GENDER AND TAXATION: INCIDENCE OF INDIRECT TAXES PINAKI CHAKRABORTY LEKHA CHAKRABORTY KRISHANU KARMAKAR May 2009 NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC FINANCE AND POLICY NEW DELHI – 110 067 Preface This study has been undertaken at NIPFP in collaboration with University of Kwazulu-Natal, South Africa and American University, Washington DC. The research team for the study was led by Pinaki Chakraborty; & Lekha Chakraborty. The Governing Body of the Institute does not take any responsibility for the contents of this study; it belongs to the authors only. M. Govinda Rao Director Gender and Taxation: Incidence of Indirect Taxes 1. Introduction The standard principle of public finance suggests that in the process of development, the tax structure should move from indirect to direct taxes and within direct taxes it should move from corporate tax to income tax and, in case of indirect taxes, it should move from foreign trade taxation to domestic indirect taxation (see Ahmed and Stern: 1991, Newbery and Stern: 1987). However, historically, it has been noted that “dependence on indirect taxes, particularly taxes on domestic trade, is however, greater in India than in many other countries at similar levels of development and, contrary to the trend observed in other countries, the transition of tax structure associated with economic development (Hinrichs: 1966) has not come about even after significant increase in the levels of income and shifts in the structure of the economy over the past four decades.” (Bagchi: 1997, pp-104-105). It has also been noted that “the fundamentals of Indian tax structure have changed little since the Government of India Act in 1935 set out the basic assignments of revenues and responsibilities to the centre and the states. The assignments were subsequently embodied in the Indian Constitution of 1947. However, in terms of the relative importance of the sources of revenue, there have been important changes. For example, land revenue has declined almost to the point of insignificance and the salt tax has been abolished, whilst excises, sales taxes and customs duties have increased greatly” (Burgess and Stern: 1994, pp-44). Also, in the post reforms period since 1990s, the share of direct taxes in total tax has been increasing steadily. India has a very complicated tax structure. In a three-tier federal fiscal system, Seventh Schedule of the Constitution has divided the tax power between centre and states. As per the assignment of taxes, different taxes collected by the Union government are commonly known as the Central taxes that can be further classified into the Direct and Indirect taxes. The main components of the Direct Central Taxes are the Personal Income Tax and the Corporate Income Tax1. The Customs duties and Excise duties are the major indirect taxes collected by the Union government. On the other hand, the States collect taxes mainly in the form of Sales tax (now 1 The direct taxes virtually have lost its relevance at the state level. 1 VAT), State Excise duty on liquor, Stamps and Registration Fee, Taxes on Transport and other minor taxes. The central government also has the power of taxing services. But the service tax is introduced on a standalone basis and is not integrated with the goods tax. The Central Government and the all the state governments together are contemplating introduction of integrated Goods and Services Tax (GST) from the fiscal year 2010-11, which should change the structure of taxation in India on a permanent basis. Apart from the central and state level taxes, there are few revenue sources that are with the local governments, mainly property taxes, entertainment tax and other minor taxes. However, the share of local taxes in the combined revenues of all levels of governments is negligible. If we look at the recent history of taxation in India, the Central government undertook major tax reform programme since 1991 and states have also followed subsequently by introducing rapid reforms in indirect taxes by replacing the origin based sales tax system by destination based value added tax in 2005. These reform measures are structural in nature and have considerably influenced the tax structure and revenue mobilization at the central level, and have the potential to do so at the state level. Initial indications suggest that rapid reform in state level consumption taxes have resulted in higher revenue mobilization and helped removing certain distortions in the consumption tax system. In this backdrop we evaluate the level of taxation in relation to GDP. The long run trend in tax-GDP ratio shown in figure 1 taking both central and all the state governments together revealed that the combined tax ratio, which was little more than 5 per cent of GDP during 1 st half 1950s, increased to more than 16 per cent of GDP during the mid 1980s. With the introduction of rapid tax reforms during the economic reforms during the 1990s, though resulted in a decline in the tax to GDP ratio, it started showing an increasing trend from the early 2000 reaching to the mid 1980 level. 