Chapter 10 Balance of Payments 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 1/38 Chapter 10 Balance of Payments Key terms: 1. Balance of payments (国际收支平衡表) 2. Capital account (资本账户) 3. Credit transactions (贷方交易) 4. Deficit in the balance of payments (国际收支赤字) 5. Debit transactions (借方交易) 6. Official reserve account (官方储备帐户) 7. Capital inflow (资本流入) 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 2/38 Continued: Key terms: 8. Surplus in the balance of payments (国际收支顺差) 9. Capital outflow (资本流出) 10. Official settlements balance (官方结算平衡) 11. Double-entry bookkeeping (复式簿记) 12. Autonomous transactions (自主性交易) 13. Unilateral transfers (单方面转移) 14. Accommodating transactions (融通性交易) 15. Statistical discrepancy (统计误差) 16. International investment position (国际投资状况) 17. Current account (经常项目) 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 3/38 Chapter 10 Balance of Payments Aims of the chapter: 1. Understand what the balance of payments is 2. What is the balance of payments measures 3. Understand the meaning of disequilibrium in international transactions 4. Know how to measure a deficit or a surplus in nation’s balance of payments 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 4/38 10.1 Introduction In parts One to Three of the text, we dealt the “real” side of the economy. Money was not explicitly considered, and the discussion was in terms of relative commodity prices. When trade occurs between two nations, many types of financial transactions are also recorded on a summary statement called balance of payments. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 5/38 Continued: 10.1 Introduction From now we are examining the “monetary” aspects of international economics, or international finance— money is explicitly brought into the picture. That is the commodity prices are expressed in terms of domestic and foreign currency units. We begin our exploration of international finance by considering the nature and significance of a nation’s balance of payments. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 6/38 10.2 The balance of payments: definition and use 1. Definition of the balance of payments (nature) The balance of payments is a summary statement in which, in principle, all the transactions of the residents of a nation with the residents of all other nations are recorded during a particular period of time, usually over the course of a one-calendar-year periods. 国际收支平衡表是一个扼要的表述,原则上它是一国居 民与其他国家居民在一段特定的时间内(通常是一年)发生 的所有交易的记录。 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 7/38 Continued: 10.2 The balance of payments: definition and use 2. Purposes of the balance of payments (significance) (1) to inform the government of the international position of the nation; (2) to help it in its formulation of monetary, fiscal, and trade policies; 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 8/38 Continued: Purposes of the balance of payments (3)Governments also regularly consult the balance of payments of important trade partners in making policy decisions; (4)The information contained in a nation’s balance of payments is also indispensable to banks, firms and individuals directly or indirectly involved in international trade and finance. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 9/38 Continued: 10.2 The balance of payments: definition and use 3. An international transaction It refers to the exchange of goods, services, or assets between the residents of one nation and the residents of other nations. But who is a resident of a nation. What is meant by the term resident? 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 10/38 Continued: 10.2 The balance of payments: definition and use 4. Residents (1) military personnel, (2) government diplomats, (3) tourists, and (4) workers who emigrate temporarily are considered residents of the country in which they hold citizenship. ----they are home residents. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 11/38 Continued: Residents (5) a corporation is the resident of the nation in which it is incorporated (foreign resident), but (6) the corporation’s foreign branches or subsidiaries are not (they are home residents). (7) UN, IMF, the World Bank, and WTO etc., the international institutions are not residents of the nation in which they are located. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 12/38 10.3 Balance-of-payments accounting principles: credits and debits International transactions are classified as credits or debits. 1. Credits transactions (贷方交易) Credits transactions are those that result in the receipt of payments from foreigners, entered with a positive sign. (贷方交易是从外国人那里收款的交易,记帐符号为正号). Export of goods and services, unilateral transfers (gifts) received from foreigners, and capital inflows are entered as credits (+) 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 13/38 Continued: 10.3 Balance-of-payments accounting principles: credits and debits 2. Debits transactions (借方交易) Debits transactions are those that involve the making of payments to foreigners, entered with a negative sign (借 方交易是指向国外付款的交易,记帐符号为负号) Import of goods and services, unilateral transfers of gifts made to foreigners, and capital outflows involve payments to foreigners are entered as debit (-) 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 14/38 Continued: 10.3 Balance-of-payments accounting principles: credits and debits 3. Capital inflows (资本流入) ★An increase in foreign assets in the nation or ★ a reduction in the nation’s assets abroad. 