Правительство Российской Федерации Федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего профессионального образования «Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики» Факультет философии Отделение востоковедения ВЫПУСКНАЯ КВАЛИФИКАЦИОННАЯ РАБОТА На тему «Система "Хукоу", как важный показатель легитимности государства в КНР (1980-2012)» Студент группы № МА2 Сушкова Е.А. Руководитель ВКР PhD Королев А.Н. Консультант Доцент ВШЭ Карпов М.В. Москва, 2014 Government of the Russian Federation National Research University Higher School of Economics Faculty of Philosophy, School of Asian Studies MASTER’S THESIS China’s Hukou system as an important determinant of state legitimacy (1980-2012) Written by: Elena Sushkova Group MA-1 Supervisor: PhD, Political Science Professor A. Korolev Reviewer: HSE docent, Candidate in History Karpov M.V. Moscow, 2014 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................... 4 CHAPTER1. THEORETICAL BACKGROUND .................................................. 10 INTERNAL MIGRATION CONTROL .............................................................. 10 INTERNAL MIGRATION CONTROL: ECONOMIC FACTORS AND STATE POLICIES ............................................................................................................ 18 CHAPTER 2. HUKOU SYSTEM AS A DETERMINANT OF STATE LEGITIMACY ........................................................................................................ 20 LEGITIMACY AND ITS CONSTITUENTS. CHINESE CASE ....................... 20 HUKOU. IMPORTANCE OF THE HOUSEHOLD REGISTRATION ............ 24 What is hukou?.................................................................................................. 24 What the hukou defines? ................................................................................... 26 Hukou. Importance of the household registration. ........................................... 26 CHAPTER 3. HUKOU SYSTEM REFORM: THE STRUCTURAL AND INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE ................................................................................. 28 THE EVOLUTION OF HUKOU POLICIES AND INTERNAL MIGRATION IN CHINA. ........................................................................................................... 28 PERIOD 1 (1949 – 1977). THE ERA OF PLANNED ECONOMY .................. 29 PERIOD 2 (1978 – 2001). THE ERA OF ECONOMIC REFORMS ................. 30 Reforms (1980 – 2001) ........................................................................................ 34 PERIOD 3 (2001 – NOWADAYS). THE ERA OF STRUCTURAL CHANGES .............................................................................................................................. 39 Reforms (2001 – 2012) ........................................................................................ 42 CONCLUSION ....................................................................................................... 49 Bibiliography ........................................................................................................... 51 Appendix 1 .............................................................................................................. 58 Appendix 2 .............................................................................................................. 60 Appendix 3 .............................................................................................................. 63 Appendix 4 .............................................................................................................. 65 3 INTRODUCTION Since the 1980s rapid economic development of the People’s Republic of China stimulated several important processes in the country development. A few to mention are privatization, decentralization of state control, reduction of tariffs and trade barriers, etc. Even though the economic reforms led to the prosperity for many Chinese citizens and the poverty level dropped sharply, new serious social issues emerged, posing a threat to the present Chinese government. First, internal migration has increased rapidly, reaching more than 200 million (National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2011) in urban areas in 2000s. The growth of the “floating population” is becoming important for various reasons. Cities experience sharp demand for the cheap labour force that cannot be compensated by urban residents solely. Government tries to solve the problem of reorientation of the economy towards domestic consumption and attract new migrant consumers. Local municipalities are interested in cheap rural land for a hukou exchange and on the other hand try to attract talented graduates and skilled workers to the cities, etc. Second, inequality has emerged in both cities and rural areas, undermining social and political stability. Everyone in China is obliged to have a permanent residence and cannot easily change it. Due to the household registration system (created in 1958 to control peoples’ movement), most of the poor rural population were not able to move to the cities to get a better-paid job. On the other hand, those who moved, migrants, lack the access to social benefits and public services that urban citizens are entitled to receive. Thus, inequality has also become a major concern of post-reform period. Changes in the city household registration policy have recently stroke major big cities in China. Hukou policy reforms in Guangzhou, Chongqing, Shanghai and Chengdu are showing the consistent trend of easing the access for migrants to the cities. Moreover, the increase in scale and power of migrant population is starting 4 to influence government actions, thus the capability of the government to manage population flow is becoming one of the important indicators of state efficiency. Nowadays, as every person in China is a subject of government migration and population control, hukou system becomes an essential lever in government hands to: control unwanted internal migration (e.g. by giving quotas in middle-size cities instead of Beijing, Shanghai, etc.) control urbanization (preventing creation of urban slums and rising discontent) acquire more regime supporters by satisfying the needs of interest groups (e.g. companies, seeking employees, city residents, migrants,etc.) introduce structural changes in the society to cope with rising inequality and other social issues The facts mentioned above show growing importance of the hukou system within the context of government legitimacy in PRC. In this research I claim that hukou system is no longer just a mechanism of registration, but also a structural mechanism used for expressing government economical and political will. The object of this paper is government policy in the sphere of internal migration. The subject of this paper is China’s hukou system and hukou policy as one of the determinants of state legitimacy. The hypothesis is the following: Hukou system plays an important role in managing internal migration and its effectiveness is essential for Chinese government to sustain its legitimacy. There are two types of primary sources used in this research paper: statistics and official documents. Main statistical source is National Bureau of Statistics of China; its data was used for research on the hukou system development, annual migrant population growth, etc. As for the official 5 documents, most of them were taken from the website of the State Council of China. These documents include official changes in hukou system in various years, as well as recent notices on the hukou system reform. Apart from these two types of sources, some local bureaus of Social Security and municipalities’ official websites were analyzed. Secondary sources used for carrying out this research can be divided into several groups: books, scholarly articles, international organizations’ reports and newspaper articles. The topic of migration and related hukou policies is deeply researched by a wide range of profound scholars and organizations. Lida Fan (Fan, L., 2011) has explored the correlations between migration regulations, social welfare and industry strategies, trying to find migration determinants and better understand hukou policies on various administrative levels. Jianfa Shen (Shen, J., 2011, 2013)and Kam Wing Chan (Chan, K.W., 1999, 2008) have made a great contribution to the population and migration studies in China. Shen has analyzed the development of hukou system according to the factors that influenced it: institutional drive and the development of market-driven economy. Kam Wing Chan in his works has explained the development of hukou system step-by-step, outlining the changes in the urban and rural hukou policies as well as various forms of temporary and permanent residential permits. Apart from the outstanding scholarly findings major contributions to the field were made by researches and reports of the international organizations, such as International Labour Organization (Li, S., 2008; ILO, 2013), The European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR, 2012), European Comission’s Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs (Melander, A., Pelikanova, K., 2013) and J.P. Morgan (Ulrich, J., Hoosain, A. and Zou, L., 2012) . For instance, J.P. Morgan has carried out a profound research on urbanization, hukou reform and investment implications, and International Labour Organization issued a paper on policy responses in China, further developing the topic of migration as an important process in the broader context of state developmental strategy. 6 In my research I use qualitative methods. Large part of my work is a historical analysis and periodization, but I also use content analysis and deduction methods. The main aim of this paper is to analyze the hukou system and the significance of hukou reforms for government legitimacy as well as to track how the government uses hukou system to sustain the current regime. The more detailed tasks of this research include the following: 1. To analyze hukou sytem a. To outline the concept of hukou and in which way it determines a life of every Chinese citizen b. To analyze the structure of hukou system and the processes within it. c. To outline the process of hukou system evolution in China (1958-nowadays) 2. To explain the concept of legitimacy and analyze the specifics of legitimacy in China 3. To analyze how Chinese government is using hukou system to sustain the legitimacy of current regime. a. To analyze what major changes have been implemented within hukou system since 1980 until 2012 and why; b. To evaluate the economic and political reasons for the hukou reforms (1980-2012) c. To conduct a research on current issues in hukou policy and the correlation with emerging social issues, such as inequality and political instability. Outline contribution (or impediments) of hukou system to the development of modern socialist society in PRC (2005 and later) 4. To define the role of the hukou system in economy and society 7 a. To show (experimentally and analytically, using examples and methods) how changes in hukou system reflect government need to sustain legitimacy b. To outline significance of hukou reforms for the government legitimacy (sustaining political stability, maintaining the current regime, satisfying interest groups, etc.) c. To outline what changes hukou policy brings on a various administrative levels d. To analyze and emphasize how hukou management can contribute to strategic development and implementing government goals e. To analyze the future all-country Hukou reform as a challenge for the state in PRC and outline possible outcomes of the reform for the Chinese state and society The structure of my work is the following: In the first chapter, I am going to introduce major theories in migration and population control. I am emphasizing those theories that showed a relation between economy, government policies and movement of population. I start my analysis from the first theories on internal migration and finish with the contemporary theories in the field of population and migration studies. In the second chapter, I am going to outline the concept of legitimacy and specific characteristics of legitimacy in China. I am assuming that institutions play a major role in the development of the state in China, and therefore institutions’ failures put a major threat to the government legitimacy, undermining the capabilities of the state to govern. I also assume that hukou system is one of these institutions as it defines population flows, and has a direct impact on the economy and society. I also give a short explanation of what hukou and hukou system is. 8 In the third chapter, I provide a detailed analysis of the hukou system, its evolution and reforms. I divided the evolution of the system into three periods, and I have outlined major reforms and changes starting from the 1980s. I evaluate economic and political reaons for the hukou reforms as well as their significance for the effective governance in China. 