Robust Yet Fragile -- and DILO (Deep Information from Limited Observation) Lori Parrott Sandia National Laboratories April 2012 1 Forests are complex adaptive systems 2 Other complex adaptive systems •Power grids •Biological systems •Social Networks 3 Robust yet Fragile: the Forest Fire Model Time 1 4 The forest evolves to adapt to the most common threats. Time 1 Time x 5 Robust yet Fragile, and DILO (Deep Information from Limited Observation) Networks that evolve to improve their performance become robust yet fragile. Most of their features become robust, but a few remain fragile. Details about the robust features are uninformative. Details about the fragile features must be well understood. Deep Information from Limited Observation is a concept that can provide insights. 6 With DILO you can infer far more about a system from limited inquiries 7 In summary, remember that RYF and DILO are linked Evolving complex systems – whether organic or engineered – display Robust yet Fragile behavior. Robust yet Fragile systems can be understood through DILO techniques. … In other words, you can see the forest for the trees 8
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