Study on the relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Final Report ENTR/90/PP/2011/FC Prepared for European Commission DG Enterprise and Industry Unit ENTR A4 – Industrial Competitiveness for Growth Prepared by: Idea Consult In partnership with: Danish Technological Institute (DTI) Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) September 2014 Single contact person: Arnold Verbeek Kunstlaan 1-2, bus 16 B – 1210 Brussel T: +32 2 282 17 10 F: +32 2 282 17 15 [email protected] www.ideaconsult.be Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities About ECSIP The European Competitiveness and Sustainable Industrial Policy Consortium, ECSIP Consortium for short, is the name chosen by the team of partners, subcontractors and individual experts that have agreed to work as one team for the purpose of the Framework Contract on ‘Industrial Competitiveness and Market Performance’. The Consortium is composed of Ecorys Netherlands (lead partner), Cambridge Econometrics, CASE, CSIL, Danish Technological Institute, Decision, ECIS, Euromonitor, Fratini Vergano, Frost & Sullivan, IDEA Consult, IFO Institute, MCI, and wiiw, together with a group of 28 highly skilled and specialised individuals. ECSIP Consortium p/a ECORYS Nederland BV Watermanweg 44 3067 GG Rotterdam P.O. Box 4175 3006 AD Rotterdam The Netherlands T. +31 (0)10 453 88 00 F. +31 (0)10 453 87 55 Email [email protected] 2 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities TABLE OF CONTENTS List of abbreviations 4 Executive Summary 5 1/ 2/ 3/ 4/ 5/ Background and study setup 15 1.1 Policy context 15 1.2 Major trends in foreign direct investments, trade and R&D 16 1.3 Objectives, approach and deliverables 20 1.4 Guide to the reader 22 Theoretical background & analytical framework 23 2.1 Theoretical insights 23 2.2 Key concepts and definitions 27 2.3 Analytical framework 28 The Case studies: setup, implementation and findings 32 3.1 Preparation 32 3.2 Case study implementation 34 3.3 Cross-case analysis and limitations 35 Analytical discussion of the case findings 36 4.1 Case study findings: summary tables 36 4.2 Case study findings: Role of the company’s ‘environment’ 42 4.3 Case study findings: role of internal organisational characteristics and considerations 47 4.4 Case study findings: co-location and impacts of location decisions on ‘home’ and ‘host’ countries 51 Key findings and main policy reflections 55 5.1 Key findings 55 5.2 Main policy reflections 58 Bibliography 59 Annexes 62 1/ Literature review 63 2/ Data analysis report 64 3/ Case study questionnaire 65 3 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities List of abbreviations B2B B2C BRICS BRII EC ECIS ECSIP EFTA EMCC ERA ERM EU EUR FDI GDP KETs MNE NAFTA OECD R&D RDI SME UNCTAD US USD VA Business to Business Business to Consumer Brazil, Russia, India and China Brazil, Russia, India and Indonesia European Commission European Conference on Information Systems European Competitiveness and Sustainable Industrial Policy European Free Trade Association European Monitoring Centre on Change European Research Area European Restructuring Monitor European Union Euro Foreign Direct Investment Gross domestic product Key Enabling Technologies Multinational enterprise North American Free Trade Agreement Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development Research and Development Research, Development and Innovation Small and medium enterprises United Nations Conference on Trade and Development United States US dollar Value added 4 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Executive Summary Objective and approach While Europe maintains its leading position in inward and outward Foreign Direct Investment, there are convincing indications that it is losing some of its attractiveness as an investment location. European firms remain the most important global investors and, increasingly, investments in offshore production facilities around the world can be observed. As R&D and innovation activities strongly add value to the firm and its geographical location, and as innovation is considered to be pivotal for industrial recovery, it is important to understand the strategic considerations of firms with respect to the geographical location of these activities. Particularly relevant in this respect is the interrelation between manufacturing, R&D and innovation location decisions. Therefore, the main objective of this study is to understand the drivers behind a firm's decision on where to geographically locate production, and the influence of that decision on the geographical location of the firm’s R&D and innovation activities. This study focuses on offshoring of production and/or R&D and innovation, either within or outside the firm, and mainly from a geographical perspective. It has been conducted in four consecutive steps. 1) Extensive literature review to take stock of existing insights1. 2) Development of a conceptual framework (including the formulation of a series of study assumptions) based on the literature review. 3) Collection and analysis2,3 of key data and indicators on offshoring/reshoring for both production and R&D. 4) Selection, implementation of 10 case studies and the analysis of cross-case findings. Selected cases The selected case studies are situated in knowledge-intensive sectors and sectors with competitive technology clusters. A ‘case’ is defined as a (co-)location decision/event involving production, R&D or innovation, or a combination thereof. For confidentiality reasons the identity of the studied cases (the companies) cannot be revealed, but some basic characteristics can be provided. Geographically, the selected firms have their headquarters in central and northern Europe (e.g. in Germany, France, Belgium, Denmark, and Austria). One case concerns an Asian firm that has located its R&D and innovation activities in Europe (EU inward investment). In terms of sectoral spread, the case studies involve the semiconductor industry, automotive, industrial technology, equipment, materials, construction, the production of catalysts, air pollution control systems, and wind turbines. In terms of size there is a mix of very large, large, middle-sized and few ‘small’ firms (two of the studied firms have less than 250 employees). 1 2 3 The results of the literature review are presented in a separate report annexed to underlying report. The following data sources have been examined: Eurostat FDI data, World Input-Output data, Eurostat and OECD data on the activities on foreign controlled enterprises: FATS (foreign affiliates) and AMNE (activity of multinational enterprises, Community Innovation Survey (CIS) data, EU industrial R&D Investment Scoreboard, EU Survey on Industrial R&D Investment trends, European Restructuring Monitor data. The results of the data analysis are presented in a separate repot annexed to underlying report. 5 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Analytical framework Offshoring refers to the process of relocation of jobs and processes to any foreign country. Offshoring frequently concerns foreign direct investment and includes both production and/or R&D and innovation activities. Equally important are re-shoring or back-shoring activities, which refer to the return of production or R&D that was previously offshored (outside Europe). When production offshoring or re-shoring is followed by R&D offshoring or re-shoring, and there is functional interdependency between production and R&D or innovation, one may speak of ‘co-location’ of these business functions. In this study, decisions associated with offshoring, re-shoring, and/or co-location are referred to as location decisions. In order to understand the location decisions of the selected companies, an analytical framework has been developed to identify which factors drive a firm’s decision to offshore production and/or R&D and innovation, how these factors influence the location decision making process, and what the impact of the decision ultimately is on the home and host countries. These driving factors can broadly be classified into environmental and organisational factors. Environmental factors: Location characteristics refer mainly to cost factors (transport, labour, raw materials, taxes and subsidies), social factors (political governance, political situation, corruption, and work-force skills), scientific and technological strengths, and political stability. Trade barriers also play an important role, while environmental regulations may play a significant role in certain sectors. Industry, sector and value chain characteristics and dynamics are crucial in R&D and innovation and production location decisions. The value of being near an ecosystem with suppliers or other plants in the same sector and facilities (for reasons of e.g. short supply lines or knowledge spillovers) along the value chain, does influence production location decisions (e.g. for SMEs, a location decision may be based on the relationship with key clients). Market considerations e.g. size and growth potential, are generally decisive for production, R&D and innovation location decisions. The literature shows that firms value proximity to important markets and key customers, and that market characteristics also have an influence on R&D and innovation location decisions. Subsequently, the market penetration strategy of the company is to a large extent decisive whether local presence is required.rs Organisational factors: Strategic considerations refer to a company’s overall strategy with respect to market entry and growth, product/market combinations, production organisation (e.g. through lead factories or not), distribution and services etc. These features are decisive for the location decisions of R&D, innovation and production. Understanding the key strategic considerations and longer-term vision of a company allows a better understanding of future location decisions. Technology and innovativeness. Highly science & technology intensive firms and highly innovative firms often require a more intensive collaboration between production, R&D and innovation, and a more pro-active strategy towards knowledge and technology sourcing. R&D location decisions are strongly linked to access to strategic knowledge. The available ‘knowledge stock’ in the home versus a potential host country, is an important factor in R&D and innovation location decisions. 6 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Product & production complexity. Both high product and process complexity, and a high rate of new product introduction (market demand) have a strong influence on the need to co-locate production with development activities (sometimes also research activities). Similarly, in new complex markets that require a high degree of customisation, proximity but also local research and/or development capabilities might be needed. Environmental and organisational factors lead firms’ location decisions with respect to production, R&D and/or innovation. In policy circles there is increasing concern that when manufacturing is offshored outside Europe, it is only a matter of time as to when R&D and/or innovation activities will follow. This was explored in detail during the discussions in the context of the selected case studies. Concerning the impact of the production, R&D and innovation location decisions, there are potential impacts at company level (turnover, employment, revenues etc.), but also at regional and national levels, both in the home and the host country. Recent findings in literature increasingly show that offshoring is not necessarily bad for the home country, at least not on the longer run (e.g. Farrel, 2005; Añón Higón et al., 2009; Rabbiosi, 2009; Criscuolo and Martin, 2009, Dachs and Ebersberger, 2013). Key findings and messages Based on their location ‘behaviour’, the 10 studied firms have been clustered (ex-post) in 3 groups. In Group 1 (‘no co-location’), composed of 5 cases, there is no functionally related production and R&D co-location, meaning that production is not related to/supported by ‘close-by’ R&D activities), despite the existence of offshore production activity. Group 2 (‘partial co-location’) is composed of 2 cases where there is only partial co-location (i.e. mostly development and adjustment capabilities are offshored close to the production activity). In Group 3 (‘full co-location’) there are 3 cases where co-location is functionally based (i.e. full R&D capability is co-located with production on the basis of mutual reinforcement and support). The groups are further presented in the table below. 7 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Table 1: Overview of key findings per ‘group’ of case studies Group 1 ‘No co-location’ Group 2 ‘Partial colocation’ Group 3 ‘Full co-location’ No production – R&D colocation (cases 1, 6, 7, 8, 9) Partial R&D – production co-location (cases 4 and 5) Production – R&D co-location (cases 2, 3 and 10) 1. Knowledge ecosystem and networks 2. Top-talent 3. Public support 4. Access to new technologies 5. Cost levels (including taxation options) - Important for mainly production location decisions 1. Knowledge ecosystem and networks 2. Access to new technologies 3. Top-talent 4. Cost levels, including taxation 1. Market/customer proximity 2. Knowledge ecosystem and networks 3. Public support 4. Cost levels, including taxation - Mixed picture, value chain is important, but no particularities Market - Mostly not relevant - Mostly not relevant Product and production complexity - Product and production complexity play a minor role - Product and production complexity play a role of importance - Value chain of importance (proximity to suppliers and customers, depending on B2B or B2C) - Main driver (for production, also influencing R&D) - Product and production complexity play a major role Major impacts - Home: strategic knowledge development kept, strengthening of existing ecosystems - Host: not relevant - Home: strategic knowledge development, build of new ecosystems, spillovers - Host: creation of local absorptive capacity - Home: spillovers, financial flows - Host: local employment and knowledge development, new ecosystems Pull or push factors (Ranked by importance) Value chain Group 1: ‘no co-location’. The general picture for the group of firms that has not co- located R&D with production on the basis of interfunctional reasons, is that R&D location decisions are taken more or less independently from manufacturing, on the basis of mainly three criteria: 1) strength of local ecosystems, 2) access to top-talent, and to some extent, 3) access to public support schemes, including tax incentives. In one case involving an R&D investment in Denmark, the attractive tax incentives provided by the Danish government seem to have played an important role as well, in conjunction with the strong knowledge ecosystem that was present (E&Y in collaboration with EuropaBio, 20144). The characteristics of the value chain in which companies operate do influence production location decisions as well. This is less the case for R&D activities, however. In these cases product and production complexity, nevertheless, does not always trigger R&D de-localisation, often because of extreme standardisation or problem-solving capabilities offered by e.g. lead factory staff. Strategic R&D remains central, often in Europe. If speculating slightly, one could conclude that this type of companies is more sensitive to cost-based incentives as manufacturing characteristics do not really require R&D proximity. 4 E&Y and EuropaBio (2014), Biotechnology in Europe: The tax, finance and regulatory framework and global policy comparison’ 8 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Group 2: ‘partial co-location’. The group of companies with partial R&D co-location and mainly local development or adjustment activities, place less emphasis on the importance of the market as a reason to co-locate. Instead they refer to similar reasons as Group 1, like access to knowledge and ecosystems, and new technologies. The role of the value chain characteristics and their position in this chain is less clear/uniform. In these cases product and production complexity do play an important role; that is why local development or adjustment is necessary. The impact of partial co-location on the host country is limited, whereas the home country (Europe) still benefits from the presence of strategic R&D (mainly strategic research) activities and the associated socio-economic effects. These findings are in line with the existing theoretical insights and evidence (see chapter 4 for more details). Group 3: ‘full co-location’. For companies that have indicated a functionally interrelated R&D and production co-location, key pull or push factors in terms of location are market considerations, access to new emerging markets, and proximity to customers. Costs factors and public support do also play a role in the making of the final location choice, often within one country or region. Market demand, translated in high demand for innovation, is the main driver influencing the need for co-location. These companies also have a higher impact on the host country’s R&D capabilities and (local) economy. Looking across the groups it can be observed that the access to a strong knowledge ecosystem is a pull-push factor of common importance. For companies that do not colocate R&D with production (Group 1 ‘no co-location’), R&D location decisions are taken based on the strength of local ecosystems, access to top-talent and public support. Instead, for full co-location (Group 3 ‘full co-location’) market and manufacturing proximity is crucial, while access to top talent is not explicitly mentioned as a factor of importance. Access to new technologies appears to be a top driving factor only for firms that offshore part of their development and adjustment capabilities (Group 2 ‘partial colocation’). The existing body of literature on location decisions of production and/or R&D and innovation, can be largely divided into the following two categories: a) the economist’s perspective, which looks at location decisions from a locational ‘pull5’ perspective; and b) the organisational scholars perspective, which examines location decisions from an industry and firm perspective, and the cross-functional interdependencies between production and R&D. Both categories have been explored in the case studies. Environmental ‘pull’ factors have been pointed out by the interviewees of the case studies as very important for a firm’s location decisions, both for production and R&D. The most important pull factors valid for production location decisions are: proximity to customers (market) and suppliers (value chain perspective), cost considerations, incentive schemes, and business friendly administration. For R&D and innovation, the most important pull factors are: access to R&D and innovation knowledge/technology ecosystems and complementary competences, access to a skilled workforce, and to a lesser extent R&D tax incentive schemes. Although all factors can work as ‘pull’ and ‘push’ simultaneously, this is particularly true for the factor cost and available knowledge. 5 A ‘pull’ factor plays a role in the attractiveness of a certain location, often outside the home country/region. For example, the low labour cost of a particular location might be very attractive for a firm and as such influence the decision on where to locate existing or new activities. 9 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities In the tables below a summarising overview is provided of the most important pull factors for respectively production and R&D activities, and the degree to which these factors have played a role as ‘push6’ factor (i.e. ‘motivating’ the company to delocalise particular activities from Europe to another country). Table 2: Location factors and their importance for production location decisions Location factors and their importance Market considerations (emerging and growing markets) Access to clusters and ecosystems including universities (knowledge and technology) Cost considerations Value chain considerations (proximity to customers and suppliers) Access to skilled workforce Public support and incentive schemes (including tax incentives) Business friendly administration Trade obstacles Importance as ‘pull’ Importance as ‘push’ *** ** * * *** ** (to other countries) *** * (away from the EU) ** ** ** * ** * ** * Note: Low *, medium **, high *** combinations reflect the importance attached to these factors by the case study interviewees. Table 3: Location factors and their importance for R&D and innovation location decisions Location factors and their importance Market considerations (emerging and growing markets) Access to clusters and ecosystems including universities (knowledge and technology) Cost considerations Value chain considerations (proximity to customers and suppliers) Access to skilled workforce Public support and incentive schemes (including tax incentives) Business friendly administration Trade obstacles Importance as ‘pull’ Importance as ‘push’ ** ** *** ** * ** ** ** *** *** ** * * * * * (to other countries) (away from the EU) Note: Low *, medium **, high *** combinations reflect the importance attached to these factors by the case study interviewees. On the basis of the case study analysis and complementary literature review and data screening, the following key findings and messages can be derived (for a more extensive discussion please see chapter 5). 