Walker Precinct
Matthew Moynihan, Mike Prichett, Maia Smith, and David Hoffman
Yard Signs
American Flags in Walker Precinct
Median Age
Percent of Persons 25 and Over
with Bachelor’s Degree or Higher
Percent of Persons 18 and Over
Who Are Veterans
Percent of Households With
Income of Less than $10,000
Percent of Households With
Income of $100,000 or more
Median Household Income
TM-P066. Per Capita Income in 1999: 2000
Partisanship – Voting


Walker is mostly Democratic, like the
rest of Charlottesville
Charlottesville precincts are
overwhelmingly liberal relative to the
5th Congressional District:
Goode: 4 term Representative
C-ville voted: Weed 71% - Goode 29%
Comparative Partisanship


Walker Precinct votes more Republican
than the rest of Charlottesville (at
least since 1992).
Walker often votes similarly to
Recreation and Clark precincts.
Congressional Election by Percentage of Precincts - 2004
100%
2
338
5
2
1
3
4
6
741
577
2
174
279
795
3
261
422
747
80%
60%
Write-ins
40%
936
947
1,797
Goode
778
834
1,090
1,649
1,379
1,192
20%
0%
Central Recreation
Absentee
Precinct
Clark
Carver
Walker
Benjamin
Tonsler
Charlottesville City Precincts
Jefferson
Park
Venable
Alumni Hall
Weed
Presidential Elections by Precinct - 2004
100%
90%
1
8
3
2
3
773
412
707
80%
2
1
2
712
564
274
1,716
1,446
845
Jefferson
Park
Venable
143
246
338
3
70%
60%
50%
40%
936
1,854
1,133
859
1,018
1,268
30%
20%
10%
0%
Central
Absentee
Precinct
Recreation
Clark
Carver
Walker
Benjamin
Tonsler
Alumni Hall
Write-ins
Badnarik
Peroutka
Charlottesville City Precincts
Bush
Kerry
Why?

This may be attributed to the generally
wealthy/middle-class and suburban
constituency.
R-1 is low density
residential area
Political Participation:
Voting


Walker precinct shows high political
activity in the form of voting.
In 2000, the Walker District had the
highest percentage of total voters for
President and Congress out of the
total population, out of registered
voters, and voting age population.
Political Participation:
Voting in the 2004 General Election
80%
70%
60%
RECREATION
CLARK
50%
CARVER
40%
WALKER
BENJAMIN TONSLER
30%
JEFFERSON PARK
VENABLE
20%
ALUMNI HALL
10%
0%
Total Population
18+ Population
Registered
Voters
Political Participation:
Voting


Walker had the highest percentage of
Registered voters of the 18+
population in 2000.
This means that not only are the
constituents “politically active”, but
also that they are eligible to vote.
Registered Voters of those 18+
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
RECREATION
CLARK
CARVER
WALKER
BENJAMIN
TONSLER
JEFFERSON
PARK
Charlottesville Precincts
VENABLE
ALUMNI HALL
precinct: Walker
80.00
60.00
age
AGE
AGE
40.00
20.00
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
Yearsyearsreg
Registered
50.00
60.00
Voting in City Council
Elections


City Council Elections demonstrate
political involvement because turnout
is generally much less than national or
state-wide elections.
Walker has had the highest number of
voters as a percentage of registered
voters since 1984.
Percentage Voting in City Council Elections
out of Registered Voters -2004
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Alumni
Hall
Carver
Clark
Firehouse Jefferson Recreation Venable
Park
Charlottesville Precincts
Walker
Exit Polls: Signs
Precinct
Sign
No Sign
Carver
31.2%
67.8%
Clark
41.7%
58.3%
Tonsler
Venable
29.8%
26.0%
70.2%
74.0%
Walker
34.7%
65.3%
Total
33.0%
67.0%
Exit Polls: Volunteering
Precinct
Carver
Clark
Tonsler
Venable
Volunteer
24.6%
22.6%
18.4%
19.7%
Stayed Home
75.4%
77.4%
81.6%
80.3%
Walker
16.3%
83.7%
Total
20.3%
79.7%
Exit Polls: MONEY
Precinct
Carver
Clark
Tonsler
Venable
Gave Money
36.2%
35.2%
19.3%
18.0%
No Money
63.8%
64.8%
80.7%
82.0%
Walker
36.4%
63.6%
Total
29.4%
70.6%
Republican Mobilization
precinct * repvote Crosstabulation
repvote
yes
precinct
Carver
Clark
Tonsler
Venable
Walker
Total
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
18
14.1%
17
13.5%
11
9.6%
18
14.2%
45
31.5%
109
17.1%
no
110
85.9%
109
86.5%
103
90.4%
109
85.8%
98
68.5%
529
82.9%
Democratic Mobilization
precinct * demvote Crosstabulation
demvote
precinct
Carver
Clark
Tonsler
Venable
Walker
Total
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
yes
no
55
42.6%
78
61.4%
57
50.0%
46
36.2%
75
52.8%
311
48.7%
74
57.4%
49
38.6%
57
50.0%
81
63.8%
67
47.2%
328
51.3%
Republican Request for
Contributions
pnumber * repcash Crosstabulation
Carver
Clark
Tonsler
Venable
Walker
Total
Count
% within pnumber
Count
% within pnumber
Count
% within pnumber
Count
% within pnumber
Count
% within pnumber
Count
% within pnumber
repcash
1.00 yes
2.00 no
19
109
14.8%
85.2%
10
113
8.1%
91.9%
11
103
9.6%
90.4%
18
109
14.2%
85.8%
31
111
21.8%
78.2%
89
545
14.0%
86.0%
Democratic Request for
Contributions
pnumber * demcash Crosstabulation
Carver
Clark
Tonsler
Venable
Walker
Total
Count
% within pnumber
Count
% within pnumber
Count
% within pnumber
Count
% within pnumber
Count
% within pnumber
Count
% within pnumber
demcas h
1.00 yes
2.00 no
51
76
40.2%
59.8%
62
62
50.0%
50.0%
38
76
33.3%
66.7%
35
92
27.6%
72.4%
59
82
41.8%
58.2%
245
388
38.7%
61.3%
Walker Campaign
Contributions
Republican Party
Bush $3,080
Democratic Party
Kerry $18,580


