PROGRAM
Updated June 14
MONDAY JUNE 17
Mo 08:30 - 10:30
Registration
Room G144 (Secretariat)
Mo 10:30 - 12:00
OPENING OF CONFERENCE
OPENING LECTURE
Auditorium EL 5
Session P1
Chairman: Bo Lindqvist, NTNU, Trondheim
Mo 10:30 – 11:00 Opening of conference
Mo 11:00 – 12:00 Opening lecture
RICHARD BARLOW, University of California, Berkeley, USA:
"Mathematical Reliability Theory: From the Beginning to the Present
Time".
Mo 12:00 - 13:30
LUNCH
Mo 13:30 - 14:20
PLENARY LECTURE
Auditorium EL 5
Session P2
Chairman: Bo Lindqvist, NTNU, Trondheim
Mo 13:30 – 14:20 ODD AALEN, University of Oslo, Norway:
"Understanding the shape of the hazard rate: A process point of
view."
Mo 14:20 - 16:00
SUBJECTIVE INPUTS TO RELIABILITY MODELS
Auditorium EL 5
Session I
Chairman: Tim Bedford, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK
Mo 14:20 - 14.50 John Quigley and Lesley Walls, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow,
Mo 14:50 - 15:20
Mo 15:20 - 15:50
Mo 15:50 - 16:00
UK:
"Point Process Model for Reliability Analysis of Evolutionary
Designs".
Greg Wilson and Lauren J. Zucker, Los Alamos National
Laboratory, USA:
"A Knowledge Topology for Imprecise Probabilities".
Tim Bedford, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, GB:
"Interactive expert assignment of minimally-informative copulae"
Discussion
Mo 14:20 - 16:00
REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS RELIABILITY
Auditorium EL 2
Session I
Chairman: Olivier Gaudoin, INP Grenoble, France.
Mo 14:20 - 14.50 Myles Hollander, Jayaram Sethuraman and Gang Ye, Florida State
University, Tallahassee, USA :
"Bayesian Methods for Repair Models"
Mo 14:50 - 15:20 Jan Terje Kvaløy, Stavanger University Center, Stavanger, Norway
and Bo Lindqvist, NTNU, Trondheim, Norway:
"A class of tests for renewal process versus monotonic and nonmonotonic trend in repairable systems data".
Mo 15:20 - 15:50 Laurent Doyen and Olivier Gaudoin, INP Grenoble, France.:
"Models for assessing maintenance efficiency"
Mo 15:50 - 16:00 Discussion
Mo 14:20 - 16:00
STOCHASTIC DEPENDENCE IN RELIABILITY
Auditorium EL 6
Session I
Chairman: Moshe Shaked, University of Arizona, Tucson, USA.
Mo 14:20 - 14.50 Claude Lefevre, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, Belgium, Michel
Denuit, Universite Catholique de Louvain and Sergey Utev,
University of Nottingham:
"Impact of dependency between risk occurrences".
Mo 14:50 - 15:20 Dominique Drouet Mari, IUT Vannes, France
"Some Measures of Extremal Dependence in Bivariate
Distributions".
Mo 15:20 - 15:50 Haijun Li, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington, USA
and Susan H. Xu, Pennsylvania State University, USA:
"On the Markov Block Replacement Policy in Multivariate
Repairable Systems".
Mo 15:50 - 16:00 Discussion
Mo 14:20 - 16:00
MODELLING TOOLS AND TECHNIQUES FOR POWER SYSTEMS
RELIABILITY EVALUATION I
Auditorium EL 1
Session I
Chairman: Dumitru Cezar Ionescu, University "POLITEHNICA" of Bucharest, Romania.
Mo 14:20 - 14.50 Dumitru Cezar Ionescu and Anatoli Paul Ulmeanu, University
"POLITEHNICA" of Bucharest, Romania:
"Efficient computational techniques for composite systems reliability
assessment".
Mo 14:50 - 15:20 Marzio Marseguerra, Enrico Zio and Francesco Bosi, Department of
Nuclear Engineering, Polytechnic of Milan, Italy:
"Direct Monte Carlo availability assessment of a nuclear safety
system with time-dependent failure characteristics".
Mo 15:20 - 15:50 Andre Lannoy, Electricite De France R&D, Chatou, France:
"A survey of methods and tools used for reliability evaluation of
SSCs".
Mo 15:50 - 16:00 Discussion
Mo 14:20 - 16:00
RELIABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
Auditorium EL 4
Session C
Chairman:
J.-L. Bon:
”Exponential Approximations of Geometric Sums for Reliability”
C.Paroissin:
”Asymptotic law of failure time for large systems with independent
components”
J. Navarro, F. Belzunce, J. M. Ruiz and Y. del Aguila:
”Some results on residual entropy function”
A.Aissani, S. Tale and G. Saidi:
”Ageing distributions: Classification and arithmetical properties”.
