1 The limits of rational choice: Localism and city-regionalism in two Swedish city-regions Version 2011-11-11 Paper for XX Nordiska kommunforskarkonferensen Göteborg 24-26 november 2011 Only preliminary so far – please don’t quote! Anders Lidström Department of Political Science, Umeå University SE-901 87 Umeå, Sweden Tel +46 90 786 61 81, Fax +46 90 786 66 81 E-mail: [email protected] 2 In most city-regions in the world, and in particular in the larger metropolitan areas, the structure of local government is typically politically fragmented. There are often a large number of municipalities, each providing public services for their inhabitants (Heinelt and Kübler 2005, Sellers and HoffmannMartinot 2009). Due to underlying processes of segregation and sorting, these municipalities can vary considerably with regard to the wealth of their citizens, which is also reflected in their ethnical and social composition. Attempts to establish governments for the city-regions as a whole have not been successful (Sancton 2008, Lefèvre 2010, Kantor and Savitch 2010). These would address needs that are common for the citizens in the city-region as a whole and perhaps even redistribute or share public resources and reduce differences in tax levels between municipalities. Proponents for continuing fragmentation claim that the conditions of polycentrism that characterize most metropolitan areas are beneficial for efficiency, effectiveness and democracy. The localist (or defensive localist) position emphasizes far-reaching municipal autonomy. Each municipality should handle its own affairs with as little intervention as possible from outside, and redistribution between them should be minimized (Barron and Frug 2005). In the metropolitan setting where citizens typically are mobile, localities will compete for citizens and resources. When public services are paid by those that use them, through locally generated taxes and fees, and when the units for democratic decision-making is as small as possible, conditions for efficiency and accountability are optimal. At the other end of the scale, the city-regionalist (or just the regionalist) position claims that many problems in the city-region are common for the citizens in the whole region, that there are spillover problems created by the separate decisions taken by each municipality and that extensive differences in wealth between municipalities create social tensions and weaken citizens’ sense of responsibility for the city-region as a whole (Howell-Moroney 2008). Regionalists argue that this calls for a joint sharing of the responsibilities throughout the whole city-region. Differences between municipalities should be reduced through financial equalization and/or systems of governance for the entire city-region. This is likely to be a disadvantage for the wealthiest parts of the city-region, as these would have to make contributions that exceed their gains. However, it would benefit those that are worst off. Although directly elected units of self-governments for city-regions as a whole are rare, there is a tendency, particularly in European countries, to establish units of inter-municipal cooperation in the city-regions (Heinelt and Kübler 2005, Otgaar et al 2008). However, these tend to be weak as they often require consensus among all member municipalities. They also lack the democratic legitimacy that directly elected units enjoy. The localism – city-regionalism dimension represents a major attitudinal cleavage in contemporary urban politics (Briffault 2000). Indeed an important reason for the lack of success for city-regionalism is that localist values have very strong adherents. When citizens, and their local politicians, are mainly concerned with the welfare of their own community, and are unwilling to accept a responsibility for the city-region as a whole, this effectively undermines aspirations to set up directly or indirectly elected levels of city-regional governance (Owens 2010). There is a common understanding in the literature that wealthy citizens and those living in the most privileged parts of the city-regions, as a matter of self-interest, are most likely to hold localist views (Cashin 2000). Empirical studies are rare, but those that have been carried out tend to support this assumption (Reed 2001, Steinacker 2004, Owens 2010). However, most of them are limited to American 3 metropolitan areas, where individualism, self-sufficiency and anti-government values tend to be stronger (Downding, John and Briggs 1994, Norris 2001). Although this pattern may also be found in some European countries (on Switzerland, see Kübler 2005), it remains to be investigated whether it is also relevant in the Nordic welfare states. Indeed, these are the countries that are most likely to divert from the pattern found elsewhere. Their distinctive welfare systems (Esping-Andersen 1990, Huber and Stephens 2001, Sellers and Lidström 2007, Lidström 2011a) are based on values of equality and universalism. Indeed, in these countries there is strong and stable popular support for policies that reduce differences in wealth between individuals (Edlund 2007). Therefore, we would expect that territorial redistribution to a larger extent is accepted in the Nordic metropolitan areas than in countries with other types of welfare systems. Not only would regionalism be the dominant view, we will also expect the connection between selfinterest and localist attitudes to be