Alok Mukherjee Monitoring PM2.5 and Air Quality in Beijing, China Abstract Beijing, China is a highly populated city located in the northeast of mainland China, reported at 21,510,000 residents as of 2013, whose air quality is currently poor due to high levels of urban smog generated by neighboring industries. The primary motivation for the further study of air quality in China comes mainly from the impact of this smog on human health, and concern for the residents of Beijing who are regularly exposed to these air quality conditions. This proposal plans to focus on the monitoring of smog-related particles, PM2.5, or particulate matter measuring 2.5 microns in diameter or smaller, as a main contributor of urban smog in Beijing, where, although various data sets exist in the form of single point, ground based sensing monitors, a more comprehensive view of the geographic distribution of air quality in Beijing could be determined through the application of remote sensing techniques like satellite monitoring. This data would be desirable both in order to increase awareness of air quality hazards on human health as well as to critique the ground based sensor data already existing. Introduction Historic air quality conditions recorded by the US embassy in China based on the concentration of PM2.5 are most commonly reported through the Air Quality Index (AQI) which categorizes the state of air quality on a 0 to 500 scale from good to hazardous. According to the embassy data, between 2008 and 2014, hourly readings of PM2.5 concentration recorded at least 1,812 days of AQI readings which were at least “unhealthy” leading to concern for the exposed residents (1). Sources of PM2.5 as well as other air pollutants have been linked to major contributors such as road dust, motor vehicles emissions, and coal burning, both within the city limits and from industries outside Beijing, leading to a relationship between aerosol-producing activities and the effect on local AQI (2). Furthermore, long term effects on citizen health due to exposure to PM2.5 have estimated mortality rates of 5100 individuals per year in Beijing from the period of 2001 to 2010 caused by PM2.5 related illnesses such as respiratory complications, highlighting the seriousness of this issue (3). On top of the point-based sensing techniques implemented by organizations such as the US embassy in Beijing, currently several models have been developed concerning the geographical distribution of air quality and PM2.5 through the integration of multiple land based sensors providing a network of air quality predictions across the area over time. These models are, for the most part, derived from ground based monitoring data which each cover individual points throughout the country of China, creating a network-like map through interpolating data points and climate inputs. This methodology is in some respect limited based on the number of sensors available as well as the accessibility of the data depending on the party owning them. Satellite data on the other hand, is publically available and can fill in some of the gaps where sensors are not located on the ground, creating a more comprehensive perspective of the geographical distribution of smog-related particles and their relation to the environment. Literature Review Leading data sources relating air quality in the city of Beijing that are accessible to the public include the US embassy’s PM2.5 concentration data, though the data itself has not been fully validated and is considered preliminary (4). Additionally, this data is based on a single site in Beijing, and cannot be used by itself to construct a map of PM2.5 concentration’s geographical distribution. NASA’s Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) works similarly by using multiple ground based sensors across countries like China to determine the amount of incoming solar radiation which can be compared with the known true solar radiation reaching the earth to calculate the aerosol optical depth (AOD) or portion of optical depth than is restricted due to aerosol concentrations such as PM2.5. Although AERONET data can be used in conjunction with climate dependent variables like boundary layer height and relative humidity to produce a measurement of PM2.5 air quality data over the area covered by their sites, this map too is limited in the number of available AERONET sites; currently only two operational sites exist within the city of Beijing itself (5). Other air quality ground based sampling sites which exist within the country of China include a reported 1500 sites creating China’s own national system in monitoring PM2.5 as well as several other pollutants in the atmosphere (6). This data however is, for the most part, not publicly available due to download restrictions of the official Chinese air quality reporting system, and must be supported by third party sensors such as those at the US embassy in Beijing in order to model geographic air quality distributions. Overall, it appears that ground based monitoring of PM2.5 and AOD are either limited by insufficient sourcing sites or inaccessibility to concentration data as much of the data is restricted from the public view. Even though geographical distribution models can be determined using the accumulated air quality data that is publicly available, the air quality picture generated through using the ground based sensors is not fully detailed. Methodology The application of remote sensing by satellite monitoring of local air quality for aerosol pollution is based on the relationship between PM2.5 and AOD. The basic relationship is based on the amount of radiation is scattered and absorbed by aerosol particles in the atmosphere. This diminishes the amount of sunlight reaching the earth surface, and can be compared with the known solar radiation reaching the earth to create a function for AOD proportional to the concentration of PM2.5. Using this relationship, columnar AOD measured through satellite sensing can be used to estimate ground-level fine particulate matter (PM2.5) at an accurate rate (3), to then be applied on a regional scale to create a map of the geographical distribution of PM2.5 and its effect on air quality and human health. A multitude of earth orbiting devices currently exist gathering imaging data. NASA’s Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectro-radiometer (MODIS), at an LEO orbit of 705 km, achieves a 2,330 km swath and is able to provide both land and sea coverage