Avg. $513
Avg. $502
RNC $3,105
DNC
Avg. $516
Avg. $453
$7,697
Other $4,860
Avg. $540
Walker Mobilization



Voters in Walker Precinct are sought
after by both parties.
Consistently high levels of turnout in
Walker Precinct make it valuable to
both political parties
The wealth of Walker Precinct desired
by both parties
Education Levels
education
60
less than high
school
High school
Associate or
Bachelor
50
MA/MBA
JD
Ph.D
Count
40
30
20
10
0
Carver
Clark
Tonsler
Precinct
Venable
Walker
Health Insurance
precinct * insuranc Crosstabulation
insuranc
precinct
Carver
Clark
Tonsler
Venable
Walker
Total
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
yes
113
89.7%
104
86.7%
89
82.4%
104
83.2%
132
93.6%
542
87.4%
no
13
10.3%
16
13.3%
19
17.6%
21
16.8%
9
6.4%
78
12.6%
Income
income
60
lt 25k
25 to 50k
50 to 75k
75 to 100k
50
100 to 200k
200k
Count
40
30
20
10
0
Carver
Clark
Tonsler
precinct
Venable
Walker
Home Ownership
precinct * rentown Crosstabulation
rentown
Carver
Clark
Tonsler
Venable
Walker
Total
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
Count
% within precinct
own
rent
63
50.8%
77
61.1%
53
48.6%
34
27.6%
108
78.8%
335
54.1%
61
49.2%
49
38.9%
56
51.4%
89
72.4%
29
21.2%
284
45.9%

Walker Precinct voters are
wealthy, well-educated and in
better economic positions than
most of Charlottesville
Issues
Charlottesville Issues w/o Walker
Walker Precinct Issues
Negative Bus h
Character
Morals & Values
Terroris m and
Homeland s ecurity
Iraq/Afghanis tan/Draft
Health
Economy
Foreign Affairs Other
Valid Percent
5.5
6.3
3.1
16.4
26.6
3.1
10.2
5.5
Negative Bush
Character
Morals & Values
Terroris m and
Homeland s ecurity
Iraq/Afghanis tan/Draft
Health
Economy
Foreign Affairs Other
Valid Percent
10.2
2.8
3.5
7.9
31.3
5.1
8.6
7.2
Walker’s Issues

Walker Precinct favors issues that
reflect its tendency to vote for
conservative politicians, compared to
the rest of Charlottesville
Key Indicators of VA 2004 Election
Bush wins VA voters making $30 K
– $50 K/Yr.
 Bush wins VA voters making >
$50 K/Yr.
 Bush’s issue strengths: taxes,
terrorism, moral values.
 Kerry’s issue strengths: Iraq,
economy/jobs, health-care.

Key Indicators, Part II




Bush’s best qualities: religious faith,
honesty, trustworthiness, strong
leadership, clear stand on issues.
Kerry’s best qualities: caring,
intelligence, most likely to produce
change.
Bush: Strongest showing in rural and
suburban areas.
Kerry: Strongest showing in small
cities and urban areas (50% - 48%).
Per Capita Income in 1999
Per Capita Income in 1999
PER CAPITA INCOME IN 1999
Census Data Call
Numbers






TM-P017 Median Age
TM-P040 People Over 25 with Bachelor’s Degree or Higher
TM-P044 People 18 Years and Older That Are Veterans
TM-P061 Households With Income Less than $10,000
TM-P062 Households With Income More than $100,000
TM-P064 Median Household Income
Sources





City Council Elections
http://www.charlottesville.org
Virginia State Board of Elections
http://www.sbe.state.va.us/
Federal Election Project:
http://www.american.edu/academic.depts/s
pa/ccps/fepindex.html
Map: http://www.charlottesville.org
Campaign Funds: http://www.fundrace.org