9 CHAPTER1. THEORETICAL BACKGROUND INTERNAL MIGRATION CONTROL In this chapter, in order to understand and analyze the hukou system of China and its effect on the social development, as well as highlight the role of the government population control policies, I am going to present and analyze major migration theories. I am concentrating on the theories that deal with internal migration, rather than the processes of international migration. Each migration theory from one of the angles discusses why the migration (internal) occurs, how the process unravels and whether it is controlled or not (and to which extent). As my analysis mostly concentrates on the hukou system (which is a system of government control of population flows), I am going to pay more attention to the part of migration theory which discusses whether government should intervene into migration processes and if yes, then how. Moreover, there is one more fact that I cannot avoid before I start discussing theories. Many theories discuss international and internal migration in developed states, but only few of them stop at the migration processes in developing countries, and especially in non-democratic countries (such as PRC). This factor will become of vital importance, when we start talking about the relation between the migration control system and legitimacy. Nowadays, even though most scholars of migration studies are researching international migration, the internal migration theories and models are becoming more and more important. According to the report by the International Organization for Migration, the internal migration in developing countries, such as India and China as well as urbanization in different parts of the world is increasing significantly: in China solely internal migration crossed the border of 120 million people, whereas international (from and to China) migration is only a small fraction of this (King, R., Skeldon, R. and Vullnetari, J., 2008). 10 There exist a large number of theories and models on internal migration, for example, the very first theories of migration were based on the observation of the migration flows within countries. In the 1880s Ernest George Ravenstein has established the theory of migration. Based on the observations and the data collected from the surveys within the UK, Ravenstein outline seven laws of migration, which still form the basis for modern migration theory. In these laws, he attempted to explain and predict migration patterns, analyze the processes of absorption and dispersion as well as how they influence the migration. For example, Ravenstein found out and formulated his laws of migration that “migrants proceeding long distances generally go by preference to one of the great centers of commerce or industry” [19, p.169] and “The natives of towns are less migratory than than those of the rural part of the country” [19, p.170]. Despite the critical attitude from the scientific society to Ravenstein’s theory, his laws still remain the starting point for work in migration theory. One of the most important findings of Ravenstein for contemporary migration studies is his research on what is causing migration. He claims, the political, legal, social and economic factors can cause migration, but the most important still stays the persons (households) desire for a better material condition1. One more theory, explaining migration using the concepts of distance, was Zipf’s inverse distance law. According to George Zipf, the volume of migrants decreases with distance from the origin, since the effort and cost required to cover greater distances would increase with the distance traveled. The concept of distance was also important in the gravity theory of migration, which estimated the traffic flow or the migration between two areas. This is another theory that emphasizes distance rather than reasons or opportunities for migration. On the contrary, Samuel Stouffer continued developing migration theory from a different angle: he paid more attention to why people migrate and less to “Bad or oppressive laws, heavy taxation, an unattractive climate, uncongenial social surroundings, and even compulsion (slave trade, transportation), all have produced and are still producing currents of migration, but none of these currents can compare in volume with that which arises from the desire inherent in most men to ‘better’ themselves in material respects” [20, p.246] 1 11 how they do it. According to Stouffer’s theory of intervening opportunities, which he published in 1940 [27, p. 846], “there is no necessary relationship between mobility and distance”. Instead, his research proposed that “the number of persons going a given distance is directly proportional to the number of opportunities at that distance and inversely proportional to the number of intervening opportunities”. Stouffler emphasized the importance of the relation between mobility and opportunities in his studies rather than explaining the relation between mobility and distance. He argued that the volume of migration had more to do with the opportunities in each location, than with the distance and population. Migration is an interdisciplinary field that includes history, law, economics and other parts of social sciences. By studying and analyzing migration we do not only answer the questions why people migrate and how, but also what consequences and results migration brings to the countries and their governments, how can we measure them and what can be achieved through the control over population. The first to analyze costs and benefits of migration was Larry A. Sjaastad. In his paper “The costs and returns of human migration” he states that many researchers paid attention to the forces that affect migration patterns, but little was done to analyze migration as an “equilibrating mechanism in a changing economy” [25, p.91]. Sjaastad claims the importance of viewing migration in a broader context; introduces the concept of human capital and emphasizes viewing of “migration, training and experience as investments in the human agent”[25, p.85]. He also sees migration as an efficient resource allocation system, which can be used both for the needs of the state and economy; as well as an investment increasing the productivity of human resources. Moreover, Sjaastad analyzes both public and private returns of migration, opportunity costs and “psychic” (or nonmoney) costs of migration, as well as relationship between migration and income or earnings in a particular area. His contribution into the theory of migration also includes the research on benefits of migration for migrants themselves, such as efficiency in consumption, the satisfaction derived from local preferences and 12 other private non-money returns. These factors could also be found in the latter push-and-pull theory of migration, and are very important for analyzing the migrant situation and various stimulus in contemporary China. Dr. Julian Wolpert, professor at Princeton University, in 1965 issued an article on the “Behavioural aspects of the decision to migrate”. This paper opened a behavioral approach to migration and migrants’ decision-making. Wolpert argued that the theory of gravity, as well as the wage theory of economic determinism are losing the explanatory power and cannot predict approximate migration flows. The objectives of Wolpert’s paper were to demonstrate “the potential usefulness of the migration differential approach”[32,p.160] (i.e. the interdependence of categories of occupation, income, race, age and other factors in migration behavior), as well as to provide an exact predictive tool, which uses behavioral parameters of the migrants. This approach added a new perspective on the additional influential factors in the migration studies. The next theory that attempted to explain the process of migration was the Lee model of “push-and-pull” factors. In 1966 Everett Lee published a paper “A theory of Migration” (Lee, 1966). The aim of this work was to construct a set of hypotheses within a general framework, to deepen the theoretical structure of migration studies and to “develop a general schema into which a variety of spatial movements can be placed”[14, p.48]. Everett Lee was one of the first to give a definition of migration, explain what every act of migration includes, and outline the factors which enter into the decision to migrate and the process of migration. He divided factors causing migration into “push” factors, which cause migrant to live the place of residence, and “pull” factors, that attract migrants to a new place (see appendix 1 for the Chart1: origin and destination factors and intervening obstacles in migration). Even though his “push-and-pull factors” model in general has little relevance to the research below (on hukou system and legitimacy), I would like to outline several major findings of Everett Lee in migration studies that 13 are crucially important for understanding migration and its consequences for the Chinese economy and society. Lee stated that most previous studies in migration theory have dealt with various relations between migration and distance, and concentrated on developing mathematical formulations of the relationship. He added that few studies have considered such important issues as the reasons for migration or the reasons for assimilation of the migrant at destination. Why is this important for the research on the system of population control? Migration, taken as a complex field of studies, deals not only with the movement of the people itself, but also with all kinds of prerequisites and consequences of this movement. Thus, by posing a question about the reasons for migration and assimilation, Everett Lee opened a totally new page in the migration studies: he started to develop an area of the interrelation between migration and business cycles, migration and legal structure, migration and the progress of the state, etc. Let us take a closer look at the Lee’s theory of migration. The first major finding, that is highly relevant for the research below, is related to the diversity of the area and the people. According to Lee, “a high degree of diversity among areas should result in high levels of migration”[14, p.52]. Which means, for example, that the more income disparity in country is (triggered by industrialization or other factors), the more stimulus the migrants have (to make their decision to move). In both developed and developing countries the differences between agricultural and urban areas is becoming more evident. New opportunities