To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? A Dissertation by Lauren Newby March 2003 CONTENTS SECTION PAGE 1. INTRODUCTION..........................................................................................................1 2. HISTORICAL CONTEXT – EAST MANCHESTER ......................................................5 3. THE CASE FOR THE COMMONWEALTH GAMES TO BE HELD IN EAST MANCHESTER ..........................................................................................................13 4. THE CONTRIBUTION THE COMMONWEALTH GAMES MADE TOWARDS ACCELERATING THE ECONOMIC REGENERATION OF EAST MANCHESTER ..27 5. THE CONTRIBUTION THE COMMONWEALTH GAMES MADE TOWARDS ACCELERATING THE PHYSICAL REGENERATION OF EAST MANCHESTER ....39 6. THE CONTRIBUTION THE COMMONWEALTH GAMES MADE TOWARDS ACCELERATING THE SOCIAL REGENERATION OF EAST MANCHESTER.........49 7. EFFECTIVENESS OF A SPORTS-LED REGENERATION STRATEGY AND THE FUTURE OF EAST MANCHESTER ..........................................................................59 8. CONCLUSIONS .........................................................................................................71 APPENDICES A – Bibliography B – List of Consultees C – Statistical Baseline With thanks to all who have supported me in the development of this dissertation, particularly those who gave up time to allow me to interview them and shared information with me To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 AIMS AND OBJECTIVES OF THE RESEARCH The 17th Commonwealth Games, 2002, were hosted by the City of Manchester, from July 25th to August 4th. It was hailed as the largest multi-sport event ever held in the UK. East Manchester, one of the most deprived areas in England, had been chosen as the area where ‘Sportcity’ would be built in the early 1990’s. The prime focus of Manchester City Council was to use a major sporting event as a vehicle to bring substantial investment into East Manchester. The aim of this research is to consider the question: To what extent has the Commonwealth Games accelerated the physical, economic, and social regeneration of East Manchester? The role of sport as a tool of regeneration has been an area of intense debate in recent years. Its transformational impacts have been most prominent in the case of Barcelona, where the hosting of the 1992 Olympics was perceived to have had a significant regenerative impact on the city. The role that sport can play in regenerating areas of deprivation has risen high on the policy agenda in recent years, namely through the Social Exclusion Unit’s Policy Action Team report on the role that arts and sport can play in combating social exclusion, and the role agencies such as Sport England have played in the regeneration agenda. The aim of this research is to examine the extent to which a sporting mega-event has impacted on the regeneration of the community of East Manchester where the majority of sporting infrastructure investment occurred. 1.2 THE RESEARCH METHOD The research method was largely qualitative. It included: Undertaking an extensive literature review, which included the review of background material on East Manchester, academic thinking on the role of sport as a regeneration tool, and findings to date on the role that the Commonwealth Games has played in regenerating East Manchester. It also considered examples from elsewhere, including Sheffield, Barcelona, and Sydney. Date: April 2003 Page 1 1 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? A review of all national, regional, and local policy documentation, which informs the context for regeneration in East Manchester, and the role a sporting mega-event could play in the regeneration of the area. Statistical analysis of socio-economic conditions, examining the ‘pre-Games’ and ‘postGames’ position on a number of indicators, including demography, business mix, unemployment and social exclusion, education and skills, crime and disorder, housing, health, and environment. This information indicates change over time in East Manchester, and the extent to which this change could be attributed to the Games is debated in this report. Review of the impact of the Games on the regeneration of East Manchester through considering secondary sources of information, namely the Cambridge Policy Consultants research into the ‘Economic Impact of the Commonwealth Games’. Twelve strategic consultations with regional and local strategic partners and service providers, including the North West Development Agency, Manchester City Council, New Deal for Communities, and New East Manchester Ltd. Two academic consultations with Professor Brian Robson, Director of the Centre of Urban Policy Studies at Manchester University, and Chris Gratton, Director of the Leisure Industries Research Centre at Sheffield Hallam University. Community consultation with eight community and voluntary sector representatives. This included five consultations with the community representatives on the Beacons Board, one small focus group with three residents of a local Tenants and Residents Association, one consultation with a resident who works for New Deal for Communities as part of the Resident Liaison Team, and one consultation with a voluntary sector representative from the Beswick and Bradford Community Project. Three private sector consultations with a new investor (Asda), the private sector representative on the Beacons Board, and with the Chair of the East Manchester Partnership (a private sector partnership). In total, 25 consultations were achieved. A full list of consultees can be found in Appendix B. 1.3 STRUCTURE OF THE DISSERTATION The remainder of the dissertation can be summarised as: Section 2: The historical context of East Manchester Section 3: The case for the Commonwealth Games to be held in East Manchester Section 4: The contribution the Commonwealth Games made towards accelerating the economic regeneration of East Manchester Section 5: The contribution the Commonwealth Games made towards accelerating the physical regeneration of East Manchester Section 6: The contribution the Commonwealth Games made towards accelerating the social regeneration of East Manchester Date: April 2003 Page 2 2 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Section 7: The effectiveness of a sports-led regeneration strategy and the future of East Manchester Section 8: Conclusions 1.4 STUDY AREA Map 1.1 illustrates the location of East Manchester in relation to the Manchester City Council area. For the purposes of this research East Manchester has been defined as the two wards of Beswick and Clayton, and Bradford. MAP 1.1: LOCATION MAP Date: April 2003 Page 3 3 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Date: April 2003 Page 4 4 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? 2. HISTORICAL CONTEXT – EAST MANCHESTER 2.1 HISTORICAL OVERVIEW East Manchester stretches from the city centre eastwards towards the city boundary, including distinct neighbourhoods such as Beswick, Bradford, Clayton, and Openshaw. East Manchester was, historically, characterised by expanding and prosperous light and heavy engineering industry. In the early 1970s, East Manchester supported 34,000 jobs, two thirds of which were in engineering, textiles and coal-mining. However, industrial decline began to set in from the late 1960s, when a number of major employers closed their works, including the Bradford Colliery (1968), Gorton Works (1965), Bayer Peacock (1968), English Steel (1973), Bradford Gas Works and Stuart Street Power station (1975), and Manchester Steel (1985). By the mid-1980s, 20,000 jobs had disappeared; unemployment rose, and firm closures created large tracts of vacant and under-used buildings and land. created. There was over 250 hectares of vacant industrial land The economic decline of the area led to severe social as well as economic problems. Tye et.al (1994, p.45) found that “the area is characterised by a higher than average number of pensioners and of lone parents, by high levels of dependence on welfare benefits, and has difficulty attracting young working age people. The population of East Manchester is characterised by high measurable levels of poverty and low income, and a concentration of the most vulnerable elements of urban society”. Remaining important employers in East Manchester include ICL Computers, Sharp Electronics, and GEC. The environmental consequences of heavy industry decline presents a generally unattractive picture to potential investors: “the scars left by industrial decline contribute to a poor environment, which is inimical to confidence, a good quality of life, private investment and high quality economic activity” (Tye et.al, 1994, p.48). East Manchester can therefore be seen as typical of many inner city areas in the north of England: a declining economic base, social problems manifesting themselves in high unemployment and benefit dependency, low educational attainment, high crime rates, and a poor quality environment. The area’s population fell as many of the economically active left. Shopping facilities were poor, and leisure and recreational provision was limited. Lord Rogers of Riverside, in Minutes of Evidence for the Proposed Urban White Paper in 2000 Date: April 2003 Page 5 5 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? drew on the case of East Manchester in indicating the need for an urban renaissance: “It has a density of about eight households per hectare. The density used to be eight times that at its peak…It is real dereliction and we have to start to look at the problems of institutions. Because there is such poverty – physical and social – everyone wants to get out”. Tye et.al, 1994, p.48, highlights how the “dispersed neighbourhoods and lack of identity, combined with poor road and public transport links have constrained economic development and contributed to the isolation of local residents and their access to the wider Manchester labour market”. 2.2 HISTORIC REGENERATION PROCESS East Manchester has been high on the regeneration policy agenda for the last couple of decades. The difficulty was how to bring about successful regeneration on the large scale required, indeed ODPM in ‘Urban Regeneration Companies: A Process Evaluation’ stated “The area presents an immense challenge in terms of the scale and complexity of tackling so large and complex an area”. A plethora of initiatives have been carried out in East Manchester over the years in a response to the need for regeneration in the area. These included the ‘East Manchester Initiative’ which was funded through the Urban Programme and Derelict Land Grant funding, and focused on acquisition, reclamation and landscaping. The initiative invested £9m in 250 schemes in the area between 1982-89 to acquire and demolish derelict buildings, landscape vacant sites and prepare land for development. The aim of this exercise was to bring back private investment and jobs into the area. Thus, the focus was strongly on physical regeneration, based on the ideology that this would lead to economic regeneration. The East Manchester Planning Framework introduced in 1983 set out a number of objectives for the area, including: the need to assist in the economic recovery of the area; to reintroduce a wider range of housing opportunities into East Manchester; to improve the environment; to improve accessibility; and to improve the quantity and quality of community facilities. The Framework was used to reassess land use allocations, rationalise and improve the quality of land available, and co-ordinate reclamation initiatives. A report commissioned by Manchester City Council on the mechanisms needed to revitalise the area concluded that an Urban Development Agency (UDA) was required to offer a multi-agency approach to tackling the area’s problems. However, instead Central Manchester was designated an Urban Development Corporation, and this, combined with a developing Date: April 2003 Page 6 6 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? budgetary crisis and perceived private sector interest in the area meant that a UDA was no longer considered relevant. The East Manchester Development Strategy was put in place in the late 1980s. It consisted of a number of key elements, including the need to attract and develop new firms, help indigenous firms to flourish, and enable the local labour force to access available jobs. A critical need to develop the strategically significant site at ‘Eastlands’ (the 250 acre former Gasworks) was identified, recognising this site could generate employment and boost the area’s image. The resulting East Manchester Action Programme in January 1989 identified opportunities to be taken forward. In 1990 an East Manchester Team was established within the Chief Executive’s Department at Manchester City Council which was responsible for coordinating action under the East Manchester Development Strategy. In the early 1990s, there was recognition by MCC and its partners that a mega-event such as hosting the Olympics could offer a mechanism for promoting the regeneration of East Manchester and also generate wider investment opportunities. In 1992, the East Manchester Regeneration Strategy was produced and was based on three factors, one of which was the provision of sports and leisure facilities of international importance at the Eastlands site in East Manchester. A sports-led regeneration strategy began to evolve from this period onwards. It is apparent that, historically, regeneration thinking for the area was largely focused on physical regeneration, on the premise that economic and social regeneration would follow. Whilst significant investment in the physical environment has been targeted at the area over the last two decades, many of the initiatives have failed to secure long-term sustainable economic and social benefits. Thinking on mechanisms for regeneration have evolved significantly over the 1990s, towards a much more holistic model, incorporating physical, economic and social aims and objectives. Since 1999 East Manchester has been fortunate in being awarded a number of comprehensive regeneration initiatives, including New Deal for Communities, Single Regeneration Budget, Urban Regeneration Company, Education Action Zone and Sport Action Zone. Map 2.2 overleaf illustrates the boundaries of these initiatives, and a summary of their intentions for East Manchester is outlined on pages 8-11. Date: April 2003 Page 7 7 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Date: April 2003 Page 8 8 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? 2.3 CURRENT REGENERATION CONTEXT There are a number of regeneration initiatives currently underway in East Manchester. The key initiatives are outlined in brief below. Beacons for a Brighter Future The Beacons for a Brighter Future project includes two major initiatives: New Deal for Communities (NDC), which covers the neighbourhoods of Beswick and Openshaw, and has a population of 11,231 (NDC Delivery Plan, 1999), and Single Regeneration Budget (SRB) Round 5. The SRB5 scheme ensures that those parts of Openshaw and Beswick excluded from the NDC programme are the focus for complementary activity, and Clayton is also included in the SRB5 initiative. The combined budget is approximately £77m. “Beacons for a Brighter Future provides the opportunity, firstly, to stem the decline of the area and then to ensure its comprehensive and long-term regeneration” (NDC, Delivery Plan, 1999, p.8). New Deal for Communities provides the scope to ensure that investment in physical regeneration is made in conjunction with investment in local people, and to ensure that local people capture the benefits of regeneration. There are seven programme areas within the ‘Beacons for a Brighter Future’ project: Crime, Education, Health, Worklessness, Physical environment, Local Services, and Community capacity and cohesion. The ‘Beacons for a Brighter Future’ Partnership provides strategic direction to the regeneration of East Manchester, and aims to ensure complementarity between the New Deal for Communities and the Single Regeneration Budget initiatives and other regeneration initiatives operating in the area. New East Manchester Ltd New East Manchester (NEM) was launched in October 1999, and formally incorporated as a Company limited by guarantee in February 2000. NEM was the second pilot Urban Regeneration Company (URC) to be established in England, and is a joint venture between Manchester City Council, North West Development Agency (NWDA) and English Partnerships (EP). ODPM sees the URC in East Manchester as a “once-in-a-generation opportunity to reverse the fortunes of the area” (Urban Regeneration Companies: A Process Evaluation). Between them, the partners of NEM bring a range of powers and resources, Date: April 2003 Page 9 9 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? including planning authority, CPO powers, finances and land holdings. The three main partners are contributing equally towards the running of the Company, which was given a budget of £750K for its first year. The objective of setting up NEM was to provide a strategic focus and single purpose delivery body to lead and co-ordinate the regeneration of key parts of major urban areas. NEM has produced an overarching strategic regeneration framework for the area which has two core objectives: To create sustainable communities, making East Manchester an attractive place to live, work, invest and visit; and To ensure that East Manchester maximises the contribution it can make to the local, regional, and national economy. The framework is, by definition, an overarching plan for the area. There are six frameworks for action identified within the plan, including: education, housing, retail, community, transport, and physical development. In September 2001, £54m of ERDF money was awarded to NEM, with a focus on three priority areas: P1: Business support and employment = £1.3m P2: Community and economic development = £7.13m P3: Delivery of major strategic initiatives = £46m NEM is expected to attract a total of £2bn in public and private sector funds over its fifteenyear lifetime. East Manchester Education Action Zone (EAZ) The EAZ incorporates 17 schools and 6,500 pupils in East Manchester. It began in December 1999 and its vision is to “ensure that all children, young people, and adults in East Manchester realise their educational potential, and are equipped with the confidence, qualifications, and skills, to enable them to make a positive contribution to the social and economic well-being of their community” (East Manchester EAZ Action Plan). The EAZ will access over £4.1m of funds over its three-year lifetime. Date: April 2003 Page 10 10 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? East Manchester Sports Action Zone (SAZ) East Manchester secured SAZ status in 2000. The Sports Action Zone is funded by Sport England through the National Lottery for five years commencing September 2000. The SAZ is intended to help bring the benefits of sport to deprived communities. It is a response to the PAT 10 report, on best practice in using arts, sports and leisure to engage people in poor neighbourhoods. The SAZ national aims are: to work to help those that excel to succeed in their chosen sport; to work with young people involved in anti-social behaviour; to work with community health services to support people in poor health, to provide education, training and support for community sport workers, to set up local sports clubs where none exist, and to make sport centres more accessible. The East Manchester SAZ identified ‘Sport and the Commonwealth Games’ as a major theme. The SAZ will access £300,000 over its five-year lifetime. East Manchester is host to numerous other initiatives, including a ‘Surestart’ scheme in Clayton, an SRB4 scheme focused on a narrow investment corridor between Ashton Old Road and New Road, a city-wide Excellence in Cities initiative, and a recently completed Health Action Zone which covered Manchester, Salford and Trafford as a whole. A key task for New East Manchester Ltd has been to co-ordinate the many funded and unfunded initiatives operating across all or part of East Manchester. Date: April 2003 Page 11 11 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Date: April 2003 Page 12 12 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? 