SOLUSI UNIVERSITY FACULTY OF BUSINESS GRADUATE STUDIES-MBA APPROVAL SHEET Date: November, 2015 In partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree Master in Business Administration, this thesis entitled"The extent to which credit information systems are used as a tool for improving loan quality at commercial banks in Zimbabwe."has been approved by the Thesis Defense Committee with a mark of____________. Timely Chitate, PhD Chair Bongani Ngwenya, PhD Panel Member Barnold Baidya, PhD Panel Member Ivonne Ndlovu, MBA Panel Member Sophie Masuku, PhD Panel Member ACCEPTANCE SHEET Date: November, 2015 This thesis entitled"The extent to which credit information systems are used as a tool for improving loan quality at commercial banks in Zimbabwe."is hereby accepted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree Master in Business Administration. Timely Chitate, PhD Dean, Faculty of Business i ii Copyrights© 2015 All Rights reserved No parts of this thesis may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanic including photocopy, recording or any information retrieval system, without prior permission from the author. Silence Chigariro iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This thesis has been completed through the support, collaboration and sacrifices made by a number of individuals. First and foremost I would like to thank the Lord Almighty or his protection and care that enabled me to complete this thesis. I thank the East Zimbabwe Conference and Nyahuni High school management for allowing me to carry out this study. My most profound gratitude goes to my lecturer and advisor Dr Timely Chitate for her guidance during the preparation of this thesis. Her advice and feedback made this dissertation successful. My gratitude and appreciation also goes to all the panel members namely Dr B Baidya, Dr. S. Masuku, Ps B. Mahaso and Mr P. Dziva who made this thesis complete. I wish to express my gratitude to my fellow graduates and colleagues for their unwavering support company and spirit. I am especially grateful to all my lecturers from the business department for their support and guidance. Also I would like to express my gratitude to Tafadzwa Taskman Gondo for the support he gave me during the writing up of this thesis. Special thanks to my wife Buhlebenkosi for her continual encouragement, love, patience, understanding, and moral support that I will cherish forever. Special thanks to my iv daughter Thaboluhle Anouyaishe Chigariro for her kind unwavering support and understanding during my long absence from home. I would like to thank my brothers Raphael, Bright, Traver and Tinashe for their moral and financial support that has made this thesis to become reality. Thank you, Tatenda, Siyabonga! v DEDICATION This thesis is dedicated to my beautiful wife Buhlebenkosi, our lovely daughter, Anouyaishe Thabsie, my bothers, Raphael, Bright, Traver and Tinashe, my mother Elizabeth and my late father Joseph Chigariro. vi ABSTRACT Title: The Extent To Which Credit Information Systems Are Used As A Tool For Improving Loan Quality At Commercial Banks In Zimbabwe. Name of Researcher: Silence Chigariro Name of Advisor: Dr T. Chitate Date of Completion: November 2015 Statement of the Problem A banking system that is vibrant and well operational is the backbone of any economy as it facilitates the distribution of resources which are always in scarcity. Some of the loans advanced to clients by commercial banks have not been backed by adequate collateral and the creditworthiness of some borrowers is not really known as some borrowers have multiple loans from multiple lenders, which some fail to service. Information asymmetry has resulted in the deterioration of the asset qualities of most commercial banks as most borrowers exercise gross indiscipline and over indebtedness. Therefore this study attempts to investigate the extent to which commercial banks in Zimbabwe use credit information systems as a tool to improve loan quality at commercial banks in Zimbabwe. Methodology A descriptive quantitative research method was used by the researcher so as to understand the respondents’ views as well as to seek new insights on the subject topic of vii the extent to which credit information systems are used as a tool for improving the loan quality of Commercial Banks. Statistics include variance and standard deviation, averages and correlations. The research design enabled the researcher to capture quantitative data to provide in depth information on respondents’ perceptions on the extent to which credit information systems are used as a tool for improving loan quality. The research instrument was administered on nine (9) banks with two (2) respondents per bank making a total sample of eighteen (18) respondents in Harare and Chitungwiza. Findings The findings of the study were as follows: 1. Statistics shows that credit Information systems were often used in banks to help improve loan quality as shown an average mean of 4.2778 and an average standard deviation of 0.23570 2. The findings showed that credit approval authority is used every time by commercial banks in trying to improve loan quality. This was supported by an average mean of 4.0238 and an average standard deviation of 0.19752. 3. Responses were homogeneous in that commercial banks in Zimbabwe almost every time use risk pricing for authorising loans to improve loan quality as supported by an average mean of 3.8333 and an average standard deviation of 0.26813. viii 4. On portfolio management use as a credit Information System, the responses homogeneously stated that commercial banks in Zimbabwe are to a higher extent using the credit Information System in improving loan quality as supported by an average mean of 4.0444 and an average standard deviation of 0.14642. 5. The responses homogeneously asserted that commercial banks in Zimbabwe use Private Credit register almost always as shown by an average mean of 3.7037 and an average standard deviation of 0.18573 6. Research findings presented that credit approval authority, risk pricing, portfolio management and public credit register have no significant impact on loan quality. Table 4.7 shows an adjusted R square value of 0.201 which means that the private credit registers have a 20.1% effect on loan quality. The positive R value of 0.498 which is the correlation value shows that there is a good relationship between private credit register use and loan quality. This means that the more we use the information from private credit registers the better our loan quality improves. Conclusion The study revealed that commercial Banks in Zimbabwe are using credit information systems which include Credit approval authority, risk pricing, portfolio management and private credit registers. Furthermore, the study also presented that the commercial banks are not using any public credit registry. ix In addition, the study further revealed that of the credit information systems used by commercial banks highlighted in this research study, only private credit registers have a significant effect of 20.1% on loan quality. This could be attributed to the fact that private credit registers are external sources of credit information which may end up increasing their reliability in vetting as compared to the credit approval authority, portfolio management and risk prising. Recommendations Based on the research findings, the researcher recommends the following: 1. Commercial bank management should invest more in the use of private credit registers since it has a significant effect on loan quality. 2. Management at commercial bank should recommend and assist in the formation of a public credit registry by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe so as to reduce effects of information asymmetry. 3. Management of commercial banks should not have few big clients constituting the majority of loan balance in their books as this can be very fatal in case of those clients defaulting or liquidating. They should spread the loans to different clients in different types of industries thereby safeguarding their investments in the event of one industry facing challenges. x Recommendations for Further Study In future study should be carried on the following: 1. An analysis of the extent to which credit information systems are used as a tool for improving loan quality by commercial banks in Zimbabwe. 2. Alternative strategies to guard banks against credit risk in Zimbabwe. 3. Determinants of credit risk in the Zimbabwean banking industry. xi TABLE OF CONTENTS DEDICATION.............................................................................................................................. vi ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................................. vii Recommendations for Further Study ........................................................................................ xi TABLE OF CONTENTS ........................................................................................................... xii LIST OF TABLES ..................................................................................................................... xiv LIST OF APPENDICES .......................................................................................................... xvii Chapter 1: INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................... 1 Background of the Study ................................................................................................................ 1 Statement of the Problem ................................................................................................................ 6 Purpose of the Study ....................................................................................................................... 7 Research Questions ......................................................................................................................... 7 Research Hypothesis ....................................................................................................................... 8 Figure 1: Conceptual Framework ................................................................................................... 8 Significance of the Study ................................................................................................................ 9 Limitations of the Study.................................................................................................................. 9 Delimitations of Study .................................................................................................................. 10 Definition of Terms....................................................................................................................... 10 List of Acronyms .......................................................................................................................... 11 Organization of the Study ............................................................................................................. 12 Chapter 2 :LITERATURE REVIEW ....................................................................................... 13 xii Introduction ................................................................................................................................... 13 Overview of Credit Information Systems ..................................................................................... 13 Credit Approval Authority ............................................................................................................ 17 Risk Pricing................................................................................................................................... 17 Portfolio Management .................................................................................................................. 18 Private Registries .......................................................................................................................... 19 The Process of Credit Scoring ...................................................................................................... 21 Regulations Governing Credit Bureaus ........................................................................................ 28 Non-Performing Loans in Zimbabwe ........................................................................................... 33 Challenges Faced In Developing Credit Reports .......................................................................... 36 Chapter 3: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY........................................................................... 39 Introduction ................................................................................................................................... 39 Research Design............................................................................................................................ 39 Research Population...................................................................................................................... 40 Research Sample ........................................................................................................................... 41 Instrumentation ............................................................................................................................. 41 Chapter 4: PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA ........... 44 Introduction ................................................................................................................................... 44 CHAPTER 5: SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS...................... 58 Introduction ................................................................................................................................... 58 xiii Summary ....................................................................................................................................... 