The Role of Small Firms in Regional Growth: Evidence from Regional Data in Iran Iman Cheratian1 Saeed Ghorbani2 ABSTRACT Purpose: The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the effect of small firms in Iranian regional growth at the level of Iranian regions. Design/Methodology/Approach: This paper by using of endogenous growth theory tests the hypothesis where or not small firms are important vehicles for regional growth. To get the results, we divided firms according to their legal status into six types: private, governmental, cooperative, official, public and finally total number of small firms and analyzed the effect of each kind of mentioned types on regional growth indicators during the 2001-2013. The econometric specification is Panel Fixed and Random Effects models. Findings: The results show that private, governmental and cooperative small firms have positive and significant impacts on regional growth indicators, while the effect of public small firms are negative and significant. Overall, the empirical results indicate that the importance of small firms is positively correlated with regional economic growth and this result is consistent with previous studies. In addition, our results show that the human capital embodied in small firms are important for regional economic growth. KEYWORDS: Entrepreneurship capital, Regional growth, Small firms, Iran. JEL: D21, R58, O18, O25. 1 International economics PhD student, Economics Department, University of Mazandaran, Babolsar, Iran. Center of SMEs studies, Academic Center for Education, Culture and Research (ACECR), Tehran, Iran. Email: [email protected], Corresponding author, Tel.: +98 9192348218 Fax: +98 88220298. Center of SMEs studies, Academic Center for Education, Culture and Research (ACECR), Tehran, Iran. Email: [email protected] 2 1 1. INTRODUCTION Economic Growth has been a main pensiveness of economist during the last decades. Ever since Robert Solow (1956) based his model of economic growth on the neoclassical production function with its key factors of production, physical capital and unskilled labor, economists have relied upon the model of production function as a basis for explaining the determinants of economic growth. Solow's approach generally consisted of relating measures representing these two fundamental factors of production in trying to explain variations in growth rates typically over time in a single country or across countries in a cross-sectional context (Audretsch and et al., 2006). Romer's (1986) critique of the Solow approach was not with the basic model of the neoclassical production function, but rather with what Romer perceived to be omitted from that model was knowledge(Audretsch and et al., 2006). He argued it can be possible to reinterpret (K) as a combination of physical capital and investment in R&D. So (K) in addition of buildings and machines would include innovation, blueprints, creativity and ideas for how to produce new goods. Following with Romer, some economists like Lucas (1988) and others account knowledge, entrepreneurship and innovation as important factors of production. They believe because it was endogenously determined as a result of externalities and spillover, so it was particularly important.1 Entrepreneurship encourages innovative activity and puts a region at the forefront of economic growth.2 Generally, regions that use entrepreneurial capital in a correct way, may be a winner in a competitive economic growth. So the benefits of entrepreneurship for regional welfare have, promoted much policy interest in how to favor entrepreneurship in the regional economy. Entrepreneurship has a central important role among the process that cause to regional economic change. Entrepreneurs can make changes and speed up the creation, diffusion and application of new ideas. This paper considered to entrepreneurship capital as an important factor in regional economic growth. In other word, the main purpose of our analysis is to provide empirical evidence on how entrepreneurship capital affect regional economic growth in Iran by using a Cobb-Douglas function to carry out the analysis. The remainder of the paper is organized as follows: The second section discusses about existing literature on the link between firms behavior and regional growth and the mechanisms through which firms might impact economic performance. Empirical results are presented in the section 5, based on data and methodology described in the third and fourth sections. Finally, section 6 provides conclusions for policy as well as for further research. 2. LITERATURE REVIREW 1 For example, Acs et al (2009) suggest that entrepreneurship contributes to economic growth by acting as a conduit through which knowledge created within incumbent firms’ spillover to agents who set up new firms. 