Evaluation of structural equation models Hans Baumgartner Penn State University Evaluating structural equation models Issues related to the initial specification of theoretical models of interest Model specification: □ Measurement model: EFA vs. CFA reflective vs. formative indicators [see Appendix A] number of indicators per construct [see Appendix B] total aggregation model partial aggregation model total disaggregation model □ Latent variable model: recursive vs. nonrecursive models alternatives to the target model [see Appendix C for an example] Evaluating structural equation models x1 x2 x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6 x7 x8 d1 d2 d3 d4 d5 d6 d7 d8 Evaluating structural equation models z1 z2 x1 x1 x2 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6 x7 x8 Evaluating structural equation models Criteria for distinguishing between reflective and formative indicator models Are the indicators manifestations of the underlying construct or defining characteristics of it? Are the indicators conceptually interchangeable? Are the indicators expected to covary? Are all of the indicators expected to have the same antecedents and/or consequences? Based on MacKenzie, Podsakoff and Jarvis, JAP 2005, pp. 710-730. Evaluating structural equation models Consumer Behavior Attitudes Aad as a mediator of advertising effectiveness: Four structural specifications (MacKenzie et al. 1986) Affect transfer hypothesis Cad Aad Cb Ab BI Reciprocal mediation hypothesis Cad Aad Cb Ab BI Dual mediation hypothesis Cad Aad Cb Ab BI Independent influences hypothesis Cad Aad Cb Ab BI Evaluating structural equation models Issues related to the initial specification of theoretical models of interest Model misspecification □ omission/inclusion of (ir)relevant variables □ omission/inclusion of (ir)relevant relationships □ misspecification of the functional form of relationships Model identification Sample size Statistical assumptions Evaluating structural equation models Data screening Inspection of the raw data □ □ □ detection of coding errors recoding of variables treatment of missing values Outlier detection Assessment of normality Measures of association □ □ □ regular vs. specialized measures covariances vs. correlations non-positive definite input matrices Evaluating structural equation models Model estimation and testing Model estimation Estimation problems □ □ □ □ nonconvergence or convergence to a local optimum improper solutions problems with standard errors empirical underidentification Overall fit assessment [see Appendix D] Local fit measures [see Appendix E on how to obtain robust standard errors] Evaluating structural equation models Overall fit indices Stand-alone fit indices Incremental fit indices Information 2 test and Noncentralitybased theory-based Others variations minimum fit function 2 (C1) NCP AIC (S)RMR NFI [2 or f] IFI Rescaled NCP (t) SBC GFI RFI [2/df] TLI CIC PGFI ECVI AGFI CFI [2-df] Gamma hat TLI [(2-df)/df] RMSEA S-B scaled 2 (C3) MC 2/df minimum fit function f Scaled LR Type II indices measures normal theory WLS 2 (C2) 2 corrected for nonnormality (C4) Type I indices measures CN Evaluating structural equation models Types of error in covariance structure modeling best fit of the model to S for a given discrepancy function ̂ known - random ~ 0 error of approximation (an unknown constant) 0 unknown - fixed unknown - fixed best fit of the model to 0 for a given discrepancy function population covariance matrix Evaluating structural equation models Incremental fit indices • type I indices: • type II GFt GFn or GFt GF GFn t indices: E (GF ) GFn t GFt, BFt = GFn, BFn = E(GFt), E(BFt) = BFn BFt BFn or BFn BF t BFn E ( BF ) t value of some stand-alone goodness- or badness-of-fit index for the target model; value of the stand-alone index for the null model; expected value of GFt or BFt assuming that the target model is true; Evaluating structural equation models Model estimation and testing Measurement model □ factor loadings, factor (co)variances, and error variances □ reliabilities and discriminant validity Latent variable model □ structural coefficients and equation disturbances □ direct, indirect, and total effects [see Appendix F] □ explained variation in endogenous constructs Evaluating structural equation models Direct, indirect, and total effects -.28 inconveniences direct rewards .44 encumbrances Aact indirect -.31 rewards .49 B -.15 .48 BI -.05 .24 B -.03 inconveniences -.15 -.28 rewards encumbrances BI -.05 inconveniences encumbrances 1.10 -.05 .44 -.31 Aact .48 -.05 -.03 BI .24 B Evaluating structural equation models Model estimation and testing Power [see Appendix G] Model modification and model comparison [see Appendix H] □ Measurement model □ Latent variable model Model-based residual analysis Cross-validation Model equivalence and near equivalence [see Appendix I] Latent variable scores [see Appendix J] Evaluating structural equation models True state of nature Accept H0 H0 true H0 false Correct decision Type II error (b) Decision Reject H0 Type I error (a) Correct decision Evaluating structural equation models power low nonsignificant test statistic significant high Evaluating structural equation models Model comparisons saturated structural model (Ms) lowest 2 lowest df next most likely unconstrained model (Mu) target model (Mt) next most likely constrained model (Mc) null structural model (Mn) highest 2 highest df Evaluating structural equation models η3 η1 η3 η1 η4 η2 η4 η2 η5 η5 η3 η3 η1 η1 η4 η2 η4 η2 η5 η5
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