CEO’s total wealth characteristics and implications on firm risk* Timo Korkeamäki Hanken School of Economics P.O. Box 479 00101 Helsinki, Finland [email protected] Eva Liljeblom Hanken School of Economics P.O. Box 479 00101 Helsinki, Finland [email protected] Daniel Pasternack Hanken School of Economics P.O. Box 479 00101 Helsinki, Finland [email protected] March 22, 2017 JEL classification: G31; G32; J33 Keywords: CEO wealth, firm risk * We thank Lee Biggerstaff, Mara Faccio, Martin Holmén, Karin Thorburn, an anonymous referee, and seminar participants at Aalto University Business School, Hanken School of Economics, University of Edinburgh, and the 2014 FMA Annual meetings in Nashville, TN for helpful comments. CEO’s total wealth characteristics and implications on firm risk ABSTRACT We study the connections between firm risk and the CEO’s personal wealth characteristics, using a unique dataset on CEO wealth and its components. Consistent with decreasing absolute risk aversion, we find that wealthier CEOs are associated with higher risk firms. Riskier firms tend to have CEOs whose wealth is more independent of the firm. We also find that CEOs with high personal portfolio betas run firms with higher betas. CEO’s tenure is negatively associated with firm risk measured either as beta, idiosynchratic risk, or volatility of accounting profitability. A possible interpretation is that risk-averse managers are better able to imprint their risk preferences on the firm over time. Stronger corporate governance weakens the connection between CEO wealth characteristics and firm risk. 2 1. Introduction Risks that a manager takes as part of her job are likely to be influenced by personal characteristics such as age, but also by the size and the decomposition of the manager’s wealth. Personal overall attitudes towards risk tend to also affect managers’ decision making (Cain and McKeon, 2016). Empirical studies on the connection between managerial wealth and firm risk-taking are typically based on managerial ownership of the firm, either through shares or executive options (see e.g. Guay 1999, Rajgopal and Shevlin 2002, Coles, Daniel, and Naveen 2006, and Low 2009).1 However, endogeneity issues cloud the interpretation of the relation between equity-based managerial wealth and firm risk, since it can be assumed that firms often design executive compensation schemes to motivate managers to optimal risk taking. Recently, Wei and Yermack (2011) study CEOs’ inside debt positions. Their results indicate that publication of large CEO inside debt holdings lead to reductions in firm risk, to wealth transfers from equity to debt, and to reductions in enterprise value. Moreover, Cronqvist, Makhija and Yonker (2012) study CEOs’ personal leverage using data on their most recent home purchases, and find support for endogenous matching of between CEO and firm leverage. While all these recent studies shed light on the connection between managerial wealth and corporate risk-taking, they focus only on parts of CEO wealth, as data restrictions have not allowed studying the effects of CEOs’ total wealth. The rare exceptions to consider CEOs’ total wealth include Becker (2006), who studies the effects of total wealth on performance based compensation among Swedish CEOs, and Elsilä, et al. (2013), who observe the connection between total wealth of Swedish CEOs, and their firms’ subsequent accounting performance. 1 Share ownership is typically perceived as providing increased incentives for risk taking. The relationship between options and risk seeking is more complex, see e.g. Guay (1999), Carpenter 2000, and Ross (2004). We contribute to the literature by studying the connections between CEOs’ total wealth and corporate behavior. By using a unique dataset on total CEO wealth, we at least partly circumvent the endogeneity problems that are inherent with equity compensation packages designed by the firm. Our detailed data set also allows us to study the effects of decomposition of CEOs’ assets in great detail. Our data set includes the CEOs of all Finnish publicly listed firms, and in addition to holdings in the CEOs’ own firms, it also contains parts of the CEOs’ wealth (and indebtedness) that are not directly attributable to the firm and its compensation structure. The data allows us to see all individual holdings such as the CEOs’ executive stock options and private investments in different individual shares of listed and unlisted firms (item by item), mutual funds, real estate and housing assets, land and forest. We find that wealthier CEOs are associated with riskier firms, a result in line with decreasing absolute risk aversion. We also find support for the hypothesis that managers whose wealth is more independent of the firm are associated with riskier firms, a result in line with decreasing relative risk aversion. We further find that the CEO’s tenure is negatively associated with firm risk measured either as beta, idiosynchratic risk, or volatility of accounting profitability. A possible interpretation is that risk-averse managers are better able to imprint their risk preferences on the firm over time. Our findings are also consistent with Berger, et al. (1997) suggestion that managers with longer tenure become more entrenched, which increases their risk aversion. Prior studies suggest that risk aversion increases with age,2 but our results are robust to controlling for age, and they suggest tenure with the firm, instead of age, as the primary driver of managers’ risk attitude. We also 2 See e.g. Halek and Eisenhauer (2001), and Serfling (2014). 2 consider the matching relationship between firm risk and manager’s portfolio risk, and find firms with higher betas have CEOs with high beta personal stock portfolios. The rest of the paper is organized as follows. In section two, we provide a literature review and discuss our hypotheses regarding the relation between measures describing the decomposition of the CEOs’ total wealth, and firm characteristics. In section three, we describe our data. In section four, we study the relationship between risk characteristics of the CEOs’ total wealth, and risk characteristics for the firm. Section five provides a summary and conclusions. 2. Literature review and hypothesis development Managerial attitudes toward risk can affect corporate decisions in a variety of ways. In a recent study Cain and McKeon (2016) report that CEOs with private pilot licenses make more risk-seeking decisions on corporate acquisitions, capital structure, and other corporate policies. Prior studies on the relationship between components of managerial wealth and corporate risk concentrate on the effects of managerial equity incentives. They typically consider executive compensation design, and whether the compensation plans reach their goals regarding incentive alignment between managers and shareholders. Guay (1999) studies the sensitivity of CEO’s stock and option holdings to firm risk. His results support the idea that managers are more willing to invest in risk-increasing projects when the convexity of their payoffs, in the relation between their wealth and stock price, increases. Guay (1999) also finds that firm risk is positively related to the sensitivity of managers' wealth to equity risk. Cohen, Hall, and Viveira (2000) report that significant increases in 3 executive option holdings are connected to subsequent increases in firm risk (stock volatility). 