2 In support of this view, Baumol (1968) considers entrepreneurs the key factor to stimulate economic growth and suggests that innovations require entrepreneurial initiative to be introduced. (Cravo, Becker and Gourlay, 2014) 2 The positive relationship between entrepreneurship capital and regional growth argued in some notable studies. In the most of these studies, the unit of observation is at the spatial level, city, region and state. For example, Hart and Hanvey (1995) measure the link of new and small firms to employment generation in the late 1980 for three regions in the United Kingdom. The results of their study show that although employment creation came largely from SMEs, but most of the job losses also came from SMEs. Audretsch and Fritsch (1996) use a database to identifying new business startups and exit from the social insurance statistics collected for individuals in Germany. They find that in both the manufacturing and the services sectors, a high rate of turbulence in a region tends to a lower and not a higher rate of growth. They attribute this negative relationship to the fact that the startup and death rates are both negatively related to subsequent economic growth. The areas with higher startups rates tend to experience lower growth rates in subsequent years. This fact is also true for the death rates. They conclude that the German regions which experiencing higher death rates also tend to experience lower growth rates in subsequent years. Callejon and Segarra (1999) use a data set of Spanish manufacturing industries from 1980 to 1992 to link new firm birth and death rate to total factor productivity growth in industries and regions. They find that both new firm startup rate and exit rate contribute positively to the growth of total factor productivity in regions as well as industries. Foelster (2000) by using a Layard-Nickell framework provides a link between micro behavior and macroeconomic performance in Sweden between 1976 and 1995. He shows that increase in self-employment share have had a positive impact on regional employment rates in this country. Audretsch and Fritsch (2002) find that different results emerge for Germany in the 1990s. Regions with higher startup rates exhibit higher growth rates. This would suggest that Germany is changing over time with the engine of growth shifting toward entrepreneurship. Holtz-Eakin and Kao (2003) in their study examine the impact of entrepreneurship on states growth. They use of productivity change over time as measurement of growth. The results of their study show that variations in the birth rate and death rate for firms are related to positive changes in productivity. So in the case of United States, they conclude the entrepreneurship has a positive impact on productivity growth. Audretsch and Keilbach (2004a) by introduce a new factor, entrepreneurship capital, and link it to German regions output in the context of a production function model, explain what is meant by entrepreneurship capital and why it should influence economic output. The results indicate that entrepreneurship capital is a significant and important factor shaping output and productivity. In another study, they suggest that knowledge is not sufficient to generate the diversity that is the driving force of economic growth. Rather, additional mechanisms are required to transform knowledge into diversity. One such mechanism is entrepreneurship. Entrepreneurship is an important mechanism in driving selection process hence in creating diversity of knowledge, which in turn serves as a mechanism facilitating the spillover of knowledge. They provide empirical evidence that regions with higher levels of entrepreneurship indeed exhibit stronger growth in labor productivity (Audretsch and Keilbach, 2004b). Audretsch and Keilbach (2005) 3 introduce the concept of entrepreneurship capital and link it to the economic performance of regions. They give a definition of entrepreneurship capital and suggest different measures of this variable. Economic performance of regions is measured by stock and the growth rate of regions, labor productivity. They find that entrepreneurship capital is stronger in urban areas and spatially correlated. Using regressions of production functions and growth equations, they find evidence that entrepreneurship capital has a positive and large impact on region's labor productivity. Mueller (2007) in his study analyzes the relationship between the exploitation of entrepreneurial opportunities, namely start-up activity, and regional economic growth. In particular, this paper explores if those regions that increased their new firm formation activity also experienced an increase in GDP. He find that an increase in innovative start-up activity is more effective than an increase in general entrepreneurship for economic growth. Chun-Chien and Chai-Hai (2008) assess how and to what extent knowledge capital and technology spillover contribute to regional economic growth in China. Moreover, the absorptive ability played by human capital on acquiring advanced foreign technologies is also investigated in this study. Empirical results show that knowledge capital both of R&D capital and technology imports contribute significantly, with similar impact to regional economic growth. The analysis also suggests the existence of R&D spillovers as well as international knowledge spillovers. Moreover, a region’s absorptive ability is considered as the critical capability to absorb external knowledge sources embodied in FDI and imports, which then contribute to the regional economic growth. Although the effect of entrepreneurship and knowledge capital on regional economic growth have been widely discussed in previous studies and different countries, but the role of mentioned variables in regional economic growth has not been investigated in Iran. So this paper assesses how and to what extend entrepreneurship capital contribute to regional economic growth in Iran. Some more studies on the relationship between firms and regional growth have been listed in Table 1 by authors, country focus, sample size, variables and empirical results. 