6 Whereas a ‘pull’ factor helps to attract firm activities to a certain location, a push factor might ‘motivate’ a company to leave the home country/region and to move activities away. Usually firm location decisions are based on an assessment of the interplay between push and pull factors. 10 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities As product and production complexity increase, and the market demands fast innovations, the propensity to co-locate manufacturing and R&D and innovation activities increases as well. Group 1 (‘no co-location’) clearly illustrates that despite being highly R&D intensive, and despite having relative complex manufacturing process, there is no need for physical co-location whereby R&D activities support manufacturing. For group 2 (‘partial co-location’) and 3 (‘full co-location’), different R&D activities, development support in particular, are closely located to production activities for problem solving and local market adaptation requests (e.g. as illustrated in the semiconductor and catalyst production sectors). On the one hand, the specific case study findings show that the assumption that once manufacturing activities are offshored, sooner or later R&D and innovation activities will follow as well, does not hold for all investigated sectors or firms and can thus not be generalised. On the other hand, there are clear and strong indications that as manufacturing and production complexity increase, or when the market is highly demanding in terms of innovation intensity, the need to partially or fully co-locate R&D and/or innovation with manufacturing increases as well7. This has also been pointed out by the High Level Group on KETs in its 2013 status implementation report (European Commission, 2013), thereby also referring to the increasing co-location requirements in Asia, as also pointed out in several of the case studies. In Group 2 (‘partial co-location’) and 3 (‘full co-location’) we see that different R&D activities, development support in particular, are closely located to production activities for manufacturing support and local market adaptation requests. Manufacturing complexity and market demand hence are clear driving forces behind full or partial co-location. Consideration of the co-location of some of the activities in the R&D spectrum (partial co-location) provides a more detailed and fine-tuned insight, and a more accurate reflection of reality. The on-going debate on R&D, innovation and production co-location can be strengthened by a more detailed perspective on which R&D and innovation subactivities in particular are more sensitive to ‘co-location’. The spectrum of R&D activities contains research (to develop basic innovations), platform, application and process development (aiming to develop product platforms and/or adjust products to regional markets and customers), and production support (aiming to solve technical problems and ensure continuation of manufacturing). Depending on the activities involved, different degrees of co-location can be observed in light of market, product and production characteristics and demands. Previous research (Simon et al., 2008) indicates that full-co-location, where all R&D phases take place at the manufacturing site, only occurs at long established locations that serve as knowledge centres for an entire sector, reflecting the shift of an entire industry locus or value chain. 7 As also illustrated by the results of a survey targeting more than 100 managers from 54 manufacturing companies (McKinsey, 2012) 11 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities The case study findings indeed confirm that the location of (strategic) research activities is strongly driven by access to strong knowledge ecosystems (composed of top research and technology development centres) and top-talent. Once embedded in such an ecosystem, assuming its worldwide excellence is maintained, it will be difficult if not impossible for a firm to unplug from that ecosystem. The story is different when it concerns development activities, the location of which is largely dictated by product and production complexity and market demands. In other words, the drivers behind the location of R&D and innovation activities, in terms of colocation with manufacturing, strongly differ. Specific location characteristics can have a strong ‘pull’ effect on R&D, innovation and/or production location decisions. For R&D, access to top-knowledge and talent prevail; for production, market proximity, value chain, and cost considerations prevail. When considering the location of new investments, or the relocation of existing activities, a wide spectrum of factors play a role. These factors may have a ‘push’ or a ‘pull’ effect, i.e. they can either motivate the company to move away from the home country and/or motivate the company to choose for a certain location (‘pull’). A location decision is usually taken at the complex interplay between pull and push factors. The case studies point out that firms ‘follow the action’, that they are pulled towards particular locations as a result of new market development or the need to look for new knowledge. The most important pull factors for production location decisions are: proximity to customers (market) and suppliers (value chain perspective), cost considerations, incentive schemes, and business friendly administration. For R&D and innovation, the most important pull factors are: access to knowledge/technology ecosystems and complementary competences, access to skilled workforce, thereby complemented by R&D tax incentive schemes. The size of the market is also important for the location of development activities, as the costs of adaptive R&D can more easily be recovered in larger markets with stronger demand and consequently larger revenues. Government incentives are not often the primary decision making factor when it comes to making new investments. However, they do play an important and often decisive role in choosing between investments in equally suitable locations. A recent study (European Commission, 2013b) on the international market distortion in the area of KETs has concluded that several competitor countries provide significant incentives (grants, fiscal, loans and free land) in order to attract EU investments in KETs manufacturing. The study indicates that for all investment decisions concerned, an equally suitable location in Europe was possible, but that investment incentives were decisive for the respective decisions made (being outside Europe). This case study results, however, do not provide clear evidence that investment incentives provided by a certain region or country, are the primary and/or triggering factor for re-locating existing manufacturing or R&D activities, or investing in new locations. Other factors like political stability, market characteristics, infrastructure, knowledge ecosystems and talent, are often of higher importance as a triggering factor to consider new investment options. Investment incentives, nevertheless, play a decisive role in the final decision between two or more equally suitable and interesting investment locations, as also illustrated in the above-mentioned study. 12 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities The impact of offshoring or co-location of production and R&D activities on the home or host country varies in terms of type of impact and in terms of intensity over time. The case study results point out different impacts on both the home and host country. In the home country several companies have indicated that because of offshored activities, the level and intensity of EU activities could be maintained. Knowledge transfer back to the home country has been another often heard effect, especially in case of R&D offshoring. For the host country, offshoring brings along a number of impacts as well, ranging from new employment creation to the development of new or the strengthening of existing R&D or production ecosystems. The impacts should be considered from different perspectives and over a longer time frame, thereby not ignoring the fact that in the short-run there might be negative effects, like job losses. In the long-term, the effects might be positive (sustaining and/or expanding business level activities in the home country). How can policy makers support? In view of the significant heterogeneity of the selected case studies it is not possible to make strong recommendations. There is nevertheless a common set of emerging issues that deserve further (continued) policy attention: First of all, monitoring focused on particular groups of firms is important. In particular, closely following the activities of firms in highly R&D intensive sectors and the developments in their markets is essential. The case study results show that product and production complexity, and market demand, drive the need to co-locate development and manufacturing activities, with an increasing risk of colocation of strategic research activities over time as well, in case the industry locus shifts. In that respect, the Group 2 companies (‘partial co-location’) are very relevant as they have co-located and offshored part of their development activities, but still have development and strategic research activities in Europe. Secondly, Europe should keep focusing on excellence, in terms of available knowledge, research infrastructure and human capital. Strategic R&D investment decisions are strongly driven by stocks of knowledge and technology, and access to human capital. The presence of world class ecosystems is key to keep R&D and innovation activities in Europe and to attract new investments from abroad. For this to happen, skills are essential, particularly maintaining a high level of education and training also as a way to attract the best talent to Europe. Strengthening Europe’s scientific and technological base by achieving a European Research Area, in which researchers, knowledge and technology circulate freely, reflects this point very well. The efforts towards the realisation of the European Research Area and the bundling of resources should be maintained. Thirdly, the case studies confirm the role of the market and the characteristics of market demand in location decisions for production and R&D. This emphasises the importance of deployment and manufacturing in Europe in light of a potential strong European market. In view of the key role that the market plays in offshoring and location investments, the achievement of the full potential of the European Single Market, through an improved and harmonised legislation is essential to allow companies to turn the Single market into a ‘local’ one. Furthermore, supporting the creation of new markets through public procurement and lead market creation initiatives deserves priority, especially there where Europe has a strong scientific and technological base and commercial deployment is required. 13 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Fourthly, there is no doubt about the importance of strong incentive packages, and a global level playing field for manufacturing and RDI investment activities. Government incentives can make the difference when a company has to decide between two potential locations with equal strengths. Further coordination is needed on two levels. First, there is coordination needed among Member States and regions in order to provide coordinated incentive packages and financial impulses to companies that are of crucial important to European industry and society. This links closely to the modernisation process for State Aid. Secondly, on an international scale, as has also been argued by the KETs High Level Group (Status Implementation Report, July 2013), there is a clear need for bilateral and multilateral trade negotiations to be used to address the transparency of third countries State Aid. 14 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 1/ Background and study setup 1.1 Policy context In 2010, the Commission adopted the flagship initiative “An Integrated Industrial Policy for the Globalisation Era” (COM(2010)614) in the context of the Europe 2020 strategy for smart, sustainable and inclusive growth. This initiative sets out a fresh approach to industrial policy, emphasising the importance of industry for the economy of the European Union (EU). It focuses on strengthening industrial competitiveness to underpin growth and jobs and to enable the transition to a low-carbon and a resource-efficient economy. In October 2012 the Commission adopted an Update of the Industrial Policy flagship initiative in its Communication “A Stronger European Industry for Growth and Economic Recovery” (COM (2012)582 final). The Communication proposed a new partnership between the EU, Member States and industry. The main goal is that of favouring the recovery of industrial investments and a reversal of manufacturing's share in EU GDP. After an extensive public consultation, the Commission proposed to jointly focus investment and innovation on six priority action lines: advanced manufacturing technologies (for clean production); key enabling technologies8 (micro- and nanoelectronics, advanced materials, industrial biotechnology, photonics, nanotechnology and advanced manufacturing systems); bio-based products; sustainable industrial and construction policy and raw materials, clean vehicles, and smart grids. The Communication includes policy proposals to enhance performance in global markets. It proposes that EU companies would be supported and accompanied in their internationalisation process in order to increase the share of internationally active small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) that are located in the EU. The Council and the European Parliament strongly endorsed this approach, requesting its implementation and further development9. A comprehensive international investment policy contributes to the objectives of smart, sustainable and inclusive growth, as set out in the Europe 2020 Strategy. The EU future investment policy is outlined in the Commission's Communication “Towards a comprehensive European international investment policy” in 2010 (COM(2010)343 final). The EU's investment policy is focused on providing EU investors and investments with market access and with legal certainty and a stable, predictable, fair and properly regulated environment in which to conduct their business. The current industrial policy, as set out in the Industrial Policy Communications of 2010 and 2012, remains in place but it has been prolonged and reactivated by a recent Communication in January 2014 (EC, 2014). The new Communication stresses the importance of full and effective implementation of industrial policy in the EU and focuses therefore on concrete measures, such as: Continue deepening the mainstreaming of industrial competitiveness in other policy areas to sustain the competitiveness of the EU economy, given the importance of 8 KETs are the technologies of the future, which have application in multiple industries in emerging and traditional sectors. The EU KET strategy is outlined in the Communication A European Strategy for Key Enabling Technologies – A bridge to growth and jobs (COM (2012) 341). 9 Council of The European Union, “Conclusions on A stronger European industry for growth and economic recovery”, December 2012 (http://www.consilium.europa.eu/uedocs/cms_data/docs/pressdata/en/intm/134116.pdf) 15 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities the contribution of industrial competitiveness to the overall competitiveness performance of the EU. Maximizing the potential of the internal market by developing for ex the necessary infrastructures, market surveillance and product safety, standards to accelerate innovation, and completing the internal market for services as a major contributing factor to industrial competitiveness. Offering a stable, simplified and predictable regulatory framework favourable for entrepreneurship and innovation by for ex updating the Small Business Act, implementation of REFIT, follow-up to Top Regulatory burdens, regulatory fitness checks, cumulative cost assessments, and a new initiative on Growth-Friendly Public Administration. Using financial resources at disposal (€2.3 billion COSME programme to support entrepreneurship, over €100 million of European Structural and Investment Funds (ESIF) available for regions to finance investments in industrial competitiveness;€80 billion of the Horizon 2020 Programme available for financing the commercialisation of research. Easing the access to affordable production inputs. Pursuing industrial modernisation through investment in innovation, resource efficiency, new technologies, skills and access to finance. Supporting SMEs and entrepreneurship through a number of proposed actions, such as updating the Small Business Act and reinforcing the Entrepreneurship Action. Accessing third country markets through harmonisation of international standards, open public procurement, patent protection and economic diplomacy. About 13% of EU SMEs are internationally active outside the EU through trade, investment or other forms of cooperation with foreign partners. With the Communication, "Small Business, Big World – a new partnership to help SMEs seize global opportunities" the European Commission proposed a new strategy aimed at helping SMEs to expand their business outside the EU. The objective is to establish a more coherent and effective EU strategy for supporting SMEs in international markets. The Communication has proposed to achieve this by reinforcing business support services, improving the coordination and use of existing resources including the Enterprise Europe Network. Thus, SMEs have better access to more relevant information and assistance in their attempts to enter new markets or search for the right local partners. Successfully concluded trade negotiations substantially improve the framework conditions for entering the concerned national markets. 1.2 Major trends in foreign direct investments, trade and R&D Location decisions of companies and associated investments are reflected in several macro-economic statistics, like FDI statistics. In 2013, global FDI inflows reached an estimated USD 1.46 trillion, a level comparable to the pre-crisis average (UNCTAD, 2014)10. The EU remained the largest source and destination of FDI in the world (EC, 2014)11. FDI flows have nevertheless decreased since the economic crisis started in 2007 with a short-lived revival in 2011 (see Figure 1). This declining trend can be observed for 10 11 Global Investments trends monitor UNCTAD, No. 15. http://ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/accessing-markets/investment/ 16 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities intra-EU as well as extra-EU flows (the FDI flows towards the ‘new’ EU1212 Member States remained relatively stable). The most significant destination countries of EU27 outward FDI are the US, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, Switzerland, Belgium and Germany. On a sectoral level, medium-high and high-tech sectors are attracting the largest share of FDI, both intra-EU as extra-EU. Figure 1: EU27 FDI flow and stock (in EUR 000) Source: Calculations based on Eurostat data: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/statistics/search_database (bop_fdi_main) International trade is another interesting indicator closely related to location investments, as companies often start their international activities with export, followed later by establishing a foreign production facility to supply the local market 13. The following trends (based on calculations from the World Input-Output Database) related to export and value added trade14 are visible (see Figure 2): From the four major competing regions (i.e. EU27, NAFTA 15, East Asia16 and China17), EU27 has by far the largest exports. China and the EU27 show large differences between gross and value added trade figures (up to a factor of 1.5) (see figure below). For the EU, the reason for the large difference in gross and value added trade is the strongly interwoven production networks, hence the strong intra-firm trade; for China it is the strong embeddedness in global production networks (Chinese firms are frequently responsible for a lot of assembly trade). 