C O V E R S T O R I E S Antitrust, Vol. 29, No. 3, Summer 2015. © 2015 by the American Bar Association. Reproduced with permission. All rights reserved. This information or any portion thereof may not be copied or disseminated in any form or by any means or stored in an electronic database or retrieval system without the express written consent of the American Bar Association. Getting Vertical Mergers Through the Agencies: “Let’s Make a Deal” BY JAMES A. KEYTE AND KENNETH B. SCHWARTZ W HAT TO DO, IF ANY THING, about vertical mergers continues to be debated extensively among scholars and the enforcement Agencies. One school of thought advocates for the revision of the Vertical Merger Guidelines,1 which have not been changed since 1984. These scholars and practitioners argue that the Guidelines should be updated to reflect the most current economic wisdom and analysis, garnered over the last three decades of vertical merger enforcement.2 The notion is that the case law on vertical mergers is limited and that while the Agencies continue to scrutinize vertical mergers, they have provided little in the way of official guidance as to what informs enforcement decisions. There has been a significant evolution in the economic analysis of vertical mergers since the publication of the Vertical Guidelines. Yet practitioners who find themselves advising on a vertical merger in highly concentrated upstream and/or downstream industries—where the Agencies are more likely to investigate—can choose a practical path to getting the deal through Agency review, even without the benefit of updated Guidelines. That path involves understanding which customers and/or competitors may express concern to the Agencies regarding the merger, whether those concerns are antitrust-related, and, if so, what types of conduct remedies (as opposed to structural remedies) may adequately address them. For this, the relevant guidance comes not from the case law, the Vertical Guidelines, or modern economic theory. Instead, in this article we offer practical advice informed by consent orders that reveal both the issues about which the Agencies are most concerned and how the parties can resolve those issues with—or at times without—a consent. In today’s regulatory climate, the Agencies are willing to litigate horizontal merger challenges with regularity. Vertical merger investigations, by contrast, rarely proceed to litigation and are typically resolved through consent orders with conduct remedies, for two interrelated reasons. First, because James A. Keyte is a partner in the New York office of Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom, LLP. Kenneth B. Schwartz is counsel in Skadden’s New York office. The authors thank Peter McCormack, an associate in Skadden’s New York office, for his help with this article. 1 0 · A N T I T R U S T the case law on vertical mergers is outdated, bringing a vertical merger challenge involves considerably more risk and uncertainty for the Agencies. Second, the Agencies appear to appreciate the complexity and difficulty of proving that a vertical merger will substantially harm competition or result in anticompetitive effects given the absence of a structural presumption and the likelihood cognizable, merger-specific efficiencies. As a result, parties to a vertical merger often can pursue a strategy of negotiating with the Agencies (and any private parties that may be affected by the deal) to agree on a conduct remedy that mitigates any competitive concerns. Case Law on Vertical Mergers The case law on vertical mergers is sparse: the most recent litigated case involving an Agency challenge to a vertical merger, Fruehauf Corp. v. FTC,3 was decided by the Second Circuit in 1979. In addition, the precedential value of vertical merger cases may be limited, as many vertical merger cases are premised on bygone legal and economic theories. Indeed, the Agencies do not appear to place much, if any, weight on these cases in making enforcement decisions today. Nevertheless, these cases have not been overturned and help contextualize the discussion on vertical merger analysis. In the 1960s and early 1970s, the Agencies brought a number of successful challenges to vertical mergers based predominantly on foreclosure theories, even though in many of these cases the degree of foreclosure was very minor. In Brown Shoe Co. v. United States, for example, the Supreme Court upheld the district court’s opinion enjoining the merger in part on vertical grounds, explaining that “[t]he primary vice of a vertical merger” is “foreclosing the competitors of either party from a segment of the market otherwise open to them.” 4 The Court further explained that the “percentage of the market foreclosed by the vertical arrangement” typically is not dispositive (in Brown Shoe, the foreclosure percentage was approximately 2 percent), and urged courts reviewing vertical mergers to examine the dynamics of the particular industry at issue to determine whether the merger may substantially lessen competition.5 The Court’s examination of those dynamics in Brown Shoe, however, was cursory at best. Nearly ten years later, in Ford Motor Co. v. United States, the Court upheld a district court opinion holding that Ford’s acquisition of an upstream automotive parts manufacturer violated Section 7 with respect to the manufacture and sale of spark plugs.6 The Court based its decision on “‘the foreclosure of Ford as a purchaser of about ten percent of total industry output,’” barriers to entry in the “auto industry” and the belief that Ford’s acquisition of Autolite would further the industry trend towards oligopoly.7 In Brown Shoe, Ford Motor, and other cases decided around that time,8 fact-based (as opposed to economics-based) arguments that a vertical merger had some tendency to foreclose competition won the day, even if the apparent extent of foreclosure was by today’s standards insignificant and would unlikely