4 5 Netherlands Italy Van Stel and Suddle (2008) Piergiovanni, Carree and Santarelli (2009) Portugal Baptista, Escaria and Madruga (2008) Germany West Germany Audretsch, Bönte and Keilbach (2008) Fritsch and Mueller (2004) Country focus Reference 103 Italian provinces Netherland 40 regions 326 West Germany kreise Portugal 30 regions 310 WestGerman counties Sample size Maximum effect of new businesses on regional development is reached after 6 years. Employment impact of new firms is strongest in manufacturing industries and areas with higher degree of urbanization Finding show a positive effect of the increase in the number of forms active in the creative industries, net entry and a greater provision of leisure amenities on regional economic growth Employment growth, firms startup, population density, wage growth, degree of urbanization, degree of rurality Growth of value added, growth of employment, creativity, trademarks, patent, leisure, culture, human capital, migration, entry rate of firms Indirect effects of new firm birth on subsequent employment growth are stronger than direct effects Relative employment change in the private sector, yearly start-up rate of businesses New firms can have both a positive and a negative effect on regional employment. The peak of the positive impact of new businesses on regional development is reached about 8 years after entry Innovation efforts have both a direct and indirect effect on regional economic. Performance. Also innovation efforts of incumbent firms lead to an increase in regional technical knowledge. Entrepreneurship capital, Economic performance, Technical knowledge, Innovation efforts Relative employment change in the private sector, yearly start-up rate of businesses Empirical finding Variables Table (1). Pervious literature on firms and regional growth 3. DATA Our empirical analysis is based on Iranian regional data. We compiled a database consisting of 30 provinces in the periods of 2001-2013. The main source of data is Iranian Statistical Center (ISC) that is the most important data center for information about manufacturing firms in Iran. The description of the data is as follows: In the first equation we consider regional GDP per capita as dependent variable and estimate the effects of independent variables on it. In the second model, regional GDP (without oil) is considered as dependent variable and the effects of small firms on this variable is investigated in equation (2). (IVAi) is measured as industries value added in Iranian regions (in million Rials) and considered as dependent variable in equation (3). (Ki) used as physical capital and measured as the value of firms’ investment in buying machines, vehicles, durable tools, administrative equipments, buildings and installations, land and soft wares. The value of this data is based on million rial. (Li) is expressed as total number of employees who engaged in Small firms. (Ri) is knowledge capital and expressed as number of employees with high educational degree (M.S and Ph.D.) who work in small firms. On the part of entrepreneurship capital, it is the most interesting explanatory variable for the aim of this paper. (Pri ent) expressed as private firm and measured as total number of firms that all or more than 50% of their investment belongs to the private sector (individuals or cooperatives). (Gov ent) is governmental firm and measured as total number of firms that registered by law and all or more than 50% of their capital owned by the government. The next explanatory variable is cooperative firm (Coop ent) that measured as the total number of firms that at least 51% of their capital owned by the cooperative members. Official firm (Offic ent) is another independent variable that measured as the number of firms except those which are cooperative and governmental. (Pub ent) is expressed as public firm and measured as the number of firms that all or more than 50% of their capital owned by ministries government agencies, banks, municipalities and other public sector institutions. Finally (Total ent) is the total number of small firms that are working in each province.1 Table (2). Summary statistics of variables used in regression Mean Median Std. dev. Minimum Maximum GDP Per capita 37458.87 26073 36785.42 3474.15 2503999 Gross Domestic Product (Y) 81403613 35226321 1.7e+08 2290842 1.77e+09 Industrial value added (IVA) 13125050 4520176 25095842 121684 1.65e+08 Capital (K) 131429.1 71284.5 174730 1328 1227879 Number of employees (L) 8227.9 4344.5 11409.43 455 90997 Number of R&D employees (R&D) 67.199 30.5 97.136 0 707 firms with private status (Pri ent) 154.35 69 301.15 0 3015 firms with governmental status (Gov 2.95 2 3.468 0 19 1 Geographical distribution of small firms (based on their legal status) described in Appendix 3. 