58 Recommendations for Further Study ............................................................................................ 62 xiv LIST OF TABLES Table 1: The Effect of Credit Bureaus on the SME Market in Latin America...............28 Table 2: Effects of Non-Performing Loans.....................................................................33 Table 3: Trends in the Banking Sector............................................................................34 Table 4: Zimbabwean Bank NPL’s as at June 2014............................... ........................35 Table 5: Zimbabwean NPL Trends as at June 2015........................................................36 Table 6: Population and Sample Representation.............................................................40 Table 7: Table of Verbal Interpretation..........................................................................42 Table 8: Reliability Statistics..........................................................................................42 Table 9: Loan Quality Measure......................................................................................45 Table 10: Credit Approval Authority.............................................................................47 Table 11: Risk Pricing.....................................................................................................49 Table 12: Portfolio management.....................................................................................51 Table 13: Private Credit Registers..................................................................................52 Table 14: Model Summary..............................................................................................54 Table 15 : Anova Table....................................................................................................55 Table 16: Coefficients......................................................................................................56 xv LIST OF FIGURE Figure 1: Conceptual Framework…………………….………………………………8 xvi LIST OF APPENDICES Appendix A: Introductory Letter..............................................................................72 Appendix B: Questionnaire........................................................................................73 Appendix C: Curriculum Vitae………………….…………….....…………….…...78 Appendix D: SPSS Results………..…………………………………...….....……...80 xvii 1 CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION Triggered by the rise in nonperforming loans and defaulting by borrowers, this study seeks to investigate and discover whether effective credit information systems can help in improving the quality of loans and reduce default risk. This chapter gives a background to the study outlining the problem area behind the evaluation as driven by the research question and set objectives. It sets out the significance of the study, delimitations of the study, basic assumptions as well as limitations of the study and finally it gives the definition of terms. Background of the Study The credit system is an integral function in any economy as it sustains the entire money creation process and thus economic development. Banks as financial intermediaries facilitate the transfer of funds from deficit to surplus spending units through among other functions, the advancement of loans. However, a poor credit system can be detrimental to an economy as can be evidenced by the global financial crisis of 2007. This crisis popularly termed the sub-prime mortgage crisis due to its origins was a result of generally bad lending practices by American banks. As the name suggests the loans were ‘subprime’ meaning they were issued to undeserving borrowers whose creditworthiness was questionable. 1 A shareholder suit against one subprime lender Fremont General Corporation claims that it marketed adjustable rate mortgages to subprime borrowers in an unsafe and unsound manner and without adequately considering the borrower’s ability to repay, Schwarcz(2008). The consequences of subprime lending was deterioration in the asset quality of banks as a result of high levels of defaulting by borrowers, the assets were thus termed ‘toxic assets’. According to Staten et al (2000) the United States of America of any country in the world keeps the largest complete credit history on the adult population. Its credit bureau data on borrowers has become the cornerstone of the underwriting decisions for consumer loans. Lenders use credit scoring models to approximate a clients’ credit risk with remarkable accurateness and this has helped in progressing the efficiency on their credit markets upwards bringing consumers lower prices and equitable treatment. Barron (2000) states that when lenders cannot distinguish good borrowers from bad borrowers all borrowers are charged an average interest rate that reflect their pooled experience. Therefore, the presence of credit information leads to fair and lower prices being charged. Credit systems information has also availed a wider variety of credit products to billions of family units which would have been denied as risky a generation ago. 2 Data sharing and liberated flow of information has been instrumental to the United States of Americas economy’s flexibility and resilience. The Federal Reserve Bank’s president said in a speech that the portability of information makes the United States open to change. The accessibility of objective date results in the reduction of risk connected with the dissolution of old partnerships and beginning of fresh ones because the information assists in setting up new working relationships much faster. The accessibility of credit information sharing has been the push behind the growth rates experienced by the financial market in the United States of America. Countries like the Philippines and Vietnam are slowly incorporating the use of credit bureaus in their credit systems. However HURI and DIR (2008) observed that they are facing challenges such as inadequate data capture and the legal regulatory structure to effectively monitor the activities of credit bureaus. For SME data, availability of hard information is limited, for example financial statement data. In instances, where it is available, it tends to be inaccurate because in most cases the management of SMEs do not understand the accounting standards based on which financial data should be compiled. This is partly because the financial standards themselves are imperfect. The South African credit reporting system is well developed and advanced, Turner et al (2008). Credit bureaus in South Africa include, TransUnion ITC, Experian, Compuscan, XDS and KreditInform. The capacity for and use of information analytics is very advanced in South Africa and banks have the skills and capacity to use this information. 3 Banks in South Africa have used credit scores for more than a decade and both TransUnion and KreditInform have developed and marketed several business credit scores. The availability of information has resulted in the reduction of the costs of lending as it lowers the cost of assessing risk. However, a weakness that Turner observed in South Africa’s reporting system is the unavailability of collateral information of borrower. Borrowers in this case can put up the same collateral for multiple loans. The credit market in Zimbabwe is fast becoming more complex to manage risk effectively. The lack of information on the behaviour and exposure of clients increases the risk of financial losses. According to Page Properties website on centralised credit database in Zimbabwe, they reported that the continued existence of a lenders and real estate agents depended on their capability to pull together and process data effectively and efficiently in vetting clients and in evaluating and monitoring their performance. They reported that the Chairman of the Estate Agents Council, Mr Oswald Nyakunika reportedly said that the non-payment rate by property buyers is likely to keep on rising and this will have depressing impact on the values of property overtime. He reiterated that properties that were being attached due to failure in debt honouring were being auctioned at less than their market value and this presented a large loss property managers and owners alike in the sector. According to the RBZ report (2011), the banking industry in Zimbabwe has had its fair share of misfortunes in lending. In 2010 there were strong calls by fiscal and monetary 4 authorities that banks were reluctant to extend loans, banks thus complied and went on what can be called a ‘lending overdrive’. The report states that loans increased from US$1, 81 billion in January 2011 to US$1, 88 billion in February 2011, while deposits reached US$2, 36 billion in January, increasing to US$2,4 billion in February representing a loan deposit ratio of 76 per-cent. Zimbabwe Ministry of finance (2011) report further highlights that a number of banks however were advancing loans without demanding adequate security and banks ran the risk of loaning to people and organizations buckling under credit from other lenders. Treasury statistics released in July 2011 showed that of the $2 billion dollars that was disbursed in the first half of the year 37% were non-performing loans. According to the Financial gazette of 7th of august 2014, THE Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ)governor, John Mangudya reported at the Confederation of Zimbabwe Industries (CZI) annual congress held in Mutare in July thatthey are working on a national credit bureau to minimize bad debts in the banking sector. He said the bureau would enhance the verification process of borrowers, enabling bankers to assess credit risk and reduce the level of non-performing loans (NPLs) in the banking sector. Speaking at the same function, Bankers association of Zimbabwe (BAZ) president, Sam Malaba, said government was making progress in addressing banking sector vulnerabilities. He further stated thatthe Bankers Association of Zimbabwe estimates 5 non-performing loans (NPLs) to be at about 25 percent of total deposits hence the need for a credit bureau. The same report stated that Zimbabwe’s financial sector would also change dramatically once the National Credit Bureau becomes operational, as absence of such a critical facility has created information asymmetry in credit vetting. Information asymmetries arise as a result of the absence of credit information systems in Zimbabwe, borrowers are able to exploit this weakness and thus borrow against the same cash flow from various banks. A situation where firms and individuals are over borrowed in Zimbabwe is very common and thus has contributed to the current trend of over indebtedness and cases of untenable rates of loan default in the financial sector. This study therefore seeks to establish the significance of credit information systems in improving Commercial Banks in Zimbabwe’s loan quality. Statement of the Problem A banking system that is vibrant and well operational is the backbone of any economy as it facilitates the distribution of resources which are always in scarcity. This system once there are disturbances, leads to losses that may be tragic to the wellbeing of the economy. Some of the loans advanced have not been backed by adequate security and the creditworthiness of some borrowers is not really known as some borrowers have multiple loans from multiple lenders, which some cannot service. These information asymmetries have resulted in the deterioration of the asset qualities of most commercial banks as most borrowers exercise gross indiscipline and over indebtedness. Therefore this study 6 attempts to investigate the extent to which commercial banks in Zimbabwe use credit information systems as a credit risk management strategy. Purpose of the Study The primary objective of this research is to explore the significance of credit information systems as a tool for improving commercial bank loan quality. The research also seeks to achieve the following objectives: To establish the use of credit information systems as a credit risk management strategy by Zimbabwean Commercial Banks. To evaluate the extent to which credit information systems are employed by Commercial Banks in Zimbabwe. Research Questions In order to explore credit information systems as a tool for improved loan quality, it was important to come up with questions that could be answered during the research which are as follows: 1) To what extent is the use of credit information system in commercial banks influencing non performing loans in Zimbabwe. 2) To what extent are Commercial Banks in Zimbabwe using the following credit information systems in managing credit risk? 1. Credit approval authority 2. Risk pricing 7 3. Portfolio management 4. Private Credit Registers 3) To what degree has Commercial Banks in Zimbabwe benefited from using information systems in improving loan quality? Research Hypothesis Ho1 Commercial Banks in Zimbabwe do not use credit information systems and there are no benefits derived from the use of the aforementioned systems. Figure 1: Conceptual Framework Independent Variables Dependant Variable Credit Information Systems Credit approval authority Risk pricing Portfolio management Loan Quality levels of Non-Performing Loans Private Credit Registers 8 Significance of the Study The nature of lending entails a lot of risk and thus lenders should ensure stringent measures are taken to avoid incurring losses. The research seeks to investigate whether the quality of loans can be improved in any way if credit information systems are employed as a credit risk management tool. This research will be helpful to: Commercial Banks in Zimbabwe can further improve loan quality. Borrowers will be able to know that they need to keep a good clean credit. Financial institutions who will be able to know the makeup of Zimbabwean credit business and thereby help facilitate growth. Government will be able to see how policies affect interest rates thereby affecting lender and borrower relationships. Investors in Zimbabwe will make informed decisions when looking for credit. Limitations of the Study As is the case with most researches, conditions are not always ideal with some limitations present. The following are some of the limitations that may restrict and affect the researcher in this research: The success of this study is dependent on the availability of reliable and accurate information from the respondents. Some commercial banks in Zimbabwe are reluctant to give information and assistance that is pertinent to the success and meaningful execution of the study. 