arise in the centers of absorption, which makes peoples’ dissatisfaction with their current place of living higher than usual. Increasing technology and communication also makes the migration easier. Lee states, that the phenomenon of increased migration is even more likely to happen in a dynamic economy, where these new opportunities are continually created. By the diversity of people, Everett Lee means not only ethnic or racial differences, but also (and what is more important for a Chinese case) the difference in social statuses, when 14 due to educational background or financial situation some groups are elevated above others. By the diversity of people, Everett Lee also means that people have different abilities in overcoming obstacles when migrating and differ from each other personally. Like in a behavioristic approach, Lee stresses out several factors related to the attitude of the migrant. He argues, “It is not so much the actual factors at origin and destination as the perception of these factors which results in migration”. Moreover, he emphasizes the role of personality in migration, stating that some people are more willing to migrate, while others are very reluctant in any conditions given. For example, highly educated people, as well as professional managers are highly mobile, often because they receive better offers and migration brings advancement. Secondly, Lee emphasizes the relation between economy and migration, or to be more exact between fluctuations in the economy (i.e. business cycles) and the volume of migration. According to the theory, changes in the economy affect the comparison of positive and negative factors for migrant both at the place of living and destination point. Which means, that during economic boost opportunities and positive factors at the destination point are heightened, bringing in turn more and more migrant waves. Therefore, the relation between migration and economy would be very important for the study below on the hukou system, as one of the goals for reforming the hukou system in China is regaining consumption force of the new migrants in economically developed areas. Moreover, Lee states “the volume and rate of migration vary with the state of progress in a country or area”, which means that in economically progressive country the population is going to be more mobile than in underdeveloped or developing countries. As the development of the economy usually brings industrial and technological development, improvements in educational and political design, it also stimulates migration flows within the country by diminution of the intervening obstacles for migration. However, Lee describes one important paradox in his research (which may as well be important for studies on Chinese 15 city migrants). When people migrate from rural areas to the cities, this movement can lower the quality of population in the cities, as the education of migrants from rural areas is less than the one of city residents (even though usually migrants are better educated than their rural residents at the original place of living). Lee’s research has brought several important findings to the studies of migration. He outlined and explained three reasons under which the migration volume tends to increase – increasing diversity of areas, increasing diversity of people and the diminution of intervening obstacles. He deepened the theoretical structure of migration studies and explained the relation between migration and other processes. During the time of his studies, internal migration started to be widely recognized as an important factor in social and economic development of the country, which in turn stimulated further research on it. Some of the scientists have developed Lee’s theory of migration in their own research. In 1971 Zelinsky, having analyzed the previous research on migration, created a “hypothesis of the mobility transition” (Zelinsky, 1971). Zelinsky has developed further Ravenstein’s laws and Lee’s hypotheses and argued that migration is an essential component of the modernization process 2. He also created the Demographic Transition Model, where he states that the type and volume of migration depends on how developed the state is. New economic theory opened the set of theories studying the interrelation of the population movement and the economy. These theories are important for analyzing hukou policies in China, as before 2005 they were mainly triggered by economic reforms and the increased demand for rural labourers in the coastal areas. The Todaro model (also called Harris-Todaro model (Harris, J.R. & Todaro, M.P., 1970)), developed in 1970, states that expected income differentials play a major role in the persons decision to move. The model assumes that inequality gap can be a major drive for the rural-urban migration (this model was used to explain «There are definite, patterned regularities in the growth of personal mobility through space-time during recent history, and these regularities comprise an essential component of the modernization process” [34, p.221] 2 16 internal migration in China). According to the Todaro model, migration is a primarily economic decision as people rationally compare the expected value of potential wages to current wages and make the decision to migrate or not. Todaro’s findings are rather important to the understanding of rural-to-urban migration in China and the way to control it. Apart from the government policies (such as hukou system), migration is heavily influenced by economical processes within the country. In addition, as Todaro mentions, several factors regarding migration should be known when taking measures to control it. Migration in the urban areas will increase if the expected urban income is increasing, and agricultural productivity decreases (decreasing the expected rural income). Additionally, when migration rates exceed job creation rates in the cities, this stimulates the informal sector growth (where people who could not find the job end up). Michael Todaro is one of the scientists who researched migration and other social and economic processes not only in the developed, but also in the developing countries. He is famous for taking a policy-oriented approach to the economic development, stating that the problems of development and underdevelopment (and migration is one of them) should be treated from an institutional and structural (noneconomic) as well as an economic perspective. He considers many economic, social and institutional problems in developing countries as closely interrelated and requiring simultaneous and coordinated approaches to their solution both from the side of the government and major financial and economic structures. His approach is very relevant to the hukou case of this research, as the reform of the hukou system in China is a major step towards sustainable economic development, and it involves not only the major problem of internal migration, but also other developmental problems, such as inequality, unemployment, population growth, population aging, poverty, etc. Oded Stark has developed further Todaro’s model in 1985 (Stark, O. & Bloom, D.E., 1985). He claimed that migration is more than the optimizing 17 behavior of migrants. He later developed this idea, stating that migration is prompted by a desire to avoid “social humiliation” [26, p. 176]. Stark has also introduced the economics of labor migration and has carried out a profound research on LDCs (Late developing countries). Main idea of the Stark’s theory can be summarized in the following statements: Wider social entities and interactions can condition migration behavior Public policy is one of the key behavioral parameters related to migration Migration is a “calculated strategy” of a household rather than act of desperation or boundless optimism Migrants often outperform the native-born in the receiving economy Heavy reliance upon “network and kinship capital” is another prominent characteristic of migrant behavior pattern; new migrants are assisted by those who have migrated earlier There is a high relation between aging and migration: aggregate migration of the population is influenced by its age distribution and the underlying basis for this relationship (thus is important for public policies which will provide incentives to migrate) INTERNAL MIGRATION CONTROL: ECONOMIC FACTORS AND STATE POLICIES Already in the classic migration theories we can see that migration is not only a field of studies that pays attention to how and why people migrate. In contemporary science migration is a much more interdisciplinary field that also explains the costs and benefits of migration, which factors affect migration most, how migration and economy, as well as migration and the state are related to each 18 other. One of the major field within migration studies is migration control, or public policy in the sphere of internal migration. Several studies recently have emphasized the importance of political science in the study of migration policy, one of them is the research by P.Freeman and Alan E. Kessler (Freeman, G. & Kessler, A., 2008). The authors argue that both economics and political science should be used in the studies of migration policy. From the economic side, the theories of labour market, empirical methods and theoretical models all can contribute to the analysis of migration policies. As for the political science, understanding of the role of states, institutions and interest groups can also be combined into political economy approach to better understand migration processes within the country. The political science dimension of this research is very important for understanding the current hukou reform changes in China. I will explain this below. First, the state in any country is mainly pursuing national interest. Therefore, migration policy can be seen as a lever between a realization of economic gains and respect for liberal values. Moreover, state approach migration in terms of its effect on national security and economic viability. In addition, while applying migration policies, state has to take into consideration all of the interest groups involved, as the negative influence on one of them can undermine state legitimacy. If we take a case of China and migration control in China, there is only one lever that can be effectively used by government: hukou system. If we take the period from 1980s to 2000s, hukou system was mainly used for the economic gains of the country. But after 2005, when the GDP started to stabilize and eventually fall, the government had to use hukou system for other reasons, such as satisfying interest groups and decreasing social tensions. In my opinion, the theory of Freeman and Kessler seems to most closely explain the processes of hukou evolution and reforms in China, therefore I am going to base my analysis on this theory. 