Optimizing booster chlorination in small municipalities: a risk-cost trade-off analysis by Nilufar Islam PhD Candidate Supervisors: Dr. Rehan Sadiq Dr. Manuel J. Rodriguez Presentation outline • Background & Motivation • Objectives • Methodology • Results Explanation • Case study & Comparison • Future Scope • Conclusions 2 Background & Motivation Regulations-Free residual chlorine (FRC) USEPA Surface Water Treatment Rule Disinfectant by-products (DBPs): Cancer,reproductive problems… Taste & Odour: Customer rejection 1 0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 4 WHO 1997 Australian - Odor threshold Canadian WDN: 0.04 to 4 mg/L (need management) Booster stations to balance DBPs and FRC 3 Background & Motivation Traditional a) With booster chlorination b) General Chlorination Residual scale 4 mg/L 0.6 mg/L 0.5 mg/L 0.001 mg/L 4 Background & Motivation Booster chlorination Adding additional chlorine in the WDN to increase residual chlorine Effects Microbial, chemical (DBPs), and aesthetic water quality Less possible risk of cancer from DBPs Free Cl2 Pathogen DBPs Less amount of chlorine applicationless costs Careful selection of dosage & locations for smaller municipalities 5 Background & Motivation Challenges with smaller municipalities: & rural communities with frequent boil-water advisories Not adequate water treatment Chlorination can be the only treatment Non-availability of high qualified staff Optimization & Decision making Example: Two-thirds of provincial systems in BC are small 6 Background & Motivation Limitations in previous studies • Less locating studies for booster stations • Optimization was based on residual chlorine only • Cost calculation is difficult Proposed approach Locating booster stations with an index • Combined with other parameter such as TTHM • Represents regulatory violation • Combines complex data, e. g., temporal data • Cost for health compromise 7 Presentation outline • Background & Motivation • Objectives • Methodology • Results Explanation • Case study & Comparison • Future Scope • Conclusions 8 Objectives To locate booster stations for chlorination in smaller water distribution networks which can: • ensure adequate water quality, • with less risk due to health compromise, and • at the cost of less resources ($$) and technical personnel 9 Presentation outline • Background & Motivation • Objectives • Methodology • Results Explanation • Case study & Comparison • Future Scope • Conclusions 10 Methodology Start Define kinetics EPANET MSX FRC Modified CCME WQI Optimization TTHM Preliminary booster location detection Quadratic optimization Unit risk-cancer Hazard indexnon-cancer $/ DALY averted Trade-off analysis Finish CHCl3, BDCM, DBCM, & CHBr3 11 Methodology Start Qi ModifiedCCME _ WQI i Max( f ) Max(Q1......Qi ) Define kinetics EPANET MSX FRC Modified CCME WQI Optimization TTHM Preliminary booster location detection Quadratic optimization Unit risk-cancer Hazard indexnon-cancer $/ DALY averted Trade-off analysis Finish CHCl3, BDCM, DBCM, & CHBr3 12 Methodology Start Define kinetics EPANET MSX FRC Modified CCME WQI Optimization TTHM Preliminary booster location detection Quadratic optimization Unit risk-cancer Hazard indexnon-cancer $/ DALY averted Trade-off analysis Finish CHCl3, BDCM, DBCM, & CHBr3 13 Methodology $/DALY averted (CEA) Unit risk (Cancer) & Hazard index (non-cancer Water quality 1 booster 2 boosters 3 boosters …. ….. ….. N boosters Water quality: Modified CCME WQI (Islam et al. 2013) Preliminary booster locations: MCLP optimization Cost effectiveness analysis (CEA): DALY (Disability-adjusted life year) 14 Presentation outline • Background & Motivation • Objectives • Methodology • Results Explanation • Case study & Comparison • Future Scope • Conclusions 15 Results Explanation 28 Water reservoir 28 nodes 15 20 16 18 21 First order chlorine decay • Kb: Bulk-coefficient =0.0331/hr First order TTHM decay • F: Linear proportionate constant=0.651 27 24 EPANET Programmers’ toolkit Modified CCME WQI (Islam et al. 2013) MCLP OptimizationMATLAB Proposed booster stations Nodes for result observation 16 Results Explanation Risk Index (RI) 8.E-06 8.E-06 7.E-06 7.E-06 6.E-06 6.E-06 5.E-06 5.E-06 4.E-06 RI- Node 15 RI- Node 18 RI- Node 20 RI- Node 21 17 0.05 0.04 Node 15 62 60 58 Cost ($/DALY averted) Cost ($/DALY averted) WQI (Node 15) WQI (Node 18) Node 18 56 54 0.01 0 0 booster 1 booster 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 Cost ($/DALY averted) x 100000 0.02 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0 64 2 boosters Node 21 Effect Cost ($/DALY averted) WQI (Node 20) Node 20 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0 