6 Table (2). Summary statistics of variables used in regression Mean Median Std. dev. Minimum Maximum 15.07 12 11.474 0 56 firms with official status (Offic ent) 198.63 116.5 234.58 3 1488 firms with public status (Pub ent) 2.77 2 3.03 0 17 Total small firms (Total ent) 373.88 215.5 522.8 16 4351 ent) firms with cooperative status (Coop ent) 4. METHODOLOGY The main hypothesis of this paper suggests that there is a positive relationship between entrepreneurship capital and regional economic growth. More specifically, this paper takes a look at the impact of entrepreneurial firms’ performance on regional GDP (without oil), regional GDP per capita and regional value added in industrial sectors. A common approach to measure the impact of entrepreneurship capital on regional economic performance is on the basis of a production function of the Cobb-Douglas type (Audretsch and Keilbach, 2005). In this function, (Yi) refers to regional economic performance that we choose regional GDP (without oil), regional GDP per capita and regional value added in industrial sectors as indicators of this variable. (Ki) refers to small firms' physical capital, (Li) represents labor force who works in small firms, (Ri) represents knowledge capital and (Ei) represents entrepreneurship capital that measured as the number of small firms according to their legal status. The subscript i refer to regions. As discussed earlier. In neoclassical economics, regional growth is shaped by the traditional factors of labor and capital. The contribution of the new endogenous growth theory was to suggest an additional source of growth, Knowledge. However in different studies argued that the presence of knowledge is not sufficient to generate growth. Rather, what matters is not knowledge, per se, but rather the propensity for that knowledge to create diversity, which, in turn, result in growth. Entrepreneurship is one mechanism, although certainly not the only one (Audretsch and Keilbach, 2004b). Entrepreneurship capital can be expected to exert a positive impact on economic output for a number of reasons. The first2 is that it is a mechanism for knowledge spillovers.3 A second way that entrepreneurship capital exerts a positive influence on economic output is through increased competition by an increased number of enterprises.4 A third way that entrepreneurship capital generates economic output is by providing diversity among 2 See Grossman and Helpman (1991) and Cohen and Levinthal (1989) for a further discussion of this approach. 3 Although the literature identifying mechanisms of transmitting knowledge spillovers is few and underdeveloped, however one important area where such transmission mechanisms have been identified involves entrepreneurship. Entrepreneurship involves the start-up and growth of new enterprises (Audretsch and Keilbach, 2004a). 4 See Jacobs (1969); Porter (1990); Feldman and Audretsch (1999) and Gleaser et al. (1992) for a further discussion of this approach. 7 the firms.5 Not only does entrepreneurship capital generate a greater number of enterprises, but also it increases the variety of enterprises in the location (Audretsch and Keilbach, 2004a). Yi=αKiβ1.Liβ2.Riβ3.Eiβ4.eεi (1) We take equation (1), make a logarithmic transformation and then we have the following equation: Ln (Y)it= Ln (a) + β1Ln (K)it + β2Ln (L)it + β3Ln (R)it + β4Ln (E)it + εit (2) According to above function, a positive coefficient on physical capital (β1) and labor force (β2) is consistent with the neoclassical growth theory as asserted by Solow (1956). Also a positive coefficient on knowledge capital (β3) and entrepreneurship capital (β4) is consistent with the endogenous growth theory, as posited by Romer (1986) and Lucas (1988). A positive β3 and β4 would support the hypothesis that entrepreneurial capital has a positive impact on regional economic performance that expressed as regional GDP, regional GDP per capita and industries value added in this paper. Table 2 lists summary statistics for regional indicators and small firms' variables that distributed in Iranian provinces. As can be seen, there is a wide difference in the number of firms' establishment in Iranian provinces that the mean number of official firms are higher than other kinds of small firms. In addition, we can also observe that, on average, there are about 8227 labor forces who work in small firms during the sample period. Table 3 provides the correlations among the variables considered in the regressions and the results show high cross-correlations among dependent and independent variables. In appendix 1 definition of variables and source of data is presented. 5 See Hannan and Freeman (1989) for a further discussion of this approach. 