Applied Welfare Economics and Agricultural Policy MSc Course, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin by Dieter Kirschke in cooperation with Franz Heidhues and Jerzy Wilkin supported by Nana Künkel Ch1: 2/42 Applied Welfare Economics and Agricultural Policy Introduction 1 2 3 Principles of applied welfare economics Price policy I Price policy II 4 EU agricultural policy and international framework © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 3/42 Applied Welfare Economics and Agricultural Policy 5 6 7 8 Agricultural policy in transition countries (Wilkin) EU enlargement and accession (Wilkin) Rural finance in development (Heidhues) Structural adjustment policies (Heidhues) 9 Structural policy 10 Multiobjective policy analysis © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Applied Welfare Economics and Agricultural Policy MSc Course, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin Chapter 1 Principles of Applied Welfare Economics Ch1: 5/42 What is Benefit in Applied Welfare Economics? Price Benefit Demand curve p q Quantity Benefit: The benefit from consumption of a good is equal to the willingness to pay for this good. Assumptions: people count, consumer sovereignty, irrelevance of distribution © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 6/42 What is Welfare Cost? Price Supply curve Cost Cost: q Quantity The cost to produce a certain amount of a good is equal to the foregone consumption of other goods measured as foregone willingness to pay. © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 7/42 Welfare Measurement under Autarky: 1. Approach: economic activities Price Benefit S p D q © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Quantity Ch1: 8/42 Welfare Measurement under Autarky: 1. Approach: economic activities Price S p Cost q © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin D Quantity Ch1: 9/42 Welfare Measurement under Autarky: 1. Approach: economic activities Price Welfare S p D q Quantity Welfare: Welfare describes the level of satisfaction that people obtain from the consumption of a good. Note: Welfare (W) = Benefit (B) - Cost (C) © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 10/42 What is Consumer Surplus? Price Benefit Demand curve p Expenditure q © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Quantity Ch1: 11/42 What is Consumer Surplus? Price Consumer surplus Demand curve p q Quantity Consumer surplus: The consumer surplus describes the satisfaction for a group of consumers to consume a certain amount of a good. It is equal to the willingness to pay for this amount of the good (benefit), minus foregone willingness to pay on other markets. Note: Consumer surplus = Benefit - Expenditure © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 12/42 What is Producer Surplus? Price Revenue Supply curve p Cost q © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Quantity Ch1: 13/42 What is Producer Surplus? Price Producer surplus Supply curve p q Quantity Producer surplus: The producer surplus describes the satisfaction for a group of producers to produce a certain amount of a good. It is equal to the potential willingness to pay for the production of a certain amount of this good (revenue), minus foregone willingness to pay (cost). The producer surplus has the gross margin as its equivalent on firm level. Note: Producer surplus = Revenue - Cost © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 14/42 Welfare Measurement under Autarky: 2. Approach: economic groups Price Consumer surplus S p D q © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Quantity Ch1: 15/42 Welfare Measurement under Autarky: 2. Approach: economic groups Price Producer surplus S p D q © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Quantity Ch1: 16/42 Welfare Measurement under Autarky: 2. Approach: economic groups Price Welfare S p D q Quantity Welfare: Welfare describes the level of satisfaction that people obtain from the consumption of a good. Note: Welfare (W) = Consumer surplus (CS) + Producer surplus (PS) © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 17/42 Welfare Measurement under Autarky: Summary Price Welfare S p D q Quantity Note: 1. Approach: economic activities Welfare (W) = Benefit (B) - Cost (C) 2. Approach: economic groups Welfare (W) = Consumer surplus (CS) + Producer surplus (PS) © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 18/42 Welfare Measurement with Trade Price Benefit S p D qd © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin qs Quantity Ch1: 19/42 Welfare Measurement with Trade S Price p Cost D qd © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin qs Quantity Ch1: 20/42 Welfare Measurement with Trade Price Foreign exchange S p D Foreign exchange: qd qs Quantity Foreign exchange describes the potential satisfaction that an economy can achieve from the consumption of goods produced in other countries. Foreign exchange results from the potential willingness to pay from export goods (foreign exchange earning), minus foregone willingness to pay for import goods. © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 21/42 Welfare Measurement with Trade Price Welfare S p D qd qs Quantity Note: Welfare (W) = Benefit (B) - Cost (C) + Foreign exchange (FE) © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 22/42 Welfare Measurement with Government Intervention Price Consumer surplus S pc pp D q © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Quantity Ch1: 23/42 Welfare Measurement with Government Intervention Price Producer surplus S pc pp D q © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Quantity Ch1: 24/42 Welfare Measurement with Government Intervention Price pc Tax = Government budget S pp D q Quantity Government budget: Government budget describes the potential satisfaction that an economy can achieve from this source. It is equal to the potential willingness to pay (government revenue), minus the foregone