3 Rajgopal and Shevlin (2002) find that among oil and gas producing firms, executive option incentives tend to encourage future exploration risk taking. In a study of corporate hedging, Knopf, Nam, and Thornton (2002) show that firms’ use of derivatives is negatively (positively) related to vega (delta) of managers’ position in the firm. Kim and Lu (2011) find a hump-shaped relation between CEO ownership and R&D investments when external governance is weak, and interpret it as empirical support for the theory that a high wealth-performance sensitivity leads to insufficient risk-taking. However, in many studies on the relationship between firm risk and managerial ownership, the direction of causality can be questioned. Coles, Daniel, and Naveen (2006) point out that the design of managerial incentives is likely to be influenced by risk and policies of the firm. They address the apparent endogeneity issues that managerial compensation has both with incentives, and with the resulting value-critical managerial investment and debt decisions, i.e. decisions which influence firm risk. Controlling for the endogenous feedback effects of firm risk on compensation, they find that higher prior vega (sensitivity to stock volatility in managerial compensation schemes) is associated with riskier policy choices, and higher leverage. Similar results are also reported by Chava and Purnanandam (2010) concerning both delta (vega), and changes in cash holdings and leverage. They find that higher CEO delta is associated with less risky strategies, while higher CEO vega is connected with more risky strategies. Using an external event as a remedy against endogeneity problems, Low (2009) finds that a greater protection for takeovers for Delaware firms resulted in reduced firm risk, mainly among firms with low CEO 3 Contradictory evidence concerning the relationship between option compensation and firm risk is offered by Hayes et al (2012). Studying changes in option compensation before and after FAS 123R, they find little evidence of a connection between changes in convexity and changes in firm risk. 4 wealth to stock return volatility (low vega). Most of the decrease in risk was due to a decrease in idiosyncratic risk. Also Armstrong and Vashistha (2012) report evidence in support of managers’ preference for systematic rather than idiosyncratic risk taking (when being incentivized by the high vega of their option portfolio), since systematic risk can be hedged by trading the market portfolio. The managerial dislike for idiosyncratic risk is also documented by Panousi and Papanikolaou (2012), who find that when idiosyncratic risk rises, firm investment falls, and more so when managers own a larger fraction of the firm. The negative effect of managerial risk aversion is mitigated if executives are compensated with options rather than shares. Other studies on the effects of CEO wealth components on firm risk consider the relationship between CEO investments in firm debt, and firm characteristics (risk and leverage). Wei and Yermack (2011) study stockholders’ and bondholders’ reactions to publications of CEOs’ inside debt positions (pensions and deferred compensation). They find evidence of wealth redistribution from stockholders to bondholders, which is consistent with risk shifting. They report a significant fall in volatility of both securities for those firms whose CEOs have significant internal debt positions. As a test variable in their study, they use the “relative incentive ratio” (similar to the k ratio derived in Edmans and Liu 2011), measuring how a unit increase in the value of the firm raises the value of the CEO’s inside debt and equity claims, scaled by a similar measure for the firm’s external debt and equity. Cronqvist, Makhija, and Yonker (2012) study how CEO’s debt from their most recent primary home purchase matches with firm leverage. They find support for the notion that individual borrowing decisions are related to corporate borrowing decisions, which lends support for the behavioral hypothesis of endogeneous matching as CEOs with certain personal characteristics match with firms that demand similar characteristics. Their results 5 are also consistent with the idea that CEOs can imprint their personal preferences on the capital structures of the firms they manage. Other studies of inside debt such as Chava, Kumar and Warga (2010), Bolton, Mehran and Shapiro (2010), and Cassell, Huang, Sanchez and Stuaart (2012) lend further support for the view that larger amounts of CEO inside debt (pension benefits and deferred compensation) are associated with reduced firm risk. Inside debt holdings are connected with lower future stock volatility, lower financial leverage, more stringent bond covenants, narrower credit default swap spreads, a higher extent of firm diversification, and higher asset liquidity.4 Although size and composition of CEO’s total wealth is crucial in theoretical utilitybased models of managerial incentives (see e.g. Lambert, Larcker and Verracchia, 1991, and Kahl, Lui and Longstaff, 2003), data constraints tend to restrict empirical applications to poor proxies for managerial wealth. Exceptions include Becker (2006), who study executive compensation using Swedish data on CEOs’ total wealth (but not its decomposition), Dittman and Maug (2007), who proxy total wealth by a time series for all compensation received by the U.S. executives in their study, and Elsilä, et al. (2013) who study the effect of the proportion of CEOs’ investment in their own firm on future accounting performance. While the Elsilä, et al. (2013) paper uses the decomposition of managers’ wealth to investment in own firm, other stock holdings, and non-stock wealth, we are not aware of any prior studies utilizing complete data on CEOs’ portfolio compositions, including complete data within the stock portfolio. Our hypotheses build on both utility theory and behavioral finance. Our first hypothesis is that, consistent with decreasing absolute risk aversion, wealthier managers 4 See also Anantharaman Fang and Gong (2010), Chen, Dou, and Wang (2010), and Wang, Xie, and Xin (2010) for evidence of a relationship between a lower cost of debt and higher CEO inside debt. 6 should be able to bear higher project risk, when project size is controlled for. This argument is similar to Becker (2006), who argues that wealth data provides a good proxy for absolute risk aversion. Assuming constant or decreasing relative risk aversion, we also expect that managers who have a smaller proportion of their wealth tied to the firm they manage should be able to bear higher project risk, when project size is controlled for. If increasing firm risk is optimal from the equity owners’ perspective, we expect that lower managerial risk aversion would be manifested in higher firm risk. Naturally, executive compensation may be used to motivate even more risk-averse managers to bear more firm risk. Hypothesis 1: Controlling for firm size and managerial incentives, wealthier managers are associated with more risky firms. Hypothesis 2: Controlling for firm size and managerial incentives, managers with portfolios more independent of the firm are associated with more risky firms. As our unique data set allows us not only to observe total managerial wealth level and its composition, but also to calculate risk characteristics for the CEO’s total portfolio, more direct tests of the relationship between the risk level chosen by the manager, and firm risk, are possible. 