Friday, 10 March 2017 ED Vol 45 • No 47 IHS The Energy Daily Business and Policy Coverage of the Power, Natural Gas, Oil, Nuclear and Renewable Industries theenergydaily.com EPA chief: NERC stakeholders reject CO2 not a proposed supply chain main cause of cyber protection rules climate change BY JEFF BEATTIE BY CHRIS HOLLY Diverging sharply from the broad scientific consensus on the subject, EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt said Thursday that man-made carbon dioxide is not “a primary contributor” to global warming, asserting more study is needed to fully understand the greenhouse gas’s role in climate change. Speaking on the CNBC program “Squawk Box,” Pruitt said “we don’t know” whether emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) from human activities—primarily the combustion of fossil fuels—are the main driver of the increase in global average temperature seen over the last 150 years. The North American Electric Reliability Corp. appears to face a steep climb to win approval for new cybersecurity protection requirements it has been directed by FERC to impose on the supply chain supporting the nation’s bulk electric system, as a first draft was sent down in flames Monday with only 10 percent approval from NERC’s voting stakeholders. In a notice distributed Wednesday and obtained by IHS The Energy Daily, NERC said the first draft of the supply chain cybersecurity standards received only 10.36 percent support of those stakeholders voting on the standard, whereas to advance it will eventually needs two-thirds support. (Continued on p. 4, click here) (Continued on p. 3, click here) NRC, federal prosecutors probing gun incident at TVA nuke plant BY GEORGE LOBSENZ The Nuclear Regulatory Commission and federal prosecutors are probing a March 2 incident at the Tennessee Valley Authority’s Browns Ferry nuclear plant in Alabama in which a contractor employee brought a small handgun into a protected area of the plant without being detected by security screening procedures. The incident appears to be one of the more significant security lapses at a U.S. nuclear plant in recent years, especially since NRC clamped stronger site protection requirements on nuclear plant operators in NERC serves as the nation’s grid reliability watchdog, enforcing mandatory reliability rules that it develops under oversight of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. It is not uncommon for the first draft of NERC’s proposed reliability standards to fail votes, according to people who have been involved with the process. Nevertheless, the thin level of support for the first draft indicates that NERC has its work cut out for it on one of the more expansive reliability rules it has been tasked with developing. Last July, FERC directed NERC to develop new cybersecurity standards to address “supply chain risk management for industrial control system hardware, software, and computing and networking services associated with bulk electric system operations.” response to rising concerns about terrorists targeting those facilities. TVA officials said Thursday the unidentified contractor employee involved in the incident was at the nuclear plant to work on the Browns Ferry Unit 2 reactor, which was out of service for refueling. However, Browns Ferry’s two other reactors were in operation at the time of the incident. The officials said the motives of the person involved remained unclear, and that compensatory security measures were immediately put in place at Browns Ferry and the federal power authority’s two other nuclear plants—Sequoyah and Watts Bar in Tennessee—immediately after it was learned the individual’s smaller derringer revolver had not been detected by security screening at Browns Ferry. Jim Hopson, a spokesman for TVA, told IHS The Energy Daily that the compensatory security measures would remain in place at all of TVA’s nuclear plants until the utility determined how its security procedures failed to detect the gun. “We don’t have any indication that this is a systematic problem, but until you know that, you want to maintain the compensatory measures,” he said. “Obviously, this is a serious and significant issue,” he added. Hopson said it was not clear whether the individual brought the gun through a metal detector or had it in personal effects that went through an x-ray machine (Continued on p. 2, click here) © 2017 IHS • Federal copyright law prohibits unauthorized reproduction by any means and imposes fines of up to $150,000 for violations. 2 • Friday, 10 March 2017 IHS THE ENERGY DAILY PSEG exiting controversial PennEast gas pipe project BY JIM DAY To the delight of opponents of the project, New Jersey-based Public Service Enterprise Group announced Thursday it plans to sell its minority stake in the PennEast pipeline project, which has hit heavy resistance from greens and local governments in New Jersey. The announcement bucks the trend of investor-owned utilities plowing into the booming natural gas pipeline business, although the PennEast project was Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG)’s only foray into the interstate gas transmission sector. The utility owns a 10 percent stake in the $1.6 billion project, which is designed to deliver low-cost Marcellus shale gas to New Jersey. PSEG officials said the decision to sell that stake was made so it could focus on its core business of running power plants and providing electric and gas service to customers in New Jersey and on Long Island. However, opponents of PennEast said the withdrawal of the largest utility in New Jersey is an indication that the controversial pipeline is “in trouble.” The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission has delayed its review of the pipeline several times, most recently in January following statements by New Jersey environmental regulators that they expect difficulties in issuing required permits because the PennEast developers had not gained access to land along the pipeline route to conduct surveys. FERC