animal Animal (2016), 10:9, pp 1501–1506 © The Animal Consortium 2015 doi:10.1017/S1751731115001809 Feeding behavior improves prediction of dairy cow voluntary feed intake but cannot serve as the sole indicator I. Halachmi1†, Y. Ben Meir1,2, J. Miron2 and E. Maltz1 The Volcani Centre, The Institute of Agricultural Engineering, PO Box 6, Bet Dagan 50250, Israel; 2The Volcani Centre, Animal Science Institute – Agricultural Research Organization (A.R.O.), PO Box 6, Bet Dagan 50250, Israel 1 (Received 6 May 2015; Accepted 8 July 2015; First published online 21 September 2015) Low-cost feeding-behavior sensors will soon be available for commercial use in dairy farms. The aim of this study was to develop a feed intake model for the individual dairy cow that includes feeding behavior. In a research farm, the individual cows’ voluntary feed intake and feeding behavior were monitored at every meal. A feed intake model was developed based on data that exist in commercial modern farms: ‘BW,’ ‘milk yield’ and ‘days in milking’ parameters were applied in this study. At the individual cow level, eating velocity seemed to be correlated with feed intake ( R 2 = 0.93 to 0.94). The eating velocity coefficient varied among individuals, ranging from 150 to 230 g/min per cow. The contribution of feeding behavior (0.28) to the dry matter intake (DMI) model was higher than the contribution of BW (0.20), similar to the contribution of fat-corrected milk (FCM)/BW (0.29) and not as large as the contribution of FCM (0.49). Incorporating feeding behavior into the DMI model improved its accuracy by 1.3 (38%) kg/cow per day. The model is ready to be implemented in commercial farms as soon as companies introduce low-cost feeding-behavior sensors on commercial level. Keywords: individual cow, eating speed sensor, precision livestock farming Implications Feed is the greatest expense in milk production. However, monitoring the individual cow’s feed intake is currently only economically feasible under research conditions. Existing nutrition models to predict feed intake may only fit groupwise. It can be assumed that low-cost feeding-behavior sensors will soon be available for commercial use in many farms. The aim of this study was to develop a feed intake model for the individual dairy cow that includes feeding behavior. Introduction Feed is the greatest expense in milk production (Buza et al., 2014). Knowledge of the individual dairy cow’s voluntary dry matter intake (DMI) could contribute to the design of more efficient animal nutrition, at either the group level, summing more accurate predictions of all individual cows concurrently presented in a group (Maltz et al., 2013) or the individual cow level. At the latter level, the design of an individualized animal diet is required when computerized concentrate † E-mail: [email protected] self-feeders either standalone (Livshin et al., 1995) or are built into a milking robot stall (Halachmi, 2004 and 2005; Madsen et al., 2010).However, monitoring the individual cow’s feed intake is currently only feasible under research conditions (Halachmi et al., 1996 and 1998; Calan, 1997; Schwartzkopf-Genswein et al., 1999; Grant and Albright, 2001; Huisma, 2002; DeVries et al., 2003; Bach et al., 2004; Ferris et al., 2006; Wang et al., 2006; Chapinal et al., 2007; Mendes et al., 2011; Krawczel et al., 2012). Therefore, several nutrition models have been developed to predict feed intake, but even the best models have been unable to account for >70% of the variation in intake (Vandehaar, 1998; Shelley, 2013), that is, the existing models may only fit groupwise (Arnerdal, 2005). A DMI model at the individual cow level requires further complexity: the few hundred coefficients in the model presented by Halachmi et al. (2004) are not accurate enough (Halachmi et al., 2011). In addition to supporting the prediction of feed intake, changes in feeding behavior may indicate approach calving and may indicate disease. Gonzalez et al. (2008) discovered that cows with ketosis and lameness show decreased feed intake, by 10.4 kg and 1.57 kg, respectively. Urton et al. (2005) claimed that cows with clinical metritis spend 22 min/ day less at the feed bank than those without clinical metritis. 