2 20 15 10 5 0 19 50 -5 19 1 54 -5 19 5 58 -5 19 9 62 -6 19 3 66 -6 19 7 70 -7 19 1 74 -7 19 5 78 -7 19 9 82 -8 19 3 86 -8 19 7 90 -9 19 1 94 -9 19 5 98 -9 20 9 02 -0 3 (Per cent to GDP) Figure 1: Tax to GDP Ratio: 1950-51 to 2004-05 Direct Indirect Total It is also to be noted that the decline in tax-to GDP ratio was primarily due to the fall in central revenues due to the fall in both the customs duty and Union excise duty. However, during the 1990’s, the direct tax effort increased sharply. It should be noted that as Indian tax structure is heavily dependent on the indirect taxes2, the increase in the direct tax revenue effort could not compensate the resultant revenue loss arising out of the decline in the tax effort of the indirect taxes. While commenting on government’s excessive dependence on indirect taxes to mobilise resources, Burger and Stern (1994) noted that excise, sales and customs ‘taken the strain’ and in the process an adhoc structure has arisen with new goods being brought into the tax net and rates on certain goods being increased in response to the pressure on revenues3. In case of indirect taxes, significant reform is the introduction of VAT in the fiscal year 2005-06 by 21 states. Now except, Uttar Pradesh, all other states have introduced Value Added Tax. 2 "Heavy reliance on indirect taxation is not unusual for a country in the early stage of development. Low levels of income of the majority of the people, inadequate spread of accounting practices and tax evasion have severely restricted realisation from income tax. In this situation, the government has little option but to have recourse to indirect taxation to raise resources for development. Growth of industrial production and expansion of trade have also provided scope for mobilising resources through commodity taxes on production and trade." (LTFP:1985, p.22) 3 “On average, developing countries obtain the bulk of their revenue from (i) domestic taxes on goods and services (5 % of GDP and 30 % of tax revenue-partly from taxes on sales and partly from excises), (ii) foreign trade taxes (5 % of GDPmainly import duties) and (iii) income taxes ( 6 % of GDP-mainly on corporations). In contrast, the three big sources of government revenue in industrial countries are (i) income taxes (11 % of GDP and 36 % of tax revenue-mainly on individuals), (ii) domestic taxes on goods and services (9 % of GDP and 28 % of tax revenue-mainly on sales) and (iii) social security contributions (9 % of GDP). It must be recognised that whilst these figures portray an average, there is a great deal of variation across countries in both the level of tax and non-tax revenue and the balance within and between them” (Burgess and Stern: 1994, pp.48-49). 3 The VAT is the only alternative to the current system of sales taxation, which apart from cascading of tax through production of inputs, creates economic distortions through multiple tax rates, selective exemptions and incentives. A proper design of VAT is critical to achieve the desired outcome of value added taxation. As per the consensus achieved among the states, recommended VAT rates are three, viz., 1 per cent, 4 per cent and 12.5 per cent. While, the 1 per cent rate is applicable to jewellary, the 4 per cent rate is applicable to inputs and some items of basic necessities, the 12.5 per cent rate is the general rate applied to residual commodity group. While exports are zero rated, each state is given the flexibility to exempt few goods of local importance from VAT. Four commodities, viz. Liquor, Petrol, Diesel and Aviation Fuel are kept outside the VAT and the floor rates for these commodities are 20 per cent. Also, Textile, Tobacco and Sugar are not taxed by the states but an additional excise duty of 4 per cent imposed on these items by the central government and revenues accrued are shared with the states under tax rental arrangement. In this paper we examine the incidence of VAT on consumption to find out the gender differential incidence of consumption taxes across households based on the data obtained from the 61st round of the National Sample This survey is conducted in India; at spatially disaggregated level in every five years. Gender based tax incidence analysis can be used to examine the distributional impact of taxes by taking into account intra-household relations. Gender incidence analysis, as with burden analysis, require assumptions based on limited data, but can nevertheless is a useful exercise4. We examine the VAT incidence for a specific state, viz., West Bengal. 2. Indirect Tax Incidence As mentioned earlier, although there are a spectrum of indirect taxes imposed by both central and the state governments, we focus our attention on the incidence of consumption tax levied by the states5. Consumption tax or VAT constitutes the single largest source of revenues at the state level constituting more than two-third of the own tax revenues of the state. We have 28 4 http://gender.sm.ee/index.php?197973650 5 As per the 7th schedule of the Constitution, taxes on consumption are with the state governments. 4 state governments and 7 centrally administered union territory having an independent tax system and administration, and also consumption pattern and the level of taxation measured in terms of tax to GDP ratio differs widely across states. Give these differences; it would be ideal to examine the level of incidence of taxes in each of them separately. We focused on one of the representative states, namely, West Bengal for the purpose of our analysis of consumption tax incidence. West Bengal is a middle income state with a very low tax to GSDP6 ratio. As evident from the Figure 3, compared to many other states of similar levels of development, West Bengal’s tax ratio is lower at little more than 4 per cent of GSDP when the average tax ratio for all the states together is around 7 per cent (See Figure 3). The tax structure given in Figure 4 also reveals that VAT constitutes the single largest share of own tax revenues for the state (59 per cent). Prior to the introduction of VAT in 2005, consumption tax in the form of sales tax had 15 different rates ranging from 1 to 20 per cent. But with the introduction of VAT, these rates have been rationalised and consolidated into 3 basic rates, viz. 1 per cent, 4 per cent and 12.5 per cent and exports are zero rated. The character of the goods falling under different categories of VAT rate and used for the incidence analysis is given in Table 5. As evident from the Table, basic food items, viz., cereals and vegetable, basic clothing, domestic services, basis stationary and books are exempted from VAT. Food items, other than basic, are taxed at 4 per cent and the rest of the category is taxed at the general rate of 12.5 percent. As mentioned earlier, like other states in India, West Bengal also has a list of exempted commodities, which are treated, as goods of local importance and exempted from VAT. There are 170 items that are exempted from VAT including those that are goods of local importance. 