TIPS4Math Grade 6 Probability Overall Expectations Students will: • Collect and organize discrete or continuous primary data and secondary data and display the data using charts and graphs, including continuous line graphs (6m67) • Read, describe, and interpret data, and explain relationships between sets of data (6m68) • Determine the theoretical probability of an outcome in a probability experiment, and use it to predict the frequency of the outcome (6m69) Specific Expectations Students will: • Collect data by conducting a survey or an experiment to do with themselves, their environment, issues in their school or community, or content from another subject, and record observations or measurements (6m70) • Collect and organize discrete or continuous primary data and secondary data and display the data in charts, tables, and graphs (including continuous line graphs) that have appropriate titles, labels, and scales that suit the range and distribution of the data, using a variety of tools (6m71) • Read, interpret, and draw conclusions from primary data and from secondary data, presented in charts, tables, and graphs (including continuous line graphs) (6m74) • Express theoretical probability as a ratio of the number of favourable outcomes to the total number of possible outcomes, where all outcomes are equally likely (6m79) • Represent the probability of an event (i.e., the likelihood that the event will occur), using a value from the range of 0 (never happens or impossible) to 1 (always happens or certain) (6m80) • Predict the frequency of an outcome of a simple probability experiment or game, by calculating and using the theoretical probability of that outcome (6m81) Lesson Represent the Probability of an Event Express Theoretical Probability as a Ratio Use Theoretical Probability to Make Predictions EduGAINS-Mathematics Learning Focus • • • Represent the probability of an event using a value from the range of 0 (never happens or impossible) to 1 (always happens or certain) Express theoretical probability as a ratio of the number of favourable outcomes to the total number of possible outcomes, where all outcomes are equally likely Calculate and use theoretical probability to predict the frequency of outcomes and test predictions Specific Expectations 6m80 6m79 6m79 6m81 Page 1 of 9 TIPS4Math Probability (continued) Lesson Probability Experiments and Games Create Probability Games Grade 6 Learning Focus • • • Conduct further probability experiments and games by making and testing predictions Explore the impact of increasing the number of trials of a probability experiment Create a game for a given probability and test the game Specific Expectations 6m70 6m71 6m74 6m79 6m81 6m70 6m71 6m74 6m79 6m81 Consolidation and Summative Tasks EduGAINS-Mathematics Page 2 of 9 TIPS4Math Represent the Probability of an Event Specific Expectations: 6m80 Learning Focus Blended Learning Teacher Guide Unit 5 Activity 3: Probability OERB ID: ELO1475480 Unit 5 Activity 3: Minds On Minds • Review the functions of probability OERB ID: ELO1475460 On • Exploring Probability and the Monte Carlo Method Video Unit 5 Activity 3: Action Action • Represent the probability of an event using a value from • Probability at the School Raffle the range of 0 (never happens OERB ID : ELO1411380 or impossible) to 1 (always o explains theoretical probability in the happens or certain) “Help” section • Madame Chance and Her Predict-A-Ball OERB ID : ELO1411400 Unit 5 Activity 3: Action Consolidation • Check Your Understanding • Anchor Chart • Assignment 1: Probability Grade 6 Other Resources Guide to Effective Instruction: Data Management and Probability Grades 4 – 6 • pp 31 – 35 • pp 104 – 114: Grade 6 Learning Activity: Rock-Paper-Scissors Express Theoretical Probability as a Ratio Specific Expectations: 6m79 Learning Focus Minds • Review ratios On Action • Express theoretical probability Blended Learning Other Resources NCTM Illuminations • Bean Counting and Ratios • Stick or Switch as a ratio of the number of favourable outcomes to the total number of possible outcomes, where all outcomes are equally likely Consolidation EduGAINS-Mathematics Page 3 of 9 TIPS4Math Use Theoretical Probability to Make Predictions Specific Expectations: 6m79, 6m81 Learning Focus Minds On • Action • Use a common fraction to explain the probability that an event will occur Calculate and use theoretical probability to predict the frequency of outcomes and test predictions Blended Learning Teacher Guide Unit 5 Activity 3: Probability OERB ID: ELO1475480 Unit 5 Activity 3: Action OERB ID: ELO1475460 • Rock, Paper, Scissors! OERB ID: ELO1411470 o when game is finished, determine the experimental probability • Check Your Understanding • Probability: Make A Guess o discusses theoretical probability, reinforces connections made between fractions, decimals and percents Grade 6 Other Resources Guide to Effective Instruction: Data Management and Probability Grades 4 – 6 • pp 31 – 35 • pp 104 – 114: Grade 6 Learning Activity: Rock-Paper-Scissors NCTM Illuminations • Bean Counting and Ratios • Stick or Switch Consolidation EduGAINS-Mathematics Page 4 of 9 TIPS4Math Probability Experiments and Games Specific Expectations: 6m70, 6m71, 6m74, 6m79, 6m81 Learning Focus Blended Learning Minds On • Action • • Grade 6 Review the probability that an event will occur in simple games and probability