FEEDBACK PARAMETERS Let Ts= global mean surface air temperature R= net flux of heat into the climate system ΔRf = change in R due to some change in the forcing, e.g., a doubling of CO2 ΔTs = equilibrium change in Ts due to ΔRf Define Feedback parameters: 0 R Ts i R Ts f i assuming the structure of the climate system is fixed due to changes in the structure i = 1, 2, 3, … i 0 stabilizing , i 0 destabilizing If the perturbation is small then Ts R f n 0 i FEEDBACKS AFFECTING CLIMATE SENSITIVITY Stefan-Boltzmann Law (negative, λ = 3.3 W/m2/K) ii. Water Vapor Feedback (positive, λ = 1 to 1.5 W/m2/K) iii. Ice/Snow Albedo Feedback (positive, λ = 0.1 to 0.5 W/m2/K) iv. Cloud Feedback (λ = ?) i. The equilibrium global mean SAT warming for a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), or ‘equilibrium climate sensitivity’, is likely to lie in the range 2°C to 4.5°C, with a most likely value of about 3°C. IPCC 4AR Chapter 10
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