12 EU Member States who entered between 2004 and 2012. Croatia became a member of the EU on the 1st of July 2013. Croatia is not included in the data discussed here. http://ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/accessing-markets/investment/ OECD “Trade in value-added describes a statistical approach used to estimate the source(s) of value (by country and industry) that is added in producing goods and services for export (and import). It recognises that growing global value chains mean that a country's exports increasingly rely on significant intermediate imports (and, so, value added by industries in upstream countries). The Trade in value-added approach traces the value added by each industry and country in the production chain and allocates the value-added to these source industries and countries.” http://www.oecd.org/sti/ind/whatistradeinvalueadded.htm US, Canada and Mexico. Japan, South Korea and Taiwan. Containing China and the two special administrative regions Hong Kong and Macao. 13 14 15 16 17 17 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Figure 2: Structure of the gross and value added (VA) exports by country in 2011 (bn. USD)18 Source: WIOD, own calculations When further analysing these trade patterns, one can observe that trade activities between EU Member States are very important, mainly due to the presence of companies in multiple countries and the geographically dispersed value chains (see Figure 3). The US is an important destination for European exports. While Asian countries (e.g. China and India) have not yet reached the same level as the EU and the US, their importance and performance is rapidly increasing. 18 Trade between countries of a region is included. Croatia is not included in the WIOD database and thus the EU28 aggregate could not be calculated. See Annex Table 8 and 9 for the industry correspondences. 18 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Figure 3: EU28 gross imports and exports of the higher tech manufacturing sector in 2012 by partner (bn. EUR) Source: Comext R&D and innovation data also provide interesting insights with respect to trends in geographical locations of RDI related investments. Some observations: On the basis of R&D internationalisation patterns 19 (based on own calculations from Eurostat and OECD) it can be observed that R&D internationalisation is very intense in small countries but less so in large ones. Between 2003 and 2011, R&D internationalisation increased considerably in most new EU Member States. In the large EU-countries, R&D internationalisation remained rather stable, whereas 80-95% of the inward business expenditures on R&D were concentrated in medium-high to high-tech manufacturing sectors. Innovation collaboration patterns (based on own calculations from the Community Innovation Survey) of innovative firms show that high-tech manufacturing companies are much more active in terms of cross-border cooperation. About 25% of the highertech firms cooperate with partners in the EU, EFTA or EU candidate countries, 12% with partners in the US and 8% with partners in China and India (see Figure 4). 19 R&D internationalisation patterns are measured as foreign affiliates R&D expenditures (i.e. inwards BERD) divided by total business R&D expenditures (domestic plus foreign). 19 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Figure 4: Innovation cooperation of firms in high tech EU28 industries by partner-region relative to all process and/or product innovative firms Source: Community Innovation Survey 2008 and 2010 Collaboration with China and India increased during the crisis, while US partnerships remained stable and cooperations among EU Member States even decreased. This indicates that for R&D activities, China and India are growing in importance (a pattern also confirmed through the case studies). Vertical R&D cooperations with customers and suppliers are common and account for 40% of all cooperations. The 2013 EU R&D Survey on Industrial R&D Investment Trends finds that two thirds of the respondents among EU – based top R&D companies20 consider the most attractive location for R&D to be their home country. The US, Germany, China and India are considered the most attractive locations for R&D outside the home country. According to the 2013 EU Industrial R&D Investment Scoreboard, the EU is an important region for knowledge intensive greenfield FDI, both as source and destination (findings are based on data on greenfield FDI undertaken over 2003-2012 by the world’s top 1,500 companies ranked by their investments in R&D, in 2012). Top R&D investors located 41% of their total number of FDI in R&D in the BRICS, 22% in the EU (intra-EU flows excluded) and 8% of R&D projects in the US. These ‘facts and figures’ provide a good insight as to where the ‘action’ seems to take place. Europe, the US and the BRIC countries (mainly China and India) are popular locations for foreign investments. China (and to a lesser extent India) is also gaining importance as a production location but also an R&D and innovation location. 1.3 Objectives, approach and deliverables 1.3.1 Study objectives It has been observed that the EU maintains its leading position in inward and outward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), but that it is losing some of its attractiveness as an FDI destination. Inflows from outside the EU are dominated by advanced economies (such as the US and Switzerland), but emerging economies are gaining relative weight. EU firms are the most important investors in the world. It has been observed that the major drivers of FDI inflows are the European single market, the Euro and, in the case of west-east flows, cost advantages. Investment on the innovation process is pivotal for industrial 20 172 companies out of the 1000 EU-based companies included in the 2012 EU Industrial R&D Investment Scoreboard. 20 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities recovery, so understanding the role of R&D and innovation (RDI) in a firm's offshoring and geographical dispersion of the value chain at EU level is of major importance. The main objective of underlying study is to understand the drivers behind a firm's decision on where to geographically locate production, and the influence of that decision on the geographical location of R&D and innovation activities. More specifically, the study examines: 1. Existing evidence on the drivers determining the choice of the production location by a firm and, in particular, the role of RDI in that decision. 2. Impact of the production location decision on the RDI activities, and in particular the level and the geographical location of RDI activities of the firm. 3. Consequences deriving from the decisions regarding the location of firms’ RDI, as well as the impact on RDI in the home economy and/or on access to markets. 1.3.2 Approach and deliverables First, a focused literature review has been conducted to provide an overview of the patterns, drivers, sectoral differences and impacts on home/host countries of RDI and/or production decisions. Based on the results, a analytical framework has been developed containing the various building blocks that are important when exploring and understanding (co-)location decisions. Second, existing data on FDI, production, trade and RDI internationalisation were collected and assessed. Besides macro-level data, micro-level data was also considered, e.g. company restructuring events obtained from the European Restructuring Monitor (ERM) from the European Monitoring Centre on Change (EMCC). Data analysis has guided the case selection process, and has as such provided a good framework for further analysis. In order to gain more detailed insight into the decision-making process behind (co)location decisions on RDI and/or manufacturing activities, a series of case studies have been conducted. The literature (phase 1) and the data assessment (phase 2) contributed to the case study selection process (phase 3). In total, 10 case studies have been carried out. After the completion of the individual case studies, the study team proceeded with the cross-case analysis. The entire study has been implemented between November 2013 and June 2014. The overall approach and deliverables are illustrated in Figure 5. 21 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Figure 5: Overall study approach 1.4 Guide to the reader This final study report is composed of five chapters. Chapter 1 provides the overall study background by reflecting on the policy context, the major trends in foreign direct investment, trade and R&D spending, and the overall setup of the study. Chapter 2 discusses the main theoretical insights with respect to offshoring and location decisions and presents the analytical framework. Chapter 3 outlines the case study setup and implementation of the cases. Chapter 4 discusses the main results of the case studies in the perspective of the derived study assumptions and the literature findings. Finally, chapter 5 discusses the main findings and the potential implications thereof for future policy making in the area. The report is accompanied by two ‘stand-alone’ annexes. The first concerns the results of the literature review, whereas the second discusses the results of the data analysis including the main trends and findings that could be derived. Each of the case studies has been reported to the European Commission in a specific case study report. For reasons of confidentiality, these individual case study reports are not publicly disclosed. 22 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 2/ Theoretical background & analytical framework 2.1 Theoretical insights In understanding the determinants or drivers behind location decisions, there are largely two streams of literature originating from: 1) Economists (including economic geography), and 2) Organisation Scholars. Economists mainly look at the location ‘problem’ from the perspective of ‘locational pulls’, such as access to local technologies and know-how. From an organisation perspective, the focus is mainly on industry- and especially firm-specific (strategic) considerations, and cross functional interdependencies within the firms (Ketokivi, 2006; Ketokivi, 2009). Production and service activities can both be offshored to a foreign location. There is agreement in the literature that production activities were among the first to be offshored, combined with distribution and sales (OECD, 2011). R&D, innovation, and decision-making activities more generally, have increasingly internationalised as well. The phenomenon of R&D internationalisation is more recent. R&D and the accumulation of knowledge were long regarded as activities that are bound to the home countries. However, during the last two decades, the internationalisation of business R&D activities has accelerated strikingly. In particular, between 1995 and 2003, R&D expenditure of foreign affiliates increased twice as fast as their turnover or their host countries’ aggregate imports, which renders R&D activities of foreign affiliates one of the most dynamic elements of the process of globalisation (OECD 2008). Until recently, the main actors and recipients of cross-border R&D expenditure were developed countries. Especially in Asia, emerging economies like China or India became attractive host countries of R&D internationalisation, but other developing, low-income countries also increasingly engage in the relocation of R&D activities (Dossani and Kenny, 2007). For companies that face global competition there is no simple answer to what is the optimal way of configuring one’s business. There are at least four dimensions in the configuration options for a company, with ‘costs’ being one of the most decisive factors (Johansen et al. (2012). They are as follows: 1. The organisation perspective in which some companies are characterised as footloose with a high degree of outsourcing, whereas others are categorised as rooted companies with a low degree of outsourcing; 2. The complexity of the company and its markets from a narrow focus to a wide range of products, markets, processes; 3. The competence of a unit along the value chain from narrow to wide; 4. The perspective of sourcing activities, from costs to markets to knowledge. Production location decisions do largely depend on the characteristics of the value chain(s) within which a company operates. As these value chains have become more global, the decision-making processes have become more complex, and the role, and often location, of production and R&D have also become more global. A deepening of the value chain can be seen on three levels (De Backer et al., 2013). First, there is geographic deepening which means that more countries and actors are involved in the value chain. There is also an increasing participation of emerging economies in these global value chains. Second, there is the sectoral deepening. Global value chains no longer only concern manufacturing but also increasingly encompass services. And third there is functional deepening, meaning that not only production and distribution but also R&D and innovation are included in the global dimension. The increasing globalisation of value 23 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities chains and the dispersion of production facilities are reflected in the number of multinational manufacturing enterprises in Europe, which has increased considerably from 2001 to 2007. The overall increase in the location of multinational enterprises is especially apparent in Germany, France and the Czech Republic. The role of the market It is coherent to conclude that market considerations constitute the overall most important factor for production location decisions. When firms locate their production facilities they consider how a given location would affect their market potential (in terms of size, growth and access). Proximity to key markets and customers is by far the most important market consideration. The size of the market is also identified as a key location factor of R&D activities (e.g. Athukorala and Kohpaiboon, 2010; Dachs and Pyka, 2010). Frequently, R&D activities of MNEs accompany and support their production activities by adapting products and production processes to local demand patterns or consumer preferences. These costs of adaptive R&D can more easily be recovered in larger markets with stronger demand and consequently larger revenues. The role of (labour) cost An important factor in production location decisions is labour cost. The wage level of employees constitutes a pull factor21 for the host country as lower labour costs attract production facilities (Defever, 2006; Py & Hatem, 2009; UNCTAD, 2009). The authors also analysed the role of education levels in production location choices and conclude that the general level of education in a given location is less important than cost factors. Labour costs can both work as & push and a pull factor (Javalgi, 2009; Mankiw and Swagel, 2006). In contrast, labour costs of R&D personnel are found to have an ambiguous role in R&D location decisions. For instance, Kinkel and Maloca (2008) and Athukorala and Kohpaiboon (2010) find a positive effect between labour costs and R&D offshoring. Kumar (2001) demonstrates that the lower relative cost of qualified R&D personnel in the host country is attractive for R&D efforts of US and Japanese affiliates. Cost differences appear to gain importance when firms consider locating R&D and innovation activities in emerging economies, or when firms have to choose between two similarly attractive locations (Cincera et al., 2009). Furthermore, internationalisation of R&D is also linked to a potential negative distance effect by additional co-ordination cost, the cost of transferring knowledge over distance, and a loss of economies of scale and scope when R&D becomes more decentralised (Sanna-Randaccio and Veugelers, 2007). The role of ecosystems and clusters Globalisation forces many companies to integrate location decisions and marketing strategies to gain a comparative advantage (Canel and Das, 2002). Supply chain uncertainty concerns firms’ relations to potential suppliers. It involves the punctuality, accuracy, and quality of the deliveries from the supplier, as well as the length of the relationship with the supplier: the less uncertainty in supplier deliveries the better, as firms want to avoid shutdowns that significantly affect operations. Supply chain uncertainty also involves a level of demand uncertainty. Firms want to forecast the 21 A ‘pull’ factor plays a role in the attractiveness of a certain location, often outside the home country/region. For example, the low labour cost of a particular location might be very attractive for a firm and as such influence the decision on where to locate existing or new activities. 24 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities demand for their goods and the size of their customer base accurately (Bhatnagar and Sohal, 2005). An efficient supply chain is an essential prerequisite for firms’ competitiveness: firms do not locate their companies solely based on supply chain uncertainty, but the possibility of creating efficient supplier relationships are necessary for firms to locate at a given location. It seems that firms seek an ecosystem with efficient suppliers and other plants within the same sector. The existence of production facilities from other sectors do not contribute to such an ecosystem, as the ecosystem has to be constituted of relevant partners from the same sector. Access to top knowledge ecosystems and the possibility of benefiting from sizeable knowledge spillovers is a crucial factor for the location decision of R&D activities. In particular, firms that want to utilise localised knowledge spillovers have to be present where they occur. Hence, R&D activities may be relocated to host countries whose technological specialisation or leadership is of particular interest for the learning potentials it offers to technologically lagging firms and the knowledge transfers it enables. Erken and Kleijn (2010) demonstrate for a set of 13 OECD countries that inward R&D expenditure of foreign affiliates is strongly attracted by the stock of private knowledge of the host country and the potential for knowledge spillovers it offers. Cantwell and Piscitello (2002) point at the role of geographic concentration of innovative activities for the prevalence and size of knowledge spillovers and show that the presence of technology clusters fosters the generation of new knowledge and technology (in terms of the number of patents granted to foreign-owned firms). Additionally, spillovers as a determinant for R&D location decisions point to the importance of the quality of university research as a driver of R&D internationalisation at the country level (e.g. Belderbos et al., 2009). Host country characteristics Another significant group of factors affecting production and R&D location decisions are the national and regional characteristics of the host country . Brush et al. (1999) provide an interesting grouping of production location factors by network nodes, access to factors of production, and national and regional characteristics (see table below). Table 4: Overview of production location factors Network nodes Proximity Proximity Proximity Proximity to to to to important markets key customers key suppliers other facilities Access to factors of production Access to raw materials Access to energy Access to capital Access to local technology Access to skilled labour Access to low cost labour National and regional characteristics Access to protected markets Tax conditions Regional trade barriers Government subsidies Exchange rate risk Language, culture, politics Advanced infrastructure Labour practices and regulation Environmental regulation Source: Brush et al., 1999 These national and regional characteristics include a wide range of issues, such as tax conditions, government subsidies, advanced infrastructure, environmental regulation and labour practices and regulation. For production location decisions, tax conditions are one 25 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities of the important factors that can act both as a pull and a push factor 22. While lower overall tax levels or even specific tax incentives to attract FDI to potential host countries can act as a pull factor, higher taxation levels in the parent country is a push factor. For R&D and innovation location decisions, skilled workforce and the quality of education systems are essential (Thursby and Thursby, 2006; Kinkel and Maloca, 2008; European Commission, 2010). In particular, in the face of skills shortages and a growing demand for engineers and scientists in the home country, firms frequently go abroad with their R&D. A shortage of highly skilled science and engineering talent in the US explains the relocation of product development to other parts of the world. Similar pull-effects of human capital are identified by Erken and Kleijn (2010) who show that strong human resources in science and technology in the host country are powerful location factors for international R&D activities. Dachs and Pyka (2010) demonstrate that geographical proximity between host and home country is conducive to cross-border R&D investments, while Belderbos et al. (2009) show that the probability of conducting R&D abroad increases with geographic proximity. Finally, based on the previously cited literature, it is clear that public policy also shapes the attractiveness of regions or countries for overseas R&D activities. There is consensus in the literature that governments that want to attract R&D of foreign MNEs should focus on the economic fundamentals rather than grant special incentives to foreign-owned firms. Governments should provide a healthy business environment, political stability, good public infrastructure, reasonable tax rates, and a stable legal system, including the protection of intellectual property rights. In addition, they should also ensure science, technology and innovation policy measures like public subsidies for R&D performing firms, measures to foster co-operation between firms and universities or measures to foster university education can significantly shape locational advantages and influence internationalisation decisions of firms in R&D (Steinmueller, 2010). Special incentives to foreign-owned firms are not an appropriate instrument to attract R&D of foreign-owned firms although public support for R&D can create important additionalities and can help to leverage R&D efforts of firms, including foreign-owned firms. About R&D, innovation and production co-location The debate on R&D, innovation and production co-location is a complex one which will certainly benefit from a further refinement and breakdown of R&D activities and an opening of the R&D ‘black box’. This is important in order to be sufficiently precise in the discussion on R&D location decisions, which may affect R&D as a total overall function, or just a sub-activity. The location of ‘Research’ can be different than the location of ‘Development’. Depending on the type of production (routine versus non-routine), development can be more or less closely (also physically) connected to production. Simon et al. (2008) distinguish between five phases in the R&D process: research, platform development, application development, process development and production support (see figure below). 