20021030-Broadband-Lance

Beyond the Current Debate about
Broadband
J. Gary Augustson, Ron Hutchins,
Tim Lance, Mike Roberts
Prologue
• Incredible history
• Development spiral
The Role of the R&E Network
• Seminal shift from service- to facility-based
networking
• Attributes of network:
» Light based,  as minimum unit
» Secure
» Portable
» Private
» Organic
Extensibility and Scalability –
Drivers for Deployment
•
•
•
•
•
The -pool
Growing intelligence at the edge
Intelligence within and roaming
First mile
The λ-pool is almost here:
Possible CA*net 4 Topology
January 1, 2002
Edmonton
Prince George
Saskatoon
Winnipeg
Vancouver
Calgary
Kamloops
Regina
Halifax
Thunder Bay
St. John's
Victoria
Quebec City
Seattle
Spokane
Sudbury
Minneapolis
Fredericton
Toronto
CA*net 4 Node
Kingston
Buffalo
London
Hamilton
Albany
Windsor
Possible Future Breakout
Possible Future link or Option
Charlottetown
Montreal
Ottawa
Chicago
New York
Halifax
Lit National NLR Core Fabric Fiber
A. Starting footprint
.
A.
5,207 miles
B. Multi-Loop core for owned fiber R&E net?
B.
7-28-02
11,000 miles
Lit National NLR Core Fabric Fiber
- Sample Alternatives
C. ‘A.’ stepwise evolution with NY & Atlanta segments. D. Double Loop NLR core interim step alternative
C.
D.
E. Triple Loop core with NY/Boston segment.
E.
9,342 miles
F. Triple Loop core plus sample regional access loops.
10,696 miles
F.
7-28-02
CA*net 4 Possible Architecture
Layer 3 aggregation service
Optional Service Available to any GigaPOP
St. John’s
Calgary Regina
Winnipeg
Large channel
WDM system
Charlottetown
Vancouver
Europe
Montreal
Customer controlled
Seattle optical switches
Fredericton
Halifax
Ottawa
Chicago
Toronto
New York
Intelligence at the edge - CANARIE
Customer controls
wavelength and ports on
switch. Customer sets up
and tears down wavelength
ISP
AS 4
AS 1
AS 1
Customer
AS 3
BGP Peering is
done at each
switch
AS 2
Central AS disappears as
customers can directly peer
with each other and exchange
wavelength
Manhattan Project – Phase 1
Deployment and Sustainability –
Political, Social, Financial
• Maintaining broad discussion necessitates
discipline
• Involving government directly to inform
and support deployment and sustainability
• Engaging the commercial sector
• Working for the common good
• Assuring R&E will be the anchor tenant
Policy Issues
• Security
Policy Issues
•
•
•
•
•
Security
Portability
Privacy and Trust
Configuring the Network/Network User
Organic Network and Government
A Possible Future Path
2003. Phase one, national
R&E optic backbone
2004. 80% regional fiber
deployment, 40% “first
mile” deployment in
metro areas, 65% metro
build saturation, NSF
supports learning
network trial testbed,
several statewide
Internet voting trials
A Possible Future Path
2005. Multi-strand, multi-path
backbone completed, first
“controlled roaming”, 90%
Regional FO Backbones,
70% “first mile” FO
deployment in metro, 10%
rural first encapsulated
“network information
units”, broad deployment
of learning networks in
tornado states for NCAR
A Possible Future Path
2006. First commercialized
network roaming (used
by news media), R&E
roaming fully mature,
broader network
intuition deployment,
“Network books”
commercially available,
first network based
national election
A Possible Set of Consequences
2003. Phase one, national
R&E optic backbone
2004. 80% regional fiber
deployment, 40% “first
mile” deployment in
metro areas, 65% metro
build saturation, NSF
supports learning
network trial testbed,
several statewide
Internet voting trials
•
Inter-metro commercial
-services available.
• Competitive inter-metro
-services available, first
regional -services
available, IBM, Motorola,
HP join DL consortium
with Ivies, Big 10, PAC 8,
NSF expands cave
research to true “virtual
classroom”, NSF-NOAA
funding for national
NEXRAD research
A Possible Set of Consequences
2005.Multi-strand, multipath
backbone completed,
first “controlled
roaming” 90% Regional
FO Backbones, 70%
“first mile” FO
deployment in metro,
10% rural first
encapsulated “network
information units”, broad
deployment of learning
networks in tornado
states for NCAR
•
Corporate fiber added to
R&E for broad “virtual
classroom” and corporate
– academe cooperation
(Project Thinking CAP),
critical need leads to
White House campaign
for “Rural Datafication
Act” (RDA), hardened
NEXRAD tool directly
linked to “intelligent
agents” at air traffic
control
A Possible Set of Consequences
2006. First commercialized
network roaming (used
by news media), R&E
roaming fully mature,
broader network
intuition deployment,
“Network books”
commercially available,
first network based
national election
•
RDA and Thinking CAP
eases K-12 teacher
retirement crisis, with low
cost, accessible “Network
Books” leads to sharp
increase in US “TIMMS”
scores, “open-electorate
forum” makes qualitative
changes in the national
election, competitive
pricing makes global
broadband seem
achievable, RDA drives
broadband to homes.
or maybe …
Another Set of Consequences
• RBOCS press for Internet
2003. Phase one, national
taxation, LEC status for regionals
R&E optic backbone
• RBOC lobbying succeeds, some
2004. 80% regional fiber
Regionals sell assets, NSF sharply
deployment, 40% “first
trims network money (urges
mile” deployment in
privatizing), NEXRAD sites
metro areas, 65% metro
upgraded, still without
build saturation, NSF
connectivity, universities scale
supports learning
back DL initiatives, IBM, Intel,
network trial testbed,
Motorola, HP establish “corporate
several statewide
university”
Internet voting trials
Another Set of Consequences
2005.Multi-strand, multipath
backbone completed,
first “controlled
roaming” 90% Regional
FO Backbones, 70%
“first mile” FO
deployment in metro,
10% rural first
encapsulated “network
information units”, broad
deployment of learning
networks in tornado
states for NCAR
•
Strengthened DMCA
sharply curtails Internet
publishing, recording
industry suits close several
major ISPs, tax legislation
supports for rural
commercial data services,
Internet radar data widely
blamed in weather related
plane crash, rural schools
start to curtail
math/science offerings
Another Set of Consequences
2006. First commercialized
network roaming (used
by news media), R&E
roaming fully mature,
broader network
intuition deployment,
“Network books”
commercially available,
first network based
national election
•
Plane crash controversy spills
over into elections, suits bring
41 states to return to paper
ballots (Consortium for
Healthy, Accountable
Democracy – Project CHAD),
Elsevier’s and Springer’s
DMCA-based suits force
creation of Internet book
services, rural libraries cut new
purchases, most regionals
divest of assets, US “TIMMS”
scores drop.
It’s up to us!
Thank You
http://www.educause.edu/ir/library/pdf/NET0202.pdf