now plans to complete its environmental review of PennEast in April, and the developers hope to bring the pipeline into service in late 2018. The state’s ratepayer advocate also has joined opponents in questioning whether a market need for the project exists. They have urged FERC to conduct a detailed market analysis, rather than basing a determination of public need on precedent agreements signed mostly by companies affiliated with the pipeline developers. “PSEG’s withdrawal is welcomed by thousands of citizens who oppose PennEast,” said Tom Gilbert, the campaign director for the NJ Conservation Foundation, which has been leading opposition to the pipeline. “The fact that New Jersey’s largest utility is seeking to sell their share in PennEast is further evidence that this unneeded, damaging project should not go forward.” On Thursday, PSEG officials disputed the notion that the company plans to sell its stake because of challenges the pipeline faces, instead pointing to its intention of remaining a key customer of the pipeline once it gets built. “This project will provide PSE&G customers with greater and more reliable access to affordable natural gas. We look forward to being a PennEast customer,” said Bill Levis, the president of PSEG Power. He added that the company has “decided to put our focus on our core business,” which includes construction of three new combined-cycle gas-fired power plants and running its exist- theenergydaily.com ing fleet of plants. PennEast would deliver about 1.1 billion cubic feet per day (cfd) of Marcellus shale gas from northeastern Pennsylvania to interconnections with several other major pipelines, including a connection in New Jersey with Williams’ Transco system that delivers gas throughout the Southeast and along the East Coast. The project is being developed by Spectra Energy and subsidiaries of UGI Energy Services, Southern Co., New Jersey Resources, South Jersey Industries and, until it sells its stake, PSEG. The developers say increased access to abundant supplies of inexpensive gas provided by the pipeline would have saved affected consumers nearly $900 million when gas and electricity prices shot up during the “polar vortex” winter of 2013-14 and that savings would continue into the future. PSEG’s decision to pull out of PennEast is unusual in that most of the nation’s largest investor-owned utilities have been rushing into gas pipelines as a means of driving growth while also supplying fuel to new gas-fired power plants. Southern Co., Dominion, Duke Energy, NextEra Energy and DTE all have taken stakes in major greenfield pipeline projects as the industry builds out infrastructure to serve the Marcellus and Utica shale formations. Like PennEast, many of the pipeline projects have met fierce resistance from green groups and some local governments, but all of them appear to be advancing toward completion. FERC has certificated more than 20 billion cfd of new pipeline capacity since the beginning of 2016, with several billion more cubic feet of capacity currently under review. NRC, federal prosecutors probing gun incident at nuke plant...(Cont’d from p. 1) similar to those used in airport security. He said it was some time after the individual went through security screening that TVA security officials learned that the individual had a gun on the plant site and went to find him. Hopson said the individual did not have the gun when he was found, and that it was found in a different location. “Once [the security lapse] was discovered, we tracked down the individual responsible and their nuclear clearance was revoked on the spot,” he said. Hopson also said information about the incident had been turned over to the local U.S. attorney’s office for a review of any possible charges stemming from violation of federal laws that bar possession of guns on nuclear sites and other federal facilities. NRC officials confirmed Thursday that the agency had launched an inspection at Browns Ferry to “look into the circumstances” surrounding the incident. “Because of the security aspects of the event, we are unable to provide specific details of the inspection other than to say that the NRC inspection will look at how the event happened, whether there were violations of NRC requirements and what steps TVA has taken or is taking to minimize the likelihood of such an event happening again,” the agency said in a statement. “Several weeks after the completion of the inspection, the NRC will discuss its findings with TVA, but the inspection report will not be publicly available. However, we will provide a brief summary at that time excluding specific security-related details.” © 2017 IHS • Federal copyright law prohibits unauthorized reproduction by any means and imposes fines of up to $150,000 for violations. theenergydaily.com IHS THE ENERGY DAILY Friday, 10 March 2017 • 3 Ontario pension fund backing Anbaric grid projects Anbaric announced plans Thursday to team with the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan to create a new company that the Massachusetts-based grid project developer said would pursue up to $2 billion in new transmission initiatives. Anbaric said the partnership with the pension fund represented the largest financial commitment by an investor in the company’s 15-year history, which includes several big projects. The company developed the Neptune Regional Transmission System, a subsea power line completed in 2007 that delivers 660 megawatts to Long Island from New Jersey. It also launched the Vermont Green Line, a wind-plus-hydro project now being completed by National Grid Anbaric’s existing management team will lead the new company. NERC stakeholders reject proposed cyber protection rules...