Competitiveness in the “new” China: Do multinationals have what it takes to win? Wieger Joosten The economic tailwinds that propelled multinational corporations (MNCs) to lofty heights in China over the past 35 years have dissipated. MNCs now face headwinds that call for new competitive strategies that are based on more than quality, brand reputation and market penetration. Marketing precision, organizational agility and local collaboration and co-innovation are the new keys to success. A new China. A new growth strategy. Against the challenge of rising costs and the threat of new and nimble local companies, it seems that “being global” in China no longer carries the advantage it once did. Accenture Strategy research1 reveals that 75 percent of MNCs in China are now growing at a slower rate than China’s GDP. If current trends continue, MNCs run the risk of losing about 10 percent of the value of their businesses each year. By 2020, they might see half their business value in China erode. Figure 1. MNC growth in China is slowing Revenue growth (YOY, 2014-15) Decrease > 10% 9% 8% Decrease 5-10% Decrease 1-5% Revenue growth (YOY, 2012-15) 5% 75% 14% Flat 18% Increase 5-7% Increase >10% 64% 64% 18% 20% 14% 16% 16% 22% 2013 2014 2015 66% 21% Increase 1-5% Increase 7-10% 77% 6.5% GDP 14% 6% 25% 19% 9% 2012 Down Flat Source: European Chamber Business Confidence Survey 2015, AmCham 2015 China Business Climate Survey Report, Accenture & FT China Intelligence Survey 2015, Accenture analysis 2 Up Ironically, despite China’s economic slowdown and the emergence of local competitors, MNC leaders continue to be bullish about China’s potential— and their own potential to seize new opportunities. Their confidence is based largely on the growing wealth, urbanization and sophistication of China’s middle class. It is reflected in MNCs’ beliefs, as well as their investment strategies. Figure 2. MNC executives are confident 72% of MNC executives are confident to tackle challenges in the next 3 years. 71% of MNC executives are planning to increase investments in China over the next few years. Nearly a quarter of them are planning to invest aggressively. 24% 66% of MNC executives expect their performance to improve over the next three years. The same percentage believes their companies will continue expanding in China for the next 10 years Source: Accenture & FT China Intelligence Survey 2015, Accenture analysis Optimism is generally a good thing. Blind optimism is not. The truth is that MNCs—regardless of their industry sector—will find it increasingly difficult to retain their competitive edge in the years ahead. The “new” China is characterized by new pressures and trends. MNCs’ future success is dependent on how well, and how quickly, they are able to respond. Three actions can make all the difference. Expand your vision by narrowing your focus. MNCs need to face the reality that there is no such thing as an “average” consumer in the new China. If the country’s 1.4 billion consumers have anything in common, it is this: each one expects unique experiences to satisfy their unique needs. Consumer goods giant P&G, which lost market share in China to more nimble local companies, gets it. As CFO Jon Moeller noted at a recent analyst conference, “we looked at China a little bit too much as a developing market, as opposed to the most discerning consumers in the world.”2 3 To win customers in the future, MNCs must not only become highly responsive providers-of-choice, but also accurate predictors of their customers’ specific needs and preferences. They need to represent more than a reputable brand. They need to provide more and better products, convenience, last-mile/zero-mile services, and instant gratification. Consumers’ demands for seamless shopping experiences that save time and make life easier are growing each year.3 MNCs also need to realize that precision is the new currency of success in China. Targeting consumers with more personalized campaigns is one example of this shift. Spending on mass-market television or print ads has declined since 2014, and is expected to remain static or fall further through 2020. Digital advertising, in contrast, is soaring. Companies invested $23.5 billion in digital ads in 2014. This year, digital ad spending is projected to exceed $40 billion. By 2020, that figure will more than double.4 This suggests that companies realize the need to abandon the one-size-fits-all products, services, channels and experiences that satisfied customers in the past. Today, brands must be highly differentiated. Go-to-market strategies and communications must be localized and laser-focused. Customer segmentation must be based on local attributes and consumer characteristics that go beyond demographics to reflect unique preferences, expectations, attitudes and behaviors. And offerings and experiences must be personalized to better meet the demands of distinct consumer groups. The benefits of more precise marketing approaches, along with targeted consumer segmentation, offering development and experience delivery, are clear. For one global consumer goods manufacturer, Accenture applied a granular (by city and by channel) segmentation strategy that identified the opportunity to improve sales by 80 percent in certain high-value locations.5 Unleash your “inner start-up.” Emerging Chinese businesses are agile, fast and risk tolerant. MNCs, in contrast, are more centralized, too dependent on global operations and processes, and often too slow to keep pace with customer demands or pursue new market opportunities. Their inability to innovate as quickly as their local peers will pose a significant problem. While 92 percent of MNC leaders see innovation as critical, only 32 percent believe they are leaders in funding innovation. The lack of investment in innovation is due largely to the tremendous cost pressures that MNCs now face. We found that nearly two-thirds (65 percent) of MNC leaders consider cost pressure to be the greatest challenge they will face in the next three years. Labor-related expenses are particularly troubling. Wages for MNC employees today are 19 percent higher than wages of local company employees. MNCs could justify their higher employee salaries when they dominated markets and posted record profits. But, today, with local players claiming more market share, the historic MNC wage growth is unsustainable. 