Is Small Beautiful? Financial Structure, Size and Access to Finance Thorsten Beck, Asli Demirguc-Kunt and Dorothe Singer Motivation Low access to firm finance across the developing world Which institutions help push out the access frontier? Banks, specialized lenders or low-end institutions Different technologies and organizational structures Small or large institutions? Scale economies vs. client focus Is small beautiful? Access to credit by enterprises Access to finance – the size gap Share of firms with deposits 0 60 40 0 20 20 percentage 40 80 60 100 Share of firms with a line of credit Africa Rest of the world small(<20) Africa small(<20) medium(20-99) large(100 and over) large(100 and over) Sample size: 90 countries Source: Enterprise Survey 2010 Rest of the world Sample size: 90 countries Source: Enterprise Survey 2010 medium(20-99) This paper… Combines two unique datasets to gauge which institutions help alleviate firms’ financing obstacles whether small is beautiful whether these relationships vary across countries at different levels of GDP per capita firms of different sizes Who cares? Policy makers: Which segments of the financial system should be fostered Capital requirements, entry barriers etc. can influence size of financial institutions Nigerian experience, debate in Kenya Academics: Financial structure debate limited to banks vs. markets so far Lending techniques for SMEs Relationship between bank size and access to finance Hypotheses: Different institutions have different advantages Banks Have larger scale to introduce new techniques, but… Might not be interested in catering to SMEs Specialized lenders (leasing, finance, factoring companies) Can exploit special expertise, but… Might have limited scale in terms of funding Low-end financial institutions (MFIs, credit unions, coops…) Specialized lending techniques and flat hierarchies might help them approach low-end clients, but… Might face limitations when firms are growing Hypothesis: Is Small Beautiful? Yes, it is: Closer to clients and can use relationship lending Might be forced to work with SMEs No, it is not: Larger institutions have necessary scale Transaction-based vs. relationship lending Data Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP): data on relative importance of different segments of the financial system that cater to low-end of market Data on average size of institutions in these segments Enterprise Surveys Financing obstacles Does a firm have an account, credit line, loan Overlap between two datasets: 28 countries Financial Structure across countries Asset Share 0 20 40 60 80 100 Low-End NBFIs, Specalized NBFIs, and Banks Banks Low-End NBFIs Specialized NBFIs Source: FSAP Note: Assets shares do not add up to 100% as not all financial sector categories reported. Average size across countries Mean Assets 0 1 2 3 4 Low-End NBFIs, Specalized NBFIs, and Banks Banks Low-End NBFIs Source: FSAP Specialized NBFIs Methodology Financial Servicesij = a + b1 Medium Firmij + b2 Large Firmij + b3 Subsidiaryij + b4 Public Firmij + b5 Foreign-Ownedij + b6 State-Ownedij+ b7 Firm Ageij + b8 Firm Sectorij + b9 GDP per capitaj + b10 Financial Sector Indicatorj + eij Ordered probit/probit regressions, with errors clustered at country-level. Second step: include interaction terms with (i) GDP per capita and (ii) firm size dummies, to gauge differential effects OLS regression (Ai and Norton, 2003) Asset shares and access to finance NBFI, low-end NBFI, specialized Banks Access to Finance Account Overdraft Loan oprobit probit probit probit coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se -0.011 0.036* 0.015 0.017 (0.029) (0.021) (0.027) (0.012) -0.001 -0.020 -0.034* -0.020 (0.017) (0.015) (0.018) (0.013) -0.004 -0.019** -0.018*** -0.013*** (0.006) (0.008) (0.006) (0.003) Asset share and access to finance – cross-country and cross-firm heterogeneity (1) Access to Finance NBFI, low-end x GDP per capita (log) NBFI, low-end x small NBFI, low-end x medium NBFI, low-end x large Account Overdraft Loan OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se 0.374*** 0.026** 0.101** 0.031 (0.107) (0.011) (0.037) (0.024) -0.060*** -0.003* -0.015** -0.004 (0.018) (0.002) (0.007) (0.004) -0.004 0.007* 0.007 0.006 (0.042) (0.004) (0.008) (0.004) -0.027 0.005** 0.001 0.005 (0.035) (0.002) (0.013) (0.004) -0.023 0.005*** 0.006 0.002 (0.039) (0.002) (0.012) (0.005) Asset share and access to finance – cross-country and cross-firm heterogeneity (2) Access to Finance NBFI, specialized x GDP per capita (log) NBFI, specialized x small NBFI, specialized x medium NBFI, specialized x large Account Overdraft Loan OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se -0.077 -0.004 0.091** 0.058** (0.148) (0.015) (0.036) (0.023) 0.010 0.000 -0.013*** -0.008*** (0.019) (0.002) (0.004) (0.003) -0.015 -0.006* -0.011 -0.008 (0.022) (0.003) (0.007) (0.006) 