22 Whereas a ‘pull’ factor helps to attract firm activities to a certain location, a push factor might ‘motivate’ a company to leave the home country/region and to move activities away. Usually firm location decisions are based on an assessment of the interplay between push and pull factors 26 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Figure 6: Five phases in the R&D process Source: McKinsey, op. cit. Simon et al., 2008 There is a difference in the need to locate the different phases of the R&D process in proximity to the market or to production. Basic research activities often occur at central research facilities whereas application development processes which require more marketspecific insights may be more closely integrated with the production/R&D networks of key customers. Furthermore, in terms of R&D and production co-location, as early as 1994, Kenney and Florida investigated the organisation and geography of Japanese R&D of Japanese electronics and biotechnology firms. The results indicated some significant location flexibility of basic research. This was, however, not the case for applied research and production engineering, for which the results suggested that close proximity to manufacturing is required. Other studies for Japan confirm this result of co-location of R&D and production (i.a. Aoki, 1990; Imai, 1991; Nonoka, 1992; Mariani, 2002). Ambos (2005) found similar results for German MNEs when investigating FDI in industrial R&D. There is a tendency for German MNCs to “cluster R&D in close proximity to offshore production facilities”. Based on theoretical considerations and insights gained from two cases studies, Ketokivi (2006) maps the interdependencies between R&D and manufacturing. Both industry- and firm-specific considerations need to be taken into account when deciding on co-location. Ketokivi and Ali-Yrkkö (2009) confirm that high product and process complexity and a high rate of new product introduction (‘clock speed’) strongly steers co-location of R&D and production. 2.2 Key concepts and definitions In the literature on internationalisation and location of production and R&D and innovation activities, one comes across different terms and concepts often pointing to the same phenomenon. Two oft-used concepts are ‘outsourcing’ and ‘offshoring’ (OECD, 2006). Whereas outsourcing refers to the relocation of jobs and processes to external (to the company) providers regardless of the provider’s location, offshoring refers to the relocation of jobs and processes to any foreign country without distinguishing whether the provider is external or affiliated with the firm. Outsourcing may therefore include job relocations both within and between countries, whereas offshoring refers only to international relocations. The underlying study focuses on offshoring of production and/or R&D and innovation, either within or outside the firm, and mainly from a geographical perspective. 27 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Offshoring activities can take different forms. Frequently they concern FDI, of which one can distinguish (Peng, 2011; Ekholm et al., 2003) horizontal FDI (duplication of home country activities in the host country); vertical FDI (upward or downward moves in the value chain in the host country while different parts of the value chain are located in different countries; and export-platform FDI (investments in host countries in order to export to that country and other adjacent countries). FDI encompasses both production and R&D offshoring, although the latter takes place in different forms (such as contracts, cooperation projects etc.). Equally important, finally, is reshoring or back-shoring, referring to the return of production or R&D that was previously offshored. When production offshoring or reshoring is followed by R&D offshoring or re-shoring, and there is a functional interdependency, we may speak of true co-location of production and R&D and/or innovation activities. In this study, decisions associated with offshoring, re-shoring, and/or co-location, will be referred to as location decisions. A more detailed literature review is presented in a separate report, Annex 1 to this report. 2.3 Analytical framework On the basis of the undertaken literature review (partly presented above and further documented in a separate report), a conceptual framework has been designed in order to guide the analytical work in the case studies. The framework consists of the various building blocks that are important to consider when exploring and understanding the location decisions of the case-companies. In what follows, we briefly discuss the various building blocks and their interrelation. The framework is represented in Figure 7 below: Figure 7: Location and co-location decisions: an integrated framework A. Environmental factors (external: push or pull) 1. Location characteristics B. Organisational factors (internal) 1. Strategic considerations 2. Industry, sector & value chain 3. The market 2. Technology and innovativeness 3. Product and production complexity C. Location decisions & impact Production location, R&D location, and co-location Source: the authors 28 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Location decisions are taken in a broad environmental context with numerous ‘pull’ and ‘push’ factors (as explained in the theoretical background), often outside the sphere of control of the company. The environmental context includes location-, industry-, and market specific factors. Companies continuously seek to adapt their strategy and operations to the environment. Environmental factors can both work as pull or push factors (like cost levels, tax climate, regulations, etc.), i.e. they may pull companies to a certain location or push them away from a certain location. The organisational characteristics contain strategic, technology, innovation, and product considerations and characteristics, mostly under the sphere of management control. The matching or adaptation process, finally, leads to a set of location decisions with respect to the location of production and R&D and innovation, including the possibility of functionally related colocations (i.e. co-location where R&D is related to a specific production site). These decisions subsequently have an impact on different levels both in the home and the host country. A. Environmental factors 1. Location characteristics Location characteristics first of all concern cost factors like transportation costs, labour costs, raw materials, taxation structure, R&D and other types of subsidies. Cost factors are linked to other important issues such as ‘access’ to e.g. raw materials, energy and (human) capital. Second, national or regional characteristics, like environmental and social factors, such as political governance, political situation, corruption, general education level (skilled workforce), scientific and technological strengths, and political stability also play a role of importance. Societal factors, such as environmental issues like regulation with respect to waste treatment, recycling, pollution, renewable resources, etc. will play a significant role in certain sectors. The following assumption has been explored23 through the case studies: Location factors can work both as ‘push’ and ‘pull' factors for RDI and/or production location decisions. 2. Industry, sector and value chain A second group of factors concerns industry and sector characteristics, including the characteristics of the overall value chain. The value of being near an ecosystem of dependable suppliers or other plants in the same sector and facilities along the value chain, do influence production location decisions (e.g. for SMEs, location decision may be based on the relationship with key clients). Firms consider issues like co-ordination, such as how to integrate their production and distribution facilities, but they must also analyse the configuration aspects of linking facilities along the value chain (coordination costs). It is thus important to understand the industry characteristics and dynamics and link these to the location decisions of a company, both for production and/or R&D. The following assumption has been explored: 23 Industry, sector and value chain characteristics/development are crucial in RDI and production location decisions. In view of the limited number of cases the defined hypotheses will be ‘explored’ and not systematically ‘tested’. 29 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 3. The market Despite sector-specific differences, market considerations are generally decisive for location decisions. This concerns decisions regarding where to realise innovations through product and process market introduction on the basis of market size and growth potential. The literature shows that companies value proximity to important markets and key customers. Subsequently, the market penetration strategy of the company is of course decisive to the extent to which local presence is necessary. As already discussed above, market size characteristics increasingly play a role in the location decisions for research and/or development activities. The following assumption has been explored: Market characteristics (market growth dynamics, demand patterns etc.) are decisive for production but also for RDI location decisions. B. Organisational factors 1. Strategic considerations A company’s overall strategy with respect to market entry and growth (linked to previous hypotheses), product/market combinations, production organisation (e.g. through lead factories or not), distribution and services etc. is obviously decisive for the location decisions of RDI and production. Understanding the key strategic considerations and longer-term vision of a company allows a better understanding of past and future location decisions. The following assumption has been investigated: A company’s overall strategy is decisive for the location decisions of RDI and production. 2. Technology and innovativeness Highly science & technology intensive firms and highly innovative firms require a more intensive collaboration between production and RDI and a more pro-active strategy towards knowledge and technology sourcing. R&D location decisions are strongly linked to the stock of knowledge available in the host country (versus the home country). Moreover, if the host country or region becomes more science and technology intensive, there is less of a need to co-locate company R&D facilities, as the knowledge required can be locally insourced. At the same time, if knowledge insourcing in the home country’s ecosystem does not match their requirements, companies will look for other strong ecosystems outside the home country. In other words, available knowledge stocks in the home versus a potential host country are an important factor in R&D location decisions. The following assumption has been explored: For R&D intensive firms, location decisions depend largely on the knowledge available in the ecosystem (the knowledge available in a home versus host country ecosystem). 3. Product & production complexity On the basis of the literature review it became clear that both high product and process complexity, and a high rate of new product introduction (clock speed) have a strong influence on the need to co-locate research and/or development activities with production. Similarly, in new complex markets that require a high degree of customisation local research and/or development capabilities might be needed. This has been further explored through the following assumption: Co-location of research and/or development and production is largely driven by product and manufacturing complexity. 30 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities C. Location decisions & impact The previously discussed driving forces lead to particular company decisions with respect to production and research and/or development and innovation. In policy circles there is increasing concern that when production plants are offshored it is only a matter of time as to when R&D and/or innovation will follow. This has been further explored through the following assumption: It is not obvious that production offshoring is followed by RDI offshoring. Finally, once the production and R&D location decisions and their interrelation are understood, the next step is to investigate the impact of these decisions, first of all on the company level (turnover, employment, revenues etc.), secondly and by aggregating, on the regional and national level both in the home and the host country. Recent literature increasingly shows that offshoring is not necessarily bad for the home country. The following assumption has been explored: Production and/or RDI offshoring do not necessarily have a negative impact on the company’s activities in the home country. In the next chapter the case study approach is further discussed and explained, followed by the analysis of the findings. 31 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 3/ The Case studies: setup, implementation and findings 3.1 Preparation A total of 10 case studies have been carried out in order to shed light on the interrelation between production and R&D and innovation location decisions and the way firms deal with these decisions. In line with the earlier discussed analytical framework, the following topics were touched upon during the case studies (also reflected in the case study questionnaire as presented in Annex 3): Strategy behind offshoring of production activities (firm specific considerations, choices such as outsourcing, joint-venturing, role of the value chain, etc.). Environmental ‘push’ or ‘pull’ factors that have determined the production and/or RDI location choice (institutional, administrative, employment conditions, culture), perceived strengths, acknowledged reasons for success. Interrelation, or absence thereof, between R&D, innovation and production location decisions (so-called ‘cross-functional’ dependencies). Impact of the offshoring strategy on a.o. the firm's R&D and innovation activity and its intensity (both in the host and the home country). Impact of the EU legislative framework and/or barriers to trade in the destination country on the strategic choices made, including environmental or pull/push factors. The case studies have been selected on the basis of the following guiding criteria24: Companies (large companies or SMEs) being active in sectors that use and commercialise knowledge more intensely, and where technology clusters are highly competitive (e.g. semiconductors, catalysts, wind turbines). Companies (large companies or SMEs) being active in sectors where innovation is a key factor for success and where there is evidence of successfully internationalised firms. These criteria have been further refined in view of the findings of the quantitative data analysis (Annex 2) in terms of identification of countries and sectors of interest. 24 Reflected also in the priority action lines as defined in the Communication, “A stronger European industry for growth and economic recovery” (COM (2012) 582 final). In this Communication, the Commission proposes to jointly focus investment and innovation on six priority action lines: advanced manufacturing technologies, key enabling technologies, bio-based products, sustainable industrial and construction policy and raw materials, clean vehicles, smart grids. 32 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities The selected case studies are presented in the figure below. Figure 8: Overview of selected cases (sector and geographical ‘flows’) China & US China & US China Case 7 (Wind turbines) Case 5 (Catalysts) China, Japan & S. Korea China China & India Case 3 (Materials) Case 6 (Fuel cells) Case 1 (Automotive) Case 10 (Steel wire & coatings) Case 9 (Semiconductor) Case 2 (Construction) Hungary Austria & Malaysia Case 8 (Air polution) Case 4 (Semiconductor) Singapore & China S. Korea & US Investment to... Investment from... The selected companies are mainly located (headquartered) in central and northern Europe (e.g. in Germany, France, Belgium, Denmark, and Austria). One case concerns an EU inward foreign direct investment of an Asian company. In terms of sectoral spread, the selected companies are active in the semiconductor industry, automotive, industrial technology, equipment, materials, construction, production of catalysts and air pollution control systems, and wind turbines (see also Section 4 for more details and background). 33 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities A ‘case’ has been defined as a (co-)location decision/event involving production, research and/or development, or innovation, or a combination thereof (e.g. investment in a new production facility abroad). This event has been subsequently discussed with the (top) management of the selected companies. Particularly helpful for the identification of potential case studies, or events, was the European Restructuring Monitoring (ERM) database25. The database allows for the selection of restructuring activities ‘offshoring/delocalisation’ for specific companies, countries, and sectors over time. Information about specific offshoring/delocalisation by country is also provided in the database. Below is an example26 of the type of available information provided for Novartis, which very recent announced an additional investment in the Czech Republic. The ERM database made it possible to select companies that have taken a particular location decision of interest (production and/or RDI offshoring). After composing a long-list of cases, the final selection was made in close collaboration with the European Commission Services. For confidentiality reasons, it has been decided that the names of the participating companies will not be made public, and hence not to distribute individual case study reports beyond the European Commission steering board for this study. 