19 CHAPTER 2. HUKOU SYSTEM AS A DETERMINANT OF STATE LEGITIMACY In this chapter I am switching to the main analytical part of my research. First, I am going to analyze the concept of legitimacy and its constituents, as well as explain why legitimacy in China is different from other countries, especially democratic ones. Second, I am going to simultaneously analyze hukou reforms, migration pattern changes and state policies (related to internal migration, urbanization and inequality) during the economic reform period (1978 – 2005). Third, I am going to analyze the same structures and policies in the transition period (2005 – 2012). And finally, I am going to compare these two periods and explain how the status of hukou system has changed from 1978 to 2012 and the way it has an effect on state legitimacy in China during this period, and especially after 2005. LEGITIMACY AND ITS CONSTITUENTS. CHINESE CASE Legitimacy generally can be explained as a rightfulness of the state to govern its people. According to Bruce Gilley, “a state is more legitimate the more that it is treated by its citizens as rightfully holding and exercising political power” [10, p. 501]. There exist two concepts of legitimacy: descriptive and normative. The former concept emphasizes the role of people’s beliefs about political authority and political obligations. According to this concept, legitimacy depends on people’s expectations, perceptions and beliefs that the state authority has the right to rule. The normative concept of political legitimacy is usually related to the justification of authority. It explains that legitimacy justifies the exercise of coercive power and creates an obligation to obey. That concept argues that coercive power is necessary for the collective solution of certain problems for people leaving in the same territory. There are several principles (called “sources”) under which legitimacy exists. First, “consent of those governed is a necessary condition for the legitimacy of political authority” [6, p.2]. Second, political legitimacy depends on the 20 principle of utility (beneficial consequences and happiness of the citizens).And the third principle is called “public reason” or “public approval”. It can be better explained using Rawl’s quotation: “political power is legitimate only when it is exercised in accordance with a constitution (written or unwritten) the essentials of which all citizens, as reasonable and rational, can endorse in the light of their common human reason” [21, p.41]. States that lack legitimacy try to sustain their power by other means (such as military control), but that makes them vulnerable as they eventually lose public support. On the other hand, states that invest in effective governance and performance and possess the ability for self-correctness can keep people’s support for a longer period. The government that follows the principles of legitimacy creates an incentive for everyone to obey the directives of a legitimate authority. In order to analyze hukou system and the way it affect legitimacy, I am going to first analyze what factors can determine legitimacy in general, or, in other words, how we can measure legitimacy in the country. There are several characteristics using which we can measure legitimacy, such as surveys of political system support, crime levels, views of effectiveness of political institutions, etc. However, the factors that affect people’s decision and attitude in non-democratic countries are sometimes very different from the democratic ones. I will illustrate this by an example. According to the research on legitimacy measurements carried out by Bruce Gilley (Gilley, B., 2006), China is ranked 13th in the world (meaning that legitimacy is very high in China). But if we take other two countries out of the first 13 (Denmark – 1st place, USA – 8th place) and compare them all together, we can see that important factors influencing legitimacy, such as government effectiveness and political stability, scored differently for the developed and developing countries, democratic and non-democratic regimes. 21 Picture 1. Political stability and government effectiveness for China, Denmark and United States (Source: World Bank Governance Indicators) I am giving this example not to say that the government is not effective in PRC, but to explain that legitimacy in China (as a non-democratic country) is supported by different factors than in USA and Denmark. In China, where the government is not chosen through the process of elections and people do not have a freedom of speech (in a sense western democratic states have), there are other ways to support the ruling government or express negative opinions. As Yuchao Zhu states, “China’s pertinent governing policies are not designed to convince the West that the regime enjoys political legitimacy, but to first and foremost convince 22 the Chinese people that the government is doing the right things and therefore has the right to rule” [35, p.125]. In China government does not rely on the election procedures or conventional democratic means to maintain its legitimacy. So what can CCP government do to convince the people that their regime is righteous? First, Chinese government relies on accomplishing concrete goals. It is no longer a revolutionary regime, and its main aim is to satisfy public needs through economic performance and higher level of service. Second, the government maintains its legitimacy through policy alterations. When Hu Jiantao and Wen Jiabao came to power, they pronounced people-centered approach to build a harmonious society. Therefore, certain changes were implemented in government policies related to social stratification, modernization and governance to convince Chinese people that current government has the right to rule. Thus, the government in China does not need to obtain legitimacy through democratic means; much more important threats to legitimacy in China are governance failures and social uprisings that undermine political stability. As increased internal migration has been one of the major concerns for Chinese government during the last decades, one of the major governance failure in the foreseeable future can be the inability to effectively manage the population according to political and economic needs. Therefore, Hukou system as a major institution in controlling internal migration plays an essential role as one of the determinants of state legitimacy in China. In this research I assume that hukou system, as one of structural systems in China is a major determinant of government legitimacy. Moreover, hukou system encloses many interests groups, whose opinion is important for political stability, economical development and state legitimacy in China. Already at this time, Chinese government is facing a responsibility to satisfy several distinctive interest groups with different demands. The increasing middle 23 class is actively insisting on the freedom of movement; first and second generation of city migrants want to achieve their social and residential rights; and city residents want their jobs, wages, health care to be protected. I am going to analyze a series of hukou system reforms (1980-2012), groups involved and changes within the hukou system to identify whether hukou system is used not only for simple registration reasons, but also for economic and what is more important political reasons, such as to sustain political stability, maintain the current regime and satisfying the needs of interest groups. I will also try to predict a future course of reforms. In order to follow the chronological line, I am enclosing a table with major political and economical events, CCP leaders and annual GDP from 1978 to 2014. Please find the detailed explanation in Appendix 4 (1978-2014: State characteristics) HUKOU. IMPORTANCE OF THE HOUSEHOLD REGISTRATION What is hukou? Hukou (as translated from Chinese 户口, hùkǒu) is an abbreviation for a longer term “households and population” (住户和人口, zhùhù hé rénkǒu). The term itself has several meanings in mainland China, which I am going to list below: officially registered permanent residence of the person in PRC (also called 户籍,hùjí3) a family registration record (also called 户口簿,hùkǒubù) a household registration system itself In this research, I am going to use the term “hukou” for its first meaning, as a synonym of official household registration related to one person. The second meaning will not be used in this work, but I will stress out that the record of registration itself is issued per family in China (the household includes all 3 hùjí might also refer to the census register (the book containing records) 24 members of the family). Instead of the third meaning, I am going to use the term “hukou system”, which means household registration system in PRC (introduced in 1958)4. After birth, each person in China is assigned with a hukou. It records individual’s identity, including date of birth, name, gender, ethnicity, spouse and other factors among which city of residence is the most important. The document also includes the type of hukou (agricultural or non-agricultural)5. Picture 2, 3. Example of “agricultural” hukou 4 5 For the further definitions please refer to Appendix 1: Terminology For the pictures of Hukou please refer to Appendix 2: Hukou (photo) 25 What the hukou defines? Hukou has two major status characteristics that define the life of every individual in PRC: hukou “type” (户口类别,hùkǒu leìbié) and hukou “place” ( 户口所在地,hùkǒu suǒzàidì)6. According to the hukou “type” people are divided into agricultural and non-agricultural population, and according to the hukou “place” people can be local residents and those who do not possess the local hukou. The hukou “type” is inherited by children, therefore a child from a family with the “agricultural” hukou cannot possess “non-agricultural” hukou at birth. However, there is a possibility to change a hukou through the process of nongzhuanfei (农转非,nóngzhuǎnfēi), when a person simultaneously changes the place of hukou registration and the “type” of hukou (from agricultural to nonagricultural). A Chinese person would have to complete an application process and receive approval from the region’s authorities. The authorities make a decision based on evaluating applicant’s education, occupation, and work experience. The process is not always smooth and might take up to several years. There are also other ways of changing a person’s hukou status. It can usually happen through marriage (if the spouse is from a different city), working abroad (and getting a status of “foreign specialist”), purchasing an expensive property (or investing large sum of money into local economy), becoming a specialist in highdemand industry, etc. Hukou. Importance of the household registration. The hukou brings certain benefits and disadvantages for its holder. First, let us look at the privileges, that rural (agricultural) or urban (non-agricultural) hukou has. Rural hukou entitles the holder with the access to land. Depending on the type of land possessed, the person can use construction land, farmland or 6 Please refer to Appendix 1: Terminology for the more detailed explanation 26 contracted forestland. Urban hukou, on the other hand brings the variety of social entitlements, which usually includes pension, medical care, education and other public services. As for the disadvantages, they start when a rural resident tries to move to an urban area, or when a person registered in one city or town moves to another place in the country for a long-term stay. Living in a place without possessing the local hukou brings up all the limitations of hukou system. For example, the rural migrant living in a city can not use medical care (except for the very simple treatment), is not allowed to take a loan for a car or mortgage for an apartment or any other property. Usually, these people are also discriminated by the big companies, who put a requirement to hire people with local hukou. Moreover, migrant children are left out of both educational system and medical help. Children can only get public education at the place of their registration, but when they get to the new city and become non-locals, their only choice is private schools if their parents can afford it. If not, then these children go to migrant schools, with a usually poor level of education and professionalism. As for the medical help, both migrants and their children eventually go into one of the many “migrant” clinics, the only place where they can get help. Of course, all these limitations are not relevant for people with enough money, who can afford private schools, medical care, pay for the property in cash or invest into the city economy and get a local hukou. But as the number of these people is relatively small, compared to the total amount of migrants, this research will not take the former (rich) citizens into consideration. 