even result in serious Agency review or concern. In addition, the Supreme Court itself cautioned that in the context of a vertical merger, “[p]ossible economies cannot be used as a defense to illegality,” 9 and the Agencies responded in kind by pursuing remedies that ignored efficiencies from the transactions. The consequences of these Agency victories were grave for the merging parties: either the merger was enjoined or a divestiture was ordered, as conduct remedies were not yet in vogue. And, as a result, the Agencies took a very active role in prosecuting vertical mergers. In the mid- to late-1970s, lower courts became more circumspect on the foreclosure issue, primarily because of the widespread academic criticism of cases like Brown Shoe and the corresponding development of the Chicago School of modern antitrust economic and legal theory (including vertical theories of anticompetitive effects). For example, the Second Circuit in Fruehauf Corp. v. FTC denied the enforcement of the FTC’s order requiring a divestiture to resolve vertical concerns.10 The court emphasized what the Court in Brown Shoe articulated but seemed to ignore: that foreclosure itself is not “the proscribed effect” in a vertical merger analysis under Section 7, and that “[a] showing of some probable anticompetitive impact is still essential” to a finding of Section 7 liability.11 Applying this framework to the facts, the court held, “It is true that some market foreclosure may ensue from the merger, but not one that deprives rivals from major channels of distribution, much less one that excludes them from the market altogether.” 12 Perhaps the most significant contributions of Fruehauf and similar cases decided in the late 1970s13 were the recognition of basic economic principles and the advancement of a legal analysis of vertical mergers that adequately accounts for actual marketplace dynamics and effects. In other words, courts in the late 1970s did not base decisions primarily on the presence of (or even the mathematics of ) foreclosure, but rather on what was then viewed as a complete evaluation of the merger and its likely effects on competition based on real world facts.14 The 1984 Vertical Merger Guidelines In addition to the scarcity of vertical merger case law, the Agencies’ most recent guidelines regarding the analysis of vertical mergers—the Vertical Guidelines—are over three decades old, are infrequently cited, and provide only a modicum of insight into how the Agencies currently make enforcement decisions about vertical mergers. In the 1960s, the then-current version of the Merger Guidelines provided that the DOJ would typically challenge a merger where the applicable percentage of foreclosure was 10 percent or less.15 By the early 1980s, the Agencies appeared to be taking notice of the emerging economic thinking that vertical mergers rarely result in a substantial lessening of competition and typically generate significant procompetitive efficiencies. Indeed, during the 1980s the Agencies brought [T]he Agencies’ most recent guidelines regarding the analysis of ver tical merger s—the Ver tical Guidelines—are over three decades old, are infrequently cited, and provide only a modicum of insight into how the Agencies cur rently make enforcement decisions about ver tical merger s. very few vertical merger enforcement actions, in apparent recognition that vertical mergers hardly ever create competitive concerns. In 1982, the Agencies published revised Merger Guidelines that updated the 1968 Guidelines to reflect this philosophy. And, two years later, the publication of the Vertical Guidelines reinforced the Agencies’ view that “non-horizontal mergers are less likely than horizontal mergers to create competitive problems.” 16 In the same breath, however, the Vertical Guidelines also recognize that vertical mergers are not “invariably innocuous” and provide a description of the theories of competitive harm that may lead to an Agency challenge. The Vertical Guidelines address the elimination of specific potential entrants (into the vertically-related market) as one type of antitrust harm that may arise in some vertical mergers. They explain that a vertical merger may harm competition if the acquiring party, although not competing against the acquired party, constrains the competitive behavior of firms in the acquired party’s market by virtue of its potential to enter. Or, it may harm competition because the acquiring party is in a position to enter the market of the acquired party “in a more procompetitive manner” than through the merger.17 The Guidelines are clear that in order for this theory to apply, (1) the relevant market (whether upstream or downstream) must be highly concentrated, (2) there must be high entry barriers, (3) the acquiring firm must have some sort of “entry advantage” and (4) the acquired firm must have at least a 5 percent market share.18 With respect to the other “competitive problems from vertical mergers,” the Vertical Guidelines list two: first, “vertical mergers could create competitively objectionable barriS U M M E R 2 0 1 5 · 1 1 C O V E R ers to entry;” 19 and second, vertical integration “may facilitate collusion in the upstream market by making it easier to monitor price.” 20 The Vertical Guidelines provide that entry barriers are only a basis for antitrust concern only when (1) new entrants would have to enter both the upstream and downstream market simultaneously, (2) the vertical merger increases the difficulty of such simultaneous entry, and (3) the relevant market is concentrated.21 The Agencies are “unlikely to challenge a merger” based on the facilitation of collusion unless there is (1) a highly concentrated upstream market, (2) a high level of vertical integration by upstream firms into the retail market, and (3) a large percentage of sales of the upstream product at the retail level.22 In addition, the Vertical Guidelines consider whether the vertical merger eliminates a “disruptive buyer” in the downstream market.23 At the same time, the Vertical Guidelines expressly recognize that vertical mergers often create merger-specific efficiencies that the Agencies will take into consideration. The Vertical Guidelines explain that the Agencies “will give relatively more weight to expected efficiencies in determining whether to challenge a vertical merger than in determining whether to challenge a horizontal merger.” 