3. THE CASE FOR THE COMMONWEALTH GAMES TO BE HELD IN EAST MANCHESTER 3.1 RATIONALE FOR BIDDING FOR THE GAMES The failure of the numerous regeneration initiatives deployed throughout the 1980s to reverse the decline in East Manchester led to new thinking by Manchester City Council (MCC) on the role that a mega-event such as the Olympics could play in regenerating the area. The most promising Olympic Stadium site lay at Eastlands in East Manchester. MCC bid to host the 1996 Olympic Games and were unsuccessful. Reflections upon the unsuccessful bid indicated the need to emphasise a real commitment to the Olympics. Manchester accessed a £55m grant that enabled the City to support its pledge to have sport complexes under construction by 1993, including the construction of a velodrome and indoor arena. This was intended to help strengthen a renewed bid for the Olympic Games in 2000. In September 1993, Manchester discovered it had been, once again, unsuccessful at bidding for the 2000 Olympic Games. Manchester was encouraged to bid instead for the Commonwealth Games in 2002: “Manchester was awarded the Commonwealth Games in the aftermath of its enthusiastic but doomed bids to hold the Olympic Games in 1996 and 2000. At the time it looked like a consolation prize” (Thames et.al, 2000, p.54). Manchester discovered it was the successful host city of the 17th Commonwealth Games in 1995. The Need for Intervention The need for intervention in East Manchester is evidenced by socio-economic conditions in the area before the successful Commonwealth Games bid. The statistical overview outlined below identifies the pre-Games (i.e. before 1995) baseline position, drawing on information from the 1991 Census and 1995 ABI/Nomis. In some cases, the baseline position refers to information sourced from 1999, which is when a large-scale residents survey was carried out as part of the Beacons for a Brighter Future baseline. The complete statistical baseline can be found in Appendix C. Date: April 2003 Page 13 13 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? In 1991, East Manchester (as defined by the two wards of Bradford and Beswick and Clayton) had a population of 23,405. The population had declined over time in line with the decline in the economic base, particularly through the out-migration of the economically active. In 1991, only 56% of the population were of working age, compared with a national average of 61.2%. The area had a particularly high dependent population. The characteristics of the population are illustrated below in Figure 3.1. Figure 3.1: Demographic Characteristics, 1991 100% 80% 60% Working age Retired age 15 years and under Working age Retired age 15 18.4 18.5 18.7 18.7 56 58.9 60.5 61.2 10 5 40% 20% Total Population 25.6 22.6 0% 20.8 20.1 % Change % of total population 15 years and under Figure 3.2: Population Change: 1991 – 1998/2001 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 East Manchester Source: NomisCrown Copyright Manchester North West Source: 1991 Census/2001 CensusCrown Copyright *East Manchester figure is taken from the 1998 Oxford University estimates Between 1991 and 1998 East Manchester lost 4.7% of its population (1998 Oxford University Population Estimates). This compared unfavourably with population growth in Manchester, the North West, and GB of 3.5, 4.2 and 12.3 percentage points respectively over the 1991 to 2001 Census periods. Manchester is the third most deprived local authority district in England on the 2000 Indices of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) district rank. The wards of Bradford and Beswick and Clayton are some of the worst deprived in England, scoring particularly poorly on the income, employment, and health indices. Map 3.1 highlights the extent of deprivation on the overall IMD. Maps of the individual domains are illustrated in Section 4, 5, and 6 respectively. Date: April 2003 GB Page 14 14 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Map 3.1: Extent of Deprivation in Manchester, 2000 Date: April 2003 Page 15 15 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? In 1995, there were 12,000 employees in employment in East Manchester, of which 85.1% were full-time, and 14.9% were part-time. The dominance of full-time working in East Manchester is indicative of a traditional manufacturing economy. There were 705 businesses in 1995 according to the Annual Business Inquiry. The employment mix of East Manchester is illustrated in Figure 3.3. Figure 3.3: Employees in Employment by Sector, 1995 Public administration, education and health 22% Other Services 2% Manufacturing 37% Banking, finance, & insurance 4% Transport and communications 9% Distribution, hotels and restaurants 22% Construction 4% Source: AES/ABICrown Copyright The dependence on the manufacturing industry is particularly apparent, accounting for 37% of total employment, which compared with 17.6% nationally. Only 1.3% of the firms in East Manchester employed more than 200 people, however, this 1.3% accounted for 26.4% of overall employment, illustrating the importance of large employers to the economy. Levels of entrepreneurship for Manchester as a whole were above average, as outlined in Table 3.1. However the City Centre will have had a significant impact upon these figures, and consultation findings suggest that entrepreneurial behaviour in East Manchester was low. . Table 3.1 Indicators of Entrepreneurship, 1995 Manchester North West Stocks at start of year 9,995 159,875 VAT registrations 1,285 15,915 VAT de-registrations 1,215 18,445 Churn +70 -2,530 Registrations as a % of stock 12.6 9.6 Registrations per 10,000 population 29.8 23.1 Source: Inter-departmental Business Register Date: April 2003 GB 1,556,960 160,360 170,095 -9,735 10.3 28.1 Page 16 16 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Unemployment in East Manchester has traditionally been significantly above the Manchester average. The area also had below average economic activity, with only 58% of the population economically active compared to 67.2% in England as a whole. Figure 3.4: Rate of Unemployment, 1996 Figure 3.5: Economic Activity and Inactivity, 1991 100% 25 Dec-96 20 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 15 40% 30% 10 20% 10% 0% 5 0 % Economically inactive % Economically Active Source: NomisCrown Copyright Source: 1991 CensusCrown Copyright East Manchester was characterised by above average youth unemployment, at 32.1% of all claimants in 1996, compared to 25.5% in GB. It also had average long-term unemployment, at 43.3% compared to 36.3% in GB. Benefit dependency was high with 27.5% of the 16+ population claiming Income Support, and 15.7% claiming Incapacity Benefit in 1998. Car ownership was low in 1991, with 67.5% of households not owning a car, compared with 56.6% in Manchester as a whole. Household Income was also low, with only 17% of households receiving over £200 per week (excluding housing benefit) in 1999, according to the NDC Residents Perceptions Survey. This survey also recorded 49% of households reporting financial difficulties, and 35% of households not having access to a bank account. Many primary and secondary schools in East Manchester were under-achieving in 1999 relative to the Manchester and national average. Truancy was an issue, particularly in secondary schools, with an attendance rate of 79% in East Manchester compared to 93.8% in England according to NDC figures for 1999. A below average proportion of Year 11 school leavers went into further and higher education relative to the Manchester average, and 11.6% became unemployed. Date: April 2003 Page 17 17 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Basic skill deficiencies were particularly significant in the wards of East Manchester, with numeracy deficiencies very high - 30.1% of the working age population held low numeracy skills in Bradford, and 29.9% in Beswick and Clayton. The 1999 Skills Audit revealed that only 6% of respondents held qualifications above NVQ level 3. Housing in East Manchester was predominantly local authority/housing association owned in 1991, accounting for 56.7% of all households, compared with 24.3% in GB. Private renting was also above average at 11.3%. House prices in the area were low, and a significant part of the private housing stock was suffering from negative equity. In October-December 1998, the average house price in the area was £18,810, compared to £54,075 in Manchester as a whole. The majority of the housing in the area falls into Council Tax Band A (96.6%). Housing void rates were 16% in 1999, and there was a high turnover of 23.5% in social housing. According to the 1999 Resident Perception Survey, 76% of residents had plans to move outside the area, and of this figure, 29% attributed their reasons for moving as wanting a better neighbourhood. Poor health was also evident in East Manchester, with a Standard Mortality Rate of 147 in 1999, compared to 100 in the UK. Low birth weight babies accounted for 10.9% of all babies born in 1997, compared to 7.8% in the UK. Teenage pregnancy rates were high, at 114.7 per 1,000 girls aged 15-17 compared to 45.9 in the UK. Long-term illness in households stood at 18.8% in 1991, compared to 12.7% in GB. There were 188 registered drug users recorded in East Manchester in 1999. Crime in the area was high, with 81.3 recorded burglaries per 1,000 households in 1999, compared to 72.6 in Manchester as a whole. The Residents’ Perception Survey found that 63% of residents felt unsafe walking in the area after dark, and 53% felt the area was less safe than two years before. Overall, only 46% of residents were satisfied with their neighbourhood in 1999 according to the Residents Perception Survey. 52% felt that the neighbourhood was getting worse. Only 18% felt satisfied with their accessibility to sports and leisure facilities. Date: April 2003 Page 18 18 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Thus, to summarise: the pre-Games position in East Manchester highlights how the area suffered from a number of deep-seated and inter-linked problems: population decline; an increasing dependent population; a dependence on traditional industry; high unemployment and social exclusion; high crime rates and fear of crime; poor health; poor environment and a high proportion of social housing; and high levels of resident dissatisfaction with the area. This set the context for the need for regenerative action in East Manchester. 3.2 THE POLICY CONTEXT The Social Exclusion Unit’s (SEU) National Strategy Action Plan for A New Commitment to Neighbourhood Renewal describes how “many neighbourhoods have been stuck in a spiral of decline. Areas with high crime and unemployment rates acquired poor reputations, so people, shops and employers left. As people moved out, high turnover and empty homes created more opportunities for crime, vandalism and drug-dealing” (2001, p.7). The Action Plan recognises that government policies have sometimes been part of the problem, with departments working at cross-purposes on problems that required a joined-up response. Too much reliance was put on short-term regeneration initiatives in a handful of areas. Furthermore, “Government failed to harness the knowledge and energy of local people, or empower them to develop their own solutions” (p.7). The Urban White Paper published in 2000 stated “previous governments failed to stem urban decline because they only addressed part of the problem, and ignored the underlying causes. Often, they forgot that urban policies are not just about bricks and mortar, but about improving the prosperity and quality of life for the people who live there” (John Prescott, Deputy Prime Minister, November 2000). The White Paper highlighted the need for holistic regeneration. Indeed the recent report by ODPM on ‘Sustainable Communities: Building for the Future’ describes the key to lasting, sustainable solutions in regeneration as “creating communities that can stand on their own feet and adapt to the changing demands of modern life. Places where people want to live and will continue to want to live” (2003). Initiatives such as New Deal for Communities, Neighbourhood Management, and Neighbourhood Renewal are a response to this type of thinking. Date: April 2003 Page 19 19 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? The Social Exclusion Unit (SEU) was established in 1997. The work of the SEU forms part of the Government’s strategic approach to tackling social exclusion. The SEU has published 18 Policy Action Team reports since its inception in 1997, and has influenced policy developments such as the Neighbourhood Renewal Fund. The remit of Policy Action Team 10 is to identify best practice in using arts, sports and leisure to engage people in poor neighbourhoods, particularly those who may feel most excluded; and to maximise the impact on poor neighbourhoods of government spending and policies on arts, sports and leisure. The report shows that “art and sport can not only make a valuable contribution to delivering key outcomes of lower long-term unemployment, less crime, better health and better qualifications, but can also help develop the individual pride, community spirit, and capacity for responsibility that enable communities to run regeneration programmes themselves” (Secretary of State for DCMS). “Arts and sport can tackle not only the symptoms of social exclusion, but also its causes” (p.28) through a number of mechanisms. These include the economic benefits they bring through increased employment opportunities, their ability to engage and strengthen local communities, and the emphasis they place on people, not buildings or places. Sport England’s ‘Investing in our Sporting Future’ strategy recognises the link between regeneration and sport, identifying sport as a catalyst for regeneration through its ability to provide a common identity and make people feel part of a community, and the ability of major sporting projects to promote development by providing a lasting contribution to a high quality of life for current and future generations. Initiatives such as the Sport Action Zones (SAZ) are an opportunity for Sport England to build on its relationship with the social exclusion and regeneration agendas. The North West Development Agency’s (NWDA) Regional Economic Strategy Review continues to recognise East Manchester as a regional urban priority area. The NWDA Business Plan sets out a number of targets for these areas, including the need to achieve stabilisation or net increase in population, to reduce the disparity in house/land prices relative to regional and national averages, to increase the volume of retail trade, and the value of commercial property rentals. The NWDA recognises the need for a holistic approach to regeneration in its regeneration prospectus: “Sustainable development is a fundamental part of the NWDA’s plans for regeneration and if future projects are to meet with success they must adopt an integrated, holistic, and comprehensive approach with Date: April 2003 Page 20 20 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? extensive local consultation” (p.3). The NWDA identifies New East Manchester as “represent [ing] one of the most significant forces in the North West for bringing about an urban renaissance” (p.16). The NWDA Regeneration Prospectus highlights how “the Commonwealth Games stadium will be a key contributor to an improved world image of the region as the Games focuses the attention of the world’s media upon the region” (p.28). An overview of local initiatives was given in Section 2. It is apparent that these initiatives saw the Commonwealth Games as a focus for regeneration activity in East Manchester: “Sportcity represents the largest development of its kind in the UK. It is intended that Sportcity will provide the basis for restructuring the economy and the image of East Manchester. Its implementation will secure a fundamental shift away from traditionally heavy industrial/manufacturing base to a new focus on leisure, service sectors and technology” (SAZ Needs Assessment and Action Plan, 2000); “The Zone hopes to ensure that the 2002 Games provides a lasting legacy of success for the children of East Manchester, and will work hard to make sure that local children reap the greatest rewards from one of the greatest international sporting events” (EAZ); “The area will be the focus of international attention up to and during the staging of the 2002 Commonwealth Games…the long-term, sustainable regeneration of the area must be achieved. The timing is critical if the area is to capture the opportunities offered by the Games and the investment in infrastructure”…”NDC will add value to the Commonwealth Games and to Sportcity by providing the focus and funding to maximise the local benefits arising from these major regional projects” (NDC Delivery Plan, 1999); “East Manchester presents an opportunity for regeneration on a scale and diversity almost unprecedented in an English City”. Unique opportunities for the renaissance of East Manchester have been generated by “the stimulus provided by a buoyant economy within Manchester, and the major investment represented by the staging of the 2002 Commonwealth Games in East Manchester, has generated an irresistible impetus for regeneration”….”From a physical perspective, the location of such a magnificent stadium on a large, vacant former industrial site will have a profound impact in creating a new image and providing a focus for much of the intended urban regeneration” (NEM Regeneration Framework, A New Town in the City). Sportcity: “its regenerative effect will extend beyond the core sports facilities…the stadium itself provides a powerful and positive locational image” (NEM Regeneration Framework, A New Town in the City). Date: April 2003 Page 21 21 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? 3.3 SPORT AS A TOOL OF REGENERATION Up until the 1980s hosting major sporting events such as the Olympics were thought of as a financial and administrative burden to the organising city and country, for example, Montreal hosted the 1976 Olympics and suffered a loss of £692m. In general, staging major events often leads to local authorities losing money even though the city benefits greatly in terms of additional spend. The role of the local authority to stage the event and incur losses was accepted as a means to generate benefits to the local economy (Gratton et.al, 2001). However, the 1984 Olympics in Los Angeles indicated it was possible to generate a surplus through staging these events (of £215m in LA). There are a number of ways in which a sporting mega-event is seen to facilitate the regeneration effort in deprived areas. These are summarised below. Re-imaging of an Area A sporting mega-event offers an opportunity to re-image an area. This is often a result sought by industrial cities. Hall, 1997, outlines how industry evokes negative, unfashionable images, and the attempts of industrial cities to develop associations with more positive concepts in order to attract capital and people: “The media coverage devoted to sport, its intrinsic popularity in contemporary culture and its supposed positive connotations have therefore resulted in the adoption of sporting initiatives by industrial cities as a means of image enhancement” (p.128 in Gratton et.al, 2001). Sporting mega-events associate the city with consumption rather than production: “Sporting arenas are perceived to be symbols of success, of urban mechanisms and vibrancy as well as providing multi-functional leisure facilities” (Schimmel, 1993 IN Gratton et.al, 2001). Date: April 2003 Page 22 22 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? A Case Study of Sheffield Sheffield hosted the World Student Games in 1991. In order to stage the event, Sheffield had to provide topclass facilities to host the various events, including Ponds Forge International Sports Centre, the Sheffield Arena, and the Don Valley Stadium. The benefits were seen as the provision of sports and recreational facilities, employment opportunities in the construction and operation of new facilities, and the marketing of Sheffield to attract trade, industry and tourism. The facilities were seen to meet the City Council’s economic and social regeneration strategy through the revitalisation of the Lower Don Valley through the introduction of growth industries, and the provision of facilities to meet the leisure and recreational needs of the community. One determinant of Sheffield’s success in becoming the host city was “the city’s commitment to the provision of world class facilities as part of the general economic regeneration of the city” (p.4 in Short et.al, 1990). Former Mayor of Sheffield, Peter Price, believes sport has transformed Sheffield, from a relatively affluent, fullyemployed steel city in the 1960s, through the massive recession of the 1980s where unemployment reached 20% in some areas, through to the present day. Since 1991 Sheffield has hosted over 300 major sports events, was awarded the first ‘National City of Sport’ designation in 1995, and is the headquarters of the UK Sports Institute. Source: Short et.al, 1990. Source: Grattan, C, 1998. Major sporting events allow the world’s media to descend on the host city: “It is the ultimate opportunity for place marketing” (Morphet, 1996, p.312). Morphet goes on to describe how “local identity is reinforced by world recognition. World events provide localities with a period of power – a window through which all the prizes must be snatched”. Thus major sporting events provide a mechanism for ‘place-marketing’, whereby the event strives to sell the image of a place to make it more attractive to potential investors, tourists, and inhabitants, indeed it is seen as a vehicle for city image enhancement. Rich, 1984 describes sporting mega-events as “major one-time events or recurring events of a limited duration, developed primarily to enhance the awareness, appeal and profitability of the host location” (p.129, in Gratton et.al, 2001). Morphet, 1996, describes how “world events change cities. They join the super-league and never leave it….they are the ultimate place ‘success’ stories…if a city can succeed in this race it has made its space” (p.313). Sport can modernise an area’s image and provide a stimulus for regeneration. Attracting Visitors and Further Sporting Events Sporting mega-events are attractive economically because of the number and type of ‘sport tourists’ they attract, these tend to be the more affluent, more likely to stay overnight, and have a greater disposable income (Gratton et.al, 2001). Furthermore, “the favourable publicity which can follow from a successful event may increase the attractiveness of a city, raise its profile overseas, and enable it to attract an increasing number of tourists” (p.38 in Date: April 2003 Page 23 23 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Gratton et.al, 2001). In addition, once the initial investment in sporting infrastructure has taken place, the host city can then attract other sports events. A Case Study of Barcelona Barcelona is a densely populated city of 1.9 million inhabitants. Barcelona was chosen to host the 1992 Olympics: “Barcelona chose to pursue the Olympics not as an end but as a means to a more competitive and global city”, “Infrastructure improvements, investment in mass transportation, the reclamation of waterfront property for public beaches and the construction of a retail centre in the middle of the old industrial port are all examples of how Barcelona used the Olympics to give itself competitive advantage” (Ortiz, 1998). Barcelona’s motivations to host the Olympics were mainly economic and social. The city had been in deep economic crisis in the 1980s, with mass industrial closures and high unemployment. The Olympics were seen as having the ability to regenerate deprived districts and to massively extend public spaces and facilities. The Olympic village was previously a largely redundant, heavy industrial site. The Olympic Village had four main themes: the revitalisation of the Port; the creation of the ring road; the creation of park land; and the redevelopment of the industrial area to build 2,000 homes. Barcelona is seen as the “model of how a sporting event can play a pivotal role in urban renewal and regeneration” – some 128,000 jobs were created in the city, and the games were widely seen to have been the catalyst for development and renewal well beyond that required by the games themselves (Wright, 2001). Barcelona has become one of Europe’s most popular city destinations, it is now one of five most visited cities in Western Europe, and has doubled its number visitors. There is now a year-round turnover of visitors wanting to take in Barcelona’s culture, museums, architecture, restaurants and atmosphere. “The transformation from a city with, in 1980, great services and infrastructure deficits, in the midst of a deep economic crisis, to the restructured, dynamic and outward-looking metropolis of the mid-1990s, is seen as testimony that some cities can indeed exercise an influence over their destiny” (Marshall, 1996, p.147). Pride and Identity Investment in sport is seen to contribute to the more qualitative benefits of enhanced pride and identity. Some commonly claimed community benefits of participation in sport and leisure include: enhanced confidence and self-esteem, empowered disadvantaged groups, improved community capacity, increased social integration and co-operation, and increased pride in the community (Long & Sanderson in Gratton et.al, 2001, p.189). Coalter et.al, 2000, describes how sports facilities can make an important contribution to the physical infrastructure of communities, providing a social focus and affecting people’s perception of their neighbourhood. Hooper, 1998, describes how the building of a multi-purpose sports centre in a Priority Partnership Area in Glasgow enhanced the physical appearance of the area, raised the confidence of the local community and provided employment and training benefits. Overall the facility was seen to “play an important role in changing perceptions of the area, encouraging people to live in the area as well as acting as a catalyst for further investment contributing to the overall regenerative process” (p.225 in Coalter et.al, 2000). Date: April 2003 Page 24 24 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? 