3.2 Case study implementation Each of the selected case study companies was initially invited by e-mail. The invitation was accompanied by an introductory letter from the European Commission explaining the overall objectives of the study and offering the possibility to cooperate anonymously. The invitation process has been a ‘parallel process’ (instead of a sequential invitation), i.e. all case study representatives (often general managers/Vice Presidents, investment managers or chief technology officers/CFOs) have been invited almost simultaneously in order to start the case study process as soon as possible. 25 26 http://www.eurofound.europa.eu/emcc/erm/index.htm http://www.eurofound.europa.eu/emcc/erm/factsheets/27862/Novartis%20CZ?template=searchfactsheets 34 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities In each case study a number of in-depth (1.5-2 hour during) interviews took place (mix of face-to-face and telephone interviews), guided by a semi-structured interview questionnaire (see Annex 3). On the consortium side, the interviews were carried out by experienced researchers. For each case study a draft case study report was prepared. The draft versions were returned to the companies for validation and approval in order to be sure that all information provided is captured correctly. After validation by the company, the case study report has been considered to be final. 3.3 Cross-case analysis and limitations The cross-case analysis focused on the commonalities but also the difference across the cases, driven by the defined case study assumptions. The cross-case analysis focused on the decision process and associated critical factors leading to a particular location or colocation decision, and has been based on ‘triangulation’ among the research team involved in this study, and with existing literature and data. To this end, an internal workshop has been organised in order to align the obtained insights, conclusions and recommendations. This workshop took place on 8 May 2014 in Brussels. Important to note is that the case study results should be interpreted with care in view of the limited number of case studies and the wide spread across countries and sectors. 35 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 4/ Analytical discussion of the case findings 4.1 Case study findings: summary tables In the tables that follow we present the main factors that played a role in the location decisions of the studied companies. These results are discussed in more detail in the sections thereafter. In the first table, we present the main findings for cases 1 to 5, whereas in the second table we present the main findings for cases 6 to 10. 36 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Case 1 Sector(s) Size (SME/L) - staff The ‘case’ EU inward or outward? Co-location? Case 2 Case 3 Case 4a/4b/4c Case 5 Automotive, industrial technology RDI L (10,000-25,000) Construction products, innovative materials L (>50,000) Non-ferro metals Semiconductors Catalysts L (10,000-25,000) L (25,000-50,000) L (1000-2,500) Presence of production and RDI activity in an Eastern European country. Presence of production and R&D activities in China and India. Presence of production and R&D activities in South-Korea, Japan and China. RDI in the home country, production and to some extent development in the US and perhaps soon in China (production site under construction). Outward Outward Outward Case 4a: Closure of three frontend manufacturing plants in the US and in a North-African country and the subsequent increase in front-end investments in Singapore. Case 4b: Concentration of backend manufacturing plants outside of Europe (mainly Asia). Case 4c: R&D investments focused on Europe. Outward No. The co-existence of RDI and production is not functionally related; both activities belong to different ‘networks’. Yes. The co-existence of R&D and production in both China and India is functionally related. Yes. The co-existence of R&D and production is functionally related. Partial. Some co-location of RDI and back-end manufacturing in some countries. Some colocation of RDI and front-end manufacturing in others. Partial. Development that takes place in the US is primarily to adjust for the local market. - Presence in important market regions - Presence near the customers (customer power) - Presence in important technology regions: located where the value chain is - Business friendly administration and low redtape level Case 4a: - Availability of technology & qualified labour - Public support & incentive schemes Case 4b: - Presence of other firms in the electronics value chain - Availability of qualified labour - Low-cost business environment Case 4c: - Clusters & local ecosystems - Availability of qualified labour - Public support - Global value chain important (clusters in Asia, US and Europe) - Access to knowledge ecosystem - Ability to attract global talent - Access to complementary skills - Good knowledge of the political system - Low-cost business environment Outward Environmental ‘pull’ or ’push’ factors (ranked from most to least important) Location factors Value chain considerations - Low-cost business environment - Skilled and accessible workforce - Strength of local RDI ecosystem - Not relevant - Local market presence - Cost structure (taxation schemes) - Local incentive schemes (e.g. policies favouring local research initiatives) - Connections to local organisations (facilitates dialogue with authorities/stakeholders) - Access to university clusters/research communities important for location decision of research centres - Proximity to customers and markets is very important - Presence of a value chain is very important (for one business segment there is no value chain in the EU) - Customer requirements/negotiation power - Importance of being present in leading technology regions - Not relevant 37 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Market considerations - Not relevant - Market presence is main driver (scientific excellence of universities in South-Korea, Japan and China) - Market presence is main driver - Local presence is requested by the customer - Not relevant (market presence is not directly related to the end-customer) - Important for location of mature production - No influence on the manufacturing of new products Case 4a: - Optimise general business capacity utilisation (through concentration and effects of scale) - Strengthening production excellence Case 4b: - Cost savings (labour) - Concentration of production and effects of scale Case 4c: Maintaining of strategic RDI in the home countries - Highly R&D intensive company (hence importance of access to top knowledge) - Access to RDI ecosystem - Keep strategic RDI in home country Organisational considerations (ranked from most to least important) Strategy - Production optimisation and cost savings - Keep strategic RDI in home country - Support production (develop solutions for local market) - Help local business (propose innovative solutions for local market) - Start of possible new activities Technology and innovativeness - Highly R&D intensive company (hence importance of access to top knowledge) - Not relevant, as the lead plants are responsible for production line optimisation - Highly R&D intensive company (hence importance of access to top knowledge) - Highly R&D intensive company (hence importance of access to top knowledge) - Relevant. Highly complex product and production process - Relevant. Highly complex product and production process - There are local adjustments to the product - Relevant. Highly complex product and production complexity - Co-location between the leading edge fab (most complex technology) and RDI - Relevant. High product and production complexity for new products (part of the reason for keeping these in the home country) - Capable of maintaining activity levels and even investing - Increase in global sales and revenues, which also benefits the home country - Activities in Asia contribute to the overall sales and revenues of the company - Contribution to further development of ecosystem - Employment and knowledge spill over effects - Strengthen local innovation development and capability - Employment effects - Positive employment effects - Increase in RDI activities - Keeping highest state-of-theart - Contribution to further development of local hightech clusters - Generation of employment (especially in a cluster in the home country). - Creating absorptive capacity - Developing local high-tech clusters - Increase in employment Product and production characteristics - Highly R&D intensive company (hence importance of access to top knowledge) Main impacts (ranked from most to least important) Home Host - Not relevant 38 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Case 6 Case 7 Case 8a/8b Case 9 Case 10 Sector(s) Size (SME/L) - staff The ‘case’ Hydrogen and fuel cells Wind turbines Air pollution control systems Semiconductors Steel wire and coatings SME(<250) L (250-1000) SME (<250) L (25,000-50,000) L(25,000-50,000) RDI in Europe, although owned by a Canadian investor. Establishment of RDI Centre in Europe. - Case 8a: Establishment of subsidiary in Asia - Case 8b: Joint venture in US to produce for US market. Establishment of a new R&D Centre in China EU inward or outward? Co-location? Not relevant Inward Outward - Case 9a: Increased investment in Europe in front-end production facilities and in RDI - Case 9b: Investment in frontend fab in Asia (200mm wafers) Outward No No No No Yes. The co-existence of R&D and production is functionally interrelated - Proximity to the market and the customer - Access to growing market Case 9a: - Access to technology and qualified labour - Public support and incentive schemes Case 9b: - Proximity to suppliers and value chain - Access to highly skilled workforce - Public support and incentive schemes For R&D: - Close collaboration with universities (recruitment possibilities) - Support of local authorities and the provision of incentives - Collaboration with local suppliers important and necessary - Access - Local presence is requested by key customers - Access to important clusters in Asia, US and Europe - Collaboration with local suppliers and customers necessary (also for R&D) - Access - Local presence is preferred - Keep R&D and innovation in the home country - Case 8b (US): licensing model had disadvantages (control of knowledge diffusion, customers in the Case 9a: - Access next wave of relevant technology and qualified labour - Public support and incentive schemes (Austrian tax Outward Environmental ‘pull’ or ’push’ factors (ranked from most to least important) Location characteristics Value chain considerations Market considerations - Strength of local networks/ecosystem (universities, other enterprises) - Skilled and accessible workforce - Access to highly skilled workforce - Strength of local networks/ecosystem (universities, other enterprises) - Some development with key suppliers in the value chain - Not relevant - Not relevant - Not relevant - Not relevant For the location of production: - Proximity to the market and the customer - Access to growing market - Cost factors (including avoidance of currency fluctuations) Organisational considerations (ranked from most to least important) Strategy - Funding opportunities - Contributing to the national scientific ecosystem – shaping the research - Proximity to the research frontier - Access to competences and knowledge located For production: - Increase in local demand made the company decide to increase investment in production. For R&D: 39 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities US could be potential customers in Europe) and thus start of joint venture Technology and innovativeness Product and production characteristics - Highly R&D intensive company (hence importance of access to top knowledge) - Complex product and production process, but no need for co-location. incentives). Case 9b: - Presence of suppliers and value chain - Availability of qualified labour - Public support schemes - Highly R&D intensive company (hence importance of access to top knowledge) - Complex product and production process, but no need for co-location. - Co-location between the leading edge fab (most complex technology) and R&D - Presence linked to the need by customers for local technical assistance - Support local production - Customization and adaptation to the local market - Highly R&D intensive company (hence importance of access to top knowledge) - Relevant. Highly complex product and production process. - Strong growth in sales and revenue - Only increase in R&D when the local demand increased (R&D in the home country had to support foreign production) - Strong growth in sales and revenue - Increasing R&D jobs and potential spillovers - Highly R&D intensive company (hence importance of access to top knowledge) - Complex product and production process, but no need for co-location. - Highly R&D intensive company (hence importance of access to top knowledge) - Complex product and production process, but no need for co-location. - New pilot installations require presence of people from R&D team - Further enrichment of the research on hydrogen and fuel cells - Knowledge sourcing - Increasing jobs and sales - Expansion of R&D activities Case 9a: - Increase in RDI activities - Further development of hightech clusters - Employment (Austria and Germany) - Not relevant - Increasing R&D jobs and potential spillovers - Increasing R&D jobs and potential spillovers - Increasing R&D jobs and potential spillovers Main impacts (ranked from most to least important) Home Host 40 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Based on their location characteristics, the studied companies have been grouped (ex-post) in 3 groups. In Group 1 (‘no co-location’), composed of 5 cases, there is no functionally related production and R&D co-location, meaning that production is not related to/supported by ‘close-by’ R&D activities), despite the existence of offshore production activity. Group 2 (‘partial co-location’) is composed of 2 cases where there is only partial co-location (i.e. mostly development and adjustment capabilities are offshored close to the production activity). In group 3 (‘full co-location’) there are 3 cases where co-location is functionally based (i.e. full R&D capability is co-located with production on the basis of mutual reinforcement and support). The groups are further presented in the table below. Table 5: Grouping of case studies based on their ‘co-location’ behaviour Group 1 “No co-location” Group 2 “Partial colocation” Group 3 “Full co-location” No production – R&D colocation (cases 1, 6, 7, 8, 9) Partial R&D – production co-location (cases 4 and 5) Production – R&D co-location (cases 2, 3 and 10) 6. Knowledge ecosystem and networks 7. Top-talent 8. Public support 9. Access to new technologies 10. Cost levels (including taxation options) - Important for mainly production location decisions 5. Knowledge ecosystem and networks 6. Access to new technologies 7. Top-talent 8. Cost levels, including taxation 5. Market/customer proximity 6. Knowledge ecosystem and networks 7. Public support 8. Cost levels, including taxation - Mixed picture, value chain is important, but no particularities Market - Mostly not relevant - Mostly not relevant Product and production complexity - Product and production complexity play a minor role - Product and production complexity play a role of importance - Value chain of importance (proximity to suppliers and customers, depending on B2B or B2C) - Main driver (for production, also influencing R&D) - Product and production complexity play a major role Major impacts - Home: strategic knowledge development kept, strengthening of existing ecosystems - Host: not relevant - Home: strategic knowledge development, build of new ecosystems, spillovers - Host: creation of local absorptive capacity - Home: spillovers, financial flows - Host: local employment and knowledge development, new ecosystems Pull or push factors (Ranked by importance) Value chain For Group 1 (‘no co-location’), the general picture is that firms have not co-located R&D with production on the basis of interfunctional reasons. R&D location decisions are taken more or less independently from manufacturing, on the basis of mainly three criteria: 1) strength of local ecosystems, 2) access to top-talent, and to some extent 3) access to public support schemes, including tax incentives. In one case involving an R&D investment in Denmark, the attractive tax incentives provided by the Danish government (E&Y in collaboration with EuropaBio, 2014) seem to have played an important role as well, in conjunction with the strong knowledge ecosystem that was present. The characteristics of the value chain in which companies operate do influence production location decisions as such. This is less the case for R&D activities, however. In these case product and production complexity does not (always) trigger R&D de-localisation, often because of extreme standardisation or problem- 41 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities solving capabilities offered by e.g. lead factory staff. Strategic R&D remains central, often in Europe. If speculating slightly, one could conclude that this type of companies is more sensitive to cost-based incentives as manufacturing characteristics do not really require R&D proximity. In Group 2 (‘partial co-location’), we see that some of the R&D activities are co-located with manufacturing. This concerns mainly local development or adjustment activities. Their R&D location decision is strongly based on similar reasons as group one, like access to knowledge and ecosystems, and new technologies. The role of the value chain characteristics and their position in this chain is less clear/uniform. In these cases product and production complexity do play an important role; that is why local development or adjustment is necessary. The impact of partial co-location on the host country is limited, whereas the home country (Europe) still benefits from the presence of strategic R&D (mainly strategic research) activities and the associated economic effects. These findings are in line with the existing theoretical insights and evidence. Finally, in Group 3 (‘full co-location’) the companies indicated a functionally interrelated R&D and production co-location. Key pull or push factors in terms of location are market considerations, production complexity, access to new emerging markets, and proximity to customers. Costs factors and public support do also play a role in the making of the final location choice, often within one country or region. Market demand, translated in high demand for innovation, and increased production complexity are main drivers influencing the need for co-location. Based the analytical framework on the factors affecting location decisions, the working assumptions proposed are assessed on the basis of the information collected during the case study interviews in perspective of existing literature evidence and data collected and analysed. The case study findings will be further illustrated by firstly examining the role of factors related to the firm environment (location characteristics, sector and value chains, and the market), secondly the role of organisational factors (strategy, technology, product and production complexity) and finally with the impact of these factors on the home or the host country. 4.2 Case study findings: Role of the company’s ‘environment’ 4.2.1 Importance of ‘pull’ and ‘push’ factors Assumption: Location factors can work both as ‘push’ and ‘pull’ factors for RDI and/or production location decisions. On the basis of the case study results, it has become clear that the studied companies are sensitive to ‘pull’ factors that attract and/or persuade them to make a location investment outside (or inside) Europe. The most important pull factors valid for production location decisions are: market and costs considerations, value chain considerations and in particular proximity to customers and suppliers, and cost considerations. Less important are public support and incentive schemes and business friendly administration. For R&D and innovation, the most important pull factors are: access to knowledge/technology ecosystems and complementary competences, access to a skilled workforce, and to a lesser extent public support and incentive schemes, value chain and market considerations. Although all factors can work as ‘pull’ and ‘push’ simultaneously, this is particularly true for the factor cost and available knowledge. 