weaker. This paper aims at investigating patterns of localist – city-regionalist attitudes among citizens in Swedish city-regions. This includes both how common the different types of attitudes are and how variation along the scale may be accounted for. The empirical investigations are carried out in two city-regions, the Göteborg region and the Umeå region 1. Both of these consist of a core municipality and the municipalities included in the commuting hinterland. In the next section, the theoretical assumptions about how localist – city-regionalist attitudes may vary are developed. This is followed by an introduction to the two cases of city-regions and the material used in the study. The subsequent empirical analysis is carried out through a combination of bivariate and multivariate analyses. The paper ends with a summary of the main conclusions and the implications they have for our understanding of metropolitan governance in a Nordic setting. Accounting for variation: Rational choice vs institutional theories The rational choice explanations for whether citizens hold localist or city-regionalist attitudes refer to the self-interest of the individual. Of particular importance has been the seminal article written by Charles Tiebout (1956), emphasizing that municipalities in a polycentric metropolitan setting compete for citizens and that these citizens select a municipality of residence that corresponds to the level of taxes they are willing to pay and the range and quality of services they would like to receive (cp also Ostrom, Tiebout and Warren 1961). The article was the starting-point for a rich literature that has generated empirical tests of its assumptions as well as further theoretical development. Several of the notions of the Tiebout theory have been corroborated by empirical research (Downding, John and Briggs 1994, Percy, Hawkins and Maier 1995) although the empirical support is mainly confined to an American context. According to the rational choice understanding, localist values are likely to be held by people who are wealthy, as these would restrain from paying for services for those that are less well-off. As claimed 1 The research presented in this paper has been carried out within the research project ”Swedish city-regions: Democracy, local citizenship and political institutions”, financed by Riksbankens Jubileumsfond 2009-2011. The author is grateful for valuable comments on a previous version of the paper, presented at the XVI Nordic Political Science Association conference, Vasa 9-12 August 2011. 4 by Tiebout, the rich “may band together … [to] avoid pay taxes for the poor” (Tiebout 1964: 94). Cityregionalist values, on the other hand, would most likely be held by those that are worse off, and who would benefit from the redistribution that is a key element in regionalism. However, if the rational choice assumptions are correct, we would also expect that there are differences in attitudes between residents living in communities with different amounts of wealth. Independently of their own economic conditions, those living in rich municipalities would be less willing to share the resources held by their municipality with those living in areas with more severe social problems and less amounts of resources (Cashin 2000). The Tiebout-inspired literature can also provide support for assumptions about the importance of jurisdictional size for localist – city-regionalist attitudes. It is claimed that competition between municipalities is stronger if the number of municipalities is large (Tiebout 1956, Downding, John and Biggs 1994). This is likely to be the case if municipalities are small and the metropolitan area is large. Hence, we would assume that small municipalities and large metropolitan areas trigger a stronger sense of localism among the citizens. Finally, the rational choice theories of collective action (Ostrom 1998, cp Rothstein 2005) claim that citizens are more likely to act in their self interest if they have low trust in their fellow citizens. Indeed, building interpersonal trust has been suggested as a way of overcoming the tragedy of the commons. This line of reasoning would imply that citizens with extensive interpersonal trust would be more likely to hold city-regionalist values. Although the distinctions are less than clearcut, an alternative approach for understanding why citizens’ take different positions on the localist – city-regionalist scale is institutional theory. This theory would argue that actors are severely constrained by institutions such as dominating norms and values. As suggested by normative institutionalism, they follow a “logic of appropriateness” rather than considering the benefits and advantages of different actions in terms of their selfinterest. This may result in choices that are not optimal in terms of enhancing the individual’s selfinterest, but may comply with what is socially expected in a given situation (March and Olsen 1989, Peters 2005). Institutions that provide incentives for actions that may not enhance individual’s selfinterest can be common for larger communities such as countries, but can also be restricted to more limited social circumstances such as people that share common values or similar experiences. It has already been emphasized that it is expected that the type of welfare state norms that dominate in a society will have repercussions for whether citizens will hold localist or city-regionalist