24 The Vertical Guidelines provide a helpful historical perspective on the Agencies’ approach to vertical merger enforcement in the 1980s, but not much else. The utility of the Vertical Guidelines is limited by their vintage as evidenced by the fact that they are neither cited by the Agencies with any regularity nor discussed by the Agencies in any depth. In addition, the term “foreclosure” does not appear anywhere in the Vertical Guidelines, even though the concept was frontand-center in almost every Supreme Court and lower court opinion from the 1960s and continues to be the basis for more recent Agency enforcement actions. Moreover, in our experience, efficiencies are not simply given “relatively more weight” in vertical merger investigations; rather, because the Agencies appreciate that vertical mergers almost invariably produce efficiencies, they can play a critical role in the Agencies’ analysis. In addition to the Vertical Guidelines, the Antitrust Division Policy Guide to Merger Remedies provides significant and helpful guidance with respect to the types of remedies the Agencies will accept to resolve concerns that accompany a vertical merger.25 The Policy Guide explains that “in appropriate vertical merger matters the Division will consider tailored conduct remedies designed to prevent conduct that might harm consumers while still allowing the efficiencies that may come from the merger to be realized.” 26 This statement is in complete alignment with Agency consent orders addressing vertical mergers. Further, the Policy Guide recognizes that structural remedies may be appropriate when “vertical integration is a small part of a larger deal,” and also observes that “[c]onduct relief can be a particularly effective option when a structural remedy would eliminate the merger’s potential efficiencies, but, absent a remedy, the merger would harm competition.” 27 1 2 · A N T I T R U S T S T O R I E S The Academic Debate The evolution of vertical merger analysis at the Agencies (and to a lesser extent, in the courts) has coincided with more vigorous academic debate as the tools of the trade become more quantitative and robust. After the wave of successful Agency vertical merger challenges in the 1960s, leading antitrust scholars began to cast aspersions on the rationale courts were using to condemn vertical mergers.28 In particular, these scholars found that the purported competitive concerns regarding foreclosure arising from vertical mergers were exaggerated and not based on sound economic theory. In response to this criticism, lower courts began to engage in a more complete analysis of relevant market dynamics and to incorporate prevailing economic theory in decisions (e.g., the concept of eliminating double marginalization, etc.). In turn, the Agencies began to scrutinize vertical mergers less closely; that approach was memorialized in the 1984 Vertical Guidelines. In the early- to mid-1990s, after about a decade of little (if not nonexistent) vertical merger enforcement, the pendulum swung closer to the center.29 One group of leading economists developed a vertical theory of harm around the concept of “raising rivals’ costs,” positing that vertical integration may allow the merged entity to increase upstream and/or downstream competitors’ costs, which may lead to higher prices, lower quality, or reduced output.30 As theories like raising rivals cost gained traction among academics and practitioners, the Agencies themselves gradually ramped up vertical merger enforcement, but not to the same level as the 1960s and 1970s, and with a more pragmatic approach to resolving competitive concerns. More recently, the academic discussion has taken a slightly different tenor and focus. Rather than articulating theories of harm, economists have been developing models to quantify the anticompetitive effects of vertical mergers. For example, Steven Salop, one of the economists who developed the raising rivals cost theory, also introduced the Vertical Gross Upward Pricing Pressure Index (vGUPPI) as a method to “score” the likely effects of a vertical merger by focusing on unilateral incentives.31 To be sure, Section 7 practitioners should continue to keep a watchful eye on economic theories and new methodologies for assessing vertical mergers, but this is not where the most practical solutions are found. For this, we look to the current decision-making of the Agencies themselves. Consent Orders and Other Agency Guidance Practitioners looking for guidance on how the Agencies may approach a vertical merger may not find practical help from the case law or the Vertical Guidelines. Agency consent orders, however, contain a wealth of information regarding vertical merger enforcement actions, including the theories underlying such actions and the remedies that have resolved the Agencies’ concerns. These consent orders are thus an essential resource. Recent consent orders and other Agency precedent and guidance reveal that in vertical mergers the Agencies focus on (1) whether the post-merger entity will have the incentive to foreclose downstream competitors from obtaining key inputs by, inter alia, raising those competitors’ costs of obtaining such inputs—an inquiry to which barriers of entry are not only relevant but critical; (2) whether the merger will result in customer foreclosure; and/or (3) whether the merger will facilitate collusion in the upstream or the downstream product market. As mentioned above, the