DYG “The Time Crunch Convergence” Prepared for: World Golf Foundation October 20th, 2003 ©Copyright DYG, Inc. 2003 1 Presentation will cover: A Word About DYG SCAN® 7 Trends Creating A “Time Crunch Convergence” 3 Generations Impacted by Time Crunch Baby Boomers, Gen. X, Gen Y Summary 2 A Word About DYG SCAN 3 DYG SCAN Syndicated research program since 1987 Mission: Provide insight into the US culture Identify critical social, lifestyle and consumer trends Analyze their impact on business, marketing, communications, HR management, strategic planning, public policy 4 DYG SCAN Tracks social values Hopes, dreams, fears, beliefs about right and wrong, personal and social priorities Also studies: Attitudes Self Image Lifestyles Demographic Trends Behaviors Technology Adaptation 5 DYG SCAN National annual tracking survey On-going series of focus groups 3,000 telephone interviews Drilling down on key topics Since 1987 “Early warning system” Secondary source research Demographics, social indicators National teen survey 650+ on-line interviews 6 The most powerful social change occurs when different types of trends converge… 7 Example: 1960s Reduced Social Conformity (Social/Cultural Trend) The Birth Control Pill (Technology Trend) The 1960s Sexual Revolution Large Youth Cohort – Boomers (Demographic Trend) 8 7 Trends Creating a “Time Crunch Convergence” 9 Time Crunch Trend #1 The Technology Trap of Endless Improvements The more empowered technology makes you, the more you are expected to do (US Census) 10 Raised Expectations at work “These days, companies expect workers to get more done and get it done Strongly Agree faster” 76% (DYG SCAN) 11 Not Just Expectations – the Real Deal (Worker Productivity up 24% since ’92) Business Output Per Hour – Indexed to 1992 Source: Bureau of Labor 1992 - 2002 Source: Bureau of Labor 1992 - 2002 12 Update Mandate Key Requirement Compelled to constantly update: Our devices Phones, computers, software, TV, cameras, cars, etc. Our knowledge Current events, education, skills Our values Towards tolerance, risk, work, etc. 13 Time Crunch Implications Endlessly raising expectations about what you should accomplish at work… and at home Technological improvements are constantly out-pacing your ability to use/maximize them Leaves you feeling guilty, that you should do more, do it better, and do it faster Double-edge sword Less ability to get away, take a break… …yet greater demand & desire for relief 14 #2 Time Crunch Trend #2 The Media Trap Of Endless Updates The age of endless updates requires constant monitoring – thereby using up more time than before 15 Always Updating I pay a lot of attention to national and global events % Strongly Agree +10 54% 51% 44% 2000 45% 2001 2002 (DYG SCAN) 2003 16 Time Crunch Implications A good chunk of today is spent catching up on yesterday’s E-mails Voice-mails Articles News Events 17 #2 Time Crunch Trend #3 The Marketplace Trap of Endless Choice The 500 channel universe (used to describe cable TV) now applies to almost all categories – from videos to vegetables, from cameras to cars 18 Want a Car? (47 Manufacturers, Hundreds of Models, Thousands of Choices) Acura Aston Martin Audi Bentley BMW Buick Cadillac Chevrolet Chrysler Dodge Ferrari Ford GMC Honda HUMMER Hyundai Infiniti Isuzu Jaguar Jeep Kia Lamborghini Land Rover Lexus Lincoln Maserati Maybach Mazda MercedesBenz Mercury MINI Mitsubishi Nissan Oldsmobile Panoz Pontiac Porsche Rolls-Royce Saab Saturn Scion Subaru Suzuki Toyota Volkswagen Volvo 19 Time Crunch Implications Shopping takes a lot more energy, thought and time when you have so many choices And we have more things/services to shop for as new categories are constantly created 15 years ago, no one shopped for cell phones, PDAs, internet provider, sports channels, etc. 20 #2 Time Crunch Trend #4 The Experience Economy We have come to expect an experience to accompany - or replace - any product purchase From the doughnut - watching experience at Krispy Kreme … … to the TV watching experience on Jet Blue … to weekend gatherings when we buy a Harley 21 The Experience Economy Takes Up Time “I often feel that there is not enough time in the day to do all the things I need to do” (% strongly agree) All Americans Baby Boomers (age 39-57) 63% 69% (Strongly agree = top 2 box on a 6-point scale) 22 Time Crunch Implications As experiences push out mere products, there are more competitors for the consumer’s time As more and different experiences are offered Less consumer time is available As consumers make more room for different experiences, each slice of the “experience pie” gets smaller Businesses have to create smaller slices of the experiences they are selling (vacation stays, lessons, events, etc.) or increase the value of their larger slice 23 Time Crunch Trend #5 Lifestyle Integration Definition: Integration of all aspects of life; reduced compartmentalization Key Value: Efficiency Trend Leaders: Generation X 24 24 Hour Daily “Fluidity” Day care at work Dry cleaning at work At Work “Playing” at work Home office At Home Home spa Cell Phone In The Car In-vehicle entertainment 25 Key Theme Portability Becomes a Solution Work Communication Entertainment Food 26 Time Crunch Implications With Fluidity and portability comes no “down” time Experiences get chopped into smaller bits Creates a double-edged sword Consumers accustomed to “bite-size” relaxation But hunger for longer, fuller “chunks” of pleasure (when they can make time for it) 27 #2 Time Crunch Trend #6 Child Centeredness An increased focus on the wants, needs, and desires of children Social status attached to “child-first” attitude Parental Guilt attached to “me-first” attitude Particularly among Generation X parents This is a significant shift from prior generations 28 “Once You Have a Child, Your Own Needs Come Second” % Strongly Agree 10+ 70% 75% 65% 1987 1992 2003 Source: DYG SCAN® 2003 29 Child-centeredness in the Marketplace 30 Time Crunch Implications Parents are serving more time masters than ever before Feelings of Guilt over time spent on self New rationale needed to market timeintensive pleasures 31 #2 