9 Financial constraints will be a major problem as the researcher will be funding himself to go to Harare and get the information and this may have an impact on sample size. Time constraints may also hinder the researcher from acquiring all the information required. Delimitations of Study The study solely focuses on all Commercial Banks in Zimbabwe branches operating in Harare and Chitungwiza, with the targeted population being mainly credit personnel and branch managers, while the research is confined to Harare due to proximity and budgetary constraints of the researcher. Definition of Terms Non-performing Loans: These are financial assets from which banks no longer receive interest or instalment payments as scheduled. Loan Quality: It is an evaluation of bank loans (asset) to ascertain credit risk associated with it. Credit Information System: It is a system that collects data that describes credit, processes the data and makes credit information available to credit managers to help them make decisions 10 Sub-prime: Below standard Private Credit Bureau: A private firm that maintains a database on the creditworthiness of borrowers in the financial system and facilitates the exchange of credit information among banks and financial institutions. Default: Failure by borrower to meet financial obligation GDP: An aggregate measure of production equal to the sum of the gross values added of all resident institutional units engaged in production (plus any taxes, and minus any subsidies, on products not included in the value of their outputs). List of Acronyms OECD : Organisation for Economic Cooperation And Development PCR: Private Credit Registry NPL: Non Performing Loans GDP: Gross Domestic Product HURI: Hachinobe University Research Institute DIR: Daiwa Institute of Research SME: Small and Medium Enterprise 11 Organization of the Study This section will provide an overview of how the five (5) chapters will be organized. Chapter One: The first chapter is introduction which includes background of the study, statement of the problem, objective of the study, significance of the study, scope of the study, definition of terms and finally the plan of the study. Chapter Two: This is a review of relevant related literature to the topic. This has to do with information on what has already studied by other authorities as far as the subject of study is concerned. Chapter Three: This chapter provides the research methodology, population, instrumentation and statistical procedure to be used to analyze data collected. Chapter Four: This consists of the data collection, presentation and analysis of research findings, based on research questions and the findings will be linked to literature review. Chapter Five: This comprises of the summary, conclusion and recommendations based on the results of the study. 12 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW Introduction This chapter reviews literature and gives us an overview of credit information systems. The chapter further highlights the different credit reporting systems, the roles of information sharing, the benefits derived from employing credit information systems and the regulation governing these systems. The chapter concludes by giving empirical literature of credit reporting systems in other countries. Overview of Credit Information Systems Biggar and Heimler (2005) stated that in developing countries, competition between lenders may be made worse because data on the worthiness of prospective clients is not readily available. This is because without a correct supply of data on clients’ credit merit, each individual lender carries an informational advantage over any other lender on the credit worthiness of its clients. New institutions will be very unwilling to loan to clients of other lenders, if they are not readily knowledgeable on the amount of exposure of each prospective client. They further highlighted that an economical financial market, where lenders contend for clients and prospective customers choose between different lenders as providers of credit, can only develop if lenders are fully knowledgeable on the maximum credit exposure of 13 each possible client. Otherwise, if data is in the hands of a few players held privately, the credit market will be divided and lenders will deal only with clients they know personally. Robert T. Clair, Senior Economist and Policy Advisor of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas in his paper on Loan Growth and Loan Quality noted that, a bank seeking to increase its market share might lower its loan requirements standards to attract more loan customers. The loan requirements standards are exemplified in the non-financial terms of a loan, including collateral requirements, personal guarantees of borrowers, and loan covenants. He further highlighted that if a bank drops non-financial terms to attract new loan customers, then it is increasing the exposure to risk of the bank by lowering loan quality. Even if a bank attempts to maintain the same credit standards, the new borrowers it attracts may be of lower quality as a result of adverse selection. One of the greatest developments in retail banking has been the use of credit reports in assessing loan applications. In most developed countries loan approvals no longer take days but rather are granted in minutes because of the availability of information sourced from credit reports, Brown and Zehdner (2007). Credit information systems support the major activities of a credit organization. The information systems collect data that describe credit operations, process those data and make credit information available to 14 credit managers to help them make decisions. Credit information systems can include a number of functions including collecting, analysing and distributing information about how consumers and businesses, large and small, handle their credit obligations. Straten (2008) states that the extent and intensity of information that is in the credit reports formed by a system of full file reporting have helped the improvement of complicated statistical scoring tools. It has been noted that countries with strong credit scoring systems, credit resolutions are progressively more based on accurate data concerning a borrower’s own past payment record. Furthermore, Credit scoring has helped in the evaluation of character and capacity to repay the loans basing on prior behaviour that has been documented over time as compared to the traditional over the counter face to face grading of clients’. This has improved the speed and accuracy by which lenders award lending decisions. Well-functioning credit systems require the existence of formal information exchange mechanisms, Miller and Mylenko (2003). Information from credit reference agencies help in two main purposes: a) Improved credit management by monetary establishments and reducing loan non-payment rates; b) diminishing asymmetries of information and allowing financial institutions to boost lending capacity and supply credit to customer categories. The OECD article on information sharing acknowledges that there is plenty of evidence that has been provided that supports the fact that institutions involved in credit 15 information sharing has a constructively positive bearing on credit offering to the private sector. However, Pagano and Japelli (1993) differ in opinion as they highlight that the effect of information sharing on lending volumes can be ambiguous. They point out that it is not always the case that the increase in lending to safe borrowers compensates the decrease in lending to risky types. Worldwide, the credit reporting industry has seen significant developments, Djankov et al (2007) as cited in Brown and Zehdner (2007), show there was an increase in the number of countries with a public credit registry from 21% in 1978 to 53% in 2003. Below are some of the credit assessment systems that banks have in place in order to assess the credit worthiness and the risk associated with a client before issuance of a loan. The credit committee of a financial institution or other credit institutions are the ones that scrutinize, grant or reject loan applications that ordinary credit officers do not have the power to process. To start with, the team makes sure that the credit request meets lending benchmark set by the institution. If it does meet this benchmark, the team can therefore agree to disburse the credit applied for with set regulations to be met by the client. This team is responsible for periodic reviews on all loans that mature. They are also mandated with ensuring that loans that are past due date be collected. This committee is composed usually of officers in the middle management level of the firm who have managerial authority. 16 Credit Approval Authority Dorbec (2006) states that the credit approval committee of any lending institution is the one with the purpose of scrutinising and eventually approving or rejects any credit submission which the lower level credit officers have the power to grant. He states that the team ensures that the credit application basically satisfies the set benchmark depending on the nature of collateral security required or checking on any supporting documentation that may be required to see if all is in place. In the event that the credit application satisfies these conditions, the lending authority may decide to roll-out the loan with basic terms and conditions to be met by the client. They are also mandated with ensuring that loans that are past due date be collected. This committee is composed usually of officers in the middle management level of the firm who have managerial authority. Credit approval authority helps the bank in reducing the loan default rate by narrowing down the clientele and creating a quality loan base. Screening of clients helps in removing possible defaulters who may not be qualified to get access to credit lines as a result of the loan conditions. Hence, this aspect works well in helping a bank create a high loan quality base. Risk Pricing Barron and Staten (2003) define risk based pricing as a way by which banks set up prices in accordance with risk associated with the client. Clients that are risky for instance laid off from work, declared insolvent, or are several payments behind on a mortgage, risk 17 based pricing causes client to pay higher interest rates because of the risk associated with them. Clients are not denied a chance to access loans because they are deemed risky, but are afforded the loan at a higher interest rate than the less risky clients. Hence because of this risk based pricing is not encouraged by other players, and is termed a predacious bank practice. On the other hand, risk based pricing affords clients a chance they otherwise would not have had of accessing credit. They can have a loan but at a much higher cost than their less risky counterparts and this practice can act as an obstruction to borrowing. Risky based pricing helps in determining a better loan quality by discouraging would be borrowers from getting credit lines due to the inhibitive interest rates charges on the loans due to the nature of risk the bank would be taking on them. The ultimate goal of any bank is to make a profit in its operations by reducing default rates and increasing interest and loan principal collection. Portfolio Management According to Cornett (2003), rolling out credit is the core business of commercial banks and stands out to be the largest business activity of any lending institutions. Loan portfolio therefore is by far the biggest asset and the major source of income. In the same regard it shelves the major source of risk in loan defaults which erode the working capital and liquidity of any lending institution. This may be due to relaxed credit regulations, 18 poor risk management tools and factors in the economy. Portfolio management matters have always stood out as a major concern in lending institutions. Lon portfolio management and availing of loans are fundamental to the wellbeing of any bank as well as the safeguarding banks working capital and liquidity thereby improving loan quality. Loan portfolio management (LPM) is the practice used by lending institutions to manage and control inherent risk that is embedded in the loan awarding process. This activity because of its importance and sensitivity to the wellbeing of the bank, it is the primary function of middle managers in supervisory role. LPM assessment entails the evaluation of managerial steps taken in controlling and identifying the credit process risks which focuses on the problem identification tools used by management to assess inherent credit risk. Management prefer maintaining loan quality which is positive therefore they begin by dealing with oversight risk that is inherent in individual loans. Therefore, this states that if management are able to minimise inherent risks associated with the individual loans, it would be very possible to have good loan quality hence managing loan performance remains critically essential. Private Registries Japelli and pagano (2005) state that lenders in many developed countries are sharing information on their client credit scores. This has been facilitated either voluntarily 19 though credit information systems that are opened and operated by credit providers themselves through credit information bureaus or operated by private third party players in the financial market or by central