Agencies historically pursued vertical merger challenges based primarily on foreclosure related theories of harm. And, of course, the possibility of collusion is always a concern under the antitrust laws. Although not the exclusive focus of the Agencies today, the majority of recent vertical merger enforcement actions are predicated on these inquiries. Consistent with the Vertical Guidelines, the Agencies will also carefully consider any efficiency gains that will be realized from the merger. The types of deals the Agencies are willing to accept take many forms and are not one-size-fits-all. To achieve an appropriate balance, a majority of consent orders involving vertical mergers contain conduct remedies, such as an obligation to license or sell an input to customers on commercially reasonable and non-discriminatory terms,32 the extension or modification of an existing contractual agreement,33 a provision prohibiting retaliatory conduct or conduct interfering with existing business or contractual relationships,34 and/or the imposition of firewalls.35 The Agencies typically avoid requiring a structural remedy to address a purely vertical merger (i.e., one with no horizontal component), since a divestiture is usually excessive in light of the nature of the competitive concerns vertical mergers present and in fact may eliminate many merger-specific efficiencies. In addition, vertical consent agreements often incorporate longterm agreements negotiated independently (i.e., before or without Agency involvement) between the merging parties and any affected parties, most commonly customers that are now also competitors of the merged entity. One of the more recent FTC consent orders involving General Electric Co.’s acquisition of Avio S.p.A. is instructive.36 GE, a global conglomerate that, among other things, manufactures jet engines for commercial and military aircraft and sells them through a joint venture with a French manufacturer named CFM, agreed to merge with Avio, a manufacturer of component parts for those engines. One of Avio’s products, an accessory gearbox (AGB), is a critical engine component that powers electrical and other aircraft systems and, importantly here, is customized for each engine. At the time of the merger, Avio was working with GE’s jet engine competitor, Pratt & Whitney, on the development of an AGB for a new engine that P&W had agreed to sell to Airbus for a specific aircraft, the A320neo. The only other engine Airbus selected for that aircraft was manufactured by CFM, in which GE holds a 50 percent stake. The project was in advanced stages, and P&W had invested significant time and money, but there was still a long way to go before the engine could be certified for commercial use. P&W therefore had no viable alternative to continuing to work on the project with Avio. The FTC found that the merger between GE and Avio would provide GE with the incentive to thwart the P&W/ Avio AGB development project, in large part because GE had an economic interest in the only firm other than P&W that Airbus selected to manufacture engines for the A320neo. If GE acted on this incentive, it would not only enrich itself through CFM, but might also increase its perceived market power. The FTC concluded that GE “would likely use its increased market power to raise price, reduce quality or delay delivery of engines [for the A320neo].” 37 The types of deals the Agencies are willing to accept take many for ms and are not one-size-fits-all. To resolve these concerns, GE, Avio, and P&W independently entered into a commercial agreement providing that Avio will complete the project with P&W unobstructed by GE’s influence. The FTC, in turn, incorporated this commercial agreement into a consent order resolving its competitive concerns. In addition, the consent order (1) required GE not to interfere with any P&W project staffing decisions; (2) allowed P&W to have on-site representatives observe Avio’s work on the project; (3) required GE to provide transition services that would enable P&W or a third party to produce AGBs for the P&W engine going forward; and (4) mandated the erection of a firewall to prevent the flow of information regarding the P&W project from Avio to GE. The FTC’s recent consent order resolving concerns related to Par Petroleum Corp.’s acquisition of Mid Pac Petroleum, LLC is also instructive as to how the Agencies are dealing with foreclosure concerns in enforcement actions.38 Before the merger of Par and Mid Pac, there were four bulk suppliers of Hawaii-grade gasoline blendstock (HIBOB), the only grade of gasoline that meets Hawaii’s emissions standards: Par, Mid Pac, Chevron Corp., and Aloha Petroleum, Ltd. Par, an integrated petroleum products company, owned one of two refineries in Hawaii capable of producing HIBOB. The other refinery was owned by Chevron. Like Par and Chevron, Mid Pac and Aloha supplied, marketed, and distributed HIBOB throughout Hawaii, but unlike Par and Chevron, neither Mid Pac nor Aloha owned a HIBOB refinery in Hawaii. Instead, Mid Pac and Aloha each owned a 50 percent interest in Barber’s Point Terminal, the only terminal in Hawaii not owned by Par or Chevron capable of receiving bulk quantities of HIBOB via vessel. Using the capacity at the Barber’s Point Terminal for storage, both Mid Pac and Aloha purchased HIBOB either from Par and/or Chevron or from importers via ocean-going vessel. After Par’s acquisition S U M M E R 2 0 1 5 · 1 3 C O V E R of Mid Pac, however, Mid Pac’s 50 percent stake would be controlled by Par. The FTC found that Mid Pac’s and Aloha’s import capabilities via the Barber’s Point Terminal served to constrain HIBOB prices, and that the transfer of Mid Pac’s 50 percent share in the terminal to Par would relax that constraint and thereby lessen competition. Interestingly, the FTC did not find that the removal of Mid Pac as a competitor in and of itself would harm competition: the consent order expressly states that “the evidence did not show that Mid Pac’s participation in bulk supply or downstream markets is competitively significant.” 