G. V. Orman, N. Barsan-Pipu and V. G. Voda:
”On some properties of the homographic hazard rate variable”
P. Pozsgai, W. Neher and B. Bertsche:
”Models to consider dependence in reliability calculations for systems
consisting of mechanical components”
Mo 16:00 - 16:30
COFFEE
Mo 16:30 - 18:10
MODELLING TOOLS AND TECHNIQUES FOR POWER SYSTEMS
RELIABILITY EVALUATION II
Auditorium EL 1
Session I1
Chairman: Dumitru Cezar Ionescu, University "POLITEHNICA" of Bucharest, Romania.
Mo 16:30 - 17:00
Mo 17:00 - 17:30
Mo 17:30 - 18:00
Mo 18:00 - 18:10
Daniel Dascalu and Dumitru Cezar Ionescu, University
"POLITEHNICA" of Bucharest, Romania:
"A Realistic Approach of Reliability Modeling for Optimizing the
Maintenance Strategy of Power Equipment"
D. Elmakis, G. Levitin, A. Lisnianski, The Israel Electric Corp., Haifa,
Israel:
"Optimal scheduling for replacement of power system equipment
with new-type one".
Ioan C. Bacivarov, University "POLITEHNICA" of Bucharest,
Romania:
"Optimal Communications Systems Reliability Evaluation - A New
Approach".
Discussion
Mo 16:30 - 18:10
CHANGE-POINT PROBLEMS
Auditorium EL 2
Session I1
Chairman: Uwe Jensen, University of Ulm, Germany.
Mo 16:30 - 17:00
Mo 17:00 - 17:30
Mo 17:30 - 18:00
Mo 18:00 - 18:10
Dietmar Ferger, Dresden University of Technology, Germany:
"Boundary estimation based on set-indexed empirical processes".
Tina Herberts and Uwe Jensen, University of Ulm, Germany:
"Detecting change-points on different information levels".
Ulrich Stadtmüller, University of Ulm, Germany:
"Detecting change-points in nonparametric regression
Discussion
Mo 16:30 - 18:10
NETWORK AND SYSTEM RELIABILITY
Auditorium EL 6
Session I
Chairman: : Bent Natvig, University of Oslo, Norway
Mo 16:30 - 17:00
Mo 17:00 - 17:30
Mo 17:30 - 18:00
Francisco J. Samaniego, University of California, Davis, USA, P.J.
Boland, University College, Dublin and E. M. Vestrup, DePaul
University, Chicago:
"Linking Dominations and Signatures in Network Reliability Theory"
Arne Bang Huseby, University of Oslo, Norway:
"Improved Simulation Methods for System Reliability Estimation"
Jørund Gåsemyr and Bent Natvig, University of Oslo, Norway:
"Bayesian inference based on partial monitoring of components with
applications to preventive system maintenance
Mo 18:00 - 18:10
Discussion
Mo 16:30 - 18:10
ACCELERATED TESTING
Auditorium EL 5
Session I
Chairmen: William Q. Meeker, Iowa State University, USA and Mikhail Nikouline,
Universite Victor Segalen, Bordeaux, France
Mo 16:30 - 17:00
Mo 17:00 - 17:30
Mo 17:30 - 18:00
Mo 18:00 - 18:10
Mike LuValle, Bell Labs, USA:
"Evanescent process mapping in accelerated testing, and the
modeling error problem"
Luis A. Escobar, Louisiana State University, USA (William Q.
Meeker, Iowa State University, USA):
"Accelerated Destructive Degradation Modeling and Data Analysis"
Mikhail Nikouline, Université Victor Segalen, Bordeaux, France:
"Some recent results on goodness-of-fit for accelerated life models"
Discussion
Mo 16:30 - 18:10
BAYESIAN ANALYSIS IN RELIABILITY
Auditorium EL 4
Session C
Chairman: Mohamed T. Madi, UAE University, Al-Ain, UAE
M. Z. Raqab and M. T. Madi:
"Bayesian prediction of the total time on test using doubly censored
Rayleigh data"
H. Gutierrez-Pulido, V. Aguirre-Torres and J. Andres Christen:
"Model Selection in Reliability: A Bayesian Approach"
A. V. Huzurbazar:
"Bayesian analysis for Semi-Markov processes using flowgraph
models"
A.Krolo and B. Rzepka:
”Considering Prior Information for Accelerated Tests with a LifetimeRatio”
D.F.Percy:
”Prior predictive elicitation for subjective reliability analysis”
M. Ingleby and M. West:
"Causal Influence Coefficients: A localised maximum entropy
approach to Bayesian inference"
POSTER SESSION
P. Coolen-Schrijner and P. Craig:
”Bayesian analysis of a capture-recapture-recovery model for birds”
Mo 19:30
RECEPTION BY MAYOR OF TRONDHEIM
Archbishop's Palace
TUESDAY JUNE 18
Tu 09:00 - 09:50
PLENARY LECTURE
Auditorium EL 5
Session P3
Chairman: Bo Lindqvist, NTNU, Trondheim, Norway
Tu 09:00 - 09:50 NOZER SINGPURWALLA, George Washington University, USA:
"Probability Measures of Fuzzy Sets".
Tu 09:50 - 10:20
COFFEE
Tu 10:20 - 12:00
FOUNDATIONAL ISSUES OF RELIABILITY
Auditorium EL 5
Session I
Chairman: Terje Aven, Stavanger University College, Norway.