3.4 CONCLUDING COMMENTS Coalter et.al’s research concluded that there is a general absence of systematic empirical evidence relating to the impact of large scale sports-related developments, although they conclude that the strength of theoretical arguments, with a range of indicative and associative information and anecdotal evidence, have led most commentators to agree that sports activities have a positive role to play as ingredients in wider ranging initiatives to address holistic urban regeneration (p.93, 2000). Manchester saw the Games as a mechanism for bringing jobs and investment to the city, as well as creating world class sporting facilities. “Manchester’s determination to be seen as a modern, vibrant city; a centre for youth culture; and a centre for sporting success is part and parcel of why it is hosting the Commonwealth Games” (Brown & Massey, 2001, p.22). “The Games are seen as an opportunity, a catalyst, a focus and foundation for regeneration in East Manchester” (CPC, 2002). This study goes on to discuss the role the Commonwealth Games played in accelerating the regeneration of East Manchester. Date: April 2003 Page 25 25 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Date: April 2003 Page 26 26 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? 4. THE CONTRIBUTION THE COMMONWEALTH GAMES MADE TOWARDS ACCELERATING THE ECONOMIC REGENERATION OF EAST MANCHESTER This section draws on consultation findings, alongside statistical trends, and secondary sources of information such as the CPC Economic Impact Study to explore the extent to which the Games accelerated the economic regeneration of East Manchester. “The strengthening of the economic base of the area is fundamental to its successful regeneration. It will generate employment for residents and create the wealth necessary for sustained improvement. East Manchester has a number of key advantages as a business location, including proximity to the thriving city centre, a relatively low cost base, availability of large flexible sites, available labour supply, improved access to the M60 motorway and the development of the Metrolink system. This coupled with the development of Sportcity, the hosting of the Commonwealth Games and the major regeneration programme offers enormous potential for businesses and investors” (NEM, Regeneration Framework). 4.1 CHANGE IN ECONOMIC CONDITIONS OVER TIME: THE PRE-GAMES VS THE POST-GAMES POSITION This Section compares Section 3 (i.e. the Pre-Games position) with up-to-date statistical information reflecting the Post-Games positon. Since 1995, East Manchester has lost a further 5% of its employment, as indicated by the Annual Business Inquiry. It is apparent that the number of employees in employment has grown in the ward of Bradford by 6.2%, but decreased in Beswick and Clayton by 18.1%. However, the increasing importance of part-time working as a proportion of total employment from 14.9% in 1995 to 23% in 2001 suggests that East Manchester is beginning to diversify its business base into more flexible forms of employment, which are often service-sector activities. Figure 4.1 indicates changes to the employment mix in East Manchester. Date: April 2003 Page 27 27 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Figure 4.1: Employees in Employment by Sector, 1995-2001 40 % of total employment 35 30 1995 25 2001 20 15 10 5 0 Source: AES/ABICrown Copyright The area’s dependence upon manufacturing industry has reduced by 15.5 percentage points. In contrast, it can be seen that construction employment has increased by 3.5 percentage points, and there has been an increase in service sector employment, particularly in distribution, hotels and restaurants (4.9 percentage points), banking, finance and insurance (6.3 percentage points), and public administration, education and health (7.2 percentage points). There has been a slight increase in business stocks in the area, from 705 businesses in 1995 to 709 in 2001. There has also been a growth in the number of businesses employing less than 200 people, and a corresponding increase in the proportion of employees working in firms employing less than 200 people from 73.2% in 1995 to 74.3% in 2001, indicating dependence on large employers is reducing. Date: April 2003 Page 28 28 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? MAP 4.1: EMPLOYMENT DEPRIVATION, 2000 Unemployment in East Manchester has reduced at a rate which is in line with national averages, to 9.8% in December 2002, from 18.1% in December 1996, but it remains well above the Manchester, North West and GB average. Figure 4.2 illustrates this information. Date: April 2003 Page 29 29 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Figure 4.2: Unemployment Rate – 1996-2002 Rate of Unemployment 25 Dec-96 20 Dec-02 15 10 5 0 Bradford Besw ick & Clayton East Manchester Manchester North West GB Source: NomisCrown Copyright Youth unemployment as a proportion of total employment has reduced slightly by 0.8 percentage points, but still remains high above the GB average. Long-term unemployment has improved significantly, from 43.4% of all claimants in 1996, to 19.5% in 2002, bringing East Manchester in line with the Manchester average. Benefit dependency slightly reduced over the 1998 and 1999 period, although more recent information was not available. Figure 4.3: Benefit Dependency – 1998-1999 30 % Income Support % Disability Allow ance % of 16+ Population 25 % Incapacity Benefit 20 15 10 5 0 1998 1999 Bradford 1998 1999 Besw ick & Clayton 1998 1999 East Manchester 1998 1999 Manchester Source: www.statistics.gov.uk Date: April 2003 Page 30 30 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? The proportion of households earning more than £200 per week has increased from 17% in 1999 to 34% in 2002 according to the Residents’ Perception Surveys. Gross Weekly earning figures taken from the New Earnings Survey suggest that the average gross weekly wage in East Manchester is £342.35 in 2002, which is 11.5% below the national average. Figure 4.4: Average Net Household Weekly Income excluding Housing Benefit – 19992002 40 35 1999 % of residents 30 2002 25 20 15 10 5 0 Less than £60 £61-99 £100-200 £201-300 £301+ Not responded Source: NDC Resident Perception Survey The proportion of households in financial difficulties in East Manchester has reduced from 49% in 1999 to 26% in 2002 according to the NDC Resident Perception Survey. Date: April 2003 Page 31 31 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? MAP 4.2: INCOME DEPRIVATION, 2000 Date: April 2003 Page 32 32 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? East Manchester has experienced a significant rate of improvement amongst its primary and secondary schools from the 1999 position. The assorted maps below indicate their current position, with the yellow dot indicating if a school falls within the East Manchester EAZ. Map 4.3: Key Stage 2, Level 4 in English, 2002 Map 4.4: Key Stage 2, Level 4 in Maths, 2002 Map 4.5: Key Stage 2, Level 4 in Science, 2002 Map 4.6: % of pupils gaining 5+ A*-C grades, 2002 Date: April 2003 Page 33 33 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? It is apparent that school attendance rates have increased at both primary (by 2.7 percentage points) and secondary (4.4 percentage points) levels. Furthermore, a higher proportion of Year 11 leavers are now progressing into higher and further education (an increase of 17.5 percentage points). Resident satisfaction with the quality of local schools has increased to 76.5%. Thus it can be seen that on general economic indicators East Manchester has experienced improvement from the pre-Games position. 4.2 WHAT EAST MANCHESTER HAS ACHIEVED There have been a number of achievements (both realised and developing) in East Manchester in recent years which have created jobs, brought investment into the area, attracted private sector interest, and which will provide an economic generator for the area in the future. These key economic achievements are summarised below: Central Park Manchester is seen as the key economic generator for the future of East Manchester, providing the centrepiece of a major new employment area. The North West Regional Assembly rates the business park number one out of 25 Regional Investment Sites in the North West. Overall, the site encompasses 160ha. Phase 1 includes the development of 30ha for industrial and commercial uses. Fujitsu Services has already signed up to be a tenant on the park and will take 150,000 square feet of space. Phase 1 is expected to create or safeguard 2,000 new jobs, with a further 10,000 new jobs expected once all phases of the park are completed. Asda Walmart store is a 16,722 sq.m retail supercentre adjacent to Sportcity. 588 permanent positions were created, in addition to 150 cleaning operatives and 100 temporary staff. In total, 95% of the residents are local people (John Reynolds, Asda). Ancoats Urban Village is a mixed use scheme including 2,790 sq.m media office centre, bars, restaurants, and studio workshops. Openshaw Business Centre will be a new business and enterprise centre incorporating more than 16,000 sq.m of commercial floorspace and is expected to create more than 500 jobs over the next 3 years. Further commercial developments around Sportcity are coming forward, including a regional retail centre, and a four star hotel and offices, which will support a total of 3,800 jobs. Date: April 2003 Page 34 34 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? 4.3 THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE GAMES Manchester City Council commissioned Cambridge Policy Consultants to analyse the economic impacts of the Games on the City of Manchester. The report was finalised in April 2002, with an updated Executive Summary in October 2002 to provide a re-assessment post-Games of the key economic benefits identified in the final report. The report identifies: 6,300 direct FTE jobs attributable to the Games, of which 2,900 would be additional direct and indirect jobs to Manchester. Of this figure, CPC estimate that 2,050 jobs will have been created before the Games, 250 during the Games, and a further 4,000 arising from developments 3-5 years post-Games. The greatest impact of employment creation will be felt in East Manchester. Of the 2,900 additional jobs in Manchester, 2,000 are expected to occur in East Manchester. Public investment in the Games and the associated regeneration infrastructure and activity of £670m (at 2002 prices) of which some £570m was in or will be (in the future) in East Manchester. Tourism spend from Games participants and visitors estimated at £29m for Manchester. Attraction of 300,000 new visitors per annum, spending some £18m. An additional £35m of inward investment (£11m value added) attributable to the raised profile of the City over the next 2-3 years. 4.4 WHAT ACHIEVEMENTS CAN BE ATTRIBUTED TO THE GAMES? The extent to which the economic achievements in East Manchester can be attributed to the Games is uncertain. It is difficult to separate what has been achieved by the Games, and what would have occurred anyway through the regeneration process in the area. The CPC report puts forward a clear view of what they feel is attributable to the Games in East Manchester. This sub-section goes on to explore other views emerging from this research. The statistical analysis at the beginning of this section indicates a more diverse business base, an increase in flexible working opportunities, growth in the service sector, a lowering of unemployment, and an increase in educational attainment post-Games. It is very difficult to attribute the extent to which the Games has played a role in improving economic conditions in the area. Some assumptions, however, can be made: Date: April 2003 Page 35 35 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? The increase in construction employment can be partly associated with the construction of Sportcity, in addition to the other developments which are occurring in the area through the wider regeneration activity; The growth in service sector and part-time employment is in line with national trends, and can also be linked with retail developments, namely Asda, which was attracted by the regeneration of the area and the scale of opportunity. Unemployment in the area has fallen in line with national trends. This has been facilitated by stable economic conditions, and new initiatives for the unemployed to help them back into work, such as the New Deal. East Manchester experienced a slight decrease in unemployment over the period of the Games, from 948 claimants in January 2002, to 908 in July 2002. The number of claimants rose again to 941 in December 2002. Therefore the direct impact that the Games had on the unemployment rate, if any, was minimal and temporary. However, the indirect impacts may have played a role. Improvements in educational attainment and attendance can be attributed to initiatives such as the East Manchester Education Action Zone and pro-active education institutions. Steve Edwards, the Director of the EAZ believes that whilst the Games has not impacted on improved attainment or attendance, it has combined with the EAZ to make a difference. In particular, the Games helped improve motivation, aspiration, pride and confidence. As indicated earlier, the Games were used by the regeneration initiatives in the area as a focus for their activity: “The Games are seen as an opportunity, a catalyst, focus and foundation for regeneration in East Manchester” (www.manchester.gov.uk/news). The majority of key public agency stakeholders consulted for the purposes of this study agreed on the role the Games was playing in driving the economic regeneration of the area: “The investment, jobs and visitors that Sportcity is bringing to East Manchester is the major catalyst for new developments, new jobs, new homes, and new opportunities for local people” (Chief Executive, NEM). New East Manchester’s (NEM) primary focus was on the short-term (when it was established in 1999): ensuring linkages between the Games and local people were made, and that the event was fully exploited to ensure a lasting legacy for East Manchester. NEM used the Games to give an impetus to the wider regeneration effort in East Manchester, it was very clear that there was a deadline of the 25th of July 2002 and this “focused the mind and got momentum going” (Chief Executive, NEM). NEM’s Chief Executive felt that the Games enabled agencies to fastrack decisions through normal bureaucratic processes to ensure maximum value was gained through hosting the Games. He felt that the Games gave ”clarity of vision” to the regeneration process. Date: April 2003 Page 36 36 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? The consultations explored what achievements could be attributed to the Games and what would have happened anyway, for example: Central Park Manchester: this initiative is a huge challenge for East Manchester, an area which is not perceived as a business district. Fujitsu Services is the anchor tenant for this development. NEM believe that Fujitsu would have gone elsewhere if they had not been convinced that the area is going to radically transform, as illustrated by the positive signs of progress indicated by hosting the Games. Asda Walmart saw the regeneration of the area as providing the opportunity to come to East Manchester and they saw the regeneration programme as being underpinned by the area’s hosting of the Games. Asda recognised there was an opportunity to further serve the Greater Manchester conurbation. Furthermore, the size of the site available and the amenable planning permission conditions made the site adjacent to Sportcity very attractive (Head Office representative, Asda). Thus Asda were ultimately attracted by the regeneration of the area and the scale of opportunity. Indeed, the Leader of Manchester City Council, outlined how sites on offer in East Manchester for supermarket development were declined in the past, but “with the Games there was a bidding war!” The Asda development has enabled local people to capture the benefits of regeneration through job opportunities and access to services. Asda saw itself as one of the key drivers of investor inclination in the area: “when you see major household names being prepared to make substantial investments in an area that might be perceived as rundown, it is a boost to outside perceptions” (p.19, Williams, H in Willis, B, 2001). There have been numerous innovative initiatives to ensure local people capture benefits emerging from the Games and the wider regeneration effort. This includes the use of a Labour Market Intermediary service called ‘Step Ahead’ which was used by Asda for their recruitment, enabling local people to access jobs. Other initiatives include the North West SRB programme which carried out a region-wide Pre-Games Volunteer Programme ‘PVP’. This enabled residents living in disadvantaged areas of the region to have the opportunity to volunteer for the Games, through equipping them with the required skills. The experience and skills gained enabled individuals to add to their curriculum vitae, and assist in their employability. A total of 6,350 individuals participated in the scheme (Meridien Pure, 2002). 4.5 CONCLUDING COMMENTS From an economic regeneration perspective, all of the consultees (including key stakeholders and private sector representatives) were in firm agreement that the Games had accelerated the regeneration of East Manchester. There are a number of factors which have impacted upon the progress of the economic regeneration to date, and are identified in NEM’s Regeneration Framework: Date: April 2003 Page 37 37 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? The scale of regeneration activity, incorporating initiatives such as NEM, NDC, SRB, SAZ, and EAZ which is enabling holistic regeneration to occur; The stimulus provided by a buoyant economy within Manchester, with vigorous commercial, retail and housing markets, creating many new employment and investment opportunities: “This momentum has the potential to spread further east and re-position the new and revitalised residential communities across East Manchester” (NEM Regeneration Framework: A New Town in the City); The completion of the M60 ring road, providing access into East Manchester; The construction of the Ashton Metrolink; and The Commonwealth Games. It is apparent from this list that the Games is just one ingredient in the overall regeneration framework. Nevertheless, it has been identified as key to “creating a new image and providing a focus for much of the intended regeneration” (NEM Regeneration Framework). Indeed, the Head of Regeneration at the NWDA described how the Games helped develop “enough developer interest to emerge that you could see a masterplan exercise would work”. The Sportcity development was seen as an “icon for attracting other business and activity” (Senior Development Manager, Sport England). Many of the consultees are in agreement that a significant proportion of the regeneration would have occurred anyway but it would have taken much longer to happen, and much longer to get private sector interest in the area (Chair, EMP). Sportcity is a “Unique Selling Point” for East Manchester, the private sector are now “knocking on the door to buy in to an emerging success story” (Chief Executive, NEM). Date: April 2003 Page 38 38 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? 5. THE CONTRIBUTION THE COMMONWEALTH GAMES MADE TOWARDS ACCELERATING THE PHYSICAL REGENERATION OF EAST MANCHESTER This sub-section considers the physical regeneration achieved in East Manchester, and considers the role the Games played in these achievements. 