willingness to pay (government expense). © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 25/42 Welfare Measurement with Government Intervention Welfare Price S pc pp D q Quantity Note: Welfare (W) = Consumer surplus (CS) + Producer surplus (PS) + Government budget (B) © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 26/42 Welfare Effects of Import Substitution S Price pi D pw qs qs‘ q d‘ qd Quantity i denotes a situation under current price policy to increase foreign exchange earning w denotes a free trade situation © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 27/42 Welfare Effects of Import Substitution S Price pi D Decrease in benefit pw qs © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin qs‘ q d‘ qd Quantity Ch1: 28/42 Welfare Effects of Import Substitution S Price pi D Increase in cost pw qs © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin qs‘ q d‘ qd Quantity Ch1: 29/42 Welfare Effects of Import Substitution S Price pi D Increase in foreign exchange pw qs © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin qs‘ q d‘ qd Quantity Ch1: 30/42 Welfare Effects of Import Substitution S Price pi D Decrease in welfare pw qs qs‘ q d‘ qd Quantity Note: dWelfare (dW) = dBenefit (dB) - dCost (dC) +dForeign exchange (dFE) (-) (-) (-) © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin (+) (+) (+) Ch1: 31/42 Does Government Revenue Increase Welfare? Export country Price pw D S pi qd q d‘ qs‘ qs Quantity i denotes a situation under current price policy to increase government revenue w denotes a free trade situation © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 32/42 Does Government Revenue Increase Welfare? Export country Price pw D S Increase in consumer surplus pi qd © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin q d‘ qs‘ qs Quantity Ch1: 33/42 Does Government Revenue Increase Welfare? Export country Price pw D S Decrease in producer surplus pi qd © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin q d‘ qs‘ qs Quantity Ch1: 34/42 Does Government Revenue Increase Welfare? Export country Price pw D S Increase in government budget pi qd © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin q d‘ qs‘ qs Quantity Ch1: 35/42 Does Government Revenue Increase Welfare? Export country Price pw D S Decrease in welfare pi qd q d‘ qs‘ qs Quantity Note: dW (-) (-) = © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin dPS (-) + dCS (+) + G (+) Ch1: 36/42 Welfare Effects of Producer Incentive Prices and Cheap Food Prices for Consumers Import subsidy P D Increase in government expense (G) S P D Increase in consumer surplus (CS) S pi = pw pi = pw pi ‘ pi ‘ qs‘ qs P qd D qd‘ Q Decrease in producer surplus (PS) S pi = pw qs‘ qd qs P D qd‘ Q Loss of welfare (W) S pi = pw pi ‘ pi ‘ qs‘ qs © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin qd qd‘ Q qs‘ qs qd qd‘ Q Ch1: 37/42 Welfare Effects of Producer Incentive Prices and Cheap Food Prices for Consumers Consumption subsidy P D Increase in government expense (G) S P pis=pid=pw pis=pid=pw pid‘ pid‘ qd qs P D qd‘ Q Producer surplus (PS) is constant! S P pis=pid=pw pid‘ pid‘ © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin qd qd‘ Q qd D qs Increase in consumer surplus (CS) S qs pis=pid=pw qs D qd‘ Q Loss of welfare (W) S qd qd‘ Q Ch1: 38/42 Welfare Effects of Producer Incentive Prices and Cheap Food Prices for Consumers Consumption and production subsidy P D Increase in government expense (G) S pis‘ P pis=pid=pw pid‘ pid‘ qs‘ P D qd qd‘ Q Increase in consumer surplus (CS) S pis‘ P pid‘ pid‘ © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin qd qd‘ Q D qd qd‘ Q Loss of welfare (W) S pis‘ pis=pid=pw qs‘ qs‘ qs pis=pid=pw qs Increase in producer surplus (PS) S pis‘ pis=pid=pw qs D qs qs‘ qd qd‘ Q Ch1: 39/42 Welfare Effects of Producer Incentive Prices and Cheap Food Prices for Consumers “Social food policy” P pis‘ D S Increase in government expense (G) pis=pid=pw pid‘ D S pis=pid=pw pid‘ qs P pis‘ P pis‘ Increase in producer surplus (PS) qd qd‘=qs‘ D S Q Increase in consumer surplus (CS) pis=pid=pw pid‘ qs P pis‘ D qd qd‘=qs‘ S Q Loss of welfare (W) pis=pid=pw pid‘ qs qd qd‘=qs‘ © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Q qs qd qd‘=qs‘ Q Ch1: 40/42 Discussion • Should everything be counted in money? • Do Markets impose a „dollar democracy“? © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 41/42 Literature * Houck, J.P. (1986): Elements of Agricultural Trade Policies. New York: Macmillan, pp. 45-60, 87-93 * Pindyck, R.S.; Rubinfeld, D.L. (1998): Microeconomics. 4th. ed. Upper Saddle River: Prentice-Hall, pp. 289-329 Buckwell, A. (1997): Some Microeconomic Analysis of CAP Market Regimes. In: Ritson, C.; Harvey, D.R. (Ed.): The Common Agricultural Policy. Wallingford: CAB International, pp.139-162 Helmberger, P.G.; Chavas, J.-P. (1996): The Economics of Agricultural Prices. New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, pp. 203-221 Just, R.E.; Hueth, D.L.; Schmitz, A. (2004): The Welfare Economics of Public Policy. Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar, pp. 49-182 Sadoulet, E.; de Janvry, A. (1995): Quantitative Development Policy Analysis. Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, pp. 176-213 © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin Ch1: 42/42 Questions 1. How can welfare be measured with supply and demand curves? 2. Explain the two different approaches to welfare measurement based on economic activities and economic groups! 3. What are the economic consequences of policies to increase foreign exchange earning? Give an example! 4. What are the economic consequences of policies to increase government revenue? Give an example! 5. Explain the budgetary consequences of various policies to provide producers with incentive prices and consumers with cheap food prices! © Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin
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