39 Rather, the FTC was concerned with the possibility that Par might be able to use its position at Barber’s Point to thwart Aloha’s ability to use imports to obtain a lower price of HIBOB (i.e., by Par “parking” petroleum products at the terminal), thereby weakening Aloha as a competitor. Over the dissenting statement of Commissioner Joshua Wright, who pointed out that such a theory ignores economic reality (i.e., for Par to profit from such exclusionary conduct would require Chevron’s coordination, and there was scant record evidence of coordination in the bulk supply of HIBOB), the FTC and the Parties agreed to a consent order requiring Par to terminate its rights at Barber’s Point Terminal. Another recent vertical merger consent order, this time from the DOJ, involved Google’s acquisition of ITA Software, Inc.40 ITA was a developer and licensor of QPX, a software that performs complex functions enabling users to search for and compare airfares online. Google, which had no presence in comparative online travel search prior to the acquisition, purchased ITA with the intent to develop its own flight search functionality in competition against existing travel search sites. As the DOJ explained, “Google is acquiring a critical input not previously owned by a company that is a horizontal competitor to users of ITA[,] . . . pos[ing] a significant risk that Google could use the acquisition to foreclose rivals or unfairly raise their costs.” 41 The DOJ observed that ITA had a leading position among online travel intermediaries (OTIs), a group consisting of online travel agents (i.e., Travelocity and Expedia) and travel metasearch engines (i.e., Kayak and Trip Advisor). In addition, because ITA was not vertically integrated, it had no incentive to favor one OTI customer over another. However, the DOJ found that post-merger, “Google will have the ability and incentive to either shut off access to ITA to those competitors, or degrade the quality of QPX that is available to those competitors.” 42 As with the FTC in GE/Avio, the DOJ resolved its concern that the Google/ITA merger would harm competition in the downstream market for comparative flight search by entering into a consent agreement containing several requirements as to Google’s conduct relating to ITA. Among other things, the order required Google to (1) continue to honor ITA’s QPX licenses and offer to renew those licenses on the same terms for a period of five years, (2) offer QPX license to any new OTIs on “fair, reasonable and non-discriminato1 4 · A N T I T R U S T S T O R I E S ry [(FRAND)] terms,” (3) continue upgrading and developing QPX as ITA did when it operated independently, (4) license any add-ons to QPX in a similar manner, (5) erect a firewall preventing the flow of information regarding ITA licensees to Google and (6) report any complaints regarding any unfair treatment of OTIs. The consent also prohibited Google from preventing any OTI from using a competing product to ITA’s QPX. At the same time, however, the consent order does not require Google “to offer OTIs any product, service or functionality that Google develops exclusively for its new travel search service.” 43 Other recent consent orders similarly have resolved Agency concerns of foreclosure and/or collusion by fashioning conduct remedies tailored to the facts of the case, including the dynamics of the industry at issue. For example, in the consent order relating to Comcast’s acquisition of control of NBC Universal’s (NBCU) video programming content through a joint venture arrangement,44 the DOJ expressed concern that Comcast could harm rivals in the video programming distribution market (i.e., direct broadcast satellite providers, telephone companies that provide video services, and online video distributors (OVDs)) by either withholding NBCU programming entirely or raising its cost. To resolve that concern, Comcast, NBCU, and GE (which owned NBCU) agreed to offer OVDs the same content as traditional video programming distributors and to make available to OVDs content similar that NBCU and Comcast’s peers offer. The consent order also provides the DOJ with sole discretion to resolve disputes between the JV and an OVD through commercial arbitration, includes anti-retaliation provisions, and requires the JV to subject itself to Open Internet requirements. In addition, Comcast was required to relinquish control over the management of a successful emerging OVD, Hulu, to resolve the DOJ’s horizontal concerns. In its consent order relating to the vertical merger between Seadrift Coke L.P., a manufacturer of petroleum needle coke (PNC), and GrafTech International Ltd., a manufacturer of graphic electrode products for which PNC is a key input, the DOJ resolved concerns that the merger would facilitate collusion.45 There, a termination clause in a pre-existing supply contract between GrafTech and Conoco (one of Seadrift’s four competitors in the world) provided that upon termination, GrafTech would purchase specified volumes of PNC from Conoco for a three-year term on a most-favored nation (MFN) pricing basis. To implement the MFN provision, the clause also allowed GrafTech and Conoco to audit one another’s books, which contained current cost, pricing, output, and other competitively sensitive information. As such, the DOJ cautioned that allowing this provision to apply post-merger would permit Seadrift to “verify a key rival’s contemporaneous prices, which could facilitate an understanding between Seadrift and Conoco about the prices to be charged to each customer, and could be used to enforce that understanding by deterring cheating,” and would also discourage discounting.46 To resolve these concerns, the DOJ and the parties agreed to “remove the terms [of the agreement] related to the ongoing audit rights, sharing of non-public or proprietary information, and MFN pricing.” 