1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 APPENDIX. Supplementary data S1 Table. Species-specific growth parameter values used in JABOWA-III-simulation of forest succession and competition in western Nova Scotia. Species AGEmax Dmax Hmax S G SAP AINC b2 b3 American beech Balsam fir 400 160 3660 3 100.85 6 0.003 44.0 0.137 200 86 2270 3 118.10 5 0.003 50.1 0.291 Black spruce 250 46 2740 3 36.80 5 0.003 113.9 1.240 Eastern hemlock Eastern larch 700 150 3660 3 98.9 6 0.003 47.0 0.156 250 85 3050 1 99.24 13 0.003 68.5 0.403 Red maple 250 150 3660 2 245.87 6 0.003 47.0 0.156 Red oak 400 100 3050 2 123.85 13 0.003 58.3 0.291 Red pine 300 91 3050 1 179.86 6 0.003 64.0 0.352 Red spruce 400 60 2290 3 58.30 5 0.003 71.8 0.598 Sugar maple 400 170 3350 3 136.50 6 0.003 37.8 0.111 Aspen 120 100 3050 1 199.75 13 0.003 58.3 0.291 White spruce 230 53 3350 2 105.57 5 0.003 121.2 1.140 White ash 200 150 2440 2 169.62 13 0.003 30.7 0.102 White birch 150 76 3050 1 218.61 13 0.003 76.6 0.504 White pine 400 101 4570 2 162.38 7 0.003 87.8 0.435 Yellow birch 300 100 3050 3 165.14 18 0.003 58.3 0.291 AGEmax, naturally maximum life span (years); Dmax, maximum diameter at breast height (cm); Hmax, maximum height (cm); S, shade tolerance classes; G, growth rate scaling coefficient; SAP, speciesspecific maximum number of saplings that can be added to a plot in any one year; AINC, minimum diameter increment required per year for an individual tree to avoid being subjected to higher probability of mortality (affecting mortality probabilities); b2 and b3 are coefficient of height allometry. 1|P age S2 Table. Classification of the study area into 12 forestland types based on probability of species occurrence surfaces generated from an abiotic-centric species distribution model (after Baah-Acheamfour et al. 2013); all values are in percent (%) a. Cluster number Species Balsam fir Black spruce Eastern hemlock Eastern larch Red pine Red spruce White spruce Eastern white 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 20 6 89 16 88 62 19 18 89 20 0 12 85 66 65 15 12 12 68 21 23 4 0 9 4 18 3 52 3 3 23 89 2 3 0 3 15 55 1 2 8 3 0 12 3 3 3 8 0 12 3 14 0 0 11 5 0 9 5 0 0 58 3 63 4 64 16 67 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 55 1 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 12 4 0 24 4 51 62 0 14 0 0 0 8 5 5 2 3 14 0 12 0 15 12 51 14 0 9 0 3 0 0 0 50 18 87 18 3 12 2 13 3 2 6 0 0 50 54 20 2 22 6 0 3 0 2 0 0 19 13 60 0 13 0 1 0 0 3 0 0 52 15 13 0 6 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 13 4 3 0 9 1 1 0 1 3 0 0 50 65 3 0 0 3 0 0 1 3 2 0 22 13 50 pine American beech Red maple Red oak Sugar maple Trembling aspen White ash White birch Yellow birch 11 12 a Within a cluster, species with probability of occurrence > 25% (Lenihan 1993) are used to name individual forestland type and are in bold. 2|P age S3 Table. Accuracy assessment of forestland types (Baah-Acheamfour et al. 2013) with the kappa statistic. Class limits for the assessment scale are based on an article by Monserud and Leemans (1990), namely <0.20 (poor), 0.20–0.40 (fair), 0.40–0.50 (moderate), 0.50–0.70 (good), 0.70–0.80 (very good), and >0.80 (excellent) a. % coveragea kappa Assessment Black spruce 4.1 0.72 very good Black spruce–eastern hemlock–red spruce 3.0 0.71 very good Balsam fir–black spruce 2.3 0.80 very good Red spruce–white pine–eastern hemlock 1.3 0.64 good Balsam fir 7.8 0.86 excellent Red spruce–balsam fir–white pine 5.9 0.63 good Black spruce–white spruce 4.4 0.63 very good Eastern hemlock–red spruce 3.4 0.70 good Balsam fir–red maple 20.7 0.53 good Trembling aspen–white birch–red oak 10.5 0.45 moderate Red maple–white birch–red oak 14.8 0.65 good Sugar maple–beech–yellow birch 10.4 0.49 moderate 0.65 good Forestland type Overall 13 a Indicates percent coverage of the entire study area 14 15 16 3|P age (a) Atlantic Maritime Ecozone of Canada (Canada) 17 18 (b) Western Ecoregion of Nova Scotia Legend Valley Slope South Mountain Clare 19 LaHave Drumlins 20 Rossignol 21 22 Sable Flint 780 23 24 25 26 S1 Fig. Location of the study area: Atlantic Maritime Ecozone of Canada a) , and a map of the Western Ecoregion depicting ecodistricts b); areas labeled in red and black (not shown in legend) are not addressed in the study. 4|P age 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 S 2 Fig. Species-specific ecological response functions for (a) normalized incident photosynthetically active radiation (nPAR), (b) soil water content (SWC), and (c) growing degree days (GDD) that were employed in modeling abiotic-centric potential species distribution. The response functions were parameterized from the basic understanding of physiology, morphology, and species occurrence along gradients of abiotic predictor variables. 36 37 38 39 40 5|P age 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 S 3 Fig. Projected distribution of LanDSET-modeled growing-season accumulated photosynthetically active radiation [PAR (a; in MJ m-2)] for cloud-free conditions; relative soil water content [SWC (b)]; and growing degree day sums [GDD (c; oC)] generated from remote sensing data. All surfaces are given at 70-m resolution. 48 49 50 51 6|P age
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