27 CHAPTER 3. HUKOU SYSTEM REFORM: THE STRUCTURAL AND INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE THE EVOLUTION OF HUKOU POLICIES AND INTERNAL MIGRATION IN CHINA. Periods of classification: Period 1 (1949 – 1977). The era of planned economy Period 2 (1978 – 2000). The era of economic reforms Period 3 (2001 – Nowadays). The era of structural changes The evolution of hukou policies in China The main aim of this paper is to analyze the the hukou system and the significance of hukou reforms for government legitimacy as well as to track how the government uses hukou system to sustain the current regime. The following chapter tries to describe the process of hukou policies development in China and analyze what major changes have been implemented within hukou system since 1958 until 2001 and why. Moreover, one of the main tasks of the periodical analysis is also to understand how the changes in the hukou policy have influenced internal migration and situation in the cities, as well as overall economic and political development. Periods of classification In the following chapters the process of migration and government policy in the sphere of migration are divided into different time periods (chronologically from 1949 until nowadays). Main factors that influenced this division were major changes in the general government policy of the PRC such as the change of the political and economic course. Based on such changes, this research points out three major periods: The era of planned economy under Mao Zedong, including several years after his death (1949-1978); 28 The Deng Xiaoping’s era of economic reforms (1978 – 2005); The new economic and political era defined by major structural changes in Chinese society (2005 and later). The further descriptions of each period and major migration policies implemented within this period are provided below. PERIOD 1 (1949 – 1977). THE ERA OF PLANNED ECONOMY The first period continues from the foundation of PRC in 1949 until the reforms in 1978. This period is characterized by the following factors and processes: Established system, which can be characterized as “public- ownership-cum-planned economy socialist model” [30, p.61] Steady growth, per capita GDP has changed from 500$ to In general, the level of economic development and average 1000$ income remained low (by the end of this period China was a poor country with a per capita income 182$) Almost everything was equally distributed: state provided education and healthcare, as well as rationed food and clothes (by using coupons, etc.) Main goal of the government was to use limited surplus on the development of key industries and social policy Most of the migration during the period from 1949 to 1978 was planned migration (controlled by the government). People were mainly sent from the more developed eastern cities to new development areas, construction and agriculture projects in Northeast, West and Southwest. As it was forced migration, some part of the population was reluctant to be relocated to other areas. At that time main goal of the government was to promote economic development in the inland regions, therefore main migration directions were from the East to central and 29 western regions (main destinations included Heilongjiang, Inner Mongolia, Yunnan, Xinjiang and Hainan island). As for the scale of migration, it is better to refer to Shen Jianfa who mentions that “according to estimation by Hu & Zhang (1984), there were about 25 million net inter-provincial migrations in the period 1950-1979”[23, p.3]. In the beginning of the period there was no strict control over migration. But as the speed of rural-to-urban migration exceeded the pace of the industrialization in the country, government took abrupt measures to control the masses movement. In 1958 nationwide hukou system was introduced. It was administered by the Ministry of Public security and functioned as the main tool for controlling the flows of population within the country (migration control and population registration). Up until the late 1970s it was also one of the key tools for central planning. The hukou system divided people into two types: agricultural population and non-agricultural population. The process of conversion from agricultural to nonagricultural type of hukou (called “Nongzhuanfei”) which defined rural-to-urban migration was tightly controlled and it was almost impossible to change the type and place of hukou. Those possessing the non-agricultural hukou were entitled to certain rights, such as social welfare, housing, education, employment, etc. PERIOD 2 (1978 – 2001). THE ERA OF ECONOMIC REFORMS During this period China experienced a miraculous development, with the average GDP growth of 9.6 percent and annual growth in international trade reaching 16.3 percent; per capita income rose steadily from 1000$ to 4000$ [17, p.47]. Planned economy evolved into a market economy, main goal shifted to increasing private income and consumption, resulting in the new “get rich first” policy, when people were trying to create wealth and acquire capital by all possible means. Poverty was also significantly alleviated during this time: since the reform period, more than 600 million people [15, p.12] have escaped poverty. 30 But with the economic growth, income inequality, also called the gap between rich and poor, became one of the most visible indicators of Chinese society development, and the social protection that characterized the previous period of planned economy was almost fully destroyed (the problem of social security emerged on a new level). As Mark Leonard states, “China has gone from being one of the most equal countries in the world to a nation with a bigger gap between rich and poor than the United States” [15, p.13]. In order to pursue high speed of economic development, China in most of the cases ignored healthcare, environmental protection, social justice, human rights, etc. As Xiao Bin argues: “In particular, the environment has been damaged, the rights of workers (especially migrant workers) have been neglected, and the three gaps (that is, between different districts, between the cities and the villages, and between the rich and the poor) have become wider and wider” [33, p.35]. Picture 4, Migration flows in China (1990-2005) 31 Source: Chan, K.W., 2008. “Internal Labor Migration in China: Trends, Geographical Distribution and Policies,” In order to foster economic development of the country a new coastal development strategy was adopted in the 1980s. This strategy had an enormous impact on migration trends, as rapid economic growth of the new developing areas brought many opportunities for migrants from less developed areas. Due to the fast economic development of special economic zones (1979), open coastal cities (1984), open economic areas (1985), Pudong new district (1990) and other parts of China after 1994, the directions of migration has changed (compared to the previous period): migrants started to move from western and central regions to the East. Top destinations with the largest temporary population included Guagdong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong, Fujian and Liaoning (not to mention cities like Beijing and Shanghai) As many rural residents had little chance to find a decent job and earn a living in the villages, they left their places of birth and moved to the big cities for better job opportunities. However, due to the existing hukou system limitations these peasants were put at a disadvantage in the cities to which they moved and lacked any social rights as they did not possess the local hukou. The combination of hukou identity and status regulations has contributed to the poor status of migrants. According to Shen Jianfa “They are particularly vulnerable to exploitation by employers but also find themselves outside the reach of social safety nets provided to other workers because of their status as temporary migrants” [25, p. 237]. Therefore, this created a precondition for all kind of discriminations towards migrant workers, such as underpayment, poor working conditions, absence of the contract, etc. 32 Picture 5, Migration flows in China (1995-2000) Source: Chan, K.W., 2008. “Internal Labor Migration in China: Trends, Geographical Distribution and Policies,” Main factor that stimulated migration during this period was rapid economic development that created many job opportunities in the cities and new economic zones for people from undeveloped regions. Increasing gap in regional development among eastern, central and western regions significantly influenced inter-provincial migration in China. Even though institutional factor (changes and reforms in the hukou system, mainly relaxation of the system) can be considered influential at the beginning of the reforms, later it played a less obvious role in forming migration trends and directions, as greater influence came from the side of market-driven economy. However, the registration of the temporary population that was introduced in 1985 has made the migration from rural areas to the urban areas significantly easier. This reform open gates for many rural migrants and 33 stimulated the formation of temporary population in urban areas of the PRC. Overall, the temporary population in China has increased from 6.1 million to 39.6 million in the period 1982-1990 (National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2006). According to the Population Census, “In 2000, urban areas in China had a temporary population of 113.4 million, accounting for 78.6% of the total temporary population” (National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2002). After 2000 the temporary population who left their hukou registration places for more than half a year was defined as usual residents in their destinations [23, p.5]. Reforms (1980 – 2001) 80s: general characteristic. The main tendency of the 80s was a start of work migration, and especially rural-to-urban migration, due to the rapid economic development and higher salaries at the newly developed economic areas and big coastal cities. The hukou system was gradually loosening during the whole period stimulating urbanization and economic development. 1980 Starting from the year 1980, Ministry of public security in China implemented a new policy of “nongzhuanfei”. There were cases of conversion from rural to urban citizens before, but not on a large scale and all of them were strictly controlled by the government. That year was a starting date for a massive hukou reform program that continues for more than 30 years, up until now. Also in 1980 first relaxation of the system within the “nongzhuanfei” reform framework was introduced: spouses of professional and technical cadres moving to the city could accompany their partners and receive government-provided ration. This reform was issued by the Ministry of Public Security (公安部、粮食部、国 家人事局联合, 1980), and the main aim was to resolve the problem of family separation and food rationing. However, the strict control over urban population growth remained, as the cadres mentioned above should have constituted no more 34 than 2% of local non-agricultural hukou holders. This reform shows the first signs of the economic needs of the country: government needed cadres in the cities to boost economy, so they started to adjust hukou system to achieve these goals. 