5 We want to compare two alternative hypotheses, those of behavioral consistency versus hedging. The “behavioral consistency theory”6 suggests that an individual behaves in a consistent manner across different comparable situations. Especially for risky choices, support for behavioral consistency has been reported in the finance literature. Cronqvist, Makhija, and Yonker (2012) find support for the behavioral consistency in the form of a match between the leverage choices of CEOs, and their firms. Other evidence from the financial literature include Barsky, Juster, Kimball and Shapiro (1997), who 5 Our data set does not have a long time dimension, which makes it difficult to test for causality. Our hypotheses do therefore not address causality issues (although some of our additional tests may shed some light on the direction of causality). 6 See e.g. Allport (1937, 1966), Epstein (1979, 1980) , and Funder and Colvin (1991). 7 report on a positive correlation between measured risk tolerance and several examples of risky behaviors such as risky investment activity, risky entrepreneurial activity, as well as tobacco and alcohol consumption. Also e.g. the behavioral characteristic of overconfidence seems to influence an individual’s decisions consistently on a broad basis (Malmendier and Tate, 2005, Ben-David, Graham, and Harvey, 2007). In our case, behavioral consistency would suggest that the risk profiles of the CEOs total personal wealth and that of their firm match. Hypothesis 3 (behavioral consistency): There is a positive relationship between risk of the firm, and that of the personal holdings of the CEO. A hypothesis that contradicts behavioral consistency follows straightforward from the standard portfolio theory. If a CEO’s income stream comes from a risky firm, and if he moreover has executive options in such firm, portfolio concerns would imply that CEOs in riskier firms would invest the personal part of their wealth in less risky assets, or a better diversified portfolio, i.e. hedge firm risk with the remaining part of their portfolio.7 Managerial holdings in our data set can either be stock holdings or, more often, executive options. While stocks have a delta one sensitivity towards the stock price of the firm, the executive options in Finland are often issued out-of-the money and thus have a small delta towards the stock price of the firm at the issuance. Several studies suggest that managers tend to avoid risk when the delta of their payoffs is higher (Knopf et al, 2002; Parrino, et al., 2005; Chava and Purnanandam, 2010). To capture the effect of portfolio delta on risk taking, we create a crude measure where we sum up the Black-Scholes values of all in-the-money executive options, i.e. all options that have a delta higher than 0.5. We expect a negative relationship between the amount of managerial wealth in high-delta options and firm risk. 7 Faccio, Marchica, and Mura (2011) report this type of behavior for large shareholders. They find that firms controlled by diversified large shareholders undertake riskier investments. 8 Hypothesis 4: There is a negative relationship between risk of the firm, and that of the CEO wealth invested in higher-delta options. Firm risk-taking that is driven by CEO characteristics can reflect agency problems, whenever CEO risk preferences deviate from those of the firm’s shareholders. In presence of block holders, it is more difficult for the CEO to follow policies that conflict with shareholder preferences, as the block holders tend to monitor management, and also retain decision power through board seats. We therefore hypothesize that the relationships noted in Hypotheses 1 and 2 are weaker when the firm’s ownership is more concentrated. Hypothesis 5: The effects that managerial wealth and proportion of CEO wealth invested in own firm have on firm risk are weaker in firms with more concentrated ownership. 3. Data and descriptive statistics We use a unique data set of CEO wealth, wealth composition and compensation. Our data cover the CEOs of all companies listed on the Helsinki Stock Exchange between 2002 and 2005. The wealth data indicate holdings in equities and other securities at the security/single security level, executive options, real-estate holdings (including land and forest). We also have similar information on each CEOs personal indebtedness. Furthermore, the data include information on the total taxable income and capital income (capital gains, rental income, interest income, etc.). We obtain the wealth and income data from the Finnish tax authority, who kept complete wealth records until the wealth tax was abolished in Finland in 2006.8 In the wealth 8 Finnish tax data can be considered very reliable. Firstly, tax records are public in Finland, and they generate a lot of public scrutiny and media attention. A CEO who is concerned about her reputation is thus unlikely to 9 taxation, the tax authorities used so-called taxation values for wealth items. These values were, however, converging towards actual market values at the time of our study period. We take the taxation values as given for real estate and other wealth such as forest ownership, but recalculate actual market values for equities (based on the exact information of stock ownership for each CEO at each year-end) as well as executive options, using market data from the stock market as well as the Black-Scholes model for the options. 9 The lack of market value data on specific real estate items introduces some bias towards equities in our data set. Also, poorly diversified managers, the use of the BS model for the executive options may introduce an upward bias since the private value (for the CEO) of such options may be less than their market value (Meulbroek 2001). In our robustness tests, we therefore use the Meulbroek (2001) model with actual data on the CEO’s degree of diversification (the part of her total wealth invested in the firm employing the CEO). Our executive option data come from Alexander Corporate Finance Oy, a dominant consultant of companies in Finland regarding ESOPs. Their data set covers the entire listed market, as they have complemented their data set with information on the few programs of listed firms that were not consulted by Alexander Corporate Finance Oy. 10 Our data set thus includes all stock option plans for all Finnish listed firms during our sample period. The option data contain information regarding the introduction date of stock option plans, the target group, vesting periods and contract maturities, the exercise prices, the number of provide wrongful information in her tax returns. Secondly, Finns are very devoted to conform to the rules. In the 2007 Trusted Brand Survey by Reader’s Digest, 72% of the Finns viewed themselves as conformists, compared to the global average of 19%. 