Tu 10:20 - 10:50
Tu 10:50 - 11:20
Tu 11:20 - 11:50
Tu 11:50 - 12:00
Mark McNulty, Los Alamos National Laboratory, USA:
"Applied Risk Analysis of Complex Systems".
Alyson G. Wilson, Los Alamos National Laboratory, USA:
"Information Integration using Belief Functions".
Terje Aven, Stavanger University College, Norway:
"On the Implementation of the Bayesian Approach in Reliability and
Risk Analyses"
Discussion
Tu 10:20 - 12:00
STOCHASTIC ORDERS IN RELIABILITY THEORY
Auditorium EL 6
Session I
Chairman: Moshe Shaked, University of Arizona, Tucson, USA.
Tu 10:20 - 10:50
Tu 10:50 - 11:20
Tu 11:20 - 11:50
Tu 11:50 - 12:00
Miguel A. Arcones, Binghamton University, Paul H. Kvam, Georgia
Institute of Technology and Francisco J. Samaniego, University of
California, Davis:
”Estimating Distribution Functions Subject to a Stochastic
Precedence Constraint”
A. Di Crescenzo, Universita di Salerno, Italy and Franco Pellerey,
Politecnico di Torino, Italia:
"Convex ordering of integrated telegrapher's process".
Felix Belzunce, Universidad de Murcia, Spain:
"Stochastic comparisons of random vectors with conditionally
independent components".
Discussion
Tu 10:20 - 12:00
STATISTICAL INFERENCE IN RELIABILITY MODELS
Auditorium EL 1
Session C
Chairman: Olivier Gaudoin, INP Grenoble, France
E. Andries and K. Croes:
"Analytical bounds for the MLE of the Weibull shape parameter"
A. Andronov:
"On resampling approach to a construction of approximate confidence
intervals for system reliability"
M. Mirvaliev:
"Rao's generalized chi-square statistics for homogeneous problem of
several samples"
I.Dewan, J. S. Deshpande and S. B. Kulathinal:
"On the dependence structure between the time of failure and the
cause of failure in the competing risk model"
B. Bracquemond and O. Gaudoin:
"The empirical failure rate of discrete reliability data"
Tu 10:20 - 12:00
PROGRESSIVE CENSORING AND APPLICATIONS I
Auditorium EL 2
Session I
Chairman:. N. Balakrishnan, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Tu 10:20 - 10:50
Tu 10:50 - 11:20
Tu 11:20 - 11:50
Tu 11:50 - 12:00
Nandini Kannan, University of Texas at San Antonio, Texas, USA,
N. Balakrishnan, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada,
and D. Kundu, Indian Institute of Technology, Kampur, India:.
"Inference for the competing risk model under progressive
censoring"
Ping-Shing Chan, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong:
"EM algorithm and optimal sampling plan under progressively Type
II censoring".
Chien-Tai Lin,Tamkang University,Taiwan, R.O.C.:
"Exact inference based on exponential distribution for censored and
progressively censored samples."
Discussion
Tu 10:20 - 12:00
DEGRADATION AND WEAR
Auditorium EL 4
Session C
Chairman: Arne Bang Huseby, University of Oslo, Norway:
P. Volf:
”Random point processes and models of cumulated damage”
E. Andries and K. Croes:
”The use of random effects in modelling non-linear hot-carrier
degradation data”
Y. M. Paramonov and A. S. Kuznetsov:
”Fatigue crack growth parameter estimation by processing inspection
results”
X. Li an Z. Mingjian:
”Behaviors of some aging properties based on the residual life of k-outof-n systems”
Tu 12:00 - 13:30
LUNCH
Tu 13:30 - 14:20
PLENARY LECTURE
Auditorium EL 5
Session P4
Chairman: Catherine Huber, Université Paris V, Paris, France
Tu 13:30 - 14:20 PAUL DEHEUVELS, University of Paris VI, France:
"Nonparametric estimation of lifetimes under random censorship".
Tu 14:20 - 16:00
ON THE SHAPE OF THE FAILURE RATE FUNCTION
Auditorium EL 1
Session I
Chairman: Henry Block and Thomas H. Savits, University of Pittsburgh, USA.
Tu 14:20 - 14:50
Tu 14:50 - 15:20
Tu 15:20 - 15:50
Tu 15:50 - 16:00
Jie Mi, Florida International University, Miami, USA:
"System availability and maintenance policy".
Henry W. Block, University of Pittsburgh, USA:
"Behavior of failure rates of mixtures".
Thomas H. Savits, University of Pittsburgh, USA:
"Behavior of failure rates under various reliability operations".
Discussion
Tu 14:20 - 16:00
RELIABILITY AND SURVIVAL ANALYSIS
Auditorium EL 5
Session I
Chairman: Kjell Doksum, University of California, Berkeley, USA and Richard Johnson,
University of Wisconsin, Madison, USA
Tu 14:20 - 14:50
Tu 14:50 - 15:20
Tu 15:20 - 15:50
Tu 15:50 - 16:00
Richard Johnson and Li-Fei Huang, University of Wisconsin,
Madison, USA
"Some Exact and Approximate Confidence Regions For The Ratio
Of Percentiles From Two Distributions".
