ICP Integrated Monitoring 31.7.2017 Acidification and eutrophication studies Martin Forsius Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE) ICP IM Programme Centre Main tasks exceedances and empirical impact indicators at ICP IM sites Biodiversity assessment – Literature review and first data analyses 31.7.2017 Assessment of relationships between critical load Background have been instrumental in effect-based protocols to the UNECE CLRTAP. For testing and validation of the key concepts in the critical load calculations, it is important to study the link between critical thresholds of acidification and eutrophication of the ecosystems and empirical impact indicators. 31.7.2017 European databases and maps of critical loads 1) Calculate the site-specific critical loads for acidification and eutrophication for aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems, and their exceedances (ExCL) 2) and present relationships between ExCL and surface water chemistry measurements at 18-24 European ICP IM sites 31.7.2017 Study sites: European IM network Materials and methods 1/3 • Acidification CLA: Steady State Water Chemistry (SSWC) (Henriksen and Posch 2001, UBA 2004) • Eutrophication CLnutN: Mass Balance model for nutrient nitrogen (UBA 2004) • For a selection of 18 IM sites from 10 countries (AT, CZ, DE, EE, FI, GB, LT, LV, NO, SE) for which runoff water chemistry and runoff measurement data were available Exceedances: deposition estimates at IM sites ExCLA = S dep NAT2000 – CLA ExCLnutN = N dep NAT2000 – CLnutN 31.7.2017 Mass balance critical loads Materials and methods 2/3 CL for eutrophication: empirical critical load of nutrient nitrogen CLempN • Based on empirical studies on the response of natural and semi-natural ecosystems to nitrogen deposition. • CLempN are given for a groups of ecosystems, classified according to the EUNIS-European Nature Information System- habitat classification for Europe • 24 IM sites Exceedances: ExCL empN = N dep NAT2000 - CLempN 31.7.2017 (Bobbink and Hettelingh 2011) Materials and methods 3/3 • Acidification: annual average runoff water concentrations and fluxes in the period 2000-2002 for key acidification parameters such as Acid Neutralising Capacity ANC = (Ca+Mg+Na+K) – (SO4+Cl+NO3), hydrogen-ion (H+) and non-marine sulphate (xSO4), • and eutrophication: total inorganic nutrient nitrogen (TIN = NO3+NH4) 31.7.2017 Empirical impact indicators ExCL: nr of sites protected/not protected in 2000 (NAT2000 projection) 13 5 ExCLnutN 4 14 ExCLempN 5 18 0 5 31.7.2017 ExCLA 10 nr of sites not protected 15 20 nr of sites protected 25 Good agreement between ExCLA and ANC and H+ 70 3000 60 2000 1500 1000 500 -cc -0.67 p < 0.05 -500 -6000 30 20 -4000 -2000 0 0 -6000 2000 6000 450 5000 400 H+ (eq ha-1 yr-1) ANC (eq ha-1 yr-1) 40 10 0 Flux 50 4000 3000 2000 1000 -cc 0.63 p < 0.05 -cc -0.84 p < 0.05 0 -1000 -6000 350 -4000 -2000 0 2000 -2000 0 2000 -cc 0.60 p < 0.05 300 250 200 150 100 50 -4000 -2000 0 ExCLA (eq ha-1 yr-1) 2000 0 -6000 -4000 ExCLA (eq ha-1 yr-1) 31.7.2017 2500 H+ (µeq L-1) ANC (µeq L-1) Conc. 3500 ExCLnutN / ExCLempN vs. TIN (NO3 + NH4) 100 -cc 0.61 p < 0.05 80 60 40 20 0 1000 2000 40 -500 0 500 1000 0 500 1000 140 -cc 0.35 p < 0.1 120 TIN (eq ha-1 yr-1) TIN (eq ha-1 yr-1) 100 60 0 -1000 140 120 80 20 0 -2000 Flux -cc 0.55 p < 0.05 100 80 60 40 80 60 40 20 20 0 -2000 100 -cc 0.39 p < 0.05 0 -1000 0 ExCLnutN (eq ha-1 yr-1) 1000 -500 ExCLempN (eq ha-1 yr-1) 31.7.2017 TIN (µeq L-1) Conc. 120 TIN (µeq L-1) 120 Concluding remarks on CL studies sites There was a relatively good agreement between ExCLA and ANC and H+ in runoff water Leaching of N was higher for sites with higher ExCLempN and ExCLnutN Evidence on the link between modelled critical thresholds and empirical impact indicators Scientific paper in preparation, updated results will also be used for WGE ex-post scenario analyses 31.7.2017 At the majority of the IM sites (72%), CLA was not exceeded Instead, CLempN and CLnutN were exceeded at 7578% of the Biodiversity assessment analyses made within the ICP IM subprogrammes Trunk epiphytes (EP), Aerial green algae (AL), Understory vegetation and trees on intensive plots (VG) and Vegetation structure and species cover (VS). Preliminary results of data analyses. Results presented in ICP IM Annual Report 2011. 31.7.2017 Review of published results from monitoring and Relationship between significant time trends of forest floor species and Ellenberg indicator values N (nutrient availability), R (soil pH), L (light availability), F (moisture) 0.6 31.7.2017 0.4 0.2 -0.2 2 3 4 5 0 1 2 3 Ellenberg N Ellenberg R Light Moisture 4 5 6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 coefficient of time trend 0.8 1 0.8 0 coefficient of time trend 0.0 coefficient of time trend 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 coefficient of time trend 0.8 Acidity 0.8 Nutrients 0 2 4 Ellenberg L 6 8 0 2 4 Ellenberg F 6 8 31.7.2017 Concluding remarks on biodiversity studies affected than in the Nordic countries. Algae or lichens differ in their suitability as indicators. At low deposition sites, algae may be more suitable as indicator than lichens. Species changes are highly variable between sites. The found significant changes are restricted to few species and the relationship with air pollution is not very clear. Further analyses will focus on community changes and changes of diversity using indicators. The results will again be compared with CL exceedance. 31.7.2017 Lichens in high pollution regions in central Europe are more Thank you for your attention
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