47 In addition, the DOJ required the parties to provide copies of any agreement relating to the sale of PNC and to erect a firewall to segregate employees that negotiate with Conoco from employees that price and produce PNC at Seadrift. The Antitrust Division Policy Guide to Merger Remedies advises that conduct remedies must not be vague, lest the lack of clarity render the remedy impotent to resolve the competitive concern. According to the Guide, the most common conduct remedies in vertical mergers are “firewall, nondiscrimination, mandatory licensing, transparency, and anti-retaliation provisions, as well as prohibitions on certain contracting practices.” 48 These conduct remedies have been applied in the above consents as well as others since the mid1990s. Playing “Let’s Make a Deal” Given the last 30 years of Agency enforcement experience, practitioners representing parties to vertical mergers in concentrated industries should understand that the Agencies recognize the substantive difficulties of litigating a vertical merger challenge and are amenable to reaching agreements with the parties (and any potentially affected third parties) that address potential competitive harms, while allowing the marketplace to benefit from the merger-specific efficiencies. Viewed in this light, practitioners advising clients in the context of vertical mergers where the Agencies may have a strong argument on foreclosure and/or collusion (especially in markets with high shares) should approach both potential complainants and the Agencies with a negotiator’s mentality. There are two strategies for resolving antitrust concerns presented by a vertical merger, both of which have merit. First, parties to a vertical merger can negotiate with customers and/or competitors directly to reach a private agreement that either obviates the need for Agency review or narrows the issues likely to attract Agency scrutiny. This tactic has become popular for the same reason that parties to a horizontal merger with major overlaps often prefer a fix-itfirst structural remedy: a private agreement can moot Agency concerns and expedite the review process. Two examples of this approach are the acquisitions by PepsiCo, Inc. and The Coca-Cola Company of their respective largest bottlers (for PepsiCo, Pepsi Bottling Group, Inc. and PepsiAmericas, Inc., and for Coca-Cola, Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc.), which also bottled and distributed soft drinks for mutual competitor Dr. Pepper Snapple Group Inc.’s (DPSG) pursuant to license agreements.49 After announcing these transactions but before the transactions were reviewed by the FTC, PespiCo and Coca-Cola preemptively entered into new 20-year license agreements with DPSG to ensure that DPSG’s soft drinks would continue to be distributed following these acquisitions on similar terms as before the acquisitions, rather than being foreclosed from distribution. When these acquisitions came before the FTC, the FTC did not require the negotiated agreement to be part of the consent order. Rather, the FTC required, in separate consent orders, that PepsiCo and CocaCola implement firewalls to protect competitively sensitive and confidential DPSG marketing and brand plans from individuals at the PepsiCo and/or Coca-Cola involved in the same functions. The benefit of this approach is that it allows the parties to resolve the specific business issues that may cause concern—especially foreclosure-related concern— before getting the Agencies involved. Once an agreement is in place, the parties can educate the Agencies about how the agreement adequately resolves any conceivable concerns. Second, the parties can negotiate directly with the Agencies to reach terms of an agreement that will apply to all customers and/or competitors. This approach may be preferred when parties to a vertical merger do not believe there are significant vertical concerns—because, for example, the industry is not concentrated, there are several available alternatives in upstream or downstream markets, there is a low degree of vertical integration in the industry, entry barriers are low and it is difficult to monitor prices. In addition, a party may choose this strategy if it does not want to enter private negotiations and agreements that may go beyond what the Agencies would otherwise require or if it would be impracticable to enter into multiple agreements. There is no set time for when to engage in negotiations with an at-risk customer in a vertical merger. Parties must balance the significance of the risk of Agency review and customer complaints with potential timing considerations. In many instances, parties will contact customers at or immediately after the announcement of the vertical merger to begin the process of negotiating contract extensions or other bilateral arrangements that can minimize or eliminate theoretical competitive harm. A common practice of parties to vertical mergers likely to be reviewed by the Agencies is to include express language in press releases and other dealrelated communications clearly stating that the merged company is committed to continuing dealings with all customers, including (where relevant) on existing or FRAND terms. In other cases, the parties may take a wait-and-see approach to determine whether the transaction will be reviewed by the Agencies before engaging in any customer contacts or negotiations. The right deal must address the Agencies’ concerns, but should not be viewed as commercial blackmail. Take an example where an upstream monopolist of a key input is acquired by one of three downstream competitors. The Agencies might theorize that the upstream monopolist, now under the control of a downstream competitor, may withhold the input from its competitors, raise the price of the input to its competitors, or obtain confidential, non-public information