Kjell Doksum, University of California, Berkeley, USA:
"Empirical Hazard Rates"
M. Xie, National University of Singapore, Singapore and C.D. Lai,
Massey University, New Zealand:
"Weibull Related Models with Bathtub-Shaped Failure Rate".
Discussion
Tu 14:20 - 16:00
PROGRESSIVE CENSORING AND APPLICATIONS II
Auditorium EL 2
Session I1
Chairman: N. Balakrishnan, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Tu 14:20 - 14:50
Tu 14:50 - 15:20
Tu 15:20 - 15:50
Tu 15:50 - 16:00
Sergio Alvarez and Laurent Bordes, Universite de Technologie de
Compiegne, France:
"Nonparametric quantile estimation under progressive censoring"
U. Balasooriya, National University of Singapore, Singapore and N.
Balakrishnan, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada:
"Reliability Sampling Plans Under Progressive Censoring"
Olivier Guilbaud, AstraZeneca, Clinical Science, Södertälje,
Sweden:
"Exact Non-parametric Confidence Intervals for Quantiles with
Progressive Type-II Censoring"
Discussion
Tu 14:20 - 16:00
LIFETIME DATA ANALYSIS
Auditorium EL 6
Session I
Chairman: Jianguo Sun, University of Missouri, Columbia, USA
Tu 14:20 - 14:50
Tu 14:50 - 15:20
Tu 15:20 - 15:50
Tu 15:50 - 16:00
Ying Qing Chen, University of California at Berkeley, U.S.A, MeiCheng Wang,Johns Hopkins University, U.S.A and Yijian Huang,
Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, U.S.A:
"Regression Analysis of Recurrent Event Data: Inference Based on
Reduced Risksets"
Hannelore Liero, University of Potsdam, Germany:
"Nonparametric tests in survival models".
Jianguo Sun, University of Missouri, Columbia, USA:
"Nonparametric Tests for Event History Data"
Discussion
Tu 14:20 - 16:00
STATISTICAL INFERENCE IN RELIABILITY MODELS I
Auditorium EL 4
Session I
Chairman: Lirong Cui, National University of Singapore
Tu 14:20 - 14:50 Waltraud Kahle, Otto-von Guericke-University, Magdeburg,
Germany, and Ernie C. Love, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby,
Canada:
"Modelling the influence of maintenance actions".
Tu 14:50 - 15:20 Jayant V. Deshpande, University of Pune, India:
"Unconditional tests for models of repairable systems".
Tu 15:20 - 15:50 Edsel A. Pena and Dawn Garrison, University of South Carolina,
Columbia, USA:
"Goodness-of-Fit Tests with Right-Censored Discrete Data".
Tu 15:50 - 16:00 Discussion
Tu 14:20 - 16:00
MARKOV MODELS IN RELIABILITY
Auditorium KJEL 5
Session C
Chairman: Ilya Gertsbakh, Ben-Gurion University, Israel
R. Marie, E. Arbaretier and F. Pelliccia:
”Heuristics for the computation of the availability / reliability for passive
r/n redundancy with potential breakdowns on solicitation”
S. Mercier and M. Roussignol:
”Asymptotic failure rate of Markov deteriorating system with preventive
maintenance”
A. Y. Paramonova, M. A. Kleinhof and Y. M. Paramonov:
”The use of Markov chains theory for approximation of fatigue curve of
composite material”
N. Y. Pya, V. G. Voinov:
”The non-uniqueness of a non-negative integer solution of a system of
linear diophantine equations with applications to integer programming,
genetics, reliability, etc”
J. Sztrik:
"Asymptotic reliability analysis of complex telecommunication systems
with bursty arrivals and service".
Tu 16:00 - 16:30
COFFEE
Tu 16:30 - 18:10
COMPUTATIONAL METHODS IN RELIABILITY
Auditorium EL 5
Session I
Chairman: N. Balakrishnan, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada and M.V.
Koutras, University of Piraeus, Greece
Tu 16:30 - 17:00
Tu 17:00 - 17:30
Harry Martz, Michael S. Hamada, Alyson G. Wilson, Los Alamos
National Laboratory and C. Shane Reese, Brigham Young
University, UT, USA:
"Using Genetic Algorithms to Design Bayesian Reliability
Experiments"
S. Tsitmidelis,Technological Educational Institute of Chalkis,
Greece, M.V. Koutras, University of Piraeus, Greece and V.