8 9 0.18 *** 0.66 *** 0.71 *** 0.61 *** 0.13 * 0.19 *** 0.41 *** 0.10 -0.15 *** 0.24 *** 0.15 *** -0.09 0.18 *** Ln (L) Ln (R&D) Ln (Pri ent) Ln (Gov ent) Ln (Offic ent) Ln (Coop ent) Ln (Pub ent) Ln (Total ent) 0.70 *** 0.17 *** 0.24 *** 0.72 *** 0.76 *** 0.73 *** 0.76 *** 0.17 *** 0.47 *** 0.79 *** 0.03 0.68 *** 0.82 *** 0.77 *** 1.00 Ln (K) 0.99 *** 0.29 *** 0.45 *** 0.96 *** 0.29 *** 0.93 *** 0.88 *** 1.00 Ln (L) Note 1: N= 391. Note 2: Significance levels: ***p< 0.01, **p<0.05, *p<0.1 0.64 *** 0.20 *** 0.25 *** 0.63 *** 0.64 *** 0.74 *** 0.51 *** Ln (K) 0.77 *** 0.92 *** 0.64 *** Ln (IVA) 1.00 1.00 0.68 *** Ln (GDP) Ln (IVA) 1.00 Ln (GDP) Ln (GDP per cap) Ln (GDP per cap) 0.87 *** 0.20 *** 0.42 *** 0.91 *** 0.09 0.76 *** 1.00 Ln (R&D) 0.94 *** 0.24 *** 0.35 *** 0.83 *** 0.29 *** 1.00 Ln (Pri ent) Table (3). Correlation matrix 0.30 *** 0.34 *** 0.16 *** 0.24 *** 1.00 Ln (Gov ent) 0.96 *** 0.29 *** 0.49 *** 1.00 Ln (Offic ent) 0.47 *** 0.33 *** 1.00 Ln (Coop ent) 0.29 *** 1.00 Ln (Pub ent) 1.00 Ln (Total ent) 5. EMPIRICAL RESULTS Empirical results in this paper start by reporting the descriptive statistics in Table 2 and correlation matrix in table 3. Appendix 2 shows the results of panel unit root tests to examine the stationary of model variables. Panel unit root tests are a generalization of the augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) individual country (state) unit root tests to a common panel unit root test. The basic panel unit root test regression can be written as follows: yit= ρiyi,t-1 + Xitδi + εit (3) where i= 1,2,…,N cross-section units or series that are observed over periods t= 1,2,…,Ti. The Xit is the exogenous variables in the model, including any fixed effects or individual trend, ρi are the autoregressive coefficients, and the error εit are assumed to be mutually independent of individual disturbance. In this section we apply the Levin, Lin & Chu, PP-Fisher Chi2, Im-Pesaran-Shin, Breitung t-test and ADF-Fisher Chi2 tests to examine the stationary situation of model variables. The null hypothesis of this test is that each series in the panel contains a unit root test, while the alternative hypothesis allow for some of the individual time series to have unit roots. The results of panel unit root test in appendix 2 provide evidence to reject the null hypothesis of unit root for entire variables in 1% and 5% level of significant. Tables 4 and 5 show the effects of small firms in regional GDP per capita. In Tables 6 and 7 we estimate the effects of small firms in GDP (without oil) and finally in Tables 8 and 9 the effects of small firms in regional industries value added are analyzed. In estimation of the production function model, the first equation estimates the traditional Solow model of the production function. In the second model, the factor knowledge capital is added. The rest models show results when entrepreneurship capital is included in the production function model. 5.1.Impact of Small Firms on Regional GDP Per Capita Estimation of the production function model of equation (2) produces the results displayed in tables 4 to 9. In the regression results, the first equation estimates the traditional Solow model of production function. As the positive and statistically significant coefficient suggest that both physical capital and labor force are important factors of production in economic growth of Iranian regions. In the model 2, the factor knowledge capital is added. The positive and statistically significant coefficient of this variable supports the Romer's argument that knowledge-intensive inputs matter as a factor of production. In the 3 to 8 columns, the number of small firms based on their legal status included in the model. The results show that private (8.9%), governmental (29.2%) and cooperative (11.7%) small firms have positive and significant effects on regional GDP per capita, although governmental small firm has higher significant effect than other mentioned types. The coefficient of public (-12.2%) small firms is negative and indicates this type of firms are negatively related to regional GDP per capital growth. The coefficient of official small firm is positive but insignificant. But as can be seen, total number of small firm has strong positive and significant coefficient (96.3%) 10 and indicates that small firms can effect on regional GDP per capita positively and significantly in general. 5.2. Impact of Small Firms on Regional GDP (without oil) To extend our estimations, in the second model, we use of regional GDP (without oil) growth as dependent variable and regression the model. The regression results show that the effects of physical capital (K) and human capital (R&D) are positive and significant in all estimations and support traditional Solow and Romer's view. The coefficients of labor force are significant and positive in most cases and support our initial assumption too. From columns 3 to 8, we use of different types of small firms in equation 2 and estimate the model. As can be seen in tables 5 and 6, private (8.9%) and governmental (33.11%) small firms have positive and public (-12.6%) small firm has negative and significant effects on regional GDP growth. The coefficient of cooperative and official small firms are insignificant, but similar to previous equation estimation, the result shows a positive (92.7%) and significant effect of total number of small firms on regional growth and suggesting that small firms promote growth in the Iranian regions. 