4 Innovation is very critical for 68 percent of MNCs in China. Innovations in new products/ services (48 percent) and business models (20 percent) will be particularly important. Figure 3. Labor costs are, by far, the most concerning for MNC leaders 5% 5% Talent & labor costs 4% Production and raw material costs 10% 54% 11% 11% IT & infrastructure costs No, all are under control Logistics cost Other Advertising and marketing cost To respond to the threat posed by leaner Chinese companies, MNCs need to adopt a start-up mentality. This means they need to adopt strategic cost management principles and apply zero-based concepts to free up capital to re-invest in innovation and fuel growth. They need to embrace more flexible operating models and boost productivity by automating manual labor, increasing spans of control, and simplifying approvals for faster decision-making. They also need to operate more efficiently. This is an imperative that MNCs understand. According to our research, 80 percent of MNC leaders are planning to improve their cost efficiencies as they pursue top line growth. Process optimization, business consolidation and digital technologies will all play a part. Figure 4. 2 most critical capabilities MNCs are relying on to manage the cost Optimize processes, e.g by applying lean, or other methodologies Centralize and consolidate local business activities 37% Organization and government simplification 37% IT enablement Improve bargaining and controllability of upstream market through expanding in upstream industry or supply chain Outsource and/ or offshore local business activities Reduce demand, stop doing work other 47% 29% 23% 12% 6% 2% Source: Accenture & FT China Intelligence Survey 2015, Accenture analysis Funding is certainly a key driver of the innovation that will enable MNCs to swiftly respond to Chinese trends and consumer needs. But funding is not sufficient. MNCs will also need to create a culture of innovation and a mindset that encourages risk-taking. Training programs, workforce incentives and talent strategies should all be designed with the goal of making innovation part of the organization’s DNA. Company leaders must be visible advocates. Appointing a “chief disruptive growth officer” can help drive the change from the top down. 5 Go local (and check your ego at the door). Two-thirds of executives believe China-born MNCs will become competitive powers in the next 10 years. But many local companies don’t plan on waiting that long. They are already gaining market share, especially in the sectors of retail, consumer goods and consumer electronics. And they are doing it with remarkable speed. Huawei Technologies Co. Ltd. is but one example. Through its new smartphone brand, Honor, the Chinese manufacturer targets digital natives via a direct-to-consumer channel.6 In the process, it usurped the former market leader, Samsung, in just six months.7 Which MNCs are at risk? MNCs in certain sectors in China are more threatened than others by local competitors. MNCs operating in the packaged foods and beauty and personal care sectors, for example, have seen their market share drop since 2012.8 One reason local companies are gaining ground is that they often have a better understanding of local consumers’ preferences. Also, products and processes are generally easily recreated and can be offered at a lower cost. As local companies’ expertise grows in the coming years, so will their market share. Some MNCs, however, are poised to fare better over the next 10 years. This is especially true for those that operate in sectors that rely on complex technologies or product development processes, which Chinese firms find difficult to replicate. Similarly, MNCs in the life sciences and consumer health space continue to differentiate themselves with sophisticated R&D practices. GE, Siemens and Philips currently account for 70 percent of China’s high-end medical equipment market.9 It’s likely they will hold their leadership positions. The question, though, is for how long? Forward-thinking MNCs are starting to view local players not as threats, but as partners. In fact, a third of MNCs (34 percent) see market success and future growth coming from collaborations with local companies. A number of them are already showing how it is done. A major global brewer is forming partnerships with local players to create exclusive nightlife experiences.10 Sportswear giant Adidas has moved its entire production capability to Chinese suppliers.11 And Jaguar Land Rover created a joint venture with Chery Automobile to produce models specifically tailored to the Chinese market.12 As these examples illustrate, collaboration can take many forms. One of the most promising is the creation of ecosystems, through which MNCs can deliver innovative products and experiences at scale. Dell, for example, has demonstrated its long-term commitment to China by pledging to invest $125 billion over the next five years. As part of this strategy, it signed a strategic agreement with Kingsoft Cloud to build local partnerships in the big data and cloud space. All told, the computer company expects to sustain a million jobs within its ecosystem.13 6 To create the most successful ecosystem, MNCs need to put a structure and process in place to identify the best potential partner(s). They need to establish rigorous controls to allow the