4. Capital outflows (资本流出) ★An increase in the nation’ assets abroad or ★ a reduction in foreign assets in the nation. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 15/38 Continued: 10.3 Balance-of-payments accounting principles: credits and debits Illustration of the capital inflow and capital out flow: ★ when a foreign resident purchases a U.S. stock, foreign assets in the U.S. increase. This is a capital inflow and is recorded as a credit in the U.S. balance of payments because it involves the receipt of a payment from a foreigner. ★ Capital inflow can also take the form of a reduction in the nation’s assets abroad. When a U.S. resident sells a foreign stock, U.S. assets abroad decrease. This is a capital inflow into the U.S. because it too involves the receipt of a payment from foreigners. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 16/38 Continued: 10.3 Balance-of-payments accounting principles: credits and debits An example: Take the U.S as an example: the distinction is clarified when we assume that transactions take place between U.S. residents and foreigners and that all payments are financed in dollars. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 17/38 Continued: An example: From the U.S. perspective, the following transactions are credits(+), leading to receipts of dollars from foreigners. (1) Merchandise exports (2) Transportation and travel receipts (3) Income received from foreign residents (4) Gifts received from foreign residents (5) Aid received from foreign governments (6) Investments in the U.S. by overseas residents (7) Capital inflows These entries are entered as credits. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 18/38 Continued: An example: Conversely, the following transactions are debits (-) from the U.S. point of view because they involve payments to foreigners. (1) Merchandise imports (2) Transportation and travel expenditures (3) Income paid on investments of foreigners (4) Gifts to foreign residents (5) Aid given by the U.S. governments (6) Overseas investments by the U.S. residents (7) Capital outflows These entries are entered as debits. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 19/38 10. 4 Double-entry bookkeeping In recording a nation’s international transactions, the accounting procedure known as double-entry bookkeeping is used. This means that each international transaction is recorded twice, once as a credit and once as a debit of an equal amount. The reason for this is that in general every transaction has two sides. We sell something and we receive payment for it. We buy something and we have to pay for it. The following examples illustrate the double-entry bookkeeping technique. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 20/38 10. 4 Double-entry bookkeeping Example 1 Suppose that a U.S. firm exports $500 worth of goods to be paid for in three months. The export is entered in the U.S. balance of payment as a credit transaction because it will lead to the receipt of a payment from foreigners. The payment itself is also entered as capital debit because it represents a capital outflow from the U.S. That is, by agreeing to wait three months for payments, the U.S. exporter is extending credit to, and has acquired a claim on, the foreign importer. This is an increase in U.S. assets abroad and a debit. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 21/38 Example 1 Goods exports Capital outflow 2017/7/31 Credit(+) $500 国际经济贸易学院 Debit(-) $500 赵有广 10 - 22/38 Example 2 Suppose a U.S. resident visits London and spends $200 on hotels,meals, and so on. ★First the U.S. debits travel services for $200. Because the U.S. resident is purchasing travel services from foreigners requiring a payment, which is similar to a U.S. import. ★ The payment itself is then entered as a credit because it represents an increasing in foreigner claims on the United States 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 23/38 Example 2 Credit(+) Travel services purchased from foreigners Capital inflow 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 Debit(-) $200 $200 10 - 24/38 Example 3 Assume that the U.S. government gives a U.S. bank balance of $100 to the government of a developing nation as part of the U.S. aid program. ★The United States debits unilateral transfers for the $100 gift given (payment made) to foreigners. ★The payment itself is the U.S. bank balance given to the government of the developing nation. This represents an increase in foreign claims on, or foreign assets in, the United States and is recorded as a capital inflow, or credit, in the U.S. balance of payments. The entire transaction is thus: 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 25/38 Example 3 Credit(+) Unilateral transfer made Capital inflow 2017/7/31 Debit(-) $100 $100 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 26/38 Example 4 Suppose that U.S. resident purchases a foreign stocks for $400 and pay for it by increasing foreign bank balances in the U.S. ★The purchase of the foreign stock increase U.S. assets abroad. This is a capital outflow from the United States and is recorded as a capital debit of $400 in the U.S. balance of payments. ★The increase in foreign bank balance in the United States is an increase in foreign assets in the United States (a capital inflow to the United States) and is entered as a credit in the U.S. balance of payments. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 27/38 Example 4 Credit(+) Capital outflow (the purchase of the foreign stock by the U.S. resident) Capital inflow (the increase in foreign bank balances in the U.S.) 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 Debit(-) $400 $400 赵有广 10 - 28/38 Example 5 Suppose that a foreign investor purchases $300 of U.S. treasury bills and pays by drawing down his bank balances in the U.S. by an equal amount. ★ The purchase of the U.S. treasury bills increases foreign assets in the United States. This is a capital inflow to the United States and is recorded as a credit in the U.S. balance of payments. ★The drawing down of U.S. bank balances by the foreigner is a reduction in foreign assets in the United States. This is a capital outflow from the United States and is recorded as a capital outflow of the U.S. balance of payments, the debit. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 29/38 Example 5 Credit(+) Capital inflow (the purchase of U.S. treasure bills by a foreigner) Capital outflow (the reduction in foreign bank balance in the U.S.) 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 Debit(-) $300 $300 赵有广 10 - 30/38 Summary of the example 1- 5 If we assume that these five transactions are all the international transactions of the United States during the year, then the U.S. balance of payments is as follows: 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 31/38 Summary of the example 1- 5 Credit(+) $500 Goods Services Unilateral transfer made Capital net Total debits and credits $500 Debit(-) $200 100 200 $500 $200=-$500+$200+$100-$400+$400+$300-$300 The net capital debit balance of -$200 is obtained by adding together the seven entries previously examined separately. Total debits equal credits because of double-entry bookkeeping. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 32/38 10. 5 The international transactions of the United States Table 10.1 presents a summary of the international transactions of the United States for the year 2002. In the table, credits are entered with positive signs and debits with negative signs. 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 33/38 10. 6 The international transactions of the United States Exports of goods, services, and income 1,230 Imports of goods, services, and income -1,652 Unilateral transfers, net -59 U.S.-owned assets abroad, net (increase/financial outflow(-)) -179 Foreign-owned assets in the U.S., net (increase/financial inflow(+)) 707 Statistical discrepancy -47 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 34/38 13.3 Accounting Balances and Disequilibrium in International Transactions • Current account lumps together all sales and purchases of currently produced goods and services, investment incomes, and unilateral transfers and provides the link between the nation’s international transactions and its income level. • Capital account measures the change in the stock of all nonreserve financial assets, that is, the change in U.S.-owned assets abroad and foreign-owned assets in the U.S., other than official reserve assets. The justification for excluding official reserve assets from the capital account is that changes in reserve assets reflect government policy rather than market forces. 35 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 35/38 • Autonomous transactions refers to all the transactions in the current and capital accounts. It is so called because they take place for business or profit motives(except for unilateral transfer ) and independently of balance-of-payments considerations— sometimes referred to as “the items above the line”. • On the other hand, transactions in official reserve assets are called accommodating transactions or “the items below the line”, because they result from,and needed to balance, international transactions.The accommodating items form the official reserve account, and the balance on the official reserve account is called official settlements balance. 36 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 36/38 • A deficit in the balance of payments can be measured either by the excess of debits over credits in the current and capital accounts, or by the excess of credits over debits in the official reserve account. • A surplus in the balance of payments occurs when a nation’s total credits exceed its total debits in the current and capital accounts and is settled by an equal debit balance in the official reserve account. Income runs behind one’s expenditure 37 (end of chapter 13) 2017/7/31 国际经济贸易学院 赵有广 10 - 37/38
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