views. Norms of self-interest may well be strong in western liberal and conservative societies but in societies dominated by more Social democratic values, it is likely that redistribution between the rich and the less well off is more acceptable. Such norms may counteract self-interests and promote a broader understanding for other people’s needs or perhaps even a common good (Lewin and Lavery 1991). Hence, institutional theory would claim that there may be norms and values in a society that make people act in a way that may not conform to their immediate material self-interests. Another type of norms that may reduce the tendency to comply with self-interest is basic political beliefs. Indeed, the view on redistribution is one of the defining components of the left-right political scale (Benoit and Laver 2006). As political parties to the left are traditionally much more in support of 5 redistribution of wealth, we would expect that citizens with more leftist views are more likely to hold city-regionalist attitudes. Self-interest may also be modified by whether citizens are connected to a particular municipality or to the city-region as a whole. This connectedness may concern actions as well as mental orientations. Actions can include the extent to which citizens regularly spend time in other municipalities in the city-region than where they live. They may commute on a daily basis or do most of their shopping elsewhere. Alternatively, they may spend most of their time in their home municipality and may even have lived in the same municipality during their whole lives. Such citizens are more likely to hold localist views. However, connectedness can also be of a mental kind. Citizens that feel at home in the city-region as a whole are likely to be more city-regional in their attitudes. Finally, if it can be assumed that city-regionalism is a form of more extrovert orientation, citizens with a higher level of education and those who are interested and active in politics will be expected to have a stronger sense of city-regionalism than others. Also, as the male role traditionally has been more extrovert we will expect men to be more city-regionally oriented than women. Method, material and operationalization The assumptions outlined in the previous section will be tested on data collected through citizen surveys in two Swedish city-regions. City-regions may be conceptualised as one or a few major cities with a surrounding hinterland that is functionally linked to the cities as joint labour and housing markets. Daily commuting, regular shopping and the use of leisure facilities typically take place across municipal borders in city-regions. However, as city-regions are not formal jurisdictions, they lack fixed borders. Hence, there is no obvious basis on which to select city-regions for empirical studies. A common way of delineating city-regions is through the extent of daily commuting that takes place between the municipalities (OECD 2002, Karlsson & Olsson 2006). However, there are no commonly agreed criteria for the level of commuting between municipalities that is required for a certain area to be considered to be a city-region. In addition, commuting patterns vary over time and larger commuting areas tend to expand (Sancton 2008). A less fluid alternative that is used in this study is to define the city-region as the area around the city in which the municipalities regularly cooperate with each other about city-regional functions. These areas tend to correspond fairly well to commuting areas, but are less likely to change from one year to another. The data used in this study was collected from two city-regions of different sizes. The larger of these is the Göteborg city-region on Sweden’s west coast, around the second largest city in Sweden. The city-region consists of 13 municipalities with a total of 920 000 inhabitants. The municipalities cooperate within the framework of the Göteborg Region. The other is Umeå city-region, located on the country’s northern east coast. It consists of six municipalities that cooperate in the Umeå Region and has a total population of 140 000. Both these city-regions had been subject to investigations in a previous research project on cityregionalism, carried out in 2002 (Lidström 2006, 2010). As the local conditions were well-known for the researchers when developing the citizen questionnaires, it was hoped that this would make 6 questions more valid and result in higher response rates. Nevertheless, one should be cautious about drawing conclusions about conditions in city-regions generally in Sweden on the basis of these two cases. They cannot capture the full variation among Swedish city-regions. In particular, we lack information from Greater Stockholm, which is the largest metropolitan area in Sweden, but also from many other smaller city-regions in the country. Nevertheless, our study still provides valuable insights into this phenomena, that has not been previously investigated in a Swedish setting. In each city-region, samples of citizens between the ages of 18 and 84 were randomly selected and mailed a survey with questions covering various issues about citizenship in city-regions. The questionnaire was designed to take into account the specific conditions in the two city-regions, and different versions were provided for respondents in the core cities and in the surrounding municipalities. The survey was sent to 6000 citizens. A total of 