42 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities In the tables below we provide an overview of the most important location related factors mentioned by the companies and the strength of the factor as a ‘pull27’ or ‘push28’ factor. Table 6: Location factors and their importance for production location decisions Location factors and their importance Market considerations (emerging and growing markets) Access to clusters and ecosystems including universities (knowledge and technology) Cost considerations Value chain considerations (proximity to customers and suppliers) Access to skilled workforce Public support and incentive schemes (including tax incentives) Business friendly administration Trade obstacles Importance as ‘pull’ Importance as ‘push’ *** ** * * *** ** (to other countries) *** * (away from the EU) ** ** ** * ** * ** * Note: Low *, medium **, high *** combinations reflect the importance attached to these factors by the case study interviewees. Table 7: Location factors and their importance for R&D and innovation location decisions Location factors and their importance Market considerations (emerging and growing markets) Access to clusters and ecosystems including universities (knowledge and technology) Cost considerations Value chain considerations (proximity to customers and suppliers) Access to skilled workforce Public support and incentive schemes (including tax incentives) Business friendly administration Trade obstacles Importance as ‘pull’ Importance as ‘push’ ** ** *** ** * ** ** ** *** *** ** * * * * * (to other countries) (away from the EU) Note: Low *, medium **, high *** combinations reflect the importance attached to these factors by the case study interviewees. In what follows, these factors are further discussed in the light of existing literature. Four of the studied cases indicate that market developments are one of the most important ‘pull’ factors for investing in a location outside Europe. This applies strongly to manufacturing location decisions, and to some extent also to R&D and innovation location decisions, as the market (customer behaviour) prescribes to a large extent the need for local product 27 28 A ‘pull’ factor plays a role in the attractiveness of a certain location, often outside the home country/region. For example, the low labour cost of a particular location might be very attractive for a firm and such influence the decision on where to locate existing or new activities. Whereas a ‘pull’ factor helps to attract firm activities to a certain location, a push factor might ‘motivate’ a company t o leave the home country/region and to move activities away. Usually firm location decisions are based on an assessment of the interplay between push and pull factors. 43 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities adaptation (development) and innovation. This is in line with existing literature, where proximity to important markets and to key customers are identified as key ‘pull’ factors, especially for production (see Brush et al., 1999), but also for R&D (see Athukorala and Kohpaiboon, 2010; Dachs and Pyka, 2010). The costs of adaptive R&D can more easily be recovered in larger markets with stronger demand and consequently larger revenues. Local innovation in order to access and/or serve a certain market is an important reason to develop R&D and innovation activities in new markets, in the proximity of local production facilities. What is observed in e.g. Case 5 illustrates this further: the company has chosen to locate production in the US and is currently building production facilities in China, to cater two local markets. It is also stated in the literature that production activities are characterised by a high degree of mobility since firms locate production facilities for reasons other than proximity to their headquarters (see also Defever, 2009), this is observed in Case 5 and also in Cases 2 and 10. A second important group of ‘pull’ factors (often also ‘push’ factors), mainly relevant to R&D and innovation location decisions, is the importance of access to world-class ecosystems, technological knowledge and competences. Several companies (Cases 5, 6, and 8) indicated that this was the main reason for centralising strategic RDI activities in the home country or for actively searching for global locations where these ecosystems are present and where new knowledge can be accessed, through e.g. spillovers (e.g. Cases 1, 5, 6 and 1). In Case 7, the strength of the existing European ecosystem was the main reason why the Asian company in question invested in Europe (Denmark), i.e. to insource new technological knowledge. Complementary to this, it is also a fact that Denmark offers a favourable R&D taxation climate (E&Y in collaboration with EuropaBio, 2014) whereby a 100% deduction for qualifying expenditure is allowed in combination with a tax credit for R&D activities leading to a refund of negative tax (loss) up to 25% of DKK 5m (for 2015). It can be expected that this incentive also played a role of importance. The importance of ecosystems and access to top knowledge ecosystems and hence the possibility of benefitting from sizeable knowledge spillovers is an important factor for the location decision of R&D activities is widely reported in the literature. Host ecosystems, or the stock of knowledge in a host country more generally, strongly influences R&D location decisions and ultimately the spillover potential (e.g. Erken and Kleijn, 2010; Cantwell and Piscitello, 2002; Belderbos et al., 2009). For instance, the ecosystem around the company’s home market in Case 6 has been a decisive factor in keeping RDI in the home country. Close cooperation with universities and other enterprises on research and innovation, as well as relatively easy access to a well-educated talent pool are critical factors. The ecosystem and the possibility of collaborating with top scientists also contribute in making companies attractive to global talent as a potential employer. For the location of production activities in particular, (labour) costs considerations are (very) important ‘pull’ and ‘push’ factors (this is broadly discussed in literature, see e.g. Defever 2006; Py & Hatem 2009; UNCTAD 2009). The often-cited argument around international cost management is that financial space must be created for future investments. The studied companies indicate that lower cost levels, especially in price competitive sectors (like in Cases 1 and 2), are important to safeguard the future of the company (often in Europe), which can only be achieved through new and forward-looking investments. Therefore, in some cases, new production is setup at the periphery of Europe (or outside Europe), where costs are undoubtedly lower. Strong examples were given for the semiconductor industry where costs are indicated as an important ‘push’ (away from Europe) and at the same time ‘pull’ factor (towards e.g. Asia) for production activities. 44 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Cost optimisation is an important driver for investments outside Europe but rarely the only factor of importance in these very complex investment dossiers. While governments often try to influence corporate relocation, the majority of interviewed companies indicate that they do not base investment decisions on government incentives (like tax breaks) only (in one case, however, Case 9, the government incentive did make the difference in the location decision). Whenever government incentives are offered, these are often attached to a particular location, which means that whichever company decides to invest first in the given location receives the government incentive. Furthermore, government incentives are indicated to be subordinate to other key considerations, like market access, access to key knowledge, and supplier-client relationships. Nevertheless, all other conditions equal, they can make a different in deciding between two or three locations. This has been illustrated in a recent study (European Commission, 2013b) on the international market distortion in the area of KETs. It was concluded that several competitor countries provide significant incentives (grants, fiscal, loans and free land) in order to attract EU investments in KETs manufacturing. The study indicates that for all investment decisions concerned, a location in Europe was possible, but that investment incentives were decisive for the respective decisions made (being outside Europe). Several of the studied companies, and certainly the larger companies, all have an open communication channel with the regional and national governments in which they operate, but the dialogue is not necessarily initiated prior to an investment decision. Literature indeed shows that tax conditions are (very) important to production location decisions. Dunning (2000) underlines how nation states are becoming more dependent on cross-border activities, and how states’ institutional framework increasingly influences these activities. Therefore, states are becoming increasingly aware of their economic and social infrastructure in order to attract multinational enterprises (Dunning, 2000). This is certainly true for production activities, but also for R&D activities. For R&D and innovation investment decisions, incentives for R&D are important in a company’s overall cost management as well. For instance, Case 5 is a highly research-oriented company, and the research investments amount to 11% cent of the company’s turnover. Hence, R&D tax incentives (tax cuts or depreciation modalities) do matter. For R&D intensive companies that still operate in immature markets (like in Case 6) public funding for R&D and innovation is another important pull factor for locating RDI in a particular location. Another group of important ‘pull’ factors, mainly for R&D and innovation location decisions, are access to a skilled and talented workforce. This aspect was strongly emphasised in e.g. Cases 1, 4, 5 and 6, belonging to Group 1 ‘no co-location’ and 2 ‘partial co-location’. For R&D and innovation location decisions, skilled workforce and the quality of education systems are essential. In particular, in the face of skills shortages and a growing demand for engineers and scientists in the home country, firms frequently go abroad with their R&D. A shortage of highly skilled science and engineering talent in the US explains the relocation of product development to other parts of the world (see e.g. Erken and Kleijn, 2010). Finally, literature often indicates the importance of trade regulations, and in particular trade barriers when making location decisions (e.g. Brush et al., 1999). In Case 8,the main reason for first licensing and now starting a joint venture in the US is that the US has other production standards and regulations than Europe, which makes it favourable (if not necessary) to produce directly in the US. In the other cases though, trade regulations/barriers have generally not played an important role in the decision to setup new production or R&D activities outside Europe. 45 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 4.2.2 Importance of industry, sector and value chain characteristics Assumption: Industry, sector and value chain characteristics/development are crucial for R&D, and production location decisions The case study evidence strongly points out that industry and sector characteristics influence the location decisions taken by the companies. As the case studies were spread over a variety of sectors, each of them had their own ‘story’ with respect to how sector and industry characteristics influenced location decisions. For example, there is a large difference between the semiconductor industry (a truly global industry) and the construction materials industry (a quite local industry). The literature gives a strong role to the geographical location or concentration of strategic value chain segments in influencing the location of production and R&D. As shown through some of the case studies, the fact that particular parts of the value chain are located outside Europe, has indeed forced companies to locate production outside Europe as well. The geographical dispersion or concentration of various value chain segments, the embedding of a company in its value chain and the interrelation with other players (suppliers or customers) are found to be important in 7 cases. Production location decisions depend on the characteristics of the value chain(s), and in particular its geographical dispersion. As these value chains have become more global, the decision-making processes have become more complex, and the role, and often location, of production and R&D have become more global as well (see e.g. De Backer et al., 2013). In 7 out of 10 cases, value chain considerations played a different but important role. In the studied cases, the value chain played a role from the perspective of proximity to customers and suppliers (downstream and upstream) and access to clusters and geographical concentrations of key value chain segments. In some cases (like Case 3) it has become clear that due to the fact that important segments of the respective value chain are located outside Europe, and because of the close collaboration with local customers and the negotiation power of these customers, the respective company had to start production operations in the vicinity of those clients. The geographical location of supplier networks also influences production location decisions. Common arguments here were the hands-on management of the material flows, quality assurance and to a lesser extent just-in-time supplies. As Meijboom and De Vos (1997) have pointed out, the coordination aspects of activities along a company’s value chain play an important role in location decisions. Firms consider the co-ordination aspects of how to integrate their production and distribution facilities, but they must also consider the configuration aspects of linking facilities along the value chain. In the semiconductor industry (Cases 4 and 9) the production stage is divided into front-end manufacturing (wafer fabs) and back-end manufacturing (assembly, test and packaging). Investment in front-end manufacturing is capital-intensive, while back-end manufacturing is labour-intensive. This means that the back-end manufacturing is outsourced to low-cost regions (such as Southeast Asia) to a higher degree than front-end manufacturing, where a large share of manufacturing still takes place in Europe. Front-end manufacturing quite often also requires R&D capabilities in the vicinity of manufacturing. As a result, the value chain is dispersed and spread over different countries and regions. 46 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 4.2.3 Importance of market dynamics Assumption: Market characteristics (market growth dynamics, demand patterns etc.) are decisive for production but also for RDI location decisions. In the majority of the case studies, market considerations (like emergence, growth, and required customisation/tailoring) played an important role in the investment decisions made. This is particularly valid for production, but to an increasing extent also for R&D and innovation. Particularly when a product needs adaption to the local market or when continuous innovation is necessary to stay competitive, production and at least development activities, but quite often also research activities, are co-located. The market size is also important, and becomes increasingly important also for R&D location decisions as the costs of adaptive R&D can more easily be recovered in larger markets with stronger demand and consequently higher revenues. Previous studies on the internationalisation of production clearly point out the importance of market dynamics. New market entrance and/or the inherent characteristics of the market and its customers are the most frequently heard arguments for making new production investments outside (but also inside) Europe. Market proximity is an essential objective in production location decisions. But markets do not always evolve as expected. If the host country market decreases or increases to a smaller degree than expected, this reduces firms’ incentive to locate there (see Kinkel, 2012). The case study findings also point towards the importance of the market. In two cases (Cases 1 and 3) clients in Korea or Japan required the European companies to setup a production facility in their proximity (B2B cases). Main reasons on the side of the customers were quality control and efficiency. There are strong differences between sectors with respect to the importance of the market. For instance, the construction market, several segments thereof, is to a large extent a local market (Case 2). In the semiconductor industry (Cases 4 and 9), the market is of a real global nature with almost no import tariffs, making it easy for products to travel around the world (also transport costs are negligible). This essentially means that production can be done from anywhere in the world on the basis of production efficiency and quality management considerations. As noted earlier, that product adaptation requirements may necessitate a company to locate development activities close to its production activities, if needed outside Europe. The latter depends on the need for product customisation or periodic renewal. High product and process complexity and a high rate of new product introduction (clock speed) are strongly linked to co-location (as shown also by Ketokivi and Ali-Yrkkö, 2009). In Cases 4 and 9, the semiconductor industry, most design in R&D is still undertaken close to the customer on the basis of local demand, whereas the more strategic R&D remains centrally in Europe. 4.3 Case study findings: role of internal organisational characteristics and considerations It is evident that the location investments made by companies are based on thorough strategic considerations and choices. In the 10 implemented case studies we discussed the main strategic considerations. 47 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 4.3.1 The role of company strategy Assumption: A company’s overall strategy is decisive for the location decisions of RDI and production It is obvious that strategy drives a company’s long term decision-making processes. The case studies made clear that this longer-term strategy can only slightly be influenced by short-term incentives provided by regional or national governments. Key strategic considerations indicated by the analysed group of companies are access to a new markets or the need to insource the next generation of a particular technology in order to stay innovative, hence to have access to strong knowledge ecosystems. Cost factors are of course important, albeit more for production than for R&D. It is always a company’s strategy that guides the longer term location investment decisions. But what are the key strategic elements upon which the studied companies base their location investments? The most frequently mentioned strategic objective is one whereby access to new markets and safeguarding of future sales is of major influence to location decisions (Cases 2, 3, 8, and 10), the importance of which is also confirmed in literature (cf. supra). Another important strategy is to optimise production over different facilities spread over different countries, quite often in order to manage costs and to benefit from economies of scale (see also below). There are obvious differences between sectors. For the semiconductor industry for example, the strategy is to improve capacity utilisation and optimise business efficiency while cutting costs. The sector is highly global (low import tariffs) and production can theoretically be done from anywhere in the world. Cost is an important factor for locating labour-intensive back-end plants. Therefore, the production facilities are often located in low-cost countries (Cases 4 and 9). For R&D in particular, considerations like access to future key knowledge and technologies, human capital and the need to adjust (or not) to a local market often driving location factors. Several companies are continuously searching for potential optimisations of their production and R&D network, often over countries, regions and even continents. R&D outsourcing has increasingly become an important strategy of companies to get access to distinctive capabilities of specialised providers, gain efficiencies and enter new or growing markets. Such partnerships are organised in different contract forms, like alliances or research cooperation with different partners, e.g. suppliers, clients, competitors or research institutes. The majority of the companies that invest in R&D abroad aim to keep the most ‘strategic’ knowledge in Europe, often because of IPR protection concerns. A final illustration concerns two companies (Cases 5 and 6) that keep their R&D and innovation activities centralised in Europe, indicating that the main strategic consideration for such centralisation is the strong scientific ecosystem. Obviously, if the company reprioritises its R&D roadmap or its knowledge portfolio, this ecosystem might become less attractive, and the company will start looking for alternatives, either inside or outside Europe. By speculating to some extent, there is a strong impression that a company’s overall longerterm strategy is difficult to influence with short-term public incentive packages. 