5.3. Impact of Small Firms on Regional Industries Value Added In the third part of model estimation, we use of industries value added (IVA) as dependent variable. The positive and statistically significant coefficient of physical capital (K) and labor force (in most of the cases) is consistent with the Solow model and indicates that a region's industrial value added is positively related to the traditional factors of production function. Model (2) reports that use of skilled labor in small firms affect regional growth positively and significantly. In the columns 3 to 8, entrepreneurship capital indicators include in equation 2. The results show that by using of regional industries value added as dependent variable, the coefficients of private (10.0%), Governmental (30.9%) and cooperative (18.6%) small firms on regional growth are positive and significant strongly. The negative signs of the coefficients of official and public firms are insignificant and similar to former estimations. Finally, the estimation reported in column 8 indicates the positive and important role of small firms in regional growth and this result keeps consistent for all regional growth indicators. It should be noticed that positive relationship between regional growth and small firms can possibly be related to the quality of institutions. As discussed in other studies, the institutional quality might be an important factor explaining the economic performance across regions. Better institutions also create the necessary conditions to encourage more human capital formation that will be better used by productive entrepreneurs (Dias and McDermott, 2006). 6. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION Following of Solow's (1956) neoclassical model of production function as a basis for analyzing economic growth, many of new policy directions were developed to enhance the two traditional factors of production, physical capital and unskilled labor. On the other hand, endogenous growth theory which presented by Romer (1986) and Lucas 11 (1988) started a new direction focusing on improving knowledge capital through investment in R&D, education and human capital. This paper indicates that these approaches should consider an important factor that also shapes the economic performance of a region: the entrepreneurship capital of that region. In this paper, we measure the entrepreneurship capital by the number of small firms with private, governmental, cooperative, official and public legal status. Based on a Cobb-Douglas production function, empirical results found that entrepreneurship capital exerts positive and significant impacts on regional GDP per capita, GDP and industries value added growth. The results hold for private, governmental and cooperative small firms. The results suggest that in the case of Iran, government policies should direct to enhancement of entrepreneurship capital. It should be consider that our findings certainly do not contradict the conclusions of earlier studies linking growth to factors such that labor, physical capital and knowledge, whereas the evidence of this paper points to an additional factor that named entrepreneurship capital. In other word, our findings indicate that entrepreneurship capital plays an important role in the model of production function. Although our findings cannot provide detailed policy recommendations, but it can be stated that under certain conditions, policies focusing on enhancing entrepreneurship capital and small firms performance can prove to be more effective than those targeting more traditional factors. Whether these results hold for other countries or for other time periods can only be ascertained through subsequent researches. 12 13 0.4420 *** 0.5837 *** (7.771) (-1.847) 0.6815 *** -0.3189 * Ln(K)t Ln (L)t 29.397 *** 0.6793 0.6509 23.9241 *** 382 R2 R2adjusted F-value Observation Note 1: * p< 0.10, ** p< 0.05, *** p< 0.01. 0.7056 Yes Fixed effect 380 0.7352 Yes 14.2605 *** 26.0700 *** 0.6543 *** (10.704) (-1.442) (10.553) (3.006) (11.096) (6.868) T-value 377 27.1295 *** 0.6987 0.7252 Yes 29.7298 ** -0.0830 0.4647 *** 0.4407 *** 7.2461 *** Coefficient Model (3) (4.738) (11.295) (8.964) T-value Chi2 stat for Hausman Test Ln (Gov ent)t Ln (Pri ent)t 0.6581 *** 7.8912 *** (4.173) 5.2837 *** Constant Ln (R&D)t Coefficient T-value Coefficient Model (2) Variable Model (1) Table (4). Estimation results of empirical model (dependent variable: GDP per capita) (5.259) (6.021) (3.870) (6.969) (10.827) T-value 284 36.8182 *** 0.8068 0.8293 Yes 18.8347 *** 0.2918 *** 0.6205 *** 0.6562 *** 0.4144 *** 9.0967 *** Coefficient Model (4) 14 (8.769) (12.31) (4.584) (11.564) (2.035) 7.9617 *** 0.4576 *** 0.5869 *** 0.6756 *** 0.1173 ** Constant Ln(K)t Ln (L)t Ln (R&D)t Ln (Coop ent)t 0.7048 28.4241 *** 380 0.7636 0.7406 33.2819 *** 374 R2 R2adjusted F-value Observation Note 1: * p< 0.10, ** p< 0.05, *** p< 0.01. Yes Yes Fixed effect 0.7305 25.5337 *** (0.0197) (10.669) (3.489) (11.279) (8.144) T-value 24.2979 *** 0.0023 0.6580 *** 0.5860 *** 0.4421 *** 7.8992 *** Coefficient Model (6) Chi2 stat for Hausman Test Ln (Total ent)t Ln (Pub ent)t Ln (Offic ent)t T-value Coefficient Variable Model (5) (-2.509) (12.886) (7.110) (10.609) (10.181) T-value 256 31.0929 *** 0.7835 0.8096 Yes 9.4032 *** -0.1218 ** 0.7956 *** 1.0147 *** 0.4427 *** 11.149 *** Coefficient Model (7) Table (5). Estimation results of empirical model (dependent variable: GDP per capita) (continued) (2.661) (10.686) (1.221) (11.084) (2.091) T-value 380 29.2205 *** 0.7107 0.7360 Yes 31.8398 *** 0.9634 *** 0.6518 *** 0.5345 0.4320 *** 3.7391 ** Coefficient Model (8) 15 0.4840 *** 0.6608 *** (15.999) (-1.433) 0.672 *** -0.2006 Ln(K)t Ln (L)t 51.846 *** 0.7716 0.7514 38.160 *** 382 R2 R2adjusted F-value Observation Note 1: * p< 0.10, ** p< 0.05, *** p< 0.01. 