every one to two days (7), allowing for many applications such as the MODIS aerosol product used to study sources and sinks of specific aerosol types on both land and sea surfaces. MODIS is capable of a spatial resolution of 500m to 1000m depending on bandwidth (7), ideal for covering 16,800 km2 of area covered by the city of Beijing, and could be used as a source of public archived data for the history of air quality in Beijing over the past decade as well as in the future. Sample data imaging of aerosol spatial distribution developed by MODIS over the ocean can be seen in Fig. 1 (8). MODIS coverage over land can be used through retrieval algorithms to get from AOD to PM2.5 concentrations. These PM2.5 concentrations after being tracked by both time, and geographical distribution, can then be compared with concentrations recorded by ground sensors such as AERONET. The two possible outcomes after achieving this satellite data would its agreement with the existing AERONET data, where the two could supplement each other, or a disagreement in values which would require further analysis. Expected Results Advantages of MODIS aerosol product data include its ability to create a full spatial scan of the distribution of AOD across an area which ground sensors alone can only model through integrating a limited number of discrete points. We would expect MODIS to correlate on the whole with the geographical air quality distribution models already in effect, but also to contribute through new data to supplement locations where no sampling devices are available for public access. When used alongside AERONET and US embassy data who are advantageous as well through their ability to record readings hourly regardless of time of day or cloud cover, a fuller understanding of both the historical and future spatial distribution of PM2.5 and air quality will be available for presentation to the Chinese government who may choose to consider these readings against their own private data. Timeline Task 1: Data Gathering 1.1 AERONET data archives 1.2 MODIS data archives Months 1 2 3 4 5 6 Task 2: Data Analysis 2.1 Retrieval of PM2.5 from AERONET AOD 2.2 Retrieval of PM2.5 MODIS AOD 2.3 Comparisons between AERONET and MODIS Task 3: Final Report 3.1 Creation of new PM2.5 map 3.2 Presentation to Chinese government officials Conclusion The sum of the information gathered by various remote sensing data techniques is able to create a sense for the overall geographic distribution of PM2.5 across the densely populated area of Beijing, China. By using the advantages of satellite sensing technology such as MODIS whose ability to cover both wide and specific areas to compensate for the lack of ground based sensing monitors, a fuller appreciation for the state of air quality in Beijing could be achieved for public use, both for the residents in Beijing and for the Chinese government to compare with their own results. It should be highlighted that this publically available satellite column based data gathering of AOD is limited by its own inability to perform its function without daylight and during periods of dense cloud cover and should be supplemented itself by ground based sensors such as AERONET and the US embassy in Beijing through their ability to record hourly readings of PM2.5 concentration and AOD. References 1. “Six years of Beijing air pollution summed up in one scary chart” Quarts. Web. http://qz.com/197786/six-years-of-bejing-air-pollution-summed-up-in-one-scary-chart/. 2. Sun, Y., Zhuang, G., Wang, Y., Han, L., Guo, J., Dan, M., Zhang, W., Wang, Z., & Hao, Z,. (2004). The air-borne particulate pollution in Beijing—concentration, composition, distribution and sources. Atmospheric Environment, 38:5991–6004, doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2004.07.009 3. Zheng, S., Pozzer, A. C., Cao, C. X., & Lelieveld, J. (2015). Long-term (2001–2012) concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and the impact on human health in Beijing, China. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15:5715–5725, doi: 10.5194/acp-15-5715-2015 4. “Air Quality Data Files” StateAir. Web. <http://www.stateair.net/web/assets/USDOS_AQDataFilesFactSheet.pdf>. 5. “AERONET Site Information Map Interface” AERONET. Web. <http://aeronet.gsfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/site_info>. 6. Rohde R. A., & Muller R. A. (2015). Air Pollution in China: Mapping of Concentrations and Sources PLoS ONE, 10(8): e0135749, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0135749 7. “Specifications.” MODIS. Web. <http://modis.gsfc.nasa.gov/about/specifications.php>. 8. “Sample Images.” MODIS Atmosphere. Web. <http://modisatmos.gsfc.nasa.gov/MOD04_L2/sample.html>. 9. Feng, X., Li, Q., Zhu, Y,. Hou, J,. Jin., L., & Wang, J. (2015). Artificial neural networks forecasting of PM2.5 pollution using air mass trajectory based geographic model and wavelet transformation. Atmospheric Environment, 107:118-128, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2015.02.030 10. Hoff, R. M., & Christopher, S. A. (2009). Remote Sensing of Particulate Pollution from Space: Have We Reached the Promised Land? Air & Waste Manage. Assoc., 59:645– 675, doi: 10.3155/1047-3289.59.6.645 11. Thurston, G. D., & Spengler, J. D. (1967). A quantitative assessment of source contributions to inhalable particulate matter pollution in metropolitan Boston. Atmospheric Environment, 19:9-25, doi: 10.1016/0004-6981(85)90132-5 Budget and Justification Salaries and fringe benefits for both the principle investigator and one graduate student were based on values dictated by the university applied to half a year. Since no field work or special equipment is necessary for this project, a timeline of 6 months versus a full year was used for supervising progress where the major components of the project include data analysis and presentation of findings. Proposal Budget 15-Jun 1 Salaries Principal Investigator Graduate Students (1) Ac. Sem. Stipend Summer Stipend Health Insurance GRA exclusion 2 Fringe Benefits AY E 1250 summer E 1250 Base Salary 10,000 /mo 10,000 /mo Dec-15 Ac. Yr 0.25 summer 0.25 Ac. Yr. 3 E 12,662 summer 3 E 4,225 Health Ins. 6 E 1,400 E 7375 rates Ac. Sem. Stipend 0.375 0.375 468.75 468.75 tuition Ac. Yr. 29,500 25,324 summer health ins. 8,449 2,800 1 1.125 Exclusions GRA Exclusion Health Insurance 7375 subtotal Total Yearly Cost 1,400 8775 20,324 Project Total 11,549 % of tuition # grad students 0.50 1
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