partnership to flourish for all parties. And they need to think about the long-term value that collaboration can bring by constantly assessing whether they can leverage their partnership advantages to drive success in other markets or in other lines of business. For example, EMC initially partnered with Lenovo to gain access to server and storage markets in China, but plans to expand the synergies of the partnership to other global markets.14 What characterizes a successful ecosystem? Accenture Strategy research indicates that three factors enable successful co-innovation with local partners: • Mutual long-term benefits. To create a win-win ecosystem, local companies deliver access to new ideas and new market channels. MNCs bring not only investments to the table, but also overseas connections, technology and talent. • A commitment to exchanging information. To best meet the needs of China’s consumers, ecosystem partners must create differentiated experiences. To this end, they must share their knowledge of customers to generate the insights they need to deliver what competitors can’t. • An open mind. Ecosystem partners should keep alliances fresh by always seeking to expand the network to other local players that can help drive market success. What got you here won’t get you there Until now, MNCs in China have been playing not to lose. Now they must play to win. That will be a daunting challenge for those MNCs that are unable to respond to the customer demands, cost pressures and local competitors that define today’s China. To thrive in the years ahead, MNCs will need a new strategy for China—a strategy that is guided by granular insights, enabled by agile operating models, and realized through personalized experiences and new partnerships with local leaders. 7 Join the conversation @AccentureStrat Contact the Author Wieger Joosten [email protected] Additional Contributor Selina Zhao [email protected] References Accenture and the Financial Times , China Intelligence Survey, 2015. 1 “Why P&G’s CEO Says the Company Needs to Be More Nimble,” Fortune, February 19, 2016. Retrieved April 24, 2016 from http:// fortune.com/2016/02/19/procter-gamble-ceo-nimble/ 2 Accenture, “The Future of Commerce has Arrived: Understanding the New Asian Consumer,” 2016. 3 eMarketer, “Digital Ad Spend Rises in China Despite Economic Slowdown,” March 9, 2016. Retrieved May 10, 2016 from http:// www.emarketer.com/Article/Digital-Ad-Spend-Rises-ChinaDespite-Economic-Slowdown/1013677#sthash.f3W24lQe.dpuf 4 5 Accenture client experience Richard Trenholm, “Huawei reboots its image with new Honor brand,” CNET, October 28, 2014. Retrieved April 26, 2016 from http://www.cnet.com/news/huawei-reboots-its-image-withnew-honor-brand/ 6 EEPW, “Apple, Samsung & Huawei share the high-end mobile phone market in mainland China,” April 30, 2015. Retrieved May 10, 2016 from http://www.eepw.com.cn/article/273355.htm 7 8 Euromonitor, Accenture analysis MEI.NET.CN “Three foreign enterprises take 70% market share of China’s high-end medical equipment,” August 1, 2014. Retrieved May 10, 2016 from http://www.mei.net.cn/ yqyb/201408/569063.html 9 10 Accenture client experience Laurie Burkitt, “Adidas to Close China Factory, “ Wall Street Journal, July 18, 2012. Retrieved April 26, 2016 from http://www. wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702304217904577534074222 825982. 11 Angela Monaghan, “Jaguar Land Rover seals Chinese joint venture,” The Telegraph, November 18, 2012. Retrieved May 2, 2016 from http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/ transport/9684276/Jaguar-Land-Rover-seals-Chinese-jointventure.html 12 Dell press release, “Dell Announces Its New ‘In China, For China’ Strategy to Support Job Creation; Propel Entrepreneurship and Innovation,” September 10, 2015. Retrieved May 2, 2016 from https://www.dell.com/learn/us/en/vn/press-releases/201509-14-dell-announces-its-new-in-china 13 Reuters, “China’s Lenovo to partner EMC on storage, server products,” July 31, 2012. Retrieved May 2, 2016 from http:// www.reuters.com/article/lenovo-emc-idUSL4E8J108Y20120801. 14 About the Research In September 2015, Accenture Strategy and the Financial Times surveyed 119 executives of multinational corporations operating in China to better understand the challenges they faced and the opportunities for future success. The organizations the respondents represented reported an average of US$2.5 billion in revenues and 11,000 employees in China. About Accenture Accenture is a leading global professional services company, providing a broad range of services and solutions in strategy, consulting, digital, technology and operations. Combining unmatched experience and specialized skills across more than 40 industries and all business functions—underpinned by the world’s largest delivery network—Accenture works at the intersection of business and technology to help clients improve their performance and create sustainable value for their stakeholders. With approximately 373,000 people serving clients in more than 120 countries, Accenture drives innovation to improve the way the world works and lives. Visit us at www.accenture.com. About Accenture Strategy Accenture Strategy operates at the intersection of business and technology. We bring together our capabilities in business, technology, operations and function strategy to help our clients envision and execute industry-specific strategies that support enterprise-wide transformation. Our focus on issues related to digital disruption, competitiveness, global operating models, talent and leadership helps drive both efficiencies and growth. For more information, follow @AccentureStrat or visit www.accenture.com/strategy. Copyright © 2016 Accenture All rights reserved. Accenture, its logo, and High Performance Delivered are trademarks of Accenture. 16-2144
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