Ambient Intelligence for Managerial Decision Support Peter Mikulecký University of Hradec Králové Czech Republic Ambient Intelligence AmI provides a vision of information society of the future, in which maximum emphasis is placed on user friendliness, effective and distributed support of services, reinforcement of the user’s resources, and support for interactive work. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 2 The Vision This vision anticipates that people will find themselves in the environment of intelligent, intuitively usable interfaces incorporated into all kinds of objects, and in such an environment which is able to recognize the presence of different individuals, and react to it in a nondisturbing, and often invisible way, frequently fully integrated into a particular situation. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 3 The Vision Further On The vision of ambient intelligence anticipates a shift in the usage of information technology from desk computers to various information devices integrated into people’s everyday life. It is anticipated that the prevailing technological aspect of computing and information technology shall be moved to the background, while intelligent interfaces of a particular environment would become more prominent. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 4 How to Achieve the Vision The objective of AmI is to broaden the interaction between human beings and digital information technology through the usage of ubiquitous computing devices. The three recent technologies: Ubiquitous Computing, Ubiquitous Communication and Intelligent User Interfaces – are at the core of the AmI vision. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 5 Ubiquitous Computing Ubiquitous Computing means integration of microprocessors into everyday objects like furniture, clothing, white goods (e.g. refrigerator, washing machine), toys, etc. It is the use of computers everywhere. Computers are made available by means of the physical environment, but in an invisible way for the user. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 6 Ubiquitous Communication Ubiquitous Communication enables the objects with integrated computers to communicate each other and the user by means of ad-hoc and wireless networking. Here wireless networking will be the dominant technology. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 7 Intelligent User Interfaces An Intelligent User Interface enables the inhabitants of the AmI environment to control and interact with the environment in a natural (voice, gestures) and personalized way (preferences, context). These will allow for drastically simplified and more intuitive use of devices. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 8 AmI Scenarios A number of so-called scenarios illustrate the idea of ambient intelligence and its benefit for society (ISTAG 2001) The scenarios are in fact examples of possible future usage of the ambient intelligence approach in various areas of everyday human life. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 9 Examples of Scenarios Persistent hybrid communities evolving according to their intrinsic social dynamics. Mobile mixed reality presence environments moving freely and interacting in real/augmented populated surroundings through natural and/or augmented mediated tools. Personalized learning and training environments for skill acquisition and learning. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 10 Ambient Intelligence One of the main themes for research in the scope of the 6FP. Implementation of the AmI vision should affect the quality of everyday life of every EU citizen. It should also help to solve the problem of digital divide. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 11 Benefits The combination of simplified use of devices and their ability to communicate eventually results in increased efficiency for the users and, therefore, creates value, leading to a higher degree of ubiquity of computing devices. Examples of such devices range from common items such as pens, watches, and household appliances to sophisticated computers and production equipment. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 12 Three Main Dimensions of AmI Technological – possibilities of the AmI implementation (new emerging technologies!) Social – ICT for solving global social problems Political – Europe on the way to knowledge society April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 13 The Fourth Dimension Co-existence of humans with a plenty of artificial creatures with a certain degree of (artificial) intelligence. Creatures co-operate and communicate one with another, and all of them have to co-operate with humans from time to time. A new kind of intelligent systems? April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 14 Some Problems A number of other possible scenarios. Humans as integral parts of such intelligent systems? Communities of such creatures (virtual as well as nonvirtual), their emergent behaviour. Their mutual co-existence and collaboration as well as their co-existence and collaboration with humans. Possible antagonism of their and human interests? Is there a danger of any risky evolution of their communities? There is a plenty of ethical aspects of these problems, etc. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 15 Similar Concepts Smart Space Smart Space for LearningTM Ubiquitous Environments Pervasive Computing and Environments April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 16 Managers’ Needs A manager has to have an access to all the necessary information on which the best decision can be built. To have as good information as it is possible, and this information must be supported by knowledge relevant to the application or exploitation of particular information. The degree of success of manager’s job is often measured by the ratio of outputs to inputs. All managerial activities revolve around and are carried out through continuous decision making, and are very much knowledge based, or knowledge rich. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 17 Steps of Managerial Decision Making Identifying and defining the problem (a decision situation: an opportunity or trouble). Classifying the problem into a standard category. Constructing an abstract model that describes the real-world problem. Finding potential alternative solutions to the modelled problem and evaluating them. Selecting and recommending a good enough and appropriate solution to the problem. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 18 Factors Causing Complexity of Managerial Decision Making More alternatives of managerial decisions because of growth and advancement in ICT, as well as advancement and diversity in technology in general. Larger error cost because of increased competition, as well as increased structural complexity. More uncertainty because of increased consumerism, as well as decreased and fluctuating political stability. It is a need for quick responses because of decreased and fluctuating political stability, as well as growing, complicating and fluctuating market economy. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 19 Desirable Characteristics and Requirements for DS (1) Speedy computations - performing large number of computations very quickly and at a low cost. Fast problem identification - the decision support function should efficiently map the context of a given problem into an appropriate solution model, algorithm or technique. Timely decision making - critical situations may require fast and in-time response. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 20 Desirable Characteristics and Requirements for DS (2) Increased productivity - reducing costs (saving) of making the decision, while retaining the decision making output rate and quality. Decision making quality and reliability - more alternatives should be considered, provision for risk analysis should be available, as well as provision for handling vagueness and uncertainty, provision for multiple knowledge sources, and group decision support. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 21 Desirable Characteristics and Requirements for DS (3) Technical support - an adequate and efficient ICT is needed, which enables effective and secure storage and transmission of data. Overcoming cognitive limits in processing and storage - an individual’s problem-solving capability is limited when diverse information and knowledge are required. Pooling several individuals is required in this situation, and group decision making as well as group decision support systems is a common remedy for this problem. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 22 Smart Space Concept (1) It is a physical environment equipped with electronic devices and embedded systems, which may be in different shapes, sizes, forms, functions, etc. These devices and embedded systems are interconnected by wired and/or wireless networks forming a digital virtual space, which must be closely integrated with the physical environment. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 23 Smart Space Concept (2) It must have some kinds or levels of abilities of perception, cognition, analysis, reasoning and anticipation about a user’s existence and surroundings, on which it can accordingly take proper actions. These abilities can be regarded as a kind of intelligence, which is the origin of the term smart. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 24 Smart Space Concept (3) It aims at truly adapting to humans rather than the reverse, providing better services to users in their everyday environments without limiting to their desktops/laptops, and providing adequate support for their various daily activities in the real world via the merger of spaces and smartness. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 25 Intelligent managerial decision support space In a recent research project AmIMaDeS (Ambient Intelligence for Managerial Decision Support) we try to deeply analyze the nature of managerial work and reflecting the results of the analysis to improve managers’ workplace environment. Our goal is to create such an intelligent environment that is capable to support managerial decision making as well as to fulfil managers’ educational needs simultaneously, trying to educate them by an unobtrusive and natural manner, in relation to the area where the core decisions are made. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 26 Goals of the AmIMaDeS Project One of the practical goals of the project is to create a collection of sophisticated intelligent tools for managerial decision support (IMDSS – an intelligent managerial decision support space) based on the ambient intelligence (AmI) approach, taking into account the main features of the Smart Spaces for LearningTM concept. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 27 Main Areas of AmI Principles Utilization user identification and logging, context-based services, customization, personalization and omnipresent monitoring, application of new programming principles and AmI algorithms, innovated hardware and new types of devices, intelligent interfaces, processing implicit inputs and interactions, support of communication inside the community, involving new types of smart learning objects, invisible file systems, affective computing, privacy issues, interaction of AmI subsystems. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 28 Conclusions We described the main ideas of a project devoted to intelligent support of managerial decision making, based on a blend of traditional smart space approach (exploiting ambient intelligence principles) and the Smart Spaces for LearningTM concept. The later will cause intelligent learning capabilities to be pervasively present and supporting managers’ educational needs, enabling their better performance and higher quality of decision making. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 29 Thank you for your attention. April 13-14, 2007 LEFIS, Vilnius 30
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