3200 persons (60 per cent) completed the questionnaire. The analysis of non-respondents indicates that women, middle-aged and people who vote in general elections are slightly over-represented. In the analysis, the data has been weighted to correspond to the real population sizes in the Göteborg and Umeå regions. The dependent variable, i.e. the localism – city-regionalism scale, is an index of the mean response on seven questions. These concerned citizens’ opinions on various aspects of whether taxes, services and responsibilities should differ between municipalities or if instead municipal services should be available for all in the city-region and differences in terms of taxes and services should be reduced. The respondents could choose from five response alternatives – from very good to very bad (and also a no opinion alternative). Intercorrelations between the questions were high, varying from rxy .204 to .696. The questions and their positions with regard to localism and city-regionalism are summarized in Table 1. The questions and the response alternatives are presented in Appendix 1. Table 1 Questions included in the localism – city-regionalism index Proposition Localist position City-regionalist position The level of the municipal services should be the same in the whole city-region Disagree Agree There should be differences in tax levels between the municipalities Agree Disagree It should be possible to choose a provider of care for the elderly in the whole city-region Disagree Agree One should only be allowed to choose a school within one’s own municipality Agree Disagree The municipalities in the city-region should share the responsibility for the socially disadvantaged Disagree Agree The municipalities in the city-region should share the responsibility to attract businesses Disagree Agree The municipalities in the city-region should share the responsibility for refugees Disagree Agree 7 There are limitations in using this set of questions to map opinions on localism and city-regionalism. Most questions have a positive wording, as seen from a city-regionalist perspective. There are no questions that emphasize the negative aspects of redistribution, i.e. that one have to pay for others. Also, citizens are asked about their views and we know very little about how they would act in practice. Nevertheless, we would still expect the questions to capture a variation in opinions among citizens. One test of whether these questions actually can capture views on the localism – cityregionalism dimension is whether the results are reasonable, in comparison with results from studies carried out in other contexts. We will return to this later. The independent variables consist of both individual level variables and contextual variables as outlined in the theory section. Their operationalization is listed in Appendix 1. Bivariate analysis is mainly used as a way of testing the relevance of some of the assumptions generated from public choice theory. However, the major analysis is carried out with OLS regression analyses. Although the dependent variable is based on ordinal scales, the total number of positions in the index is 48, which makes it more relevant to use a multivariate technique based on assumptions that the dependent variable is continuous. Localism and city-regionalism in the Göteborg and Umeå city-regions As Figure 1 illustrates, the citizens of the two city-regions lean more towards city-regionalism than localism. Indeed, only about 11 percent of them hold attitudes from the middle of the scale and downwards. Urban citizens in a Swedish setting seem to be committed to the norms of redistribution that is central to the Nordic welfare system. Hence, at least in this respect, citizens are not as focused on their self-interest as suggested by rational choice theory. Figure 1 Distribution of localism - city-regionalism attitudes in the Göteborg and Umeå cityregions. Percentages Localism Note: Mean 2.7791, median 2.8571, N: 3143 City-regionalism 8 Nevertheless, an overwhelming support for city-regionalism would not falsify the rational choice argument, if these citizens are the ones that are worse off, and therefore would benefit from redistribution. The next step in the analysis is to examine whether these claims made by rational choice theory is valid in a Swedish setting. Table 2 summarizes the results from bivariate analyses between variables representing household and municipal wealth and the localism – city-regionalism scale. Table 2 Wealth and localism – city-regionalism Variable Household income (SKR) Mean income in the municipalities 200 000 or less Index mean 2.785 Eta F sig N 201 000 – 400 000 2.756 900 401 000 – 600 000 2.787 783 601 000 or more 2.794 249 999 or less 2.673 250 000 – 274 999 2.834 275 000 or more 2.724 499 .028 .506 813 584 1848 .119 .000 712 Contrary to what was predicted by rational choice theory, there is no connection between the wealth of the household and localist – city-regionalist attitudes in the two Swedish city-regions. Hence, localism is not driven by wealthy inhabitants that want to protect their privileges. Neither is redistribution primarily supported by those in poor conditions who want a bigger share of the cake. This is an important finding that runs contrary to the results from previous studies carried out in other contexts. Attitudes to localism and city-regionalism are different in a Nordic welfare state setting. An investigation