banks on a mandatory basis. World Bank (2006) in their article on financial infrastructure say that the core of any country’s credit reporting system is made up of public credit registries (PCR) and private credit bureaus (PCB). World Bank (2006) defines a PCB as a private firm that maintains a database on the creditworthiness of borrowers in the financial system and facilitates the exchange of credit information among banks and financial institutions. More advanced PCBs offer credit scoring services where borrowers are assigned credit scores on the basis of their capacity and ability to repay debt. These scores are normally calculated using information from credit reports, credit scores help in creating awareness among borrowers of how the data collected by credit bureaus affect them. As a result of credit scores from PCBs borrowers are encouraged to maintain discipline so as to have clean credit records, World Bank (2012). PCBs collects a larger volume of both positive and negative information from all sectors in much greater accuracy and detail. As a result of this, PCBs develop a more comprehensive picture of a borrower’s financial dealings. McIntosh and Wydick (2004) cited Japelli and Pagano (2002) who found that the presence of PCBs is associated with broader credit markets and lower credit risk. They 20 observed that PCRs are more likely to arise where there is no pre-existing PCB and there are poorly protected credit rights. World Bank (2006) reported public credit registries to be in operation in about eighty countries with almost half of the countries that rely on public credit registries being low income countries in Africa. High income countries which rely exclusively on public credit registries are less than 8%. Most middle and high income countries rely on private credit bureaus, which have been established in about eighty countries, or on a combination of both PCB and PCR. Japelli and Pagano (2005) argue that the use of PCB’s may help in assisting lenders in procuring quality clients more readily who may help in reducing the rate of default thus improving working capital and liquidity. Borrowers with already clean records, aspire to keep them clean while those with stained records on the other hand will be working hard to improve their records as well. The Process of Credit Scoring Bolton (2009) states that Credit scoring is a mechanism used by credit registries to quantify the risk factors relevant for a borrower’s stability and willingness to pay. Before the introduction of formal methods of risk assessment in banking, decisions on whether or not to grant credit were made on judgmental basis. Credit personnel would assess the creditworthiness of an individual on the basis of personal knowledge of the applicant. This however was not reliable, not replicable, unable to handle a large number of applicants, too subjective and generally too risky. 21 According to Anderson (2007), the introduction of credit scoring in 1941 helped credit assessment to improve as this method was more objective and practical. Caire et al (2006) state that credit scoring is used worldwide though, mainly in processing small value consumer loans and also loans to small businesses. Credit scoring is therefore an integral part of the credit reporting system, Smith (2006). Caire et al (2006) gives the following as benefits of credit scoring: The efficiency of credit personnel is improved Development of consistent evaluation processes It reduces human bias in the decision to lend Enables banks to vary credit policies according to classifications of risk for example monitoring lower risk loans without on-site business inspections Expected losses for borrowers are better quantified according to different risk classes Roles of Information Sharing In principle, when lenders barter client information on credit scores, there can have four outcomes: The borrower’s characteristics are known by lenders thereby reducing unfavorable selection. 22 Reduce the level of asymmetric information between lenders and borrowers. Help in allowing lenders to instill discipline on clients as they remove them from accessing credit. Help in the elimination of the need to draw from multiple credit sources thereby reducing over-indebtedness by clients (Japelli and Pagano 2005). Information Sharing, Asymmetric Information and Improved Loan Quality Organisation for economic cooperation and development (OECD) report gives the following as ways information sharing can alleviate the problems arising as a result of information asymmetry in the lending market: Countering Unfavorable Selection: Pagano and Jappelli (1993) state that information asymmetry reduction between lending institutions and consumers supported by credit registries permits credit to be awarded to borrowers who may have been discredited resulting in higher quality lending. Countering Ethical Hazard: Padilla and Pagano (2000) stated that if institutions are involved in credit sharing the clients cost of non-payment is increased hence encouraging debt repayment. Countering Information Domination: Banks that are involved in information sharing help reduce information domination by one player in the industry on customers. Padilla and Pagano (1997) reiterate that the relationship between 23 banks and consumers may end up allowing banks to hold monopolizing data giving those institutions advantages over other . Over Indebtedness Reduction. Bennardo, Pagano and Piccolo (2009) states that when institutions share information they end up rejecting individuals who have multiple debts thereby assisting in reducing multiple lending. This in essence help in giving less credit scores on those highly indebted customers. Although, information sharing can help in overcoming moral hazards on the borrower’s part, banks may be reluctant to share information, especially where credit markets are competitive, sharing information with close competitors is deemed unhealthy for the bank. However, in some countries participation in private credit bureaus is dependent, on whether a bank provides information about its clients. As a result, reluctance in information sharing might mean that a bank also does not obtain credit information when it requires it and therefore some information asymmetries will still exist. Japelli and Pagano (2002) support this view as they say that lenders that contribute data are the ones that can acquire access to two way flow of data concerning a loan applicant. This can be done upon request of a credit report from the bureau. World Bank (2012) gives another role of information sharing as that of supporting bank supervision and credit risk monitoring. Credit information systems are an effective mechanism for supervising and monitoring credit risk in banks as well as credit trends in the economy. Since regulators require that banks set provisions such as loan loss 24 provisions, they use information from credit bureaus to assess whether the provisions are adequate or not and also to carry out an analysis of the developments in credit markets. Benefits of Employing Credit Information Systems Barron and Staten (2003) realize that credit bureau data has conveyed lower prices to consumers, more impartial handling, and a variety of credit services and products to many of family units who may have been declined as risk. This has helped consumers to seek better opportunities elsewhere and made it cheaper to dissolve old relations. However, developing countries are yet to realize the full benefits of comprehensive credit reporting as well as other developed countries. This is because there is a diverse quantity of credit information available to institutions for evaluating credit risk in the world today. Information that was negative especially on bankruptcies and nonpayment used to be shared historically but now good information is now available on the market. Straten (2008) acknowledges that availability of allinclusive data on customer credit records has considerably improved competition and lowered the cost of borrowing by making it possible for credit providers to try to win customers nationwide by permitting companies, save for financial organizations to commence offering competitive financial products and services and by making it possible for new players to rise above the advantage of recognized lenders in evaluating new clients. 25 All-inclusive credit reporting systems have also helped in creating macroeconomic development advantages for the host country, which includes higher resistance to household income disruption and better mobility for both human resources and capital investments. According to Minetti et al (2009), there is a decrease in delinquent payments on loans thus repayment performance improves if lenders enter credit information sharing institutions. Zehnder et al (2007) go to the extreme of saying that there would be a collapse in the lending market in the absence of an information sharing institution. This is however up for debate as there are some countries without really an established information system but still have rather functional lending markets. Their study went on to show that by establishing credit registries borrowers are encouraged to repay their loans as lenders would have identified borrowers with favourable payment histories. Lenisa (2007) gives the following as some of the benefits of credit bureaus for institutions: Decreases loans’ losses and personal bankruptcies by providing crucial information needed for lenders to more accurately assess the profile of an individual borrower. Serves as self-regulating and goal oriented catalyst in the process of availing credit to applicants. 26 Minimize the costs of assessing risk by availing access to the complete credit information draw together much quicker and which is accurate for decision making. Improves the protection of privacy of clients by providing a methodical basis for availing credit to clients devoid of the difficulty of long supporting documents usually required by many credit providers. They help in the reduction of fraud by offering extra information that assist credit givers to recognize and circumvent would-be fraudulent loan applications. Makes it possible for lenders to have quicker access to records and information for credit decision making. Enable Commercial Banks branches to put forward a large range and variety of products and services to meet a broader range of consumer desires. Hence, consumers who have a good credit score can enjoy being availed more competitive pricing. Financial institutions can also experiment in new markets by extending credit because they can lessen the risk and more accurately estimate the credit risk. Credit bureaus help in the creation of repayment culture by clients thereby increasing credit scores. In graph below, McKinsey (2009) gives some effects of credit bureau on the small and medium enterprise (SME) market. 27 Table 1: The Effect of Credit Bureaus on the SME Market in Latin America 50 40 30 20 without credit bureau 10 with credit bureau 0 % reporting financial constraints Probability of loan granting to SME (%) Source: McKinsey (2009) It can be seen that where credit registries are present, financial constraints are less than where there are no credit registries. Also the probability of loans being granted to SMEs is greater in the presence of credit bureaus. Regulations Governing Credit Bureaus The regulations of credit treatment differ significantly around the world. Thus Mylenko et al (2003) outlined the key attributes in regulation of credit treatment and its repercussion. In some countries credit bureaus are obligated to be registered with an information protection entity and to employ a representative in charge of fulfillment with the information protection guidelines. When information is transferred to credit registries for the first time, some European countries require notification of data subjects. This 28 informs the borrower about the information that will be sent to credit bureaus such as name and intention of use of the data in the credit register. Legislation in most countries also calls for approval of a client to sanction issuance by credit registry of credit score report. Standard practice in application for credit is to include, in the loan application, a statement requesting approval of a loan applicant for a credit registry to avail a credit statement. The availing of a notice to the applicant when a loan application is rejected is one of the most helpful instruments for preserving quality and accurateness of data in the data bank. It should inform the credit applicant that the decision to refuse credit was in whole or part based on the credit information obtained from the credit registry, specifying its name. Consumers also have the right to examine their credit statements from the credit registry and notify the database reporting inaccuracies since the client who is subjected to the credit test best knows if the information in the credit statement is accurate or inconsistent with what is factual. If variance between the credit registry and the customer occur over the legitimacy of data, the customer must be capable of adding a statement on credit report stating the variance. There is need to put timeframe on the period that credit record is availed to a credit provider. All data in the record should be held in reserve for a given timeframe. 