HOMEWORK 4: Strategic Interaction, Water, Climate Change st Due: Monday, December 1 , 2014 50 Points LEARNING OBJECTIVES Environmental and natural resource problems often arise due to strategic interactions between economic agents. Environmental cooperation can be achieved in an infinite-time horizon game. Water resources are threatened by contamination. These contaminations can be examined using economic criteria. A source of controversy is the predicted climate change response to the increasing production of greenhouse gases (GHG). Carefully read the question before answering. Make sure your pages are in order and stapled together. Your work should be clear and easy to follow. When prompted, make sure that you explain your answer completely. QUESTIONS 1. The problem below analyses a fish stock shared between two countries. The countries can either cooperate to sustain the fishery (participate in lower or sustainable harvests) or the countries can choose to over harvest the fish (participate in higher/indivdual or unstainable harvests). (http://www.worldwildlife.org/stories/illegal-fishing-puts-crabpopulations-at-risk) a. (5 points) What is the Nash equilibrium for the one-shot game below? Country 2 Country 1 Over Harvest (Don’t Cooperate) Sustainable Harvest (Cooperate) Over Harvest (Don’t Cooperate) (625,625) (791,527) Sustainable Harvest (Cooperate) (527,791) (703, 703) Payment to country 1 Payment to country 2 Nash equilibrium {don’t cooperate, don’t cooperate} because both countries have a dominant strategy to over harvest. b. (5 points) Why are the predictions of the prisoner’s dilemma so important to natural resource management? The prisoner’s dilemma game helps illustrate the problem with public goods and common property resources. Answers will vary here. c. (5 points) Assume this game is repeated infinitely. What is the required discount rate that would ensure cooperation with the two countries if they use a tit-for-tat punishment strategy? To ensure cooperation, the discounted benefit of cooperating next period must be larger than the benefit of defecting this period. 𝐻−𝐶 < 791 − 703 < 𝐶−𝐿 1+𝑟 703 − 527 1+𝑟 Solve for r 𝑟 < 1 to ensure cooperation, which is likely. d. (5 points) Now assume the payoffs are as follows: Country 2 Country 1 Over Harvest (Don’t Cooperate) Sustainable Harvest (Cooperate) Over Harvest (Don’t Cooperate) (625,625) (791,527) Sustainable Harvest (Cooperate) (527,791) (750, 750) Find the new discount rate that would ensure cooperation. Is cooperation more or less likely now? Please explain the intuition behind why the discount rate changes and what that means for the fishery? To ensure cooperation, the discounted benefit of cooperating next period must be larger than the benefit of defecting this period. 𝐻−𝐶 < 791 − 750 < 𝐶−𝐿 1+𝑟 750 − 527 1+𝑟 𝑟 < 4.44 A higher benefit of cooperating (750 versus 703) makes it more likely that cooperation will occur. This means that the fishery is more likely to have sustainable harvest and not collapse. Answers will vary. 2. The EPA has set new consumption limits of hydrochlorofluorocarbon, HCFC: http://voices.nationalgeographic.com/2014/10/23/ozone-focus-of-epas-latestrulemaking/, with the goal of eventually phasing them out completely by 2020. HCFC is a refrigerant that has been shown to contribute to climate change and could be considered a transboundary pollutant. Suppose the marginal benefits and costs per unit of refrigerant are modeled as follows to illustrate the negative externality of refrigerant consumption: 𝑀𝑆𝐵 = 12.80 − 0.42𝑄; 𝑀𝑃𝐵 = 12.80 − 0.4𝑄 𝑀𝑆𝐶 = 𝑀𝑃𝐶 = 1.25 + 0.02𝑄 a. State the equation that represents the market externality. Give the economic interpretation of this equation, using its specific numerical value(s). HCFC consumption generates an externality, which in this case is MEB = –0.02Q. This can be interpreted as follows. For every additional HCFC consumed, there is a negative external benefit or an external cost of 2 cents per HCFC, or $20,000 on 1 HCFC. This represents damages associated with air pollution such as global warming. b. Find the efficient equilibrium, 𝑃𝐸 and 𝑄𝐸 , for this market. MSB = MSC 12.80 – 0.42Q = 1.25 + 0.02Q 11.55 = 0.44Q QE = 26.25 MM PE = $1.775 c. Find the dollar value of a per-unit refrigerant tax that would achieve the efficient solution, and calculate the tax revenues generated to the government as a result. To achieve efficiency, the tax should equal the MEB at QE, or when Q = 