of the relationship at municipal level show a significant relationship, but this tends to be curvilinear. Those living in the poorest municipalities are the most localist and those in the middle group have the strongest city-regionalist attitudes. A closer examination of these relationships, separate for the Göteborg and Umeå regions, are shown in Figure 2 Figure 2 Municipal mean income and average localism – city-regionalism attitudes in the municipalities Note: Each dot represents a municipality 9 There is a tendency to curvlinearity that is obvious in the case of the Göteborg region but in the Umeå region there is instead a strong positive relationship between wealth and city-regionalism, which contradicts the assumptions in rational choice theory but also surprises with regard to the institutional explanation that refers to underling norms in the Nordic welfare system. There is no obvious reason why communities with more wealthy citizens would be more in favour of shared responsibility for the whole city-region. We will need to return to this matter later and examine whether there are other underlying explanations that may account for this relationship. From rational choice theory we also generated additional hypotheses – on the importance of population sizes of the municipalities and the city-region and on the relationship between interpersonal trust and localist – city-regionalist attitudes. The bivariate relationships are presented in Table 3. Table 3 Population size, interpersonal trust and localism – city-regionalism Variable Municipal size City-regional size Interpersonal trust 40 000 inhabitants or less Index mean 2.648 Eta F sig N 40 001 – 100 000 inhabitants 2.729 100 001 or more inhabitants 2.849 Small (Umeå city-region) 2.728 Large (Göteborg city-region) 2.787 Low trust (0-3) 2.692 312 Median trust (4-6) 2.710 827 High trust (7-10) 2.827 787 515 .153 .000 1841 .036 .045 2716 427 .105 .000 1930 Although the rational choice assumption of the importance of self-interest lacks empirical support in a Swedish context, three of the other hypotheses are supported by the data. Citizens living in small municipalities and the smaller city-region are more localist than those living in the larger ones. Those that distrust their fellow citizens tend to be localist whereas those with high amounts of interpersonal trust are city-regionalists. As these assumptions were generated from a theory of individual self-interest, which has turned out to be irrelevant in the Swedish cases, there has to be other explanations to this pattern. Perhaps this indicates a pattern of parochialism rather than selfinterest. We will discuss this question further later in the analysis. Another set of explanations focus on the basic political values of citizens. It was expected that those to the left on the political scale would be more likely to hold city-regionalist attitudes. As illustrated in Table 4, this is clearly the case. Indeed, this emphasizes values and norms, rather than self-interest (although of course indirectly one’s political position may be a function of one’s self-interests). 10 Table 4 Left-right position and localism – city-regionalism Variable Left-right-position Clearly to the left Index mean 2.960 Eta F sig N 311 Slightly to the left 2.850 655 Neither left, nor right 2.822 566 Slightly to the right 2.759 773 Clearly towards the right 2.680 .141 .000 411 It was also hypothesized that citizens’ connections to either one’s home municipality or to the cityregion as a whole would be related to the position on the localism – city-regionalism scale. Connections have been seen as consisting of both an action and a mental component. Two indicators have been used that represent actions, namely whether or not one is commuting on a daily basis and if one has lived in the municipality the whole life or not. The mental component has been operationalized as the extent to which one feels at home in the municipality and in the city-region. The results are summarized in Table 5. Table 5 Connectedness and localism – city-regionalism Variable Daily commuting to other municipality in the city-region Length of residence in one’s municipality Feel at home in one’s municipality Feel at home in one’s city-region Eta Yes Index mean 2.717 F sig N No 2.794 .057 .002 2375 .013 .485 1015 693 Moved to the municipality 2.772 Resistent practically whole life 2.788 2031 Not at all 2.768 74 Partly 2.750 689 Fully 2.799 .037 .140 2181 Not at all 2.627 139 Partly 2.748 1056 Fully 2.828 .092 .000 1742 It is obvious that citizens’ connectedness has little to do with whether they hold localist or cityregionalist attitudes. Only one of the indicators provide significant results in the expected direction, namely to feel at home in the city-region. A bit surprisingly, the daily commuters, who were expected to develop a city-regional orientation, are more localist than those that do not commute. Length of residence and feeling at home in one’s municipality is not significant at all. Finally, we assumed that a general extrovert orientation would be advantageous for city-regionalist attitudes. Such an orientation has been operationalized as interest in politics, political activism, high level of education and male gender. Table 6 suggests that these assumptions are supported by the empirical evidence, but with one important exception. Interestingly, women turned out to be more city-regionalists than men. Perhaps it is