29 People often misunderstand the role of credit reports and hardly ever think about or evaluate their credit until they need credit assistance. The credit regulator has an important role of educating the consumers to ensure consumers are able to exercise their basic rights and also to encourage the development of the industry. The regulator also can request that notice of an unfavorable action generated basing on information from credit based history also include information concerning the customers’ rights in regards to the law. Factor That Affect Loan Quality FDIC (2011) explains that asset quality reflects the quantity of existing and potential credit risk associated with the loan and investment portfolio. The evaluation of asset quality should weigh the exposure to counterparty, issuer, or borrower default under actual or implied contractual agreements. Prior to assigning asset quality, an important factor to consider is the level, distribution, severity and trend of problem, delinquent and non-performing assets for both on and off-balance sheet transactions, the diversification and quality of the loan and investment portfolio. Adhikary (2005) defines non-performing loans as financial assets from which banks no longer receive interest or installment payments as scheduled. The term ‘non-performing’ is derived from the idea that the loan ceases to perform or to generate income for the bank. Mannan et al (2005) point out that when a loan cannot be recovered within a certain stipulated time period governed by some respective laws it becomes non30 performing. If it is used for a purpose other than what was intended for it, then it is also non-performing. Adhikary also says that if borrowers create non performing loans willingly, the effects might be contagious and might drive good borrowers out of the financial markets as they would now also prolong the repayment period. Pestora et al (2011) gives two groups of factors which influence loan quality, that is, bank specific and macroeconomic factors. Bank specific factors included growth of lending activities, interest rates, cost and operational efficiency and ownership structure. Macroeconomic conditions are; GDP growth, unemployment, inflation and exchange rates among others. Quagliariello (2007) also found the influence of the pre-crisis credit boom on the asset quality of banks and this confirms the influence of management strategies on the sensitivity of banks to credit risk. Results of the research carried out by Mamonov (2011) revealed some of the factors influencing loan quality of which the rate of credit growth was identified as one. This is because rapid credit growth of loans is achieved by decreasing lending standards and therefore lowering interest rates. This leads to borrower adverse selection and therefore results in the rise of non-performing loans. Another reason is high lending rates which increase the costs of servicing debt therefore eventually resulting in bad loans. Mannan et al (2005) also give the following as some of the causes of non-performing loans: 31 Reduced attention to borrowers Increased loan size Lack of proper credit risk management tools Borrowers probe a credit operations weaknesses Loans sanctioned by corruption Other reasons might include inadequate collateral security, unethical lending practices such as advancing excessive related party loans and lending as a result of anxiety for income. Effects of Non-Performing Loans Having non-performing loans in books of Commercial banks is an unfavourable situation. As can be seen from the diagram above the effects of these are detrimental to the operation and survival of any commercial banking institution. Loss of revenue, erosion of capital, high risk premium, high loan price and low rate of investment all work against the main objective of commercial Banks, that is, to make a profit. Therefore, banks need to come up with ways of reducing non-performing loans in the loan books. The diagram below gives some of the effects of non-performing loans. 32 Table 2: Effects of Non-Performing Loans Non- performing loan Loss of current revenue High risk premium High loan loss provision Erosion of banks capital High loan price Low rate of investment Financial crisis Low economic growth Source:Adhikary (2005) Non-Performing Loans in Zimbabwe Post dollarization there has been a steady increase in the levels of nonperforming loans (NPL’s). This has cause a lot of problems for the banking industry which had to work extremely hard to try and save their asset value thereby improving loan quality. The troubled and Insolvent banks policy onpage 77 to 79 states that there are categories ofNon-performing Loans which are Watch list (nplsinexcessof10%but lessthan15%.), 33 Close Monitoring (thresholdisbetween15%and25%) and Mandatory remedial action(nplsabove25%).The table below show banking industry trend of non-performing loans which show that on average banks between 30 June 2009 and 31 December 2014 have been trading within the close monitoring group. Table 3: Trends in the Banking Sector Extracted from Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe Presentation to the Institute of Chartered Accountants(ICAZ) on 28 February 2015 Non -performing loans have been on a steady rise as shown above and on the table below in graphical representation of the state of affairs in the banking industry between December 2013 and June 2014. The graph show that Allied bank rose from 63-74% 34 while ZB rose from 17-23%. Standard Chartered Bank, MBCA and Barclays are the ones with low levels o 7%, 3% and 2% respectively of non- performing loans. Table 4: Zimbabwean Bank NPL’s as at June 2014 Extracted from https://www.fbc.co.zw/stockbroking/sites/fbc.co.zw. The situation that’s prevailing in Zimbabwe in the banking industry needs urgent remedial action that will help the sector to contribute meaningfully to the economic activities by relaying resources to different segments of the economy. 35 This issue has been so pertinent such that there has been a trend analysis in the RBZ monetary policy. According to the current published statement, the NPL’s have seen been on rise and have dropped slightly from 15.91% to 14.52% by 1.39%. The loans have moved from close monitoring category to watch list category which is below 15% of NPL’s. Table 5: Zimbabwean NPL Trends as at June 2015 Adapted from http://rbz.co.zw/assets/monetary-policy-july-2015.pdf Challenges Faced In Developing Credit Reports Mylenko (2008) gives one major challenge in developing credit reports in Africa as the small size of its credit markets. For example, a country with a population of fifteen to twenty million people is likely to have about two hundred thousand credit applicants. According to a ZIMSTATS census report (2012), Zimbabwe with a population of around thirteen million people is likely to have fewer applicants. However, credit bureaus need 36 to recover their large initial investments through the sale of credit reports, in the case of private registries, thus rely on economies of scale. Size will therefore be a challenge. Without financial literacy credit bureaus and other credit reporting systems do not work as clients will go into over-indebtedness via informal financial services providers. Rhyne et al (2011) notes that Bolivia and South Africa experienced an over-indebtedness crisis that led to them developing stronger bureaus. Recent developments have also shown that to maintain the prudence of the sector, the need for credit bureaus and credit information systems is of utmost importance. Miller and Mylenko (2003) state that well-functioning credit systems require the existence of formal information exchange mechanisms, however another challenge faced in credit reporting is the problem of free riders. This is when banks want to use data of other banks but do not wish to provide the system with their own data. This defeats the concept of reciprocity of information and results in credit information available not being as comprehensive as it would be if all institutions participated equally. Therefore, the system of credit reporting has its challenges but a number of countries have recorded successes in the setting up and utilization of credit information systems. Credit Information Systems in Other Countries A number of credit registries have been developed worldwide which have served the credit markets well and have resulted in positive transformations in lending. 37 In Developing Countries IFC (2006) gives some of the credit registries and bureaus in developing countries. TransUnion in Central Africa (TUCA) established in 1999 is a private credit bureau that provides services in Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Costa Rica and Nicaragua. The creation of a single cross-border private credit bureau enables the delivery of standardized products and services that have superior information quality. SIMAH, the Saudi Arabian credit bureau began operations in 2004 and is jointly owned by ten banks. Currently, it contains records relating to approximately four million borrowers. The credit bureau provides in excess of one hundred and twenty thousand individual credit reports per month. SIMAH has also created a commercial reporting business which complements its retail credit bureau operation and this has resulted in the expansion of credit to small businesses. In Vietnam, the state bank operates a public registry called a credit information center (CIC) which is primarily a supervisory tool to identify systemic risk in the banking industry. Beyond supervision, the CIC sends information back to lenders on potential borrowers by way of credit reports. 38 CHAPTER 3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY Introduction This chapter looks at the methodology used to carry out the research on credit information systems as a tool for improving the loan quality of Commercial Banks in Zimbabwe. Research methodology refers to the theory of how the research should be undertaken, that is the tools and techniques which will be used to collect and analyze data. These include interviews and questionnaires. This chapter thus serves as a guide to the implementation of the research study towards the realisation of objectives set. It highlights the research design, population, data collection methods and the research plan. Research Design A descriptive quantitative research method was utilized by the researcher so as to understand the respondents’ views as well as to seek new insights on the subject topic of the extent to which credit information systems are used as a tool for improving the loan quality of Commercial Banks. Descriptive research designs are used when the data collected describes persons, organisations, settings or phenomena. Statistics include variance and standard deviation, averages and correlations. The research design enabled the researcher to capture quantitative data to provide in depth information on respondents’ perceptions on the extent to which credit information 39 systems are used as a tool for improving loan quality. The research instrument was administered on nine (9) banks with two (2) respondents per bank making a total sample of eighteen (18) respondents in Harare and Chitungwiza. Research Population According to Mark Sunders, et al (2009) in their book, “research methods for Business Students” population is defined as a complete set o cases or group members from which a sample is taken. According to the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe, June 2015 quarterly report, there are 13 registered commercial Banks operating in Zimbabwe. From these we targeted 26 people which are 13 managers and 13 loan officers. This study seeks to establish the effects, if any of credit information systems on the loan quality of Commercial Banks in Zimbabwe hence it was only appropriate to have this as the population. Table 6: Population and Sample Representation Population Sample Commercial Bank Loan Total Comercial bank loan Total Banks Managers Officer Population Banks manager Oficers sample 13 13 13 26 9 9 9 18 40 Research Sample The researcher used convenience and purposive sampling and selected seventy percent (70%) of the population as a sample for the research in question. The researcher selected all the members or respondents according to personal judgment and relevance to the discussion area basing on accessibility, availability and probability of obtaining information. There are thirteen (13) commercial banks that are operated in Zimbabwe and of these; the researcher selected18 respondents from the nine (9) banks as a sample with two respondents per branch. The researcher took all nine (9) banks from Harare and Chitungwiza provinces due to accessibility and affordability in terms of financial requirements and probability of obtaining information. The researcher targeted credit personnel and branch managers as these are well versed with credit issues and could help in providing reliable and helpful information for the research. Instrumentation A questionnaire consisting of structured, closed ended questions was designed. The closed ended questions were to allow for easy scoring and measurement of the strength of an individual’s response per item. Each statement or closed ended question required the respondent to select one of the five choices using likert Scale of five points ranging from (1) never to (5) Always. This was meant to assist the respondent so that they do not have 41 to use too much time trying to resolve the best response. This saved time and thereby increased the rate of response. Findings were measured against a mean of 3.5, thus all cases falling below 3.5 were considered as ineffective. Table 7: Table of Verbal Interpretation Scale Responses Mean Interval Effect 1 2 3 4 5 Never Sometimes Seldom Often Always 0.00 to 1.50 1.51 to 2.50 2.51 to 3.50 3.51 to 4.50 4.51 to 5.00 Verbal Intepretation Usage Extent no effect Never low low effect Almost Never slightly high moderate effect Occassional /Sometimes moderately high high efect Almost Everytime very high very high effect Every time Extremely high Validity and reliability The researcher submitted the instrument to the statisticians at Solusi University to ensure content and face validity. The reliability was tested through pilot study which the researcher conducted with 18 randomly selected bank managers and loan officers from 9 banks in Rusape, Marondera and Mutare. Table 8: Reliability Statistics Cronbach's Alpha Number of Items .721 36 From the reliability table above the Cronbach’s Alpha is 0.721 representing a high level internal consistency. 