5.1 CHANGE IN THE PHYSICAL CONDITIONS OVER TIME: THE PRE-GAMES VS THE POST-GAMES POSITION Statistical information on the physical characteristics of East Manchester is more limited. Availability of published sources of information on the environment, in particular, at a ward level tends to be low, and largely dependent upon local agencies collecting this information. Unfortunately, because of the need for a short-term focus on the Games when many of the initiatives in East Manchester came into being, data collection procedures are only now being established. This section considers change in the environment, transport and access, and housing. The North West was estimated to contain 25% of England’s derelict, under-used and contaminated land in 1993 (NWDA Regeneration Prospectus). The historic context outlined in Section 2 identified that by the mid 1980s, there was over 250 hectares of vacant industrial land created in East Manchester by industrial closures (Tye et.al, 1994). Regeneration effort over the last two decades has made significant inroads into bringing this brownfield land back into use. Indeed, the Eastlands site on which Sportcity was built accounts for 40 hectares of land reclaimed, and Central Park Manchester accounts for a further 160 hectares, of which Phase 1 accounts for 32ha. The 1999 and 2002 resident perception survey findings reported change over time: In 1999, 28% of residents were satisfied with provision of parks and green spaces; this had increased to 75% satisfaction by 2002; In 1999, 19% of residents reported vandalism to their property had occurred in the last two years; by 2002 this figure had reduced to 13%; Residents’ satisfaction with access to supermarkets has increased from 75% to 89% over the 1999-2002 period; Date: April 2003 Page 39 39 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? In 1999 only 17% of residents felt the neighbourhood was getting better; by 2002 this figure was 52%. In contrast 52% of residents felt the neighbourhood was getting worse in 1999 which fell to 30% by 2002; In 1999, 75% of residents reported satisfaction with their home; this had increased to 82% by 2002; and 53% of residents rated their home in a good condition in 1999; this increased to 75% by 2002. Access deprivation was not seen as significant on the IMD access domain. This was largely because of its proximity to the city centre. Nevertheless, consultations revealed that public transport within the area was poor, and prior to the completion of the M60 Orbital route and the Metrolink proposals, East Manchester was perceived as lacking modern infrastructure that would prove attractive to inward investors. East Manchester suffers from a failing housing market, in particular, the demand for traditional pre-1919 terraced homes has collapsed and this has resulted in significant drops in value, increasing problems of abandonment, high levels of negative equity for owneroccupiers and high levels of exclusion of residents and communities who are suffering from the effects of market failure (Manchester Community Strategy, 2002-2012). In 1998, the average house price in East Manchester was £18,810 (Land Registry). A high proportion of residents (76%) had plans to move out of the area in 1999 (NDC Resident Perceptions Survey). House prices in the area have improved remarkably between the pre-Games and postGames position, overall accounting for a 37.6% improvement. This rate of improvement compares with 56.6% in Manchester as a whole, and 49.4% in the North West region. Figure 5.1 illustrates improvement over time in East Manchester. Date: April 2003 Page 40 40 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Figure 5.1: Average House Prices in East Manchester: 1998-2002 60,000 Oct-Dec 1998 Oct-Dec 2002 50,000 40,000 £ 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Semi-detached Terraced Overall Source: Land Registry The Index of Multiple Deprivation housing indices illustrate deprivation in East Manchester. MAP 5.1: HOUSING DEPRIVATION, 2000 Date: April 2003 Page 41 41 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Housing void rates have decreased over time, from 16% in 1999 to 12.2% in 2002 according to NDC figures. Furthermore, the proportion of social housing stock which is in demand has risen from 6.5% in 1999 to 21% in 2002 (NDC). These indicators reveal that housing demand is increasing within East Manchester. 5.2 WHAT EAST MANCHESTER HAS ACHIEVED A number of initiatives to reclaim brownfield land in the area for economic, leisure, or recreational purposes are underway. The Sportcity development was a key initiative, reclaiming 40ha of industrial land for mixed uses, including leisure and recreation (in terms of sport), housing (providing 200 units of new housing), and employment (Asda and other retail developments). A further major initiative is the Central Park Manchester initiative, which covers 160ha, of which 32ha has now been reclaimed as Phase 1 of the project. The NWDA describes how “in place of the area’s tracts of derelict land and buildings caused by major decline in its traditional industries of heavy engineering and manufacturing, new industries will be attracted onto reclaimed and well-landscaped sites, increasing the area’s attractiveness to further private sector investment” and how the Park will “spearhead a fully integrated approach to economic, social and environmental regeneration” (Regeneration Prospectus, p.10). A further large-scale regeneration scheme has been the Ashton Canal Corridor, which provides a strategic link between Manchester City Centre and East Manchester. It is a major arterial route and is visible to many outside the area, however, prior to regeneration activity “the large scale dereliction and decay paints a very poor impression and this merely exacerbates the negative image of East Manchester” (p.9, Ashton Canal Corridor Action Plan and Implementation Strategy, 2000). Total investment required from the public sector for this initiative was approximately £34,735m. The aim of the initiative was to regenerate despoiled open land to form an unbroken ‘green’ corridor, to create a safe and attractive corridor for pedestrians and cyclists, to create up to 1,000 new homes, and to create up to 1,400 new employment opportunities in leisure and manufacturing. There have also been a wide range of environmental improvement programmes, such as the Community Environmental Programme that is managed by Groundwork Manchester and which has developed projects in partnership with local residents. The ‘Positive Open Space Community Project’ is delivering environmental schemes such as small environmental Date: April 2003 Page 42 42 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? improvements to upgrade vacant and derelict sites and community safety projects. By March 2002 over 20 projects had been completed over the previous 12 months. NEM intends to double the area’s population to 60,000 through housing, business and transport improvements over its lifetime. The programme will lead to the development of 12,500 new homes, and to the improvement of 7,000 existing homes. These ambitions emerge from the recognition that East Manchester needs to offer varied choice in housing to meet the needs of all occupational groups and to attract inward investors. Brauner, 2002, outlined how East Manchester has succeeded in attracting private sector developers to areas of inner-city deprivation, with Gleeson and Lovell planning a joint scheme in Beswick, Urban Splash working with English Partnerships on a Millennium Communities project on the Cardroom Council estate, and Countryside Properties developing next to the Stadium. These three schemes account for 1,500 of the 12,500 new homes planned in the area. Furthermore, the transfer of just under 3,000 council homes to a new social housing company, Eastlands Homes, was announced in December 2002. In total 76% of tenants voted in the ballot and 90% were in favour of the transfer. This is expected to lead to major investment, over £60m in the first five years alone, with improvements such as increased security, new windows, bathrooms and kitchens, plus environmental improvements and strengthened services. Following the launch of the Regeneration Framework for East Manchester, the area was divided into 15 distinct neighbourhoods to facilitate the neighbourhood planning process. This has begun, and work is underway in a number of areas, e.g. Beswick where proposals are being developed to build new housing with some reprovision for existing council tenants. Also in Ashton New Road, where residents in the Eccleshall Street area have already stated their preferred option is to demolish and rebuild the area (Beacons for A Brighter Future Annual Report, 2001-2002). The severe disadvantage of an inadequate road system was seen by regeneration agencies in the area as one of the factors behind East Manchester’s inability to attract large-scale investment projects in the past. The M60 orbital motorway was completed in 2000, enabling East Manchester to access the regional and national motorway network so repositioning the area as a modern and accessible location for business. Alan Turing Way, an inner road making east and west movement more direct and less time-consuming has also been constructed, and this road cuts through the centre of the Eastlands site, now known as Date: April 2003 Page 43 43 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Sportcity. In addition, the Ashton Metrolink will come through East Manchester and aims to be completed by 2005. The Metrolink will act as a regeneration tool, facilitating land assembly and targeting investment: “It will greatly contribute to redefining the potential of East Manchester as an accessible and desirable address within the city, and to repositioning it as a centre for investment and growth” (NEM Regeneration Framework). 5.3 WHAT ACHIEVEMENTS CAN BE ATTRIBUTED TO THE GAMES The consultations revealed that there was a general satisfaction with the physical regeneration delivered to date. It was felt by regeneration agencies that the Commonwealth Games provided one of the most significant opportunities to inform the rest of the world about the developments taking place in East Manchester and to provide a positive image of the area. New East Manchester, in conjunction with partners, used the opportunity to promote the work being carried out in East Manchester through highly visible signage incorporating the regeneration agencies’ logos. “From a physical perspective, the location of such a magnificent stadium on a large, vacant former industrial site will have a profound impact in creating a new image” (NEM Regeneration Framework). To what extent, however, can the physical regeneration be attributed to the Games? There were mixed views from consultees about whether the different types of investment would or would not have happened. These are considered below. The Leader of Manchester City Council saw the role of the Games as key: “The Commonwealth Games is driving Manchester from strength to strength. As the City of Manchester stadium has grown, so has our attraction to investors. We are now selling land in East Manchester that previously we could not give away” (www.manchester.gov.uk/news). During the consultation, the Leader of MCC offered Central Park Manchester as an example of what has been achieved. The initiative was conceived before Manchester knew it was to host the Games, but he is unsure of whether the current level of developer interest would have been achieved in the absence of the Games. He believes developer interest would probably have come along later with the Metrolink. He also highlighted how hosting the Games meant a huge proportion of derelict land in East Manchester had a use created for it in the form of Sportcity. Date: April 2003 Page 44 44 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? The Leader of MCC highlighted the M60 Orbital motorway completion as another example of an initiative that would have happened anyway, however its ability to draw in inward investment on its own would have been questionable, given that East Manchester is located two miles from the motorway junction - there would have “to be other selling points for East Manchester to secure the benefits” of this investment (MCC). This raises the question of how successful each of these investments would have been in isolation from each other, for example, it is unlikely that investor interest would have been captured to the same extent on the back of the M60 if it hadn’t been for the Games which captured developer interest and illustrated how “a decimated area could be revived” (Head of Regeneration, NWDA). The work of Cambridge Policy Consultants on the Economic Impact of the Games estimated that the Games have brought forward a number of major transport schemes (with a total cost of approximately £800m), and CPC estimate the additional public investment in transport infrastructure to be £125m. There was agreement amongst the consultees that the regeneration of Ashton Canal would have happened but at a slower pace, and is unlikely to have happened at all by now (2003) in the absence of the Games. NEM’s Chief Executive felt the regeneration would not have been as comprehensive, and would have been achieved in a much more incremental way. The Canal Corridor is seen as a critical component to the success of the Regeneration Framework, and “will be a key contributor to an improved world image of the region as the Games focuses the attention of the World’s media upon the Region” (p.28, NWDA Regeneration Prospectus). By the time of the Games, there had been canal related improvements, creation of pedestrian and cycle routes, footpath improvements, tree planting and provision of new lighting and street furniture, and land reclamation and landscaping works: “expenditure has been geared thus far towards maximising impact in advance of the Commonwealth Games” (p.15, NEM Implementation Plan). The NWDA describes how “the quality of new buildings defines the built environment….and helps to promote such areas as attractive places to live, work and visit. The new stadium and velodrome in East Manchester…will have the same ‘magnet’ effect. The quality of place is increasingly recognised as an important factor in deciding the economic health of an area” (p.30, NWDA Regeneration Prospectus). The Housing Officer for NEM believes that the Games shifted perceptions in the market and “brought about a real change in developer Date: April 2003 Page 45 45 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? confidence”. NEM have held three developer competitions to date for the new housing development sites and all have had very positive responses. The extent to which developer interest would have happened anyway as the wider regeneration activity in the area occurred is a matter for debate. Bill Stevenson, Chairman of Bellway Urban Partnership argues that developers need reassurance that wholesale transformation of an area is in the pipeline: “you have to change perceptions of the area and that involves change on a substantial scale” (in Brauner, 2002). Clearly the Games has played a significant role in changing perceptions of the area. Duncan Innes from EP described how the Games put East Manchester on the developer market radar. However, Tom Russell also describes the advantage of having large sites available in the area: “housebuilders have told us that they could create a market for housing for sale in East Manchester provided that they can build a sufficiently large development” (in Blackman, 2001). A significant amount of environmental improvements were carried out in the area which were explicitly targeted at improving the image of the area for the purposes of the Games, this included heavy street cleaning, dressing of the area i.e. banners, street furniture, flowering etc, and cleaning up vandalism. The consultations held with the community highlighted how the improved street environment contributed to feelings of pride amongst the community. East Manchester won the urban ‘Britain in Bloom’ award as an outcome of this investment. However, the community consultations did identify that this investment was not maintained after the Games, and this encouraged feelings of double-negativity. Clearly, the sheer cost of sustaining this high level of cleanliness was unsustainable in the long-term, however the consultation with the Leader of MCC revealed that next year’s budget has been changed to take account of the need for heavy street cleaning. 5.4 CONCLUDING COMMENT All of the physical initiatives outlined in this chapter were developed in advance of the knowledge that Manchester was going to host the Games, or through the wider regeneration framework. The main exception to this being the manner in which Eastlands was developed as a mixed use development including leisure and recreation facilities which are unlikely to have occurred on this site without the Games. However, the key messages from the research suggest that the way each of these physical initiatives were brought forward were Date: April 2003 Page 46 46 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? influenced by the Games presence, and there was strong agreement that gaining private sector interest in the area would have not been as successful in the absence of the Games. It was felt by consultees that a number of the physical improvement programmes, namely the Ashton Canal Corridor, were accelerated: the “Games gave a real impetus to bringing [this] forward” (Leader of MCC). There was agreement that these initiatives would have happened anyway, but in all likelihood this would have been three to four years later. Whether these initiatives would have achieved as much, so quickly, without the Games, is a matter of considerable debate. In particular, it is questionable whether the level of developer interest would have been achieved. The Leader of MCC pointed out how he believes “regeneration has to have iconic statements” which he feels the Commonwealth Games enabled East Manchester to offer. Date: April 2003 Page 47 47 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Date: April 2003 Page 48 48 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? 6. THE CONTRIBUTION THE COMMONWEALTH GAMES MADE TOWARDS ACCELERATING THE SOCIAL REGENERATION OF EAST MANCHESTER This section considers the progress of the social regeneration of East Manchester and the role the Games has played in facilitating social change. Measuring social change is very difficult, and as such there is a lack of quantified information, and assessment of progress is largely dependent upon anecdotal evidence. Coalter et.al’s study on the role of sport in regenerating deprived urban areas in Scotland concluded that there is little research on the regenerative potential of investment in sport, or the long-term benefits to local communities of sports-led investment strategies. This section examines indicators of social change which impact upon daily lives, including health, crime, community cohesion and identity, satisfaction with neighbourhood, and community capacity. Other areas that impact upon quality of life such as employment and education have been discussed in previous sections. 6.1 CHANGES IN SOCIAL CONDITIONS OVER TIME: THE PRE-GAMES AND POST-GAMES POSITION The evidence shows that the area is still continuing to de-populate, accounting for a decrease of 4.7% over the 1991 to 1998 period. However, a more recent picture will soon be available with the release of the 2001 Census data at a ward level in April. This will offer a more reliable picture of population change in the area and enable the regeneration agencies to see whether the population decline is slowing, and whether they are beginning to move towards their ambition of increasing the population in the area. This is a longerterm plan that should occur as new housing is developed and employment opportunities emerge. The pre-Games position indicates high levels of poor health in the area. This is illustrated by Map 6.1, which outlines East Manchester’s position on the IMD health domain. Date: April 2003 Page 49 49 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? MAP 6.1: HEALTH DEPRIVATION, 2000 Health statistics such as the Standard Mortality Rate (SMR) reveals that East Manchester’s position has deteriorated further since 1999, with an increase in the SMR from 147 in 1999, to 221 in 2002 relative to 100 in GB. However, on such a small geographical area this information can be unreliable, and SMR’s only relate to death rates. Furthermore, healthy living takes time to impact on SMR’s. The proportion of low birth weight babies has fallen from 10.9% to 10.3% in 2002, compared to 7.6% in GB. The teenage conception rate has also experienced a slight decrease from 114.7 conceptions per 1,000 girls aged 15-17 to 113.9 in 2002, which is significantly above the UK average of 7.6. The number of registered drug users has fallen from 188 in 1999 to 156 in 2002. Date: April 2003 Page 50 50 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Superintendent Thomson described the importance of crime reduction in regenerating deprived areas. He described a situation whereby unemployment led to an unsustainable community in East Manchester, this encouraged de-population, the decline of communities, the rise of criminal activity, and further people leaving the area. The 1999 Resident Perception Survey indicated a fear of crime, and the need for police to tackle this fear, to remove crime as an inhibitor of economic growth, and to raise the quality of service provision. There has been an improvement over time, for example the number of recorded burglary crimes and offences per 1,000 households has decreased from 81.3 to 52.8 in 2002 (NDC) in line with the national trend. Furthermore, the proportion of residents feeling unsafe in the area after dark has reduced from 63% to 55%. Figure 6.2 illustrates the change in the proportion of residents experiencing specific crimes in the last two years, it is apparent there has been a decrease in the proportion of residents experiencing virtually all of these problems, with the exception of assault. % of residents experiencing problems Figure 6.1: % of Residents Experiencing Problems in the Last 2 Years 35 30 25 1999 2002 20 15 10 5 0 Source: NDC Resident Perceptions Survey Beswick, the area where Sportcity is located, has experienced the biggest reduction in crime. Overall, the change in policing to be a more proactive, responsive and visible service which uses the media as a tool to illustrate police tackling crime has helped reduce fear and lower the crime rate. The police used a number of local innovative projects such as ‘Project Excalibur’ and ‘Embrace’ to pilot schemes which proved successful. The use of Neighbourhood Wardens has played a role in making people feel safer. Date: April 2003 Page 51 51 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Life expectations and aspirations is a further area which impacts upon quality of life. In areas which have experienced problems of generational unemployment, such as East Manchester, there can be problems of low aspirations amongst the younger population. Destinations of Year 11 students is an indicator of aspirations. Figure 6.2 indicates change over time of Year 11 destinations upon leaving school. Figure 6.2: Destinations of Year 11 Leavers in East Manchester, 1999-2002 70 % of Year 11 Leavers 60 1999 2002 50 40 30 20 10 0 % into % into further % into other employment education training % unemployed % other Source: NDC taken from 1999 Career Partnership and Better Choices Ltd, 2002 It is apparent that more school leavers are aspiring to continue in education, with an increase from 46.8% to 64.3%, which is in line with the Manchester trend. This can be partly attributed to the decline in employment opportunities for school leavers, as shown by the lower proportion moving into employment. However, it can also be attributed to a recognition of the need for further qualifications to ‘get on’ in life. The ability to access services and community facilities impacts upon quality of life. Figure 6.3 illustrates improvement on a number of these indicators. A significant improvement can be seen on all of these indicators, particularly on provision of sports and leisure facilities, and parks and green spaces. Date: April 2003 Page 52 52 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Figure 6.3: Recreation, Leisure, and Access to Services, Satisfaction with…. Access to supermarket Access to shops Children play facilities Provision of parks/green spaces 2002 1999 Provision of sports and leisure facilities Accessibility to sports leisure facilities Neighbourhood 0 20 40 60 80 100 % of residents satisfied with... Source: NDC Resident Perception Survey In total, 59% of the residents surveyed in 2002 indicated their spirit of community. Involvement in the community has increased substantially since the 1999 position, from 25% feeling closely involved with their community, to 56% in 2002. There has also been a growth in the number of Tenants and Residents Associations (TRA’s) from 21 in 1999 to 44 in 2002, indicating commitment by residents to their neighbourhoods, and illustrating the improved capabilities of regeneration agencies such as New Deal for Communities to use the TRA’s as a method of community engagement in the regeneration process. Consultations also suggested that there are numerous immeasurable benefits which have emerged from the regeneration in recent years, namely the community confidence in the regeneration process, and the increased pride in the community. There is also evidence of the development of interest in volunteering in the area. These are explored in more detail later in the section. Date: April 2003 Page 53 53 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? 