time to reconsider previous stereotypes and acknowledge that women, nowadays, are more extrovertly oriented than men. 11 Table 6 Introvert-extrovert orientation and localism – city-regionalism Variable Interest in politics generally Political participation Level of education Gender Eta F sig Not at all/nor particularly Index mean 2.729 Very/fairly interested 2.838 .098 .000 No means 2.572 432 1-2 means 2.739 663 3-4 means 2.781 5 or more means 2.883 Compulsory school, etc. 2.699 570 Upper secondary school, etc. 2.710 909 Post-upper secondary studies 2.851 689 University degree 2.839 Woman 2.880 Man 2.659 N 1541 1526 861 .178 .000 1138 .122 .000 934 .193 .000 1410 1720 To summarize the results from the analysis so far, we may conclude that most, but not all of the assumptions generated from rational choice theory have turned out to be irrelevant as explanations to why citizens vary with regard to localist – city-regionalist attitudes. In particular, the assumption that these attitudes are linked to the self-interest of the individual, which in other studies has turned out to be a consistent result, has been rejected. The norms of equality and redistribution that is inherent in the Nordic welfare system leave little room for self-interest. Indeed, in the Umeå cityregion, there is even a positive relationship between municipal wealth and city-regionalist attitudes. The general tendency is that the institutional explanations are more successful than those generated from rational choice theory. As the bivariate relationships are not taking into account how the different variables interact, a set of multivariate analyses have been carried out, using the variables that have turned out to be linearly related to the dependent variable. The first model presented in Table 7 consists of all remaining variables. The total explanatory power of the model is limited which suggests that there are other explanations that have not been included in the model. Nevertheless, as six variables are significant, the model is still relevant. The variation in four of the variables that were significant in the bivariate analysis has been captured by other variables. The second model is limited to the remaining six variables, which slightly increases R square. In the third model, household income has been added as a way of controlling that individual self-interest remains irrelevant in a multivariate context. Models four and five illustrate the relative importance of the individual level variables in relation to the contextual. Although the coefficients may change slightly, the overall results from the analysis remain stable. 12 Table 7 OLS regression analysis: Accounting for variation in localism – city-regionalism attitudes Dependent variable: The localism – city-regionalism index Independent variables: 1 2 Household income Interpersonal trust 3 4 5 .011 .031 Left-right position -.057*** -.058*** -.060*** -.057*** Daily commuter -.001 .067*** .062*** .085*** .066*** .066*** .070*** -.206*** -.211*** -.206*** -.220*** Municipal size .093*** .098*** .098*** .106*** City-regional size .112*** .114*** .111*** .090** 2.482*** 2.551*** 2.534*** Feel at home in city-region .058** General interest in politics .011 Political participation .054*** Level of education .010 Gender Constant 2.950*** 2.364*** R square .106 .112 .110 .088 .026 Adj R square .102 .109 .107 .086 .026 N 2395 2528 2457 2528 3142 Note: The coefficients are b coefficients. ** Significant at the 0.01-level, *** Significant at the 0.001 level. There are no problems of multicollinearity (lowest tolerance is 0.835, highest VIF 1.198). In addition, correlations between the independent variables are low (Appendix 2). The results from the regression analyses indicate that localist values are mainily to be found among men who do not feel at home in the city-region as a whole, are located to the right on the political scale and are politically inactive. They live primarily in small municipalities and in the Umeå cityregion. Those holding city-regionalist values tend to be female, feel at home in the city-region as a whole, are located to the left in politics and are politically active. They mostly live in the largest municipalities and particularly in the Göteborg city-region. A conclusion from these results must be that localism vs city-regionalism in a Swedish setting is not about self-interest but rather concerns the combination of political values and whether one has an introvert or an extrovert orientation. There is a strong touch of parochialism among those that hold localist attitudes: they tend to have a more narrow focus and feel at home in small communities. The importance of municipal size that was originally generated as a hypothesis on the basis of rational choice theory can now be understood from a different perspective. Rather than being an expression of the competitive situation in a city-regional setting, small is now seen as favourable for parochialism. 