Beyond the Current Debate about Broadband J. Gary Augustson, Ron Hutchins, Tim Lance, Mike Roberts Prologue • Incredible history • Development spiral The Role of the R&E Network • Seminal shift from service- to facility-based networking • Attributes of network: » Light based, as minimum unit » Secure » Portable » Private » Organic Extensibility and Scalability – Drivers for Deployment • • • • • The -pool Growing intelligence at the edge Intelligence within and roaming First mile The λ-pool is almost here: Possible CA*net 4 Topology January 1, 2002 Edmonton Prince George Saskatoon Winnipeg Vancouver Calgary Kamloops Regina Halifax Thunder Bay St. John's Victoria Quebec City Seattle Spokane Sudbury Minneapolis Fredericton Toronto CA*net 4 Node Kingston Buffalo London Hamilton Albany Windsor Possible Future Breakout Possible Future link or Option Charlottetown Montreal Ottawa Chicago New York Halifax Lit National NLR Core Fabric Fiber A. Starting footprint . A. 5,207 miles B. Multi-Loop core for owned fiber R&E net? B. 7-28-02 11,000 miles Lit National NLR Core Fabric Fiber - Sample Alternatives C. ‘A.’ stepwise evolution with NY & Atlanta segments. D. Double Loop NLR core interim step alternative C. D. E. Triple Loop core with NY/Boston segment. E. 9,342 miles F. Triple Loop core plus sample regional access loops. 10,696 miles F. 7-28-02 CA*net 4 Possible Architecture Layer 3 aggregation service Optional Service Available to any GigaPOP St. John’s Calgary Regina Winnipeg Large channel WDM system Charlottetown Vancouver Europe Montreal Customer controlled Seattle optical switches Fredericton Halifax Ottawa Chicago Toronto New York Intelligence at the edge - CANARIE Customer controls wavelength and ports on switch. Customer sets up and tears down wavelength ISP AS 4 AS 1 AS 1 Customer AS 3 BGP Peering is done at each switch AS 2 Central AS disappears as customers can directly peer with each other and exchange wavelength Manhattan Project – Phase 1 Deployment and Sustainability – Political, Social, Financial • Maintaining broad discussion necessitates discipline • Involving government directly to inform and support deployment and sustainability • Engaging the commercial sector • Working for the common good • Assuring R&E will be the anchor tenant Policy Issues • Security Policy Issues • • • • • Security Portability Privacy and Trust Configuring the Network/Network User Organic Network and Government A Possible Future Path 2003. Phase one, national R&E optic backbone 2004. 80% regional fiber deployment, 40% “first mile” deployment in metro areas, 65% metro build saturation, NSF supports learning network trial testbed, several statewide Internet voting trials A Possible Future Path 2005. Multi-strand, multi-path backbone completed, first “controlled roaming”, 90% Regional FO Backbones, 70% “first mile” FO deployment in metro, 10% rural first encapsulated “network information units”, broad deployment of learning networks in tornado states for NCAR A Possible Future Path 2006. First commercialized network roaming (used by news media), R&E roaming fully mature, broader network intuition deployment, “Network books” commercially available, first network based national election A Possible Set of Consequences 2003. Phase one, national R&E optic backbone 2004. 80% regional fiber deployment, 40% “first mile” deployment in metro areas, 65% metro build saturation, NSF supports learning network trial testbed, several statewide Internet voting trials • Inter-metro commercial -services available. • Competitive inter-metro -services available, first regional -services available, IBM, Motorola, HP join DL consortium with Ivies, Big 10, PAC 8, NSF expands cave research to true “virtual classroom”, NSF-NOAA funding for national NEXRAD research A Possible Set of Consequences 2005.Multi-strand, multipath backbone completed, first “controlled roaming” 90% Regional FO Backbones, 70% “first mile” FO deployment in metro, 10% rural first encapsulated “network information units”, broad deployment of learning networks in tornado states for NCAR • Corporate fiber added to R&E for broad “virtual classroom” and corporate – academe cooperation (Project Thinking CAP), critical need leads to White House campaign for “Rural Datafication Act” (RDA), hardened NEXRAD tool directly linked to “intelligent agents” at air traffic control A Possible Set of Consequences 2006. First commercialized network roaming (used by news media), R&E roaming fully mature, broader network intuition deployment, “Network books” commercially available, first network based national election • RDA and Thinking CAP eases K-12 teacher retirement crisis, with low cost, accessible “Network Books” leads to sharp increase in US “TIMMS” scores, “open-electorate forum” makes qualitative changes in the national election, competitive pricing makes global broadband seem achievable, RDA drives broadband to homes. or maybe … Another Set of Consequences • RBOCS press for Internet 2003. Phase one, national taxation, LEC status for regionals R&E optic backbone • RBOC lobbying succeeds, some 2004. 80% regional fiber Regionals sell assets, NSF sharply deployment, 40% “first trims network money (urges mile” deployment in privatizing), NEXRAD sites metro areas, 65% metro upgraded, still without build saturation, NSF connectivity, universities scale supports learning back DL initiatives, IBM, Intel, network trial testbed, Motorola, HP establish “corporate several statewide university” Internet voting trials Another Set of Consequences 2005.Multi-strand, multipath backbone completed, first “controlled roaming” 90% Regional FO Backbones, 70% “first mile” FO deployment in metro, 10% rural first encapsulated “network information units”, broad deployment of learning networks in tornado states for NCAR • Strengthened DMCA sharply curtails Internet publishing, recording industry suits close several major ISPs, tax legislation supports for rural commercial data services, Internet radar data widely blamed in weather related plane crash, rural schools start to curtail math/science offerings Another Set of Consequences 2006. First commercialized network roaming (used by news media), R&E roaming fully mature, broader network intuition deployment, “Network books” commercially available, first network based national election • Plane crash controversy spills over into elections, suits bring 41 states to return to paper ballots (Consortium for Healthy, Accountable Democracy – Project CHAD), Elsevier’s and Springer’s DMCA-based suits force creation of Internet book services, rural libraries cut new purchases, most regionals divest of assets, US “TIMMS” scores drop. It’s up to us! Thank You http://www.educause.edu/ir/library/pdf/NET0202.pdf
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