6.2 WHAT EAST MANCHESTER HAS ACHIEVED The statistical overview highlights how East Manchester has experienced: Slight health improvements; Helped diminish the fear of crime, and experienced a decrease in the crime rate for particular crimes, i.e. burglary; Increased aspirations amongst the younger population; Improved sense of community cohesion and identity; Increased satisfaction by residents in their access to services and facilities, particularly sports and leisure facilities; Development of significant interest in volunteering; Improved satisfaction with neighbourhood. One of the biggest achievements is the bottom-up approach to regeneration in the area. David Wilson described how “most people feel they have a real say in their future and are being listened to. In other words, they take ownership”. 6.3 WHAT ACHIEVEMENTS CAN BE ATTRIBUTED TO THE GAMES As stated at the outset of this section, measuring social benefits is very difficult, and attributing social benefits to an initiative or event is even more problematic. Nevertheless, this sub-section attempts to consider the role the Games played in these achievements. Clearly the development of Sportcity has played an important role in enabling local people to access leisure and recreational facilities. Sportcity is an elite athlete facility, however, regeneration agencies, along with Manchester City Council and Sport England wanted to ensure that local people could capture the benefits of this sporting infrastructure located in their community. The Velodrome, built in 1994 as a “stalking horse to get the [Olympic] Games” (Senior Development Manager, Sport England) was seen as an example of a facility which was not identified by local people as accessible to them. The use of regeneration initiatives such as the Sport Action Zone has facilitated community access to the new facilities. Date: April 2003 Page 54 54 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? It is unlikely that East Manchester would have got SAZ status if it had not been for the Games – “The SAZ ensured the community could access the facilities situated in their locality” (Senior Development Manager, Sport England). Through Sportcity the community has: 100 days use of the City of Manchester stadium annually; Opportunity to use the National Cycling Centre, National Squash Centre, Tennis Centre, indoor and outdoor athletics track, health and fitness suite and medicine facilities every day of the year; The delivery of sports programmes for all local schools; Access for sports clubs to use Sportcity facilities. Source: Sport England, Investing in our Sporting Future Brown and Massey, 2001, in their research into the Sports Development Impact of the Commonwealth Games identified positive social effects of events as: Increased social interaction; Involvement of all age groups; Involvement of non-regular participants in sports; Community group involvement; Civic pride and identity. Source: McKinnon, 1987 IN Hall, 1992, p.68. Indeed, Sport England highlighted the ability of sport to “reach all levels” in engaging the population in a way that other cultural events such as ballet or opera couldn’t achieve. It provides a common identity, and plays a crucial part in regeneration at a more personal level (Sport England, Investing in our Sporting Future). Despite the benefits which having Sportcity has brought to East Manchester, there was a minority of consultees who expressed the view that Sportcity had not been a response to local need for leisure facilities. The SAZ Manager expressed the view that whilst East Manchester has benefited from improved sport facilities, the facilities the community actually needed included a multi-use centre and football facilities. There was also some resentment amongst the older people who were consulted as part of this research, some objected to the development and felt they had not been consulted initially as to whether the Sportcity Date: April 2003 Page 55 55 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? development should be located in East Manchester. Brown & Massey, 2001, support this claim, by describing how the decision-making process surrounding cities’ bidding for major events is seldom a democratic process: “The decision to host the event is…a joint decision of community elites of which elected officials and the government in power are a part, but seldom is the decision to host the event the result of grass-roots democratic decisionmaking” (p.23, taken from Hillier, 1998) Furthermore, the closure of a nearby local swimming pool has caused upset amongst the local community: “People are very angry because they know local services and facilities are being sacrificed for the Games” (resident quoted in Chaudhary, 2001). The Senior Development Manager from Sport England argued that Gorton Tub would have closed regardless although the opening of the Aquatic Centre helped, and this argument was upheld by MCC who attributed the closure to other factors such as best value assessments. In addition, there are numerous fears about the use of the Stadium by Manchester City Football Club (MCFC) now that the Games are over. Brown, 2001 believed that “whatever benefits the stadium may bring, the East Manchester community is likely to face a host of additional problems, including the influx of 35,000 football fans every week or so. These concerns range from the ubiquitous parking problems to crime and social disorder” (p.18). These fears were relayed during the community consultation and ranged from concern with parking, to noise, and increased crime and disorder. On this final point, there is an expectation by the police that the development will lead to a slight increase in crime in the area, namely vehicle crime and shoplifting around the Asda development, and an increase in disorder during MCFC games (Superintendent of MCC), although crime generated during the Games itself was very low, with approximately 60 offences reported over the period of the Games, mainly offences such as purse-snatching. It is felt, however, on a positive front that having MCFC located in East Manchester will give an identity to the area, in addition to providing an on-going use for the stadium. All consultees highlighted the role the Games played in generating commnunity pride in the area. Comments on the Games included: “Brought some hope for the area again” (Clayton Community Representative) “Very proud of the Games” (Openshaw Community Representative) “The level of pride generated through the Games will have a lasting effect, [it] raised people’s expectations” (NDC Resident Information and Support Worker) Date: April 2003 Page 56 56 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? “Restored pride in an area where pride had been dissipated in a lot of ways” (Director of the EAZ) “A brilliant boost to community spirit” (Community Representative for the East Manchester Resident Forum). There was a feeling amongst some of the consultees that the success of the Games overcame community scepticism about the regeneration effort. The Director of the EAZ described how the success of the Games overcame a history of a perception of broken promises, providing a “tangible symbol of delivery and honorary of a promise”. One of the Community Representatives for NEM Ltd described how there had been promises of regeneration for the last twenty years that never happened or failed. The stadium provided visible proof to the community that the regeneration was going to happen. The Director of the Centre of Urban Policy Studies at Manchester University described how the sporting investment gave a “sense of commitment and place to [the] population”. He went on to describe how the stadium was a symbol of regeneration, and one which was of critical importance to the local population. The Chair of EMP added further weight to this argument: “Promises that things would get better did not materialise. Now suddenly, the realism that the Games will happen – and very soon – motivated everyone. It is no longer a pipe dream. The sight of the stadium emerging from the ground was key” (p.6). The role the Games has played in improving other aspects of quality of life is more tenuous. For example, the lowering of the crime rate, the diminished fear of crime, slight health improvements, and heightened residential satisfaction with neighbourhoods can be attributed to the wider regeneration effort, and a step change in the way service providers such as the police and the health authority deliver their services to the area. If anything, as highlighted earlier, the Sportcity development is more likely to contribute to increased crime in the area in the longer term through the presence of MCFC. However, a number of the consultees expressed their surprise at the lack of vandalism of Games related investment, suggesting a link between an improved sense of pride and a reduction in vandalism. The impact on health by the presence of Sportcity is more likely to be realised in the longer term, as improved health is realised through participation in sporting activities. Similarly, the role the Games has played in encouraging community capacity is also an area of debate. Regeneration agencies such as New Deal for Communities have played a key role in empowering the community through consultation, neighbourhood planning, and encouraging the community to express their views through: representation on the Beacons Date: April 2003 Page 57 57 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Board (the NDC and SRB5 delivery board), New East Manchester Ltd, the various task groups such as Crime, Education, Housing, Tenants and Resident Associations (TRA’s), and the Resident’s Forum. These provide a mechanism for feeding back information and providing a community voice. However, as discussed earlier, the Games themselves did play a role in encouraging ‘buy in’ to the regeneration process, as the Sportcity development provided a symbol that the regeneration was going to happen. Furthermore, initiatives such as the Pre-Games Volunteer Project (PVP) delivered through the North West SRB scheme initiated significant interest in volunteering, providing a mechanism for engaging individuals in the regeneration of their area. 6.4 CONCLUDING COMMENT The area co-ordinator in East Manchester for Groundwork, described his thinking on the progress of regeneration in East Manchester: “The difference physically to the area is huge, the difference socially is less apparent”. It is evident from the research findings that there has been some headway made into social regeneration. However, as mentioned earlier, it is difficult to measure social progress, and measurement is largely dependent upon anecdotal evidence. The current round of regeneration activity in East Manchester, including NDC, SRB, NEM etc, has only been underway since 1999, and social change is something which occurs over decades, not over five years of regeneration. It is apparent, however, that improvements have been made although this can largely be attributed to the wider regeneration activity in the area. What the consultees felt that the Games brought to the process was confidence that the regeneration was going to occur, and pride in the area, and “confidence and pride are two fairly important building blocks in social regeneration” (Director of the EAZ). Date: April 2003 Page 58 58 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? 7. EFFECTIVENESS OF A SPORTS-LED REGENERATION STRATEGY AND THE FUTURE OF EAST MANCHESTER This section considers a number of issues relating to the effectiveness of the regeneration effort in East Manchester. Firstly, it considers the value of a sports-led regeneration strategy in East Manchester - to what extent could investment in the Games been better spent elsewhere? It then goes on to consider the sustainability of Sportcity and the legacy of the Games. The chapter then assesses the wider regeneration scheme, in particular the efficiency of partnership structures and identification of the future needs of the area. 7.1 THE VALUE OF A SPORTS-LED REGENERATION STRATEGY IN EAST MANCHESTER Section 3 made the case for the Commonwealth Games to be held in East Manchester. This sub-section reiterates what benefits a sports-led regeneration strategy aimed to yield in East Manchester, and considers the reality of the investment. The belief by key stakeholders was that “Manchester’s hosting of the 2002 Commonwealth Games [would] provide a unique launchpad for the regeneration of East Manchester on a scale and diversity almost unprecedented in an English City” (p.4, England’s RDAs, 2002). Manchester City Council described the Games as an opportunity to “kickstart regeneration in East Manchester” (Leader of MCC). Historically, regeneration initiatives have struggled to make a difference in East Manchester. The Leader of the City Council described how MCC have “been looking for 20 years for that catalyst to drive economic change”. A sporting megaevent was seen as driving the regeneration forward. ODPM described how “the scale and national/international significance of the Games, and their subsequent legacy, is a central anchor to the whole process of regenerating East Manchester. The Games themselves can be expected to raise the commercial profile of the area. So too, subsequently, will the sports stadium and the associated sporting facilities. They provide an important part of the rationale for the extension of the Metrolink network to the area…they clearly present an anchor development from which an uplift in land values should provide the lever for the wider regeneration of the area” (p.9, Urban Regeneration Companies: A Process Evaluation). Date: April 2003 Page 59 59 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Overall, there was unanimous consensus that the Games had made a significant difference to the regeneration effort in East Manchester, and this has been explored through Sections 4-6. However, there was some debate in consultations on some of the concerns held by stakeholders around the Games, and some questions asked as to whether money could have been better spent elsewhere, i.e. is a new stadium a wise use of Manchester’s resources? These issues are outlined and debated below. Schimmel highlighted how a sport strategy for urban development may serve as a vehicle to symbolically construct consensus, “however, we should also be cognisant of the fact that such a powerful symbol of common interest may also obscure other less dramatic concerns such as improving city housing, or health care, or schools, or job training” (p.275 in Gratton et.al, 2001). These concerns were expressed by some of the consultees who queried the extent to which the investment in the Games had skewed service provision from other areas. It is difficult to quantify the extent to which this did occur, as this would be another study in itself. However, it is acknowledged by MCC that there were a number of staff seconded to work on the Commonwealth Games. One service provider interviewed for this research described how there was a “massive dislocation of service provision” to support the Games through staff secondments. There was also some resentment expressed by residents in the area, as they could see the additional resources being given to the area because of the Games, i.e. quality of cleansing in the area, improved environment, flowering of the area etc, which they saw as being “just for the telly” (Area co-ordinator, Groundwork). This level of investment could not be sustained in the long-term, which meant “locally, the difference felt by local people is almost worse than if it hadn’t taken place” (Area co-ordinator, Groundwork). Now the Games “has gone, a lot has gone with it” in terms of street cleanliness (Community Resident). Service levels have returned to pre-Games standards, but expectations of the community were raised during the Games. In monetary terms, there were initial concerns that residents of Manchester may bear the price of running the Games through increased council tax: “we were promised that the Commonwealth Games would not affect services or council tax but this is not true. We are very concerned at the financial management of the Games and the impact this is going to have on the city”, “If you are spending millions on the games it means you are not able to spend it on anything else” (Simon Ashley, leader of the Liberal Democrats on MCC, IN Date: April 2003 Page 60 60 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Chaudhary, 2001). There were concerns by residents that by channelling money into such a specific area ,such as a sports event, there may be a vacuum created in other areas. However, unlike the case of Sheffield in 1991, Manchester has succeeded in bringing in external funding from central government and other funding pots, which meant the local authority did not have to use too much of their own funds. This meant that the event in Manchester was more economically regenerative because the cost was largely borne outside the City (Director of the Leisure Industries Research Centre, SHU). The public investment in the Games and the associated regeneration infrastructure and activity was estimated to be £670m (CPC, October 2002) which came from a variety of sources, including the Sports and Heritage Lottery funds, ERDF Objective 1, MCC, and the NWDA. Furthermore, the contingency funds for the Games were only partly spent, enabling them to be redistributed to partners, including MCC which will be money reinvested back into Manchester. There remain some sceptics who challenge whether a sports event can contribute to regeneration: “I’m not convinced you can build regeneration on a stadium” (Stephen Lowe, Bishop of Hulme, in Lipman, 2001). A number of community representatives agreed that before the Games they (and the communities they represented) were cynical about what the Games could achieve. However, those who are fully engaged in the regeneration process have now recognised what the Games did bring to East Manchester. A community representative on the NEM Board explained that he recognised how the Games played a role in bringing forward inward investment, private sector interest, and public sector projects. Section 8 will conclude the debate on whether a sports-led regeneration strategy (i.e. the Games) was an effective tool for regeneration in East Manchester. 