13 In previous studies on these matters, carried out in other countries, conservatism and parochialism stand out as important drivers for localist attitudes. For example, a study by Owen (2010) of such attitudes in metropolitan areas in Georgia showed that men, homeowners and Republicans stood out as less supportive for regionalism. Also, this suggests that our measure of localism – cityregionalism is valid. However, a key difference between those studies and the Swedish cases is that the pure rational choice assumption that citizens aim at enhancing their material self-interest has been rejected in the Swedish setting. Instead different types of norms tend to be important. Some of these are societal, such as the ones inherent in the Nordic welfare system, but others concerns basic political values and individual orientations. Although some of these may also be given a meaning in terms of rational behaviour, they are more easily understood within the frame of institutional theory. Conclusions The localist – city-regional dimension captures a major attitudinal cleavage in urban politics. Those favouring localism want to have strong and autonomous municipalities, locally financed municipal services and shun redistribution between municipalities. Local responsibility is seen as enhancing efficiency, effectiveness and democracy. At the other end of the scale, city-regionalism claims that many problems in the metropolitan areas are common for several municipalities, that citizens are becoming less connected to their home municipality in their daily activities and that a shared responsibility for those with most extensive social needs is beneficial for the city-region as a whole. There is a common understanding in the literature that citizens’ position on this scale to a large extent may be explained from the point of view of their material self-interests. In particular, this is claimed by adherents to rational choice theory. Apart from that there is also a tendency that those to the right of the political scale and people with a parochial orientation will hold localist attitudes. The few empirical studies that have been carried out have mainly investigated conditions in American city-regions. In this paper, these assumptions are taken as a starting-point for an investigation of whether they are accurate also in a Swedish context, more specifically in the two Swedish cityregions of Göteborg and Umeå. The findings comply with the conclusion that conservatism and parochialism enhance a localist position, but find no evidence in favour of the rational choice assumption. There is no significant connection between household wealth or average municipal wealth on the one hand and localist – city-regionalist attitude on the other. The only exception is the Umeå city-region where it turns out that those in the wealthiest municipalities are the most city-regionalist. The theoretical implications from this conclusion are that the rational choice assumption of individual self-interest is not a universal driving force but has to be understood within specific institutional contexts. Norms of self-interest are strong in western liberal and conservative societies but in a system such as the Swedish, where there is considerable popular support for redistribution between the wealthy and those that are less well off, a redistributive norm seems to takes priority over the norm of self-interest in certain situations. There are no studies available about citizens’ views on these matters in the largest of the Swedish metropolitan areas, i.e. Greater Stockholm. Hence, we do not know whether these results are valid in this setting. There is no reason to believe that support for the Swedish welfare system in weaker in 14 the Stockholm area, but additional factors may suggest that self-interest is stronger. First, the sheer size and more extensive differences in wealth and social problems between different municipalities create a more competitive situation than in other city-regions. Second, the effects of the national system of municipal tax equalization have different effects on the different municipalities in Greater Stockholm. The rich municipalities are net contributors to the system and the poor ones net recipients. In the Göteborg region, on the other hand, all municipalities are net recipients (Lidström and Sellers 2011). Indeed, in the wealthier areas of Greater Stockholm there is an opinion claiming that it is unfair that they have to pay for services in other municipalities (Jonsson 2003). This seems to suggest that values of self-interest may be stronger in the Stockholm metropolitan area than elsewhere in the country. A practical consequence of these findings could be that it would be easier to establish democratically legitimate city-regional governments in many city-regions in the Nordic countries than elsewhere. To some extent there are joint arrangements between the municipalities in both Göteborg and Umeå. The Göteborg Region coordinates several municipal services within the metropolitan area and is also responsible for the regional development plan (Lidström and Sellers 2011). The Umeå Region has a weaker position with fewer coordinated functions (Eklund 2011). In the largest metropolitan area in Sweden, the Stockholm County Council is a directly elected second tier local authority with responsibility for metropolitan planning, public transport and health care. However, it only covers a part of the commuting area around Stockholm. There is also an extensive system of fiscal equalization among the municipalities in Sweden. However, none of these units comply with the notion of democratically legitimate city-regional levels of government. They are either only indirectly elected or too small to cover the entire commuting area. Despite the positive attitudes among the citizens for city-regionalism, no such units exist in Sweden. How can this seemingly paradox be explained? It is