Intro to Game Theory - Probability Learning target: graph probability of rolling a given outcome with two dice Supplies: 2 dice (each 1-6), pencil and paper (graph paper if possible) Instructions for facilitator: 1. Roll the dice and look at the outcome. Sum the two numbers. How many ways are there to arrive at that sum? For instance, there is a 1/36 chance of rolling a sum of 2 (1+1). There is a 0/36 chance of a sum of 1. 2. For a sum of 7, the possibility is 1 and 6, 2 and 5, and 3 and 4, and the reverse of these three possibilities. The probability of rolling a 7 is thus 3/36 + 3/36 = 6/36. 3. Graph sums for 2 through 12 to create a histogram as shown below. Probability of Rolling Each Sum Number of Possible Combinations 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Desired Sum Extensions: What is the most common outcome? What sums have the lowest probability of occurring? Write each probability as a fraction and percent. Submitted by: Allison Krug 9 10 11 12
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