Energy poverty across the EU: main characteristics and the urgency of the issue Ute Dubois ISG Business School, Paris [email protected] Energy poverty seen by the energy poor Mrs. X. (tenant in social housing in a suburb of Paris) in a meeting on an energy poverty identification programme, 31st January, 2017. “In some neighbourhoods, it’s a misery, it is cold, there is damp, when we open the windows it gets even colder. The landlord has installed patches, but it smells because it continues growing, I don’t know, I think of mushrooms”. Introduction • Over the past decade, there has been a considerable amount of – Research, – Experimentations, and – Policy developments in the energy poverty field • Objective of this presentation: – Discuss what we have learnt and what we don’t know for the moment – Show the magnitude of the problem for two groups of vulnerable households Outline 1. The definition and measurement of energy poverty 2. The various forms of energy poverty 3. How people adapt (or not) 4. Identification is an issue in itself 5. The policy dimension 6. Urgency of the issue ➢ Energy poverty indicators for two vulnerable groups 1. The definition and measurement of energy poverty • There has been considerable progress in our knowledge on energy poverty – At EU level: Research on the characterisation and measurement (EPEEE in 2007, Insight-E in 2015) and better awareness on the importance of the issue (for example European Economic and Social Committee) – In Member States: definitions adopted and/or refined in England, Ireland, France, Belgium, Slovakia • We have learnt that – Defining energy poverty requires taking account of multidimensionality of the issue (vague vs. precise ? which criteria?) – Definitions have an impact on how the issue is viewed and addressed – Measurement is complex in terms of methodology and of available data • What we don’t know – How to deal with the differences in energy poverty contexts in the definition of energy poverty (European definition) ? Energy poverty contexts EU countries differ on: • Income levels Median (2015) • – – – – – 2 315 € (Romania) – 16 178 € (EU28 ) – 35 270 € (Luxembourg) • Energy price levels & price structures in each country (2015) – – – – • Gas, Romania 3.4 ct/kWh Gas, Sweden 11.73 ct/kWh Electricity, Bulgaria 9.57 ct /kWh Electricity, Denmark 30.42 ct/kWh Shares of energy costs in households’ budgets (2010) – Slovakia: 13.6% – Malta: 2.7% – EU 28: 6.2% Types of energy used for heating • District heating in Hungary, Bulgaria Coal (Poland) Natural gas (Italy, Netherlands) Electricity (France) Characteristics of the building stock – – – – Individual / collective Ownership of homes Energy efficiency Types of buildings & cost of refurbishment ➢ How to characterise energy poverty given this diversity ? – How to measure energy services deprivation ? – How to capture the multidimensionality of EP ? 2. The various forms of energy poverty • Improvement of knowledge on the diversity of energy poverty situations: 1. Between countries: which factors are most important in each country? (Access? Affordability? Energy efficiency? ) 2. In some European countries: better knowledge on which population groups are most affected 3. Region-specific forms of energy poverty: Eastern European countries (transition of energy supply conditions), Southern Europe (context of crisis) And on drivers of the vulnerability to energy poverty • What we don’t know: perspectives of evolution of energy markets and their impacts on the energy poor Vulnerability to energy poverty depends on different factors Exposure • Age • Household composition • Health status • Income level • Financial burden of energy bills • Cold homes • Restrictions (heat or eat) • Effects on physical & mental health • Educational attainment • Risk of accidents • Deterioration of housing stock • Type of dwelling • Heating equipment • Energy prices • Geographical location Sensitivity Capacity of response Impact • Capacity to move to a different dwelling • Investment capacity • Ability to switch supplier, to compare offers • Uptake of assistance schemes • Ability & willingness to adapt behaviour • Access to energy poverty schemes 3. How people adapt (or not) • Our knowledge has improved on: 1. Health impacts & pathways 2. Excess winter mortality (& summer mortality) 3. Coping behaviours (“I’m not complaining”) 4. Consumption trade-offs made by the energy poor • What we don’t know: in many countries there is almost no work on – Health impacts of energy poverty, – Costs to the health system generated by energy poverty, – The potential impacts of energy efficiency improvements. Consumption trade-offs for the energy poor Rationing energy consumption • Restrictions on the energy consumption To be able to spend on other dimensions Some strategies – Reducing the temperature of heating in order to limit energy bills – Heating only one room – Wearing additional clothes to cope with cold indoor temperatures – Reducing the lighting – Having less cooked meals • Consequences – – – – Health Living conditions & social relations Educational attainment Degradation of building stock (mould, …) Consumption trade-offs for the energy poor Limiting other expenses in order to consume energy Not restricting on energy consumption At the detriment of other expenses • Some strategies – Buying cheaper (and less healthy) food – Reducing caloric intake – Limit certain health expenses (dental care, eyeglasses) – Reducing expenses for clothes • Consequences – Physical and mental health – Wellbeing – Inability to face unexpected expenses 4. Identification is an issue in itself • We have learnt that – Identification of energy poor households is distinct from definition & measurement – On the supply-side, several challenges: designing identification methods (who? how? at what scale?), elaborating & disseminating good practices – On the demand-side, there are barriers to the uptake of measures identification does not necessarily mean addressing energy poverty • We need to learn more on: – What works and what doesn’t in terms of identification – Involvement of local actors as a success factor & how to develop well-functioning cooperation ? The steps in the implementation process Exclusion of some energy poor people Characteristics of energy poor population A part of targeted population is not reached People outside the initial target who will be included Step 1: Targeting (partly a political choice) Step 2: Identification (what ease of identification?) Population included in policy target Population included in the initial target and that can be reached A part of identified energy poor do not take up the mechanisms Step 3: Implementation (what ease of implementation?) Errors of exclusion and of inclusion Actual beneficiaries of energy poverty measures 13 5. The policy dimension • • The policy dimension is key, but there is not always a commitment of governments to energy poverty (EP) policymaking: – Until now, EP has not emerged on policy agenda in many countries disconnection between importance of the issue & recognition as a policy problem – EP is multidimensional Raises the question of framing and of coordination of policies, as housing policy, social policy, energy policy, and health policy can all contribute to EP alleviation – Despite advantages of deep retrofits and of prioritisation of the energy poor in thermal renovation policies, actual policies are often less ambitious. What we don’t know – As EP has some difficulties to emerge on the policy agenda of governments, how could its recognition be pushed in the Member States ? 