about its competitors in the possession of the supplier. In such a situation, the deal that adequately addresses the Agencies’ concerns would likely include a guaranteed longterm supply of the input for a reasonable period (for examS U M M E R 2 0 1 5 · 1 5 C O V E R ple, until a new firm enters or a new technology emerges), as well as implementation of firewalls or other limitations.50 There are times in these types of negotiations when a competitor alleging that it will be harmed by a vertical merger may overplay its hand, thinking it can either hold up a transaction by refusing to negotiate with the parties or extract more favorable prices or deal terms than it would be able to, absent the transaction. The Agencies are aware of these tactics and are not persuaded by them. If a customer refuses to negotiate with merging vertical parties that are prepared to offer the customer a long-term agreement with terms that address the Agencies’ concerns, it is not uncommon for the Agencies to inform the customer that it will close its HartScott-Rodino Act investigation by a specified date irrespective of whether the customers have entered into agreements to extend its contract. In this way, if parties to a vertical merger can convince the Agencies that a proposed conduct remedy adequately rectifies competitive concerns, and that a non-merging third party’s refusal to negotiate is preventing the parties from implementing that remedy, the parties may be able to align themselves with the Agencies and achieve an expedited resolution. All of this is not to suggest that practitioners should ignore theoretical and analytical developments in the area of vertical merger analysis. But understanding the issues that complaining parties may raise, and negotiating with all interested parties to resolve those concerns, often is a simpler and less costly approach that accomplishes the client’s objective of getting the deal through regulatory review. 䡵 1 1 U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Non-Horizontal Merger Guidelines (1984) [hereinafter Guidelines], available at http://www.justice.gov/atr/public/guidelines/ 2614.pdf. See, e.g., Steven C. Salop & Daniel P. Culley, Potential Competitive Effects of Vertical Mergers: A How-To Guide for Practitioners, Georgetown University Law Center (2014), available at http://scholarship.law.georgetown.edu/cgi/ viewcontent.cgi?article=2404&context=facpub. S T O R I E S may simply free up that much of the market, in which the merging firm’s competitors and the merged firm formerly transacted, for new transactions between the merged firm’s competitors and the merging firm’s competitors. See 2 P HILLIP A REEDA & D ONALD T URNER , A NTITRUST L AW ¶ 527a (1978).”). 12 Id. at 360. 13 See, e.g., United States v. Hammermill Paper Co., 429 F. Supp. 1271 (W.D. Pa. 1977). 14 Fruehauf itself articulated a comprehensive summary of the marketplace factors courts should typically consider in evaluating whether a vertical merger may harm competition. Those factors include the “the nature and economic purpose of the arrangement, the likelihood and size of any market foreclosure, the extent of concentration of sellers and buyers in the industry, the capital cost required to enter the market [and related barriers to entry], the market share needed by a buyer or seller to achieve a profitable level of production (sometimes referred to as ‘scale economy’), the existence of a trend toward vertical concentration or oligopoly in the industry, [] whether the merger will eliminate potential competition by one of the merging parties[,] . . . the degree of market power that would be possessed by the merged enterprise and the number and strength of competing suppliers and purchasers.” 603 F.2d at 353. These factors provide a helpful reference point for the practitioner; however, no court since Fruehauf has applied these factors to a vertical merger, and the factors themselves reveal very little about how the Agencies make vertical merger enforcement decisions. 15 U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Merger Guidelines (1968), available at http://www. justice.gov/atr/hmerger/11247.pdf. 16 Guidelines, supra note 1, § 4.0. 17 Id. § 4.112. 18 Id. §§ 4.131–133. 19 Id. § 4.21. 20 Id. § 4.221. 21 Id. § 4.211–213. 22 Id. § 4.221. 23 Id. § 4.222. Although not discussed here, the Vertical Guidelines also discuss the harm to competition from vertical mergers where an upstream entity subject to government regulation acquires a downstream buyer and is able to deal with the buyer on more favorable terms, effectively circumventing regulation. See id. § 4.23. 24 Id. § 4.24. 25 U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Antitrust Division Policy Guide to Merger Remedies (2011), available at http://www.justice.gov/atr/public/guidelines/272350. pdf. 26 Id. at 5; see also id. at 13 (“Tailoring a conduct remedy to the particular competitive concern(s) raised by a vertical merger can effectively prevent harmful conduct while preserving the beneficial aspects of the merger.”). 3 603 F.2d 345 (2d Cir. 1979). 4 370 U.S. 294, 323–24 (1962) (citations omitted). 27 5 Id. at 5, 7. Id. at 329. 28 P HILLIP A REEDA & D ONALD T URNER , 4A A NTITRUST L AW : A N A NALYSIS OF A NTITRUST P RINCIPLES AND T HEIR A PPLICATION ¶ 1004 (3d ed. 2009); R OBERT H. B ORK , T HE A NTITRUST PARADOX : A P OLICY AT WAR WITH I TSELF 232 (1978); Dennis Carlton, Ver tical Integration in Competitive Markets Under Uncertainty, 27 J. I NDUS . E CON . 189 (1979); see also Martin K. Perry, Vertical Integration: Determinants and Effects, in 1 H ANDBOOK OF I NDUSTRIAL O RGANIZATION 183 (Richard Schmalensee & Robert Willig eds., 1989); Oliver E. Williamson, Vertical Integration and Related Variations on a TransactionCost Economics Theme, in N EW D EVELOPMENTS IN THE A NALYSIS OF M ARKET S TRUCTURE 149 (Joseph Stiglitz & G. Frank Matthewson eds., 1986). 