7.2 SUSTAINABILITY AND THE LEGACY OF THE GAMES Sportcity is now the largest integrated sports development site in Britain. The view held by key funders of the Games was that their investment was not just about hosting the Commonwealth Games, but more about leaving a legacy in provision: “The Games were a tremendous success and have left Manchester with a legacy it will have for years to come” (Simmonds, 2002). Indeed, “delivering a ‘legacy’ to the city from the Commonwealth Games is something which has been a primary motivation for Manchester’s strategy to host the Date: April 2003 Page 61 61 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Games” (Brown & Massey, 2001). Sustainable after use of venues was considered an important priority, there was a determination that venues built for the purpose of a ten day sporting event would not become ‘white elephants’ as in the case of Sydney and Kuala Lumpur: “MCC were very clear that we were not going to build anything unless we were sure how it was going to be sustained after the Games” (Leader of MCC). The sporting legacy was identified as: Venues are available for future events and sports development; There will be significant community use of the facilities; The area will be home to the Regional HQ of the English Institute of Sport; The after-use of the stadium is secured by Manchester City Football Club (MCFC) who will relocate to the stadium in time for start of the next football season in autumn 2003. MCFC will pay a rent based upon ticket sales for use of the stadium which will be reinvested into sports facilities and development programmes across the rest of the Sportcity site. As revealed earlier, there are concerns about MCFC moving to the area, particularly by the community, who fear the noise, rubbish, vandalism and disorder it may bring. However, MCFC will give an identity to the area: “despite the negative aspects of the game, the football stadium remains a significant landmark on the urban landscape. Football remains the number one spectator sport in the UK, it is still the major vehicle through which a town or city expresses its aspirations and sense of civic pride” (Churchman, p.13). MCFC will generate spend in the local community, through fans spending in local shops and pubs, although the research on how extensive this spend will be is inconclusive: “It has become something of a given that the construction of new stadiums will bring economic and social benefits to the areas in which they are sited…there seems to be few guarantees about the pay-off for the local area, communities and the cities in which they live. The assumptions that new stadiums will inevitably bring these benefits is just that” (Brown, 2001, p.18). This is further supported by the consultation with the Director of the Leisure Industries Research Centre at SHU, who believes there will be relatively small amounts of ancillary spend in East Manchester associated with MCFC, with the majority of money spent on tickets. On a more positive angle, it is felt that the sporting infrastructure on Sportcity will provide a social focus for the community, and alter people’s perception of their neighbourhood. Date: April 2003 Page 62 62 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? The extent to which local people captured the benefits of the Commonwealth Games has been considered in this research. ODPM in their publication: Urban Regeneration Companies: A Process Evaluation identified how “key to the effectiveness of the whole East Manchester project, will be the extent to which the benefits of the Commonwealth Games…can be accrued to local people”. These can be considered as direct and indirect benefits. Directly, there will be a small number of jobs created within the Sportcity development although these are likely to be part-time and in low-skill hospitality work such as stewarding, bartending, and catering (Hayward, 2001). Local people also benefited from attending the Games events through tickets being distributed. Over the two weekends of the Games the NDC team and their partners organised four parties in four local parks to celebrate the regeneration of the area, as well as other events over the games, and the schools were involved in education related events. A stated objective of the Commonwealth Games was for them to be the ‘Inclusive Games’, and the slogan ‘Count Yourself In’ was used. The North West SRB programme aimed to ensure that the Games were inclusive for the region, in particular to ensure that disadvantaged communities had fair access and equity in sharing the benefits arising from the Games. The Pre-Games Volunteer Project run by the NW SRB scheme enabled residents in the North West, including East Manchester, to be volunteers at the Games. There are also numerous indirect benefits which have been identified throughout this study. There is debate as to whether these can be attributed, in some form, to the Games, such as the jobs created by the Asda-Walmart store opening. It is felt that these indirect benefits will continue to emerge in the longer-term as the regeneration effort continues. Regeneration partners have worked hard to ensure that local people have ownership of the Sportcity development. Lesley Spencer, NDC Regeneration Officer, described how, in East Manchester, “people are talking about ‘our’ stadium” (Lixenburg, 2002, p.13). The Sports Action Zone has played an important role in ensuring local people can access the facilities. Consultations with the community representatives revealed a high degree of pride amongst the community associated with hosting the Games, although there was some feeling that local people have not fully captured the legacy of the Games, in particular they are not getting the most out of the sporting facilities, particularly those who have not previously participated in sporting activities. There are some misconceptions about the cost of using these facilities which need to be addressed. Date: April 2003 Page 63 63 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? 7.3 THE EFFECTIVENESS OF PARTNERSHIP STRUCTURES Section 2 described the current regeneration context in East Manchester, identifying the key regeneration vehicles operating in the area as New Deal for Communities, SRB5, an Urban Regeneration Company (NEM), Education Action Zone, and Sport Action Zone. Historically, having a plethora of regeneration initiatives operating in an area frequently led to duplication and competition in terms of ‘chasing’ outcomes. However, current policy dictates the need for joint working between initiatives and the need to work towards a shared vision. The approach in East Manchester is widely hailed as a good practice example of the effectiveness of such an approach. A balance has been struck between social, economic, and physical aims and objectives through having different initiatives with different emphases working closely together. For example: New East Manchester is responsible for ensuring that current local regeneration initiatives are integrated with one another. Its remit is largely physical and economic regeneration, but it is responsible for developing and putting in place a strategic framework for regenerating East Manchester (New East Manchester: A New Town in the City); New Deal for Communities and the SRB5 scheme together form the ‘Beacons for a Brighter Future’ project. This ensures the social needs of the community are addressed, with the project offering a targeted and neighbourhood focused approach in key programme areas such as worklessness, crime, and environment. It also provides the scope to ensure that investment in capital projects is made in conjunction with local people: “Beacons will allow for the right balance to be struck between people based and physical investment in order to ensure not only that problems are successfully tackled, but also that the significant opportunities which will be available, such as Sportcity, will be harnessed to maximise the benefit for the local community” (p.5, NDC Delivery Plan, 1999). The Director of the Centre of Urban Policy Studies at Manchester University referred to the combination of NDC, SRB and URC models of regeneration as “extraordinarily potent” in East Manchester, blending social (NDC/SRB) objectives with the physical and economic concerns of the URC. NEM describe that one of their “greatest strengths [is] that excellent partnership relationships have been developed with a range of local stakeholders and…the three funding partners” (p.6, NEM Implementation Plan). This statement was supported by many of the consultees interviewed: Date: April 2003 Page 64 64 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? The level of partnership in East Manchester is “probably exceptional” (Director of the EAZ); “East Manchester has got the chemistry right” (Manchester University); “The URC has helped create a shared vision” (Head of Regeneration, NWDA). The strength of the partnership was attributed to a number of factors: Firstly, co-location in shared office accommodation has helped facilitate joint-working, indeed, the Director of the Centre of Urban Policy Studies referred to the Beacons project and NEM as “seamless animals” because of their co-location. Secondly, there are a number of jointly-funded posts which helps share information. There are also a number of shared members on each of the initiative’s boards, e.g. Chief Executive of NEM, sits on the Beacons Board, and the Manager of the NDC, sits on the NEM Board. A number of the consultees also touched on the individuals involved in the initiative: “Any partnership is only as good as its members, and their willingness to subjugate agendas to the greater good” (Head of Millennium Communities, EP). Having the right people in the right posts is seen as an important ingredient in the East Manchester partnership arrangements. The Chief Executive of NEM described how all of the initiative managers are adamant that they “will succeed or fail together” and how “there is an interdependence between what we are all trying to achieve”. Thirdly, a Public Agencies Forum has been established to develop closer working relationships between the various bodies delivering public services across the area. Finally, all of the organisations have their own strategic plans, aims and objectives, but the over-arching regeneration framework, New East Manchester: A New Town in the City, which all partners helped develop has played a strong role in ensuring all regeneration partners are signed up to the shared vision, aims and objectives put forward in the document. From the public sector perspective, therefore, the partnership in East Manchester appears to be a strong vehicle for driving regeneration forward. However, it is important to consider how inclusive these partnership structures are of the community and the private sector. There are a number of mechanisms for ensuring these voices are heard: The Beacons for a Brighter Future Partnership is the key vehicle for capturing the views of local people. There are six residents on the Board of which three represent the areas of Clayton, Openshaw, and Beswick respectively, one represents the EAZ, and two represent NEM. One of the residents chairs the Board. This illustrates the use of shared members on different initiatives operating in the area. There is also a representative from the Voluntary Sector Consortium, and one local business representative. These are elected through the Residents’ Forum and the Voluntary Sector Consortium. Date: April 2003 Page 65 65 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? The East Manchester Residents’ Forum is open to representatives from each of the Tenants and Resident Groups operating in the area, and operates on an invitation only basis. There are six thematic task groups (Crime, Community Safety and Anti-Social behaviour; Housing and Neighbourhood Management; Youth Issues; Environment; Employment, Education and Training; and Health and Well Being) which are open to local people. There is a Resident Liaison Team within the NDC which works with local people, provides a point of contact for residents who want information about the regeneration, and tries to engage them in regeneration activities. Community consultation is carried out in areas where a specific project or initiative is being undertaken. Neighbourhood Planning is a key tool for engaging local people. Nevertheless, there were concerns put forward, particularly by consultees from the community, voluntary and private sector. These are debated below. Effectiveness of Structures to Include the Community There was a strong view put forward by all consultees that the community were not consulted in the past about regeneration initiatives, with regeneration being ‘done’ to communities rather than ‘with’ communities. There were high levels of satisfaction with the current initiatives, particularly NDC, in ensuring that the regeneration is now about what local people want: “NDC has given residents access to the regeneration of their areas, and clout in decisions being made which affect them” (Bosworth Street TRA). Residents now feel they have got a say and can “now question and it is our decision” (Chair of the Beacons Board and Resident). The capacity for resident involvement has been progressed and they have “become aware of what can be achieved” (Chair of the Beacons Board). However, some concerns were expressed about the community representatives routes of accountability back to their community. There was also concern expressed by the voluntary sector about the confidence of community representatives to disagree with proposed actions, although the consultations held with each community representative did not raise this as a concern. Indeed, one representative described how the community have been empowered, “they are now very vocal, and the confidence issue has been overcome”. The ability for community representatives to be accountable to their community varied, depending on the community they represent. Some of the communities are very engaged, whilst others agreed that being accountable to their community was difficult. Date: April 2003 Page 66 66 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? There were a number of reasons put forward for this, it did not appear to be due to a lack of effort on the part of the representative or the NDC, “the hardest thing is getting involvement from the local community” (NDC Resident Liaison Team). The NDC Resident Liaison Worker highlighted the difficulties of changing cynical attitudes about the regeneration and the resulting apathy making it incredibly difficult to engage some individuals. Some of the representatives who are not representing communities but initiatives (i.e. NEM or EAZ) felt their input tended to be personal because of the difficulties of representing the East Manchester community as a whole: “I can only say what I think” (Community Representative). One representative felt that communities within the area were very competitive which was not conducive to inclusion. In particular, there is some resentment amongst communities, for example, residents in Openshaw and Clayton who resent what has happened in Beswick (i.e. in terms of the money spent on the area to host the Games). This flags up the importance of proving to the East Manchester community as a whole that the regeneration plan is for the entire area, and other areas will benefit as the focus moves from the shortterm emphasis on Beswick as the location of Sportcity, to encompassing the area as a whole. Despite these problems, overall, consultees felt that the partnership was strong, and whilst it is “not fully inclusive of community…[it] is more inclusive than any other partnership I have ever experienced” (Community Representative). Private Sector Engagement In addition to having a private sector representative on the Beacons Board who is a local business person, there is also the East Manchester Partnership (EMP) which operates in the area. EMP is a private sector led partnership, and is used as mechanism for feeding back progress on regeneration to the private sector. It assists in the identification of opportunities which the private sector can aim to exploit and provides a vehicle for the public sector to pass on knowledge to the private sector with the intention of creating awareness and enthusiasm. There is a lot of representation on the partnership from the construction and property sector, in addition to other local businesses and agencies such as NEM, the City Council, and the FE College MANCAT. Date: April 2003 Page 67 67 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? The private sector representative who sits on the Beacons Board was invited rather than elected into post. During consultation he explained how he aims to ensure his voice is inclusive of the business community, although there are clear difficulties in achieving this, because ultimately his main aim is to run his own business. The nature of the business he is in means he does have a lot of contact with other businesses in the area which he uses as an informal mechanism. Because he runs his own business the amount of time he can devote to the regeneration effort is limited although it can prove time-consuming. It was felt that EMP could play a greater role in feeding back information to the Beacons Board (at the moment it disseminates information to EMP members on initiative progress, but does not collect feedback from EMP members) and this is something that is under consideration. Future Plans There are currently some plans underway which will help strengthen the partnership further. For example, NEM as the over-arching regeneration agency are keen to develop an East Manchester Implementation Plan (Chief Executive, NEM). Because of different reporting arrangements for each initiative this will prove to be challenging. Already there have been some developments to overcome bureaucracy, with the Beacons project managing two streams of funding (NDC and SRB) through one pot of funding. They have developed joint appraisal and monitoring systems, although they do aspire to get the NWDA and GO-NW to give them one set of guidelines. One particular time-consuming task is audits, which are not undertaken jointly, and resulted in 18 audits being carried out in 2002. There are aspirations for an ‘East Manchester Single Pot’ of funding, although “in reality it is very difficult” to achieve this (Regeneration Officer, NDC). 7.4 THE FUTURE OF EAST MANCHESTER The overarching regeneration framework: ‘New East Manchester: A New Town in the City’ has set ambitious targets over the lifetime of the regeneration effort in East Manchester, including a doubling of population to 60,000, developing 12,500 new homes, and the improvement of 7,000 new homes. There are two fundamental objectives which underpin the framework: to create sustainable communities, and to maximise the contribution that East Manchester makes to national, regional, and local competitiveness. It is apparent through this study that there have been numerous achievements since the initiatives began in 1999, namely diversification of the business base, a lowering of unemployment and other social exclusion indicators, and improvements in educational attainment amongst others. Date: April 2003 Page 68 68 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? The intention of regeneration initiatives such as NDC was to concentrate “on slowing the rate of, and beginning to reverse the decline of the area” in the first three years of the programme (p.8, NDC Delivery Plan, 1999). Then the intention is to ensure the area’s comprehensive and long-term regeneration. There is a recognition amongst partners of the need to ensure the community of East Manchester is sustainable through: The economic base of the community; The quality of life of residents, measured in terms of educational provision, a safe and pleasant environment, good health, absence of crime, and other factors which influence choice about where people live and work; The strength of the local community networks and organisations; The quality of public services and the management of local neighbourhoods; The ability of residents to access homes suited to their needs and aspirations. Source: Manchester Community Strategy, 2002-2012 When the regeneration of the area began, there was a need for a short-term focus on the Games, “the timing [was] critical if the area [was] to capture the opportunities offered by the Games and the investment in infrastructure” (p.8, NDC Delivery Plan, 1999). NEM’s Chief Executive described how their focus was on the short-term, ensuring linkages between the Games and local people were made, and ensuring maximum benefit was achieved. They used the Games to give an impetus to the wider regeneration effort in East Manchester, it was “very clear that this was a real target and this focused the mind and got momentum going” as there was an absolute deadline that had to be met. Many of the consultees expressed the opinion that the Commonwealth Games could not be allowed to fail, which meant East Manchester was brought to the top of priorities. There is recognition amongst all of the partners that the “real work is now that the Games is over” (Chair of EMP). There is a belief that many of the real benefits to East Manchester are still to come, as several major regeneration projects that are in the pipeline come to fruition, such as Central Park Manchester, the Metrolink, and further developments around Sportcity. The consultations illustrated their agreement on how the Games was a milestone in the regeneration effort: Date: April 2003 Page 69 69 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? “The hosting of the Commonwealth Games between 25th of July and 4th of August, 2002, was a key milestone in the long term regeneration of the area” (p.58, Beacons for a Brighter Future Annual Report, 2001). “The Games was the milestone in a much greater scheme” (NW SRB Programme Manager, MCC); “It was a starting process, helping put East Manchester on the map” (Area Co-ordinator, Groundwork) “The Games provided the base for East Manchester to move on from” (Chair of EMP). Date: April 2003 Page 70 70 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? 8. CONCLUSIONS This section summarises this research, and draws conclusions to the research question. 