0.8110 Yes Fixed effect 380 0.8270 Yes 11.049 *** 17.733 *** 0.6825 *** (10.591) (1.975) (10.584) (-3.3495) (11.394) (13.931) T-value 377 48.900 *** 0.8078 0.8247 Yes 20.529 *** 0.0899 * -0.519 *** 0.4734 *** 14.584 *** Coefficient Model (3) (5.106) (11.776) (16.531) T-value Chi2 stat for Hausman Test Ln (Gov ent)t Ln (Pri ent)t 0.6838 *** 15.2823 *** (11.827) 11.6830 *** Constant Ln (R&D)t Coefficient T-value Coefficient Model (2) Variable Model (1) (7.220) (9.421) (4.763) (9.634) (17.755) 284 63.331 *** 0.879 0.8931 Yes 37.268 *** 0.3311 *** 0.6277 *** 0.6104 *** 0.4220 *** 16.1129 *** T-value Model (4) Coefficient Table (6). Estimation results of empirical model (dependent variable: Gross Domestic Production (without oil)) 16 0.6842 *** (11.118) 0.6916 *** -0.0741 Ln (R&D)t Ln (Coop ent)t Note 1: * p< 0.10, ** p< 0.05, *** p< 0.01. 374 0.8270 R2adjusted Observation 0.8423 R2 55.038 *** Yes Fixed effect F-value 17.896 *** Chi2 stat for Hausman Test Ln (Total ent)t Ln (Pub ent)t (-0.102) (10.564) (3.677) (11.760) (14.961) T-value 380 50.132 *** 0.8105 0.8270 Yes 19.322 *** -0.0129 0.6485 *** (5.0431) 0.6874 *** Ln (L)t Ln (Offic ent)t 0.4840 *** (12.662) 0.5009 *** Ln(K)t (-1.207) 15.2389 *** (15.999) 15.4663 *** Constant Coefficient T-value Coefficient Model (6) Variable Model (5) (-2.440) (12.988) (6.750) (10.215) (15.699) T-value 267 53.634 *** 0.8636 0.88 Yes 45.259 *** -0.126 *** 0.8548 *** 1.0268 *** 0.5444 *** 18.325 *** Coefficient Model (7) (2.434) (10.563) (0.902) (11.570) (6.001) T-value 380 51.169 *** 0.8137 0.8299 Yes 15.9993 *** 0.9271 *** 0.6778 *** 0.4153 0.4744 *** 11.2866 *** Coefficient Model (8) Table (7). Estimation results of empirical model (dependent variable: Gross Domestic Production(without oil)) (continued) 17 0.4363 *** -0.3182 *** (14.28) (1.818) 0.6141 *** 0.1995 * Ln(K)t Ln (L)t No 0.5778 173.8967 *** No 0.4788 0.4760 174.103 *** 382 Fixed effect R2 R2adjusted F-value Observation 377 126.632 *** 0.5720 0.5765 No 5.0491 (1.653) (9.726) (-1.141) (9.757) (17.722) T-value Note 1: * p< 0.10, ** p< 0.05, *** p< 0.01. Note 2: Model (1), (2) and (3) estimated by Random effect method. 380 0.5811 4.6752 3.9284 0.668 *** (9.750) 0.1003 * -0.1607 0.423 *** 10.120 *** Coefficient Model (3) (-2.778) (10.109) (13.127) T-value Chi2 stat for Hausman Test Ln (Gov ent)t Ln (Pri ent)t 0.6729 *** 10.8826 *** (8.866) 6.8657 *** Constant Ln (R&D)t Coefficient T-value Coefficient Model (2) Variable Model (1) Table (8). Estimation results of empirical model (dependent variable: Industrial value added) (6.279) (9.267) (2.639) (7.846) (12.649) T-value 284 82.569 *** 0.9048 0.9159 Yes 17.576 *** 0.309 *** 0.664 *** 0.364 *** 0.369 *** 12.355 *** Coefficient Model (4) 18 0.6755 *** (10.611) 0.6979 *** 0.1860 *** Ln (R&D)t Ln (Coop ent)t 0.6055 R2adjusted 380 130.1808 *** 0.5768 (-1.616) (10.948) (4.7469) (8.870) (11.212) T-value 267 67.8481 *** 0.8894 0.9027 Yes 18.6244 *** -0.0936 0.8060 *** 0.8077 *** 0.4414 *** 14.641 *** Coefficient Model (7) Note 1: * p< 0.10, ** p< 0.05, *** p< 0.01. Note 2: Model (5), (6) and (8) estimated by Random effect method. 374 0.6097 R2 Observation No No Fixed effect 0.5813 4.6966 144.128 *** (9.737) (-0.3910) 4.9103 F-value (10.093) (11.266) T-value (-1.5707) Chi2 stat for Hausman Test Ln (Total ent)t Ln (Pub ent)t -0.0528 -0.2702 (-2.471) -0.2895 ** Ln (L)t Ln (Offic ent)t 0.4365 *** (11.627) 0.4580 *** Ln(K)t (2.9919) 10.7166 *** (12.799) 10.7702 *** Constant Coefficient T-value Coefficient Model (6) Variable Model (5) (2.355) (9.602) (1.850) (10.152) (4.467) 380 133.32 *** 0.5827 0.5871 No 6.0226 0.9039 ** 0.6611 *** 0.6696 * 0.4359 *** 7.4295 *** T-value Model (8) Coefficient Table (9). Estimation results of empirical model (dependent variable: Industrial value added) (continued) REFERENCES Acs, Z., Braunerhjelm, P., Audretsch, D., and Carlson, B. (2009). The Knowledge Spillover Theory of Entrepreneurship. Small Business Economics, 2, 15-30. Audretsch, D.B., and Fritsch, M. (1996). 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Journal of Political Economy, 94, 1002–1037. 