1501 Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 29 Jul 2017 at 00:55:01, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1751731115001809 Halachmi, Ben Meir, Miron and Maltz Early identification of sick cows could minimize disease duration (Urton et al., 2005), improve treatment efficacy and improve animal welfare (Gonzalez et al., 2008), thereby decreasing economic losses (Urton et al., 2005; Gonzalez et al., 2008). Therefore, it can be assumed that low-cost feeding-behavior sensors will soon be available for commercial use in many farms. Sensors of feeding behavior, that is, time spent in the feeding lane, duration of each meal and frequency of meals throughout the day and night, are under development by a few commercial sensor companies (Halachmi, 2015). The principal author is familiar with a few Israeli prototype sites from three different companies that are in the last developmental phases in Israel aimed at low-cost monitoring of feeding behavior under commercial farm conditions (Halachmi et al., 2015). Soon these sensors will be incorporated into the dairy farm markets. There are already quite a few feeding-behavior sensors operating under research conditions (Shelley, 2013). However, feeding behavior is not the only parameter determining feed intake. A wide range of predictors can potentially affect voluntary feed intake of dairy cows (Ingvartsen, 1994; Kjos, 2002). These include (i) individual animal factors: BW, milk yield (MY), days in milk (DIM), breed, genetics, age, parity, gestation, previous feeding, body condition, fatness, eating velocity, rumen activity, health status, anabolic agents; (ii) food quality: dietary factors, diet composition, chemical composition, digestibility, degradation profiles, physical form, conservation, dry matter (DM) content, fermentation quality, palatability, mineral salts alkaline agents, food additives; (iii) housing and management practices: duration of access to feed, frequency of feeding, separate (‘cafeteria’) v. complete feed (total mixed ration(TMR)), tie stalls v. loose housing or open cowshed, space per animal for lying down, space in the manger, length of feeding lane per animal, photoperiod, temperature, humidity. None of the existing food intake models incorporate individual feeding behavior into the evaluating food intake formula, that is, time feeding, number of meals, etc. The National Research Council (NRC) predictors (BW, MY and DIM) are frequently applied (Table 1) and were therefore also applied in this study. An interesting attempt to introduce data from another sensor parameter, rumination time, into the DMI prediction equation was presented by Clément et al. (2014), but they concluded that rumination time had no significant effect on accuracy of the DMI model. In a previous unpublished project, we concluded the same. As feeding behavior will soon be monitored in commercial farms, the research question of this study was: What is the added value of feeding behavior for prediction of individual DMI in lactating dairy cows? The hypothesis of this study was that incorporating feeding behavior into the DMI model might improve the model by at least 10%. This hypothesis was statistically tested and was not rejected. Hence, the aim of this study was to develop a DMI model for the individual dairy cow that includes feeding behavior. Table 1 Predictors included in several dry matter intake (DMI) models LFU NRC IND CNCPS NAAT DFFS MY BW FCM DIM BW FCM DIM BW FCM DIM Age Breed, empty body fat, food additives, ambient temperature, muddiness of pen BW MY DIM Feed NDF content, silage fermentation quality MY DIM Parity Race, energy density, legume content, silage DM, FFL/FU, TMR, stable type LFU = feeding recommendations by Lantmännen (Lindgren et al., 2001); MY = milk yield; NRC = National Research Council (NRC, 2007); FCM = fatcorrected milk, 4%; DIM = days in milking; IND = model proposed by Halachmi et al. (2004 and 2011); CNCPS = Cornell Net Carbohydrate and Protein System (Fox et al., 2004); NAAT = Norwegian AAT model (Volden, 2001); DFFS = Danish Fill Factor System (Hvelplund and Nørgard, 2003); DM = dry matter; FFL/FU = fullness factor and Danish feed unit; TMR = total mixed ration. Material and methods Animals The experiment was performed at the ARO research farm in Bet Dagan, with 220 high-yielding Holstein-Friesian cows housed in an open no-stall cowshed and fed a TMR that is commonly used in Israel. Average feed intake was 26.5 DMI/day DM; the diet, TMR, used in this study comprised 21% wheat silage, 8% wheat hay and 2% vetch hay and 69% concentrates. The concentrate mixture contained (% of TMR DM) 29.4 corn grain, 1.9 rolled barley, 8.0 soybean meal, 1.7 Ca salts of long-chain fatty acids, 19.2 corn gluten feed, 2.0 non-linted cotton grains, 3.2% whey, 2.3 minerals + vitamins mix. This TMR contained 63.4% DM, 16.5% CP, 5.25% ether extract, 33.3% NDF, 18.0% forage NDF, and it’s in vitro DM digestibility was 75.3%. Energy level value was 1.68 Mcal/kg. The cows were, on average 187 days in lactation. Milk production was on average 43 l/day: 3.6% fat; 3.2% protein; 4.67% lactose. The individual cows’ voluntary feed intake and feeding behavior were monitored at every meal by a 42-stalls