29 Herbert Hovenkamp, Post-Chicago Antitrust: A Review and Critique, 2001 C OLUM . B US . L. R EV. 257 (2001); Patrick Bolton & Michael D. Whinston, The“Foreclosure” Effects of Vertical Mergers, 147 J. I NST ’ L & T HEORETICAL E CON . 207 (1991); Janusz A. Ordover et al., Equilibrium Vertical Foreclosure, 80 A M . E CON . R EV. 127 (1990); Michael A. Salinger, Vertical Mergers and Market Foreclosure, 103 Q.J. E CON . 345 (1988). 30 See, e.g., Michael H. Riordan & Steven C. Salop, Evaluating Vertical Mergers: A Post-Chicago Approach, 63 A NTITRUST L.J. 513, 549 (1995). 6 405 U.S. 562 (1972). 7 Id. at 567–71 (citation omitted). 8 See, e.g., Ash Grove Cement Co. v. FTC, 577 F.2d 1368 (9th Cir. 1978); Miss. River Corp. v. FTC, 454 F.2d 1083 (8th Cir. 1972); U.S. Steel Corp. v. FTC, 426 F.2d 592 (6th Cir. 1970); United States v. Sybron Corp., 329 F. Supp. 919 (E.D. Pa. 1971); United States v. Kimberly-Clark Corp., 264 F. Supp. 439 (N.D. Cal. 1967); United States v. Jerrold Elecs. Corp., 187 F. Supp. 545 (E.D. Pa. 1960), aff’d, 365 U.S. 567 (1961); see generally Alan A. Fischer & Richard Sciacca, An Economic Analysis of Vertical Merger Enforcement Policy, 6 R ES . L. & E CON . 1, 59 (1984). 9 FTC v. Procter & Gamble Co., 386 U.S. 568, 580 (1967). 10 603 F.2d 345 (2d Cir. 1979). 11 Id. at 352–53; see also id. at 352 n.9 (“[W]e are unwilling to assume that any vertical foreclosure lessens competition. Absent very high market concentration or some other factor threatening a tangible anticompetitive effect, a vertical merger may simply realign sales patterns, for insofar as the merger forecloses some of the market from the merging firms’ competitors, it 1 6 · A N T I T R U S T 31 32 33 34 Serge X. Moresi & Steven C. Salop, vGUPPI: Scoring Unilateral Pricing Incentives in Vertical Mergers, 79 A NTITRUST L.J. 185 (2013). See, e.g., Competitive Impact Statement, United States v. Google Inc., 1:11cv-00688 (D.D.C. Apr. 8, 2011) [hereinafter Google/ITA CIS], available at http://www.justice.gov/atr/cases/f269600/269620.pdf; Competitive Impact Statement, United States v. Comcast Corp., 1:11-cv-00106 (D.D.C. Jan. 18, 2011), [hereinafter Comcast/NBCU CIS], available at http://www. justice.gov/atr/cases/f266100/266158.pdf. See, e.g., Gen. Elec. Co., 78 Fed. Reg. 45,194 (FTC July 26, 2013) [hereinafter GE/Avio Consent Analysis], available at https://www.ftc.gov/ sites/default/files/documents/cases/2013/07/130719generalelectric analysis.pdf (analysis of proposed agreement containing consent order to aid public comment); Google/ITA CIS, supra note 32. See, e.g., GE/Avio Consent Analysis, supra note 33; Comcast/NBCU CIS, supra note 32; Google/ITA CIS, supra note 32. 35 See, e.g., GE/Avio Consent Analysis, supra note 33; Google/ITA CIS, supra note 32; Competitive Impact Statement, United States v. Graf Tech Int’l Ltd., 1:10-cv-02039 (D.D.C. Nov. 29, 2010) [hereinafter GrafTech CIS], available at http://www.justice.gov/atr/cases/f264600/264608.pdf. 36 GE/Avio Consent Analysis, supra note 33; Press Release, Fed. Trade Comm’n, General Electric Agrees to Settlement with FTC that Allows the Purchase of Avio’s Aviation Business (July 19, 2013), available at https:// www.ftc.gov/news-events/press-releases/2013/07/general-electric-agreessettlement-ftc-allows-purchase-avio%E2%80%99s. 37 GE/Avio Consent Analysis, supra note 33, at 45,196. 38 See, e.g., Par Petroleum Corp., 80 Fed. Reg. 15,605 (FTC Mar. 24, 2015) [hereinafter Par/MidPac Consent Analysis], available at https://www. ftc.gov/system/files/documents/federal_register_notices/2015/03/1503 24parpetroleumfrn.pdf (analysis of proposed agreement containing consent order to aid public comment); Press Release, Fed. Trade Comm’n, FTC Puts Conditions on Par Petroleum Corporation’s Acquisition of Mid Pac Petroleum, LLC (Mar. 18, 2015), available at https://www.ftc.gov/newsevents/press-releases/2015/03/ftc-puts-conditions-par-petroleumcorporations-acquisition-mid. 39 Par/MidPac Consent Analysis, supra note 38, at 15,607. 40 See Google/ITA CIS, supra note 32; Press Release, U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Justice Department Requires Google Inc. to Develop and License Travel Software in Order to Proceed with Its Acquisition of ITA Software Inc. (Apr. 8, 2011), available at http://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-departmentrequires-google-inc-develop-and-license-travel-software-order-proceed-its. 41 Google/ITA CIS, supra note 32, at 2. 42 Id. at 9. 43 Id. at 11. 44 See Comcast/NBCU CIS, supra note 32; Press Release, U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Justice Department Allows Comcast-NBCU Joint Venture to Proceed with Conditions (Jan. 18, 2011), available at http://www.justice.gov/atr/ public/press_releases/2011/266149.pdf. 45 GrafTech CIS, supra note 35; Press Release, U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Justice Department Requires GrafTech International to Make Key Changes to Supply Contracts in Order to Proceed with its Acquisition of Seadrift LP (Nov. 29, 2010), available at http://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-departmentrequires-graftech-international-make-key-changes-supply-contracts-order. 46 GrafTech CIS, supra note 35, at 7. 47 Id. at 9. 48 Antitrust Division Policy Guide to Merger Remedies, supra note 25, at 13. 49 PepsiCo, Inc., 75 Fed. Reg. 10,795 (FTC Mar. 9, 2010), available at https:// www.ftc.gov/sites/default/files/documents/federal_register_notices/ pepsico-inc.analysis-agreement-containing-consent-order-aid-publiccomment/100309pepsicoanal.pdf (analysis of proposed agreement containing consent order to aid public comment); The Coca-Cola Co., 75 Fed. Reg. 61,141 (FTC Oct. 4, 2010), available at https://www.ftc.gov/sites/ default/files/documents/cases/2010/09/101004cocacolaanal.pdf (analysis of proposed agreement containing consent order to aid public comment) 50 E.g., GrafTech CIS, supra note 35. S U M M E R 2 0 1 5 · 1 7
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