المملكة العربية السعودية جامعة اإلمام محمد بن سعود اإلسالمية كلية العلوم KINGDOOM OF SAUDI ARABIA Al-Imam Muhammad Ibn Saud Islamic University Faculty of Sciences SYLLABUS STA111 (Introduction to Probability and Statistics) Instructor Credits: 3 hours Prerequisite: M101 E-Mail: Office: Office hours References: Required Textbook Probability and Statistics for Engineers & Scientists, Eighth Edition; Walpole, Myers, Ye, Pearson International edition,2007, ISBN 0-13-204767-5 Exams Midterm 1 : Midterm 2 : Final : 6-th week 10-th week 16-th week Grading: Midterm 1: Midterm 2: Quiz & h.w. …. : Final Exam: 20 % 20 % 20 % 40 % Course Contents We ek Chapter Reading Assignments Topics Some Basic Considerations: Probability Experiment, Sample 1&2&3 Space, Event, Events: Complement, Intersection, Mutually Exclusive, Union Sect. 2.2 Counting Sample Points: Tree diagram, Multiplication Rule, Sect. 2.3 Permutation, Combination Chapter 1: Probability Sect. 2.1 Interpretations of Probability: Introduction, Axioms of Sect. 2.4 Probability Addition Rules: For the mutually exclusive case, General Case Sect. 2.5 Conditional Probability, Multiplication Probability Rules, Independence Sect. 2.6 and Total Bayes’ Theorem Sect. 2.7 Concept of Random Variable: Random Variable, Discrete 3&4 Sample Space, Continuous Sample Space, Discrete Random Variable, Continuous Random Space Chapter 2: Random Variables and Probability Distribution Discrete Random Variables and Probability Distributions: Discrete Random Variables, Probability Distributions Sect. 3.1 Sect. 3.2 and Probability Mass Functions, Cumulative Distribution Functions Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions: Continuous Random Variables, Probability Distributions and Probability Density Functions, Cumulative Distribution Functions Sect. 3.3 Joint Probability Distributions: Joint Probability Distributions or Probability Mass Function of two Discrete Random Variables, Marginal Probability Distributions, Conditional Probability Distributions, Independence Sect. 3.4 8&9 6&7 5&6 Mean of Random Variable: The Mean of Expected Value of the Chapter 3: Mathematical Expectation Chapter 4: Some Discrete Probability Distributions Chapter 5: Some Continuous Probability Distributions Discrete of Continuous Random Variable, The Mean or Expected Value for the Joint Probability Distribution Sect. 4.1 Variance and Covaraince of Random Variables: The Variance of the Discrete Random Variables, The Covariance for the Joint Probability Distribution (Discrete case), The Coroleation Coefficient. Means and Variances of Linear combinations of Random Variables Bernoulli & Binomial Distribution Hypergeometric Distribution Geometric and Negative Binomial Distributions Poisson Distribution Continuous Uniform Distribution Gamma and Exponential Distribution Normal Distribution Areas under the Normal Curve Applications of the Normal Distribution Normal Approximation to the Binomial Sect. 4.2 Sect. 4.3 Sect. 5.2 Sect. 5.3 Sect. 5.4 Sect. 5.5 Sect. 6.1 Sect. 6.6 Sect. 6.2 Sect. 6.3 Sect. 6.4 Sect. 6.5 9 & 10 10 & 11 11 & 12 & 13 Chapter 6: Descriptive Statistics Chapter 7: Fundamental Sampling Distributions and Data Descriptions Chapter 8: Point Estimation and Test Hypotheses • Definitions: Statistics, Population, Sample, parameter, Statistic,• Need of Statistics & Statistical Problem Solving Methodology & Introduction to Data Collection• Data Organization and Frequency Distributions: Data Raw, The Data Array, Frequency Distributions• Graphic Presentations of Frequency Distributions: The Histogram, The Frequency Polygon, A Cumulative Frequency Graph, Stem-and-Leaf Display• Computing Measures of Central Tendency: Measuring Central Tendency for Ungrouped Data: The Arithmetic Mean (population and sample), The Median, The Mode, Measuring Central Tendency for Grouped Data: The Arithmetic Mean (population and sample), The Median, The Mode, Summary of Comparative Characteristics• Computing Measures of Dispersion and Relative Position: Measuring Dispersion for Ungrouped Data: The Range, The Mean Absolute Deviation, The Standard Deviation (population and sample), The Standard Deviation for Grouped Data (population and sample), The Measures of Positions: Percentiles, Quartiles, Interquartile, Quartile Deviation Chapter 1 • Random Sampling • Some Important Statistics Sect. 8.1 8.2 • Sampling Distribution • Sampling Distribution of Means and the Central Limit Theorem Sect. 8.3 8.4 • Sampling Distribution of S2 • t-Distribution • F-Distribution Sect. 8.5 8.8 • Introduction • General Concepts of Point Estimation: Unbiased Sect. 9.1 9.7 Estimators, Variance of a Point Estimator, Standard Error, Mean Square Error of an Estimator • Methods of Point Estimation: Method of Moments, Method of Maximum Likelihood* • Statistical Hypotheses: General Concepts • Testing a Statistical Hypothesis 15 14 • Single Sample: Tests Concerning a Single Mean Chapter 10: Simple Linear Regression and Correlation Sect. 9.8 9.9 Sect. 10.1 10.2 Sect. 10.5 10.7 • One Sample: Test on a Single Proportion Sect. 10.11 • Introduction to Linear Regression • The Simple Linear Regression Model • Least Squares and the Fitted Model Sect. 11.1 11.3 REVIEW
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