9 The inputs for the standard B&S model are, besides option characteristics including time-to-maturity at the end of each year, the past 12 month stock volatility, and the 12-month EURIBOR rate. In our robustness tests, we consider the Meulbroek (2001) model, where also data on the manager’s relative size of other holdings as well as the expected return on the diversified (“market portfolio”) part is needed. We have used an expected return of 15% and an annual risk-free rate of 5% as the estimates. Our results are not sensitive to the way the CEO’s option portfolio is calculated. 10 The same executive option data set is used by Liljeblom, et al. (2011). 10 shares obtainable upon exercise of stock options, and whether the stock options are subject to dividend protection and/or performance-vesting/indexing. For financial statement data, industry codes, and stock return and price data, we rely on Worldscope and Datastream. The variables used in our analysis are defined in Appendix A. The number of firms listed on the Helsinki Stock Exchange during our sample years is 144 (2002), 136 (2003), 137 (2004) and 131 (2005), which sums up to 548 potential data points. A small number of missing data points and listings/de-listings in the middle of the year cause minor deterioration in our sample so that the final full sample consists of 532 firm-year observations for 162 different firms.11 Descriptive statistics for various measures of CEO wealth and wealth composition, along with other firm characteristics, are reported in Table 1. The table provides information regarding CEO characteristics, wealth, and income in Panel A, and firm characteristics in Panel B. Panel A of Table 1 shows that more than half of the CEOs in our sample do not own stocks in the firm they work at, since the median for the variable HoldingsOwnFirm is zero. On the other hand, when they do so, their ownership in the firm where they work exceeds their average ownership of other equity (HoldingsOtherEquity) by a multiple of more than ten. We take advantage of this cross-sectional variation in CEO holdings, and in our regressions use Wealth%OwnFirm that controls for the CEOs stock exposure to their own firm. CEO holdings of stocks outside their own firm is indeed markedly low, with an 11 To avoid further deterioration, we use a substitution method to replace missing data points for firm characteristics that we use as control variables. In the substitution method we replace a missing data point by the cross sectional median for the data item in that year. Despite the resulting smaller sample size, our results are virtually identical when firms with any missing variables are dropped from the regressions. 11 average portfolio value of only roughly 62 thousand euros, and a maximum of 2.7 million euros. Also the degree of diversification is in general low in terms of the number of equity instruments in their portfolio, EquityPortf_#Instrum having an average of 2.3, and a maximum of 34.12 The option incentives provide a very skewed pay-off profile, with a mean of 275 692 euros, and a maximum of 50.7 million euros in terms of their Black-Scholes values. The personal characteristics for the CEOs indicate that the average age is 50 years, varying from 33 to 76 years, while their tenure with the firm varies from 0 to 32 years, with an average of 6.6 years. We will later use logarithmic or winsorized values for some variables exhibiting large outliers or a very skewed distribution. Panel B of Table 1 reports the descriptive statistics for firms in our sample. The average market-to-book values are rather high since the Finnish stock market during our study period included many IT-firms, with high market-to-book values. The average ROA in turn is slightly negative during this after-crash period of 2002 to 2005. A typical feature for the Finnish stock market is also the large variation in ownership concentration, ranging from widely-held firms such as Nokia, to very closely held firms. As Panel B of Table 1 indicates, the five largest shareholders own an average of close to 50% of the aggregated ownership. The average debt-to-assets is low, at less than 17%, although the individual values reach very high levels for some small growth firms.13 The average for our primary proxy of firm risk, i.e. firm beta, is 0.6, with a range from -1.16 to 2.45. The large range of beta values reflects the turbulent time period in the Finnish stock market, after bursting of the IT- 12 CEOs do not seem to deviate much from general Finnish population. In 2005, 13% of the Finnish population held stocks, and even among the richest one percent of the population, only 49.3% were stockholders (Keloharju, et al., 2012). 13 The extreme values for Sales_Growth and Debt_to_Assets are both produced by a single young pharmaceutical company engaged in product development. The drop in sales was extreme due to small numbers (the company had hardly any sales yet), and the equity was negative one (the company was largely financed by convertible loans). The winsorizing used in our estimations will reduce the impact of such outliers. 12 bubble.14 We begin our analysis of the determinants of firm risk-taking in Table 2, where we compare the CEO wealth variables in two groups of firms, those with a stock beta below or above the sample median. As expected, Table 2 indicates that higher incentives are offered for managers in riskier firms. The average for CashPay is significantly higher for high risk firms. The average for the variable OptionBS_value also takes a much higher value in the group of high risk firms, but due to the high standard deviation of this variable, the difference has a p-value of slightly over five percent. Table 2 also supports the idea that managers in riskier firms are more diversified, since the average for OtherWealth, is significantly (at the 1% level) higher for managers of riskier firms. Finally, CEO_Tenure is significantly lower in high beta firms. It is consistent with new CEOs taking more risk, as in Alderson, et al. (2014), but it may also suggest that CEO turnover is higher among high beta firms. 4. CEO characteristics and firm risk 4.1. Beta and idiosynchractic risk 4.1.1. Baseline model for beta Recall that our first hypothesis is based on decreasing absolute risk aversion, as we expect that wealthier managers are able to bear higher firm risk. In tests of our Hypothesis 1, we use Beta_Firm as our primary proxy of firm risk. This is motivated by recent evidence of Armstrong and Vashishtha (2012) and Panousi and Papanikolau (2012), suggesting that CEOs are most interested in adjusting the systematic risk of their firms. In our Hypothesis 2, 14 In order to reduce the effects from potential outliers, we winsorize our risk measures for our regression models. 