feed intake monitoring system developed by Halachmi et al. (1996 and 1998). The following parameters: MY, DIM, BW, neck and leg activity, lying behavior, milk composition and rumination time, were recorded with the farm’s regular herd management software (Noa, Afimilk and SCR). The best correlated parameters were calibrated into a DMI prediction equation and are presented in the Results section. Data used for model development were not used for model validation. Nomenclature Feeding behavior is frequency (number of meals and distribution along day and night), and meals’ durations, DMIi is individual cow’s voluntary DMI on day i; FCM (National Research Council (NRC), 1989) is fat-corrected milk, where FCM (4%) = 0.4 × kg milk + 15 × kg milk × fat content; BW is also known as ‘live weight.’ Errori ¼ predicted DMIi observed DMIi 1502 Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 29 Jul 2017 at 00:55:01, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1751731115001809 Feeding behavior and cow voluntary feed intake ME is the mean error, also known as absolute bias = Σ(predicted DMIi − observed DMIi)/N = mean(error). P ½ ðpredicted DMIi observed DMIi Þ=N P Relative bias ¼ ½ ðobserved DMIi Þ=N MAE is the mean absolute error [Σabs (predicted DMIi − observed DMIi)]/N = [Σabs (Errori)]/N = mean (abs (error)). MSPE is the mean square prediction error = [Σ (predicted DMIi − observed DMIi)2]/N. STD stands for standard deviation; DM stands for dry matter; TMR stands for total mixed ration (% DM of TMR = 0.629); n = 100 cows; t test was applied for significance. Statistics The new model was based on the NRC function (parameters are FCM, DIM, BW), with the additional parameter of feeding behavior. NRC equation: DMIðkg=dayÞ ¼ ð0:372 ´ fat-corrected milk + 0:0968 ´ live weight0:75 Þ Consequently, incorporating feeding behavior into a DMI model seems to make sense, but owing to the individuality of the eating velocity, this cannot be the only parameter in the DMI-predicting equation. Other descriptors associated with the individual’s eating velocity should be incorporated. Based on the aforementioned literature, the correlated descriptive parameters in this study were FCM, BW, DIM, FCM/ BW and feeding behavior. Table 2 presents the contribution of each parameter to the DMI model and suggests that addition of feeding behavior might improve model accuracy. The contribution of feeding behavior was higher than that of BW and DIM, and similar to the ratio FCM/BW; however, it was less than the contribution of FCM. Other investigated parameters (not shown) contributed considerably less. As already noted, incorporation of feeding behavior into the DMI model was performed via the NRC equation. The NRC and NRC + feeding-behavior models are presented in Table 3. The accuracy of the behavior-based model was clearly superior. The standard deviations were not significantly different between the two models. ´ ð1eð0:192 ´ ðweek of lactation + 3:67ÞÞ Þ Discussion NRC equation with feeding behavior: 1 0 b1 ´ fat-corrected milk C B DMI ðkg=dayÞ ¼ @ + b2 ´ live weight0:75 A + b5 ´ feeding behavior ´ ð1eðb3 ´ ðweek of lactation + b4 ÞÞ Þ Restating the hypothesis The hypothesis of this study was that incorporating feeding behavior into the DMI model might improve it by 10%. Table 2 Cross-correlation coefficients of feed intake and potential predictors NRC parameters where the coefficients of bi = 0.41, 0.052, −0.29, 6.3, 0.0074. Results At the individual cow level The eating velocity of each individual cow appeared to be correlated with the cow’s feed intake (Figure 1, R 2 = 0.93 to 0.94). However, each individual cow had its own eating velocity (Figure 1, 230 v. 150 g/min per individual). Feed intake FCM BW 0.75 DIM FCM/BW FCM BW0.75 DIM FCM/BW Feeding behavior 0.49 0.20 0.089 −0.16 −0.37 0.24 0.29 0.78 −0.55 −0.47 0.28 0.14 −0.062 −0.017 0.15 NRC = National Research Council (NRC, 2007); FCM = fat-corrected milk, 4%; DIM = days in milking. Figure 1 Mutual relationship between feed intake and time spent in the feeding lane for cow 3103 (R 2 = 0.94) and cow 3122 (R 2 = 0.93). The two cows’ eating velocities differed as well, being 230 and 150 g/min, correspondingly. 