1984 Following the economic reforms, many cities in China became a much more comfortable place to live. Certain peasants, who had a choice to go to the city, already did not want to go back to the village as the life in the city gave more rewards and profits. There has been more and more discussions about the old registration system and incentives for the change. Finally, the government has also realized that the system prevented the economy to use rural qualified and unqualified labour in a most efficient way. Therefore, a new set of reforms was introduced. In 1984 the State Council has issued a new notice on farmers settling into town (国务院, 1984). Those rural residents, who had a place of living in the cities and an operating business, or those who were long-term employees of the companies, were entitled by the Ministry of Public Security to receive a local hukou, with the only difference that it was a self-rationing hukou. According to this reform self-sustainable farmers could move their rations into the city. After this reform more than 4 million people have attained a self-rationing hukou (中国 统计年鉴, 1984-1986). Moreover, from 1984 to 1988 this reform has provided to the city non-agricultural population more than 46 million people (殷志静、郁奇虹 , 1996). Here we can see that this reform is a response not only to the economical, but also to the social situation. Without doubt government needed cheap labour to boost further the economy of developing cities and economic areas, but the current set of reform was also a response to the existing social process, as many of rural residents desperately wanted to stay in the city and continue the life of a city 35 resident. Due to this reform, not only professional workers, but also ordinary rural residents got the access to the city. 1989 Several years after the reform, Chinese governance was very close to the structural failure. As all the food rationing (‘iron rice bowl”) in the cities was still provided by the state, cities have received an increased pressure from the new coming rural laborers. In 1989 State Council issued a notice on strict control of the excessive growth of rural residents in the cities (国务院, 1989). This measure has tightened the number of people allowed to move to the city and brought the migration back under the strict control of central government. Certain number of rural residents were forced to move back to the villages. This reform shows that at that time Chines government was afraid of loosening city borders and letting the population to freely settle in. Moreover, uncontrolled rural-to-urban migration was not yet properly adjusted to the national economy development and needed reconsideration. In my opinion, the government has pursued several goals while carrying out this reform. First, it had to restrict migration in order to cut the expenses of the state budget (for the food rationing). Second, it had to as much as possible avoid the discontent of urban citizens and those who were already securely dependent on the urban food rationing. Third, the hukou reform was a newly-launched “project” which had to be within the state developmental goals. Fourth, the economic reforms in the country have already increased inflation and corruption, as well as triggered a set of social protests, therefore the government had to strictly control any movement in order to prevent any further social instability and movement of “dangerous social elements”. 90s: general characteristic Starting from the 1990s Hukou has been gradually included into the agenda of the national reforms, especially after the government has liberalized oil and grain prices and rid out of food and oil stamps. Market economy stimulated 36 urbanization and vice versa, therefore the government has started to pay increased attention to the structural changes of hukou system. 1992 Rapid national economic development still demanded new investments and new labour. In 1992 a new series of hukou reforms was put into actions. In spring Central government has introduced a new way of getting an urban hukou – purchase. The practice of purchasing urban hukou has been tested before in a Tianchang city (Anhui province) for more than 5 years and turned out to be very successful (the city population has increased from more 1 thousand to over 30 thousand people). The new way of getting a hukou has solved two major governance problems in the cities – lack of financial resources and lack of labour. When a person purchased hukou, money went to the local government, thus investing and stimulating local economy. Therefore, this way of “nongzhuanfei” process has become quite popular all over China. In October same year the Ministry of Public Security has issued a notice on the implementation of effective urban household system. Directly after the notice, the new system of purchasing hukou was implemented as a pilot project in the major provinces, such as Guangdong, Zhejiang, Hubei, Shanxi, Shandong and others (“blue-stamp” hukou program). In 1992 only the country has sold urban hukou for more than 10 billion rmb. The commercialization of hukou has allowed local governments to restructure themselves and put more money into the development of the cities. Moreover, it was a new level of mobility freedom (even if purchased for money). In my opinion, at least on the initial stage this reform was a win-win solution for the migration and city development problem. 1992 is a major turning point in the whole process of hukou system reforms, as starting from 1992 hukou system reform has been gradually included into the agenda of reforms. In 1992 the State council has developed further the hukou 37 reform, setting up a subcommittee to draft the household registration program. In march 1992 National People’s Congress (NPC) submitted a proposal on hukou system policy decision (全国人大, 1992). The proposal included suggestions to restructure current household registration system, as it failed to control the distribution and size of the labor force in the country as well as urban population. The proposal by the National People’s Congress also announced to unify national accounts, introduce a new household registration law system and stimulate people’s freedom of movement before the end of the 20 th century. Major reform objectives included introduction of a new unified account, cancellation of “agricultural” and “non-agricultural” restrictions, implementation of equal social treatment, etc. Main reform goal was to achieve citizens’ freedom of movement and equality of identification. At the provincial level, most of the officials were consistent for the cancellation of the dual household registration system and supporting unified national resident accounts. Unfortunately the reform took place only partially, and Chinese people are still (as for 2014) waiting for the promised freedom of movement. Already this attempt is showing us how deep hukou system is rooted in the Chinese society and how many structural and institutional changes should be introduced to change it. 1993 In June 1993 a draft of the household registration system reform was introduced. The main aim of this document was to promote a formation of the Household Registration Law until the end of the century. The reform of the 1992 started to evolve into a series of changes in the cities all over China. The main institutional changes from now on and until 2005-2008 happened on the provincial and city level. 1997 After several years of pilot projects, in 1997 the State council has issued a program “regarding the reform of household registration system in small towns” 38 ( 国 务 院 , 1997), allowing certain rural hukou holders to obtain a permanent residence in the city (if they were employed and met certain conditions). 2000 The reform of hukou system in small cities was further promoted in 2000, when the State council has issued his opinion “regarding the promotion of healthy development of small cities” ( 国 务 院 , 2000), when additional measures for becoming a city resident were introduced. Results of the reforms (1980-2000) So why during the reforms of 1980s-2000s the freedom of movement hasn’t been achieved? One of the reasons is that government itself is afraid to let masses of Chinese to change their places of residents within the country, as it might increase public discontent, create urban slums, and give even more power to local government and businesses, which will stimulate personal gains and interests and not strategic development. Moreover, during this period hukou system mainly served the execution of industrialization strategy, therefore migration still remained highly regulated. Any changes in hukou system during this period served the central or local state interests and policies. PERIOD 3 (2001 – NOWADAYS). THE ERA OF STRUCTURAL CHANGES The third period can be described as a “stage of moderate prosperity” [30, p.63]. Since 2001 several improvements in the sphere of human security, healthcare and other public goods were made (for example, a minimum income scheme that was introduced in 2001, or healthcare system reform). Currently, China is considered a middle-income country with a per capita GDP of over 5400$ (World Bank, 2012) in 2011. As there is no urgent demand for alleviating people from poverty or feeding and clothing the population, the main goal of this period has shifted towards the development of public goods and services as well as further improvement of the Chinese society’s welfare level. 39 Another important direction of the Chinese development during this stage is reorientation of the economy. As Xiao Bin states: “the challenge now is to make a transition from an economic growth model that is oriented towards external resources to one that is oriented towards internal resources, and from a market economy that is government-led to one that is based on the rule of law.” [33, p.35] The recent ILO report justifies Xiao Bin’s point of view: “GDP growth in China decelerated from 8.9 per cent at the end of 2011 to 8.1 per cent in the first quarter of 2012 and 7.6 per cent in the second quarter of 2012 due to falling external demand and the unwinding of initial policy response measures to the global financial crisis” [12, p.16]. Other goals for Chinese government include reorientation towards social justice in internal policy and high-value-added production for the domestic consumption instead of the export-dependent economy. Picture 6. China GDP 2004-2012 Source: World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files. Annual GDP Growth. These changes in the society development resulted in certain government policies. For instance, “in March 2011, the Chinese People’s Congress officially announced the 12th Five Year Plan and made “changing the pattern of economic 40 growth to improve the livelihood of the people” the new pillar of China’s economic and social policy.” [4,p.27] Picture 7, Migration flows in China (2000-2005) Source: Chan, K.W., 2008. “Internal Labor Migration in China: Trends, Geographical Distribution and Policies,” After 2001 migration trend is still continuing but with the slower pace. According to Jianfa Shen “The growth rates of temporary population in the eastern and western regions slowed down in 2000-2005. The growth rate of the central region caught up the growth rate of the eastern region closely in this period” [23, p.6]. Such provinces as Guangdong, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Fujian and Shandong become top destinations for in-migration, whereas most of the migrants come from still not enough developed Sichuan, Anhui, Hunan, Hubei and some other regions. 