Electron Markets (2011) 21:185–195 DOI 10.1007/s12525-011-0066-y SPECIAL THEME The social embeddedness of decision making: opportunities and challenges Carsten Takac & Oliver Hinz & Martin Spann Received: 28 June 2010 / Accepted: 12 July 2011 / Published online: 29 July 2011 # Institute of Information Management, University of St. Gallen 2011 Abstract Sociologists have long recognized that economic decisions are socially embedded. Management sciences and business practices have gradually begun to incorporate this idea. With the rise of the Internet, large-scale data are available on friendships, recommendations, transactions and social interactions, which have led to a strong momentum for research in this area. The aim of this article is to inspire multidisciplinary research on the mechanisms and consequences of social embeddedness on decision making and to highlight opportunities and challenges by synthesizing findings from various fields, such as IS research, sociology, economics, marketing and other management disciplines. Key suggestions of this paper are to identify the causality between social embeddedness and decision making with small-scale experiments, and to learn more about network formation by analyzing the evolution of social networks. Responsible editor: Thomas Hess C. Takac Goethe-Universität Frankfurt am Main, Grüneburgplatz 1, 60323 Frankfurt, Germany e-mail: [email protected] O. Hinz Technische Universität Darmstadt, Hochschulstraße 1, 64289 Darmstadt, Germany e-mail: [email protected] M. Spann (*) Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, Geschwister-Scholl-Platz 1, 80539 München, Germany e-mail: [email protected] Keywords Social network analysis . Decision making . Consumers . Organizations . Experiments . Diffusion JEL M15 . M20 . M30 Introduction In times of omnipresent mass media and ubiquitous Internet access, obtaining information presents less of a problem than finding trustworthy information. Indeed, the challenge is to filter relevant information from an overwhelming mass of facts and figures. While firms, such as Google, try to solve this problem with constantly improved ranking algorithms, the challenger Facebook tries to exploit the social structure among individuals and provides a platform that allows one to utilize the social environment, which is then used to obtain and validate information to make decisions (Hinz & Spann 2008). In the words of an economist, the allocation of scarce resources, such as money or time, is determined by individual choices, which, in turn, depend on social interactions (Mayer 2009). Similarly, anthropologists have emphasized the importance of networks and social structure (Lévi-Strauss 1963). A social network is, in this context, defined as a social structure made up of individuals (or organizations) who are tied by one or more specific types of interdependency, such as friendships, kinships, common interests, financial exchanges, dislikes, intimate relationships, or relationships of beliefs, knowledge or prestige (Wikipedia 2011). It is undisputed that human decision making, in general, is strongly influenced by the social environment and that individual action is very closely embedded in networks of these interpersonal relationships (Granovetter 1985). 186 C. Takac et al. Not only individual but also organizational decision making is strongly influenced by peers, for example, suppliers, customers or competitors (Teo et al. 2003). In an economy and a society increasingly connected and dominated by digital networks, the importance of such an influence is expected to grow. Therefore, social networks are receiving a growing amount of attention from research and in practice. Recent business developments, with respect to online social networking platforms (OSNP), stimulate and may even be ahead of empirical research (Van den Bulte 2010). We anticipate that current changes in the way humans interact is at the very core of ground shaking future developments in business, information systems and society at large and therefore deserve the focused attention of researchers from various disciplines. Thus, the aim of this article is to inspire multidisciplinary research on the mechanisms and consequences of social embeddedness on decision making and to highlight rising opportunities and challenges by synthesizing findings from various fields, including network theory, economics, information systems, sociology, communication, management and marketing. We first discuss the challenge of disentangling the causality chain of external influences, social network formation and individual decision making. Next, we describe what we call the “data opportunity” before we introduce our research framework for structuring previous findings and future research opportunities. Subsequently, following the research framework, we summarize previous findings with respect to the social embeddedness of decision making at the individual, organizational and aggregate level. We discuss the differences between online and offline social networks and behavioral changes incurred from the new means of online social interaction. Finally, we conclude with describing what we perceive to be the most promising avenues for future research and point out a few specific research questions that need to be addressed by researchers in this area. Theoretical background The causality challenge Social networks are a simple, yet powerful abstraction that are used to represent almost every type of human interaction, connection