(Cont’d from p. 1) The FERC order comes at a time of heightened concern across the industry and affected agencies about the possibility of a computerbased attack sinking large parts of the U.S. infrastructure, particularly following a December 2015 cyber-attack that cut off service to up to 225,000 customers of three Ukrainian electric utilities. Cybersecurity also has become an increasing focus of attention because utilities are installing smart grid infrastructure and other digital devices throughout the grid that are linked to the Internet and managed through wireless networks. However, NERC failed to win substantial support for the first draft of the supply chain standards because large numbers of the companies subject to NERC oversight feel strongly that those standards are not needed. In comments sent to FERC after the commission first proposed in 2015 to require the new standards, a giant swath of industry trade groups opposed the idea, saying their supply chains are already protected through existing NERC standards and protective steps the companies themselves have otherwise taken. “The trade associations do not support the commission’s proposed directive for mandatory supply chain requirements because the trade associations do not share the commission’s view of the reliability gap as described…,” said groups representing public power utilities; the Edison Electric Institute; which represents investor-owned electric utilities; Electric Power Supply Association, which represents merchant generators; Electricity Consumers Resource Council, which represents industrial energy consumers; and Transmission Access Policy Study Group, whose members are transmission-dependent utilities in 35 states. “In addition, the trade associations disagree with [FERC’s] contention that a gap exists in the commission-approved NERC standards,” they said in a September 21, 2015, filing. “While [existing] NERC standards do not contain explicit provisions for supply chain management, transmission owners and operators already have significant responsibilities to perform under various commissionapproved [reliability] standards that already address supply chain issues,” the groups said. But FERC’s majority was unmoved, and directed NERC last July to develop a standard to “address software integrity and authenticity; vendor remote access; information system planning; and vendor risk management and procurement controls.” Interestingly, the current problems facing the supply chain reliability standard were predicted at the time FERC approved the initiative by Commissioner Cheryl LaFleur, who is now FERC’s acting chairman. In a six-page dissent to the decision to require those standards, LaFleur said the commission’s majority was unwise to proceed to a final rule without first issuing a supplemental notice and seeking more comment, because the issue was complex and industry stakeholders had strong feelings about it. “By failing to engage in adequate stakeholder outreach before directing development of a standard, the commission increases the likelihood that implementation of a standard will be delayed,” she wrote. LaFleur also suggested FERC had not fleshed out its goals for the supply chain reliability standard sufficiently to give NERC the direction it needed. Citing “the inadequate process to date,” LaFleur said the commission was issuing “a general directive in the final rule, in the hope that the [NERC] standards team will do what the commission clearly could not do: translate general supply chain concerns into a clear, auditable and enforceable standard within the framework…of the Federal Power Act.” NERC is supposed to submit the supply chain standards to FERC by September 27, at which time the commission will have a far different membership than it did when it required the standards. The five-member commission has three vacancies, all of which are expected to be filled by Republicans to be nominated by President Trump; LaFleur is expected to be replaced as FERC chairman by a Republican. Two commissioners who supported the supply chain standards—former Chairman Norman Bay, a Democrat, and Tony Clark, a Republican—have left FERC. Generally speaking, the draft supply chain standard rejected Monday is not particularly prescriptive and instead directs the entities NERC oversees to develop procedures for meeting certain basic cybersecurity requirements. For instance, the standard would have required those parties to develop “software integrity and authenticity controls that address risks from compromised software and firmware.” The controls would have to verify, before installation, the identity of the publisher for software, firmware, upgrades and patches, and validate the “integrity” of the products. NERC votes are initially open to all entities “materially affected by” the NERC standards, although the group establishes “ballot bodies” to vote on each proposed standard, with entities placed into weighted segments to ensure all industry sectors are represented in a balanced way. In a daunting sign for NERC, seven of the eight segments showed a heavy tilt towards negative votes, while three “small electricity users” voted 2-1 against approval. A NERC spokeswoman cautioned against reading too much into Monday’s vote, saying “there are always at least two voting periods” in the approval of reliability standards. “The initial ballot period allows the standard drafting team to receive comments to consider, revise or respond to prior to entering additional ballot phases, if necessary, followed by the final ballot voting phase.” NERC’s Wednesday notice said the drafting team working on the standard will “review all responses received during the comment period and determine the next steps of the project.” © 2017 IHS • Federal copyright law prohibits unauthorized reproduction by any means and imposes fines of up to $150,000 for violations. 