6 GSDP is the Gross State Domestic Product or the state income. 5 Table 1: Nature of Commodities and the Applicable VAT Rate Tax Rate Number of Goods under VAT Nature of Goods Exempted 170 Basic Food Items like Cereals and Vegetables, Basic Clothing, Domestic Services, Basic Stationary and Books, 1% 3 Jewellery and Ornaments 4% 79 Food Items other than basic, Household Goods, Medicine etc. 12.50% 81 Some Beverages, Some Electronic Goods, Some Medical Equipments and Expenses, Household Goods which can be classified as luxuries Source: Commercial Taxes Department (Government of West Bengal) Figure 2: State Level Tax to GDP Ratio: 2005-06 12.0 Karnataka Tamil Nadu (Per cent to GSDP) 10.0 8.0 Andhra Pradesh Goa Chhattisgarh Hary ana Maharashtra Kerala Gujarat Madhy a Pradesh 6.0 4.0 Punjab Rajasthan Orissa Jharkhand Bihar 2.0 0.0 Figure 3: The Structure of West Bengal Tax Revenues: 2005-06 Electricity Duty 4% Tax es on Vehicles Other Tax es Stamp & Registration 14% 11% 5% Ex cise 7% VAT 59% 6 Uttar Pradesh West Bengal Another issue in VAT design needs mention here is that there are selected items currently under sales tax kept outside the VAT and taxed differently at a higher rate. These items are diesel, petrol and aviation turbine fuel (ATF), crude oil and liquor (See Table 6). Floor rates for all these taxes are 20 per cent for all the states. In West Bengal except for petrol and diesel which are taxed at 25 per cent, non-vatable commodities are taxed at the floor rate of 20 per cent. Table 2: Tax Rate on Commodities Outside the VAT Item Tax Rate* Country liquor 20.00 Beer 20.00 Foreign liquor or refined liquor 20.00 Petrol 25.00 Diesel Source: Commercial Taxes Department (Government of West Bengal) 25.00 Exclusion of services, from the VAT base is another major weakness of the evolved VAT design. Exclusion of services from the base, even if the states are empowered to tax selected services on a standalone basis, would not eliminate the problem of cascading from the tax system (Rao: 2004). It also discriminates goods against services and has given rise to serious problems in separating out the service component in sale of goods taking place in several instances, e.g., in the case of execution of works contracts, services of food in restaurants and so on (Bagchi: 1997). Given this background, we examine the incidence of VAT on consumption expenditure of West Bengal to find gender differential tax incidence. Gender concerns in a limited way can be implemented through differential tax rates on commodities and exemptions of certain commodities (necessities) from VAT. This can help in neutralizing the implicit gender bias of commodity taxes. However, it should be taken note of that gender relation within the household and its decision making process also plays an important role in determining whether such a policy to neutralize gender bias will be successful. For example, a higher tax on a non-necessity like alcohol may not reduce the real consumption of alcohol rather lead to a reduction in the share of income allocated for the consumption of necessity items. Similarly, an exemption from 7 tax of necessary commodities may lead to the allocation of a greater share of income for the consumption of non-necessities instead of hiking the consumption of necessities in case the gender relations in household decision making process is not very progressive. As a starting point to this analysis, apart from analysing the tax incidence in aggregate, we have examined the gender differential consumption pattern across households and thereby the tax incidence across different categories of households in terms of headship and household composition and thereby the progressivity or regressivity of the tax system. We have also examined the rural and urban households separately. This has resulted in three different sets of estimates – One set for the aggregated for the state and the other two for the urban and rural subsamples respectively. We think, a priori the rural and urban households will have different expenditure pattern and thereby tax incidence. This can only be analyzed if we consider the urban and rural sub-samples separately as separate entities. As Indian economy is predominantly rural and more than two-third of the total population lives in rural India, with subsistence agriculture as the livelihood for majority of them, it is important that we analyse urban and rural sector separately. However, we have not been able to do the tax incidence according to the employment status of the households, as consumer expenditure survey does not give data on employment status of households. Employment survey is conducted separately and the consumption expenditure survey data cannot be mapped against the employment survey data. We have used the data obtained from the 61st round National Sample Survey of consumer expenditure. For our purpose, we have taken sub-sample combined estimates based on all rounds. The survey collects data on household characteristics, demographic details of the household and household level expenditure on almost 400 items. For some frequently purchased items the expenditure data are collected for a 30 days reference period, for the non-so-frequently purchased items the data is collected for both a 30 days and a 365 days reference period. While for certain items data about both quantity and value are collected for others only values are collected. Finally, for consumer durables only the 365 days, reference period is used. Moreover, for certain items, especially food articles, both home production and total consumption data are collected. 