1503 Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 29 Jul 2017 at 00:55:01, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1751731115001809 Halachmi, Ben Meir, Miron and Maltz Table 3 Accuracy at the individual cow level of NRC v. NRC with feeding behavior model ME (kg/day) MAE (kg/day) MSPE (kg2/day) SD error SD model SD real Model 1 NRC (kg/cow per day) Function of FCM, BW and DIM Model 2 NRC with feeding behavior (kg/cow per day) Function of FCM, BW,DIM, feeding behavior 2.81a, relative bias 0.11 ( = 11%) 3.42c 16.82e 2.99 2.52 3.66 −0.13b, relatively bias −0.01 ( = −1%) 2.12d 8.56f 2.92 2.57 3.66 NRC = National Research Council (NRC, 2007); FCM = fat-corrected milk, 4%; DIM = days in milk; ME = mean error; MAE = mean absolute error; MSPE = mean square prediction error; n = 100 cows; % dry matter (DM) of total mixed ration (TMR) = 0.629. a,b,c,d,e,f Significant difference at α = 0.05. Table 4 Comparing the new model (feeding behavior) with earlier published models, modified after (Arnerdal, 2005) Bias (%) Bias (kg) MSPE (kg2/day) SD error 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Feeding behavior DFFS CNCPS LFU NAAT NRC1 NRC2 CNCPS −1 −0.13 8.56 2.92 3.2 0.59 4.92 2.22 3.6 0.66 3.29 1.81 −9.6 −1.76 6.43 2.54 9.7 1.78 16.96 4.12 11 2.81 16.82 2.99 12.7 2.32 7.82 2.80 14.9 1.76 20.6 4.54 DFFS = Danish Fill Factor System (Hvelplund and Nørgard, 2003); CNCPS = Cornell Net Carbohydrate and Protein System (Fox et al., 2004); LFU = feeding recommendations by Lantmännen (Lindgren et al., 2001); NAAT = Norwegian AAT model (Volden, 2001); NRC = National Research Council (NRC, 2007); NRC1 was run on data collected in this study; NRC2 was run on data collected by Arnerdal (2005). The model accuracy, in terms of MAE, was improved by 38% (2.12 and 3.42 kg/cow per day). Potential limitations and weaknesses of the implications of the findings Knowing the accurate individual cow’s DMI has implications for diet composition design in computerized self-feeders that are either located in a milking robot stall or standing alone. However, a group-level statistical model (v. ‘real-time closedloop controlled dynamic modeling’) cannot accurately handle the extreme cases. A model prediction is more accurate around the average cow, in accordance with the database upon which the model was calibrated. The reason for the inaccuracy in extreme cases is the model’s ‘built-in’ smoothing, regression or lag functions. Today’s ‘hot trend’ is to address the individual cow’s feed efficiency. The MY or FCM are positively correlated with DMI. Therefore, in the DMI prediction equation, MY or FCM are commonly written in the numerator. The MY or FCM are also the dairy cow economic output, therefore if the feedefficiency equation is calculated as follows: input/output = feed/[MY or FCM], MY or FCM are written in the denominator. Therefore, if one applies a DMI equation for individual cow efficiency, the MY or FCM will be written in both the numerator and the denominator. Such an equation is not stable, and therefore applying the DMI prediction equations for individual cow feed efficiency is not recommended. How are the results related to expectations and the literature? There are quite a few feed intake prediction models in the professional literature: Table 4 presents the four measures used in seven studies. Table 5 presents one measure of performance that was used in the other eight studies. The bias (% and kg) in previous reports (Table 4) suggests that the feeding-behavior model does not fall behind any of the earlier models addressed by Arnerdal (2005). However, the other published measures of performance: MSPE and STD (error) are ambivalent, some better (2 to 4) and some worse (5 to 8). This raises a general debate present in every research study: how to select representative measures of performance. Other literature (Table 5) suggests that the feeding-behavior model’s MSPE (kg2/day) does not fall behind all earlier models reviewed byRoseler et al. (1997). However, none of the above studies primarily tackled the individual cow. They were more focused on group-level management. In contrast, Halachmi et al. (2004 and 2011) proposed an individual cow feed intake model for Danish reds, Jerseys and Holsteins. In their data for Holstein multiparous cows (Halachmi et al., 2011), the MAE was 2.71 kg/ cow per day (Halachmi et al., 2004 and 2011) and the National Research Council (NRC) (2007) reported 2.98 kg/ cow per day. In this study, the MAE was 2.12 kg/cow per day. This study, although introducing a simpler model (five coefficients v. (Halachmi et al., 2004) a few hundred coefficients), gave a comparable or even better prediction. 1504 Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 88.99.165.207, on 29 Jul 2017 at 00:55:01, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1751731115001809 Feeding behavior and cow voluntary feed intake Table 5 Comparing the new model (feeding behavior) with earlier published models, measures of performance: mean square prediction error (MSPE (kg2/day)), modified after (Roseler et al., 1997) Period 1st 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Feeding behavior1 Modified NRC2 Weiss3 (restricted) Kertz4 (single) CNCPS5 This study NRC6 Rayburn and Fox7 Weiss8 Kertz4 (multiple) 2nd 3rd 4th 5th Mean SD 8.6 2.9 9.6 4.4 11.9 5.7 14.1 2.8 9.4 13.1 15.4 5.9 16.8 20.6 20.8 8.0 21.5 30.1 20.2 7.9 64.9 75.1 32.9 11.3 13.9 39.6 29.2 71.5 265.2 168.4 137.0 15.6 16.1 12.1 13.9 12.9 7.9 19.4 10.5 16.0 25.3 15.4 5.3 6.5 6.3 7.0 MSPE = mean square prediction error. Multiparous Holstein cows, control group (not treated with bovine somatotropin). 