Industrial Organization Imperfect Information in the Product Market (Chap. 3) Philippe Choné, Philippe Février, Laurent Linnemer and Thibaud Vergé CREST-LEI 2008/09 1 / 29 One of the most famous result in IO Bertrand competition with homogenous goods Bertrand, 1883 : results (symmetric case) Unique equilibrium and Welfare is maximal Price equal marginal cost : pi∗ = c, πi∗ = 0 Bertrand, 1883 : assumptions Homogenous good, constant return to scale All buyers are informed about prices All firms are informed about all marginal costs Symmetric firms (N ≥ 2) No repeat purchase ; No capacity constraint Asymmetric case (. . . ) 2 / 29 Outline 1 Price competition with uninformed consumers 2 Price competition with private information on cost Fixed demand Elastic demand Effect of asymmetric information on prices Introduction of uninformed consumers 3 Advertising competition Same marginal cost Marginal cost is private information 3 / 29 Price competition with uninformed consumers Varian (1980) The model Symmetric firms i = 1 to N ≥ 2 Constant marginal cost c Firms simultaneously choose their prices Unit mass of consumers unitary demands, gross utility v Unit mass of consumers, each having D(p) (alter. ass.) A fraction I of consumers observe all prices A fraction U = 1 − I do not Informed consumers buy from the lowest price firms Uninformed consumers buy randomly 5 / 29 Price competition with uninformed consumers Varian (1980) : profit functions Notation Let p = (p1 , . . . , pN ) denote the list of prices Let p−i denote the list of prices but pi Let k (p) denote the number of lowest price firms Profit functions (pi ≤ v ) (pi − c)U/N, Πi (pi , p−i ) = (pi − c) (U/N + I/k ) , if pi > minj pj if pi = minj pj 6 / 29 Price competition with uninformed consumers Varian (1980) : equilibrium Equilibrium No pure strategy Nash equilibrium A unique symmetric Nash equilibrium (mixed strategy) Properties of the equilibrium : p ∈ p, p i p=v ii (p − c)(U/N + I) = (v − c)U/N (p − c) U/N + I (1 − F (p))N−1 = (v − c)U/N iii Extension to D(p) 7 / 29 Price competition with uninformed consumers Varian (1980) : comparative static on U (here N = 2) 8 / 29 Price competition with uninformed consumers Varian (1980) : p for U = 0.5 as a function of c 9 / 29 Price competition with uninformed consumers Varian (1980) : shape of the density (here N = 3 and U = 0.125) 10 / 29 Price competition with private information on cost À la Hansen (1988) (Spulber, 1995), see also Bagwell-Wolinsky (2002) The model : N ≥ 2 firms Each firm i privately informed of its marginal cost θi θi drawn from θ, θ Either constant marginal cost ci = θi or C(q, θi ) Distribution function F (θ), density f (θ). Firms simultaneously choose their prices Unit mass of consumers, each having D(p) or Unit mass of consumers unitary demands, gross utility v A fraction I = 1 of consumers observe prices (Spulber) A fraction I = 1 − U observe prices (as in Varian) Informed consumers buy to the lowest price firms 12 / 29 Price competition with private information on cost À la Hansen (1988) (Spulber, 1995). The elementary case (fixed demand). The model with unitary demand and ci ⇔first price auction Symmetric equilibrium : p(θ) with p(.) % Probability that θ is the lowest : G(θ) = (1 − F (θ))N−1 Profit : (p(θ) − θ) G(θ) Similarity with an auction : (θ − b(θ)) (F (θ))N−1 Looking for p(.) Equilibrium p∗ (θ) = N−1 (1−F (θ))N−1 Rθ θ zf (z) (1 − F (z))N−2 dz if θ < θ p∗ (θ) = θ Remark : equilibrium invariant with v 14 / 29 Price competition with private information on cost À la Hansen (1988) (Spulber, 1995). The elementary case (fixed demand). Proof. b If to be θ the profit would be : θ pretends b − θ G(θ) b