43.1 Define discount factor and use a discount function to compute present and future values. 1. Fundamentals of bond valuation: present-value-based bond valuation model Step 1. Estimate the cash flows over the life of the bond. Step 2. Determine the appropriate discount rate. Step 3. Calculate the present value of the estimated cash flows. where Asimpleexample: Suppose a 5-year fixed income security exists with $1,000 face value and a 20% coupon rate. The appropriate discount rate is 16% and the coupons are paid on a semiannual basis. The calculator solution is: 2. Quotation conventions: Bonds are quoted on a percentage basis relative to par value $100 Types of bonds Quotation U.S. Treasury notes and bonds 1/32 92-8 Corporate and municipal bonds 1/8 101-1 -12+ Example (92+8/32)% of par value (101+1/8)% of par value (101+12.5/32)% of par value 2 3. Discount factors where discount function 0 the present value of $1 to be received at the end of the period t t 1 Note: The future value of $1 invested for time t is 0 t 1 Example1:Calculatingdiscountfactors Treasury bond 1 2 3 4 5 Prices are from 5/17/14, with t+2 settlement Coupon Maturity 4.25% 11/19/14 7.25% 5/19/15 2.00% 11/19/15 12.00% 5/19/16 5.75% 11/19/16 Please generate the discount factors for the dates indicated. Ans: 0 0.5 0 0.5 Time to Maturity 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 1 Discount Factor 0.9939 0.9880 0.9825 0.9731 0.9633 3 Price 101-16 105-31+ 101-07 120-30 110-13+ 43.2 arbitrage argument, and describe how it can be applied to bond pricing. 43.5 Identify arbitrage opportunities for fixed income securities with certain cash flows. 43.4 Construct a replicating portfolio using multiple fixed income securities to match the cash flows of a given fixed income security. 1. Law of one price: Two securities or portfolios that have identical cash flows in the future, regardless of future events, should have the same price. 2. Arbitrage profit: profit without investing any money or being exposed to any risk. (i.e. earn the riskless return) Example2:Identifyarbitrageopportunities Maturity YTM Coupon (annual payments) Price (% of par) 1y 2y 2y 4% 8% 8% 0% 0% 8% 96.154 85.734 100.000 The 2-year spot rate is 8.167%. Is there an arbitrage opportunity? If so, describe the trades necessary to exploit the arbitrary opportunity. Ans: 8%<8.167% means the bond is trading rich i.e., the bond price is too high Suppose that the par value is 1,000,000 : ( ) Arbitragestrategyandcashflowdiagram Strategy Buy a $1,000,000 of 2-year, 8% coupon bond -1,000,000 +80,000 Short sell a $80,000 of 1-year ZCB at 96.154 +76,923.20 -80,000 Short sell a $1,080,000 of 2-year ZCB at 85.734 Total +925,927.20 +2,850.40 4 +1,080,000 -1,080,000 0 0 43.3 Identify the components of a U.S. Treasury coupon bonds, and compare and contrast the structure to Treasury STRIPS, including the difference between P-STRIPS and C-STRIPS. 1. STRIPS: to separate trading of registered interest and principle securities Zero-coupon bonds issued by the Treasury are called STRIPS. -STRIPS, TP, P) and coupon (C-STRIPS, TINTs, INTs). The Treasury can retire a STRIP by gathering the components to reconstitute the coupon bond. Advantages Disadvantages ZCB can be easily used to create any type of cash Illiquid ( created by larger financial institutions) flow stream and thus match asset with liability Shorter-term C-STRIPS tend to trade rich. cash flows. This mitigates reinvestment risk. Longer-term C-STRIPS tend to trade cheap. ZCB are more sensitive to interest rate changes P-STRIPS typically trade at fair. than coupon bonds. This could be an issue for Large institutions can potentially profit from asset-liability management or hedging STRIPS mispricing. purposes. 2. Treasury STRIPS: The Treasury does not issue zero-coupon notes and bonds. However, because of the demand for zero-coupon instruments with nocreditrisk and a maturity larger than one year, the private sectors have created such securities called Treasury STRIPS. Example3:IdentifySTRIPS Which of the following statements about STRIPS is correct? STRIPS: I. have less interest rate sensitivity than coupon bonds. II. tend to be highly liquid. A. I only. B. II only. C. Both I and II. D. Neither I nor II. Ans: D 5 43.6 accrued interest with respec ect to bond pricing. 43.7 Describe the common day--count conventions used in bond priciing. Quoted price (Flat price/Clean price) Full price (Dirty price) Accrued interest Dirty price = Quoted p price + Accrued interest since last coup upon date Fullprice: the price paid by a bu buyer Quotedprice: the price appeariing on trading screen Accrued interest 106 days Feb. 15, 2014 Previous coupon payment date 75 days Jun. 1. 201 2014 Settlementt date Aug. 15, 2014 Next coupon payment date Actual/Actual U.S. Treasury bond bonds onds, municipal bonds, and bonds issued d by U.S. government U.S. corporate bo 30/360 Actual/360 agencies U.S. Money markket instruments Example4:Computingaccruedin nterest A $1,000 par value U.S. corporate e bond pays a semiannual 10% coupon. Assume A the last coupon was paid 90 days ago and there a are 30 days in each month. Compute the accrued a interest. Ans: 6
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