OBS 13: Measuring Upper Tropospheric Humidity with Operational Microwave Satellite Sensors COST 723 UTLS Summerschool Cargese, Corsica, Oct. 3-15, 2005 Stefan A. Buehler Institute of Environmental Physics University of Bremen www.sat.uni-bremen.de Overview Water vapor in the Earths radiation balance Operational meteorological microwave satellite instruments (AMSU-B) AMSU-B measurements of upper tropospheric water vapor Comparison with radiosonde measurements Temperature uncertainty and supersaturation The radiative transfer model ARTS Summary Cited papers can be found at http://www.sat.uni-bremen.de Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 2 Overview Water vapor in the Earths radiation balance Operational meteorological microwave satellite instruments (AMSU-B) AMSU-B measurements of upper tropospheric water vapor Comparison with radiosonde measurements Temperature uncertainty and supersaturation The radiative transfer model ARTS Summary Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 3 Earths Radiation Balance Incoming Shortwave Radiation Sun Earth Outgoing Longwave Radiation OLR Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 4 λEλ [normalized] Earths Radiation Balance Wavelength [μm] (Wallace und Hobbs, `Atmospheric Science', Academic Press, 1977.) Radiative equilibrium temperature: -18°C Global mean surface temperature: +15°C 34 K natural greenhouse effect Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 5 Clear-Sky OLR Spectrum A lot of the radiation comes from the UT Water vapor and CO2 are the most important greenhouse gases Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 6 Jacobians [10-14 W Hz-1 sr-1 m-2] Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 7 [10-14 W Hz-1 sr-1 m-2] [10-14 W Hz-1 sr-1 m-2] Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 [10-14 W Hz-1 sr-1 m-2] [10-14 W Hz-1 sr-1 m-2] 8 Important Altitude Range [10-14 W Hz-1 sr-1 m-2] MLS OLR is sensitive to changes of humidity in the upper troposphere, where it is difficult to measure. Sensitivity peak below TTL. Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 9 H2O is a stronger greenhouse gas than CO2 Impact on Tropical OLR 15% change in humidity = double CO2 - (for a tropical atmosphere) (Buehler et al., JQSRT, submitted 2005) Higher surface temperature = more evaporation positive feedback. Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 10 The Water Vapor Feedback Convection and cyclones transport moisture into the UT (see lectures of Heini Wernli and Andrew Gettelman) Ascending air is dried by condensation processes High spatial and temporal variability Residence time of water substance ~10 days Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 11 Variability of Clear-Sky OLR Simulated OLR [W/m2] Paradox: More humidity = more OLR! Total water vapor [mm] (Buehler et al., Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., submitted 2005) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 13 Variability of Clear-Sky OLR Simulated OLR [W/m2] CERES Data High temperature correlated with high humidity Positive temperature signal outweighs negative humidity signal Expected, otherwise runaway greenhouse effect Radiosondes Surface temperature [K] Water vapor signal strongest in the tropics Simulated radiances agree with CERES OLR data (Buehler et al., Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., submitted 2005) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 14 Variability of Clear-Sky OLR Delta OLR [W/m2] Simulated OLR [W/m2] CERES Data Radiosondes (Buehler et al., Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., submitted 2005) No strong temperature variations in the tropics Temperature and Water Vapor variations are both important for clear-sky OLR Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 15 Climate GCMs indicate that the feedback is positive. A large part (about half) of the warming predicted by models for a CO2 rise is due to the water vapor feedback (Held and Soden, Annu. Rev. Energy Environ., 2000). The UT is an important altitude region for this feedback, but humidity there is poorly known. Radiosonde measurements: Low spatial coverage Poor data quality in the UT Infrared satellite measurements: Good global coverage, but affected by clouds Clear sky bias Microwave satellite measurements (today) Radio occultation (Friday, OBS 16) Ice clouds play also an important role in the UT radiation balance (Friday, OBS 15) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 16 Comparison: Radiosondes ↔ Infrared Satellite Data Big differences between the different data sets, for example: +/-15 %RH difference between IR satellite and radiosonde = 40% relative difference in humidity, as RH values are low in the UT. (Soden and Lanzante, JGR 1996) Problem: Large discrepancies, true climatology unknown (see e.g. SPARC UTLS H2O Assessment) Overview Water vapor in the Earths radiation balance Operational meteorological microwave satellite instruments (AMSU-B) AMSU-B measurements of upper tropospheric water vapor Comparison with radiosonde measurements Temperature uncertainty and