Zissimopoulos, University of Athens, Greece:
"Evaluation of reliability bounds by genetic algorithms"
Tu 17:30 - 18:00
Tu 18:00 - 18:10
Discussion
Tu 16:30 - 18:10
COPULAE AND RELIABILITY
Auditorium EL 6
Session I1
Chairman: Bruno Bassan, Universita' "La Sapienza", Roma, Italy
Tu 16:30 - 17:00 Carlo Sempi, Universita' di Lecce, Italy:
"Copulae and their uses"
Tu 17:00 - 17:30 Jean Averous, Universite' de Toulouse, France:
"Hazard rate ordering between two life distributions and SI ordering
between bivariate vectors of their order statistics"
Tu 17:30 - 18:00 Bruno Bassan, Universita' "La Sapienza", Roma, Italy:
"Copulae and residual lifetimes in time transformed exponential
models"
Tu 18:00 - 18:10 Discussion
Tu 16:30 - 18:10
SURVIVAL ANALYSIS
Auditorium EL 1
Session C
Chairman: Stian Lydersen, NTNU, Trondheim, Norway
L. Bordes and C. Breuils:
”Sequential confidence sets for the proportional hazards model”
F. P. A. Coolen and K. J. Yan:
”The use of right-censored data in nonparametric predictive inference”
C. Caroni, M. Crowder and A. Kimber:
”Discrete frailty”
M. T. Madi and M. Z. Raqab:
”Bayesian prediction for the shifted exponential distribution using
doubly censored data”
S. Adjabi, M. Bouraine and A. Aissani:
”On Statistical Tests for Non Parametric Life Distributions”
Tu 16:30 - 18:10
FAILURE TIME MODELS UNDER DEGRADATION AND MAINTENANCE
Auditorium EL 2
Session I1
Chairman: Waltraud Kahle, Otto-von Guericke-University, Magdeburg, Germany.
Tu 16:30 - 17:00
Tu 17:00 - 17:30
Axel Lehmann, Otto-von Guericke-University, Magdeburg,
Germany:
"Degradation Based Reliability Models with Imperfect Repair".
Antonio Di Crescenzo, Universita di Salerno, Italy and Barbara
Martinucci, Universita di Napoli Federico II, Italy:
Tu 17:30 - 18:00
Tu 18:00 - 18:10
"Some results on degradation processes with repairs and
catastrophes".
Thierry Duchesne and Jeffrey S. Rosenthal, University of Toronto,
Canada:
"A Stochastic Justification of Some Simple Reliability Models".
Discussion
Tu 16:30 - 18:10
RELIABILITY MODELING II
Auditorium EL 4
Session C
Chairman: John Quigley, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK
Z. Mrabet and D. Giles:
”Reliability analysis of earth fills using stochastic estimation methods ”
K. Croes and E. Andries:
”Planning type I singly censored reliability experiments with variable
test times”
R. E. Borges P. and P. Amair:
Survival analysis applied to continous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis
(CAPD) and hemodialysis (HD) data”
A.Aissani, S. Tale and G. Saidi:
”Ageing distributions: Classification and arithmetical properties”
Y. Hong, D. Jianming, Z. Yufang and W. Xiaobo:
”Research on the calculation method and software package for ship
reliability analysis”
Tu 16:30 - 18:10
STRUCTURAL RELIABILITY
Auditorium KJEL 5
Session C
Chairman: Arvid Naess, NTNU, Trondheim, Norway
L. V. Utkin and I. O. Kozine:
"Structural reliability modelling under partial source information"
C.Elegbede:
”Structural reliability assessment based on bHL-search by particles
swarm optimization”
S. Adhikari and R. S. Langley:
”Reduction of random variables in structural reliability analysis”
Tu 19:30
BOAT TRIP AND DINNER AT MUNKHOLMEN ISLAND
WEDNESDAY JUNE 19
We 09:00 - 09:50
PLENARY LECTURE
Auditorium EL 5
Session P5
Chairman: Bo Lindqvist, NTNU, Trondheim, Norway
We 09:00 - 09:50 PHILIP BOLAND, National University of Ireland - Dublin:
"Challenges in Software Reliability and Testing."
We 09:50 - 10:20
COFFEE
We 10:20 - 12:00
RECENT TRENDS IN SOFTWARE RELIABILITY
Auditorium EL 5
Session I
Chairman:. Shelley Zacks, State University of New York, USA.
We 10:20 - 10:50
We 10:50 - 11:20
We 11:20 - 11:50
We 11:50 - 12:00
Simon Wilson, Trinity College, Dublin, Ireland and Frank
Samaniego, University of California, Davis, USA:
"Non-Parametric Methods in Software Reliability".
Ron S. Kenett, KPA Ltd., Israel:
"The Impact of Classification Errors on Assessing Software
Inspection Processes with STAM".
Shelley Zacks, State University of New York, USA:
"Sequential Methods in Software Reliability"
Discussion
We 10:20 - 12:00
SEMI-MARKOV PROCESSES IN RELIABILITY I
Auditorium EL 4
Session I
Chairman: Nikolaos Limnios, Université de Technologie de Compiègne, France
We 10:20 - 10:50 Dmitrii Silvestrov, Malardalen University, Sweden:
"Lifetimes for Semi-Markov Stochastic Systems"
We 10:50 - 11:20 Jacques Janssen, CESIAF, Alessandro Blasi, DIMADEFA,
Brussels, Belgium and Raimondo Manca, University of Roma, Italy:
"Discrete time homogeneous and non-homogeneous semi-Markov
reliability models".