or information flow (including structure and dynamic), consisting of nodes representing individual people or groups and ties for connections, such as communication, dependence or vicinity (Borgatti et al. 2009; Oinas-Kukkonen et al. 2010). In the following, the theoretical introduction refers to individual people, although the mechanisms of social interaction similarly apply to groups of people, such as organizations (discussed later). In general, the effect of social relations on behavior is that people become increasingly similar because mechanisms of social contagion operate among those that are proximate in the social network, namely, cohesion and structural equivalence (Burt 1987). Cohesion describes the phenomenon that evaluations of cost and benefit associated with prospective behavior are aligned via strong communication relationships. People thus become more homogeneous as a result of direct contact via social networking links from node to node. This type of social contagion is typically referred to as word-of-mouth. However, even without direct interaction between nodes, social networks can have an influence on behavior. Two people in a social network, who are not connected to each other, are likely to develop similar behavior simply because they are both subject to frequent and similar requests from their social networking neighbors or because a particular behavior is expected by their peers (Fishbein and Ajzen 1975). Moreover, people can behave similarly simply because they are structurally equivalent in their social network; thus, their behavior can become more homogeneous (Borgatti et al. 2009). The pattern of structural equivalence can lead to homogeneous behavior in people who are similar in their relations with others and hence might be able to replace each other. They compete for prestigious social network positions and might adopt any innovation that is perceived to make them more attractive as an object or source of relations with others (Burt 1987). Figure 1a depicts this view on social network positions influencing decision making. However, is it really the social network and mechanisms of cohesion and structural equivalence that influence individual decision making and make individuals more similar? Or do people, for reasons of homophily (McPherson et al. 2001), bond with similar individuals and become part of the same social network, Fig. 1 The causality challenge causality Social position Decision making a Homophily Social position Exogenous effects Social position Decision making b correlation Decision making c Social embeddedness of decision making as depicted in Fig. 1b? Indeed, research aiming at network formation processes has found that common characteristics facilitate the formation of friendship networks (e.g., Marmaros & Sacerdote 2006; Mayer & Puller 2008). However, the similar behavior of individuals need not be rooted in homophily if these individuals are actually subject to a common external influence (as depicted in Fig. 1c). In other words, “if at the beginning of a shower a number of people on the street put up their umbrellas at the same time, this would not ordinarily be a case of action mutually oriented to that of each other, but rather of all reacting in the same way to the same need of protection from the rain” (Weber 1921, 1968). This is what Van den Bulte & Lilien (2001) found when reanalyzing the frequently cited Medical Innovation study by Coleman et al. (1966) where social contagion was originally found to be a major driving force in the decision regarding the prescription of a new drug by U.S. physicians in the mid-1950s. As soon as marketing effects, a contextual variable omitted in the original study, had been controlled for, the social contagion effect disappeared (cf. Aral et al. 2009 for another case of over-estimated peer-influence). The distinctions illustrated in Fig. 1 have not been sufficiently addressed in previous research. Most previous social network research uses measures derived from the social network as explanatory variables. However, if one aims at, for instance, explaining social status, the network structure becomes the dependent variable. Thus, it is essential for producing valid research results to account for the larger framework of collective social dynamics, which is currently beyond state of the art (Watts 2007). To disentangle the causality chain and determine the respective preconditions and the outcomes of social embeddedness, we suggest conducting empirical and experimental studies that (1) identify potential interpersonal influences through social contagion (e.g., by observing mutual influences on new product adoption or information spreading behavior) and (2) observe the formation of the social network over time. This would enable conclusions about whether decision making is an outcome of social position or if social position is an outcome of homophily or exogenous factors. We maintain that only if this basic “causality challenge” of social embeddedness is approached, we can get closer to drawing sustainable conclusions about how embeddedness in the social environment affects decision making. This is essential, especially for IS research, if we want to better understand what drives various phenomena that seemingly stem from social contagion or bandwagon effects, such as information cascades, adoption processes, team effectiveness, the diffusion of new technology and the success of OSNP. 187 The data opportunity Traditionally, social network related research