Spurs v Heat
By
Dominic Hovasse and Jack Beach
Statistical Analysis
Based off of five key stats in the playoff ; points allowed per
game, points scored per game, field goal percentage, assists
per game and rebounds per game, We will determine which
team will win the 2O14 NBA championship through the use of
a 2 sample T test with a significance level of .05. Our
hypothesis is that the Spurs will beat the Miami Heat in 7
games, we base this/ prelimnary hypothesis off of how well
each team has played throughout the postseason this year
and historically. We will get the statistics for our tests on
NBA.com.
Public opinion Survey
Survey question
Which team, the San
Antonio Spurs or the Miami
Heat, will win the 2O14 NBA
Championship?
Survey Results
Spurs:41%
Heat:49%
History
of Spurs and Heat
History
between
the two
7 championships between the two team
4 Spurs championships
3 Heat championships
1 appearance against each other in finals,
heat won
All time greats such as Lebron James,
Dwayne Wade, Tim Duncan, Tony Parker,
David Robinson
Test 1: Points Allowed
Null: Spurs points allowed ≥ Heat points allowed
Alternative: Spurs points allowed<Heat points allowed
(Claim)
t=2.030 p=0.0256 CV=1.697
RTN, support the claim. Spurs win test 1.
Test 2: Points Scored
Null: Spurs points scored ≥
Heat points scored
Alternative: Spurs points
scored<Heat points scored
(Claim)
t=2.257 p=0.0157 CV:1.697
RTN, do not support claim.
Spurs win test 2.
X1=106.6ppg
X2=99.1ppg
Test 3: Rebounds
Null: Spurs rebound ≥ Heat
rebound (Claim)
Alternative: Spurs
rebound<Heat rebound
t=9.136 p=.9999 CV=1.697
RTN, support the claim. Spurs
win Test 3
X1=43rpg
X2=34rpg
Test 4: Assists
Null: Spurs assists ≤ Heat
assists (Claim)
Alternative: Spurs
assists>Heat assists
t=1.348 p=0.0387 CV=1.231
α=.12
Raised the alpha to lower
critical value to get RTN.
RTN, supports claim. Spurs
win test 4.
Test 5: FG%
Null: Spurs FG % ≥ Heat
FG%(Claim)
Alternative: Spurs FG %
<Heat FG%
t=-3.538 p=0.149
CV=1.697
FTRN, does not support claim.
Heat win Test 5.
Summary
Through the use of a 2 sample t-Test we ran 5
major categories of basketball statistics and
the Spurs won 4 out of the 5 tests we ran. We
support our hypothesis that the Spurs will beat
the Heat in the 2013-2014 NBA Finals.