8 A note of caution on household consumption expenditure data may be in order. The household consumption expenditure data have their limits for tax analysis, particularly for taxes on intermediate consumption (Rajemison and Younger: 2003) and existing studies have restricted themselves to taxes on final demand or make strong assumption about the incidence of taxes on inputs (Younger et. al; 1999, Sahn and Younger 1998, Bird & Miller, 1989). In this study also we consider taxes on final demand. Our sample consists of 7877 households from West Bengal - both urban and rural. In the tables we report the mean tax incidence figures for the households in each quintile. An aggregate picture of tax incidence is important before one deals with the gendered classification of households and tax incidence thereon. The aggregate picture for rural, urban and combined is given in Table 3. It is evident from the table that tax incidence falls more on the poorest quintile vis-à-vis richer quintiles when we look at the combined incidence taking both rural and urban households together. However, the degree of regressivity in terms of incidence is much higher in urban households vis-à-vis rural households. In the rural households, the tax incidence, though falls more on the poorest expenditure quintile vis-à-vis other quintiles; the level of incidence is much lower than the urban households. Another point that emerges from the Table 3 is that VAT incidence is higher than the incidence of fuel levy and excise. Also, unlike excise, fuel levy appears to be progressive. The incidence of fuel levy goes up with the expenditure quintile. Fuel levy includes fuel levy for household fuel as well as well as fuel for transport. We would see in subsequent discussion, the incidence of household fuel is again regressive. 9 Table 3: Incidence of Consumption Tax Across Quintile in Rural and Urban and All Households in West Bengal (In Per cent) Total Quintiles Total tax VAT Excise Fuel Levy 1st 1.37 1.2750 0.0397 0.0002 2nd 0.58 0.5356 0.0198 0.0026 3rd 0.48 0.4373 0.0128 0.0045 4th 0.52 0.4848 0.0113 0.0118 5th 0.69 0.6171 0.0121 0.0507 Rural 1st 0.83 0.7454 0.0311 0.0003 2nd 0.42 0.3905 0.0189 0.0004 3rd 0.40 0.3635 0.0120 0.0032 4th 0.41 0.3844 0.0093 0.0082 5th 0.49 0.4307 0.0080 0.0458 1st 2nd 3.89 1.33 3.7510 1.2477 0.0799 0.0241 0.0000 0.0131 3rd 0.79 0.7441 0.0164 0.0102 4th 0.78 0.7345 0.0164 0.0206 5th 0.84 0.7619 0.0152 0.0545 Urban Incidence of tax by gender of the head of the household and household sex composition is given in Table 4. Households are classified in five different categories, viz., male headed, female headed, with more number of male (male dominated), with more number of female (female dominated) and male and female equal in number. As evident from the Table, when we look at the incidence based on household headship, aggregate incidence of tax is higher in case of female headed households compared to male headed category. In this classification of households, incidence of excise and fuel levy is more in the case of male headed households visà-vis female headed households. The incidence based on household sex composition shows a different picture. As evident from Table 4, aggregate tax incidence is highest in the case of male dominated households, followed by households with equal number of male and female and lowest level of incidence is for female dominated households. The incidence (as per the household categorization of Table 10 4) separately for rural and urban India is given in Table 5. When we look at the incidence based on household headship, in urban India, male headed households bear the higher incidence of tax vis-à-vis female headed households. However, in rural India, incidence is higher in case of female headed households vis-à-vis male headed households. In all the categories, VAT is the predominant tax. Table 4: Overall Incidence by Household Types Number of Excise Tax Fuel Tax Households Total Tax VAT 2.079 (1.312) 2.12 (1.071) 1.901 (1.174) 2.021 (1.02) 0.045 (0.209) 0.027 (0.106) 0.059 (0.312) 0.024 (0.169) 2.237 (1.612) 1.945 (0.949) 2.011 (1.036) 2.035 (1.473) 1.808 (0.847) 1.851 (0.888) 0.054 (0.279) 0.034 (0.121) 0.037 (0.141) 0.067 (0.349) 0.045 (0.239) 0.052 (0.287) Headship Male headed Female headed Household Sex Composition Male-dominated Female-dominated Equal # females & males Note: Standard Errors in brackets 7066 821 3282 2552 2043 Table 5: Overall Incidence by Household Types by Rural Urban URBAN Total Tax 2.975 Male headed (1.778) 2.759 Female headed (1.181) Household Sex Composition Male-dominated Female-dominated Equal # 3.333 (2.171) 2.547 (1.135) 2.767 (1.215) VAT RURAL # of Excise Tax Fuel Tax Households Total Tax VAT # of Excise Tax Fuel Tax Households 2.69 (1.641) 2.645 (1.146) 0.117 (0.373) 0.049 (0.158) Headship 0.112 2540 (0.415) 0.056 349 (0.251) 1.743 (0.876) 1.816 (0.863) 1.605 (0.751) 1.724 (0.798) 0.017 (0.074) 0.017 (0.066) 0.040 (0.261) 0.009 (0.108) Urban 3.02 (2.062) 2.362 (1.026) 2.493 (1.004) 0.138 (0.477) 0.080 (0.192) 0.095 (0.239) 0.113 (0.433) 0.074 (0.292) 0.128 (0.442) 1.777 (0.998) 1.731 (0.768) 1.731 (0.797) 1.621 (0.848) 1.612 (0.673) 1.613 (0.707) Rural 0.019 (0.077) 0.017 (0.075) 0.016 (0.066) 0.048 (0.305) 0.035 (0.217) 0.024 (0.195) 1277 907 706 4516 472 2006 1645 1337 This categorisation although gives gendered classification of households and corresponding tax incidence, it does not throw much light on the nature of incidence. In order to know whether a tax system is progressive or regressive, we need to relate the level of incidence with the level of income or consumption. As mentioned earlier, due to the absence of reliable 11 data