We 11:20 - 11:50 Nikolaos Limnios, University of Technology of Compiègne, France:
We 11:50 - 12:00
"The invariance principle for the Pyke-Schaufele’s functional with
applications in reliability"
Discussion
Tu 10:20 - 12:00
COMPETING RISK
Auditorium EL 6
Session I
Chairman:. Roger Cooke and Cornel Bunea, Delft University of Technology,
Netherlands.
Tu 10:20 - 10:50
Tu 10:50 - 11:20
Tu 11:20 - 11:50
Tu 11:50 - 12:00
Roger Cooke, Delft University of Technology, Netherlands:
"Competing risk in reliability: Beyond independence".
Cornel Bunea and Roger Cooke, Delft University of Technology,
Netherlands, Bo Lindqvist, NTNU, Trondheim, Norway:
"Competing Risk Perspective over Reliability Databases".
Helge Langseth and Bo Lindqvist, NTNU, Trondheim, Norway
"Modelling imperfect maintenance and repair of components under
competing risk".
Discussion
We 10:20 - 12:00
CASE STUDIES IN RELIABILITY
Auditorium EL 2
Session C
Chairman: Andre Lannoy, Electricite De France R&D, Chatou, France
R. Argiento, A. Pievatolo, F. Ruggeri, E. Cagno, F. Caron and M.
Mancini:
”Seasonal patterns and double measurment scale in modelling failures
in underground trains”
O. Wantz and P.-E. Labeau:
”Delays and uncertainties in the delineation of accident sequences. An
illustrative dynamic reliability test-case”
R. Medjoudj and D. Aissani:
”Economic Aspects of Distribution Power System Reliability.
Application to a 30KV network of Bejaia, Algeria”
B. Aissani, S. Adjabi, M. S. Ibrahim and B. Ousman:
”Application of non parametric reliability distributions and test for
analizing MV energy distribution network's failures: case of Niamey's
20 Mv network”
D. Linka and P. Volf:
”Statistical models of classification of textures and
quality control of textile material”
We 10:20 - 12:00
MAINTENANCE MODELING
Auditorium KJEL 5
Session C
Chairman: Jørn Vatn, Norwegian National Rail Administration, Trondheim, Norway
A.Barros, C. Berenguer and A. Grall:
”Maintenance policy for a two-components system with stocastic
dependences and imperfect monitoring”
A.Castanier, C. Berenguer and A. Grall:
”A (n, M) maintenance strategy with non-periodic inspections for a
multi-component system”
I.Frenkel and I. Gertsbakh:
”Maintenance decision based on parameter monitoring: a case study”
S. Y. Sohn and K. Y. Oh:
”Simulation study for the optimal repair capacity of an IT maintenencE
center based on LRD failure distribution”
M. F. Ramalhoto:
”Reliability as part of a trans-diciplinary research area”
We 10:20 - 12:00
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND OPTIMIZATION OF MULTI-STATE
SYSTEMS I
Auditorium EL 1
Session I
Chairman: I. Ushakov, G. Levitin and A. Lisnianski.
We 10:20 - 10:45 I. Ushakov, San Diego, USA:
"Multi-state system reliability. From theory to practice".
We 10:45 - 11:10 A. Lisnianski, The Israel Electric Corp., Haifa, Israel:
"Continuous-state system reliability models as an extension of multistate models".
We 11:10 - 11:35 G. Levitin, The Israel Electric Corp., Haifa, Israel:
"Linear multi-state sliding window systems".
We 11:35 –11:50 M. J. Zuo, J. Huang and W. Kuo:
”Dominant and binary imaged multi-state systems”
We 11:50 - 12:00 Discussion
We 12:00 - 13:30
LUNCH
We 13:30 - 14:20
PLENARY LECTURE
IN THE HONOR OF PROFESSOR ARNLJOT HØYLAND
Auditorium EL 5
Session P6
Chairman: Kjell Doksum, University of California, Berkeley, USA
We 13:30 - 14:20 BO BERGMAN, Chalmers University, Sweden:
"The Evolution of the Quality Movement and its Challenges to
the Reliability Community"
We 14:20 - 16:00
DISTRIBUTIONS IN RELIABILITY AND APPLICATIONS
Auditorium EL 5
Session I
Chairman: N. Balakrishnan, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
We 14:20 - 14:50
We 14:50 - 15:20
We 15:20 - 15:50
We 15:50 - 16:00
Govind S. Mudholkar and Gregory E. Wilding, University of
Rochester, New York, USA:
"Diverse applications of two Weibull extensions"
M. Chris Jones, Open University, Milton Keynes, England, UK.
"The Skew t and Other Families of Order Statistic Distributions"
Yong Tang, Min Xie and Goh T.N., National University of Singapore,
Singapore.