13 we posit that manager’s portfolio composition affects her risk-taking. We expect that managers with portfolios that are more independent of the firm should be able to bear more firm risk. To test the effect of managerial portfolio independence from the firm, we include Wealth%OwnFirm in our model.15 Since a possible connection between the CEO’s personal risk aversion and the firm risk he is willing to carry may be influenced by executive compensation packages designed to incentivize the manager to carry more risk, we include a control variable measuring the Black-Scholes value of the CEO’s current portfolio of executive options in the firm where he is employed.16 We expect a positive sign for this control variable as more risky firms are likely to grant more such options – and such options are likely to influence the managers willingness to carry a higher firm risk (i.e. an endogeneous relationship between these variables is likely to exist17). As additional controls, we include CEO characteristics such as age and tenure, as well as variables capturing the personal risk-taking of the CEO. For the latter, we use the beta of the CEO’s equity portfolio. Besides a firm size control, our firm variables include controls that are related to firm risk, namely leverage and an indicator for firm level diversification. We also include a control for sales growth, as high growth may have a 15 We obtain very similar inferences if we replace Wealth%OwnFirm with an indicator for CEOs who have exposure to their own firm. 16 In our regressions, we have used the standard B&S values for the executive options. Robustness tests (not reported here) show that our results are qualitatively quite similar when using the Meulbroek (2001) model to evaluate the executive options. 17 Since the incentive effect is not our focus variable in the study, we do not go further into exploring endogeneity issues between firm risk and option compensation. Instead, we are interested in whether managerial characteristics and wealth are, even after controlling for option incentives, related to firm risk. 14 leverage-like effect on firm risk.18 Finally, a variable for ownership concentration captures the effect of concentrated ownership structure. Concentrated ownership may indicate poorly diversified owners, who would have a lower preference for firm risk. Concentrated ownership also affects the CEO’s ability to imprint his preferences to firm behavior, as block owners tend to attain an active role in corporate governance. Our basic model is: Beta_Firm = +TotalWealth +Wealth%OwnFirm +EquityPf_beta+ (Other CEO characteristics) + (Firm characteristics) + where the vector of other CEO characteristics includes ln(OptionBS_value), ln(CEO_Age), ln(CEO_Tenure), Wealth%OwnFirm and EquityPortf_Beta, and the firm characteristics include Ln(Sales), SalesGrowth, Debt_to_Assets, Many_SIC and 5_largest_shareholders. The results are reported in Table 3. We begin with a simple model in Column (1), where we include neither CEO controls nor firm characteristics. However, fixed industry effects are included in this, and all other regression specifications. We find that firm beta increases with CEO total wealth. This supports our hypothesis 1, i.e. that in line with decreasing absolute risk aversion, wealthier managers can carry more risk. We also obtain the expected negative sign for our second variable of interest, Wealth%OwnFirm. This provides support for our hypothesis 2, which was derived on the basis of decreasing relative risk aversion. Managers with a smaller proportion of their wealth tied to the firm that they 18 See Bernardo, Chowdhry, Goyal (2007) for how to decompose a firm’s beta into the beta of assets-in-place and the beta of growth opportunities. Their empirical results indicate that beta of growth opportunities is greater than the beta of assets-in-place for virtually all industries over a long period of time. 15 manage seem to be more inclined to take risk. Even our hypothesis 3 on behavioral consistency receives support, as the beta on personal equity portfolios is positively related to firm beta. On the latter finding, it is important to note that Wealth%OwnFirm controls for the presence of the firm’s own stock in some of the CEO portfolios. In column (2), we add the option portfolio, CEO age, and CEO tenure as additional controls. All three of our test variables are robust to these additions. In columns (3) and (4) of Table 3, we include firm-level accounting variables into our specification. The findings reported in columns (1) & (2) are robust to this addition as well, with the exception that the coefficient on TotalWealth is no longer statistically significant. Since the accounting variables, particularly Debt to Assets behave very differently between industrial firms and financial firms, we follow the common practice and drop financial firms from our sample for these regressions, and subsequent analysis done with our full set of covariates.19 Regarding CEO characteristics, the results in Table 3 indicate that CEO tenure is inversely related to risk, i.e. firm risk is lower in firms which have had the same CEO for a long time. This is consistent with Berger, et al. (1997) suggestion that CEOs with longer tenure are more entrenched and subsequently also more risk averse. It is also consistent with Alderson, et al. (2014) finding that newly-hired CEOs tend to implement riskier strategies. Interestingly, Serfling (2014) relate risk-aversion to age, but not to tenure, whereas in our dataset, the finding on tenure is not explained by CEO age, which we control for as well. Among our control variables, firm size (ln(sales)) increases firm beta, and higher holdings by top-5 shareholders decrease it. The value of CEO’s option portfolio is positively related to firm risk, but that finding is not robust to inclusion of accounting controls in columns (3) and (4). 19 See e.g. Armstrong and Vashishtha (2012) and Chava and Purnanandam (2010). 16 4.1.2. Option portfolios, governance, and the beta model Next, we perform additional tests of the relationship between firm risk and managerial wealth characteristics. First, we test our Hypothesis 4, and explore the effects of option incentives in more detail. The model by Parrino, et al. (2005) suggests that managers holding in-the-money options (which are more stock-like than at-the-money of out-of-themoney options) are more risk-averse to downside movements of the stock. This result is naturally also related to prior studies that link executive option delta to both vega and firm risk management (see e.g. Knopf, Nam, and Thornton 2002). Both effects speak for a reduced willingness to carry risk. Since the CEOs in our data set typically hold options from a number of different executive option program (ESOP) tranches, with different contract terms, we create a simple measure which in essence combines the effects of the deltas and vegas of the options in the portfolio. We divide the BS value of each manager’s total executive options at each year-end into the value of options that are in-the-money (ITM), and the value of all other options. The ITM options represent 40.4% of the total option portfolio value, so about 60% of the options in our sample are out-of-the-money. Column 1 of Table 4 replicates the last column of Table 3, with the exception that we split ln(OptionBS_value) into separate variables of ln(OptionBS_not_ITM) and ln(OptionBS_ITM). Our results support the Parrino, et al. (2005) idea that out-of-the-money option holdings are more likely to encourage managers to corporate risk taking, as ln(OptionBS_not_ITM) enters with a coefficient that is highly significant with a positive sign, while the coefficient for the ITM options is indistinguishable from zero. Next, we test our Hypothesis 5, that corporate governance can weaken the relationships between managerial wealth, managerial holdings in own firm, and firm risk. Our Table 3 results already suggest that ownership structure affects corporate risk taking. 