42 Data Collection The researcher obtained a letter from the MBA department of Solusi University which was then presented to all commercial banks in Harare and Chitungwiza in Zimbabwe together with the research instrument that the researcher had designed for the study. The research questions was distributed to the sample of 18 respondents and then returned to the researcher after an agreed timeframe. The researcher administered the instrument to the respondents and personally collected them when they were completed. The data gathered was then used to determine whether the extent information systems use affects loan quality in commercial banks in Zimbabwe. Data Analysis The data collected in quantitative form was coded and the Statistical package for Social Science (SPSS) was used to analyse the data in order to calculate measures of central tendency, significant tests and regression. A quantitative method of data analysis was used. Also descriptive statistics were used to calculate the characteristics of the available data gathered by the researcher. 43 CHAPTER 4 PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA Introduction This chapter provide analysis and interpretation of the data obtained from empirical study. The results analysed based on the concepts discussed in the literature review. Descriptive statistics in form of tables have been used to present the data. To reach a thorough conclusion, data is analysed, presented and interpreted in line with the research question and research objectives. The demographics of the study revealed that there were seven male and two female bank managers. Only two bank managers who are male had diplomas while the remainder had university degrees. All managers who responded to the instrument had between 11 to 20years’ experience in the banking industry. The loan officers who responded, seven had university degrees while two had diplomas. The demographical distribution was that there were six male officers and three female officers in the loan departments. Four of the officers had 11-20 years in the banking industry while five were below 10 years in the banking industry. 44 Research Question 1: To what extent is the use of credit information system in commercial banks affecting loan quality? Table 9: Loan Quality Measure N Mean Std. Deviation 31.The experience at our bank is that Non-Performing Loans Affect the Bank’s 18 3.72 .752 18 4.67 .485 18 4.61 .502 18 4.11 1.023 18 4.28 .461 18 4.28 .461 Loanqave 18 4.2778 .23570 Valid N (listwise) 18 Loan Quality 32.At our bank the relationship between loan Quality and Non-performing loans is adverse. 33.The experience at our bank is that failure to use Credit Information Systems Erode Loan Quality 34.The experience at our bank is that failure to use Credit Information Systems increase Non-performing loans 35.Our bank uses credit information systems to improve working capital which is adversely affected by Non-performing loans 36.At our bank it has been experienced that non-performing loans can be reduced rapidly if a combination of systems are used Table 9 show an average mean of 4.2778 and an average standard deviation of 0.23570. This shows that on average the use of credit information system in commercial banks is high. The standard deviation of 0.23570 shows that the responses were homogeneous. This shows that on average respondents unanimously responded uniformly on the high 45 extent to which credit information systems are used by commercial banks. However, World Bank (2012) states that there are other factors that affect loan quality like the role of information sharing. A client can have multiple loan application in Zimbabwe and still get all loans approved. The issue of the CIS’s working to better client selection ends up being countered by information asymmetry. Furthermore, there are other factors also that have an impact on the loan quality like natural disasters for example in the agriculture and manufacturing sectors of the economy, integrity of the borrower, market conditions and government policy. Agricultural loans are usually affected by climatic conditions. Most farmers end up defaulting on loan payments when their crops fail even when the vetting process was meticulously done. In addition, some political and economical factors may affect the loan repayments for example 2008-2013 were years when the economy was recovering. Post 2014 the economic environment was stabilising and we expected growth yet companies started to wind down. These factors in as much as there may been a likelihood of growth and a lot of loans had been rolled out, ended up affecting the loan quality due to high levels of default rates. Integrity of borrowers is when the borrower gives wrong information to the banks knowingly. This is when fraudulent working information in form of contracts and 46 payslips is used. This affect the rating process and people who should not get loans end up receiving the advances. This ends up distorting loan quality. Research question 2: To what extent are Commercial Banks in Zimbabwe using the following credit information systems in managing credit risk? Table 10: Credit Approval Authority Std. N 1.Our Commercial Bank has a lending approval committee Mean Deviation 18 5.00 .000 18 5.00 .000 3.At our Bank all loan applications pass through the committee 18 3.78 .647 4.Loans at our commercial bank are granted by a committee and not individuals 18 4.11 .758 5.Our Bank’s lending committee scrutinised all loans for proper 18 4.78 .428 18 4.67 .485 18 4.17 .707 Creditave 18 4.0238 .19752 Valid N (listwise) 18 2.AT our commercial bank the lending committee meet regularly and follow the stated procedures to review applications for loans consistently 6.At our bank credit approval committee is mandated with the banks’ periodic credit reviews of maturing loans 7.The experience at our bank is that the Credit Approval committee actions help improve loan quality 47 Table 10 presents findings regarding the credit approval authority in Zimbabwean commercial banks. Findings show an average mean score of 4.0238 and an average standard deviation of 0.19752. The average mean shows that almost every time commercial banks in Zimbabwe use credit approval authority in trying to improve the bank’s loan quality. The standard deviation of 0.19752, which is below 1 show that the respondents responded homogeneously. The homogeneity of the response states that on average the respondents acknowledge that to a very high extent credit approval authority is used by commercial banks in managing loan quality. In as much as there is high usage of credit approval authority, Dr Mangudya in the June 2015 monetary policy reading stated that there are other factors that may counter credit approval like the weakening borrowers capacity to repay their debt. In addition to this assertion, World Bank report (2012) states that the role of information sharing can also be instrumental in making or breaking the credit market in that there may be information that other lenders may have that may not be available to a new credit provider hence the client may default many loans before they are discovered. 48 Table 11: Risk Pricing N 8.At our bank a loan interests are established in relation to risk of the borrower. 9.The use of Risk based pricing at our bank causes borrowers to pay generally more in the form of a higher interest rate 10.At our bank the use of Risk based pricing gives its clients an opportunity to borrow instead of being denied. 11.Risk based pricing use at our bank helps in determining a better loan quality by discouraging would be borrowers from getting credit lines due to the inhibitive interest rates. 12.At our bank clients are properly advised that they are paying more on interest because they are rated as risky. 13.The experience at our bank is that Risk based pricing helps in minimizing loan default Riskave Valid N (listwise) Mean Std. Deviatio n 18 4.28 .669 18 4.28 .669 18 3.89 .758 18 3.78 .647 18 4.06 .639 18 2.72 .461 18 18 3.8333 .26813 Table 11 shows an average mean of 3.8333 and an average standard deviation of 0.26813. The average mean shows that respondents agreed that almost every time commercial banks in Zimbabwe use Risk pricing to improve the bank’s loan quality. The standard deviation of 0.26813 which is below 1, show that the respondents are homogeneous. The homogeneity of the respondents show that on average the respondents agree that to a very high extent risk pricing is used by commercial banks in managing loan quality. Question 13 has the lowest mean of 2.72 which shows that some respondents noted that risk based pricing use helped in reducing loan default in Zimbabwe while other did not 49 concur. This may be as a result of availability of non-risk based pricing loans being awarded such that banks do not often use them to determine awarding of loans due to competition. Risk based pricing rates clients on the low to high risk in relation to ability to repay a loan. They may look at employment status and income or credit scores to show the risk associated with a particular client. With the recent labour laws that allowed employers to issue three months’ notice to employees this may have had an adverse impact on loan repayment in relation to risky clients. Dr J Mangudya in the June 2015 monetary policy stated that the absence of public credit bureaus in Zimbabwe also has an impact in that there is no collective data bank that assists in sharing information among different players in the market thereby reducing the information gap. 50 Table 12: Portfolio Management Std. Deviati N Mean on 14.Loan portfolio management (LPM) at our bank helps reduce risks that are inherent in the credit process are managed and controlled 15.At our bank management regularly review loan portfolio performance to curb possible irregularities. 16.At our bank loan portfolio managers concentrate their effort on prudently approving loans and carefully monitoring loan performance 17.The use of Loan Portfolio Management at our bank helps in minimizing loan default 18.The experience at our bank is that the use of Loan portfolio Management actions by management help improve loan quality Portfolioave Valid N (listwise) 18 4.06 .416 18 4.17 .618 18 4.00 .000 18 4.00 .000 18 4.00 .000 18 4.0444 .14642 18 Table 12 shows an average mean of 4.0444 and an average standard deviation of 0.14642. The average mean shows that almost every time commercial banks in Zimbabwe use portfolio management to improve the bank’s loan quality. The standard deviation of 0.14642 which is below 1, show that the respondents are homogeneous. The homogeneity of the response show that on average to a high extent portfolio management is used by commercial banks in managing loan quality. In as much as there is a very high level of usage of portfolio management, the banking sector’s external environment has a bearing on the outcome of the increase in NPL’s. Competitive rivalry on the domestic banks market has had a great impact on the rise of NPL’s. Banks are in a drive to get more customers who will translate into more deposits 51 that they would like to tie down for some time with advancement of loans. The analysis on the FBC bank website extraction of the half year June 2014 bank NPL’s shows that the least affected banks are the ones that are foreign owned like Standard Chartered Bank, Stanbic Bank, MBCA and Barclays including CBZ that has government as the largest single investor but not majority shareholder ownership . The remainder show an increase in NPL’s which may be best explained by information asymmetry. Table 13: Private Credit Registers Std. Deviati N Mean on 25.Our bank uses private registries in checking credit worthiness 18 4.56 .511 26.When checking the creditworthiness using private registries the prices are inhibitive 18 4.50 .514 18 4.22 .647 28.The use of Private registries information at our bank help improve loan quality 18 3.56 .511 29.At our bank the use of private registries reduces the levels of non-performing loans 18 4.56 .511 18 4.39 .502 27.Commercial Banks voluntarily shares information’s with other lenders through private registries. 30.Use of Private credit Bureaus generated Information on Clients by our bank help improve loan quality by reducing default rates Privateave 18 Valid N (listwise) 18 3.7037 .18573 Table 13 shows an average mean of 3.0737 and an average standard deviation of 0.18573. The average mean shows that respondents agreed that almost every time 52 commercial banks in Zimbabwe use Private credit registers to improve the bank’s loan quality. The standard deviation of 0.18573 which is below 1, show that the respondents are homogeneous. The homogeneity of the respondents show that on average the respondents agree that to a very high extent private credit registers is used by commercial banks in managing loan quality. The information that these private registries provide is independent and objective since the client is the bank and not the person applying for the loan. Lenisa (2007) stated that private credit registries help reduce fraud by providing additional information on top of that gathered by credit approval authority and portfolio management that allow risk assessors to recognize potentially falsified loan applications. Dr John Mangudya reiterated in the august 2015 monetary policy statement that the absence of information sharing has led to the collapse of the in the lending market. Hence the private registries help bridge that gap. 53 Research Question 3: To what degree has Commercial Banks in Zimbabwe benefited from using information systems in improving loan quality? Table 14: Model Summary Analysis results presented that credit approval authority, risk pricing, portfolio management and public credit register have no significant impact on loan quality. Table 14 shows an adjusted R square value of 0.201 which means that the private credit registers have a 20.1% effect on loan quality. The positive R value of 0.498 which is the correlation value shows that there is a good relationship between private credit register use and loan quality. This means that the more we use the information from private credit registers the better our loan quality improves. The reason why private registries have more significant impact is that by nature they are external participants who are capable of facilitating appropriate analysis of credit worthiness of a client with greater transparency. Furthermore, private credit registers(PCRs) also collect positive information about the borrower which Japelli and Pagano (2005) argue that this may lead lenders to discover reputable clients readily, resulting in better loan quality . 