6. Urgency of the issue • Currently available indicators give us a partial view of the problem. • Options for improving the measurement of energy poverty are discussed in: – Thomson, H., Bouzarovski, S., & Snell, C. (2017). Rethinking the measurement of energy poverty in Europe: A critical analysis of indicators and data. Indoor and Built Environment. – TRINOMICS (2016) Selecting Indicators to Measure Energy Poverty, Final Report, May 2016. ➢ What magnitude of EP based on available proxy indicators from the Survey on Incomes and Living Conditions (EU-SILC)? • Indicators for the whole population and two groups for which we assume that energy poverty is high (Boardman, 2010) 1. Elderly people on low incomes (in particular: single persons aged 65 years or more & income below 60% of median equivalised income) 2. Single parent families on low incomes (one adult with dependent children & income below 60% of median equivalised income) EU-SILC indicators For the whole population and for elderly low-income people Sensitivity of the elderly to energy poverty ➢ Sensitivity to health impacts (excess winter mortality) ➢ Sometimes under-occupation of homes ➢ In certain countries: poverty risk What poverty risk in general for the elderly? – On average, the 65 years or over are less poor EU: 14.1% (vs. 18% for < 65 years) – Older people at high poverty risk in: o Bulgaria: 31.7% (vs. 19.6% for < 65 years) o Estonia: 35.8% (vs. 18.4% for < 65 years) o Croatia: 26.3% (vs. 18.6% for < 65 years) o Latvia: 34.6% (vs. 19.6% for < 65 years) Total population One adult (65 year or over) Same indicators & low-income for singleLeaking roof, damp Inability to keep walls, floors or home low-income Arrears on people foundation, or rot in adequately utility bills window frames of aged 65 or more warm floor 9,1 Leaking roof, damp walls, floors or foundation, or rot in window frames of floor 15,2 EU (28) 19,1 6,8 17,3 5,2 5,1 18,2 Belgium 8,3 0,5 18,2 Bulgaria 39,2 31,4 12,9 Bulgaria 65,6 27,1 15,7 Czech Republic Czech Republic 10,4 2,5 8,2 Denmark 3,2 0,0 15,9 Germany 10,4 2,4 9,5 Estonia 9,6 3,0 21,7 Ireland 6,2 7,0 20,6 Greece The three available 3,4 16,1 energy poverty 4,1 4,0 12,8 indicators for 2,0 7,9 the total13,4 9,0 15,1 13,6 population 29,2 42,0 15,1 Greece 55,7 38,8 19,4 Spain 10,6 8,8 15,2 Spain 14,2 8,0 14,7 France 5,5 5,9 12,6 France 20,6 0,0 16,1 Croatia 9,9 28,7 10,9 Croatia 27,6 15,4 24,2 Italy 17,0 12,6 24,1 Italy 31,6 10,4 30,3 Cyprus 28,3 20,1 32,0 Latvia 14,5 16,7 Lithuania 31,1 8,4 26,5 Croatia: elderlyCyprus low-income single37,9 households 6,7 24,4 Latvia 28,1 to 10,2 ➢ Almost three times more exposed 17,0 Lithuania 42,7 8,0 Luxembourg 0,9 2,4 14,4 Hungary 9,6 19,4 Malta 13,9 10,2 inability to keep home adequately warm Luxembourg 0 ➢ Two times more exposed to unhealthy 25,4 Hungary 30,5 housing conditions 10,2 Malta 14,4 Netherlands 2,9 2,7 15,7 Netherlands Austria 2,6 3,5 11,7 Poland 7,5 9,2 11,9 Portugal 23,8 7,8 28,1 Romania 13,1 17,4 Slovenia 5,6 17,5 Slovakia 5,8 5,7 Finland 1,7 7,5 Sweden 0,9 2,7 7,5 Sweden United Kingdom 7,8 7,0 14,8 United Kingdom Inability to keep home adequately warm Arrears on utility bills EU (28) 9,4 Belgium 2015 Denmark Germany Estonia Ireland 5,0 3,0 8,9 3,6 2015 30,5 24,1 0,4 12,4 22,7 41,8 5,0 15,1 4,9 2,1 13,1 Austria 9,9 1,1 10,2 Poland 26,9 13,6 25,4 Portugal UK: elderly low-income single households42,6 12,8 Romania 22,1 generally less exposed to energy poverty than 26,9 Slovenia 16,5 total population (but they are still more 6,3 Slovakia 19,6 vulnerable to the effects of energy poverty) 4,4 Finland 3,3 2,6 30,0 14,1 26,5 7,9 37,5 6,1 20,0 4,0 4,6 2,4 2,8 5,8 3,1 1,4 10,8 One adult (65 year or over) & low-income Total population 9,1 Leaking roof, damp walls, floors or foundation, or rot in window frames of floor 15,2 Inability to keep home adequately warm Arrears on utility bills Leaking roof, damp walls, floors or foundation, or rot in window frames of floor EU (28) 19,1 6,8 17,3 5,2 5,1 18,2 Belgium 8,3 0,5 18,2 Bulgaria 39,2 Czech Republic 5,0 31,4 12,9 Bulgaria 65,6 27,1 15,7 3,0 8,9 Czech Republic 10,4 2,5 8,2 Denmark 3,6 3,4 16,1 Denmark 3,2 0,0 15,9 Germany 4,1 4,0 12,8 Germany 10,4 2,4 9,5 Estonia 2,0 7,9 13,4 Estonia 9,6 3,0 21,7 Ireland 9,0 15,1 13,6 Ireland 6,2 7,0 20,6 Greece 29,2 42,0 15,1 Greece 55,7 38,8 19,4 Spain 10,6 8,8 15,2 Spain 14,2 8,0 14,7 France 5,5 5,9 12,6 France 20,6 0,0 16,1 Croatia 9,9 28,7 10,9 Croatia 27,6 15,4 24,2 Italy 17,0 12,6 24,1 Italy 31,6 