was conducted via surveys asking participants for acquaintance or friendship nominations. Surveys in the social networking context, however, may suffer from serious limitations and problems (cf. Van den Bulte 2010), such as poor memory and accuracy problems (Brewer 2000), the results of the respondents’ varying interpretations of the questions (Bearman & Parigi 2004), or measurement bias (Feld & Carter 2002). Surveys are not only timeconsuming to conduct, but they also suffer from a rather low response rate. Furthermore, their analyses are cumbersome and error-prone. In spite of these potential problems when obtaining social network data via surveys, network statistics generated from this data are surprisingly robust even when only a part of the network is surveyed. A sample can be considered representative for a social network if 50% of the members respond (Valente & Pumpuang 2007; Costenbader & Valente 2003). With techniques from graph theory, it has been demonstrated that a satisfying level of accuracy can be reached even with sample sizes as low as 15% of the overall network (Leskovec & Faloutsos 2006). We conjecture that the scarcity of research with a focus on social networks has been due mainly to data availability limitations. With new electronic data from OSNP, communities, and protocols of inter-personal communication (e.g., Hinz & Spann 2008; Hill et al. 2006) and social network analysis tools with an unprecedented ability to trace, visualize, analyze, explain and simulate structures and behaviors of social networks (Oinas-Kukkonen et al. 2010), we see multiple opportunities for research to reexamine the assumptions and findings of earlier research that lacked appropriate data. It may be tempting to rely entirely on these new data opportunities as marketing researchers did in the 1980s by piggybacking on the emergence of scanner data in supermarkets. We agree with Van den Bulte (2010) that this would be an approach similar to a drunk looking for lost keys under lamp posts simply because this is where the light is. Hence, we propose conducting complementary field experiments (e.g., Hinz et al. 2011, 2012) based on the information obtained from OSNP or based on the creation of "artificial worlds" with varying network structures, followed by an investigation on how these differences affect user behavior. Even though data availability in general has dramatically improved, the wrong perspective on social networks and bad quality data can produce misleading results (Huberman et al. 2009). On OSNP, people tend to even add not-so-close acquaintances to their friends’ lists; thus, distinguishing weak links from strong links becomes a difficult problem 188 for two reasons: first, the number of overt links is large, and second, the number of observed interactions is rather small in most cases (Trusov et al. 2010). Trusov et al. (2010) developed a nonstandard form of Bayesian shrinkage implemented in a Poisson regression and found that only 22% of so-called “friends” from an OSNP actually influence a given user’s behavior. Not removing irrelevant network ties and erroneously omitting relevant ties according to Páez et al. (2008) leads to biased results. It is often ignored that there is not one social network connecting a given set of individuals and influencing behavior, but depending on the decision context, different types of relationships have to be distinguished, including marriage, friendship, work, advice, support, information transfer, exchange, co-membership and many more (McPherson et al. 2001; Wasserman & Faust 1994). The enormous amount of data also poses substantial challenges. Many global metrics from social networking metrics are complex and require exponential time for computation in the worst case scenario. Therefore, standard social network analysis software is only suitable for networks with 100–200,000 nodes; thus, Facebook’s social graph with more than 500 million nodes cannot be analyzed. This highlights the importance of smart network boundary specification strategies (see Laumann et al. 1992 for a review on this topic). For many research questions or business strategies, it is not necessary to consider the entire dataset. It might be, for example, sufficient to examine the behavior in one country, one city or the behavior among users who were active in a given time period. Nodes and ties outside of the boundary can then be discarded, and the complexity is reduced dramatically. If the social network is still too large for software packages, sampling might be a second approach (Leskovec & Faloutsos 2006) as many social network metrics are robust against sampling. As tricky as the challenge to disentangle the causality effects of social embeddedness seems to be, we are Fig. 2 Research Framework C. Takac et al. confident that recent online developments provide researchers with the rich data needed to proceed. Thus, we present our framework for structuring previous and future research. Research framework We suggest distinguishing between decision making on the individual level and the organizational level. The individual level refers to individual behavior and phenomena, such as choice and product adoption processes. The objective of research in this field is to analyze antecedents and outcomes of an individual’s social network participation. Chapter 3 outlines previous literature and future research directions for the individual level. It is important to distinguish the individual level with individuals as actors from