8.1 WHAT HAS BEEN ACHIEVED IN EAST MANCHESTER? The pre-Games position (Section 3) illustrated how East Manchester suffered from a series of interlinked problems, including population decline, high unemployment, multiple deprivation, poor housing and environment, low educational attainment, high crime, and poor health. Yet its location a mere 1.5 miles from the buoyant Manchester City Centre offered significant opportunities. Over the 1980s and 1990s a series of regeneration initiatives had tried and failed in East Manchester. During the 1990s thinking developed amongst key partners of the possibilities of a sports-led regeneration strategy for the area developed around a sporting mega-event such as the Olympics. In 1995 Manchester was awarded the 2002 Commonwealth Games. Sections 4 – 6 outlined the post- Games achievements in East Manchester under the headings of economic, physical, and social regeneration respectively. The scale of deprivation in East Manchester means that the area has benefited since 1999 from a plethora of regeneration initiatives, including New Deal for Communities, Single Regeneration Budget, Education Action Zone, and an Urban Regeneration Company. These initiatives were aimed at achieving the holistic regeneration of the area, with the ambition of achieving a sustainable community in the long-term. There have been numerous achievements since the regeneration effort began: The business base is beginning to diversify; Flexible part-time working opportunities are beginning to emerge; Unemployment has decreased over time in line with national averages; Benefit dependency has experienced a slight reduction; Educational attainment and attendance has significantly improved; Housing demand is beginning to develop; There are improved levels of resident satisfaction with their neighbourhood; Large tracts of brownfield land have been reclaimed; Date: April 2003 Page 71 71 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? There has been an overall reduction in crime and fear of crime; Access to services by residents has improved; Transport infrastructure has improved with access to the motorway network, and the arrival of the Metrolink in 2005; A number of key developments have come forward, such as Central Park Manchester, and inward investors attracted such as Asda Walmart, and Fujitsu; The level of community engagement has increased; A number of more qualitative improvements have been identified such as increased pride and confidence amongst the community. This research has explored the role that hosting the Commonwealth Games has played in the regeneration of the area. 8.2 WHAT WOULD HAVE HAPPENED ANYWAY, AND WHAT IS THE ADDED VALUE WHICH THE GAMES BROUGHT TO THE REGENERATION OF EAST MANCHESTER? It is very difficult to disentangle what would have happened anyway in East Manchester through initiatives such as NDC, and NEM, from what the Games contributed. Because of the scale of need (as demonstrated by the Index of Multiple Deprivation) it is highly likely that East Manchester would have achieved the NDC, URC, SRB, EAZ status regardless of the Games. However, it appears likely that the Sport Action Zone status was given to the area because it was hosting the Games to ensure local people could capture the benefits of the sporting infrastructure investment. The work by Cambridge Policy Consultants (CPC) on the economic impact of the Games estimated the additional employment opportunities which have emerged from hosting the Games. In particular, they estimated that there would be 6,300 FTE direct jobs created, of which 2,000 would be in East Manchester. Furthermore, the public sector investment associated with the Games and its associated regeneration infrastructure activity led to an additional investment of £570m in East Manchester. This is the added value which hosting the Games brought to East Manchester. Initiatives such as the connection of East Manchester to the M60 Orbital motorway, and Central Park Manchester were conceived in advance of the Games and the current regeneration initiatives. The reclamation of brownfield land would have occurred through schemes such as Central Park Manchester and the work of New East Manchester, although Date: April 2003 Page 72 72 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? the ability of the Eastlands site where Sportcity is located to be home to retail, leisure, offices and housing in the absence of the Games is unlikely. However, the research revealed that the level of private sector interest would have been unlikely to have been achieved as quickly in the absence of the Games. For example, investors such as Fujitsu, Asda Walmart, and housing developers needed the reassurance that the area would be radically transforming. The Sportcity development offered an icon of change. The Ashton Canal Corridor regeneration scheme was also identified as a project that would not have happened as quickly, or indeed in as comprehensive manner, if it had not been for the Games. Changing the image of the area is key to achieving the long-term ambitions as identified in the regeneration framework: ‘New East Manchester: A New Town in the City’. Changing the image of the area would help maintain the existing level of population, attract new residents to live in the area, and attract private sector investment. CPC, 2002, described how “the transformational impact of Sportcity, in particular in re-positioning East Manchester as an attractive area to invest, would not have been possible without the Games”. Public opinion of the Games expressed by the media illustrated how the Games contributed towards changing perception: “Glorious Games prove that it’s glam up North” (The Mirror, 1st August 2002). The success of the Games also offered an “enhanced perception of Manchester as a place that delivers” (Leader of MCC). Many of the social indicators of improvement, such as crime reduction and changes in the perception of crime, health improvements, and resident satisfaction can be attributed to the wider regeneration effort and improvements to service provision by providers. However, the development of two of the key building blocks of social regeneration - confidence and pride were assisted by the hosting of the Commonwealth Games. The Games also provided a symbol of the regeneration effort in East Manchester, and gave the community trust in the long term regeneration process. Furthermore, the Games also helped improve community access to sport and leisure facilities. Overall, it was felt that the added value that the Games brought to the regeneration activity was its ability to maximise the benefits from the regeneration investment. The Chief Executive of NEM believed that “the Games are not just about ten days of sport, they are about long-term investment. Date: April 2003 I cannot prove that these things wouldn’t have happened Page 73 73 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? without the Games, but having lived through their planning for two years, I am convinced they have made a difference” (p.8, Niven, 2002). 8.3 DID THE GAMES ACCELERATE THE PHYSICAL, SOCIAL, AND ECONOMIC REGENERATION OF EAST MANCHESTER? The consultation findings were unanimous that “the pace of change in East Manchester has altered dramatically” (Head of Millennium Communities, EP) and that the Commonwealth Games played a role in this. The findings from this research are largely anecdotal, as it is very difficult to attribute economic, physical and social change to an event. Given the wider regeneration activity underway in the area it is fair to conclude that the Games has been a tool for accelerating change, rather than an initiator of change in itself. This belief is expressed by the Leader of MCC - that the regeneration initiatives such as NDC/SRB would have delivered anyway without the Games, “but in the short term, they would not have achieved as much…what has been achieved in East Manchester would have come 5 or 10 years later without the Games”. The regeneration initiatives used the Games as a focal point, adding to the critical mass of impact. The research findings add weight to this conclusion that the Games did play a role in accelerating the regeneration of the area: The awarding to Manchester of the 2002 Commonwealth Games “was the spark that really set off the regeneration of East Manchester” (Chair of EMP); East Manchester “could not have generated impetus and interest as quickly” without the Games (Manager of the SAZ); “The momentum of change and improvement – generated by New Deal for Communities, by the Single Regeneration Budget, by the rapidly developing City of Manchester Stadium – is palpable” (NEM, A New Town in the City). Whilst it is fair to conclude that the Games has played a significant role in regenerating East Manchester, it is also apparent that the Games, on their own, were not a regenerator in themselves. They did play a role in regenerating the derelict site of Eastlands, and providing direct job opportunities associated with the Games and their after-use. However, it was the ability of the wider regeneration initiatives to capture the benefits of the Games that contributed to the surge of change in the economic, physical, and social characteristics of East Manchester. Date: April 2003 Page 74 74 To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Appendix A Bibliography Date: March 2003 Appendix A : Bibliography To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Date: March 2003 Appendix A : Bibliography To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Andranovich, G, et.al, 2001, Olympic Cities: Lessons Learned from Mega-Event Politics. IN Journal of Urban Affairs, Vol.23, No.2, pp.113-131. Anon, The Local Benefit From the Commonwealth Games. 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Review of the 2002 Commonwealth Games in Manchester for DCMS, Sport England, and MCC, December 2002. Lipman, C, 2001, On your marks (the impact of sports stadia development on community regeneration). IN New Start, Vol.3 No.119, Aug 2001, pp 12-13. Lipton, S, 2001, If we built it, they will come, IN www.society.guardian.co.uk Date: March 2003 Appendix A : Bibliography To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Lixenburg, L, 2002, Sporting Behaviour, IN Municipal Journal, 8th August 2002, p.13 London Olympics 2012 – Summary. 21st May 2002. Manchester Community Strategy: 2002 – 2012 Marshall, T, 1996, Barcelona – Fast Forward? City Entrepreneurialism in the 1980’s and 1990’s. IN European Planning Studies, Vol. 4, No.2, 1996. MCC, The Impact of the Manchester 2002 Commonwealth Games, Cambridge Policy Consultants. McConnell, T et.al, 2002, Greater Manchester, IN Property Week, 24th May 2002, pp.79 Morphet, J, 1996, Cities and World Events. IN T&CP, November 1996. Morrison, A, 2000, In Shape for the Race? IN Estates Gazette, 1st April 2000, pp.120-121 Morton, G, 2001, Urban regeneration Companies. Planning Exchange. NDC – Delivery Plan. Beswick and Openshaw, September 1999 NDC – Assorted Statistical Information NEM, Implementation Plan for East Manchester: 2002/03 – 2004/05 New East Manchester, Regeneration Framework: A New Town in the City Niven, R, 2002, Champion city enjoys benefits of its revamp (the impact of the Commonwealth Games on Manchester), IN Planning, 16th August 2002, p.8 NOMISCrown Copyright NW Economic and Social Programme 1999-2004, SRB5 Mid Term Evaluation: Final Report, September 2002. Meridien Pure. NWDA presentation: Regeneration through Sport NWDA, Annual Report: 2001-2002 NWDA, RES Review, Consultation Document NWDA: Business Plan: 2002/2003 NWDA: Land Reclamation: To further economic development and regeneration NWDA: Regeneration Prospectus NWDA: Strategic regional Sites, Formal Designation, December 2001. ODPM, 2003, Sustainable Communities: building for the future. ODPM, Community Involvement: the Roots of Renaissance? Urban Research Summary, No.5, 2002 Date: March 2003 Appendix A : Bibliography To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? ODPM, Our Towns and Cities: the Future. Delivering an Urban Renaissance. Urban White Paper, November 2000 ODPM, Urban Regeneration Companies: A Process Evaluation. Ortiz, L, 1998, Sketches of Spain: Barcelona’s Design for Redevelopment. IN Economic Development Abroad, 2nd October 1998. ONS, 1991 and 2001 Census of Population Parkinson, M & Robson, B, 2000, The State of English Cities. Urban Environment Today, 30th November 2000, p.14. Planning Exchange, 1994, Manchester Sports Related Developments IN Urban Development Review. March/April 1994. Planning Exchange, 1995, Barcelona Post-Olympics Development Strategy, IN Urban Development Review, January/February 1995. Post Games Volunteer Programme: Business Plan. Draft: December 2002. Press Release: ‘East Manchester Stock Transfer Gets Green Light’. Prickett, R, 2000, Bread and Circuses. IN Financial Management October 2000. p.24 – 27. NWDA, RES, 1999. Russell, G, 2001, URCs: seeking to turn around local economies, IN Urban Environment Today, No.13127, Sept 2001, p.9 Searle, G, 2002, Uncertain Legacy: Sydney’s Olympic Stadiums. IN European Planning Studies, Vol. 10, No.7, 2002 SEU, 2001, A New Commitment to Neighbourhood Renewal. National Strategy Action Plan. Cabinet Office. January 2001. Short, J & Tremble, Mo, Fossu, Kingsley and Child, D. 1990. World Student Games: economic impact study report. Part 1. Department of Employment and Economic Development, Sheffield City Council. Simmonds, B, 2002, A Success to be savoured (legacy of the Commonwealth Games), IN Leisure Management, Vol. 22, No. 8, Sept/Oct 2002, pp.20-21 Sport Action Zone – East Manchester. Needs Assessment and Action Plan Sport England, 2001, Sport Action Zones: Summary report on the establishment of the first 12 zones – issues, successes and lessons for the future. Sport England, 2001, Sport and Regeneration. IN Planning Bulletin, No.10, September 2001 Sport England, Investing in our Sporting Future Sport England, The Value of Sport Date: March 2003 Appendix A : Bibliography To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? ICM Research , Survey of Public Opinion on a London 2012 Olympic Bid. . Thames, D, et.al (2000), Greater Manchester, IN Property Week, 12th May 2000, pp. 54-55 The 2002 North West Partnership, The 2002, NW Economic and Social Programme. 1999 – 2004: A bid to the SRB Challenge Fund R5. The Planning Exchange, 1992, A Review of Olympic Related Development (UDIS Review; D39) The Regional Review – Community Benefits from Sport? p.7-8. Tye, R; Williams, G (1994) Urban regeneration and central-local government relations: the case of East Manchester, IN Progress in Planning, Vol.42, No.1, 1994, P.1-97 White, D, Change of Image has brought Fame, Fortune. IN Financial Times, Thursday 11th March 1999. Willis, B, 2001, Supermarket Forces IN Regeneration and Renewal. 20th July 2001. p.1721. Wilson, D.G (2002) Lecture to the Manchester Literary and Philosophical Society on the Legacy of the Commonwealth Games. Wright, C, 2001, A history of false starts, IN www.society.guardian.co.uk www.manchester.gov.uk/regen www.midas.org.uk www.manchester.gov.uk/news Young, C, 2002, Making Manchester, IN Landlines, August 2002. Date: March 2003 Appendix A : Bibliography To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Date: March 2003 Appendix A : Bibliography To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Appendix B Consultation List Date: March 2003 Appendix B : Consultation List To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Date: March 2003 Appendix B : Consultation List To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Name of Consultee Professor Brian Robson Chris Gratton Baron Isherwood Tom Russell Richard Leese Chris Dodd John Dwan Superintendent Thomson Lesley Spencer Lesley Giddins Ian Nuttall Duncan Innes Jason Brindle Steve Edwards Veronica Powell Elaine Wright Bill Booth Gary Loftus Irene Johnson Tim Presswood Alan Watson and colleagues Diane McIntyre John Reynolds David Wilson Hedley Carter Date: March 2003 Organisation Manchester University – Geography Department and Director of the Centre of Urban Policy Studies Sheffield Hallam University, Director of the Leisure Industries Research Centre NWDA, Head of Regeneration Chief Executive of New East Manchester Ltd Leader of Manchester City Council Senior Development Manager at Sport England Manager of the Sports Action Zone in East Manchester Greater Manchester Police New East Manchester: Regeneration Officer and deputy co-ordinator for the NDC Programme Legacy Programme Manager, Manchester City Council Site Manager of MANCAT (Manchester College of Arts and Technology) Head of Millennium Communities at English Partnerships Area Co-ordinator East Manchester for Groundwork Manchester Director of East Manchester Education Action Zone New East Manchester Ltd Community Representative on the Beacons Board and Chair of the Beacons Board Community Representative for Openshaw on the Beacons Board Community Representative for Clayton on the Beacons Board Resident Information and Support Worker, NDC Resident Liaison Team Community Representative on the Beacons Board for the East Manchester Residents Forum Community Representative on the Beacons Board for New East Manchester Ltd Bosworth Street Tenants and Residents Association Beswick and Bradford Community Project Asda Walmart – Head office representative Chair of the East Manchester Partnership Private sector representative on the Beacons Board Representing Academic Perspective Academic Perspective Strategic Perspective/Key stakeholder Strategic Perspective/Key Stakeholder Strategic Perspective/Key Stakeholder Strategic Perspective/Key Stakeholder Strategic Perspective/Key Stakeholder Service Provider Strategic Perspective/Key Stakeholder/Service Provider Key Stakeholder/Games organiser Service Provider Strategic Perspective/Key Stakeholder Service Provider/Community and Voluntary sector perspective Strategic Perspective/Key Stakeholder/Service Provider Community perspective Community perspective Community perspective Community perspective Community perspective Community perspective Community perspective Voluntary sector perspective Private sector perspective Private sector perspective Private sector perspective Appendix B : Consultation List To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Date: March 2003 Appendix B : Consultation List To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Appendix C Statistical Baseline Date: March 2003 Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Date: March 2003 Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford Beswick and Clayton EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester North West GB Source Demographic Profile Total population 1991 1998 2001 11,600 11,200 - 11,805 11,100 - 23,405 22,300 - 379,529 392,819 6,458,782 6,729,800 52,365,813 58,789,194 1991 Census of Population 1998 Oxford University Pop Est’s 2001 Census of Population 1991 1998 2001 2,999 3,300 - 2,989 2,900 - 5,988 6,200 - 91,584 77,692 1,401,811 1,300,392 11,023,723 11,105,238 1991 Census of Population 1998 Oxford University Pop Est’s 2001 Census of Population 1991 1998 2001 25.9 29.5 - 25.3 26.1 - 25.6 27.8 - 22.6 19.8 20.8 19.3 20.1 18.9 1991 Census of Population 1998 Oxford University Pop Est’s 2001 Census of Population 1991 1998 2001 6,655 6,200 - 6,465 6,100 - 13,120 12,300 - 238,486 255,122 4,067,049 4,178,516 33,589,496 36,873,078 1991 1998 2001 57.4 55.4 - 54.8 55.0 - 56.1 55.2 - 58.9 64.9 60.5 62.1 61.2 62.7 1991 Census of Population 1998 Oxford University Pop Est’s 2001 Census of Population 1991 1998 2001 1,946 1,700 - 2,351 2,100 - 4,297 3,800 - 74,810 66,005 1,258,000 1,250,892 10,275,625 10,810,878 1991 Census of Population 1998 Oxford University Pop Est’s 2001 Census of Population 1991 1998 2001 16.8 15.2 - 19.9 18.9 - 18.4 17.0 - 18.5 15.3 18.7 18.6 18.7 18.4 1991 Census of Population 1998 Oxford University Pop Est’s 2001 Census of Population Total Population Aged 15 and under Of working age Of retired age -3.5 +10.0 -6.9 -12.7 -6.0 -3.0 -6.3 -10.7 -4.7 +3.5 -6.3 -11.6 3.5 -15.2 7.0 -11.8 4.2 -7.2 2.7 -0.6 12.3 0.7 9.8 5.2 % Change figures are 1991-1998 for ward and East Manchester, and 19912001 for Manchester, NW, and GB No. aged 15 and under % aged 15 and under No. of working age (16-59/65) 1991 Census of Population 1998 Oxford University (includes 16-59 only) 2001 Census of Population Pop Est’s % of working age (16-59/65) No. of retired age (59/65+) % of retired age (59/65+) % Change Date: April 2003 Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester Beswick and Clayton North West GB Source % non-white population 1991 2001 3.9 - 4.5 - 4.2 - 12.6 19.0 3.7 5.6 6.2 9.1 1991 Census of Population 2001 Census of Population *GB refers to England 1991 2001 2.5 - 2.4 - 2.4 - 4.7 4.5 0.7 0.6 1.9 2.3 1991 Census of Population 2001 Census of Population *GB refers to England 1991 2001 0.2 0.7 0.5 5.4 9.1 2.2 3.4 3.0 4.6 1991 Census of Population 2001 Census of Population *GB refers to England 1991 2001 1.2 1.4 1.3 2.6 2.2 0.8 0.6 1.3 0.9 1991 Census of Population 2001 Census of Population *GB refers to England 1991 2001 - - - 3.2 0.9 1.3 1991 Census of Population : no data for ‘mixed’ as not used identified separately in the 1991 census. 2001 Census of Population *GB refers to England 1991 2001 4,880 - 4,927 - 9,807 - 169,011 167,451 2,654,027 2,715,052 21,802,788 24,479,439 1998 ILD Rank 2000 IMD District Rank - - - 3 3 - - % Black population % Indian/Pakistani/Bangladesh % Chinese/Other % Mixed No. of households with residents 1991 Census of Population 2001 Census of Population Rank of Deprivation Date: April 2003 1998 Index of Local Deprivation 2000 Index of Multiple Deprivation Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford Beswick and Clayton EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester North West GB Source 2000 Index of Multiple Deprivation Rank: out of 8,414 wards - most deprived =1 Overall Rank Income Domain Rank Employment Domain Rank Health Domain Rank Education Domain Rank Housing Domain Rank Access Rank Child Poverty Rank DTLR 2000 Index of Multiple Deprivation, www.statistics.gov.uk 22 43 37 39 294 723 7,523 181 17 57 67 41 111 593 7,197 95 3 3 3 - - - - 6,514 6,916 +6.2 5,534 4,532 -18.1 12,048 11,449 -5.0 257,708 289,875 +12.5 2,614,746 2,887,026 +10.4 22,728,869 25,456,421 +12.0 Annual Business Inquiry (NOMIS) 86.0 78.7 84.2 74.3 85.1 77.0 74.9 72.4 71.3 69.3 71.4 69.3 Annual Business Inquiry (NOMIS) 14.0 21.3 15.8 25.7 14.9 23.0 25.1 27.1 28.7 30.7 28.6 30.7 Annual Business Inquiry (NOMIS) 3.2 - 3.0 - 3.1 - 4.8 4.6 6.8 7.0 7.8 8.3 391 383 -2.1 314 326 +3.8 705 709 +0.6 14,196 16,640 +17.2 210,396 226,748 +7.8 1,968,605 2,168,711 +10.2 Manchester – district rank, out of 354 districts – most deprived = 1 Business Profile Number of employees in employment 1995 2001 % Change % of employees in Full-Time employment 1995 2001 % of employees in Part-Time employment 1995 2001 % of 16-74 year olds who are economically active and are in self-employment 1991 2001 1991 Census of Population 2001 Census of Population *GB refers to England No. of businesses 1995 2001 % change Date: April 2003 Annual Business Inquiry (NOMIS) Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator No. of businesses employing less than 200 people 1995 2001 % change % employing in 1995: 0-9 employees 10-49 employees 50-199 employees 200+ employees % employing in 2001: 0-9 employees 10-49 employees 50-199 employees 200+ employees % total business registrations 1995: Stocks at start of year VAT registrations (business start-ups) VAT de-registrations (business failures) Churn (Reg’s-Dereg’s) Registrations as a % of stock Registrations per 10,000 population % total business registrations 2001: Stocks at Start of Year VAT registrations (business start-ups) VAT de-registrations (business failures) Churn (Reg’s-Dereg’s) Registrations as a % of stock Registrations per 10,000 population Date: April 2003 Bradford EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester Beswick and Clayton North West GB 386 375 -2.9 310 325 +4.8 696 700 0.5 13,976 16,422 +17.5 208,834 224,993 +7.7 1,955,371 2,153,409 +10.1 15.8 31.1 26.0 27.1 14.1 28.8 30.8 26.4 15.0 30.0 28.2 26.4 14.4 23.5 21.0 41.4 18.8 27.1 23.2 30.9 20.0 26.0 23.9 30.1 15.6 23.2 24.3 36.8 20.1 36.4 34.7 8.7 17.4 28.5 28.4 25.7 14.6 21.7 23.6 40.2 20.0 25.3 24.2 30.5 21.0 25.0 23.9 30.1 - - - 9,995 1,285 1,215 +70 12.6 29.8 159,875 15,915 18,445 -2,530 9.6 23.1 1,556,960 160,360 170,095 -9,735 10.3 28.1 240 - 205 - 445 - 11,840 1,295 1,750 -455 15.5 33.0 161,765 17,565 16,175 +1,390 10.9 26.1 1,609,485 171,810 159,295 +12,515 10.7 29.2 Source Annual Business Inquiry (NOMIS) Annual Business Inquiry (NOMIS) Annual Business Inquiry (NOMIS) Interdepartmental Business Register (NOMIS) Mid Year Population Estimates (ONS) Interdepartmental Business Register (NOMIS) 2001 Census of Population Neighbourhood Statistics: ward level information is for March 2000 Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford % employment by sector 1995: Agriculture & Fishing Energy & Water Manufacturing Construction Distribution, Hotels & Restaurants Transport & Communications Banking, Finance & Insurance etc. Public Administration, Education & Health Other Services Total % employment by sector 2001: Agriculture & Fishing Energy & Water Manufacturing Construction Distribution, Hotels & Restaurants Transport & Communications Banking, Finance & Insurance etc. Public Administration, Education & Health Other Services Total Indicators of Deprivation Unemployment: December 1996: Persons Rate Date: April 2003 Beswick and Clayton EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester North West GB 0.0 0.0 27.7 3.6 27.2 5.2 4.5 30.3 1.5 100 0.1 0.0 47.6 4.4 16.2 13.2 3.7 13.1 1.6 100 0.0 0.0 36.8 4.0 22.2 8.9 4.1 22.4 1.6 100 0.0 0.7 10.2 2.3 21.3 11.5 22.6 27.4 4.0 100 0.8 0.8 20.5 4.0 23.6 5.8 15.0 25.0 4.4 100 1.2 1.0 17.6 4.0 23.6 5.9 17.8 24.3 4.7 100 0.0 0.0 14.5 8.7 28.4 1.7 13.0 32.9 0.9 100 0.0 0.0 31.8 5.5 25.2 3.4 6.5 24.5 3.1 100 0.0 0.0 21.3 7.5 27.1 2.3 10.4 29.6 1.7 100 0.0 0.6 6.8 2.7 20.5 9.6 26.6 28.4 4.7 100 0.6 0.7 16.4 4.6 24.9 5.9 16.2 26.1 4.6 100 1.0 0.8 14.2 4.5 24.3 6.1 19.6 24.3 5.2 100 949 20.2 707 15.8 1,656 18.1 23,962 8.1 222,213 6.8 1,796,266 6.2 Source Annual Business Inquiry (NOMIS) Annual Business Inquiry (NOMIS) Office of National Statistics (NOMIS) wholly unemployed claimants. Note ward based unemployment rates are based on 1991 economically active figures. Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester Beswick and Clayton North West GB 112,956 3.4 885,353 3.0 Unemployment December 2002 502 10.7 Persons 397 8.9 899 9.8 13,297 4.3 Source Office of National Statistics (NOMIS) wholly unemployed claimants. Rate Note ward based unemployment rates are based on 1991 economically active figures. % of all claimants, December 1996, Youth (18-25 years) Unemployment Office of National Statistics (NOMIS) claimant count, age and duration % of all claimants No. % of all claimants, December 2002, Youth (18-25 years) Unemployment % of all claimants No. % of all claimants, December 1996, Longterm (one year or more) Unemployment % of all claimants No. % of all claimants, December 2002, Longterm (one year or more) Unemployment % of all claimants No. % Persons 16-74 years of age Economically Active, 1991 % No. % Persons 16-74 years of age Economically Active, 2001 % No. Date: April 2003 31.9 303 32.2 228 32.1 531 30.5 7,300 28.4 63,089 25.5 458,914 Office of National Statistics (NOMIS) claimant count, age and duration 29.5 148 33.5 133 31.3 281 30.8 4,097 29.7 33,499 26.0 230,303 Office of National Statistics (NOMIS) claimant count, age and duration 43.4 412 43.3 306 43.4 718 39.9 9,568 34.1 75,876 36.3 652,310 Office of National Statistics (NOMIS) claimant count, age and duration 22.1 111 16.1 64 19.5 175 19.5 2,599 15.6 17,597 15.2 134,952 59.2 4,691 56.8 4,472 58.0 9,163 60.3 171,853 65.2 3,166,647 67.2 23,044,619 - - 66.0 - 55.8 159,127 63.9 3,093,186 66.9 23,756,707 1991 Census of Population *GB refers to England 2001 Census. *GB refers to England NDC, taken from the 2002 Residents Survey. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone. Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester Beswick and Clayton North West GB Source % Persons 16-74 years of age Economically Inactive, 1991 1991 Census of Population *GB refers to England % No. 40.8 3,239 43.2 3,401 42.0 6,640 39.7 113,361 34.8 1,691,884 32.8 11,242,064 % Persons 16-74 years of age Economically Inactive, 2001 % No. - - 34.0 - 44.2 125,867 28.0 2,215 26.9 2,205 27.5 4,420 18.1 58,870 43.8 2,121,411 33.1 11,775,384 16+ Population, August 1998: Income Support 2001 Census. *GB refers to England NDC, taken from the 2002 Residents Survey. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone,. www.statistics.gov.uk Population figures taken from Oxford University 1998 population estimates % No. 16+ Population, August 1999: 25.4 2,010 Income Support 25.9 2,125 25.7 4,135 17.6 57,340 % No. 16+ Population, May 1998: Disability Living Allowance % No. 8.9 705 8.7 715 8.8 1,420 6.8 22,150 16+ Population, May 1999: Disability Living Allowance % No. Date: April 2003 8.5 670 8.8 725 8.7 1,395 6.9 22,470 12.0 - 9.0 - www.statistics.gov.uk Population figures taken from Oxford University 1998 population estimates North West/GB figure taken from Regional Trends. GB refers to England. www.statistics.gov.uk Population figures taken from Oxford University 1998 population estimates www.statistics.gov.uk Population figures taken from Oxford University 1998 population estimates Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester Beswick and Clayton North West GB Source 16+ Population, December 1998: 16.4 1,300 Incapacity Benefit 14.9 1,225 15.7 2,525 www.statistics.gov.uk Population figures taken from Oxford University 1998 population estimates 10.4 33,890 % No. 16+ Population, December 1999: 15.5 1,225 Incapacity Benefit 14.8 1,215 15.2 2,440 www.statistics.gov.uk Population figures taken from Oxford University 1998 population estimates 10.2 33,295 % No. % households receiving income support and housing benefit 1999 2002 - - 54.1 32.9 27.1 26.4 - - % households receiving standard housing benefit 1999 2002 - - 16.5 43.7 12.7 11.9 - - % No. 67.3 3,284 67.7 3,333 67.5 6,617 56.6 95,651 37.4 994,482 32.4 6,442,466 1991 Census of Population *GB refers to England and Wales % No. - - - 47.8 80,018 30.2 849,769 26.8 5,802,183 2001 Census of Population GB refers to England and Wales NDC, 1999 figures taken from 1999 Local Authority Records, 2002 taken from 2002 Local Authority Records. East Manchester refers to the Beacons Regeneration Zone. NDC, 1999 figures taken from 1999 Local Authority Records, 2002 taken from 2002 Local Authority Records. East Manchester refers to the Beacons Regeneration Zone. Households with no car Households with no car Date: April 2003 Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator % income by range –estimated net household income excluding housing benefit, 1999 Less than £60 £61-99 £100-200 £201-300 £301+ % income by range –estimated net household income excluding housing benefit, 2002 Less than £60 £61-99 £100-200 £201-300 £301+ Earnings, 2002 Gross Weekly Pay £ % households in financial difficulties 1999 2002 % households with access to a bank account 1999 2002 Date: April 2003 Bradford EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester Beswick and Clayton - - - - 320.31 17.0 36.0 24.0 6.0 11.0 - North West GB - Source - 7.0 28.0 31.0 11.0 23.0 - - - 370.93 342.35 411.44 358.14 386.54 - - 49.0 26.0 - - - - - 65.0 67.0 - - 84.0 - NDC, taken from Perceptions Survey 1999 Residents NDC, taken from Perceptions Survey 2002 Residents Office of National Statistics (NOMIS) New Earnings Survey NDC taken from the 1999 and 2002 Residents Perceptions Survey. East Manchester refers to Beacons Regeneration Zone. NDC taken from the 1999 and 2002 Residents Perceptions Survey. East Manchester refers to Beacons Regeneration Zone. GB refers to UK and is sourced from the 1996/97 General Household Survey. Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford Beswick and Clayton EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester North West GB Education % Key Stage 2, Level 4, 1999 Ashbury Community Primary School English Maths Science 57 57 67 English Maths Science 67 63 75 61.1 61.3 70.8 69.7 68.2 77.9 Source DfES School Performance Tables. No data is available for Corpus Christi with St Anne RC Primary School Bank Meadow Primary School Clayton Brook Primary School English Maths Science CofE School of the Resurrection English Maths Science Corpus Christi with St. Anne RC Primary School English Maths Science Higher Openshaw Community School English Maths Science Ravensbury Junior and Infant School English Maths Science Seymour Road Primary School English Maths Science Date: April 2003 61 76 76 83 92 96 41 43 50 52 72 82 Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford Beswick and Clayton EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester North West GB Source St. Barnabas’ CofE Primary School English Maths Science 18 23 23 English Maths Science 70 78 74 English Maths Science 71 61 87 English Maths Science 76 71 82 English Maths Science 57 54 74 St Bridid’s RC Primary School St. Clement’s CofE Primary School St Willibrord’s RC Primary School Varna Street Primary School Date: April 2003 Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford Beswick and Clayton EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester North West GB Source % Key Stage 2, Level 4, 2002 Ashbury Community Primary School English Maths Science 64 79 79 English Maths Science 69 69 94 English Maths Science - English Maths Science Corpus Christi with St. Anne RC Primary School English Maths Science 91 86 91 65.7 67.5 80.4 75 73 86 DfES School Performance Tables. No data is available for Corpus Christi with St Anne RC Primary School Bank Meadow Primary School Clayton Brook Primary School CofE School of the Resurrection Date: April 2003 53 47 53 Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Higher Openshaw Community School English Maths Science Ravensbury Junior and Infant School English Maths Science Seymour Road Primary School English Maths Science St. Barnabas’ CofE Primary School English Maths Science St Brigid’s RC Primary School English Maths Science St. Clement’s CofE Primary School English Maths Science St Willibrord’s RC Primary School English Maths Science Varna Street Primary School English Maths Science Date: April 2003 Bradford Beswick and Clayton EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester North West GB Source 68 68 79 58 71 76 47 47 63 80 88 96 70 90 90 73 85 96 84 100 100 70 62 80 Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator % Key Stage 2 pupils with SEN, 2002 Ashbury Community Primary School Bank Meadow Primary School Clayton Brook Primary School CofE School of the Resurrection Corpus Christi with St. Anne RC Primary School Higher Openshaw Community School Ravensbury Junior and Infant School Seymour Road Primary School St. Barnabas’ CofE Primary School St Brigid’s RC Primary School St. Clement’s CofE Primary School St Willibrord’s RC Primary School Varna Street Primary School GCSE’s, 1999 Cedar Mount High School 5+ GCSE’s A*-C 5+ GCSE’s A-G No GCSE’s St Peter’s RC High School 5+ GCSE’s A*-C 5+ GCSE’s A-G No GCSE’s Wright Robinson Sports College 5+ GCSE’s A*-C 5+ GCSE’s A-G No GCSE’s Date: April 2003 Bradford Beswick and Clayton EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester North West GB Source DfES School Performance tables 28.6 31.3 77.3 13.3 8.9 18.4 24 43.3 20.0 - 30.2 79.1 10.1 47.9 88.5 6.0 DfES School Performance Tables *Data missing for Cedar Mount High School and St. Peter’s RC High School 32 80 2 Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford GCSE’s, 2002 Cedar Mount High School, 2002 5+ GCSE’s A*-C 5+ GCSE’s A-G No GCSE’s St Peter’s RC High School 5+ GCSE’s A*-C 5+ GCSE’s A-G No GCSE’s Wright Robinson Sports College 5+ GCSE’s A*-C 5+ GCSE’s A-G No GCSE’s A-levels/GNVQ, average point score per student MANCAT, 1999 MANCAT, 2002 School attendance rates: Primary 1999 2002 Beswick and Clayton EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester North West GB Source DfES School Performance Tables 16 56 26 33.3 77.9 12.6 51.5 88.9 5.4 20 66 22 43 85 6 DfES School Performance Tables 9.5 7.9 10.6 14.7 9.9 17.4 90 92.7 91.2 92.6 91 94.2 1999 2002 79 83.4 85.3 87.8 93.8 91.3 Destinations of Year 11 leavers, 1999 % into employment % into higher and further education % into other training % unemployed % other 16.0 46.8 7.0 11.6 - 10.0 53.0 6.0 - - School attendance rates: Secondary Date: April 2003 NDC, taken from DfEE in 1999, and Manchester LEA in 2002. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone. NDC, taken from DfEE in 1999, and Manchester LEA in 2002. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone. NDC, taken from 1999 Career Partnership. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone - indicates missing data Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester Beswick and Clayton Destinations of Year 11 leavers, 2002 % into employment % into higher and further education % into other training % unemployed % other Residents satisfaction in quality of local schools %, 1999 %, 2002 Residents happy with the quality of the schools %, 1999 %, 2002 Working age population with basic skills deficiencies, 2000 % with very low/low literacy % with low numeracy % of working age with qualifications, 1999 None GCSE A-C or equivalent, (1 or more) A levels ( 1 or more) Degree % with qualifications of some form % of working age with qualifications, 2002 None GCSE A-C or equivalent, (1 or more) A levels ( 1 or more) Degree % with qualifications of some form Date: April 2003 12.7 64.3 7.0 8.2 7.8 North West GB 16.0 60.0 3.0 10.0 4.0 Source - NDC, taken from Better Choices Ltd, 2002. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone NDC, taken from 1999 and 2002 Resident Perceptions Survey. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone. NDC, taken from 1999 and 2002 Resident Perceptions Survey. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone. Basic Skills Agency, 2000 69 76.5 86 89 27.3 30.95 25.5 29.92 - 20.4 21 25.6 26.5 24.0 24.0 - - 8.0 21.0 4.0 2.0 61.0 - - - - - 43.0 24.0 7.0 1.0 57.0 - - - NDC, taken from the 1999 Skills Audit NDC, taken from the 2002 Resident Skills Survey Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator % of working age with qualifications, 1999 None NVQ L1 NVQ L2 NVQ L3 NVQ L4+ Other qualifications Trade Apprenticeships % of working age with qualifications, 2001 None NVQ L1 NVQ L2 NVQ L3 NVQ L4+ Other qualifications Trade Apprenticeships Housing Tenure, 1991, % of all households Owner-occupier, owned outright Owner-occupier, buying Renting privately Housing Association Local Authority Tenure, 2001, % of all households Owner-occupier, owned outright Owner-occupier, buying Owner-occupied, shared Renting privately Housing Association/RSL Local Authority Rented from Other Date: April 2003 Bradford EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester Beswick and Clayton North West GB Source Local Labour Force Survey, ONS - - - 16.6 15.6 14.5 8.2 12.8 22.6 9.7 19.0 15.4 15.1 9.6 13.0 19.7 8.2 25.2 10.9 11.2 6.6 16.7 19.4 10.1 - - - 16.4 15.1 14.8 13.9 23.7 8.9 7.3 18.9 15.6 15.5 14.5 21.2 6.7 7.7 25.4 11.0 11.7 15.2 24.4 6.7 5.7 13.4 22.8 13.3 13.6 36.9 9.6 18.4 9.3 12.6 50.1 11.5 20.6 11.3 13.1 43.6 14.8 26.4 13.1 7.3 38.4 25.2 42.9 7.4 3.7 20.8 23.8 42.6 9.0 3.1 21.2 - - - 16.8 24.3 0.7 15.0’ 10.8 28.6 3.8 29.8 38.9 0.6 7.7 6.5 13.6 3.0 29.5 38.8 0.6 8.7 5.9 13.2 3.3 Local Labour Force Survey, ONS 1991 Census of Population 2001 Census of Population Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford Average House Prices, Oct-Dec 1998 Detached Semi-detached Terraced Flat/Maisonette Overall Average House Prices, Oct-Dec 2002 Detached Semi-detached Terraced Flat/Maisonette Overall Housing Void Rates 1999 2002 EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester Beswick and Clayton North West GB Source - - 16,500 18,722 18,810 107,296 58,132 39,429 58,281 54,075 108,584 57,717 37,638 50,817 61,218 - - - 51,307 22,416 25,876 198,697 93,423 50,983 115,036 84,700 179,390 92,432 54,356 94,020 91,457 - % turnover in social housing per annum 23.5 25.7 In demand, 1999 In demand, 2002 Low demand, 1999 Low demand, 2002 Non demand, 1999, Non-demand, 2002 Council Tax Banding, 1999 A B C D-H % residents satisfied with home 1999 2002 6.5 21.0 29.3 23.0 64.0 53.0 % of social housing stock Date: April 2003 96.6 3.0 0.4 0.0 75 82 Land Registry. An average of M11 is the postcode district being used as a proxy for house prices in the area. NDC, taken from 1999 Local Authority Records, and 2002 Council Tax Records. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone. NDC, taken from 1999 Local Authority Records, and 2002 Local Authority Records. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone. NDC, taken from 1999 Local Authority Records, and 2002 Local Authority Records. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone. 16 12.2 1999 2002 Land Registry. An average of M11 is the postcode district being used as a proxy for house prices in the area. 70.0 12.7 11.0 6.2 25.9 19.4 21.8 33.0 NDC, taken from Council Information. GB refers to UK. Tax NDC, taken from 1999 and 2002 Resident Perceptions Survey. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone. Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford % residents rate home in good condition 1999 2002 % residents with plans to move outside the area 1999 2002 % of residents with plans to move who attribute their reasons for moving as wanting a better neighbourhood 1999 2002 Beswick and Clayton EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester North West GB Source NDC, taken from 1999 and 2002 Resident Perceptions Survey. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone. NDC, taken from 1999 and 2002 Resident Perceptions Survey. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone. NDC, taken from 1999 and 2002 Resident Perceptions Survey. East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone. 53 75 76 75 29 9 Health SMR’s, 1999 All Cancer Cancer-lung Ischaemic heart disease All circulatory diseases All causes 137 226 155 145 147 128 172 141 139 141 100 100 100 100 100 All Cancer Cancer-lung Ischaemic heart disease All circulatory diseases All causes 179 295 225 217 221 139 190 152 149 154 100 100 100 100 100 10.9 10.3 6.7 9.7 7.8 7.6 SMR’s, 2002 Low birth weight babies 1999 2002 NDC, taken from the 1997 North West Region Small Area Database, and 19982000 NHS Exec NW Small Area Database East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone, GB refers to UK NDC, taken from the 1997 North West Region Small Area Database, and 19982000 NHS Exec NW Small Area Database East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone, GB refers to UK NDC, taken from 1997 ONS Birth Extracts, and ONS Planning Studies, East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone, GB refers to UK Date: April 2003 Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester Beswick and Clayton Under 18 conception rates per 1000 girls aged 15-17 1999 2002 North West GB NDC, taken from ONS Planning Studies and ONS Conceptions Data 114.7 113.9 62.9 58.1 18.8 4,189 17.4 66,063 45.9 46 Long-term illness in HH, 1991 Limiting long population, 2001 term illness, % % No. of all % No. 18.3 2,007 19.3 2,182 Residents satisfaction with: Accessibility to sports leisure facilities Provision of sports and leisure facilities provision of parks/green spaces children play facilities Date: April 2003 14.3 926,642 East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone, GB refers to UK 1991 Census of Population 12.7 6,674,358 2001 Census of Population *GB refers t to England - - - Number of registered drug users 1999 2002 Recreation, Leisure and access to services 1999 Satisfaction with neighbourhood Neighbourhood is getting better Neighbourhood is getting worse Source 188 156 46 17 52 21.5 84,507 20.7 1,394,609 17.9 8,809,194 NDC, taken from Manchester University Drug Abuse Research Team NDC, taken from the 1999 Residents Perception Survey East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone 18 10 28 8 Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Bradford Beswick and Clayton EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester 2002 Satisfaction with neighbourhood Neighbourhood is getting better Neighbourhood is getting worse Residents satisfaction with: Accessibility to sports leisure facilities Provision of sports and leisure facilities provision of parks/green spaces children play facilities No. of tenant and resident associations 1999 2002 No. of residents feeling closely involved with their community 1999 2002 59 52 30 GB Source NDC, taken from the 2002 Residents Perception Survey East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone 61 50 75 38 21 44 NDC, taken from the 1999 and 2002 Residents Perception Survey East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone NDC, taken from the 1999 and 2002 Residents Perception Survey 25 56 Community spirit 2002 North West 59 East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone NDC, taken from the 2002 Residents Perception Survey East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone NDC, taken from the 1999 and 2002 Residents Perception Survey Level of satisfaction with neighbourhood: % satisfied 1999 2002 46 59 Residents satisfaction with access to shops 1999 2002 88 90 East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone NDC, taken from the 1999 and 2002 Residents Perception Survey East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone Date: April 2003 Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Residents satisfaction with medium/large supermarket Bradford access Beswick and Clayton EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester GB to 1999 2002 Crime No. recorded crimes and offences per 1,000 households – burglary 1999 2002 Residents feeling unsafe walking in the area after dark 1999 2002 Source NDC, taken from the 1999 and 2002 Residents Perception Survey 75 89 East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone NDC, taken from 1999 and 2002 Greater Manchester Police figures 81.3 52.8 72.6 22.7 NDC, taken from the 1999 and 2002 Residents Perception Survey 63 55 Residents who feel the area is less safe than 2 years ago 1999 2002 53 26 Residents experiencing neighbour problems in the last 2 years, 1999 Victim of assault Attempted theft of vehicle Theft of motor vehicle Attempted burglary Burglary Vandalism to property Theft from garden/shed Theft from/damage to vehicle 7 20 13 21 21 19 21 31 Date: April 2003 North West East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone NDC, taken from the 1999 and 2002 Residents Perception Survey East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone NDC, taken from the 1999 Residents Perception Survey East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone Appendix C : Statistical Baseline To What Extent has the Commonwealth Games Accelerated the Physical, Social, and Economic Regeneration of East Manchester? Indicator Residents experiencing neighbour problems in the last 2 years, 2002 Victim of assault Attempted theft of vehicle Theft of motor vehicle Attempted burglary Burglary Vandalism to property Theft from garden/shed Theft from/damage to vehicle Date: April 2003 Bradford Beswick and Clayton EAST MANCHESTER BASELINE PROFILE East Manchester Manchester North West GB Source NDC, taken from the 2002 Residents Perception Survey 10 11 8 11 16 13 13 15 East Manchester refers to the Beacons regeneration zone Appendix C : Statistical Baseline
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