10,4 30,3 Cyprus 28,3 20,1 26,5 Cyprus 37,9 6,7 32,0 Latvia 14,5 16,7 24,4 Latvia 28,1 10,2 30,5 Lithuania 31,1 8,4 17,0 Lithuania 42,7 8,0 24,1 Luxembourg 0,9 2,4 14,4 Luxembourg 0 0,4 12,4 Hungary 9,6 19,4 25,4 Hungary 30,5 22,7 41,8 Malta 13,9 10,2 10,2 Malta 14,4 5,0 15,1 Netherlands 2,9 2,7 15,7 Netherlands 4,9 2,1 13,1 Austria 2,6 3,5 11,7 Austria 9,9 1,1 10,2 Poland 7,5 9,2 11,9 Poland 26,9 13,6 25,4 Portugal 23,8 7,8 28,1 Portugal 42,6 2,6 30,0 Romania 13,1 17,4 12,8 Romania 22,1 14,1 26,5 Slovenia 5,6 17,5 26,9 Slovenia 16,5 7,9 37,5 Slovakia 5,8 5,7 6,3 Slovakia 19,6 6,1 20,0 Finland 1,7 7,5 4,4 Finland 3,3 4,0 4,6 Sweden 0,9 2,7 7,5 Sweden 2,4 2,8 5,8 United Kingdom 7,8 7,0 14,8 United Kingdom 3,1 1,4 10,8 Inability to keep home adequately warm Arrears on utility bills EU (28) 9,4 Belgium 2015 2015 EU-SILC indicators For the whole population & low-income single-parent families Sensitivity of single-parent families ➢ Direct health impacts for children o Asthma and allergies in the presence of damp & mould o Psychological health (for example for teenagers) o Impacts on educational attainment o Effects on nutrition (heat or eat) ➢ Plus lower incomes What poverty risk in general for the single parent families? – In Europe, one third of single parent households are at risk of poverty (vs. 17.3% for the whole population) – In all countries, the risk of poverty rate is higher for the single parent households than for the average population Total population Single person with dependent children & low-income Leaking roof, damp Inability to keep walls, floors or home Arrears on utility foundation, or rot in adequately bills window frames of warm floor 23,7 24,9 27,6 EU (28) 9,4 9,1 Leaking roof, damp walls, floors or foundation, or rot in window frames of floor 15,2 Belgium 5,2 5,1 18,2 Belgium 21,9 32,8 39,3 Bulgaria 39,2 31,4 12,9 Bulgaria 60,7 59,8 24,6 Czech Republic 5,0 3,0 8,9 Czech Republic 13,6 11,3 18,3 Denmark 3,6 3,4 16,1 Denmark 39,8 22,8 41,7 Germany 4,1 4,0 12,8 Germany 23,6 11,0 25,5 Estonia 2,0 7,9 13,4 Estonia 5,1 19,9 27,1 Ireland 9,0 15,1 13,6 Ireland 27,4 37,4 23,3 Greece 29,2 42,0 15,1 Greece 53,4 69,4 12,5 Spain 10,6 8,8 15,2 Spain 17,5 20,0 20,2 France 5,5 5,9 12,6 France 13,1 27,4 26,1 Croatia 9,9 28,7 10,9 Croatia 34,8 44,3 15,9 Italy 17,0 12,6 24,1 Italy 36,5 34,3 36,1 Cyprus 28,3 20,1 26,5 Cyprus 52,3 25,3 35,3 Latvia 14,5 16,7 24,4 Latvia 34,5 44,7 32,1 Lithuania 31,1 8,4 17,0 Lithuania 34,8 27,9 16,1 Luxembourg 0,9 2,4 14,4 Luxembourg 2,4 16,1 27,1 Hungary 9,6 19,4 25,4 Hungary 26,9 57,7 45,9 Malta 13,9 10,2 10,2 Malta 43,9 33,1 16,5 Netherlands 2,9 2,7 15,7 Netherlands 14,0 6,5 25,5 Austria 2,6 3,5 11,7 Austria 2,3 17,5 15,3 Poland 7,5 9,2 11,9 Poland 26,1 27,0 23,0 Portugal 23,8 7,8 28,1 Portugal 47,2 30,8 30,4 Romania 13,1 17,4 12,8 Romania 25,7 34,6 28,8 Slovenia 5,6 17,5 26,9 Slovenia 18,1 39,9 39,2 Slovakia 5,8 5,7 6,3 Slovakia 24,6 24,6 35,5 Finland 1,7 7,5 4,4 Finland 7,1 24,9 15,0 Sweden 0,9 2,7 7,5 Sweden 4,7 8,3 15,6 United Kingdom 7,8 7,0 14,8 United Kingdom 29,2 27,8 30,4 2015 Inability to keep home Arrears on utility adequately bills warm 2015 EU (28) Conclusion • Some populations are particularly at risk with existing (proxy) indicators • There are regional (and sometimes national) differences regarding the factors that contribute to energy poverty – For example in South-East Europe: substandard housing + lack of access + high costs – For example in countries of Southern Europe most affected by the crisis: Income reduction + energy cost + inefficient housing ➢ As these situations will most likely not improve by themselves, actions to alleviate energy poverty are necessary • There is still work to do on 1. Developing more accurate measurement methods 2. Identification and dissemination of good practices in energy poverty alleviation Thank you for your attention ! Join #EUSEW17 www.eusew.eu ‘EU Sustainable Energy Week’ @euenergyweek & #EUSEW17 ‘EU Sustainable Energy Week’
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