the organizational level, where the organization, and thus a group of individuals, itself becomes the actor and is socially connected to other groups. This is especially important with respect to management, economics, information systems and marketing. Research topics in this field are presented in more detail in chapter 4. Decision processes can be separated into two classes of decisions. The first class describes resource allocation decisions, such as the adoption, purchase, promotion or hiring decisions either made by an individual or by an organization. The second class of decisions deals with the question of how the individual or organization can change its social position by entering or leaving relationships. We discuss both classes on the microlevel before we examine the impact of these microlevel decisions on the aggregate level. In chapter 5, we discuss issues such as information and product diffusion as well as the causalities of network formation. As a cross-sectional dimension, we account for similarities and differences between online and offline social networks (see chapter 6). Therefore, we suggest the research framework depicted in Fig. 2. Social embeddedness of decision making In the following, we want to outline the use of this research framework by reviewing previous literature on the impact of social embeddedness on decision making and highlight challenges and new opportunities for future research. Individual level decision making One of the most important issues for analyzing how social embeddedness influences individual behavior is identifying those individuals who exert the greatest influence on their network neighbors. The first stream of research dedicated to studying this phenomenon was the individual level adoption of innovations. The process of individual decisions with respect to purchase decisions of a new product was described as a two-step flow (Lazarsfeld et al. 1944). First, awareness is created by mass media, which, in most cases, is not strong enough to trigger adoption decisions. In the second step, interpersonal communication between potential buyers triggers purchase decisions. For this second stage, some individuals are considered to be more important than others. A relatively small number of people have a substantial influence on the opinions and decisions of the majority (Katz & Lazarsfeld 1955). These people are called opinion leaders if they have a special expertise in a particular domain (Barabási 2003; Valente 1995). Identifying opinion leaders (sometimes called “influentials”) is a key problem in innovation and adoption research, marketing, public opinion, epidemiology (in order to stop spreading epidemics), communication, education and many more fields. However, there are conflicting findings on how to identify opinion leaders based on the metrics of social network analysis. The social network analysis concept of hubs (which refers to those people with the highest number of social ties) is somewhat related to the concept of opinion leadership, and frequently, individual centrality is directly associated with power and influence (e.g., Borgatti et al. 2009; Iacobucci 1996). Some claim that “there are no findings that connect expertise or innovativeness to social connectivity and having a large number of acquaintances” (Goldenberg et al. 2009), which conflicts with other studies (Rogers & Cartano 1962; Jacoby 1974) that report correlation coefficients ranging from 0.23 to 0.87 when comparing network (degree) centrality and psychographic opinion leadership metrics. Further research is required on how opinion leaders can be identified based on their social network position as current research still produces conflicting results (cf. Godes & Mayzlin 2009; Coulter et al. 2002; Iyengar et al. 2011). It appears, however, that opinion leaders are socially well connected, whereas the well connected are not necessarily opinion leaders. 189 In addition to the question regarding how central individuals influence others, it is interesting to ask how the social network position (e.g., “degree centrality” measured in terms of the number of links to others) affects individual performance. Ahuja et al. (2003) find when analyzing email communication that the degree of centrality mediates the effects of role, status, and communication on individual performance and that centrality is a stronger direct predictor of performance than individual characteristics considered in this study. Central individuals may receive more information than others and be more likely to adopt new products, such as online auctions, mentioned earlier. Similarly, social network growth processes are believed to be strongly influenced by people having a large number of ties to others (Goldenberg et al. 2009). Most recent social network-related studies are based on the concept of degree centrality. A related idea was formalized by the concept of “social capital” defined as the sum of the resources accrued by an individual by virtue of possessing a network of relationships of mutual acquaintances and recognition (Bourdieu & Wacquant 1992). In other words, social capital is a “metaphor about advantage”. This can include the value of individuals with the ability to bridge otherwise unconnected parts of the network, so-called “structural holes” (Burt 2000). High social capital individuals stand at the crossroads and have the option of bringing together otherwise disconnected individuals. This idea is based on the famous argument of the strength