54 Table 15 : Anova Table Model 1 Sum of Squares Df Mean Square Regression .234 1 .234 Residual .711 16 .044 Total .944 17 F Sig. 5.267 .036a a. Predictors: (Constant), privateave b. Dependent Variable: loanqave In table 15 an F Value of 5.267 which is significant at P value of 0.036 . The P value is compared to 0.05, and since it is less with a value of 0.036 it means that private credit registers and loan quality model is very significant hence it can be used to make valuable assumptions and make recommendations. The significance of the relationship is positive in that the more commercial banks used information from private credit registers. They are capable of analysing and selecting high rated clients who have a clean credit record. The private registries use information from varied sources such that would be defaulters are quickly identified and blacklisted as risky. This then help identify high quality clientele for the commercial banks. Hence, significant relationship shown by an F Value of 5.267 which is significant at P value of 0.036 disregards the null hypothesis that stipulated that commercial banks in 55 Zimbabwe do not use credit information systems and that there are no benefits derived from the use of the systems by commercial banks in Zimbabwe. Table 16: Coefficientsa Standardized Unstandardized Coefficients Model 1 B Std. Error (Constant) 1.939 1.020 privateave .632 .275 Coefficients Beta t .498 Sig. 1.900 .076 2.295 .036 a. Dependent Variable: loanqave Table 16 which is the coefficients table has a positive Beta value of 0.498. We are more interested in knowing the sign whether its positive or negative. Since a positive value means that there is a positive relationship, it means that if we increase the independent variable which is private credit registers then we improve the dependent variable which is the loan quality. This means that private credit registers use has more significant impact on loan quality and reduction of Non-performing loans. Irrespective of the above, the research findings state that in Zimbabwe commercial banks have not benefitted fully on the use of credit information systems in improving loan quality since the levels of nonperforming loans have been on the rise despite the results of the study stating that there is high usage of credit approval authority, portfolio management, private credit registries and risk pricing. 56 The study only recognised the private credit registers as having a significant impact on loan quality as compared to the other variables which are commercial bank internal measures to curb the rise of NPL’s. These internal measures in as much as they are used, the bank personnel may be having a bias to the extent of overlooking pertinent information like inconsistency in salary deposits, inconsistency in salary amount deposits and rate of salary withdrawals. This may assist in rating the level of risk associated with a client. Commercial banks in Zimbabwe have been meticulously using the information systems in trying to improve loan quality. The average means on the testing of the extent to which they use information systems. However, it has been proven by statistics that in as much as they have been used widely in the industry, they have a significant effect to the quality of loans hence they have to a lesser extent benefited the Commercial banks in answering the question of loan quality 57 CHAPTER 5 SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS Introduction This Chapter presents the research summary, conclusions and recommendations, formulated from the research findings in chapter 4. An area of further study is also presented in this chapter. Summary This research was to assess the significance of credit information systems which include credit approval authority, risk pricing, portfolio management and private credit registers as a tool for improving commercial bank loan quality. The research also sought to achieve the following objectives: To establish the use of credit information systems as a credit risk management strategy by Zimbabwean Commercial Banks. To investigate the value derived from using credit information systems by Commercial Banks in Zimbabwe To establish the reasons why borrowers default on loans from Commercial banks To evaluate the extent to which credit risk information techniques currently employed by Commercial Banks in Zimbabwe are assisting in improving loan quality. 58 The research was carried out using quantitative descriptive research. Descriptive statistics, frequency and factor analysis were used to arrive at the findings. The population was 13 banks and we sampled seventy percent (70%) of the population to have a sample of nine (9) banks. The researcher interview two people per bank namely the manager and the loans officer giving us a sample number of 18 respondents. The assessment was also meant to check the extent to which commercial banks use Credit information systems as a tool or improving loan quality. The research was also meant to come up with recommendations that would assist bank managers and loans officers on the way forward. The findings of the study were as follows: 1. Statistics shows that credit information systems were often used in banks to help improve loan quality as shown an average mean of 4.28 and an average standard deviation of 0.24 2. The findings showed that credit approval authority is used every time by commercial banks in trying to improve loan quality. This was supported by an average mean of 4.02 and an average standard deviation of 0.20. 3. Responses were homogeneous in that commercial banks in Zimbabwe almost every time use risk pricing for authorising loans to improve loan quality as supported by an average mean of 3.83 and an average standard deviation of 0.27. 59 4. On portfolio management use as a credit Information System, the responses homogeneously stated that commercial banks in Zimbabwe are to a higher extent using the credit Information System in improving loan quality as supported by an average mean of 4.04 and an average standard deviation of 0.15. 5. The responses homogeneously asserted that commercial banks in Zimbabwe use Private Credit register almost always as shown by an average mean of 3.07 and an average standard deviation of 0.19. 6. Research findings presented that credit approval authority, risk pricing, portfolio management and public credit register have no significant impact on loan quality. Table 4.7 shows an adjusted R square value of 0.201 which means that the private credit registers have a 20.1% effect on loan quality. The positive R value of 0.498 which is the correlation value shows that there is a good relationship between private credit register use and loan quality. This means that the more we use the information from private credit registers the better our loan quality improves. Conclusion The study revealed that commercial Banks in Zimbabwe are using credit information systems which include credit approval authority, risk pricing, portfolio management and private credit registers. In as much as they are highly used, the study revealed that the commercial banks in Zimbabwe have not had a positive benefit derived from the use of the credit information systems as listed in the conceptual framework as there has been a marked increase of nonperforming loans in the industry. 60 This can be compounded to a variety of cause ranging from government policies, market competition as well as economic and social factors that affect business practices on a daily basis. Hence, the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe highlighted in the July 2015 monetary statement that they will set up a public credit registry to help monitor other elements like information asymmetries to help reduce nonperforming. In addition, the study further revealed that of the credit information systems used by commercial banks highlighted in this research study, only private credit register have a significant effect of 20.1% on loan quality. Recommendations Based on the research findings, the researcher recommends the following: 1. Commercial bank management should invest more in the use of private credit registers since it has a significant effect on loan quality. 2. Management at commercial bank should recommend and assist in the formation of a public credit registry by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe so as to reduce effects of information asymmetry. 3. Commercial banks should ascribe proper vetting on background client information so that those who do not qualify for loans approval are picked and denied so as to safeguard the banks working capital. 4. Management of commercial banks should not have few big clients constituting the majority of loan balance in their books as this can be very fatal in case of those clients defaulting or liquidating. 61 Recommendations for Further Study In future study should be carried on the following: 1. An analysis of the extent to which credit information systems are used as a tool for improving loan quality by commercial banks in Zimbabwe. 2. Alternative strategies to guard banks against credit risk in Zimbabwe. 3. Determinants of credit risk in the Zimbabwean banking industry. 62 63 REFERENCE Adhikary, K. B. (2005) Nonperforming Loans in the Banking Sector of Bangladesh: Realities and Challenges. Bangladesh Institute of Bank Management (BIBM), Bangladesh Baer. T., Carassim. M., Miglio A., Fabiani C.,& Ginevra.E. (2009). The national credit bureau: A key enabler of financial infrastructure and lending in developing economies. McKinsey working paper on risk. Barron. J,Straten. M.(2003). The value of Comprehensive Credit Reports: Lessons from the US experience. Georgetown University, Washington, D.C. Bennardo. A., Pagano. M., &Piccolo. S (2009). Multiple- Bank Lending, Creditor Rights and Information Sharing. CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7186, London, United Kingdom Bolton. C. (2009). Logistic regression and its application in credit scoring. University of Pretoria, South Africa Brown M & Zehdner. C.(2007). The Emergence of Information Sharing in Credit Markets. Caire. D, Barton. S, Zubiria. A,Alexiev Z, Dyer. J, Bundred. F & Brislin. N.(2006). A handbook for developing credit scoring systems in a microfinance context. USAID micro report #66. United States of america Biggar, D. & Heimler, A. (2005). An increasing role for competition in the regulation of banks. Antitrust Enforcement in Regulated sectors – Subgroup 1, ICN. Bonn 64 Galindo A., & Miller. M. (2001). Can Credit Registries Reduce Credit Constraints? Empirical Evidence on the Role of Credit Registries in Firm Investment Decisions. Inter-American Development Bank, USA Gardeva A,& Rhyne E. (2011). Opportunities and Obstacles to Financial Inclusion Center for financial inclusion. Publication 12 survey report. Hachinobe University Research Institute (2008). Daiwa Institute of Research Development of Database on Corporate Credit Information ASEAN Plus Three Financial Ministers Meeting, Research Group. International Finance Cooperaton (2006). Credit bureau knowledge guide Washington DC.International Finance Cooperaton, USA Mohammed Shofiqul Islam, Nikhil Chandra Shil & Abdul Mannan M.D. (2005), “Non performing loans – its causes, consequences and some learning.” MPRA Paper. No 7708 Kallberg J G.,&Udell F G (2003). Private Business Information Exchange in the United States. Lenisa Frank (2007). The Importance of Credit Information and Credit Scoring for Microlending and Microfinance Institutions. Compuscan Information Technologies. South Africa Madrid, Minetti (2009). Sharing Information in the Credit Market: Contract-Level Evidence from U.S. Firms. Journal of Financial Economics Volume 109, Issue 1, July 2013, Pages 198–223 65 McIntosh, C., Luoto j Wydick B (2004). Credit information systems in less developed countries: A test with Microfinance in Guatemala. Economic Development and Cultural Change ( January 2007), vol. 55, no. 2, pp. 313-334 Miller. G.(2001). Credit reporting systems around the globe. The state of the art in public and private credit registries. World Bank Mylenko Nataliya (2008). Developing credit reporting in Africa. Opportunities and challenges. International Finance Corporation Padilla, A J., &Pagano M. (2000). Sharing default information as a borrower discipline device. European Economic Review, vol. 44, issue 10, pages 1951-1980 Pagano M., &Japelli T. (2005). Roles and effects of Credit Information Sharing. Working Paper no. 136. University of Salerno and CSEF Powel, A., Mylenko, N., Miller M., (2004)Manoni GImproving Credit Information, Bank Regulation and Supervision: On the Role and Design of Public Credit Registries. Washington, D.C World Bank Research Working Paper Series . Saunders, M., Lewi, P. M. & Thornhill, A. (2003.). Research Merthods or Business Students. Spain: Pearson Education Limited. Smith, M.M. (2006). Recent developments in credit scoring. A summary. Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, USA Staten, M.E.(2008). Maximizing the benefits from credit reporting. TranUnion. LLC Chicago, IllinoisUSA Turner, A. M., Varghese, R., Walker, P. (2008).Information sharing and SMME 66 financing in South Africa: A survey of the landscape. PERC Press. Chapel Hill, North Carolina. USA World Bank. (2006). Financial Infrastructure. International Finance Corporation www.rbz.co.zw/assets/quarterly-industry-report-september-2014 www.financialgazette.co.zw/rbz-to-set-up-national-credit-bureau/ www.rbz.co.zw/assets/troubled-and-insolvent-bank-policy-revised.