48 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 4.3.2 Importance of a company’s R&D intensity Assumption: For R&D intensive firms, location decisions depend largely on the knowledge available in the ecosystem (the knowledge available in a home versus host ecosystem) There is ample evidence collected through the case studies confirming this assumption. For R&D intensive firms, which invest heavily in R&D and particularly in forward looking research, access to knowledge and technologies is vital. The companies indicate that it is a matter of matching supply to demand. If the knowledge is not available in the home country, then there are different ways to insource it, ranging from collaboration agreements (over distance) to physically locating an R&D facility where the knowledge is available (in the right ecosystem either in Europe or outside). The companies that have centralised R&D and innovation activities refer to access to human capital and the attractiveness of the local ecosystem, and often the embeddedness in that ecosystem, as being the main drivers. Companies who also have overseas R&D and innovation activities indicate the host ecosystem to be important for the reasons mentioned. The majority of the companies studied are R&D intensive (approximately between 2% to 13.5% of R&D to turnover investment). For these companies, the host and/or home country’s ecosystems are very important for the location of R&D and innovation activities. Roughly, on the basis of the case study results, we see two types of companies: (1) companies who keep (most of) their R&D and innovation activities centralised in the home country (mainly the strategic research component) at home, and (2) companies who have a more globalised and dispersed R&D profile. As discussed above, there are different reasons why companies find themselves in one of these two categories. For the companies who keep their R&D and innovation activities centralised in the home country, the quality of the local ecosystem is a crucial reason for doing so. Research institutions and universities are important in these ecosystems, as they provide access to top talent (see Cases 6 and 8) and top-knowledge. These reasons are broadly embraced in literature as well (see e.g. Thursby and Thursby, 2006; Kinkel and Maloca, 2008; Marsili, 2001 and Malerba, 2002). If R&D intensive companies do not ‘find’ the knowledge they are looking for in the home country (in Europe), efforts will be made to insource it in other ways, e.g. through collaboration or through localisation of an R&D facility abroad, outside Europe if needed (Ramirez, 2014). Although knowledge sourcing is clearly linked to a company’s R&D intensity, there is no obvious link with the need to co-locate R&D and production activities. As discussed above, the need for functional co-location is mainly driven by product and manufacturing complexity and the innovation speed and characteristics as posed by the market concerned. It is clear that strong knowledge ecosystems are necessary in order to keep as many (strategic) research activities in Europe. 49 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 4.3.3 Importance of product and production complexity Assumption: Co-location of R and/or D and production is largely driven by product and manufacturing complexity Product and production process complexity are an important driver for the co-location of production and development activities. The companies who have centralised their development activities in their home country know complex production processes that require close support. The same also applies to new production locations, where, in case of complex products and production processes that need a high degree of customisation for the new market, development capabilities are also located close to production. Of particular interest are pilot installations that in the early phases of setup and operation require the intensive involvement of R&D for problem solving and optimisation. From the cross-case analysis we can observe that the selected companies develop and produce highly complex products, bearing in mind the variation between markets and sectors. There are several examples (Cases 4, 6 and 8) where product and production complexity, and a high rate of new product introduction (market demand), are main reasons for co-locating production and R&D and innovation activities (this is also confirmed by Ketokivi, 2006; Ketokivi and Ali-Yrkkö, 2009; Simon et al., 2008). There are nevertheless also cases where products and manufacturing processes are complex, but strongly standardised at the same time (Case 1). Here there is less of a need to co-locate R&D and production. Production location decisions do not need to be followed by the entire R&D and innovation spectrum. In some cases only specific R&D and innovation functions (e.g. development and adjustment) are co-located with the production facilities. There is also evidence that product development, one of the R&D functions, often follows production activities, while process technology development, another function, frequently remains centralised at the home country. For pilot installations proximity to R&D problem solving capacity is required especially in the early stages of setup and operation. For the pilot installations that have been built in Europe, the proximity to a strong R&D capability has been essential (Case 8). In the case of the semiconductor sector, front-end manufacturing is capital intensive and consequently requires heavy technology investments. There is a fairly strong degree of co-location between wafer fabs and R&D centres. This is particularly evident in the high-tech cluster in the home country. Back-end manufacturing, involving assembly, test and packaging, is more labourintensive (and to a certain degree also more standardised), which is why the necessity of R&D attached to test and assembly facilities is less important (Case 4). That means that co-location of production and RDI is necessary for the development and introduction of new products. Product complexity and production complexity are two distinctive concepts, but they are closely intertwined. Industrial activities involving both highly complex products and production processes will tend to have more segmented value chains (i.e. more segments and a more global division of labour within the corresponding value chain) with front-end and back-end manufacturing. The evidence collected during the case studies tends to indicate that both the upper end of production and R&D largely remain located within the EU, given the historical ties and interrelations within high-tech clusters (leading to a strong embeddedness). Especially for the semiconductor industry, we see that back-end production complexity is less technologydriven, but more logistics-driven, and therefore the existence of a strong suppliers’ network is the critical parameter. 50 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 4.4 Case study findings: co-location and impacts of location decisions on ‘home’ and ‘host’ countries 4.4.1 Co-location between production and R&D and innovation Assumption: It is not obvious that production offshoring is followed by RDI offshoring. The result of the cases studies in Groups 1 and 3 show that is not a ‘natural phenomenon’ for RDI to follow manufacturing once it has been offshored. Also, if co-location takes place it does not necessarily involve the entire R&D and innovation function. What drives co-location are product and manufacturing complexity and the characteristics of innovation required by the market concerned. There are clear indications that as manufacturing and production complexity increase, or when the market is highly demanding in terms of innovation intensity, the need to partially or fully co-locate R&D and innovation with manufacturing increases as well. The issue of co-location is complex and strongly situationally dependent. The case studies clearly show that there is not always a need to co-location R&D and innovation co-located with manufacturing. If manufacturing activities are offshored, then it depends largely on product and production complexity and the market characteristics whether and to what extent R&D and innovation co-location is required. Group 1 of the studied cases (‘no co-location’) clearly illustrates the despite being highly R&D intensive, and despite having relative complex manufacturing process, there is no need for physical co-location whereby R&D activities support manufacturing. There are examples where R&D activities are located in the same country as manufacturing, but for different reasons, mostly relating to access to knowledge and talent. For group 2 (‘partial co-location’) and 3 (‘full co-location’), different R&D activities, development support in particular, are closely located to production activities for problem solving and local market adaptation requests (e.g. as strongly illustrated in the semiconductor and catalyst production sectors). On the one hand, the case study findings show that the general assumption that once manufacturing activities are offshored, sooner or later R&D and innovation activities will follow as well, does not hold for all investigated sectors or firms. On the other hand, there are clear and strong indications that as manufacturing and production complexity increase, or when the market is highly demanding in terms of innovation intensity, the need to partially or fully co-locate R&D and/or innovation with manufacturing increases as well. This has also been emphasized in a report by McKinsey (2012) on the future of manufacturing, and has subsequently been confirmed by the High Level Group on KETs in its 2013 status implementation report (European Commission, 2013), thereby also referring to the increasing co-location requirements in Asia, something that has also been pointed out in several of the case studies. 4.4.1 About the ‘impact’ of (co-)location decisions Assessing the impacts of recent (co-)location decisions and investments is challenging for various reasons. Not only do ‘impacts’ take time to materialise and may not yet be visible, it is also difficult to attribute or to link directly and in a linear way ‘changes’ to ‘events’. Moreover, this study is based on a small number of cases displaying a high level of heterogeneity. Most of the cases concern EU high-tech companies having recently invested in new production facilities outside the EU (often in Asia). In half of these cases, there was a ‘co-location decision’, i.e. these investments in new production facilities were accompanied by investments in new RDI activities at the same location, as complementary activities to the new production facility. 51 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities However, even such a general description does not correspond to the large variety of situations and drivers behind the decisions. While there can be a substitution of production between the EU and other regions in the world (shift or de-localisation), it has been observed that in the large majority of cases, there was actually expansion of production capacity (in addition to production lines elsewhere, complementing those already existing in the EU). Similarly, when it comes to R&D, the large majority of cases did not correspond to a substitution of R&D capacity, but rather to the launch of additional R&D. In some cases (e.g. in Cases 2, 4b, 8b), the investment in additional R&D outside Europe is related to the adaptation of production to local market conditions (the ‘D’ of R&D), which differs strongly from strategic research activities that are kept in Europe (the ‘R’ of R&D). Finally, investment in production outside the EU can refer to ‘front-end manufacturing’ (upper end production technologies, like in Case 4a) or just ‘back-end manufacturing’ (lower end production technologies, like in Case 4b). In the international literature, many attempts have been made to ‘classify’ or to ‘categorise’ these strategies, e.g. by making a distinction between ‘horizontal FDI’ (i.e. duplication or expansion of production in the same value chain with the purpose of serving local clients) and ‘vertical FDI’ (i.e. locating different stages of production or ‘value chain segments’ in different countries, cf. ‘front-end’ versus ‘back-end’ production’) (Peng, 2011; Ekholm et al. 2003). Most of these categorisations, however, still fail to cover the whole spectrum of potential strategies. Obviously, these differences in ‘location decisions’ or ‘strategies’ will generate strong differences in the impacts induced in both the host and home countries. Therefore, the conclusions on impacts have to be considered with caution. Their degree of generalisation is low and the reader should primarily refer back to the case-specific situation to understand them correctly. 4.4.2 Impacts on the ‘home’ country Assumption: Production and/or RDI offshoring do not necessarily have a negative impact on the company’s activities in the home country. On the basis of the case study results this assumption seems to hold. The impact of particular investment decisions should be considered from different perspectives and over a longer time frame, thereby not ignoring the fact that in the short-run there might be negative effects, like job losses. In the longer-term the effects might be positive, like sustaining and/or expanding business level activities in the home country. In some cases it is said that because of offshoring, European activities can be maintained and new investments can be made. The majority of the companies, allegedly, see it as their societal obligation to keep as much of their activities as possible in Europe, in their home country. Investing in production facilities and in RDI abroad does not necessarily generate negative impacts on the home country. On the contrary, in most of the cases we observed that this goes together with the decision to keep the most technologically advanced parts of production as well as the strategic R&D in Europe. Shifting part of the production (or adding new production capacities) abroad often answers the need of being closer to large, emerging markets and/or of producing at lower costs. In such cases, the company often experiences positive impacts in terms of overall sales, revenues and profit margins, which in turn generate additional means for strategic investments at home (documented evidence for Cases 1, 2, 3, 4, 8, and 9). For instance, in Case 1, the home environment has recently benefited from a company’s investment in a new R&D centre, and the home country continues to be technology-intensive and a very important location to the company (e.g. in terms of patents applications). Despite the international presence of the company in Case 3, the activities in Europe are not closed 52 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities down or downsized as a result, on the contrary. In the European semi-conductors’ industry, and despite the investments abroad, the crucial RDI activities and production lines of the companies are still located in Europe, and both employment and investment levels have been maintained or even increased in the home countries (cases 4 and 9). Even in the case of new investment in front-end production and RDI abroad, we sometimes observe a noticeable difference in investments. In Case 4, front-end production and the associated R&D were moved to Asia (Singapore) where the respective company invested in a high-tech wafer fab. However, this wafer fab is still based on the former industrial standard (200mm), while the only front-end production based on the most recent industrial standard (and technologies, i.e. 300mm) has been kept in Europe. The example of Case 4 and other cases demonstrate how continued investment in the EU’s highest-tech clusters and eco-systems is of crucial importance for both companies and the EU as a whole. Hence, generating corporate profitability to maintain (or increase) large investments in such high-tech eco-systems is probably the largest positive impact that can be made, as it both increases the ‘anchorage’ in the host economy and triggers future additional investments. The importance of the existing industrial structure and high-tech ecosystems as ‘agglomeration forces’ for future investment and locational decision-making has been repeatedly pointed out in the international literature (Weber, 1929; Defever, 2006; Bhatnagar et al., 2005). Another positive impact is that investing in new production facilities abroad may be a springboard to other surrounding regions and markets. Once the local presence has been established, local supply chains consolidated and local human resources trained, the company more easily decides to move forward to other networks, which in turn can leverage additional turnover and profit margins. 4.4.3 Impacts on the ‘host’ country The impacts on the host country are often significant, mainly (but not exclusively) in terms of local employment (Cases 1, 2, 4, 9) at lower cost (see also Defever, 2006). For instance, in Case 1, both the research facility and the production plants in the Eastern European country employ local personnel, meaning that the local impact on employment is substantial. In Case 2, production and R&D staff in both China and India has increased. In Case 4 investments in Singapore, China and other host countries have generated substantial employment in these countries. However, given that in Case 4 the focus on keeping main RDI activities within Europe, the impact of RDI in the host countries is estimated to be fairly low. In Case 9, the construction of the fab in Asia has generated employment in the host country (in the specific case about 30.7% of the global total in 2013 was generated in Malaysia). Besides employment benefits, these investments also contribute to strengthened local innovation development and innovation capabilities. The different impacts are summarised below in terms of importance, thereby making a difference between the impacts of production versus RDI offshoring. 53 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Table 8: Importance of potential impacts related to production delocalisation Impacts Impacts on the home country Impacts on the host country *** ** *** * (in the EU) Increased revenues and profit margin at group’s level Continued investment in upper-end of value chain and in strategic R&D Inducing knowledge absorption capacity Local employment creation Creating a springboard to other surrounding markets * (away from the EU) *** ** *** *** ** Note: Low *, medium **, high *** combinations reflect the importance attached to these factors by the case study interviewees. Table 9: Importance of potential impacts related to RDI delocalisation Impacts Impacts on the home country Impacts on the host country ** * *** *** ** * *** *** * ** (in the EU) Increased revenues and profit margin at group’s level Continued investment in upper-end of value chain and in strategic R&D Inducing knowledge absorption capacity Local employment creation Creating a springboard to other surrounding markets (away from the EU) Note: Low *, medium **, high *** combinations reflect the importance attached to these factors by the case study interviewees. 