supersaturation The radiative transfer model ARTS Summary Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 18 Microwave Satellite Data SSM-T2 since 1995 AMSU-B since 1999 Passive microwave instruments (measuring thermal radiation from the atmosphere) Less affected by cloud than infrared Well calibrated Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 19 AMSU-B Cross-track scanner 90 pixels per scan line Outermost pixels 49° offnadir Swath with ≈ 2300 km Global coverage twice daily 16 km horizontal resolution (at nadir) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 20 AMSU-B Channels Water vapor Oxygen (Details: John and Buehler, GRL, 31, L21108, doi:10.1029/2004GL021214) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 21 AMSU-B Channels Water vapor Oxygen (Figure by Viju O. John) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 22 AMSU-B Jacobians 20 19 18 19 20 ARTS Simulation, Atmosphere: Midlatitude-Summer (Figure by Viju O. John) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 23 Jacobians depend on Atmospheric State (Figures by Viju O. John) Measurement not in TTL, but below Altitude where OLR is very sensitive to H2O changes Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 24 AMSU-B Data (Channel 18) Dry areas in the UT (NOAA 16, Channel 18, 15.6.2004. Figure: Oliver Lemke) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 25 Overview Water vapor in the Earths radiation balance Operational meteorological microwave satellite instruments (AMSU-B) AMSU-B measurements of upper tropospheric water vapor Comparison with radiosonde measurements Temperature uncertainty and supersaturation The radiative transfer model ARTS Summary Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 26 Retrieving humidity usually requires a priori, problematic for climate applications Humidity Assimilation can destroy information on absolute value due to the bias corrections applied (compare lecture by Francois Bouttier) Solution: Look for a humidity product that is related as closely as possible to the radiances Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 27 Regression UTH Retrieval UTH = Jacobian-weighted relative humidity ≈ mean relative humidity between 500 and 200 hPa Simple relation: ln(UTH) = a + b Tb Determine a and b by linear regression with training data set Details: Buehler and John, JGR, 2004 Method originally invented by Brian Soden for IR data. Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 28 Coefficients independent of training data set Basically another unit for radiance Other humidity data must be processed in same way for comparison Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 29 AMSU UTH-Climatology (AMSU-B, Channel 18, NOAA 15, Winter 1999-2000. Figure by Mashrab Kuvatov) With deep apologies to Mark Baldwin for the weird color scale... Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 30 Walker Circulation during La Nina NOAA 15 AMSU-B UTH DJF 99-00 500-200 hPa HALOE, 82 hPa Gettelman et al, 2001, J. Clim Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 31 Comparison with an Infrared Climatology Infrared UTH (1981-1991), Soden and Bretherton, JGR, 101 (D5), 9333-9343, 1996 Microwave UTH (AMSU-B, NOAA 16, 2002), Mashrab Kuvatov Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 32 UTH, AMSU-B, Channel 18, NOAA 16, 2002 Difference with and without cloud filter (Figures by Mashrab Kuvatov) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 33 Overview Water vapor in the Earths radiation balance Operational meteorological microwave satellite instruments (AMSU-B) AMSU-B measurements of upper tropospheric water vapor Comparison with radiosonde measurements Temperature uncertainty and supersaturation The radiative transfer model ARTS Summary Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 34 Case Study for one selected Station Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 35 (Figure by Viju O. John) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 36 Finding Matches Define target area (radius 50 km) Compare mean satellite value to radiosonde Take standard deviation σ50km as measure of sampling error Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 37 Large variability in σ50km Lowest values consistent with nominal radiometric noise Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 38 Error Model Sources of error: Radiometric noise of the AMSU measurement Sampling error due to atmospheric inhomogeneity Radiosonde measurement error in humidity and temperature RT model error AMSU calibration error χ2 tests show that C0 can be taken as a global constant with a value of 0.5K. Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 39 Results Non-unity radiance slope Possible reasons: RT model AMSU Radiosonde Increasing radiosonde dry bias under very dry conditions (Buehler et al., JGR, 109, D13103, doi:10.1029/2004JD004605, 2004) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 40 Comparison for a Different Sensor Kem, Russia (64N, 34E) Goldbeater’s skin type sondes very large wet bias (expected from Soden and Lanzante, JGR, 1996 ) (Figure by Viju O. John) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 41 Comparing different Radiosonde Stations 40 European stations Sonde data from BADC (John and Buehler, ACP, 2005) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 42 Comparing different Radiosonde Stations (John and Buehler, ACP, 2005) General dry bias (expected for Vaisala sensor) Apparently erratic jumps can be understood by sensor and/or procedure changes for individual stations Information about stations not readily available Mystery: UK stations have less dry bias, although the are supposed to use similar sensors See also poster by T. Suortti Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 43 Overview Water vapor in the Earths radiation balance Operational meteorological microwave satellite instruments (AMSU-B) AMSU-B measurements of upper tropospheric water vapor Comparison with radiosonde measurements Temperature uncertainty and supersaturation The radiative transfer model ARTS Summary Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 44 Supersaturation in UARS-MLS Data exponential drop-off Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 45 Gaussian T distr. Non-Gauss RH distr. Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 46 MLS Data Effect of 2K T uncertainty Some of the observed supersaturation can be due to temperature uncertainties (Buehler and Courcoux, GRL, 2003). Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 47 Overview Water vapor in the Earths radiation balance Operational meteorological microwave satellite instruments (AMSU-B) AMSU-B measurements of upper tropospheric water vapor Comparison with radiosonde measurements Temperature uncertainty and supersaturation The radiative transfer model ARTS Summary Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 48 RTTOV Fast RT model Freely available from Eumetsat NWP SAF Already configured for most meteorological sensors Biases compared to more accurate ARTS model (see Poster by Nathalie Courcoux) Not used for the calculations in this lecture Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 49 Public Domain Program, developed together with Chalmers University, Göteborg and University of Edinburgh. Two branches: ARTS-1-0: Clear-sky ARTS-1-1: with cloud scattering Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 50 Radiative Transfer RT Workshop 2004 Core Developers (2005) Development and workshops since 1999. RT Workshop 2005 Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 51 ARTS Overview Freely available: http://www.sat.uni-bremen.de/arts/ Clear-sky (arts-1-0): Line spectra (HITRAN, JPL, GEISA) Continua (H2O, N2, O2, CO2) Trivial RT Analytical Jacobians Cloudy-sky (arts-1-1): Two different algorithms for cloud scattering: Monte Carlo (MC) method Discrete Ordinate Iterative (DOIT) method Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 52 ARTS Properties All viewing geometries Spherical Polarized (up to 4 Stokes components) Validated against various other physical RT models from microwave to infrared Used as a reference to judge performance of RTTOV-8 (with scattering) within the NWP SAF Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 53 Overview Water vapor in the Earths radiation balance Operational meteorological microwave satellite instruments (AMSU-B) AMSU-B measurements of upper tropospheric water vapor Comparison with radiosonde measurements Temperature uncertainty and supersaturation The radiative transfer model ARTS Summary Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 54 Summary Upper tropospheric humidity (UTH) is an important parameter of the climate system. Better absolute measurements of the global UTH distribution are needed. Operational microwave sensors provide a new dataset that is independent of the IR satellite data. Advantage: Less affected by clouds. Disadvantage: So far short time series (since 1995 SSM T2, since 1999 AMSU-B). RT model required for work with satellite measurements. Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 55 How to Compare Satellite Data to other Data Find out which part of the satellite data is believed to be ok (check documentation and talk to others) Need enough matches to get statistics (a single insitu measurement is useless for satellite validation) Set up error model, including sampling error (without error bars the comparison has no quantitative meaning) Comparison in radiance space can avoid problems due to use of a priori information for satellite retrieval (you can scale back the radiance differences to uncertainties in geophysical parameters at the end) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 56 Outlook Very promising UT humidity data is now becoming available from MLS on Aura. Proposals for radio-occultation humidity measurements (my last lecture on Friday) Clouds play also a crucial role for the radiation balance (my first lecture on Friday) Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 57 ... Thanks for your attention. Questions? Stefan Buehler, COST 723 UTLS Summerschool, Cargese, Oct. 3-15, 2005 58
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