The Dimensions of the Prize: Leverage Technology to Achieve Sustainable Emissions Cal Cooper ConocoPhillips Carbon Capture & Storage Emission reduction by sectors IEA MAP Scenario 32 Gt CO2 reduction in 2050 Power 34% Efficiency 45% CCS 6% 7% 5% 3% CCS in transportation CCS in Industry Industry Biofuel CO2 Capture & Storage (CCS) contributes 20% of total IEA Energy Technology Perspectives CCS Size Translation • A Gigaton of CO2 = ? – ~ 20 TCF natural gas (so 1 MMt ~ 20 BCF) • USA Gas Production • World Gas Prod. 22.3 TCF /yr 100 TCF / yr – 1Gt CO2 / yr = 20 – 25 Million Barrels of Supercritical CO2 / day (PVT dependent) • 1000 MW Coal Plant requires ~ 1.65 Billion Barrels storage space in 30 yr. Carbon Abatement Costs $$$ • Valuing carbon will provide economic framework. • Carbon Tax @ $45 /t = * *WSJ Sept 12,2007 – 42 cents / gallon gasoline – 5 cents / kilowatt hour of electricity – $ 19. 44 / barrel of crude oil • High Carbon prices are required to generate material actions. • Under $20 / t - Buy credits and plant trees Massive Creativity A Sense of Urgency Sea Level +1 meter Environmental Studies Laboratory, Department of Geosciences, The University of Arizona Challenges • Timeline • Choices • Costs Q1 A B C D E Q2 Q3 Gas Injection • Cumulative 30-yr natural gas recycling at Prudhoe Bay, Alaska – ~ 49 TCF – ~ 275 BCF/yr CO2. – ~ 140 MM t/y CO2 • Permian Basin EOR –>40MM t/yr CO2. This photo is copyrighted by ConocoPhillips Alaska, Inc. and cannot be released or published without the express written consent of ConocoPhillips Alaska, Inc. * All Prudhoe info calculated from Alaska Oil & Gas Conservation Commission Public filings. Capture Technologies • Solvents • Membranes • Combustion Alternatives Gasification - IGCC Early Mover Projects Adapt and improve existing technology • Amines • Gasification • Possibly oxy-fire Basin Storage Systems San Juan Basin Schematic Cross Section WEST 25 miles EAST • Depleted Reservoirs • Saline Formations • ECBM – Injectivity? • Containment systems Storage Sites? Where can we start? Where it makes sense. • Leverage refinery and industrial complexes with power, steam and gases near large basin storage sites. • Gas Separation Projects with EOR or Storage • Consider – Value incentives, regulatory framework – Carbon-price bridge for early movers. Immingham, UK: CCS Concept •Existing World Class Co-gen •Expand with gasification •Store 8 MMty CO2 in North Sea Gas Fields. Like a space program? Thank You CCS Costs -Today’s Technology • Ballpark $70 /t – Calculations all over the map. Methodologies suspect. – Investment economics vs consumer metrics. • Value is maximized with large co-gen synergies with industrial gas use (H2, CO, O2, N2), "plus" commodities like ammonia, methanol, and SNG. • Best available technologies – $40 - $70 /tonne with lots of synergies – Some projects >$180 / tonne CO2 – Not able to “replicate” $25 / tonne.
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