Turban, Aronson, and Liang Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, Seventh Edition Chapter 4 Modeling and Analysis © 2005 Prentice Hall, Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 7th Edition, Turban, Aronson, and Liang 4-1 MSS Mathematical Models • Link decision variables, uncontrollable variables, and result variables together • decision variables, uncontrollable variables are the parameters while result variables are the outcomes which considered as dependent variables. © 2005 Prentice Hall, Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 7th Edition, Turban, Aronson, and Liang 4-2 MSS Mathematical Models – Decision variables describe alternative choices they could be people, time and schedules. – Uncontrollable variables are outside decisionmaker’s control these factors con be fixed, in which case they are called parameters and they can vary. – Fixed factors are parameters. – Intermediate outcomes produce intermediate result variables. – Result variables are dependent on chosen solution and uncontrollable variables. © 2005 Prentice Hall, Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 7th Edition, Turban, Aronson, and Liang 4-3 MSS Mathematical Models Non-quantitative models // like employee satisfaction (intermediate outcome), which in turn determines the productivity level (final result) – Symbolic relationship – Qualitative relationship – Results based upon • Decision selected • Factors beyond control of decision maker • Relationships amongst variables © 2005 Prentice Hall, Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 7th Edition, Turban, Aronson, and Liang 4-4 © 2005 Prentice Hall, Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 7th Edition, Turban, Aronson, and Liang 4-5 © 2005 Prentice Hall, Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 7th Edition, Turban, Aronson, and Liang 4-6 The structure of MSS Mathematical Models © 2005 Prentice Hall, Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 7th Edition, Turban, Aronson, and Liang 4-7 Mathematical Programming optimization • Tools for solving managerial problems • Decision-maker must allocate resources amongst competing activities • Optimization of specific goals • Linear programming is the best known technique in a family of optimization tools called mathematical programming. – Consists of decision variables, objective function and coefficients, uncontrollable variables (constraints), capacities, input and output coefficients © 2005 Prentice Hall, Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 7th Edition, Turban, Aronson, and Liang 4-8 Mathematical Programming optimization linear programming Mathematical programming is a family of tools designed to help solve the managerial problems in which the decision-maker must allocate scarce resources among competitive activities to optimize a measurable goal. Ex. The distribution of machine time (the resource) among various products (the activities) is a typical allocation problem. Linear programming (LP) allocation problems usually the following characteristics. © 2005 Prentice Hall, Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 7th Edition, Turban, Aronson, and Liang 4-9 Mathematical Programming optimization linear programming LP Characteristics: • A limited quantity of economic resources is available for allocation. • The resources are used in the production of products or services. • There are two or more ways in which the resources can be used. Each is called a solution or a program. • Each activity (product or service) in which the resources are used yields a return in terms of the stated goal. • The allocation is usually restricted by several limitations & requirements called constraints. © 2005 Prentice Hall, Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 7th Edition, Turban, Aronson, and Liang 4-10 Mathematical Programming optimization linear programming LP allocation model is based on the following rational economic assumptions: • Return from different allocation can be measured & compared. • The return from any allocation is independent of other allocations. • The total return is the sum of the returns yielded by the different activities. • All data are known with certainty. • The resources are to be used in the most economical manner. © 2005 Prentice Hall, Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 7th Edition, Turban, Aronson, and Liang 4-11 Mathematical Programming optimization linear programming © 2005 Prentice Hall, Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 7th Edition, Turban, Aronson, and Liang 4-12 Mathematical Programming optimization The most common optimization models can be solved by a variety of mathematical programming methods, they are: © 2005 Prentice Hall, Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 7th Edition, Turban, Aronson, and Liang 4-13 End of Chapter 4 © 2005 Prentice Hall, Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems, 7th Edition, Turban, Aronson, and Liang 4-14
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