on income we have tried to see the level of incidence with the level of consumption. The quintile-wise tax incidence based on the sex composition and presence of children is given in Table 6. The tax incidence is evidently regressive, with the poorest quintile of “Male dominated without Children” category showing the highest level of incidence. When we look at the ‘Male dominated with children’ category, the incidence is highest in the richest quintile although, the poorest quintile has higher tax incidence vis-à-vis middle quintiles. In other words, the tax incidence of quintile wise categorisation by sex composition reveals that male dominated households has relatively higher tax incidence compared to female dominated households across all quintiles. Further, in male dominated category, q1 bear the highest tax incidence, while the incidence is highest for q5 in female dominated category (table 6 and 7). The overall incidence for male dominated households revealed a U-shaped pattern with incidence highest in q1 (2.96) declining to 1.75 in q2 and 1.77 in q3 and then increasing to 2.78 in q5; while female dominated households revealed a progressive incidence pattern with q1 lowest incidence at 1.67 and q5 with highest incidence at 2.69. It is important to examine how the tax burden is distributed across quintile in terms of different commodity groups (See Table 7), as per the household categorization spelt out earlier. In aggregate, taking all the commodities together, for all households, tax incidence is much higher in the case of lowest expenditure quintile. However, if we look at the specific commodities, higher tax incidence for the lowest expenditure quintile arises primarily due to the high incidence of taxes on the items of basic necessities and on intoxicants, viz., food, clothing and footwear, fuel, tobacco and alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages. It is also evident from the Table 7 that highest expenditure quintile bears the highest incidence of tax when it comes to housing, water, electricity and gas and also health care and medicine and fuel and transport. However, the tax incidence is noted highest for q4 and q5 of Equal # Females Males Households at 2.184 and 2.944 respectively. Within the subcategories, tax incidence related to meals out is found to be significantly higher among q1 of male dominated households ; while tax incidence related to basic food, medical expenses and clothing are the highest among the q1 of female dominated households. The significant result from the disaggregate analysis is that the tax 12 incidence related to basic food, clothing and medical expenditure is higher for female dominated households than male dominated households across all quintiles. Table 6: Incidence by sex composition, presence of children, and quintile. Tax as a percentage of post-tax expenditure. (Standard Errors in brackets) Quintile Total Tax VAT Excise Tax Fuel Tax Male dominated WITH children 1.785 1.681 0.009 1 (0.101) (0.101) (0.002) 1.542 1.441 0.012 2 (0.028) (0.025) (0.002) 1.692 1.546 0.014 3 (0.033) (0.027) (0.003) 1.92 1.801 0.039 4 (0.038) (0.034) (0.006) 2.593 2.208 0.102 5 (0.052) (0.042) (0.011) 1.904 1.733 0.036 Total (0.022) (0.02) (0.003) Female dominated WITH children 1.525 1.465 0.007 1 (0.036) (0.034) (0.001) 1.617 1.524 0.008 2 (0.032) (0.029) (0.002) 1.619 1.539 0.009 3 (0.03) (0.028) (0.002) 1.911 1.777 0.031 4 (0.04) (0.034) (0.005) 2.569 2.268 0.101 5 (0.047) (0.04) (0.009) 1.857 1.721 0.032 Total (0.019) (0.017) (0.003) Equal # Females Males WITH children 1.488 1.308 0.015 1 (0.061) (0.032) (0.005) 1.529 1.461 0.008 2 (0.036) (0.034) (0.001) 1.696 1.603 0.012 3 (0.041) (0.04) (0.002) 1.895 1.811 0.025 4 (0.047) (0.043) (0.006) 2.593 2.293 0.081 5 (0.073) (0.056) (0.012) 1.828 1.694 0.026 Total (0.026) (0.021) (0.003) 0.001 (0.001) 0.001 (0.004) 0.007 (0.004) 0.031 (0.011) 0.251 (0.026) 0.058 (0.007) 0.0003 (0.0003) 0.0005 (0.0007) 0.005 (0.0035) 0.048 (0.012) 0.165 (0.018) 0.045 (0.005) 0.001 (0.001) 0.003 (0.003) 0.001 (0.001) 0.022 (0.01) 0.202 (0.031) 0.042 (0.007) # of HHs Quintile Total Tax 222 389 484 525 571 2191 248 365 393 456 530 1992 138 241 269 274 269 1191 VAT Excise Tax Fuel Tax Male dominated WITHOUT children 4.32 4.002 0.145 0.001 1 (0.191) (0.184) (0.046) (0.001) 2.353 2.23 0.022 0.022 2 (0.172) (0.154) (0.007) (0.027) 2.00 1.827 0.027 0.054 3 (0.103) (0.092) (0.01) (0.037) 2.301 2.15 0.058 0.023 4 (0.078) (0.073) (0.01) (0.013) 3.118 2.639 0.158 0.298 5 (0.08) (0.063) (0.019) (0.039) 2.97 2.7 0.093 0.086 Total (0.069) (0.064) (0.013) (0.013) Female dominated WITHOUT children 1.92 1.835 0.034 0.0004 1 (0.081) (0.08) (0.007) (0.0004) 2.028 1.936 0.004 0.0008 2 (0.135) (0.133) (0.002) (0.0008) 2.192 2.156 0.009 3 0.00 (0.1) (0.101) (0.004) 2.407 2.222 0.009 0.121 4 (0.124) (0.112) (0.005) (0.052) 3.171 2.865 0.124 0.148 5 (0.097) (0.082) (0.024) (0.034) 2.294 2.154 0.041 0.048 Total (0.051) (0.047) (0.006) (0.011) Equal # Females Males WITHOUT children 1.71 1.589 0.009 1 0.00 (0.037) (0.031) (0.002) 1.939 1.761 0.031 0.003 2 (0.067) (0.065) (0.009) (0.001) 2.099 1.955 0.056 0.073 3 (0.097) (0.078) (0.016) (0.032) 2.789 2.574 0.096 0.0868 4 (0.104) (0.093) (0.026) (0.029) 3.423 3.035 0.128 0.2393 5 (0.102) (0.092) (0.019) (0.047) 2.282 2.083 0.054 0.068 Total (0.04) (0.036) (0.006) (0.012) 13 # of HHs 292 149 161 212 277 1091 214 71 68 77 130 560 280 137 112 137 186 852 Table 7- Tax incidence for each consumption category by sex composition and quintile (Standard Errors in parentheses) Category Food subtotal *Basic *Other *Sugar/confectionary and others Meals out Non-alcoholic beverages Beer Spirits Tobacco Clothing and footwear subtotal Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas Subtotal *Utilities *Housing Fuel for HH use Furniture, HH Equipment and Maintenance Domestic and household