41 It is interesting that some provinces did not provide a lot of migrants and could not establish a strong migration link with the eastern coastal regions (therefore not every poor province is a donor of migrants). There is also another interesting migration trend, as after 2008 many labour migrants started to migrate back to their original place of residence. The main reason for this movement of population is comparative price of living and working in coastal area and at home. As the salaries in remote (and earlier underdeveloped) regions, such as Sichuan and Hunan start to grow, the comparative benefits of working at home bring more returnees back. This is also a future challenge for the government: how to effectively manage hukou system to sustain a certain number of labor migrants in the developed coastal region (as most of the factories located there rely on the migrant labor forces). However, temporary population expanded greatly to 109.0 million and 149.4 million in 2000 and 2005 respectively (National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2006). For example, as Mark Leonard mentions in his article, “only three million of the 15 million people who work in Guangzhou every day are officially registered inhabitants” [15, p.14]. Major changes in the migration policies are happening on a local, in most of the cases city level. The examples of Shanghai, Guangdong, Chengdu and Chongqing will be analyzed below. Reforms (2001 – 2012) The main tendency of the modern times is changes on the local level. Recently, various local governments of municipalities have made it easier for outstanding skilled or better educated migrants to get a local hukou (if they can demonstrate regular income and regular place of living). The policies differ between the cities in the following way: it is easier to get a hukou of a middle-level city, than a metropolis like Shanghai or Beijing, but the social package and social benefits will also be less attractive in small and middle-size cities. 42 2008 In October 2008, the Central Committee has published an act “regarding the development of rural reform and other major issues” (中央, 2008). The main aim of this act was to promote the reform of household registration system and relax the conditions to settle in small and medium-size cities, therefore promoting smooth transition of rural residents into urban residents. 2010 In the late 2000s, major large cities, such as Shanghai, Chongqing, etc. have undertaken municipality-level hukou reforms. Shanghai and Guangdong introduced a residence permit point-based system depending on various factors. For Shanghai, the most important criteria were university degree, special skills or investment capability; residence permit holders were entitled to apply for the local hukou after 7 years of social insurance contributions. For Guangdong the reform process was different: the new policy was aimed at reducing the gap between city hukou holders and migrant workers, giving the latter a chance of settling in the city. The main process of obtaining the hukou was called 七年入户 (“Seven years entering the local hukou system”). In Chengdu the reform favored owners of the local property as well as university graduates. The distinctive feature of the reform in Chengdu is that it allowed urban and rural hukou holders to have equal rights to public education. Chengdu government announced in 2010 that its main aim was to unify rural and urban hukou systems to let local migrants get either temporary or permanent residence permit. The case of Chengdu is considered the most ambitious in terms of the hukou policy changes and is often investigated by Chinese ministries to analyze whether it can be replicated in other cities. Another city, Chongqing, introduced several hukou reforms in 2010 in order to turn more than 10 million (Ulrich J., Hoosain A., Zou L., 2012) rural hukou 43 holders into urban citizens by 2020. Due to this reform, farmers became eligible for pension benefits, housing, employment, education and healthcare benefits in exchange for residential and farming land rights as well as forest land. It was reported, that by the end of 2011 3,2 million people have gained urban hukou status (Ulrich J., Hoosain A., Zou L., 2012). The main aim of this hukou experiment was to decrease the gap between urban and rural development through the local reform of the hukou system and to introduce a new land exchange scheme (when peasants were given access to capital, but in exchange they had to give up owned or contracted land). Cui Zhiyuan in his article “the Chongqing experiment: the way forward for China?” describes Chongqing mainly as a model for development that could show the way out of several economic and political problems for other cities and provinces. The main essence of Chongqing “integration of rural and urban development” lies in the following household registration reform: anyone who has worked in the city for more than five years was allowed to change the household registration from rural residence to urban residence. This local political step can be defined as a positive trend in the local migration policy. It allows not only welleducated or rich people to get a hukou, but gives opportunity for all rural residents. Moreover, this reform protects the most vulnerable group of migrants (rural-tourban migrants) and gives them new rights as city inhabitants. Even though this step was only locally implemented, it is claimed that about two million [4, p.29] farmers and their families benefited from it. Even though the reform was quite successful, it has not fully relieved the pressure of migrant workers and work migration in general. First, in many cases this reform was an attempt to take back farmers land (for government and private use). Second, it was still difficult for poor and uneducated people to obtain a city residence permit, as the point system was mainly oriented towards wealthy and educated people. And finally, as the reform was biased towards elite and not 44 towards the main moving migrant population, it has not solved the main question of the dual status of Chinese citizens. Results of the reforms (2001-Nowadays) The period of reforms after 2001 has several major characteristics, according to which the course of the reforms has shifted to a different direction. Most of the reforms before 2001 were economic-related. The GDP was increasing year by year, the government as well as state and private enterprises needed the inflow of new migrants into the cities, and therefore many restrictions for the migrants were relaxed or canceled. After 2005 the situation has changed: the government policy has been shifted towards the development of harmonious society (instead of rapid economic growth), GDP started to gradually decrease and social tensions in the country became more common due to legitimacy crisis. In addition, the hukou reform program started to appear on a 5-year plan agenda. If we look at the course of the reforms after 2001 we will notice the following distinctions from the previous period: Most of the reforms happened on the municipal or provincial level The government acknowledged the problem of labor migrants, therefore in several cities main goal of the reform was to decrease inequality gap between city residents and migrant workers (in terms of residence permit, education, healthcare, etc.) Certain reforms were aimed at decreasing the gap between urban and rural development (Chongqing). This is also a new trend in hukou system reforms, as most of the earlier changes were mainly related to the economic development of coastal cities and special economic zones, but not the rural areas 45 Several local reforms gave opportunities for all rural residents (instead of just educated or well-off ones) to get a city hukou in exchange for their land rights. According to the new developmental agenda, the tasks of the state have also changed. Instead of economic development and export orientation, the state now is mainly promoting reorientation of consumption and increased usage of internal resources. Due to this, the government tries to reach new “Urban million” – first and second generation of migrants living in the cities in order to make them the new consumers. Moreover, the state is confronted with increased social instability and has to tackle the prolem of inequality (rural-urban gap) and legitimacy. As migrants are becoming a new voting and consuming force, migration management (especially through the hukou system) is becoming vitally important for sustaining government legitimacy. The main objectives here are to convert first and second generation of migrants into loyal consumers, ease social unrest and provide social benefits, wages and citizenship rights for the rising second generation of city migrants. Moreover, the migration pattern in the recent years has also changed. As the rural hukou and access to land is becoming more and more valuable, many migrants who used to work in the eastern coastal provinces are returning to their villages and cities in the inland China. The aim of the government nowadays is not only to keep and support migrants in the coastal areas, but also to develop the inland cities and villages by giving certain incentives to returning and new-coming migrants. As China stepped into the period of rapid urbanization and the amount of people living in the cities is already higher than those living in the villages, one of the major government concerns is also how to decrease the possibility of cityrelated problems. For example, traffic congestions, housing shortage, increasing unemployment, increasing poverty and high crime rates. Hukou system is considered to be one of the major instruments in tackling and controlling these problems. 46 However, despite of the recent reforms, the free movement of people is still not on the agenda or anywhere near its practical realization. The household registration law is not fully published and put into practice yet, as well as the division of Chinese society into two classes still exists. The main question for the future government to solve would still be the expected freedom of movement between the cities and rural areas. In this research I assume that hukou system in China is a major determinant of government legitimacy. I argue that changes in hukou system, especially in the latest period (2012) reflect the government need to get public approval (of the majority of population) and support of current political regime. If we restate the main principles of political legitimacy, the main goals of hukou reform nowadays are as stated below: To reach population’s consent on the course of hukou reforms. Nowadays, the government is not as almighty as it used to be during maoist era. Chinese population has also changed – there are more than 150 billionaires, the middle class has evolved during the last decades, therefore government is more aware of possible public discontent. Hukou system encloses many interest groups, whose opinion is important for political stability, economical development and state legitimacy in China. Chinese government is facing a responsibility to satisfy these distinctive interest groups with different demands. The increasing middle class is actively insisting on the freedom of movement; first and second generation of city migrants want to achieve their social and residential rights; and city residents want their jobs, wages, health care to be protected. The same refers to the principle of “utility”. Government has to adjust hukou reforms the way it will be beneficial for all the interest groups involved (bringing mutual benefitial consequences for most of them) 47 And finally, the reforms should seem reasonable and rational for the majority of population. These includes further developing the freedom of movement, protecting citizens’ rights for education, healthcare, pension as well as contributing to the city and rural sustainable development. 