Time Crunch Trend #7 Conspicuous Activation Showing off by how busy you are and by how many activities you do Signals that… I’m Young (or young at heart) I’m Healthy I’m Interesting 32 Status has moved from purely how much you have (money, stuff) to… … how much you can do (activities, hobbies, events) 33 Nothing Leisurely About Our Leisure % Strongly Agree My way of relaxing is doing as little as possible 27% 48 pt. difference 75% In my spare time, I like to be active and do different things (Source: DYG SCAN® 2003) 34 Time Crunch Implications The number – rather than the depth – of activities means less time spent on each activity Maintaining one’s status as active, busy and involved uses up lots of time This shift in status will most dramatically alter how Boomers spend their empty-nest years 35 Summary of Time Crunch Trends Child Centered-ness The Experience Economy Life style Integration Time Crunch Technology Trap of Endless Improvements Conspicuous Activation The Media Trap of 24-7 The Marketplace Trap of Endless Choice 36 3 Generations Impacted By Time Crunch 37 Baby Boomers 38 Baby Boomers Born: Life Stage Information 1946 to 1964 (The years of very high birth rates) Current Age: 39 to 57 Size: 78 million Baby Boomers are turning age 50 at the rate of 10,000 a day! One third of the adult U.S. population 39 Baby Boomers Core Values and Life Stage Interaction (Shared by both Boomer Men and Women) Age-less-ness Defined: Desire to reject the traditional path of aging and be “forever young” Obsession with youth Desire to never be defined or limited by their age Accelerated by Terrorism Environment 40 Baby Boomers Core Values and Life Stage Interaction (Shared by both Boomer Men and Women) Sandwiched Defined: Feel they are facing multiple pressures – often coming from opposite sides Home: Between kids and aging parents Work: Between rising GenXer and retirement (w/o enough savings) Culture: Between Youth domination and nostalgia (The “Greatest” Generation) G.I. 41 Boomer Goals Stay Young Stay Healthy Stay Relevant Stay Active 42 Boomer Retirement? For the first time in decades, the age of retirement has started to go up instead of down In just the last 5 years, the percent of men aged 60-64 that are working went from 45% to 50% The percent of women age 60-64 that are working went from 19% to 27% (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 2003) 43 Time Implications Less free time than anticipated for next life stage As retirement is becoming less of an option ($$$) or less of a goal More Competition for their time As they experiment with many activities Potentially more “active” activities As they strive to look young, stay fit 44 Generation X 45 Gen X Born: Life Stage Information 1965 to 1975 (The years of lower birth rates) Current Age: 28 to 38 Size: 46 million Busiest life stage (work, career, kids) 17% of the adult U.S. population 46 Life Stage Gen X Intense life period (“life building”) Young children Career building New and significant responsibilities Home ownership Financial planning 47 Intersection of Core Values & Life Stage Gen X (Shared by both Gen X Men and Women) Family Defined: The majority of Gen Xers are focused on family issues – balancing demands of career, home and children; finding family Their kid-focus makes this their most important life stage to date Strong emphasis on “protecting” the kids from a dangerous world – accelerated since 9/11 The growing “Singles” minority are looking to establish their social “family” 48 Child-Centeredness Generation Xers are more child-centered than Boomers were at their age “Once you have a child, your own needs come second” Among Americans aged 25 to 29 2003 % % strongly agree GenX in this age group 77 1987 % Boomers in this age group 63 (DYG SCAN) 49 Time Implications Less free time As work demands more from them Even if economy picks up, so will expenses (as their kids approach college) More Guilt As they feel deep obligation to family and children More “non-traditional” activities First generation to embrace “extreme” sports, but now with older bodies 50 Today’s Young Adults 51 Young Adults Life Stage Information Leading edge of next generation Born: 1976 to 1985 Current Age: 18 to 27 Education: More likely to go on to college than any previous generation Just under half of today’s HS seniors go immediately to college Ethnicity: Roughly one-third non-white Most diverse generation ever 52 Young Adults Young Adult Life Stage: Summing Up Starting out Have gone from protected childhood to young adulthood Leaving college and launching careers 53 Intersection of Core Values & Life Stage Young Adults (Shared by both Young Adult Men and Women) Entitlement Defined: A belief since childhood that they can, will, and should get the best of everything Optimistic view of life (glass not just half full – it’s overflowing) Focus on fun, fame and fortune But with little effort or risk 54 Time Implications Spend time on “Lifestyles” not just Activities Need activities that can spill over into their fashion, language and attitude How can Golf be bigger than just a game? Social time a big part of “free time” Need activities that allow easy connection of different people to come together How can Golf best accommodate this “mixer” mindset? 55 Time Implications Less free time As reality of adulthood takes hold But likely to fight hard against loss of freedom Greater Diversity to how they spend time Generation “Whatever” always experimenting Is your product positioned to be part of their experiment? 56 Summary 57 Summary Time crunch is real From work, home, kids, commute, life Time crunch is also attitudinal We accept, expect, even attempt to be busy But, what to limit “busy-ness” to what we care about Time crunch is LONG TERM Structural changes in society make it so Technology, Economy, Media, Marketplace 58 Time Crunch Equation Lower the Time Commitment Consumers Must Make… OR …Raise the Value Consumers Get From their Time Investment 59 For more information, contact DYG’s Main Office: Phone #: 203-744-9008 [email protected] 60
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