppe Kromann Hansen • MA Pol Sci, Pol Eco • Consultant, Rambøll Management • Public administration reform, anticorruption, good governance • Board member, Transparency International Denmark Measuring corruption Overview: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Transparency International • International NGO fighting corruption • Mainstreaming of corruption as an international issue • National chapters • Indexes, conferences (e.g. IACC), research etc. Measuring corruption Overview: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Corruption Perception Index (CPI): • Based on up to 13 other indexes • Shows only perception of corruption • Statistical average • Number of countries growing each year • Most cited corruption index • Politically very important (World Bank etc.) • Annually since 1995 (from 41 to 159 countries) Measuring corruption Overview: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Statistical data Rank Score Measuring corruption Overview: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Measuring corruption Overview: Introduction CPI: Czech Rep.: Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI Denmark: 2002 2003 2004 2005 3.7 3.9 4.2 4.3 52nd 54th 51st 47th 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 2nd 3rd 3rd 4th 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.4 71st 86th 90th 126th FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Russia: Trends: • Rich countries – low corruption • Former Soviet Union – high corruption Measuring corruption Overview: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI FDI and corruption • k Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Bribe Payers’ Index (BPI) (only 2002) • Measures a country’s exporters’ bribepaying abroad Rank 1 2 4 5 6 8 9 11 Score Australia Sweden Switzerland Austria Canada Netherlands Belgium United Kingdom Singapore Germany Spain 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.2 8.1 7.8 7.8 6.9 6.3 6.3 5.8 Rank 12 13 15 17 18 19 20 21 Score France United States Japan Malaysia Hong Kong Italy South Korea Taiwan People’s Republic of China Russia Domestic companies 5.5 5.3 5.3 4.3 4.3 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.5 3.2 1.9 Measuring corruption CPI and BPI Overview: (Corruption in-country and abroad) Introduction Transparency Internationals CPI (2003) og BPS (2002, justeret) Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI 10,0 Australien Østrig Sverige Canada Svejts Belgien Nederlandene • Statistics Theory Cases: • • Russia Czech Republic 2 R = 0,7102 8,0 Tyskland 7,0 BPS just. • Corrupt exporters 9,0 FDI and corruption UK Singapore Spanien Frankrig Japan USA 6,0 Malaysia Sydkorea 5,0 Rusland Italien Kina Hong Kong Taiwan 4,0 3,0 Most corrupt 2,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0 7,0 CPI Corruption in country 8,0 9,0 10,0 FDI and corruption Overview: Foreign investors: Angels or Devils? Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Angel? Devil? FDI and corruption Overview: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Corruption and FDI – Statistics • The higher corruption – the less FDI • Corruption = tax on foreign firms – Corruption change: Singapore (9.4) to Mexico (3.5) = 24% tax increase • Corruption = insecurity – Foreign firms more scared by insecurity FDI and corruption Overview: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI Corruption and FDI – Statistics • BUT China/South Korea has high corruption and high FDI FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic • AND foreign companies do sometimes takes advantage of corruption FDI and corruption Overview: Theory of corrupt markets and FDI: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI Type FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Active Practical Forced Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Networks Organisation Centralised Decentralised Problem for international investors: Major Open Medium Closed Minor FDI and corruption Overview: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Foreign firms & corruption: Examples Case: Russia Overview: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Basic facts: Very low CPI score: 2,4 (126th) ~30 bn $ a year Everywhere: Traffic police, politicians, state administration, universities, courts, hospitals, army (new entry!) Changed nature since USSR and from Yeltsin to Putin Case: Russia Overview: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Typology: • Type: Forced – all officials free to demand bribes and offer corrupt services • Organisation: Decentralised – chaotic; no central control with collection of bribes • Networks: Active corruption occurs mostly in closed networks, which are opening up Case: Russia Overview: Introduction Corruption as problem for foreign companies in Russia: Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic ? ? Case: Czech Republic Overview: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI Corruption in Czech Republic: • CPI: 3.7 (2002) to 4.3 (2005) Type? FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Active Practical Organisation? Centralised Decentralised Forced Networks? Open Closed Case: Czech Republic Overview: Introduction Measuring corruption • CPI • BPI FDI and corruption • Statistics • Theory Cases: • Russia • Czech Republic Corruption as problem for foreign companies in Czech Republic:
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