54 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 5/ Key findings and main policy reflections 5.1 Key findings In total 10 case studies, spread over different countries and sectors, have been selected and extensively analysed in order to explore the motives and explanations behind the geographical (co-)location decisions for R&D, innovation and manufacturing made by the companies involved. On the basis on whether sub-functions of R&D and innovation, and manufacturing have been co-located, and the extent to which, three groups of companies have been distinguished. In Group 1 (‘no co-location’), composed of 5 cases, there is no functionally related production and R&D co-location, meaning that production is not related to/supported by ‘close-by’ R&D activities), despite the existence of offshore manufacturing activity. Group 2 (‘partial co-location’) is composed of 2 cases where there is only partial colocation (i.e. mostly development and adjustment capabilities are offshored close to the production activity). In group 3 (‘full co-location’) there are 3 cases where co-location is functionally based (i.e. full R&D capability is co-located with production on the basis of mutual reinforcement and support). The ex-post grouping of cases on the basis of the co-location intensity and the subsequent analysis thereof, leads to a number of important findings. As product and production complexity increase, and the market demands fast innovations, the propensity to co-locate manufacturing and R&D and innovation activities increases as well. On the one hand, the specific case study findings show that the general assumption that once manufacturing activities are offshored, sooner or later R&D and innovation activities will follow as well, does not hold for all investigated sectors or firms. On the other hand, there are clear and strong indications that as manufacturing and production complexity increase, or when the market is highly demanding in terms of innovation intensity, the need to partially or fully co-locate R&D and/or innovation with manufacturing increases as well29. This has also been pointed out by the High Level Group on KETs in its 2013 status implementation report (European Commission, 2013), thereby also referring to the increasing co-location requirements in Asia, as also pointed out in several of the case studies. In Group 2 (‘partial co-location’) and 3 (‘full colocation’) we see that different R&D activities, development support in particular, are closely located to production activities for manufacturing support and local market adaptation requests. Manufacturing complexity and market demand hence are clear driving forces behind full or partial co-location. 29 As also illustrated by the results of a survey targeting more than 100 managers from 54 manufacturing companies (McKinsey, 2012) 55 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Consideration of the co-location of some of the activities in the R&D spectrum (partial co-location) provides a more detailed and fine-tuned insight, and a more accurate reflection of reality. The on-going debate on R&D, innovation and production co-location can be strengthened by a more detailed perspective on which R&D activities in particular are more sensitive to ‘co-location’. The spectrum of R&D activities contains research (to develop basic innovations), platform, application and process development (aiming to develop product platforms and/or adjust products to regional markets and customers), and production support (aiming to solve technical problems and ensure continuation of manufacturing). Depending on the activities involved, different degrees of co-location can be observed in light of market, product and production characteristics and demands. Previous research (Simon et al., 2008) indicates that full co-location, where all R&D phases take place at the manufacturing site, only occurs at long established locations that serve as knowledge centres for an entire sector, reflecting the shift of an entire industry locus or value chain. Interesting to note is that the majority of the companies spoken to aim to keep strategic research activities in Europe. The case study findings indeed confirm that the location of (strategic) research activities is strongly driven by access to strong knowledge ecosystems (composed of top research and technology development centres) and top-talent. Once embedded in such an ecosystem, assuming its worldwide excellence is maintained, it will be difficult if not impossible for a firm to unplug from that ecosystem. The story is different when it concerns development activities, the location of which is largely dictated by product and production complexity and market demands. In other words, the drivers behind the location of R&D and innovation activities, in terms of co-location with manufacturing, differ strongly. Specific location characteristics can have a strong ‘pull’ effect on R&D, innovation and/or production location decisions. For R&D, access to top-knowledge and talent prevail; for production, cost, value chain, and market proximity considerations prevail. When considering the location of new investments, or the relocation of existing activities, a wide spectrum of factors play a role. Existing literature on the topic provides two distinguished perspectives on the role of pull or push factors. The first is the economist’s perspective, presenting a locational ‘pull’ vision whereby companies are pulled to a certain location, and the second is the organisational scholars’ perspective, which takes an industry and firm perspective, mainly basing itself on the cross-functional interdependencies between production and R&D activities. Pull or push factors can either motivate the company to move away from the home country (‘push’) and/or motivate the company to move into a particular location (‘pull’). A location decision is usually taken at the complex interplay between pull and push factors. The case studies point out that firms are sensitive to particular pull factors. The most important pull factors for production location decisions are: proximity to customers (market) and suppliers (value chain perspective), cost considerations, incentive schemes, and business friendly administration. For R&D and innovation, the most important pull factors are: access to knowledge/technology ecosystems and complementary competences, access to skilled workforce, thereby complemented by R&D tax incentive schemes. Especially for R&D intensive firms, access to knowledge and technologies is vital. If the knowledge is not available in the home country then there are different ways to insource it, ranging from collaboration agreements (at a distance) 56 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities to physically locating an R&D facility where the knowledge is available (in the right ecosystem). The size of the market is also important for the location of development activities, as the costs of adaptive R&D can more easily be recovered in larger markets with stronger demand and consequently larger revenues. To put this in perspective of the identified groups of companies, based on their colocation behaviour, companies that do not co-locate R&D with production (Group 1 ‘no co-location’), R&D location decisions are taken based on the strength of local ecosystems, access to top-talent and public support; i.e. independently from manufacturing considerations. Instead, for full co-location (Group 3 ‘full co-location’) market and manufacturing proximity is crucial, while access to top talent is not explicitly mentioned as a factor of importance. Access to new knowledge and technologies appears to be a top driving factor only for firms that offshore part of their development and adjustment capabilities (Group 2 ‘partial co-location’). Government incentives are not often the primary decision making factor when it comes to making new investments. However, they do play an important and often decisive role when deciding upon investments between equally suitable locations. A recent study (European Commission, 2013b) on the international market distortion in the area of KETs has concluded that several competitor countries provide significant incentives (grants, fiscal, loans and free land) in order to attract EU investments in KETs manufacturing. The study indicates that for all investment decisions concerned, an equally suitable location in Europe was possible, but that investment incentives were decisive for the respective decisions made (being outside Europe). This case study results, however, do not provide clear evidence that investment incentives provided by a certain region or country, are the primary and/or triggering factor for re-locating existing manufacturing or R&D activities, or investing in new locations. Other factors like political stability, market characteristics, infrastructure, knowledge ecosystems and talent, are often of higher importance as a triggering factor to consider new investment options. Investment incentives, nevertheless, play a decisive role in the final decision between two or more equally suitable and interesting investment locations, as also illustrated in the above-mentioned study. The impact of offshoring or co-location of production and R&D activities on the home or host country varies in terms of type of impact and in terms of intensity over time. The case study results point out different impacts on both the home and host country. In the home country several companies have indicated that because of offshored activities, the level and intensity of EU activities could be maintained. Knowledge transfer back to the home country has been another often heard effect, especially in case of R&D offshoring. For the host country, offshoring brings along a number of impacts as well, ranging from new employment creation to the development of new or the strengthening of existing R&D or production ecosystems. The impacts should be considered from different perspectives and over a longer time frame, thereby not ignoring the fact that in the short-run there might be negative effects, like job losses, for Europe or the home country. In the long-term, the effects might be positive (sustaining and/or expanding business level activities in the home country). 57 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 5.2 Main policy reflections In view of the significant heterogeneity of the selected case studies it is not possible to make strong recommendations. There is nevertheless a common set of emerging issues that deserve further (continued) policy attention: First of all, monitoring focused on particular groups of firms is important. In particular, closely following the activities of firms in highly R&D intensive sectors and the developments in their markets is essential. The case study results show that product and production complexity, and market demand, drive the need to co-locate development and manufacturing activities, with an increasing risk of co-location of strategic research activities over time as well, in case the industry locus shifts. In that respect, the Group 2 companies (‘partial co-location’) are very relevant as they have co-located and offshored part of their development activities, but still have development and strategic research activities in Europe. Secondly, Europe should keep focusing on excellence, in terms of available knowledge, research infrastructure and human capital. Strategic R&D investment decisions are strongly driven by stocks of knowledge and technology, and access to human capital. The presence of world class ecosystems is key to keep R&D and innovation activities in Europe and to attract new investments from abroad. For this to happen, skills are essential, particularly maintaining a high level of education and training also as a way to attract the best talent to Europe. Strengthening Europe’s scientific and technological base by achieving a European Research Area, in which researchers, knowledge and technology circulate freely, reflects this point very well. The efforts towards the realisation of the European Research Area and the bundling of resources should be maintained. Thirdly, the case studies confirm the role of the market and the characteristics of market demand in location decisions for production and R&D. This emphasises the importance of deployment and manufacturing in Europe in light of a potential strong European market. In view of the key role that the market plays in offshoring and location investments, the achievement of the full potential of the European Single Market, through an improved and harmonised legislation is essential to allow companies to turn the Single market into a ‘local’ one. Furthermore, supporting the creation of new markets through public procurement and lead market creation initiatives deserves priority, especially there where Europe has a strong scientific and technological base and commercial deployment is required. Fourthly, there is no doubt about the importance of strong incentive packages, and a global level playing field for manufacturing and RDI investment activities. Government incentives can make the difference when a company has to decide between two potential locations with equal strengths. Further coordination is needed on two levels. 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A Survey of Factors in Multinational R&D Location”, National Academies Press, Washington DC UNCTAD (2009), “World Investment Prospects Survey 2009-2011”, available at http://unctad.org/en/docs/diaeia20098_en.pdf 61 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Annexes 62 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 1/ Literature review The literature review report is available as a separate report. 63 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 2/ Data analysis report The data analysis report is available as a separate report. 64 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 3/ Case study questionnaire Block 1 (Facts on the location decision/investment) 1. On the investment (involving a location decision): a. Type of investment and reasoning: Offshoring of production Offshoring of R&D& innovation activities (RDI) Co-location of production and RDI Did it concern substitution or complementing of existing activities? Substitution: Existing activities were cancelled and offshored Complementing: New investments were made at an offshore location b. Country, region, city and sector c. Number of employees, size of site, organisation and management structure (both in the ‘new’ location and overall) d. Activity profile, products, purpose of the new/relocated facility If production: which markets does the facility serve? Is the facility used for production of intermediate or final goods? - If intermediate, where does the next production step take place? - If final, which market does the facility serve? - Is the facility a pilot plant, or can it be considered a lead plant? If RDI: what role does the facility play in the global RDI activities of the company and which specific RDI sub-activities have been delocalised Production support Process development Application development Platform development Research If combination of the above, please explain e. Was there already any firm activity in the host country prior to this decision, and when? Production, in [year]… RDI (which sub activity), in [year]… Co-location, in [year]… f. What were the investment cost and funding modalities? g. What is the current status of the investment (still under construction, whether it is expanding, profitable)? h. Has your investment triggered other/alternative offshoring effects or modalities (e.g. offshoring of production and innovation activity outsourced in the host country, cooperation contracts etc.) Block 2 (Organisational characteristics and factors) 2.1 Strategic considerations 2. What are the overall main strategic considerations underlying the investment (what is the ‘main story’)? 3. How does the investment link to the production-market-innovation strategy of the company? What are the objectives? 65 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities 4. Reconstruction of the strategic milestones and decisions in the context of the investment dossier along the time line? Which considerations were made (financial, market, other) at which point in time? Which internal and/or external stakeholders (or types of stakeholders) were involved? 2.2. Technology and innovativeness levels 5. How RDI intensive is the company (in % of annual turnover)? How does the (low or high) RDI intensity relates to your past (and future) RDI location decisions? 6. How important is it for the company to localise close to innovative communities or ecosystems? What are the characteristics of these communities, both in the home and host country? 7. What information/intelligence did the company use to localise innovation activities – how important was this information for the company decision? 2.3 Product and production complexity 8. Please elaborate on the product and production complexity (by reflecting on levels of customisation/adaptation needed) and how this has influenced the investment? 9. On a scale of 1 (not at all) to 5 (fully): a. How does the product and production complexity influence the degree of co-location between RDI and production? Please further elaborate on that. b. To which extent did the RDI intensity and activity pushed the company to co-locate production and RDI? Block 3 (Environmental factors of importance) 3.1 Location characteristics 10.In general, which factors did you consider while making the investment in the ‘host’ country (‘pull’ perspective)? (please scale from most important to least important) National or regional characteristics and strengths (e.g. political governance, political situation, corruption, general education level (skilled workforce), scientific and technological strengths, agglomeration tendencies and political stability) Cost factors like transportation cost, labour costs, raw materials, taxation structure, RDI and other types of subsidies relieving costs Societal aspects Trade regulations or barriers Other, e.g. purely strategic 11. Host country choice, factors underlying this decision: a. Did any of these factors made it easier for you to leave the ‘home’ country (‘push’ perspective)? Which ones? Could you list them in order of importance? b. Were other locations considered in addition to the one finally chosen? If yes, which ones? Which factor(s) forced the breakthrough? How do you judge the role and importance of local cluster and ecosystems? Could you list them in order of importance? 12.Did you have any direct dialogue with the regional/national/EU authorities (on e.g. available support instruments) in the ‘home’ country prior to deciding to delocalise? And with the ‘Host’ country? 13.What kinds of support or incentives did you receive from the ‘host’ country in connection with the investment? (please scale from most important to least important) 66 Relationship between the localisation of production, R&D and innovation activities Support services (advice, help in connection with selection of location, building, recruitment, tax advice, etc.) Grants Loan or loan guarantees Tax breaks Provision of goods, land, or buildings Supporting investments by the recipient country in tailor-made education/training, research etc. Other, e.g. special treatment, bilateral agreement with the company, etc. 14.Could the EU or your home Member State (or Region) have done anything differently to keep the investment within the EU? What in particular? 3.2 Industry sector & value chain characteristics 15.How would you describe your industry and sector, by reflecting on: a. The overall value chain (upstream/downstream, strategic segments) b. Existing cluster and ecosystems c. Dependency on suppliers 16. Influence of value chain and dependency of suppliers on the de-localisation decision: a. How did the position of your company-product and/or the characteristics of your ‘global’ value chain influenced the investment decision? b. Which part of the production/RDI was influenced and/or delocalised (if not already discussed above)? 3.3 The market 17.Could you illustrate the main characteristics of the markets you are active on, e.g. size, structure, integration in the region, differentiation, high-tech intensive, etc.? How have these characteristics influenced the investment, and in particular the location thereof? 18.In your investment (location decision), how do market considerations relate to costs considerations? a. Market considerations are much less/much more important than costs considerations? Block 4: Concluding questions 19.What are the future perspectives for the investment? Would you consider to ‘re-locate’ the investment back to EU? Your home country? Hypothetically speaking, what would be needed to do so? 20.Do you consider this investment decision as a success? At this point, would you make this investment in the same way? What could be improved (in the decision making process)? 21.What is the ‘impact’ of this investment decision on the activities of the firm: a. in the home country (RDI investment, employment, revenue, sales) b. in the host country (RDI investment, employment, revenue, sales) 22.What is the ‘impact’ of this investment decision on your company’s activities still taking place in Europe (if any)? 23.How could Europe become/stay an attractive location for investment in production 24.How could Europe become/stay an attractive location for investment in RDI? 67
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