noteworthy that the question of establishing directly elected city-regions is not even on the Swedish public policy agenda. Indeed, there are no strong actors in favour of such solutions. The traditionally powerful Swedish municipalities are not interested in giving up powers and functions to new city-regional bodies and the debate on regionalism in Sweden is at the moment more concerned with amalgamations of county council into larger regions, rather than focusing on city-regions (Lidström 2011b). In addition, as Andrew Sancton (2008) has observed, there are logical difficulties in establishing directly elected units for city-regions (cp also Bennet 1997). Not only is there a lack of common agreement on where the city-regional borders should be drawn, these also tend to be unstable as commuting patterns constantly change. 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Journal of Political Economy, vol 64, pp 416-424. 18 Appendix 1: Variables included in the analysis Variable Question/variable construction Variable values Indicator of the dependent variable Localism – cityregionalism index Additive index, representing the mean response on the following questions: Scale 0 – 4 (0 = consistent localism, 4 = consistent city-regionalism) - The level of the municipal services should be the same in the whole city-region* - There should be differences in tax levels between the municipalities - It should be possible to choose a provider of care for the elderly in the whole city-region* - One should only be allowed to choose a school within one’s own municipality - The municipalities in the city-region should share the responsibility for the socially disadvantaged* - The municipalities in the city-region should share the responsibility to attract businesses* - The municipalities in the city-region should share the responsibility for refugees* The response alternatives were: Very good proposition, fairly good proposition, neither a good nor a bad proposition, fairly bad proposition and very bad proposition. * Coding reversed before added into an index Indicators of the independent variables Individual level variables Household income Approximately how much in total do the persons in your household earn before tax? (SKR) Interpersonal trust Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted? Left-Right-position Replies on a scale from 0 (most people cannot be trusted) to 10 (most people can be trusted) Where would you position yourself on a left-right political scale? Daily commuting to other municipality in the city-region Length of residence in one’s municipality Do you commute on a daily basis for work or studies to another municipality? Feel at home in one’s municipality To what extend to you feel at home in your own municipality? [a 7-grade scale, from not home at all to very much at home] How long have you lived in the municipality where you presently reside? 1: 200 000 or less 2: 201 000 – 400 000 3: 401 000 – 600 000 4: 601 000 or more 1: Low trust (0-3) 2: Median trust (4-6) 3: High trust (7-10) 1: Clearly to the left 2: Slightly to the left 3: Neither left, nor right 4: Slightly to the right 5: Clearly towards the right 1: No 2: Yes 1: Moved to the municipality 2: Resident practically the whole life 1: Not at all 2: Partly 19 Feel at home in one’s city-region Interest in politics generally Political participation Level of education To what extend to you feel at home in the Göteborg Region/the Umeå Region? [(Names specific for each cityregion) [a 7-grade scale, from not home at all to very much at home] How interested are you in political issues generally? [A list of 14 different ways of influencing political decisions is presented to the respondent] Have you, during the last year, used any of the following means to influence political decisions? What is your highest level of education? Gender 3: Fully 1: Not at all 2: Partly 3: Fully 1: Not at all/not particularly 2: Very/fairly 0: No means 1: 1-2 means 2: 3-4 means 3: 5 or more means 1: Compulsory school, etc. 2: Upper secondary school, etc. 3: Post-upper secondary studies 4: University degree 1: Woman 2: Man Contextual variables Mean income The mean income of the citizens of 20 years and older in own municipality (SKR) Municipal size Population size of own municipality City-regional size The city-region 1: 249 999 or less 2: 250 000 – 274 999 3: 275 000 or more 1: 40 000 inhabitants or less 2: 40 001 – 100 000 inhabitants 3: 100 001 or more inhabitants 1: Small (Umeå city-region) 2: Large (Göteborg city-region) 20 Interpersonal trust .236*** Left-right position .191*** -.031 Daily commuter .186*** -.035 Feel at home in cityregion .101*** .086*** .068*** General interest in politics .028 .111*** -.067*** Political participation .157*** .220*** -.132*** Level of education .340*** .231*** .049** .069*** -.007 .181*** Gender .072*** -.013 .055** .062*** -.045* .089*** -.105*** .018 -.054** -.269*** Municipal size City-regional size .056** -.057*** Municipal size Gender Level of education Political participation General interest in politics Feel at home in cityregion Daily commuter Left-right position Interpersonal trust Correlations between the independent variables in regression analyses Household income Appendix 2 .034 .126*** .032 -.049** .020 .132*** .041 .051** .363*** .123*** .089*** .027 .026 .330*** -.009 .052** -.027 -.059*** .104*** -.056*** .016 -.009 -.113***
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