Learning and Making Decisions When Costs and Probabilities are

Learning and Making Decisions
When Costs and Probabilities are Both Unknown
Bianca Zadrozny and Charles Elkan
Department of Computer Science and Engineering 0114
University of California, San Diego
La Jolla, California 92093-0114

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2.
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0.3
curtailment scores (v=200)
raw C4.5 scores
0.25
pgift > 0.178218
pgift <= 0.178218
leaf
k=2239
n=55907
k=1623
n=44240
k=616
n=11667
firstdate <= 9508
RFA_2F = 1
3
2
k=158
n=2937
k=268
n=6239
k=9
n=185
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1
k=9
n=238
2
'&
k=10
n=128
4
k=21
n=271
4
k=27
n=330
5
6
k=28
n=352
7
k=8
n=166
’’
k=12
n=147
k=24
n=369
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n=1906
3
8
Test examples sorted by raw C4.5 scores
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n=11412
k=27
n=225
k=0
n=0
0
k=15
n=30
pgift > 0.097561
pgift <= 0.097561
income = 0
0.05
firstdate > 9508
k=601
n=11637
0.1
Ù+Ú8ÛG܁Ý3Þ uà#î;ûDê:ä:ë4ü8õ`âLæìä(è%éã4ê6æè(ë4ìDç‡ê6ëíÇîNïGðñ*è%éã4ê6æèSòdã4ê
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k=2604
n=39505
PEPSTRFL = ’’
PEPSTRFL = X
0.15
0
k=4843
n=95412
internal node
0.2
Scores
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0.1
0.12
Estimated Probability of Donation
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