services Medical expenditure Transportation Subtotal *Collective forms of transport *Private Transport including air Fuel for transport Communication Recreation Education Miscellaneous Personal care subtotal Male Dominated 4 1 2 3 0.368 (0.009) 0.178 (0.005) 0.154 (0.007) 0.036 (0.006) 1.17 (0.112) 0.278 (0.016) 0.366 (0.005) 0.21 (0.004) 0.128 (0.004) 0.028 (0.001) 0.175 (0.04) 0.139 (0.007) 0.358 (0.004) 0.201 (0.003) 0.126 (0.003) 0.032 (0.001) 0.092 (0.02) 0.124 (0.005) 0.33 (0.004) 0.179 (0.003) 0.119 (0.003) 0.032 (0.009) 0.098 (0.016) 0.118 (0.005) 5 Total 0.055 (0.008) 0.044 (0.005) 0.228 (0.004) 0.105 (0.011) 0.103 (0.011) 0.0013 (0.0002) 0.092 (0.004) 0.013 (0.0007) 0.00 0.438 (0.026) 0.016 (0.002) 0.016 (0.002) 0.00 0.029 (0.009) 0.075 (0.008) 0.083 (0.005) 0.00 0.018 (0.004) 0.279 (0.004) 0.296 (0.004) 0.142 (0.002) 0.118 (0.003) 0.036 (0.001) 0.085 (0.011) 0.119 (0.004) 0.001 (0.0007) 0.027 (0.004) 0.121 (0.009) 0.24 (0.004) 0.272 (0.01) 0.268 (0.01) 0.0035 (0.0004) 0.045 (0.002) 0.016 (0.001) 0.00 0.517 (0.032) 0.024 (0.003) 0.024 (0.003) 0.00 0.268 (0.022) 0.289 (0.013) 0.169 (0.006) 0.00 0.013 (0.001) 0.276 (0.004) 0.342 (0.002) 0.182 (0.002) 0.128 (0.002) 0.033 (0.001) 0.295 (0.022) 0.151 (0.004) 0.0002 (0.0002) 0.081 (0.007) 0.054 (0.005) 0.231 (0.002) 0.091 (0.004) 0.089 (0.004) 0.0015 (0.0001) 0.093 (0.002) 0.013 (0.0004) 0.00 0.326 (0.011) 0.016 (0.001) 0.016 (0.001) 0.00 0.067 (0.006) 0.094 (0.004) 0.074 (0.002) 0.00 0.014 (0.001) 0.295 (0.002) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 (0.032) 0.072 (0.024) 0.24 (0.006) 0.009 (0.004) 0.009 (0.004) 0.0005 (0.0001) 0.12 (0.006) 0.01 (0.001) 0.00 0.133 (0.014) 0.011 (0.002) 0.011 (0.002) 0.00 0.0008 (0.0005) 0.034 (0.005) 0.027 (0.003) 0.00 0.012 (0.003) 0.341 (0.008) 0.085 (0.013) 0.015 (0.003) 0.225 (0.004) 0.018 (0.006) 0.0172 (0.006) 0.0006 (0.0001) 0.118 (0.005) 0.011 (0.001) 0.00 0.199 (0.014) 0.016 (0.004) 0.016 (0.004) 0.00 0.007 (0.007) 0.032 (0.008) 0.038 (0.004) 0.00 0.012 (0.002) 0.299 (0.006) 0.117 (0.018) 0.017 (0.003) 0.222 (0.004) 0.031 (0.007) 0.029 (0.007) 0.0014 (0.0002) 0.094 (0.003) 0.013 (0.001) 0.00 0.298 (0.019) 0.013 (0.002) 0.013 (0.002) 0.00 0.019 (0.009) 0.025 (0.003) 0.043 (0.004) 0.00 0.014 (0.003) 0.289 (0.005) 2.956 (0.123) 514 1.755 (0.053) 538 1.768 (0.036) 645 2.019 (0.035) 737 2.777 (0.044) 848 2.237 (0.028) 3282 *Necessary Personal Care *Other TOTAL Number of HHs in quintile 14 Table 7- Tax incidence for each consumption category by sex composition and quintile 1 Category Food subtotal *Basic *Other *Sugar/confectionary and others Meals out Non-alcoholic beverages Beer 0.398 (0.006) 0.227 (0.005) 0.147 (0.004) 0.024 (0.001) 0.086 (0.028) 0.1 (0.008) 0.00 Spirits Tobacco Clothing and footwear subtotal Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas Subtotal *Utilities *Housing Fuel for HH use Furniture, HH Equipment and Maintenance Domestic and household services Medical expenditure Transportation Subtotal *Collective forms of transport *Private Transport including air Fuel for transport Communication Recreation Education Miscellaneous Personal care subtotal 0.052 (0.009) 0.017 (0.003) 0.244 (0.008) 0.02 (0.008) 0.019 (0.008) 0.0011 (0.0002) 0.119 (0.005) 0.006 (0.001) 0.00 0.211 (0.018) 0.001 (0.001) 0.00 (0.0001) 0.001 (0.0007) 0.0003 (0.0002) 0.015 (0.005) 0.028 (0.004) 0.00 0.008 (0.002) 0.367 (0.009) (Standard Errors in parentheses) Female dominated 2 3 4 0.361 (0.005) 0.218 (0.004) 0.115 (0.003) 0.028 (0.001) 0.067 (0.015) 0.115 (0.007) 0.002 (0.002) 0.085 (0.014) 0.008 (0.014) 0.231 (0.005) 0.042 (0.01) 0.04 (0.01) 0.0013 (0.0002) 0.102 (0.004) 0.01 (0.001) 0.00 0.284 (0.025) 0.008 (0.002) 5 Total 0.363 (0.005) 0.209 (0.003) 0.122 (0.004) 0.032 (0.001) 0.029 (0.007) 0.104 (0.005) 0.328 (0.004) 0.183 (0.003) 0.109 (0.003) 0.036 (0.001) 0.038 (0.008) 0.106 (0.005) 0.309 (0.004) 0.149 (0.002) 0.122 (0.003) 0.038 (0.001) 0.029 (0.011) 0.117 (0.005) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.061 (0.011) 0.009 (0.002) 0.23 (0.005) 0.065 (0.012) 0.063 (0.012) 0.0013 (0.0002) 0.094 (0.004) 0.012 (0.001) 0.00 0.323 (0.023) 0.012 (0.002) 0.035 (0.008) 0.106 (0.009) 0.237 (0.004) 0.298 (0.012) 0.295 (0.012) 0.003 (0.0006) 0.054 (0.003) 0.014 (0.002) 0.00 0.516 (0.03) 0.018 (0.002) 0.352 (0.002) 0.197 (0.002) 0.123 (0.002) 0.032 (0.0006) 0.05 (0.007) 0.108 (0.003) 0.003 (0.004) 0.058 (0.005) 0.034 (0.002) 0.236 (0.002) 0.11 (0.005) 0.109 (0.005) 0.002 (0.0002) 0.09 (0.002) 0.011 (0.001) 0.00 0.346 (0.011) 0.011 (0.001) 0.00 0.00 0.018 (0.002) 0.161 (0.016) 0.327 (0.017) 0.177 (0.008) 0.00 0.014 (0.002) 0.28 (0.005) 0.011 (0.001) 0.045 (0.005) 0.099 (0.005) 0.074 (0.003) 0.00 0.011 (0.001) 0.311 (0.003) 2.692 (0.043) 660 1.945 (0.019) 2552 0.00 0.00 0.008 (0.002) 0.0005 (0.0006) 0.024 (0.006) 0.033 (0.005) 0.00 0.012 (0.004) 0.299 (0.006) 0.012 (0.002) 0.005 (0.003) 0.033 (0.005) 0.051 (0.005) 0.00 0.009 (0.001) 0.29 (0.007) 0.055 (0.011) 0.028 (0.005) 0.238 (0.004) 0.127 (0.013) 0.125 (0.013) 0.0014 (0.0002) 0.079 (0.003) 0.013 (0.001) 0.00 0.399 (0.025) 0.014 (0.002) 0.0001 (0.0001) 0.014 (0.002) 0.059 (0.013) 0.095 (0.012) 0.078 (0.006) 0.00 0.012 (0.002) 0.316 (0.006) 1.682 (0.035) 436 1.688 (0.03) 461 1.984 (0.039) 533 *Necessary Personal Care *Other TOTAL Number of HHs in quintile 1.673 (0.041) 462 15 Table 7- Tax incidence for each consumption category by sex composition and quintile: Equal # Females Males Households (Standard Errors in parentheses) Category Food subtotal *Basic *Other *Sugar/confectionary and others Meals out Non-alcoholic beverages Beer 2 0.396 (0,116) 0.235 (0.004) 0.138 (0.004) 0.024 (0.001) 0.015 (0.13) 0.123 (0.176) 0.129 (0.52) 0.011 (0.042) 0.206 (0.116) 0.026 (0.178) 0.025 (0.009) 0.0011 (0.0001) 0.105 (0.063) 0.01 (0.029) 0.00 0.213 (0.305) 0.007 (0.049) 0.007 (0.002) 0.368 (0.101) 0.217 (0.004) 0.123 (0.003) 0.028 (0.001) 