-06.06.2011doc.pdf 67 APPENDIX A: INTRODUCTORY LETTER 2843 Unit C Seke Chitungwiza July 7, 2015 Dear Sir/Madam RE: Research Study Topic: An Analysis of Credit Systems use as A Tool For improving Loan Quality atCommercial Banks in Zimbabwe. My name is Silence Chigariro and I am conducting a research to fulfill the requirements of Masters of Business Administration degree with Solusi University. The purpose of this research is solely for academic purposes and all information gathered will be treated with utmost confidentiality. Your contribution to this study is very important as it will give this researcher first-hand information on the need of credit information systems in the financial sector. Your cooperation is greatly appreciated. Thank you 68 APPENDIX B: QUESTIONNAIRE Dear Respondents, My name is Chigariro Silence, an MBA Student at Solusi University in Zimbabwe. I am carrying out a research on The extent to which Credit Information Systems are used as A Tool for improving Loan Quality at Commercial Banks in Zimbabwe. The information obtained from this study will be used sorely for educational purposes only. All information will be treated confidentially and will be closely guarded. Please do not write your name or any personal detail on this questionnaire. Section A: GENERAL INFORMATION Please fill in the following by ticking the box that correctly describes your attributes. General Information: 1. Job title:……Bank Manager 2. Indicate your gender: Female loan Officer Male 3. Academic qualifications:…: Ordinary level Diploma 4. Years of experience:… Advanced Level Degree 1 -10 11-20 69 20 and above Section B Since dollarization has your bank offered any credit facilities? Yes No 5. Which loan facilities have you offered? Personal Corporate SME Other All Other, please specify .......................................................................................................................................... .......................................................................................................................................... ........................ 6. What non-performing loan Level or category according to the Troubled and Insolvent Bank Policy is your bank? watch list(10%-15%) Close monitoring(15%-25%) Mandatory remedial action(Above 25%) Section C Instructions to Respondents Please kindly indicate with a mark the extent to which you agree or disagree with each one of the following statements, based on the explanation of items in the rating scale: 70 Always (5) Often (4) Seldom (3) Sometimes (2) Never (1) ITEM 5 4 3 2 1 5 4 3 2 1 CREDIT APPROVAL AUTHORITY 7. Our Commercial Bank has a lending approval committee 8. AT our commercial bank the lending committee meet regularly and follow the stated procedures to review applications for loans consistently 9. At our Bank all loan applications pass through the committee 10. Loans at our commercial bank are granted by a committee and not individuals 11. Our Bank’s lending committee scrutinised all loans for proper collateral and supporting documentation 12. At our bank credit approval committee is mandated with the banks’ periodic credit reviews of maturing loans 13. The experience at our bank is that the Credit Approval committee actions help improve loan quality RISK PRICING 14. At our bank a loan interests are established in relation to 71 risk of the borrower. 15. The use of Risk based pricing at our bank causes borrowers to pay generally more in the form of a higher interest rate 16. At our bank the use of Risk based pricing gives its clients an opportunity to borrow instead of being denied. 17. Risk based pricing use at our bank helps in determining a better loan quality by discouraging would be borrowers from getting credit lines due to the inhibitive interest rates. 18. At our bank clients are properly advised that they are paying more on interest because they are rated as risky. 19. The experience at our bank is that Risk based pricing helps in minimizing loan default PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT 20. 5 Loan portfolio management (LPM) at our bank helps reduce risks that are inherent in the credit process are managed and controlled 21. At our bank management regularly review loan portfolio performance to curb possible irregularities. 22. At our bank loan portfolio managers concentrate their effort on prudently approving loans and carefully monitoring loan performance 72 4 3 2 1 23. The use of Loan Portfolio Management at our bank helps in minimizing loan default 24. The experience at our bank is that the use of Loan portfolio Management actions by management help improve loan quality PRIVATE CREDIT BUREAUS REGISTRY (PCB) 25. Our bank uses private registries in checking credit worthiness 26. When checking the creditworthiness using private registries the prices are inhibitive 27. Commercial Banks voluntarily shares information’s with other lenders through private registries. 28. The use of Private registries information at our bank help improve loan quality 29. At our bank the use of private registries reduces the levels of non-performing loans 30. Use of Private credit Bureaus generated Information on Clients by our bank help improve loan quality by reducing default rates LOAN QUALITY AND NON-PERFORMING LOANS 31. The experience at our bank is that Non-Performing Loans 73 Affect the Bank’s Loan Quality 5 32. At our bank the relationship between loan Quality and Nonperforming loans is adverse. 33. The experience at our bank is that failure to use Credit Information Systems Erode Loan Quality 34. The experience at our bank is that failure to use Credit Information Systems increase Non-performing loans 35. Our bank uses credit information systems to improve working capital which is adversely affected by Nonperforming loans 36. At our bank it has been experienced that non-performing loans can be reduced rapidly if a combination of systems are used THANK YOU. 74 4 3 2 1 75 APPENDIX C: CURRICULUM VITAE Silence Chigariro CELL#: +263774622355 EMAIL ADDRESS: [email protected] PERSONAL DETAILS Sex Male Date of Birth 19 December 1980 ACADEMIC QUALIFICATIONS Solusi University (Zimbabwe) Name of University B.B.A-Accounting Field of Study Date completedSeptember 2004 Name of UniversitySolusi University (Zimbabwe) Field of Study MBA Date completed Pending Current Employment East Zimbabwe Conference of S.D.A Church (Zimbabwe)- Accountant Period of service May 2011- Current Previous Employment 76 1. Camelsa Chartered Accountants (Johannesburg (SA)-Bookkeeper Period of service February 2008-June 2008 2. KFML Holdings-Port Elizabeth (South Africa) -Junior Bookkeeper Period of service September 2007- January 2008 3. Ramathe Chartered Accountants-Port Elizabeth (South Africa) -Bookkeeper Period of service September 2006- August 2007 Sun accounting system Microsoft office (MS Excel, MS Word) Responsibilities Held: Class Treasurer (Senior Class 2004) SolusiUniversity Assistant Youth Director 2003-2004 SolusiUniversity REFEREES Michelle McDermid (Accountant) Mr. Chris Ndohlo (Manager) FML Wholesale & Yellow Zebra Optical Ramathe Chartered Accountants (SA) P.O Box 12479 2A McAdam Street Centralhill, Port Elizabeth, 6006 NewtonPark, Port Elizabeth, 6000 Office: +27415065955 Cell: +27839537962 Curly Bvuma (Office Manager) Mrs. F Ndakavambani (Secretary-President) Camelsa Chartered Accountants (SA) East Zimbabwe conference 6 Smuts House Seventh-day Adventist church VornaValley, Midrand, 1686 4 Thorn road Waterfalls, Harare, Zimbabwe Tel: 0118051027 Cell: +26391306978 77 APPENDIX D: SPSS RESULTS Std. Credit Approval Authority N 1.Our Commercial Bank has a lending approval committee Mean Deviation 18 5.00 .000 18 5.00 .000 3.At our Bank all loan applications pass through the committee 18 3.78 .647 4.Loans at our commercial bank are granted by a committee and not individuals 18 4.11 .758 5.Our Bank’s lending committee scrutinised all loans for proper 18 4.78 .428 18 4.67 .485 18 4.17 .707 Creditave 18 4.0238 .19752 Valid N (listwise) 18 2.AT our commercial bank the lending committee meet regularly and follow the stated procedures to review applications for loans consistently 6.At our bank credit approval committee is responsible mandated with the banks’ periodic credit reviews of maturing loans 7.The experience at our bank is that the Credit Approval committee actions help improve loan quality 78 Risk Pricing Std. N 8.At our bank a loan interests are established in relation to risk of the borrower. Mean Deviation 18 4.28 .669 18 4.28 .669 18 3.89 .758 18 3.78 .647 18 4.06 .639 18 2.72 .461 Riskave 18 3.8333 .26813 Valid N (listwise) 18 9.The use of Risk based pricing at our bank causes borrowers to pay generally more in the form of a higher interest rate 10.At our bank the use of Risk based pricing gives its clients an opportunity to borrow instead of being denied. 11.Risk based pricing use at our bank helps in determining a better loan quality by discouraging would be borrowers from getting credit lines due to the inhibitive interest rates. 12.At our bank clients are properly advised that they are paying more on interest because they are rated as risky. 13.The experience at our bank is that Risk based pricing helps in minimizing loan default 79 Std. Portfolio Management Deviati N Mean on 14.Loan portfolio management (LPM) at our bank helps reduce risks that are inherent in 18 4.06 .416 18 4.17 .618 18 4.00 .000 18 4.00 .000 18 4.00 .000 the credit process are managed and controlled 15.At our bank management regularly review loan portfolio performance to curb possible irregularities. 16.At our bank loan portfolio managers concentrate their effort on prudently approving loans and carefully monitoring loan performance 17.The use of Loan Portfolio Management at our bank helps in minimizing loan default 18.The experience at our bank is that the use of Loan portfolio Management actions by management help improve loan quality Portfolioave 18 Valid N (listwise) 18 80 4.0444 .14642 Private Registries Std. N Mean Deviation 25.Our bank uses private registries in checking credit worthiness 18 4.56 .511 26.When checking the creditworthiness using private registries the prices are inhibitive 18 4.50 .514 18 4.22 .647 28.The use of Private registries information at our bank help improve loan quality 18 3.56 .511 29.At our bank the use of private registries reduces the levels of non-performing loans 18 4.56 .511 18 4.39 .502 27.Commercial Banks voluntarily shares information’s with other lenders through private registries. 30.Use of Private credit Bureaus generated Information on Clients by our bank help improve loan quality by reducing default rates Privateave 3.703 18 .18573 7 Valid N (listwise) 18 81 Std. Loan Quality N Mean Deviation 31.The experience at our bank is that Non-Performing Loans Affect the Bank’s Loan 18 3.72 .752 18 4.67 .485 18 4.61 .502 18 4.11 1.023 18 4.28 .461 18 4.28 .461 Loanqave 18 4.2778 .23570 Valid N (listwise) 18 Quality 32.At our bank the relationship between loan Quality and Non-performing loans is adverse. 33.The experience at our bank is that failure to use Credit Information Systems Erode Loan Quality 34.The experience at our bank is that failure to use Credit Information Systems increase Non-performing loans 35.Our bank uses credit information systems to improve working capital which is adversely affected by Non-performing loans 36.At our bank it has been experienced that non-performing loans can be reduced rapidly if a combination of systems are used 82 Std. RegressionDescriptive Statistics Dev iatio Mean Loanqave n N 4.277 .235 18 8 Creditave 70 4.023 .197 18 8 Riskave 52 3.833 .268 18 3 Portfolioave 13 4.044 .146 18 4 Publicave 42 1.592 .085 18 6 Privateave 22 3.703 .185 18 7 83 73 Correlations Loanqav e Pearson Correlation portfolioave publicave privateave 1.000 -.271 .233 -.152 .190 .498 Creditave -.271 1.000 .212 .019 .444 -.598 .233 .212 1.000 .100 .286 .000 -.152 .019 .100 1.000 -.192 .296 Publicave .190 .444 .286 -.192 1.000 .184 Privateave .498 -.598 .000 .296 .184 1.000 Loanqave . .139 .176 .274 .225 .018 Creditave .139 . .200 .470 .033 .004 Riskave .176 .200 . .347 .125 .500 portfolioave .274 .470 .347 . .223 .116 Publicave .225 .033 .125 .223 . .233 Privateave .018 .004 .500 .116 .233 . Loanqave 18 18 18 18 18 18 Creditave 18 18 18 18 18 18 Riskave 18 18 18 18 18 18 portfolioave 18 18 18 18 18 18 Publicave 18 18 18 18 18 18 Privateave 18 18 18 18 18 18 portfolioave N riskave Loanqave Riskave Sig. (1-tailed) creditave 84 Variables Entered/Removeda Variables Model Variables Entered Removed Method 1 Stepwise (Criteria: Probability-of-F-toprivateave . enter <= .050, Probability-of-F-toremove >= .100). a. Dependent Variable: loanqave Model Summary Change Statistics Std. Error Model R 1 .498a R Square F Adjusted R of the R Square Chan Square Estimate Change ge .248 .201 .21073 df1 .248 5.267 df2 Sig. F Change 1 16 .036 a. Predictors: (Constant), privateave ANOVAb Model 1 Sum of Squares df Mean Square Regression .234 1 .234 Residual .711 16 .044 Total .944 17 85 F 5.267 Sig. .036a Std. RegressionDescriptive Statistics Dev iatio Mean Loanqave n N 4.277 .235 18 8 Creditave 70 4.023 .197 18 8 Riskave 52 3.833 .268 18 3 Portfolioave 13 4.044 .146 18 4 Publicave 42 1.592 .085 18 6 a. Predictors: (Constant), privateave b. Dependent Variable: loanqave 86 22 Coefficientsa Standardized Unstandardized Coefficients Model 1 B Coefficients Std. Error Beta (Constant) 1.939 1.020 privateave .632 .275 t .498 Sig. 1.900 .076 2.295 .036 a. Dependent Variable: loanqave Excluded Variablesb Collinearity Statistics Model 1 Beta In t Sig. Partial Correlation Tolerance creditave .042a .150 .883 .039 .642 riskave .233a 1.079 .298 .268 1.000 -.328a -1.499 .155 -.361 .912 .102a .450 .659 .115 .966 portfolioave publicave a. Predictors in the Model: (Constant), privateave b. Dependent Variable: loanqave 87
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