where G(θ) = (1 − F (θ))N−1 p(θ) F. o. c. (holds for θb = θ) : p0 (θ)G(θ) + (p(θ) − θ) g(θ) = 0 That is : p0 (θ)G(θ) + p(θ)g(θ) = θg(θ) R That is : p(θ)G(θ) = θg(θ) That is : (as G(θ) = 0) Z θ p(θ)G(θ) = − zg(z)dz θ That is also : p(θ) = θ + 1 G(θ) Z θ G(z)dz θ 15 / 29 Price competition with private information on cost À la Hansen (1988) (Spulber, 1995). General case (variable demand). Variable demand⇔first price auction with variable quantity Symmetric equilibrium : p(θ) with p(.) % Probability that θ is the lowest : G(θ) = (1 − F (θ))N−1 Profit : (p(θ) − θ) G(θ)D (p(θ)) Looks more complex but write H(θ) = G(θ)D (p(θ)) ( !) Profit : (p(θ) − θ) H(θ) Equilibrium p∗∗ (θ) = θ + 1 H(θ) p∗∗ (θ) = θ, θ ≤ Key result : p∗∗ Rθ θ H(z)dz p∗∗ < pm (θ) < (warning : this is an equation) (Spulber) p∗ 17 / 29 Price competition with private information on cost À la Hansen (1988) (Spulber, 1995). Effect of asymmetric information on prices. Perfect information on θi ⇔second price auction Under perfect information, let θ1 < θ2 < . . . < θN Equilibrium price : p1∗ = θ2 = p2∗ Second price auction under asymmetric information Same result Using the equivalence theorem for fixed demand Expected price = for 2nd and 1st price auction Perfect information ⇒ expected price= E [p∗ ] Asymmetric information : E [p∗∗ ] < E [p∗ ] 19 / 29 Price competition with private information on cost Introduction of uninformed consumers The fundamental writing of the profit becomes b − θ H(θ) b = p(θ) N−1 b − θ U/N + I 1 − F (θ) b b p(θ) D(p(θ)) Same technics Closer to real life ? Each firm serves a demand (even if price is not the lowest) The term U/N could be E [Ui ] More flexible for empirical applications 21 / 29 Advertising competition Bagwell-Ramey (1994), Bagwell-Lee (2008) General idea : What if no price is observable before shopping ? Still advertising expenditures are Should consumers go to the most advertised store ? Consumers do respond to advertising Otherwise there would be none Often there is no price information Bagwell-Ramey’s idea : more consumers⇒lower price ⇒rational for consumers to respond to advertising Bagwell-Lee’s idea : lower cost firms advertise more 23 / 29 Advertising competition Bagwell-Ramey (1994) : Firms have the same marginal cost The model : N ≥ 2 firms A fraction I of consumers observe advertising A fraction U does not Firms simultaneously set advertising (+other investments) Consumers follow an advertising search rule Informed consumers visit the most advertised store Let Π∗ (E) − A be the expected profit E expected demand ; A advertising expenditure 25 / 29 Advertising competition Bagwell-Ramey (1994) : Equilibrium (similar to Varian) Distribution F (.) of advertising expenses, A ∈ A, A i A=0 ii Π∗ U/N + F (A)N−1 I − A = Π∗ (U/N) iii A = Π∗ (U/N + I) − A = Π∗ (U/N) Benham, 1972 26 / 29 Advertising competition with private info. on cost Bagwell-Lee (2008) The model : N ≥ 2 firms Each firm i privately informed of its marginal cost θi θi drawn from θ, θ Constant marginal cost ci = θi (could be C(q, θi )) Distribution function F (θ), density f (θ). Firms simultaneously choose their advertising levels Unit mass of consumers, each having D(p) or Unit mass of consumers unitary demands, gross utility v A fraction I = 1 − U observe advertising levels Informed consumers buy to the highest adverting firms 28 / 29 Advertising competition with private info. on cost Bagwell-Lee (2008) : equilibrium Profit function N−1 b bθ b − A(θ) = π m (θ) U/N + 1 − F (θ) Π θ, b − A(θ) b = π m (θ)H(θ) Similar to an all-pay auction Equilibrium advertising such that b = A0 (θ) b and A(θ) = 0 π m (θ)h(θ) 29 / 29
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