"On the change points of Mean Residual Life and Failure Rate for
some extended Weibull distributions"
Discussion
We 14:20 - 16:00
NONSTANDARD MODELS FOR SURVIVAL AND RELIABILITY DATA
WITH CENSORING
Auditorium EL 2
Session I
Chairman: Catherine Huber, Université Paris V, Paris, France
We 14:20 - 14:50
We 14:50 - 15:20
We 15:20 - 15:50
We 15:50 - 16:00
Donald Gaver and Patricia Jacobs, Naval Postgraduate School,
Monterey, CA, USA and Ernest A. Seglie, The Pentagon,
Washington, USA:
"Balancing 'Test-Fix-Test' and Released System Reliability Under a
Fixed Budget"
O. Pons, Université Paris V, Paris, France
”Estimation in a semi-Markov model with right-censored data”
Hong-Bin Fang, Jianguo Sun, University of Missouri-Columbia,
USA, and Mei-Ling Ting Lee, Harvard Medical School:
"Nonparametric Survival Comparisons for Interval Censored
Continuous Data"
Discussion
We 14:20 - 16:00
SOFTWARE RELIABILITY
Auditorium EL 1
Session C
Chairman: Simon Wilson, Trinity College, Dublin, Ireland
M. Grottke:
"A Markov model for software code construct coverage and fault
detection"
J. Ledoux:
"Littlewood reliability model for modular software and Poisson
approximation"
F. Suter:
"Model of software reliability based on time lags between failures and
fault corrections"
S. F. Sekirkin and P. J. Boland:
”Fault causing characteristics in software development”
We 14:20 - 16:00
NETWORK AND SYSTEM RELIABILITY
Auditorium EL 4
Session C
Chairman: Min Xie, National University of Singapore, Singapore
L. Cui, M. Xie and W. Kuo:
"On (f, g)-out-of-((i,j),n) Systems and its Reliability"
V. P. Polesskii and V. G. Krivoulets:
"Efficiently computable bounds on stochastic monotone binary system
reliability"
T. Yuge, M. Dehare and S. Yangi:
"Exact and approximated reliability of a 2-dimensional consecutive kout-of-n:F system"
T. Akiba and H. Yamamoto:
”Approximate values of reliability of the 2-dimensional rectangular kwithin-consecutive-(r,s)-out-of-(m,n):F system ”
Y. Hong, H. Guohua, L. Changchun and X. Min:
”Numerical reliability simulation based on minimal cut sets”
We 14:20 - 16:00
USE OF WARRANTY DATA TO OBTAIN RELIABILITY INFORMATION
Auditorium EL 6
Session I
Chairman: William Q. Meeker, Iowa State University, USA
We 14:20 - 14:50
William Q. Meeker, Iowa State University, USA:
We 14:50 - 15:20
We 15:20 - 15:50
We 15:50 - 16:00
"Using Accelerated Life Test Data to Predict Field Reliability of an
Appliance".
Huaiqing Wu and William Q. Meeker Iowa State University, USA:
"Early Detection of Reliability Problems Using Information From
Warranty Databases".
Kazuyuki Suzuki, Lianhua Wang, Wataru Yamamoto, Kazumi
Kaneko, The University of Electro-Communications, Tokyo Japan:
"Field failure data analysis with discard rate"
Discussion
We 14:20 - 16:00
STATISTICAL METHODS IN RELIABILITY AND SURVIVAL MODELS
Auditorium KJEL 5
Session I
Chairman:. Mikhail Nikouline, Université Victor Segalen, Bordeaux, France
We 14:20 - 14:50
We 14:50 - 15:20
We 15:20 - 15:50
We 15:50 - 16:00
Henning Lauter, University of Potsdam, Germany:
"Estimation in the partly parametric additive Cox model".
V. Bagdonavicius, A. Bikelis and V. Kazakevicius, Université Victor
Segalen, Bordeaux, France and Vilnius University, Lithuania:
"Estimation in degradation models with multiple failure modes".
V. Couallier and L. Gerville-Reache, Université Victor Segalen,
Bordeaux, France:
”Statistical modelization and simulation for degradation processes
with covariates and traumatic events applied to survival data
Discussion
We 16:00 - 16:30
COFFEE
We 16:30 - 18:10
SPECIAL INVITED SESSION
Auditorium EL 5
Session I
Chairman: Harry Martz, Los Alamos National Laboratory, USA
We 16:30 –17:15 Moshe Shaked, University of Arizona, Tucson, USA:
"Stochastic ordering of order statistics".
We 17:15 –18:00 N. Balakrishnan, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.:
"Nonparametric tests for reliability based on early failures".
We 18:00 –18:10 Discussion
We 16:30 - 18:10
RELIABILITY METHODS AND PREDICTION
Auditorium EL 6
Session IC
Chairman: Arvid Naess, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim,
Norway
We 16:30 - 17:00
We 17:00 - 17:30
We 17:30 –18:00
We 18:00 - 18:10
Karl Breitung, Università degli Studi di Pavia, Pavia, Italy:
"Asymptotic methods in reliability".
Arvid Naess, Norwegian University of Science and Technology,
Trondheim, Norway:
"Reliability of quadratic dynamic systems ".
A. Klausner and M. Pollak:
"Comparative reliability of verdicts"
Discussion
We 16:30 - 18:10
RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND OPTIMIZATION OF MULTI-STATE
SYSTEMS II
Auditorium EL 1
Session I
Chairman: I. Ushakov, G. Levitin and A. Lisnianski
We 16:30 –16:55
We 16:55 - 17:20
We 17:20 - 17:45
We 17:45 –18:00
We 18:00 –18:15
B. Dimitrov, V. Rykov and P. Stanchev, Kettering University,
Michigan, USA:
"On multi-state reliability systems".