26.25 Tax = – 0.02(26.25) = $0.525 per gallon Tax revenues = (Per Unit Tax) * QE = 0.525 * 26.25 million = $13,781,250. d. (5 points) Explain how side payments can be used to achieve cooperation among countries with transboundary pollution (covered in the strategic behavior section). Side payments can be used among jurisdictions to achieve a cooperative equilibrium in a prison dilemma game. For example, suppose Country A produces a good that has a negative impact on County B. Country B can then provide a payment to Country A to act “coopertatively. The side payment will have to be large enough so that Country A has a profit equal to their “don’t cooperate” outcome. This payment also has small enough so that country B doesn’t have a lower outcome than the “don’t cooperate” outcome. 3. Assume for simplicity that there are two identified point sources discharging agriculture wastes into a local water body in Florida: http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/in-florida-a-water-pollutionwarning-that-glows-at-night/2014/10/26/402cb636-5bba-11e4-8264deed989ae9a2_story.html. Currently, each source releases 30 units of pollution, for a total 60 units. To improve water quality, suppose that the government sets an aggregate abatement standard of 30 units. The two polluters’ abatement cost functions are Point source 1: 𝑇𝐴𝐶1 = 10 + 𝐴12 ; 𝑀𝐴𝐶1 = 2𝐴1 Point source 2: 𝑇𝐴𝐶2 = 20 + 2𝐴22 ; 𝑀𝐴𝐶2 = 4𝐴2 a. (5 points) Suppose the government allocates the abatement responsibility equally across the two point sources so that each must abate 15 units of pollution. Explain why this abatement allocation does not yield a cost-effective solution. Support your answer numerically. Algebraically, if A1 = A2 =15, then MAC1 = 2A1 = 30 and MAC2 = 4A2 = 60. Hence, the uniform standard approach is not cost-effective, since the resulting MACs are not equal. b. (5 points) What cost condition is required for the government’s abatement allocation to be cost effective? For the abatement allocation to be cost-effective, the two polluters’ MACs must be equal. Graphically, the cost savings can be illustrated by comparing the combined total abatement costs (TAC) under the uniform approach with the combined TAC where the MACs are equal. When A1 = A2 =15, the sum of the total abatement costs (TAC) for each firm is represented as the sum of the areas under each MAC curve up to that point. This area is larger than the area under the two MACs at the point where the two MACs intersect. This excess proves that cost savings can be achieved by seeking the costeffective solution. [Students might wish to solve for the cost-effective solution by setting the two MACs equal, subject to the constraint that A1 + A2 = 30. They should find that the solution occurs where A1 = 20 and A2 =10.] c. (5 points) Suppose that instead of using an abatement standard, the government institutes a pollution (or effluent) fee of $40 per unit of pollution. How many units of pollution would each point source abate? Is the $40 fee a cost-effective strategy for meeting the 30-unit abatement standard? Explain. If the effluent fee is $40 per unit of abatement, Point Source 1 will abate 20 units of effluent and Point Source 2 will abate 10 units of effluent. This is found by setting each MAC function equal to the MEF of $40, and solving for A, as follows: MAC1 = 2A1 = $40, or A1 = 20 MAC2 = 4A2 = $40, or A2 = 10 At this solution, the standard of 30 units of abatement is satisfied, since A1 + A2 = 30. Also, we know that the cost-effective solution is achieved because MAC1 = 40 when A1 = 20, and MAC2 = 40 when A2 = 10. d. (5 points) What are the main types and sources of water pollution? Why might the source of the problem matter for policy design? From industry, in the form of point-source discharges of heavy metals, organic wastes and other pollutants From sewage treatment works or direct sewage outfalls As leachate from landfill sites As pathogens washing off from fields in which cattle are kept As run-off of oils and solvents from city streets As run-off of fertilizers and pesticides, and soil erosion from farmland and forests As accidental (unplanned) spillages, e.g. oil tankers. Reasons why the source of pollutions matter for policy will vary. However, non-point pollutants are harder to correct using policy. Also, pollutants non-uniformity of emissions also makes it difficult to determine optimal abatement levels.
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