20 Solow, R. (1956). A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70, 65-94. Van Stel, A., and Suddle, K. (2008). The Impact of New Firm Formation on Regional Development in the Netherlands. Small Business Economics, 30, 31-47. Variable Y Y per cap IVA K L R&D Private Ent Governmental Ent Cooperative Ent Official Ent Public Ent Total Ent variables Appendix 1. Variable definitions and sources Variable Definition Regional gross domestic production (without oil) Regional gross domestic production per capita Regional value added in industrial sectors Stock of physical capital used in small manufacturing firms Total number of employees who work in small manufacturing firms Number of the two most qualified labor categories who work in small manufacturing firms Number of private small manufacturing firms Number of governmental small manufacturing firms Number of cooperative small manufacturing firms Number of official small manufacturing firms Number of public small manufacturing firms Total number of manufacturing small firms Data Source Iranian regional accounts Iranian regional accounts Iranian regional accounts Statistical center of Iran Statistical center of Iran Statistical center of Iran Statistical center of Iran Statistical center of Iran Statistical center of Iran Statistical center of Iran Statistical center of Iran Statistical center of Iran Appendix 2. Panel unit root test (in level) Individual intercept Individual intercept and trend Method Statistics Prob* Method Statistics Prob Ln (GDP per capita) Levin, Lin & Chu Im,Pesaran&Shin ADF-Fisher Chi2 PP-Fisher Chi2 Ln (GDP) Levin, Lin & Chu PP-Fisher Chi2 -13.6343 0.0000 -9.3212 196.48 220.119 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 -7.8821 0.0000 92.485 0.0045 -16.5990 0.0000 230.558 288.185 0.0000 0.0000 Ln (IVA) Levin, Lin & Chu ADF-Fisher Chi2 PP-Fisher Chi2 -5.9765 0.0000 Ln (K) Levin, Lin & Chu Im,Pesaran&Shin ADF-Fisher Chi2 PP-Fisher Chi2 -1.9363 77.2385 87.1671 Ln (L) Levin, Lin & -7.7122 Levin, Lin & Chu Breitung T-test Im,Pesaran&Shin ADF-Fisher Chi2 Levin, Lin & Chu Breitung T-test Levin, Lin & Chu ADF-Fisher Chi2 PP-Fisher Chi2 -7.7151 0.0000 -2.035 -2.3777 91.4214 0.0209 0.0087 0.0056 -8.3641 0.0000 -2.0054 0.0225 -4.3632 0.0000 75.6128 88.6992 0.0842 0.0094 Result Stationary Stationary Stationary -8.4546 0.0000 0.0264 0.0663 0.0125 Levin, Lin & Chu Im,Pesaran&Shin ADF-Fisher Chi2 PP-Fisher Chi2 -4.2072 113.542 162.562 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Stationary 0.0000 Levin, Lin & -11.9812 0.0000 Stationary 21 variables Appendix 2. Individual intercept Method Statistics Chu Im,Pesaran&Shin -4.0277 ADF-Fisher Chi2 109.357 111.131 PP-Fisher Chi2 Ln (R&D) Levin, Lin & Chu Ln (Pri ent) Levin, Lin & Chu Im,Pesaran&Shin ADF-Fisher Chi2 PP-Fisher Chi2 Ln (Gov ent) Levin, Lin & Chu Im,Pesaran&Shin PP-Fisher Chi2 Ln (Coop ent) Levin, Lin & Chu Im,Pesaran&Shin ADF-Fisher Chi2 Ln (Offic ent) Levin, Lin & Chu Im,Pesaran&Shin ADF-Fisher Chi2 PP-Fisher Chi2 Ln (Pub ent) Levin, Lin & Chu Im,Pesaran&Shin ADF-Fisher Chi2 Levin, Lin & Chu Ln (Total Im,Pesaran&Shin ent) ADF-Fisher Chi2 PP-Fisher Chi2 * Probabilities for Fisher tests are assume asymptotic normality. Panel unit root test (in level) Individual intercept and trend Prob* Method Statistics Prob Chu 0.0000 Im,Pesaran&Shin -4.4034 0.0000 0.0001 ADF-Fisher Chi2 124.149 0.0000 0.0001 PP-Fisher Chi2 128.662 0.0000 -1.8045 0.0356 -7.8081 0.0000 -5.2417 129.282 126.752 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 -3.0432 0.0012 -1.5752 75.5164 0.0576 0.0022 -7.7086 0.0000 -4.0200 109.294 0.0000 0.0001 -6.1178 0.0000 -4.052 111.406 132.72 Levin, Lin & Chu Im,Pesaran&Shin ADF-Fisher Chi2 PP-Fisher Chi2 Levin, Lin & Chu Im,Pesaran&Shin ADF-Fisher Chi2 PP-Fisher Chi2 Levin, Lin & Chu Breitung T-test ADF-Fisher Chi2 Levin, Lin & Chu ADF-Fisher Chi2 PP-Fisher Chi2 -8.3642 0.0000 -2.1581 87.6476 116.261 0.0155 0.0115 0.0000 -18.9906 0.0000 -10.0757 182.830 211.222 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 -10.4967 0.0000 -1.3304 72.9211 0.0917 0.0117 -8.0615 0.0000 78.3734 108.065 0.0558 0.0001 -8.5628 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0000 Levin, Lin & Chu Im,Pesaran&Shin ADF-Fisher Chi2 PP-Fisher Chi2 -2.5758 98.8991 1333.96 0.0050 0.0018 0.0000 -8.0254 0.0000 Im,Pesaran&Shin -1.4972 0.0672 -3.6884 92.0020 0.0001 0.0001 ADF-Fisher Chi2 PP-Fisher Chi2 83.5456 98.155 0.0006 0.0000 Result Stationary Stationary Stationary Stationary Stationary Stationary Levin, Lin & -7.2975 0.0000 Chu -2.5886 0.0048 Im,Pesaran&Shin -2.7342 0.0031 Stationary 86.9917 0.0130 ADF-Fisher Chi2 99.9796 0.0009 108.923 0.0001 PP-Fisher Chi2 121.983 0.0000 computed using an asymptotic Chi-square distribution. All other tests -5.3889 0.0000 22 Appendix 3. Ratio of small firms groups to total number of small firms (in 2013) Province (Pri ent/total ent) × 100 East Aza 38.5 West Aza 58.4 Ardabil 32.8 Esfahan 46.5 Ilam 33.3 Bushehr 0 Tehran 42.7 Bakhtiari 47 S. Khorasan 27.2 Khorasan Ra. 35.5 N. Khorasan 79 Khuzestan 19.5 Zanjan 16.4 Semnan 39.8 Sistan 78.8 Fars 44.3 Ghazvin 29.8 Ghom 27 Kordestan 41.5 Kerman 44.5 Kermanshah 40 Kohkiloyeh 54.2 Golestan 19.6 Gilan 20 Lorestan 24 Mazandaran 24 Markazi 23.5 Hormozgan 45 Hamadan 21.5 Yazd 10.5 Source: Authors’ estimation (Gov ent/total ent) × 100 (Coop ent/total ent) × 100 (Offic ent/total ent) × 100 (Pub ent/total ent) × 100 1.2 0.8 3.5 0.08 8.3 0 0.2 1 0 0.15 0 2.1 0 0.3 2.2 0.45 0 0.3 0.9 0.5 1 0 0.4 1 0 0.2 1.3 1 0 0 1.2 9.4 14 1.1 12.5 6.7 0.7 3 6.8 4 12.7 6.5 6.9 2.7 3.3 6 1 2.9 12.2 3.6 9.2 20.8 7.5 10 11 6.1 8.3 9 9 2.3 58.6 30.2 47.5 52 45.8 93.3 56.2 49 66 61.5 6.3 69.7 75 56.5 14.4 49.2 69.2 68.9 39.6 51.3 48.8 25 71 69 63 68.5 66.5 45 68.5 85.5 0.5 0.8 1.4 0.08 0 0 0.2 0 0 0.85 0 2.6 1.7 0.3 1.3 0 0 0.3 5.6 0.5 1 0 1.5 0 1 1.2 0.3 0 1 1.7 23
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