17 We define a corporate governance measure that follows Becker (2006), and proxy a stronger governance relationship with a dummy, that takes the value of one if the combined holdings of the five largest shareholders exceed 30% of the equity in the firm, and zero otherwise.20 We interact this dummy, Owner>30%, first with TotalWealth (Table 4, column 2), and then with Wealth%OwnFirm (Table 4, column 3), leaving 5_largest_shareholders out to avoid multicollinearity. We find that the interaction term is negative and significant for TotalWealth, indicating that governance by large (potentially poorly diversified) owners is associated with a weaker relationship between managerial wealth and firm risk than otherwise. The latter interaction term with Wealth%OwnFirm also obtains a negative, albeit not statistically significant coefficient. These results may be interpreted as a result of two effects jointly pointing to the same direction and together producing a significant effect: when the manager is poorly diversified, and the ownership is highly concentrated (owned by most likely poorly diversified owners), i.e. when it is in the interest of both the CEO and large owners to take less risk, the firm beta is significantly lower in comparison to other firms. 4.1.3. CEO salary and its effect on risk taking As noted in Table 1, the average CEO in our dataset is not particularly wealthy. Given that the median total wealth in our sample is only slightly over 250,000 euros and the median cash pay is 183,000, the current income seems to play a significant role on wealthiness of our sample CEOs. In this section, we repeat our Table 3 analysis, while replacing total wealth with a measure that proxies the CEO’s level of reliance on current income. Variable RelSalary is defined as the ratio between current cash pay and total 20 In Finland, equity ownership is strongly concentrated also in many listed firms. On the other hand, there are also many firms with a quite dispersed ownership. In our data set, 82% of the observations have obtain the dummy value of one, indicating that five largest shareholders own more than 30% of the firm. 18 wealth.21 The results are reported in Table 5. In the first two columns of Table 5, we use Beta_Firm as the dependent variable. Not surprisingly, CEOs that rely more on the current income from the firm are connected to lower firm risk. This can be viewed as further evidence in support of our Hypothesis 2, as managers that are more dependent on the firm take less risk. Our earlier findings on Wealth%OwnFirm are now somewhat weaker, but the connection between firm beta and CEO portfolio beta persists. In the last two columns of Table 5, our dependent variable is the firm’s idiosynchratic risk. CEOs that rely more on their current income seem to shy away from this type of risk as well, while neither general wealth level nor equity portfolio beta affect idiosynchratic risk. Both age and tenure enter with negative and weakly significant signs. 4.1.4. Determinants of idiosychratic risk Prior empirical evidence (e.g. Armstrong and Vashistha 2012, Panousi and Papanikolau 2012) indicate that managers are more willing to undertake systematic firm risk (which can be hedged) than idiosyncratic firm risk. In untabulated tests, we test for the relationship between manager wealth and its components, and the firm’s idiosynchratic risk by regressing the variable Idiosynchr_Risk on the same variables as in model (1). None of our test variables have a significant effect on the firm’s idiosynchratic risk. The only two variables with consistent findings are age and tenure, which are both inversely related to idiosynchratic risk. Hence, these results fail to support the notion that managers would be more concerned about unsystematic than systematic risk, at least not as it is 21 Recall that CashPay captures the entire taxable income from employment, including the value of any option exercises. 19 reflected in their personal wealth decisions. 4.1.5. ROA volatility of the firm as a measure of risk In addition to the market-based measures of firm risk, such as beta and idiosynchratic stock return volatility, we perform tests using the primary measure for corporate risk taking used by Faccio, Marchica, and Mura (2011). In their cross-country study, they use the volatility of a country and industry-adjusted profitability,(ROA), calculated on the basis of a minimum of five lagged observations. Table 6 reports the results of the tests of our CEO wealth characteristics as determinants of (ROA)in specifications similar to those in Table 3, columns (3) & (4). Due to data limitations, our sample shrinks to 286 firm-year observations. We find that our results are somewhat different when risk is measured as volatility of the ROA. Total wealth is weakly positively related to risk. Wealth in own firm enters with a positive but insignificant coefficient, whereas in the previous tables, the variable has obtained a negative and significant coefficient. Also, equity portfolio beta fails to affect firm volatility. Among control variables, firm size has a negative effect on risk (in contrast to Table 3). All in all, the results in Table 6 are consistent with our earlier findings that wealthier CEOs are connected to riskier firms. Our earlier findings regarding the effect of ln(CEO_Age) and ln(CEO_Tenure) on corporate risk taking also receive additional support in Table 6. To summarize our regression results, we find support for our hypothesis 1, i.e. that more wealthy managers are associated with riskier firms at least when the firm’s systematic (beta) risk is concerned. The relationship is weaker in firms with a large shareholder, our proxy for corporate governance. We also find support for other relationships between 20 managerial characteristics and the firm’s beta risk. We find that the manager’s tenure is negatively and typically highly significantly related to firm risk, either indicating a higher CEO turnover in risky firms, new CEOs engaging in more risky corporate policies, or that managers that stay as managers for a longer time can imprint a lower risk on the firm. We also find support for a positive relationship between ln(OptionBS_value) and firm risk. Specification tests reveal that this relationship is due to the part of the CEO’s option portfolio where the executive options are out-of-the-money. This result is in line with the predictions of Parrino et al (2005) and also with the idea that the willingness to undertake risk is negatively related to option delta (Knopf et al 2002). Since endogeneity issues can be the cause of such relationship,22 we further elaborated on it in our robustness tests. These tests also aim to separate the connection between firm risk and executive compensation design from the effects of managerial incentives on firm risk-taking. Our results support a positive relationship between the CEO’s total wealth and firm risk (beta) even when a potential effect from firm risk on executive option compensation is accounted for. Thus we obtain support for our hypothesis 1. We find similar evidence regarding the Wealth%OwnFirm variable. We thus obtain support also for our hypothesis 2, i.e. more independent managers are connected to higher firm risk. Our results regarding a matching relationship between CEO’s portfolio beta and firm beta support our hypothesis 3, as we find a positive connection between the two variables. 