4 • Friday, 10 March 2017 IHS THE ENERGY DAILY theenergydaily.com PJM prices hit record low in 2016—monitor In a stark illustration of the impact of low natural gas prices on U.S. electricity markets, the market monitor for PJM Interconnection LLC said average real-time prices in the grid operator’s Mid-Atlantic and Midwest service territory in 2016 fell 19 percent from 2015 to $29.23 per megawatt-hour—the lowest since PJM launched its competitive wholesale power market in April 1999. The independent market monitor, Joseph Bowring, attributed the price drop to low natural gas prices, which affect power prices because gas-fired generation plays the key role in setting market prices. Bowring also said gas-fired plants were the only kind of generation in PJM to benefit from lower gas prices because their fuel costs declined and they were dispatched more because of their cost advantage over competing coal, nuclear and renewable energy plants. “For gas-fired units, the decrease in [power] prices was more than offset by the decrease in gas prices and increased operating hours, resulting in higher energy net revenues for a new combustion turbine (CT) and a new combined cycle (CC)…,” said a press release issued by the market monitor on his annual review of PJM’s market. “In 2016, average energy market net revenues increased by 21 percent for a new CT and 14 percent for a new CC.” Average energy market net revenues de- creased 54 percent for a new coal plant, 86 percent for a new diesel plant, 26 percent for a new nuclear plant, 19 percent for a new wind installation and 28 percent for a new solar installation. Bowring said the drop in net energy revenues also was due to a decline in capacity market prices, which he said fell in all parts of PJM’s service territory except for areas of the grid controlled by Public Service Electric & Gas in New Jersey. Bowring also revealed that total payments for demand response programs decreased by $163.2 million or 20.1 percent, from $812.2 million in 2015 to $649 million in 2016, primarily due to reduced revenues from the capacity market. EPA chief: CO2 not a main cause of climate change...(Continued from p. 1) “I think that measuring with precision human activity on the climate is something very challenging to do and there’s tremendous disagreement about the degree of impact, so no, I would not agree that it’s a primary contributor to the global warming that we see,” he said. “But we don’t know that yet. We need to continue the debate and continue the review and the analysis.” Pruitt’s statements clash with the conclusions of multiple periodic assessments of climate science published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and multiple other premier research groups, all of which agree that CO2 emissions and other greenhouse gases from human activities are the main drivers of global warming. Kevin Trenberth, senior scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research and a frequent contributor to IPCC assessments, said Thursday that contrary to Pruitt’s statements, “there is no doubt whatsoever that the planet is warming and it is primarily due to increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere from burning of fossil fuels.” President Trump’s nomination of Pruitt to lead EPA was highly controversial in large part because he spent much of his tenure as Oklahoma’s attorney general challenging a wide variety of EPA regulations in court, including the agency’s Clean Power Plan (CPP), which would regulate power plant CO2 emissions. Pruitt also was seen by critics as being too cozy with the oil and gas industry as Oklahoma’s top law enforcement officer. Pruitt closely collaborated with industry officials in challenging EPA rules, according to emails from Pruitt’s office recently made public under a state court order. Environmental groups charged Pruitt’s statement Thursday contradicts his written answers to questions from members of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee during confirmation proceedings on his nomination to lead EPA. Among other statements, Pruitt said he agreed that EPA “has an important role when it comes to the regulation of [CO2],” and that he would fulfill that role as directed by the U.S. Supreme Court in Massachusetts v. EPA, a case that affirmed EPA’s responsibility to address any harmful impacts from rising CO2 levels. Pruitt also wrote that if confirmed he would “work to ensure that any regulatory actions are based on the most up-to-date and objective scientific data, including the ever-evolving understanding of the impact increasing greenhouse gases have on our changing climate.” During his Squawk Box interview, Pruitt also suggested that Congress needs to clarify EPA’s statutory authority to regulate greenhouse gases. “The legislative branch has not addressed this issue at all,” he said. “It’s a very fundamental question to say are the tools in the toolbox available for EPA to address this issue of CO2….” However, a veteran Clean Air Act attorney told IHS The Energy Daily that while legislation to strip EPA of authority to regulate greenhouse gases would clear the Republicancontrolled House, it would die in the Senate, where majority Republicans lack the votes to overcome a certain Democratic filibuster. “I can’t imagine anything that can clear both chambers, honestly, and I’m not aware that anyone is seriously talking about that,” the attorney said Thursday. Pruitt suggested Congress should respond to the 2007 Massachusetts v. EPA decision, in which the high court ruled that if EPA determined that emissions of greenhouse gases posed a danger to public health and welfare, the agency had to regulate those emissions. EPA made that “endangerment” finding in 2009, triggering the CPP and other climate initiatives by President Obama. “The decision in 2007 was not that EPA had to regulate,” Pruitt said. “The decision in 2007 was they needed to make a decision. And so I think all of those things have to be addressed going forward, not least of which is the response of the legislative branch with respect to this issue.” Executive Editor: George Lobsenz, (202) 481-3748; Contributing Editor: Eric Lindeman, (202) 572-1493; Reporters: Chris Holly, (202) 481-7983; Jeff Beattie, (202) 481-9659; Jim Day, (202) 572-0516; Publisher: John Howland. To subscribe to IHS The Energy Daily contact Client Services at (855) 417-4155 or [email protected]. 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