48 CONCLUSION This paper outlines the development of hukou policies in the PRC and analyzes what role hukou system plays nowadays. It states, that up until 1978 hukou system was a tool of a command economy, serving the goal of controlling the population movement. With the reforms of opening the hukou system started to change and give more possibilities for migrant workers to stay in the city via using temporary resident permits or getting an urban hukou through various point-based systems. In recent times hukou reforms have descended to the local governments’ level: the paper illustrates the cases of Chongqing, Chengdu, Shanghai and Guangdong, where various changes were implemented. In the end, the research emphasizes the role of the hukou system in the development of the state as one the main mechanism of the country’s reorientation towards domestic demand. According to the analysis of 1980-2012 reforms, the hukou system proves its role as an instrument to: • control unwanted internal migration (e.g. by giving quotas in middle- size cities instead of Beijing, Shanghai, etc.) • control urbanization (preventing creation of urban slums and rising discontent) • acquire more regime supporters by satisfying the needs of interest groups (e.g. companies, seeking employees, city residents, migrants,etc.) • introduce structural changes in the society to cope with rising inequality and other social issues Hukou system has changed its role within different political periods, but it has always served government goals and played as a key tool for migration control. Nowadays, the question of reforming the hukou system is of vital importance for current Chinese government to sustain its efficiency and legitimacy, as well as guarantee stable political and economic development of the country. 49 However, the hukou reform so far has not created sufficient conditions for free migration. Even though the National People’s Congress has announced achievement of free migration in less than 20 years, it still seems to be more a theoretical prospect than a practical implementation. New measures and restructures are needed to replace the old institutions with regard to migration management due to economic and social demand. However, a replacement of old institutions will cause political and social opposition from the existing interest groups. The government has to simultaneously satisfy rising middle class, migrant population and the elite. The only possible solution is to introduce a set of partial reforms that may be able to win majority support each time. 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(2011). “Performance Legitimacy” and China’s Political Adaptation Strategy”, Journal of Chinese Political Science, Volume 16, Issue 2 , pp 123-140. 56 36. 中央政府门户网站 (2009)。“广州市简化办理蓝印户口转 常 住 户 口 手 续 ” URL= <http://www.gov.cn/fwxx/sh/2009- 07/21/content_1370434.htm>. 37. 殷志静、郁奇虹(1996).中国户籍改革,中国政法大学出版 社,20-25. 38. 财经网(2013)。“中国或改革户籍制 推行居住证制度”, 2013 年 03 月 , URL= <http://economy.caijing.com.cn/2013-03- 07/112570839.html>. 39. 财经网(2013)。“国务院:年内出台居住证管理办法 推进 户籍改革” , 2013 年 05 月 URL= <http://economy.caijing.com.cn/2013-0507/112748749.html>. 57 Appendix 1 Lee’s Theory of Migration FACTORS IN THE ACT OF MIGRATION The factors which enter into the decision to migrate and the process of migration may be summarized under four headings, as follows: 1. Factors associated with the area of origin. 2. Factors associated with the area of destination. 3. Intervening obstacles. 4. Personal factors. The first three of these are indicated schematically in Chart 1. In every area there are countless factors which act to hold people within the area or attract people to it, and there are others which tend to repel them. These are shown in the diagram as + and - signs. There are others, shown as O's, to which people are essentially indifferent. Some of these factors affect most people in much the same way, while others affect different people in different ways. Thus a good climate is attractive and a bad climate is repulsive to nearly everyone; but a good school systen1 may be counted as a + by a parent with young children and a - by a houseowner with no children because of the high real estate taxes engendered, while an unmarried male without taxable property is indifferent to the situation. 58 Clearly the set of +'s and -'s at both origin and destination is differently defined for every migrant or prospective migrant. Nevertheless, we may distinguish classes of people who react in similar fashion to the same general sets of factors at origin and destination. Indeed, since we can never specify the exact set of factors which impels of prohibits migration for a given person, we can, in general, only set forth a few which seem of special importance and note the general or average reaction of a considerable group. Needless to say, the factors that hold and attract or repel people are precisely understood neither by the social scientist nor the persons directly affected. Like Bentham's calculus of pleasure and pain, the calculus of +'s and -'s at origin and destination is always inexact. < … > This conceptualization of migration as involving a set of factors at origin and destination, a set of intervening obstacles, and a series of personal factors is a simple one which may perhaps be accepted as self-evident. It is now argued that, simple though this is, it provides a framework for much of what we know about migration and indicates a number of fields for investigation. It is used below to formulate a series of hypotheses about the volume of migration under varying conditions, the development of stream and counterstream, and the characteristics of migrants. Source: Everett S. Lee (1966). A Theory of Migration. University of Pennsylvania. 59 Appendix 2 Hukou (photo). The hukou (document) The picture of the person’s hukou, indicating the status of hukou (agricultural): 60 The picture of the person’s hukou, indicating the status of hukou (nonagricultural): The picture of the person’s hukou, containing additional information on sex, birth date, etc.: 61 62 Appendix 3 Terminology. The following migration terms are used in the text: Hukou ( 户 口 , hùkǒu) – registered permanent residence, household registration. Hukou “type” (户口类别,hùkǒu leìbié) – hukou status, that defines socioeconomic eligibility. According to the hukou “type” people are divided into two groups: ones who have agricultural hukou (rural residents) and ones who have nonagricultural hukou (mostly urban area residents). Agricultural and non-agricultural hukou can also be called “rural” and “urban” Hukou “place” (户口所在地,hùkǒu suǒzàidì) – hukou status, that defines residential location. Each citizen can register at only one permanent location. According to the hukou “place” people are divided into two groups: ones who possess the local hukou and ones who do not possess the local hukou. Nongzhuanfei ( 农 转 非 , nóngzhuǎnfēi) – the process of conversion of hukou status; it includes both changing the place of hukou registration and changing the “type” of hukou – from agricultural to non-agricultural. Hukou system – Household registration system in the Peoples Republic of China that was introduced in 1958. Dewen Wang defines it as “the hukou system is an institutional arrangement that divides the total population into rural and urban sub-populations and puts a strict control on population migration between rural and urban areas and across regions in the command economy”7. In this paper hukou system is going to be analyzed as a main government tool for controlling internal migration. 7 Wang, D. (2008). Rural-Urban Migration and Policy responses in China: Challenges and Options. Working Paper No.15, ILO Asian Regional Programme on Governance of Labour Migration, Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific, International Labour Organization, p.16 63 “Floating population”/“temporary population”/ “temporary migrants” – rural-to-urban migrants who do not possess a local hukou at the places of living. Temporary population might be also defined as an “accumulated migrant population over time 8 ”. In this paper the migrant group that will be mainly analyzed is migrants with rural origin and an absence of local hukou. Permanent migrants – migrants who are able to move to another city and change their previous hukou to the hukou of the city (therefore they become official citizens). Shen J. “Increasing internal migration in China from 1985 to 2005: Institutional versus economic drivers”, Habitat International 39 (2013), p. 1-7 8 64 Appendix 4 1978-2014: State characteristics Year 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Political Leader (1976) Hua Guofeng Deng Xiaoping Hua Guofeng Deng Xiaoping Hua Guofeng Deng Xiaoping 28th Jul Hu Yaobang Deng Xiaoping Hu Yaobang Deng Xiaoping Hu Yaobang Deng Xiaoping Hu Yaobang Deng Xiaoping Hu Yaobang Deng Xiaoping Hu Yaobang Deng Xiaoping Nation. Con. CPC Political program (Motto) * 3rd pl. (11th) Reform and opening up policy 改革开放 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 15th Jan Zhao Ziyang Deng Xiaoping Zhao Ziyang Deng Xiaoping 23rd Jul Jiang Zemin Deng Xiaoping Jiang Zemin Deng Xiaoping Jiang Zemin Deng Xiaoping 13th Socialism with Ch. Characteristics 中国特色社会主义 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jiang Zemin Deng Xiaoping Jiang Zemin Deng Xiaoping Jiang Zemin Deng Xiaoping Jiang Zemin Deng Xiaoping Jiang Zemin Deng Xiaoping Jiang Zemin Deng Xiaoping died Jiang Zemin Jiang Zemin Jiang Zemin Jiang Zemin 15th Nov Hu Jintao Hu Jintao Hu Jintao Hu Jintao Hu Jintao Hu Jintao Hu Jintao Hu Jintao Hu Jintao Hu Jintao 15th November Xi Jinping Xi Jinping Xi Jinping 14th Three Represents 三个代表 12th "Three Represents" in constitution Scientific Development concept 科学发展观 Harmonious Socialist Society 和谐社会 17th READ 11,7 7,6 7,8 5,2 9,1 10,9 15,2 13,5 8,8 11,6 11,3 4,1 3,8 9,2 15th 16th READ GDP "SDC" in constitution 18th READ ??? 65 14,2 14 13,1 10,9 10 9,3 7,8 7,6 8,4 8,3 9,1 10 10,1 11,3 12,7 14,2 9,6 9,2 10,4 9,3 7,8 Economic development Chinese economic reform started. Reforms in agriculture (iron rice bowl + household respons. sys.), dual price system, private businesses, price flexibility. Foreign investment, SEZ. Reforms continued. Less control on private businesses and gov. intervention. Start of privat-n. Decentralization of state control, (local firms gain share supported by local gov-t), corruption, inflation, social protests. Continued reforms and priv-n. Economic development Radical reforms carried out. Largescale privatization, private sector surpassed the state sector in share of GDP, reduction of tariffs, trade barriers and regulations, bank system reform, social welfare system (Mao) dismantled, inflation reduced, China joined WTO. Rising discontent among certain groups of population. Continued economic development, emergence of serious social issues More egalitarian and populist policies. Subsidies and control over health care sector, halt privatization, loose monetary policy, property bubble. Significant reduction of poverty, but (!) increased inequality gap and deterioration of environment, structural and institutional probl. LOOK 17th 18th and 5-year plans!! Important Events four modernizations Xiaokang society (economic growth to provide prosperity) private economy was a "needed complement to the socialist economy." The primary stage of socialism (Deng) Economy as a complement to State sector. Tiananmen Square protest Shanghai Stock Exchange reopened Collapse of Soviet Union Xiaokang society (revival), Capitalisits were allowed to join the party, 1- productive forces, 2- advanced culture, 3- interests of majority more people that will not threaten the regime are allowed to join CPC - governmental and more democratic party 1st July - Hong Kong (returns to China) Economy as an important component 11 December - Joined WTO Xiaokang society (2020 goal) technoc. Style governance, less centr-zed pol. Structure Domestic private sector exceeded 50% GPD, China surpassed Japan
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