D. Dascalu and D. C. Ionescu, University "POLITEHNICA" of
Bucharest, Romania:
"Optimizing the Maintenance Strategy of Multi-State Systems with
Several Failure Modes".
M. Marseguerra, E. Zio and L. Podofillini, Polytechnic of Milan, Italy:
"Modelling spare parts dynamics by multistate Monte Carlo
simulations".
L. V. Utkin and I. O. Kozine:
”A Reliability Model of Multi-State Units under Partial Information”
G. Gopal:
”Schur property of the performance function for the multistate
coherent system”
We 16:30 - 18:10
ANALYSIS OF REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS
Auditorium EL 2
Session C
Chairman: Jan Terje Kvaløy, Stavanger University Center, Norway
M. Bhattacharjee, E. Arjas and U. Pulkkinen:
"Modelling heterogeneity in nuclear power plant valve failure data"
M. Guida and G. Pulcini:
"Bayesian Reliability-Growth Modeling of Repairable Mechanical
Systems"
F. Belzunce, E. M. Ortega and J.-M. Ruiz:
"On renewal process and replacement policies from NBUC and
NBU(2) units"
S. Adjabi, K. Lagha and A. Aissani:
"Application of Nonparametric Laws to Queuing Systems and Renewal
Theory"
We 19:30
CONFERENCE DINNER
THURSDAY JUNE 20
Th 09:00 - 10:40
AGING PROPERTIES OF MIXTURES AND RELATED PROBLEMS IN
MULTIVARIATE AGING
Auditorium EL 5
Session I
Chairman:. Fabio Spizzichino, University "La Sapienza", Rome, Italy.
Th 09:00 - 09:30
Th 09:30 - 10:00
Th 10:00 - 10:30
Th 10:30 - 10:40
M.S. Finkelstein, University of the Orange Free State, South Africa:
"A model of aging and a shape of the observed failure rate".
Fabio Spizzichino, University "La Sapienza", Rome, Italy:
"Exchangeable models of heterogeneity, mixtures, and multivariate
aging properties"
Anatoli Yashin, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research,
Rostock, Germany:
"Correlated frailty models in the analysis of dependent failure times".
Discussion
Th 09:00 - 10:40
DEGRADATION AND MAINTENANCE
Auditorium EL 6
Session I
Chairman: Vijay Nair, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, USA.
Th 09:00 - 09:30
Th 09:30 - 10:00
Th 10:00 - 10:30
Th 10:30 - 10:40
Vijay Nair, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, USA:
"Degradation-Based Models for Repairable Systems Reliability".
Martin Newby and Richard Dagg, City University, London, UK:
"Optimal inspection and maintenance for stochastically deteriorating
systems".
Georg Elvebakk, University of Tromsø, Norway and Bo Lindqvist,
NTNU:
"The Trend-Renwal Process for Analysis of Repairable Systems"
Discussion
Th 09:00 - 10:40
SEMI-MARKOV PROCESSES IN RELIABILITY II
Auditorium EL 1
Session I
Chairman: Nikolaos Limnios, Université de Technologie de Compiègne, France
Th 09:00 - 09:30
Th 09:30 - 10:00
Th 10:00 - 10:30
Th 10:30 - 10:40
Rafael Pérez-Ocón and J. Eloy Ruiz-Castro, University of Granada,
Spain, and
Delia Montoro-Cazorla, University of Jaén, Spain:
"An approach to reliability systems using PH-distributions"
Brahim Ouhbi, ENSAM Meknès and Nikolaos Limnios, University of
Technology of Compiègne, France
"The rate of occurrence of failures estimation in semi-Markov
systems"
N. Heutte, C. Huber and O. Pons, Université Paris V, Paris, France:
"Semi-markovian models applied to AIDS with censoring".
Discussion
Th 09:00 - 10:40
RUNS AND PATTERNS IN RELIABILITY WITH APPLICATIONS
Auditorium EL 2
Session I
Chairman: N. Balakrishnan, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada and M.V.
Koutras, University of Piraeus, Greece
Th 09:00 - 09:30
Markos V. Koutras, University of Piraeus, Greece:
Th 09:30 - 10:00
O. Chryssaphinou, University of Athens, Greece:
"Increasing Sequences and Applications to Reliability Systems"
Th 10:00 - 10:30
Th 10:30 - 10:40
Discussion
Th 10:40 - 11:10
COFFEE
Th 11:10 - 12:00
CLOSING LECTURE
Auditorium EL 5
Session P7
Chairman: NOZER SINGPURWALLA, George Washington University, USA
Th 11:10 - 12:00 SALLIE KELLER-McNULTY, Los Alamos National Laboratory, USA:
"The Future of Reliability: New Ideas and Techniques".
Th 12:00 - 12:10
CLOSING OF CONFERENCE
Auditorium EL 5
Th 12:10 - 13:30
LUNCH