3 boosters 4 boosters 64 62 60 58 56 54 52 50 52 WQI 0.03 60 58 56 54 52 50 48 46 44 42 40 WQI 0.06 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0 WQI 0.07 Cost ($/DALY averted)x 100000 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 WQI Cost ($/DALY averted)x 100000 0.08 WQI x 100000 0.12 0.1 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 Cost ($/DALY averted) Cost ($/DALY averted) x 100000 Results Explanation 50 Cost ($/DALY averted) Cost ($/DALY averted) WQI (Node 21) WQI21 (Node 21) Node 18 Presentation outline • Background & Motivation • Objectives • Methodology • Results Explanation • Case study & Comparison • Future Scope • Conclusions 19 Study area EPANET 2.0 2,598 water mains 5 reservoirs 16 Booster stations 20 water tanks 20 City of Kelowna Case Study Nodes for result observation 298 nodes Proposed booster stations 5 Dosage used 0.8mg/L 21 City of Kelowna Case Study 22 City of Kelowna Case Study 3.50E-05 Risk Index (RI) 3.00E-05 2.50E-05 2.00E-05 1.50E-05 1.00E-05 5.00E-06 0.00E+00 ET180 J-6090 J-6265 J-6365 J-6443 J-6483 J-6486 23 City of Kelowna Case Study 120 100 90 100 70 80 60 60 50 WQI Cost ($/DALY averted) 80 40 40 30 20 20 10 0 0 Cost- Node ET180 WQI- Node ET180 Cost-Node J-6090 WQI-Node J-6090 Cost- Node J-6265 WQI- Node J-6265 Cost- Node J-6365 WQI- Node J-6365 Cost- Node J-6443 WQI- Node J-6443 Cost- Node J-6483 WQI-Node J-6483 Cost- Node J-6486 WQI- Node J-6486 24 City of Kelowna Case Study 282 284 281 Improved 245 Degraded Number of nodes 300 Unchanged 250 125 200 150 108 65 100 39 1 50 15 17 0 14 14 0 Unchanged Improved 0 0 to 1 booster 1 to 2 boosters 2 to 3 boosters 3 to 4 boosters 4 to 5 boosters 25 City of Kelowna Case Study 4 2 3 1 Proposed booster station Current booster stations The proposed scheme shows similar results Saves time, and resources ($$) 26 26 Presentation outline • Background & Motivation • Objectives • Methodology • Results Explanation • Case study & Comparison • Future Scope • Conclusions 27 Future Scope- Intrusion Optimization: microbial & chemical risk trade-off 1. Identify intrusion points 3. Predict Nodal Effects 2. Intrusion 4. Optimization 28 Future Scope- Intrusion City info Soil data Pipe characteristics data Identify Intrusion points Diameter Length Structural failure Installation yr Resistivity, soil pH, Moisture content etc. Risk of Intrusion Soil Corrosively Population Nodal importance Land use Nodal Pressure 29 Future Scope- Intrusion Identify Intrusion points EPANET 30 Future Scope- Intrusion Identify Intrusion Points Apply E. Coli concentration ArcGIS 10 EPANET-Pressure Estimate nodal effects E. Coli TTHM TTHM species QMRA TCM DBCM BDCM Bromoform Chemical risk (CR) Optimization: MOGA Min(QMRA) Min (CR) 31 Presentation outline • Background & Motivation • Objectives • Methodology • Results Explanation • Case study & Comparison • Future Scope • Conclusions 32 Conclusions and future scope An optimization scheme has been proposed to locate booster locations Firstly, the scheme considered an index using regulatory thresholds for TTHM and FRC The index can account microbial, chemical and aesthetic water quality Finally, the booster stations have been selected using a trade-off analysis with hazard Index, unit risk, and cost effectiveness analysis The model has been implemented on a part of city of Kelowna water main system The model can be very useful for smaller communities Contaminant intrusions can be included in this model in future for microbial-chemical trade-off analysis 33 Acknowledgement National Science and Engineering Research Council RES'EAU-WaterNET 34 “If there is magic on this planet, it is contained in water.” Loren Eiseley Q uestionsyou ? Thank 35 Modification in CCME WQI CWQI or CCME Ranges from 0 to 100 F1=Scope 1 • % of failed variables F2= Frequency • % of regulatory violation M b=0.2mg/l c= 0.8mg/l N Chlorine, mg/l F3= Amplitude • Amount of violation CCME WQI 100 ( F12 F22 F32 1.732 ) 1 Advantages- modified CCME-WQI Simpler-one variable for F2, and F3 More logical M a b c d N Chlorine, mg/l Modified CCME 36 Example modified CCME-WQI 1 1 0.2 Ma b c d N Chlorine, mg/l b, Lower regulatory limit= 0.2mg/l M 0.1 0.2 0.18 FE N Time (hr) Cl2 (mg/l) Fuzzy excursion (FE) 49 0.18 0.2 50 0.17 0.3 . . . . 240 0.16 c, Upper regulatory limit= 0.8 mg/l nsfe= 0.8 1 Chlorine, mg/l # All _ po int s nsfe V= 0.005nsfe 0.005 ModifiedCCME WQI 100 V 0.4 37 Modified CCME WQI City of Kelowna Case Study 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 J-1140 J-6070 J-6080 J-6370 J-6447 1 2 3 4 Number of booster station 5 Recommendation: 3-4 booster stations should be used 38
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