1 This study equation: feeding behavior incorporated into NRC (2007). 2 Roseler et al. (1997) modification of National Research Council (NRC, 1989). 3 Equations with or without (restricted) the adjustment factor (Weiss, 1991). 4 Equations for single or multiple equations (Kertz et al., 1991). 5 CNCPS = Cornell Net Carbohydrate and Protein System (Fox et al., 1992). 6 NRC (2007) run on data from this study. 7 Rayburn and Fox (1993). 8 Where the lactation periods were defined by Roseler et al. (1997) as: (1) weeks 1 to 9 of lactation; (2) weeks 10 to 24 of lactation; (3) weeks 25 to 36 of lactation; (4) weeks 37 to 48 of lactation; (5) weeks 49 to 60 of lactation. The equations of Kertz et al. (1991) were designed to predict dry matter intake (DMI) through week 20 of lactation, and were therefore excluded from periods 3, 4 and 5. Relationships shown by major findings and further research Table 1 suggests that if feeding behavior is not highly cross-correlated with the other descriptive parameters (FCM, BW and DIM) that are already in the model, the value of the feeding behavior is enhanced. In further research, with more cows over longer periods, this question should be addressed. A sudden divergent feeding behavior also has health, approach calving and TMR quality implications (Urton et al., 2005; Gonzalez et al., 2008). Therefore, low-cost monitoring of feeding behavior will soon be commercially available for use on farms, if not because of the feed intake estimation then because of animal health issues. Implementing new low-cost feeding-behavior sensors is advised in further research. As one might say: ‘if a direct measured (sensor) cow individual feed-intake will be soon commercially low-cost available on the market, the necessity of a DMI model is questionable.’ This point is often raised up since the first edition of the NRC feed intake model back in the 1980s. The NorFor Scandinavian feed intake model and other models might facing the same justified criticism. As yet the NRC and the other models, although less accurate on cow individual level comparing with direct measurement, are widely applied everywhere. Halachmi (2015) book discussed and listed measures that are potentially going to be replaced soon by sensors, but feed intake sensor is not listed among them. After a feed intake sensor will be developed and validated, it will probably not be immediately purchased by all the farms worldwide at once. Like milking robots, tractors, pedometers, electronic milk recording, rumination tags and other developments in agriculture, it will get started with few pioneer farms in advance and intensive production systems and will take decades before the massive number of farms will purchase the feed intake sensors. Right now (2014) the principle author is familiar with only two installation sites here in Israel on commercial conditions that provide feedingbehavior data on cow individual level, the correlation with feed intake (or ‘meal size’) is not available yet. The feed intake change with time (Halachmi, 2004, No 63); the NRC takes it into account by means of cow individual factors: MY, BW and DIM those are also changing over time. The feeding behavior does not differ from the other cow individual factors, it changes over time. This paper does not develop a new model, it introduces feeding behavior into existing (NRC) model. In further research, we advise studying how feeing behavior changes with time (age) and environment (cold or heat challenges). In this study, incorporation of feeding behavior was performed via the NRC feed intake equation. In further research, we advise incorporating feeding behavior into other equations. Equation forms that do not include smoothing or lag functions (e.g. the one developed by Halachmi et al. (2004) does not include the lag function) has the potential to be more positively influenced by the new introduction of feeding behavior. Conclusions At the individual cow level, eating velocity seemed to be correlated with feed intake (R 2 = 0.93 to 0.94). The eating velocity coefficient varied among individuals, ranging from 150 to 230 g/min per cow. The contribution of feeding behavior to the DMI model was higher than the contribution of BW, similar to the contribution of FCM/BW and not as large as the contribution of FCM. 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