of weak ties (Granovetter 1973) and is captured by the social network metric of betweenness centrality (Freeman 1978). It is worth future empirical research to further investigate the potentially different implications of being a hub (in terms of a high degree of centrality) and standing at the network crossroads (in terms of betweenness centrality) on individual behavior. We recommend introducing the notion of receptivity into such studies pertaining to “who influences whom”. As noted in computer simulations by Watts & Dodds (2007), it might be easier to influence individuals who are not so well connected rather than the influentials who are highly connected because central individuals may be more difficult to influence. They are subject to the influence of numerous sources, and it might be difficult to start a diffusion process with these individuals. Therefore, determining how important highly connected individuals are for the diffusion process (e.g., social networking services) has created a heated debate among practitioners (Thompson 2008). To address this issue, we propose to study how individual receptivity relates to social network position as a first step. As introduced before, the tendency of humans to interconnect becomes obvious in the plethora of successful Web 2.0 applications, such as Twitter, Facebook, 190 MySpace and LinkedIn. It seems, however, that humans may also suffer from too much (online) social embeddedness. A study from 2005, when online social activity was still at a much lower level than it is today, reveals that an average worker’s functioning IQ falls ten points when distracted by ringing telephones and incoming emails (Smith & Wilson 2005). It is, therefore, interesting to determine optimal levels of (online) social interaction, and it is necessary for IS research to find ways to manage the information overload. As a logical next step after addressing questions pertaining to how social embeddedness influences individual behavior, there arise questions as to how individuals can manipulate their social network position to improve their social status, exert more influence on others, and acquire more and/or more valuable information. Empirical evidence on the extent to which individuals are able to strategically manipulate their social network positions is scarce (cf. Kossinets & Watts 2006). There is some early experimental work in economics that focuses on strategic models of network formation, explaining how decisions of individuals lead to social networking. Literature in this area started with theoretical contributions by Myerson (1977) and Jackson & Wolinsky (1996) and attracted some interest in economics. Based on these ideas, experimental economists tested theories of network formation in laboratory experiments with small groups of subjects (Deck & Johnson 2004). While such experiments present a useful technique for analyzing economic questions by allowing for control of variables (such as costs, information and valuations) that could possibly influence decision making, the size of the networks must be rather small to keep the experiment controllable. First, results in IS research have been presented by Trier (2008) with a method for event-based dynamic network visualization and analysis. Based on longitudinal data of corporate email communication, Trier (2008) demonstrates how the exploration of animated graphs in combination with measuring temporal network changes identifies measurement artifacts of static network analysis and measures how network structures react to external events. Mayer & Puller (2008) use data from Facebook and develop a model of the formation of social networks that decomposes the formation of social links into the effects based on the exogenous school environment and the effects of endogenous choice arising from preferences for certain characteristics in one’s friends. Likewise, Putzke et al. (2009) test different theories from sociology (e.g., transitivity, reciprocity, and homophily) on network formation with data from a virtual world. Their results indicate that structural effects and demographic variables active in the real world also influence the formation of the players’ network in the virtual world. C. Takac et al. Organizational level decision making Not only is individual decision making embedded in social relationships but also in organizational decision making. The ties that link different organizations constitute an important value base for firms, especially in networked economies. It has been shown that intra- and interfirm social networks (e.g., Rindfleisch & Moorman 2001; Tsai & Ghoshal 1998) and group collaborations (Grewal et al. 2006) drive values. Organizations are also embedded social entities in inter-organizational networks. They are exposed to the pressure from their environment, resulting from interconnectedness and structural equivalence (Burt 1987). Interconnectedness is characterized by inter-organizational ties (e.g., transactions taking place between different organizations, IT resources that are shared by different organizations). If organizations occupy similar positions to other organizations in an inter-organizational network, these organizations are structurally equivalent. Accordingly, institutional theory argues that the environment of an organization has a significant impact on its structure and actions (Burns & Wholey 1993), but the underlying mechanisms of embeddedness are not quite clear. Similar to the individual level, research should aim