22 On one hand, high executive option compensation may be used to motivate managers to undertake riskier investments /to carry more risk, and thus lead to a positive association between executive option values and firm beta. On the other hand, since the option value is positively related to the volatility of the underlying asset, the causality may come from an external shock simultaneously causing increased firm risk and increased option values, if the firm’s total risk and beta risk are related. 21 5. Summary and conclusions Using unique data on CEO’s total wealth and its decomposition item by item, we study the relationship between firm risk and CEO characteristics. We contribute to the literature on the effects of managerial risk aversion, and the incentivizing effects of managerial compensation, on firm risk taking. Following Cronqvist, Makhija and Yonker (2012), we test the “behavioral consistency theory” and consider the matching relationship between managerial and corporate risk preferences. The mechanism that can cause a match between managerial risk aversion and firm risk may either be endogenous matching (i.e. firms seeking managers with certain personal characteristics) or the influence of the CEO on firm risk. We find that wealthier CEOs are associated with riskier firms in terms of both firm beta, and ROA volatility. Our results suggest that CEOs in our sample have decreasing absolute risk aversion. We also provide support for the hypothesis that managers whose wealth is more independent of the firm are associated with riskier firms, which suggests decreasing relative risk aversion. 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Variable definitions for key variables The table describes our key variables for CEO (Panel A) and the firm (Panel B). Wealth and income data are from the Finnish tax authority; financial statement data, industry codes and stock return and price data are from Datastream. Firm ownership data are from Pörssiyhtiöt books and the Finnish Central Securities Depository; dividend and share repurchase data are from the Helsinki Stock Exchange, and ESOP data are from Alexander Corporate Finance Oy. All nominal variables (“values”) are denoted in euros. By “own firm” we refer to the firm employing the CEO. The time period is 2002 to 2005, and the sample covers 532 firm-years for 162 firms. Panel A. CEO characteristics CEO_Age The age of the CEO at year-end. CEO_Tenure Tenure with company in years, rounded to the closest full year. CashPay The total taxable income from employment for a specific calendar-year. CapitalIncome The total taxable income from capital gains, rents and other capital income for a specific calendar-year. TotalWealth The total taxable value of the CEO wealth (gross of debt). Equities are calculated at the market value at the year-end, while for other assets, their taxational values determined by the tax authorities have been used PersonalDebt CEO’s personal total debt, plus 1 euro to avoid zeros. Wealth_ volatility The weekly one-year return variance for the CEOs total gross wealth, using stock market data for the listed part of the wealth, and zero for the unlisted part. Personal_leverage PersonalDebt to TotalWealth. HoldingsOwnFirm Value of gross holdings in the firm employing the CEO, in euros. Wealth%OwnFirm HoldingsOwnFirm to TotalWealth. HoldingsOtherEquity Value of other equity holdings (excluding holdings in own firm). Identical to EquityPortfolio(ex own). EquityPortfolio The sum of HoldingsOwnFirm and HoldingsOtherEquity. RealEstateValue The total value of real-estate holdings. FlatsValue The total value of apartments owned RealEstateTotal The sum of RealEstateValue and FlatsValue. TotalWealth minus EquityPortfolio. Includes thus RealEstateTotal as well as OtherWealth other taxable wealth such as forests etc. EquityPortf_Beta The market beta for the CEOs EquityPortfolio (i.e. sum of HoldingsOwnFirm and HoldingsOtherEquity), measured against the OMX Helsinki Cap-index. EquityPortf_#Instrum The number of securities in the CEOs EquityPortfolio. OptionBS_value The Black-Sholes-value of the CEOs ESOP portfolio at year-end, plus 1 euro. OptionBS_ITM The Black-Sholes-value of that part of OptionBS_value which consists of in-themoney options. OptionBS_not_ITM The difference between OptionBS_value and OptionBS_ITM. Panel B. Firm characteristivs Sales Sales denoted in millions of euros. SalesGrowth Growth of sales as compared to previous year in percent Market_to_Book Market value of equity/Book value of equity. ROA EBIT/Total Assets. Recent ROA volatility, calculated on the basis of at least 5 observations. (ROA) Free_Cash_Flow (EBIT + depreciation & amortization)/Sales. Capex/Sales Capital expenditures / Total sales Debt_to_Assets Total long term debt / Total assets. Mkt_leverage Book debt to the sum of book debt and market equity. Tang Property, plant and equipment over total assets. For_Own % of shares held by foreign investors. 5_largest_shareholders % of shares held by 5 largest shareholders. Owner>30% A dummy taking the value of 1 if 5_largest_shareholders > 30%. Variance_Firm The variance of weekly stock price changes during the previous year. Beta_Firm Market beta for the firm as measured against the OMX Helsinki Cap-index. Idiosynchr_Risk The firm’s unique risk , based on a variance decomposition of the firm’s total risk (Variance_Firm) into systematic risk (Beta_Firm squared times market variance) and unique variance. Idiosynchr_Risk is defined as the square root of unique variance. Market risk has been proxied by the weekly standard deviation of the OMX Helsinki Cap-index for the year in question. 29 12month_return_firm Many_SIC Change in the market value of the company during the last 12 months. A dummy for firms with more than 2 SIC-codes at the 2-digit level. 30 Table 1. Descriptive statistics This table reports descriptive statistics for key variables describing CEOs’ total wealth, income, and the risk variables related to CEO’s wealth in Panel A (for the full sample) and in Panel C (for two subgroups based on firm beta below or above sample median), and firms characteristics in Panel B. See Appendix A for variable definitions. The study period is from 2002 to 2005, and the sample covers 532 firm-years for 162 different firms. The t-test in the last column of Panel C tests for differences in variable averages for high vs low beta firms, and the asterisks denote significance at the 1% (***), 5% (**) and 10% (*) levels in two-sided tests, respectively. Panel A. CEO characteristics , wealth, and income CEO_Age CEO_Tenure CashPay CapitalIncome TotalWealth Mean 50.0 6.6 384,136 303,604 2,557,215 50 4 183,342 7,116 254,665 33 0 0 0 0 76 32 16,200,000 24,400,000 196,822,149 529 523 531 531 532 HoldingsOwnFirm HoldingsOtherEquity FlatsValue RealEstateTotal 671,478 62,591 23,094 49,051 1,823,146 0.04 0.55 0.21 2.32 275,692 Mean 0 0 0 0 221,475 0.00 0.09 0 0 0 Median 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.16 0 0 141,983,541 2,676,379 2,553,400 2,780,158 126,616,747 2.85 10.72 2.45 34 50,700,000 Max 532 536 531 531 532 437 530 536 536 536 307.05 0.19 2.07 -0.01 0.22 0.17 0.18 0.48 0.01 0.60 0.05 0.24 2.21 29.17 0.02 1.70 0.04 0.15 0.14 0.08 0.48 0.00 0.52 0.04 0.19 2 0 -1 -29.77 -4.43 -5.67 0 0 0.01 0.00 -1.16 0.01 -0.88 0 10 333 20.80 83.66 0.29 15.53 2.38 0.93 1.00 