CHAPTER 3 D Sampling Methods c GOAL Determine the differences between using simple random samples and systematic samples in gathering survey data. Learn about the Math When it is necessary to gather data to answer a question concerning a population, a survey is conducted. A survey is given to just a portion of the entire population to be studied, or a sample, to gather data that can then be generalized for the rest of the population. There are different types of samples. One type is called a simple random sample. This is when a survey sample is chosen in such a way that the entire population has an equal chance of being selected for the sample. Another type of sample is a systematic sample. This type of survey sample is not completely random. It is biased in some way. For example, if a survey is conducted using the Internet, then this survey is biased toward people who use the Internet. Someone that does not own a computer or does not know how to use the Internet would not have an equal opportunity to take part in this survey. The survey then is not representative of the entire population, only the portion that uses the Internet. A representative sample is representative of the entire population with regard to all of its characteristics, meaning that it matches the proportions of the entire population with regard to factors such as gender, age groups, race/ethnicity, and geographic location. The size of the sample must be large enough for all of the different characteristics to be accurately represented. sample a part of a population that is used to make predictions about the whole population simple random sample a survey sample chosen in such a way that every member of the population has an equal chance of being included systematic sample a survey sample chosen in such a way that it is biased toward certain members of the population; all members of the population do not have an equal chance of being included Akeem wanted to determine if the students in his school would be interested in an after-school tutoring program. He passed out questionnaires to all of the students in his classes, asking them to complete the survey questions about their interest in such a program. About half of the students who received a questionnaire completed and returned it to Akeem. Copyright © 2009 by Nelson Education Ltd. Reproduction permitted for classrooms 3D Sampling Methods 1 Akeem’s survey sample a simple random sample ? Was or a systematic sample? Example 1: Determining if a survey sample is a random sample or a systematic sample Was Akeem’s survey sample a simple random sample or a systematic sample? Isabella’s Solution I can determine the type of survey sample used by examining the definition of a simple random sample. In order for a sample to be a simple random sample it has to be chosen in such a way that the entire population has an equal chance of being selected for the survey. Akeem only passed out the survey to students in his classes. This means that any student not having a class with Akeem did not have an opportunity to be selected for this survey. This survey would then be biased toward Akeem’s classmates. Since the after-school tutoring program would be for the entire school, a simple random sample would have to include participants representative of the entire school, from all different grade levels and classes. Therefore, I have determined that Akeem’s sample was a systematic sample, not a simple random sample. Reflecting 1. Why might a systematic sample not be a good representation of an entire population? 2. Give an example of a method of conducting a survey that would result in a simple random sample. 3. Give an example of a sampling method that would result in a systematic sample. 2 Nelson Mathematics Secondary Year Two, Cycle One Reproduction permitted for classrooms Copyright © 2009 by Nelson Education Ltd. Work with the Math Example 2: Determining if a sample is representative of an entire population Sarah was conducting a survey to find out how much time, on average, students in Cycle One Year Two spend on homework each night. She asked five of her friends, three girls and two boys, to keep track for one week of how much time they spent on homework each night. The average time was found to be 3 h. Was Sarah’s sample a good representation of her entire population? Rodrigo’s Solution To determine whether or not Sarah’s sample was a good representation of the population being studied, I needed to decide if her sample was random and if it was large enough to be representative of the entire population. First, I looked back at the definition of a simple random sample. A simple random sample must give every member of the entire population an equal chance of being selected as part of the sample. Since Sarah polled only her friends, someone whom Sarah did not know would not have an equal opportunity to be selected. Therefore, I can determine that this sample was not a simple random sample. Next, I must consider the size of the sample. Sarah selected five people to survey. I can determine that five people would not be a large enough sample to gather data representative of all Cycle One Year Two students because five people cannot accurately reflect all of the possible characteristics of the entire population of Cycle One Year Two students. Therefore, this sample is not a good representation of the entire population being studied. I can conclude that Sarah’s sample is neither a simple random sample, nor large enough to be representative of the entire population. Copyright © 2009 by Nelson Education Ltd. Reproduction permitted for classrooms 3D Sampling Methods 3 A Checking 4. For each of the following situations, state the population and whether the sample is random. a) A newspaper wants to determine how people in a community feel about a landfill in their area. A reporter stopped four people in the town and asked their opinion. b) An automobile manufacturer wants to find out if a new hybrid vehicle would sell well nationally. At an auto show they had a questionnaire for people to fill out, asking if they would consider buying the vehicle. By the end of the show, 1210 surveys were completed. B Practising 5. A manufacturing company has developed a new form of tooth whitening strip that they believe works more quickly than competitors’ similar products. They asked a group of 20 people, chosen at random from shoppers in a local pharmacy, to try the new strips for 14 days and then complete a questionnaire stating their opinions about the new product. Is the sample a good representation of the entire population being studied? 6. Maggie wanted to determine how other students in her school feel about having to wear uniforms to school. She created a survey and distributed it to everyone in her lunch period. Of the 400 surveys distributed, 205 were completed and returned. What is the population of this study? What is the size of Maggie’s sample? Was the sample random or systematic? 4 Nelson Mathematics Secondary Year Two, Cycle One 7. Qi wanted to determine the type of music that is most preferred by students in his class. He asked 10 of his friends to write down their favourite type of music. Are the results of this survey representative of the preferences of Qi’s entire class? 8. Emily is a reporter for the school newspaper. She wanted to determine which candidates were most likely to win the upcoming school election. Emily held a mock election, where students could cast their votes for who they think the winning candidates should be. Of the 850 students in Emily’s school, 320 of them cast a ballot in this mock election. Students who were absent were all given an opportunity to cast an absentee ballot. What is the population for this study? Was the sampling method random or systematic? 9. A cell phone manufacturer selects every 100th cell phone produced to be tested for defects. Is this a random sample or a systematic sample? C Extending 10. The Student Council would like to determine the best way to raise money for their school carnival. Members of the Council have listed several types of fundraisers that could be held. They would like to perform a survey of students in the school that would give them an idea of which fundraiser would help them raise the most money. Explain a sampling method that Student Council members could use to help them gather the information needed. Reproduction permitted for classrooms Copyright © 2009 by Nelson Education Ltd.
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