at disentangling the causality chains of organizational embeddedness along with identifying the type and level of inter-organizational activity that drives organizational performance. Over the last decade, a fundamental transformation has been taking place as a networked economy has evolved in which multiple organizations collaborate and create supply chains and value networks. Such networks constitute webs of relationships that generate both tangible and intangible values through complex dynamic exchanges between two or more organizations (Allee 2003). Any agent engaged in these kinds of exchanges can be viewed as a value network in itself, whether in private industry, government or the public sector. This has given rise to important questions regarding information diffusion, forecasting, the adoption of new technology and business processes in such a closely collaborating and networked economy. With the availability of more and more information and the improvement of research methods in this area, we expect that these effects can be better identified and quantified (e.g., Berger and Hinz 2008; Hochberg et al. 2007; Spann & Skiera 2003). It is worth discussing the impact of social embeddedness on organizational behavior separately from individual embeddedness (as described in the previous chapter) because there is evidence that some assumptions for the individual level do not hold equally true on the organizational level. For instance, the individual benefit from interaction through weak ties (Granovetter 1973) is based on a low degree of redundant information between looselycoupled individuals. For organizations, on the contrary, Social embeddedness of decision making there is a high degree of redundant information between the weakly-tied horizontal organizational alliances (i.e., among competitors) and a low information redundancy between closely-coupled vertical (i.e., firms operating adjacently in the value chain) allies (Rindfleisch & Moorman 2001). On the other hand, quite similar to the individual level, centrality in a social environment is known to correspond with performance in terms of an organization’s ability to innovate or perform well financially (Powell et al. 1996; Shipilov & Li 2008). It has recently been demonstrated that economic value lies in the social network between sellers in an online social commerce market place (Stephen & Toubia 2010). The authors demonstrate that economic value arises from links between shops making them more accessible for the customer; it is not the most central shops that benefit, but those whose accessibility is most enhanced by the network. However, it is left as an open question for future research to determine whether and how strategic attempts to alter the network structures (by linking to others or acquiring reciprocal links from others) can be beneficial for a particular shop. Organizations steadily try to improve their social position by engaging in new partnerships or co-operations, thus highlighting the intersection of traditional organizational science and social network analysis on the organizational level. Aggregate level: Diffusion through networks and causality of network structure The aggregated view on microlevel decisions in the social networking context, be it on an individual or an organizational level, is commonly referred to as diffusion. Diffusion through social networks can be defined as the transport from node to node of some sort of quantity, such as information, opinions, or disease (Goldenberg et al. 2009). Since Bass’ (1969) seminal work, a variety of diffusion models have been developed (an overview is given by Mahajan et al. 1990). Previous research on information diffusion is often focused on how information about cost, return, risk, efficiency, and legitimacy influences the extent of innovation diffusion, but it ignores the possibility that this is channeled by social networks to only certain potential adopters (Abrahamson & Rosenkopf 1997). Market level diffusion models usually do not exploit the underlying structures of heterogeneity, which would make them more relevant for management decisions, according to Song & Chintagunta (2003). Commonly, diffusion models treat the market as homogeneous with the exception of some general adopter categories, such as innovators or laggards (Goldenberg et al. 2009). We conjecture that the 191 evolving communication habits of emailing, instant messaging and communication via OSNP offer great opportunities to observe the spread of information through social networks. Based on improved models for decisions at the microlevel and information about the individuals’ or organizations’ ties, researchers can model diffusion processes more accurately. Recent studies already highlight the important influence of social structure on the diffusion process (e.g., Bampo et al. 2008; Watts & Dodds 2007; Hinz & Spann 2010). From an e-commerce perspective, this leads one to question who should be targeted with product information to maximize the dissemination of the message. Hinz et al. (2012), for instance, conducted smallscale experiments on OSNP and experimentally tested alternative targeting strategies proposed by previous research and found that targeting hubs (with a high number of ties to other individuals) and individuals with a bridging function (in terms of a high betweenness centrality) can more than double the diffusion of information. However, social network research in business disciplines usually assumes that the network in