0.15 2.45 0.39 11.60 8 536 522 536 511 373 494 523 523 533 521 521 515 536 OtherWealth Wealth_volatility Personal_leverage EquityPortf_Beta EquityPortf_#Instrum OptionBS_value Panel B. Firm characteristics Sales (millions of euros) Sales_Growth Market_to_Book ROA Free_Cash_Flow Debt_to_Assets For_Own 5_largest_shareholders Variance_Firm Beta_Firm Idiosynchr_Risk 12month_return_firm # of 2-digit_SIC_codes Median 31 Min Max Min Obs Table 2. Differences between high and low beta firms This table reports differences in averages for CEO wealth and income variables for high vs low beta firms. The two groups include firms whose beta is above (below) the sample median, respectively, and the asterisks denote significance at the 1% (***), 5% (**) and 10% (*) levels in two-sided tests, respectively. See Appendix A for variable definitions. Variable CEO_Age CEO_Tenure CashPay CapitalIncome TotalWealth HoldingsOwnFirm HoldingsOtherEquity FlatsValue RealEstateTotal OtherWealth Wealth_volatility EquityPortf_Beta EquityPortf_#Instrum OptionBS_value Firms with below median beta Mean St.dev. Firms with above median beta Obs Mean St.dev. 50.48 7.31 246 471 7.20 7.10 321 352 236 293 1 527 386 657 552 57 406 26 261 46 070 804 115 0.02 0.12 950 381 9 285 661 8 814 280 226 285 167 899 193 857 1 974 839 0.11 0.36 2.25 59 690 4.92 232 689 32 255 252 257 Obs t-test for diff. 49.55 5.89 513 260 6.80 6.61 1 129 263 274 271 274 -1.53 -2.37** 1.73* 257 366 739 258 3 526 908 261 674 928 261 66 601 259 20 079 259 51 529 258 2 782 672 211 0.05 261 0.28 1 866 725 16 600000 7 145 084 265 037 69 897 189 926 11 800000 0.29 0.45 274 274 275 275 272 272 274 226 275 0.02 0.43 0.03 0.43 -0.55 0.33 2.66*** 1.02 4.59*** 261 261 4.27 3 484 376 275 275 0.24 1.95* 2.35 480 698 Table 3. Firm beta and managerial wealth characteristics This table reports coefficient estimates and t-values from regressing the beta of the firm (Beta_Firm) on firm and ownership characteristics as well as variables related to the CEO’s personal wealth and its risk, using robust and clustered standard errors. For variable definitions, see Appendix A. The variable TotalWealth has been winsorized at the 95th percentile. The asterisks denote significance at the 1% (***), 5% (**) and 10% levels (*), respectively. Model TotalWealth Wealth%OwnFirm (1) (2) (3) (4) 0.0362** (2.494) -0.3591** (-2.463) 0.0433*** (2.917) -0.3661** (-2.451) 0.2586 (1.447) -0.0659** (-2.340) 0.1869*** (3.471) 0.0103*** (2.804) 0.0227 (1.574) -0.3232** (-2.210) 0.0966 (0.537) -0.0700** (-2.580) 0.1404*** (2.680) 0.0031 (0.837) 0.0751*** (5.703) -0.0687 (-0.708) -0.1670* (-1.819) 0.0504 (1.078) -1.1972* (-1.702) yes 510 0.266 0.3604 (0.517) yes 454 0.323 0.0239 (1.598) -0.3162** (-2.168) 0.0848 (0.470) -0.0685** (-2.497) 0.1337** (2.571) 0.0014 (0.393) 0.0675*** (5.083) -0.0608 (-0.626) -0.1406 (-1.524) 0.0425 (0.894) -0.2351* (-1.923) -0.3929 (-0.554) yes 454 0.328 ln(CEO_Age) ln(CEO_Tenure) EquityPortf_Beta 0.2130*** (3.962) ln(OptionBS_value) ln(Sales) SalesGrowth Debt_to_Assets Many_SIC Top5_s.holders Constant Industry effects Observations Adj. R-squared 0.7263*** (3.552) yes 515 0.244 33 Table 4. Firm beta, option incentives, and corporate governance This table reports coefficient estimates and t-values from specification tests of the relationship between the beta of the firm (Beta_Firm) and firm and ownership characteristics as well as variables related to the CEO’s personal wealth and its risk, using robust and clustered standard errors. For variable definitions, see Appendix A. The variable TotalWealth has been winsorized at the 95th percentile. The asterisks denote significance at the 1% (***), 5% (**) and 10% levels (*), respectively. Model TotalWealth Wealth%OwnFirm ln(CEO_Age) ln(CEO_Tenure) EquityPortf_Beta (1) (2) (3) 0.0257 (1.652) -0.3711** (-2.587) 0.0658 (0.367) -0.0712** (-2.539) 0.1592*** (2.811) 0.0808** (2.543) -0.2739* (-1.839) 0.1118 (0.611) -0.0685** (-2.505) 0.1203** (2.402) 0.0008 (0.226) 0.0241 (1.627) 0.0218 (0.041) 0.0967 (0.531) -0.0702** (-2.572) 0.1203** (2.282) 0.0011 (0.305) 0.0631*** (4.624) -0.0452 (-0.464) -0.1347 (-1.435) 0.0366 (0.804) 0.0691*** (5.218) -0.0629 (-0.644) -0.1439 (-1.557) 0.0487 (1.047) 0.7565* (1.909) -0.0707** (-2.148) -0.1152* (-1.874) ln(OptionBS_value) ln(OptionBS_ITM) ln(OptionBS_not_ITM) ln(Sales) SalesGrowth Debt_to_Assets Many_SIC 5_largest_shareholders -0.0039 (-0.987) 0.0106** (2.225) 0.0663*** (4.992) -0.0661 (-0.672) -0.1659* (-1.832) 0.0360 (0.796) -0.2015 (-1.587) Owner>30% TotalWealth_* Owner>30% Wealth%OwnFirm_*_Owner>30% Constant Industry effects Observations Adj. R-squared 0.6154 (0.913) yes 433 0.330 -0.3379 (-0.433) yes 454 0.338 34 -0.3464 (-0.640) 0.4490 (0.632) yes 454 0.330 Table 5. Managerial income and firm risk taking This table reports coefficient estimates and t-values from regressing beta of the firm (Firm_Beta) in columns (1) & (2), and idiosynchratic firm risk (Idiosynchr_Risk) in columns (3) & (4) on firm and ownership characteristics as well as variables related to the CEO’s personal wealth and its risk, using robust and clustered standard errors. For variable definitions, see Appendix A. The asterisks denote significance at the 1% (***), 5% (**) and 10% levels (*), respectively. Model RelSalary Wealth%OwnFirm ln(CEO_Age) ln(CEO_Tenure) EquityPortf_Beta ln(OptionBS_value) ln(Sales) SalesGrowth Debt_to_Assets Many_SIC 5_largest_shareholders Constant Industry effects Observations Adj. R-squared (1) Beta_Firm -0.0005** (-2.559) -0.2557* (-1.742) 0.1088 (0.597) -0.0556** (-2.081) 0.1391*** (2.677) 0.0013 (0.354) 0.0717*** (5.607) -0.0555 (-0.582) -0.1549* (-1.741) 0.0462 (0.989) -0.2279* (-1.828) -0.2185 (-0.310) yes 454 0.324 (2) Beta_Firm -0.0005** (-2.325) -0.3196** (-2.054) 0.3898** (2.033) -0.0540* (-1.799) 0.1831*** (3.323) 0.0109*** (2.710) -1.1578 (-1.549) yes 454 0.246 35 (3) Idiosynchr_Risk -0.0001*** (-3.057) 0.0026 (0.243) -0.0078 (-0.863) -0.0046* (-1.851) -0.0001 (-0.055) 0.0002 (0.802) -0.0038*** (-4.280) -0.0123 (-1.579) 0.0068 (0.561) 0.0072 (1.209) 0.0153 (1.584) 0.0731* (1.955) yes 454 0.304 (4) Idiosynchr_Risk -0.0001** (-2.506) 0.0035 (0.344) -0.0200** (-2.199) -0.0051* (-1.912) -0.0029 (-1.210) -0.0002 (-0.733) 0.1138*** (3.056) Yes 454 0.247 Table 6. ROA volatility and CEO wealth characteristics This table reports coefficient estimates and t-values from regressing (ROA) on firm and ownership characteristics as well as variables related to the CEO’s personal wealth and its risk, using robust and clustered standard errors. For variable definitions, see Appendix A. The asterisks denote significance at the 1% (***), 5% (**) and 10% levels (*), respectively. Model TotalWealth Wealth%OwnFirm ln(CEO_Age) ln(CEO_Tenure) EquityPortf_Beta ln(OptionBS_value) ln(Sales) SalesGrowth Debt_to_Assets Many_SIC (1) (2) 0.0045* (1.748) 0.0282 (1.380) -0.1071** (-2.533) -0.0121** (-2.326) 0.0014 (0.234) 0.0013 (1.140) -0.0111*** (-3.379) 0.0365 (1.136) 0.0761 (1.044) -0.0123 (-0.959) 0.0045* (1.747) 0.0284 (1.340) -0.1069** (-2.466) -0.0121** (-2.317) 0.0014 (0.229) 0.0013 (1.135) -0.0112*** (-3.284) 0.0365 (1.134) 0.0764 (1.030) -0.0123 (-0.955) -0.0020 (-0.075) 0.4845*** (2.925) yes 286 0.383 5_largest_shareholders Constant Industry effects Observations R-squared 0.4833*** (2.839) yes 286 0.386 36
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