experiments Conduct further probability experiments and games by making and testing predictions Explore the impact of increasing the number of trials of a probability experiment Other Resources Teacher Guide Unit 5 Activity 3: Probability OERB ID: ELO1475480 Guide to Effective Instruction: Data Management and Probability Grades 4 – 6 • pp 31 – 35 • pp 104 – 114: Grade 6 Learning Activity: Rock-Paper-Scissors Unit 5 Activity 3: Consolidation OERB ID: ELO1475460 • Toads and Vines mathies • Set Tool NCTM Illuminations Note: supplementation required for conducting • What Are My Chances? experiments, making and testing predictions, extending trials Consolidation EduGAINS-Mathematics Page 5 of 9 TIPS4Math Grade 6 Create Probability Games Specific Expectations: 6m70, 6m71, 6m74, 6m79, 6m81 Learning Focus Blended Learning Other Resources Teacher Guide Unit 5 Activity 3: Probability OERB ID: ELO1475480 Minds On • Action • Play a game and determine how probability affects the outcome and fairness of the game Create a game for a given probability and test the game Guide to Effective Instruction: Data Management and Probability Grades 4 – 6 • pp 31 – 35 • pp 104 – 114: Grade 6 Learning Activity: Rock-Paper-Scissors Unit 5 Activity 3: Consolidation OERB ID: ELO1475460 • Discussion o make up questions for given probabilities Note: supplementation required for creating a game for a given probability and testing Consolidation Consolidation & Summative Tasks Specific Expectations: 6m70, 6m71, 6m74, 6m79, 6m80, 6m81 Blended Learning EduGAINS-Mathematics Other Resources Page 6 of 9 TIPS4Math Represent the Probability of an Event Resource URL Teacher Guide: Unit 5 Activity 3: Probability Exploring Probability and the Monte Carlo Method Video Probability at the School Raffle Madame Chance and Her Predict-A-Ball Unit 5 Activity 3: Action Assignment 1: Probability Guide to Effective Instruction: Data Management and Probability Grades 4 – 6 Grade 6 https://download.elearningontario.ca/repository/14/1475480000/Combined%20Teacher%20 Notes%20for%20Activities%201%20-%203/content_3.html http://www.learnalberta.ca/content/mejhm/index.html?l=0&ID1=AB.MATH.JR.STAT&ID2=AB. MATH.JR.STAT.PROB&lesson=html/video_interactives/probability/probabilitySmall.html https://download.elearningontario.ca/repository/14/1411380000/ThomasRo_SchoolRaffle.html https://download.elearningontario.ca/repository/14/1411400000/ThomasRo_MadameChancePredictBall.html https://download.elearningontario.ca/repository/14/1475460000/GRD6MTHEU05A03/content_2. html https://download.elearningontario.ca/repository/14/1475460000/GRD6MTHEU05A03/assignment. html http://oame.on.ca/eduproject/ontariomathedresources/files/Data%20Management%20Probability%204-6.pdf Express Theoretical Probability as a Ratio Resource URL NCTM Illuminations: Bean Counting and Ratios NCTM Illuminations: Stick or Switch EduGAINS-Mathematics https://illuminations.nctm.org/Lesson.aspx?id=2534 https://illuminations.nctm.org/Lesson.aspx?id=1399 Page 7 of 9 TIPS4Math Use Theoretical Probability to Make Predictions Resource URL Teacher Guide: Unit 5 Activity 3: Probability Rock, Paper, Scissors! Unit 5 Activity 3: Action Probability: Make A Guess Guide to Effective Instruction: Data Management and Probability Grades 4 – 6 NCTM Illuminations: Bean Counting and Ratios NCTM Illuminations: Stick or Switch Grade 6 https://download.elearningontario.ca/repository/14/1475480000/Combined%20Teacher%20 Notes%20for%20Activities%201%20-%203/content_3.html https://download.elearningontario.ca/repository/14/1411470000/ThomasRo-RockPaperScissors. html https://download.elearningontario.ca/repository/14/1475460000/GRD6MTHEU05A03/content_3. html http://www.learnalberta.ca/content/mesg/html/math6web/index.html?page=lessons&lesson=m6lessonshell19.swf http://oame.on.ca/eduproject/ontariomathedresources/files/Data%20Management%20Probability%204-6.pdf https://illuminations.nctm.org/Lesson.aspx?id=2534 https://illuminations.nctm.org/Lesson.aspx?id=1399 Probability Experiments and Games Resource URL Teacher Guide: Unit 5 Activity 3: Probability Unit 5 Activity 3: Consolidation Toads and Vines Guide to Effective Instruction: Data Management and Probability Grades 4 – 6 mathies: Set Tool NCTM Illuminations What Are My Chances? EduGAINS-Mathematics https://download.elearningontario.ca/repository/14/1475480000/Combined%20Teacher%20 Notes%20for%20Activities%201%20-%203/content_3.html https://download.elearningontario.ca/repository/14/1475460000/GRD6MTHEU05A03/content_5. html http://www.learnalberta.ca/content/mejhm/index.html?l=0&ID1=AB.MATH.JR.STAT&ID2=AB. MATH.JR.STAT.PROB&lesson=html/object_interactives/probability/use_it.html http://oame.on.ca/eduproject/ontariomathedresources/files/Data%20Management%20Probability%204-6.pdf http://mathies.ca/learningTools.php#Ss1 https://illuminations.nctm.org/Lesson.aspx?id=2895 Page 8 of 9 TIPS4Math Create Probability Games Resource Teacher Guide: Unit 5 Activity 3: Probability Unit 5 Activity 3: Consolidation Guide to Effective Instruction: Data Management and Probability Grades 4 – 6 EduGAINS-Mathematics Grade 6 URL https://download.elearningontario.ca/repository/14/1475480000/Combined%20Teacher%20 Notes%20for%20Activities%201%20-%203/content_3.html http://oame.on.ca/eduproject/ontariomathedresources/files/Data%20Management%20Probability%204-6.pdf Page 9 of 9
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