0.021 -0.002 -0.011* -0.006 (0.022) (0.002) (0.006) (0.005) 0.005 0.001 -0.014* -0.006 (0.020) (0.001) (0.007) (0.005) Asset share and access to finance – cross-country and cross-firm heterogeneity (3) Access to Finance Banks x GDP per capita (log) Banks x small Banks x medium Banks x large Account Overdraft Loan OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se 0.079* 0.007 0.007 -0.015** (0.044) (0.010) (0.012) (0.005) -0.011* -0.001 -0.002 0.001* (0.006) (0.001) (0.002) (0.001) -0.001 -0.003* -0.007*** -0.006*** (0.008) (0.002) (0.002) (0.001) -0.007 -0.003* -0.006*** -0.004*** (0.008) (0.002) (0.002) (0.001) -0.011 -0.002 -0.003 -0.003** (0.010) (0.002) (0.002) (0.001) Asset share and access to finance – cross-country heterogeneity – partial effects Access to Finance GDP per capita (log) at: NBFI, low-end mean -0.070** p25 -0.016 Account p50 p75 -0.067** -0.132*** 0.003 -0.003 NBFI, specialized -0.002 -0.008 -0.003 0.007 Banks -0.003 0.003 -0.002 -0.013 mean -0.003** p25 0.006** -0.003 -0.002* Overdraft GDP per capita (log) at: mean p50 p75 0.002 -0.003 -0.003 -0.003 -0.003** -0.004* Loan p25 p50 p75 mean p25 p50 p75 NBFI, low-end -0.009 0.005 -0.008 -0.023 0.002 0.005 0.003 -0.002 NBFI, specialized -0.007 0 -0.007 -0.018*** -0.004 0 -0.004 -0.012*** -0.005*** -0.005** -0.007*** -0.008*** -0.005*** -0.005*** -0.005*** -0.003*** Banks Average size and access to finance Variable of Interest: Mean Asset Size NBFI, low-end NBFI, specialized Banks Access to Finance Account Overdraft Loan oprobit probit probit probit coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se -0.534*** -0.749*** 0.032 -0.197** (0.127) (0.153) (0.200) (0.100) 0.913 1.082 2.868*** 1.104*** (0.565) (0.702) (0.789) (0.401) -0.042 -0.028 0.158* 0.029 (0.097) (0.082) (0.093) (0.054) Average size and access to finance – crosscountry and cross-firm heterogeneity (1) Access to Finance NBFI, low-end x GDP per capita (log) NBFI, low-end x small NBFI, low-end x medium NBFI, low-end x large Account Overdraft Loan OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se -46.443*** 4.919 18.078** 15.959** (16.193) (4.931) (8.777) (7.240) 5.418*** -0.593 -2.137** -1.896** (1.916) (0.583) (1.040) (0.857) -0.711*** -0.102*** 0.086 0.007 (0.148) (0.021) (0.071) (0.040) -0.520*** -0.095*** -0.023 -0.075* (0.173) (0.015) (0.074) (0.039) -0.729*** -0.082*** -0.020 -0.139*** (0.193) (0.013) (0.071) (0.035) Average size and access to finance – crosscountry and cross-firm heterogeneity (2) Access to Finance NBFI, specialized x GDP per capita (log) NBFI, specialized x small NBFI, specialized x medium NBFI, specialized x large Account Overdraft Loan OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se -7.878 0.783 2.732 2.497 (9.290) (1.854) (3.566) (2.697) 1.097 -0.083 -0.223 -0.255 (1.187) (0.222) (0.427) (0.324) 1.158 0.121 0.985*** 0.487*** (0.743) (0.105) (0.280) (0.161) 1.299* 0.102 0.959*** 0.427** (0.762) (0.079) (0.263) (0.160) 0.801 0.068 0.576** 0.183 (0.863) (0.076) (0.237) (0.128) Average size and access to finance – crosscountry and cross-firm heterogeneity (3) Access to Finance Banks x GDP per capita (log) Banks x small Banks x medium Banks x large Account Overdraft Loan OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS OLS coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se coef/se -2.518** 0.560** -0.406 0.152 (1.242) (0.255) (0.669) (0.366) 0.294** -0.067** 0.055 -0.017 (0.145) (0.030) (0.079) (0.043) -0.076 0.008 0.084** 0.035* (0.123) (0.015) (0.035) (0.021) -0.020 -0.009 0.054 0.012 (0.120) (0.011) (0.034) (0.020) -0.072 -0.014 0.018 -0.018 (0.122) (0.009) (0.027) (0.018) Average size and access to finance – cross-country heterogeneity – partial effects Access to Finance GDP per capita (log) at: NBFI, low-end NBFI, specialized Banks Account mean p25 p50 p75 mean p25 -6.432*** -9.234*** -5.836*** -1.075*** 0.538 0.847 0.288 -0.041 0.238 -0.191 0.343 1.213 0.171 0.204 0.183 0.121 -0.354* -0.496* -0.312 -0.056 0.064** 0.097** 0.055* 0.001 Overdraft GDP per capita (log) at: mean p50 p75 Loan p25 p50 p75 mean p25 p50 p75 NBFI, low-end 2.285** 3.402** 2.012** 0.178* 1.953** 2.940** 1.702** 0.082 NBFI, specialized 1.078** 1.166* 1.121** 0.989*** 0.612* 0.713 0.594** 0.388*** -0.001 -0.028 0.008 0.057* 0.03 0.038 0.028 0.011 Banks Conclusions Bank dominance in developing countries might be detrimental for access to firm finance Low-end financial institutions and specialized lenders seem especially appropriate to ease access to finance in low-income countries Larger low-end financial institutions and banks seem to ease access to finance at low levels of GDP per capita Larger specialized lenders and banks are associated with a greater likelihood of loan and overdraft use by small firms Conclusions in two phrases Look beyond banks Small is not necessarily beautiful!
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