Frequent but untimely data in LAC Joao Pedro Azevedo LCSPP 4/20/2011 Are we in trouble? 1 The Context • Heterogeneous region – High capacity middle income countries – Low capacity IDA countries • Multiple stakeholders – Demand and Supply 4/20/2011 Are we in trouble? 2 Yes, there is frequent data in the region… Summary statistics of Household survey years from the LAC region: Country Mean Avg. Min Avg. Max N Latin America Subtotal 2000.1 1989.8 2008.1 238 1999.7 1999.7 1996.7 1991.5 2001.8 2006.5 25 263 The Caribbean Subtotal Total 4/20/2011 Are we in trouble? 3 … and it is getting better. 4/20/2011 Are we in trouble? 4 And this is happening not just in terms of the standard household survey… • • • • • • • • Population census Agriculture census Labor Force Surveys Living Standard Surveys Income and Expenditure Surveys Administrative records Market research data Tailored made surveys for specific programs 4/20/2011 Are we in trouble? 5 But this is still not good enough, when the crisis hit, several countries did not know what was happening to their population… Country Mean Min Max N Bolivia Mexico Nicaragua El Salvador Bahamas Belice Dominican R. Haiti Jamaica Suriname 2000.4 1999.5 1999.3 2001.1 2001.0 1996.2 2003.2 2001.0 1997.6 1999.0 1992 1989 1993 1991 2001 1993 1996 2001 1990 1999 2007 2008 2005 2008 2001 1999 2009 2001 2002 1999 8 11 4 14 1 5 12 1 5 1 Just to name the ones in which there are data delays… several Caribbean islands still do not have regular surveys 4/20/2011 Are we in trouble? 6 MEXICO - Labor Income Poverty Index (LIPI) (U$ 2.5 a day) Q1 2005 – Q4 2010 1.30 LIPI (Q1 2007 = 1) 1.20 1.10 1.00 0.90 0.80 0.70 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 0.60 2005 2006 2007 Rural 20 April 2011 Urban Are we in trouble? 2008 2009 2010 Total 7 Some challenges… • Coordination (internal and external) • Documentation and Access • Harmonization and Comparability – Ex-ante – Ex-post • Not enough rigorous designs to improve survey instruments in the region • Little data to understand mobility in the region 4/20/2011 Are we in trouble? 8 How the next two weeks can help… • Improvements in data collection (i.e. continuous household surveys) • Exploring alternative always to use existing data (i.e. LIPI and imputation methods) • New ways of collecting data (i.e. mobile phone) • Better ways to manage data • Coordination initiatives (i.e. poverty committees) 4/20/2011 Are we in trouble? 9 LAC Team for Statistical Development 4/20/2011 Are we in trouble? 10 LAC Data Portal 4/20/2011 Are we in trouble? 11 Microdata Harmonization 4/20/2011 Are we in trouble? 12 … But make no mistake. IT TAKES TIME AND RESOURCES 4/20/2011 Are we in trouble? 13
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