0.031 (0.213) 0.111 (0.129) 0.001 (0.027) 0.084 (0.288) 0.015 (0.063) 0.222 (0.101) 0.038 (0.184) 0.037 (0.01) 0.0013 (0.0002) 0.108 (0.096) 0.011 (0.018) 0.00 0.291 (0.494) 0.006 (0.029) 0.006 (0.002) Tobacco Clothing and footwear subtotal Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas Subtotal *Utilities *Housing Fuel for HH use Furniture, HH Equipment and Maintenance Domestic and household services Medical expenditure Transportation Subtotal *Collective forms of transport *Private Transport including air 0.00 Fuel for transport Communication Recreation Education Miscellaneous Personal care subtotal 5 Total 0.043 (0.237) 0.136 (0.293) 0.127 (0.187) 0.00 0.021 (0.073) 0.299 (0.124) 0.305 (0.115) 0.14 (0.003) 0.126 (0.004) 0.039 (0.002) 0.063 (0.301) 0.109 (0.118) 0.001 (0.028) 0.017 (0.129) 0.101 (0.225) 0.228 (0.108) 0.319 (0.292) 0.316 (0.014) 0.0029 (0.0007) 0.043 (0.066) 0.016 (0.032) 0.00 0.659 (1.071) 0.022 (0.048) 0.022 (0.002) 0.0005 (0.0006) 0.218 (0.569) 0.391 (0.439) 0.173 (0.169) 0.00 0.011 (0.017) 0.269 (0.118) 0.355 (0.113) 0.199 (0.002) 0.125 (0.002) 0.031 (0.001) 0.051 (0.0274) 0.109 (0.134) 0.0005 (0.017) 0.07 (0.318) 0.037 (0.141) 0.223 (0.107) 0.119 (0.276) 0.118 (0.006) 0.0016 (0.0002) 0.086 (0.084) 0.013 (0.027) 0.00 0.371 (0.664) 0.012 (0.049) 0.012 (0.001) 0.0001 (0.0001) 0.052 (0.287) 0.113 (0.279) 0.079 (0.149) 0.00 0.014 (0.045) 0.306 (0.134) 2.184 (0.051) 411 2.944 (0.063) 455 2.011 (0.023) 2043 0.365 (0.105) 0.214 (0.004) 0.121 (0.004) 0.03 (0.001) 0.097 (0.404) 0.095 (0.105) 0.326 (0.104) 0.178 (0.003) 0.113 (0.004) 0.035 (0.001) 0.059 (0.266) 0.106 (0.115) 0.00 0.00 0.066 (0.256) 0.022 (0.087) 0.225 (0.099) 0.072 (0.264) 0.072 (0.014) 0.0008 (0.0001) 0.093 (0.087) 0.011 (0.024) 0.00 0.294 (0.434) 0.011 (0.043) 0.011 (0.002) 0.036 (0.137) 0.048 (0.194) 0.239 (0.103) 0.184 (0.342) 0.182 (0.017) 0.0021 (0.0004) 0.075 (0.085) 0.017 (0.029) 0.00 0.454 (0.725) 0.017 (0.067) 0.017 (0.003) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0004 (0.007) 0.015 (0.064) 0.014 (0.06) 0.00 0.013 (0.045) 0.349 (0.156) 0.003 (0.044) 0.023 (0.104) 0.043 (0.116) 0.00 0.013 (0.031) 0.295 (0.123) 0.018 (0.165) 0.039 (0.146) 0.064 (0.142) 0.00 0.011 (0.043) 0.309 (0.129) 1.634 (0.032) 418 1.662 (0.035) 378 1.79 (0.04) 381 0.00 Spirits Equal # Females Males 3 4 1 *Necessary Personal Care *Other TOTAL Number of HHs in quintile 16 The graphs revealed that the overall tax incidence is highest for the lowest tail (q1) in the male dominated households without children when compared to all other categories of households (Figure 1). The trend remained the same even after disaggregating the tax incidence to VAT incidence and excise incidence (Figure 2 and 3). Leaving the q1 aberration of male dominated households without children households apart, the highest tax incidence is noted among the higher quintiles of Equal # Females Males households without children; at aggregate and disaggregate levels of incidence analysis. It is further revealed that VAT incidence is relatively higher for female dominated without children households than female dominated households with children. The tax incidence is found relatively lower in households with children than in households without children in male dominated category also . However, the food tax incidence plot reveals an entirely contradicting picture. The lowest quintile of female dominated households bear higher tax incidence than male dominated households, though the incidence of lowest tail of female dominated households are found comparable to Equal # Females Males households. It is also revealed that across all categories, the lowest quintiles bear higher food tax incidence than the higher quintiles, which has serious policy implications related to taxing the essential commodities. 17 % of Total Post Tax Expenditure Total Tax Incidence: Family Types 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 1 2 3 4 5 Quintile Male dominated WITH children Female dominated WITH children Equal # Females Males WITH children Male dominated WITHOUT children Female dominated WITHOUT children Equal # Females Males WITHOUT children Total VAT Incidence: Family Types 4.5 4 % of Total Post Tax Expenditure 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 1 2 3 4 5 Quint ile Male dominated WITH children Female dominated WITH children Equal # Females Males WITH children Male dominated WITHOUT children Female dominated WITHOUT children Equal # Females Males WITHOUT children 18 Total Excise Tax Incidence: Family Types 0.18 0.16 0.12 0.1 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 1 2 3 4 5 Quint ile Male dominated WITH children Female dominated WITH children Equal # Females Males WITH children Male dominated WITHOUT children Female dominated WITHOUT children Equal # Females Males WITHOUT children Food Tax Incidence: Family Type across Quintiles 0.45 % of Post Tax Expenditure % of Total Post Tax Expenditure 0.14 0.4 0.35 0.3 0.25 1 2 3 4 5 Quintiles Male Dominated Female dominated 19 Equal # Females Males Policy Simulations Given the fact that tax on items of basic necessities is one of the main reasons for the regressive tax incidence, one needs to see how the alteration of the rate structure of taxes affect the incidence of taxes across various groups for alternative policy options. We do two alternative simulations: Firstly, we find out the incidence outcome by zero rating of all food items in the consumption basket. Secondly, we also see when the items of non-necessity like tobacco is taxed at higher rates how the incidence varies across households. Zero rating of food does reduce the overall tax burden in all the category of households, but it does not change the pattern of tax incidence. For example, even when the food is zero rated, the female headed households still bears the highest incidence vis-à-vis male headed