question remains fixed for the duration of the analysis and is unaffected by the diffusion itself (e.g., Trusov et al. 2010; Hanaki et al. 2007), while it has been demonstrated that networks change dynamically over time (Trier 2008). As outlined in the previous two chapters, individuals engage in new relationships, and organizations change their social positions by deliberately choosing new partnering organizations. Therefore, research in economics often treats social networks as dependent variables (e.g., Goyal & Vega-Redondo 2005; Skyrms & Pemantle 2000). A combination of these two perspectives seems fruitful for further research. To conduct research in this area, access to data that captures the formation of the network over time is necessary. The social network formation is a complex process in which many agents simultaneously attempt to satisfy goals and thus, over time, create and deactivate social ties. There are several motives for engaging in or disconnecting social ties, including homophily, avoiding conflicts, choosing friends of friends (known as “triadic closure”, cf. Rapoport 1957), global or local geographical proximity, or access to information (cf. Kossinets & Watts 2006). We agree with Kossinets & Watts (2006) that it is largely an empirical question as to what extent each of these individually plausible mechanisms manifest in individual or organizational network formation; this requires longitudinal network data combined with individual attributes or group affiliations to proceed. Based on such longitudinal data, it should be possible to, for instance, investigate positive and negative contagion effects across groups (cf. Van den Bulte 2010). Adoption of prestigious goods (e.g., a rare and expensive digital item in a virtual world like Habbo) by high status individuals might 192 make it more appealing to mainstream or less affluent individuals. Once the mainstream adopt a behavior (e.g., by purchasing the product), the product becomes less attractive to the high status individual. Online vs. offline social networks and social activity Supplemental to the analyses presented above, we need to know more about how online and offline social networks relate. Do people vary in their decision making process when being influenced by online vs. offline acquaintances? Why and how do people massively socialize online, and does the recent tremendous increase in online social activity substitute or complement traditional face-to-face socialization? Apart from studies that have begun to explore online social network usage behavior (e.g., Subrahmanyam et al. 2008), we are not aware of any recent research that satisfactorily addresses how the online changes to social embeddedness affect decision-making behavior in general. Many known features of real-world (offline) networks can be similarly observed in online social networks. It is well-understood that despite their often large size, in most networks, there is a rather small distance between any two nodes (defined as the number of ties along the shortest path connecting them). This phenomenon is called the smallworld effect and produces small network diameters and small average path lengths between network nodes. In his famous study, Milgram (1967) found “six degrees of separation”, that is, a typical shortest path length of no more than six between most pairs of people in the U.S. The small-world features of online social networks are, for instance, shown by Adamic & Adar (2003). Moreover, both online and offline social networks are known to exhibit a higher level of clustering (i.e., hubs tend to be connected with other hubs) than would be expected from random connections, and the scale-free property of the degree distribution (i.e., some nodes have a disproportionately high number of connections) is common to online and offline social networks (cf. Mayer 2009; Albert & Barabási 2002). These commonalities may suggest that the underlying mechanisms of network formation for online and offline social networks are similar, and there is evidence that online social networks are related to underlying offline social networks (e.g., Mayer & Puller 2008; Putzke et al. 2009). However, there are several important differences between online and offline socialization. The most important difference is that there is almost no cost of communication in online contexts; particularly, physical distance is no longer a factor. Furthermore, online social networks make it easier to spread false or misleading information because, unlike trusted personal contacts, information acquired online is hard to verify. Moreover, it is easier and virtually C. Takac et al. costless to find online communication partners with similar interests or attributes (cf. Mayer 2009), and there is evidence of increased information flow and price transparency via online social networks (e.g., Oestreicher-Singer & Sundararajan 2011). Finally, involvement in virtual communities is a voluntary and conscious choice, whereas membership in traditional offline communities may be imposed by chance of birth or proximity of residence (Bagozzi & Dholakia 2002). Thus, in economic terms, the cost (i.e., the constraints) and benefits for utilitymaximizing agents associated with online socialization are substantially different. Furthermore, there seem to be negative outcomes associated with increased online socialization, such as congestion and information overload (cf. Mayer 2009; Kamakura & Moon 2009). Due to the low cost of accumulating online “friends”, online social networks can quickly increase in size because there are usually low entry and exit barriers (De Valck et al. 2009). Growing communities, however, are known to reduce social pressure and enforcement mechanisms which encourage behavior that is beneficial to society. Furthermore, in small societies (and when real-world behavior is visible), there are more opportunities for sanctioning misbehavior. In summary, a growing social network can inhibit pro-social behavior (Putnam 1995; Allcott et al. 2007). It is important to note that differences in offline communication are not similar to all types of online socialization but differ for group-based communication where interaction usually occurs between a rather small group (e.g., online role-playing games or chat-rooms) and network-based interaction where interaction usually occurs between different people (e.g., mailing lists and newsgroups). There are different purposes for participation associated with these different types of networks. For example, small group-based networks foster social benefits, whereas network-based interactions are of informational and instrumental value (De Valck et al. 2009). When analyzing data from virtual communities, where the data are not predominantly based on real-world relationships and the users are identified by nicknames, trust as a basic premise for social influence may not be given. It has even been argued that face-to-face contact is irreplaceable for building trust (Nohria & Eccles 1992), but studies in IS have shown that very fragile and temporal forms of trust can emerge in virtual relationships (Jarvenpaa & Leidner 1999). It is, however, not clear how reliable the data from such virtual environments are in contrast to data from real-world relationships when one is analyzing social influence on economic decision making. It is, however, likely that such data include a higher fraction of irrelevant network ties. We maintain that the differences between online and offline social networks require further investigation. How- Social embeddedness of decision making ever, the newly-arising data opportunities from transactions and conversations in online groups seem promising to answer classic questions on human behavior and to understand group and organizational processes (cf. Agarwal et al. 2008). Complementary to retrospective accounts, we suggest controlled social experiments as a suitable method for further analyzing differences in the properties and the formation of online vs. offline social networks and their varying impact on decision making in a clear ceteris paribus approach. For instance, online role-playing games or OSNP (e.g., via Facebook widgets) may be a good environment for conducting such experiments. Conclusions and future research directions We conclude that current research still lacks a coherent understanding of how social connections impact individual and organizational decision making, thus providing numerous opportunities for future research. Further, these opportunities are even more promising when considering the new data opportunities from digital social networks and the possibilities of conducting online experiments in these environments. Moreover, we anticipate that the idea of social embeddedness is increasingly beginning to influence business practices—particularly the business models of OSNP, such as Facebook and LinkedIn. Marketers aim to use social networks to foster word-of-mouth activities and thereby promote social contagion. ONSP are, however, still experimenting and services, such as Beacon, have experienced a severe backlash for such approaches. Beacon, as a part of Facebook’s advertisement system, sent data from external websites to Facebook, ostensibly for the purpose of allowing users to share their activities with their friends. Certain activities on partner sites were published to a user’s News Feed. The controversial service became the target of a class action lawsuit and was shut down in September 2009. In contrast, Procter & Gamble's subsidiary, the online platform Vocalpoint, has successfully utilized social networking information for the introduction of new products and has shown a doubling of sales in test locations. Given these mixed results, empirically-tested targeting strategies based on sociometric measures are of particular interest. Who should marketers target with coupons, free trials or price discounts to start a fast diffusion of new products, and how should they do it without backlash and negative publicity? While some empirical work has been done to show the effect of cohesion, more studies examining the effect of structural equivalence are necessary. Many marketers believe that triggering competition effects among consumers might be even more effective than 193 supporting word-of-mouth activities. This hypothesis has yet to be tested empirically. Moreover, we need to determine how social positions interrelate with characteristics that are used for traditional targeting strategies. Such results would help to transfer insights from traditional targeting to sociometric targeting. While the increase in connectivity offers new opportunities for marketers, it also imposes new challenges for marketers and communication specialists: upset customers can easily reach a large audience with their complaints, thus harming the firm’s image. One often cited example is the “United breaks guitar” song by the Canadian musician David Carroll. 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