Travel Behavior Panel Surveys: Measuring the Impacts of Road Pricing in Seattle and Atlanta Travel Survey Methods Committee Meeting January 25, 2012 1 Project Background • USDOT Urban Partnership Agreement (UPA)/Congestion Reduction Demonstration (CRD) programs fund selected cities/ regions to implement a comprehensive, integrated approach to reducing congestion – The four T’s: Tolling; Transit; Technology; Telecommuting – Recipients: Atlanta, Seattle, Miami, Minneapolis, Los Angeles, San Francisco • National Evaluation being conducted by Battelle • FHWA funds Volpe Center to perform household panel survey 2 2 Source: Wikipedia Seattle and Atlanta 3 Evaluation Questions How did travel times, vehicle miles traveled, and daily travel budgets change at the individual/household level? Were there shifts in departure times or modes? In origin-destination patterns? For those who used the priced facility less, where did the reduced trips go? Telework? Combined errands? Route diversion? Atlanta: How do 2-person carpools adapt to the new occupancy requirements? What are the equity impacts of the road pricing policies? 4 Overall Study Approach • Household Panel Study: same households before and after road pricing Seattle wave 1 survey Atlanta Express Lanes open April/May 2012 Oct. 2011 Nov. 2010 5 Atlanta Wave 2 survey April/May 2011 Dec. 2011 April/May 2012 Atlanta Wave 1 survey Seattle tolling starts Seattle Wave 2 survey Overview of Study Population • Peak hour corridor drivers: sample through license plate capture with match to registered address • Seattle: SR-520 and I-90 • Atlanta: I-85 and Buford Highway • Peak hour corridor transit users: In-person intercept • Seattle: bus stops, transit centers; park & rides; on-board buses • Atlanta: park & rides in corridor: MARTA stations • Corridor vanpool members: send email to vanpool participants 6 Atlanta Sample Development (Drivers) 52, 901 plates captured: Feb. 15 -16, 2010/ 6-10 AM & 3-7 PM 39,527 on I-85;13,374 on Buford Highway Clean out unusable records, duplicates, commercial, out-of state 46,245 plates sent to State for matching 91.6% match rate: 42,379 addresses returned Final quality check (e.g., remove businesses) 35,455 Survey invitations mailed out 765 undeliverables 34,690 addresses in final sample 7 Sample Development for Transit/Vanpools • Seattle: in-person intercept October 18-21, 2010 – on-board intercept (ipad) on buses crossing Lake Washington – Postcard handout: Redmond and Bellevue Transit Centers; South Kirkland and Eastgate Park & Rides; on-board buses; downtown bus stops • Atlanta: in-person intercept March 21-25, 2011 – Postcard handout only: Discover Mills, Indian Trail, Mall of Georgia, and I-985 Park and Rides, Doraville and Lindbergh MARTA Stations • Vanpool recruitment: Georgia Regional Transportation Authority/King County sent an e-mail to registered vanpoolers who use the corridor inviting them to participate (~500) 8 Survey Materials • Advance notification postcard • Introductory letter • FAQs • Memory Jogger • Reminder postcards and emails 9 Online survey tool • Household survey on demographics (completed by one person) • 2-day travel diary completed by all adult (18+) household members • Additional survey questions: typical commute behavior; typical use of the facility; trip satisfaction; attitudes and values • Phone option available; Spanish version of materials in Atlanta 10 Pilot Study • Purpose: Test all steps of survey administration – Recruitment method (license plate capture and transit intercept; effectiveness of materials; incentive structure) – Online tool: questionnaire design and functionality, survey duration – Obtain estimate of response rate Modal Segment Seattle Response Rate Atlanta Response Rate Auto 9.6% (N=175) 8.9% (N=176) Transit 18.3% (N=119) 14.7% (N=49) 294 households 225 households NOTE: “Completion” defined as all adult members of the household complete their travel diary 11 11 Pilot Study, continued • Findings: Overall, no major issues or problems – Cut survey questions due to comments on length – Clarify several error messages/instructions – Add response categories for some questions • Trip purpose: “exercise/gym” – Increase automation • Pre-populate starting point for day 2 trip roster with ending point from day 1 – Utilize $15 gift card incentive (resulted in 9.4% response) • $10 gift card: 7.0% response rate • $10 gift card with enclosed $1 bill: 9.8% response rate • $15 gift card with enclosed $1 bill: 11.8% response rate 12 Incentives and Panel Maintenance • Each household receives $15 gift card after wave 1 completion; $30 after wave 2 completion • Approximately 3 contacts per household – graphic display of findings (~3 months after wave 1) – Seattle only: letter about wave 2 survey delay – After pricing: mini-survey to engage respondents and obtain initial feedback on tolling – Household update survey (several weeks prior to wave 2 survey) 13 Wave 1 Response Seattle (November 2010) Household Completion Rates by Recruitment Mode Modal Segment Wave 1: Total invitations distributed Wave 1 Completions Auto 31,282 2908 9.3% 2,513 396 15.8% 520 52 37,983 3356 Transit Vanpool Total Percent completed 10% Atlanta (April/May 2011) Household Completion Rates by Recruitment Mode Modal Segment Wave 1: Total invitations distributed Wave 1 Completions Percent completed Auto 35,455 2090 5.8% Transit 2,721 303 11.1% Vanpool 477 19 3.9% Total 38,653 2412 NOTES: “Completion” = All adult members of the household completed all surveys 14 14 Modal Segment Goal for Wave 1 Goal for Wave 2 Auto 2600 1300 Transit + vanpool 400 200 Total 3000 1500 Wave 1 Methodology Notes • Respondent Burden – Rough estimates come from RSG data on respondents’ web-based survey times – This does not include time for filling in Memory Joggers or other work – Averaged 4 minutes per household for initial screener – Approx. 10 minutes per person per day for diary and related questions – 44 minutes total for a typical 2-adult household • Item Non-Response: – Essentially none due to design of online survey – ~10% selected “prefer not to answer” on income question • Survey medium: – At least 95% of respondents used online tool, but telephone option was available and used 15 Methodology Notes, continued • Non-response Bias: – Analyzed via comparison of completed surveys against partial completions and external benchmarks (including other corridor studies, Census, and Acxiom data) – Household size appears to be the only key variable with a bias – the achieved sample has fewer large households 16 Lessons Learned • Pilot your survey • Spend the extra time needed to develop a high quality online survey; provide clear, concise directions – Pop-up windows, map of corridor • Advance planning is critical – License plate capture process differs by state • Be flexible – Added travel days in Atlanta to boost response rate – Enhanced panel maintenance with “mini-survey” to engage respondents 17 Next Steps • Focus groups in Seattle (February 2012) • Panel maintenance “mini-survey” in Seattle and Atlanta (January/February, 2012) • Final version of wave 2 surveys • Household update and wave 2 survey administration 18 Comments? Questions? Margaret Petrella, Social Scientist The Volpe Center [email protected] 19
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