households (Table 8). However, when the rates on tobacco is increased, which is primarily consumed by men, we see that aggregate tax incidence in male headed households become higher than the female headed households. According to the category of household sex composition, the tax incidence falls most on the male dominated category followed by equal female and male category and female dominated category respectively (Table 9). These policy simulations brings us back to what was mentioned earlier about the gender relation within the households and the decision making process. Higher tax on non-necessity like alcohol and tobacco if reduces the real consumption, taxing them at a higher rate may alter the tax incidence but if it reduces consumption of necessities then we may get a situation of lower tax incidence of necessities due to lower consumption of those goods. We need to look at these issues more closely especially household decision making process and intra-household allocation of resources and consumptions. 20 Table 8: Policy Simulation 1: Tax on All Food == 0 Total Tax VAT Excise Tax Fuel Tax Number of Households 1.5051 (0.0119) 1.3283 (0.0097) 0.0444 (0.0025) 0.0595 (0.0037) 7066 Female headed 1.6345 (0.0339) 1.5355 (0.032) 0.0272 (0.0037) 0.0239 (0.0059) 821 Total 1.518 (0.0113) 1.3489 (0.0093) 0.0427 (0.0023) 0.0559 (0.0034) 7877 1.5158 (0.0181) 1.3151 (0.0139) 0.0533 (0.0047) 0.0668 (0.0061) 3282 Female-dominated 1.4922 (0.0181) 1.356 (0.0159) 0.0335 (0.0024) 0.0451 (0.0047) 2552 Equal # females & males 1.5515 (0.0231) 1.3919 (0.0197) 0.0371 (0.0031) 0.0521 (0.0063) 2043 Total 1.518 (0.0113) 1.3489 (0.0093) 0.0427 (0.0023) 0.0559 (0.0034) 7877 Headship Male headed Household Sex Composition Male-dominated Table 9: Policy Simulation 2: Tax on Tobacco Doubled VAT Excise Tax 2.1658 (0.0162) 1.9027 (0.014) 0.1298 (0.0046) 0.0598 (0.0037) 7066 Female headed 2.1595 (0.0379) 2.0219 (0.0356) 0.0654 (0.0067) 0.0241 (0.0059) 821 Total 2.1652 (0.0151) 1.9145 (0.0131) 0.1234 (0.0042) 0.0562 (0.0034) 7877 2.3295 (0.0293) 2.0364 (0.0257) 0.1447 (0.0088) 0.0671 (0.0061) 3282 Female-dominated 2.0146 (0.0192) 1.8094 (0.0168) 0.102 (0.0043) 0.0453 (0.0047) 2552 Equal # females & males 2.091 (0.0236) 1.852 (0.0197) 0.1159 (0.0055) 0.0524 (0.0064) 2043 Total 2.1652 (0.0151) 1.9145 (0.0131) 0.1234 (0.0042) 0.0562 (0.0034) 7877 Total Tax Fuel Tax Number of Households Headship Male headed Household Sex Composition Male-dominated 21 5. Conclusions and Policy Implications Our objectives in this paper have been to examine the indirect tax incidence across households in terms of expenditure quintile and based on household characteristics. In the case of indirect taxes, we observed that the incidence of taxation vary more with household characteristics7 although in aggregate we find that the tax system in the state of West Bengal is regressive across expenditure quintiles. We observed that higher tax incidence for the lowest expenditure quintile arises primarily due to the high incidence of taxes on the items of basic necessities and on intoxicants, viz., food, clothing and footwear, fuel, tobacco and alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, while the highest expenditure quintile bears the highest incidence of tax when it comes to housing, water, electricity and gas and also health care and medicine and fuel and transport. Interpretation of these results in Indian context becomes difficult for many expenditure groups like in health care and medicine. The reason for low incidence for poorer households could just that poor do not have access to the formal modern health care system, especially in rural areas and that exclusion cannot be construed as lower incidence. Similar is the case with housing, electricity and Gas. Thus to conclude, if the burden of indirect taxes is a concern, it requires much closer investigation by looking into the tax components in the items of basic necessities, especially on the inputs, even when the final commodity is exempted from taxes. We also need to look into the issue of net fiscal benefit to the poor and across gender for the purpose of pro-poor and progender fiscal policy, to see the net effect of government expenditure programme at household level and the incidence of tax simultaneously, a task that is not easy. 7 Bird & Miller (1989) also observed similar findings in the context of Jamaica. 22 References 1. Ahmed, E. and Stern, N (1991), “The Theory and Practice of Tax Reform in Developing Countries”, Cambridge University Press, U.K, Chapter -2. 2. Newbery, David and Nicholas Stern (1987) eds. “The Theory of Taxation for Developing Countries”, Oxford University Press, New York. 3. H.H. Hinrichs (1966) “A General Theory of Tax Structure During Economic Development”, Cambridge, Massachusettes: International Tax Program, The Harvard Law School. 4. Burgess, Robin and Stern, Nicholas (1994) “Tax Reform in India”, Indian Journal of Applied Economics, Vol.3, pp. 1 -81. 5. Richard M. Bird and Barbara D. Miller (1989), “The Incidence of Indirect taxes on LowIncome Households in Jamaica”, Economic Development and Cultural Change, Vol.37 (January), pp. 393-409. 6. Rajemison, H. and Stephen D. Younger, “Indirect Tax Incidence in Madagascar : Updated Estimates using the Input – Output Table”, Cornell Food and Nutritional Policy Program Working Paper No- 147, September 2003. 7. Younger Stephen D, et.al. (1999) “Tax Incidence in Madagascar: An Analysis using Household Data”, World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, Vol.13 (2), pp. 303-31, May. 8. Sahn David and S.D. Younger (1998), “Fiscal Incidence in Africa: Microeconomic Evidence”, Collaborative Research Project- Poverty, Income Distribution and Labour Market Issues in Sub- Saharan Africa, AERC Working Papers, CR- 2-5, Nairobi. 23
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