A review study to identify adaptive algorithms for increasing the efficiency of Comparative Judgement San Verhavert , Vincent Donche, Sven De Maeyer and Liesje Coertjens Background. People are better at comparing things rather than making an absolute judgement about them. Drawing on this and derived from Thurstone’s Law of Comparative Judgement (1927a, b), the method of Comparative Judgement (CJ) has already proven to be a reliable assessment method merits (e.g. see Jones & Inglis, 2015; Selection Algorithms Staircase Not Maximizing/Minimizing a function Not Information Measure Based No Random Component • Fixed Step Size Staircase • Up-Down Staircase with Decreasing Step Size No Staircase • • • • No Staircase • Categorization Sort • Adaptive Generalized Pólya Urn (GPU) design Random Component Staircase • Fixed Step Size Staircase with random component No Staircase Maximizing/Minimizing a function • Elo-type algorithm with fixed β_i • Elo-type algorithm with changing β_i • Elo-type algorithm with changing β_i and uncertainty tuning • Simulated Annealing Algoritm • ML estimation Neither Weighted, nor Balanced Independent of Statistical Approach Staircase • Parrameter Estimation by Sequenial Testing (PEST) No Staircase Balanced • ML-estimation “bias corrected” No Staircase Bayesian Approach • Minimum Expected Posterior Variance Staircase • ZEST (Bayesian staircase) Information Measure Based Fisher Information Jones, Swan, & Pollitt, 2015). However, CJ suffers from efficiency problems. Despite this issue being known quite a long time in the field (i.e. since Bramley, Bell, & Pollitt, 1998) no systematic search has been conducted toward algorithms that might increase CJ efficiency. This systematic review is an attempt to fill this gap. Not Maximizing/Minimizing a function Independent of Statistical Approach Maximizing(Minimizing) a function Independent of Statistical Approach Random Component Weighted No Random Component Neither Weighted, nor Balanced Weighted Balanced Frequentist Approach Bayesian Approach Not Stratified Not Stratified • Proportional method Static Constraints • point Fisher information Static Constraints • Maximum Information per time unit Static Constraints • Efficiency Balanced Information Criterion Random Component Both Weighted, and Balanced Not Stratified No Random Component Neither Weighted, nor Balanced Not Stratified No Random Component Weighted Not Stratified Weighted Not Stratified/ Blocked Static Constraints • Progressive method Flexible constraints • Fisher information over an interval Flexible constraints • Fisher information weighted by likelihood Flexible Constraints • Maximum Posterior Weighted Fisher Information Static Constraints Blocked Kullback-Leibler Information Maximizing/Minimizing a function Independent of Statistical Approach No Random Component Neither Weighted, nor Balanced Not Stratified Not Stratified • Maximum Posterior-weighted Information (MPI) with theta/b interval blocking • Maximum Expected Information (MEI) with theta/b interval blocking Flexible constraints • Bayesian Adaptive Testing Static Constraints • Point Kullback-Leibler information Flexible constraints • Kullback-Leibler Information over an interval(A)(B) Frequentist Approach Analyses. From the articles we extracted the algorithm descriptions and we attempted to make a taxonomy based on the algorithm’s adaptiveness. Not Stratified Static Constraints • Efficiency Balanced Information Criterion over Interval Balanced Method. Our method is an adaptation of that described in Petticrew and Roberts (2006). Not Stratified Flexible constraints Research Question. What adaptive selection algorithms can potentially increase efficiency in the context of CJ? [email protected] Stochastic approximation (SA) Accelerated Stochastic Approximation (ASA) Modified Binary Search (MOBS) History based selection Bayesian Approach Other Information Criterion Maximizing/Minimizing a function Bayesian Approach No Random Component Weighted No Random Component Weighted No Random Component Neither Weighted, nor Balanced Balanced www.D-PAC.be Not Stratified Not Stratified Flexible constraints • Kullback-Leibler information weighted by likelihood Flexible constraints • Poterior weighted Kullback-Leibler information Static Constraints Not Stratified Not Stratified • Adaptive Bayesian methodology or Bayesian mutual information selection Static Constraints • Adaptive Baysian methodology expected cost balanced www.eduBROn.be www.uantwerpen.be
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