economic brief Fuel Prices May 2017 The following information was sourced from the Australian Institute of Petroleum (AIP) and the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC). Gross indicative retail differences (GIRDs) are the average retail price less the published terminal gate prices and are used as an indication of gross retail margins. The reported monthly average price for April 2017 is for the four weeks ending 4 June 2017 unless otherwise stated. Chart 1: Retail Unleaded Petrol Price (ULP) (monthly average) cpl Northern Territory 190 170 150 130 Australia 110 90 70 Unleaded Petrol 50 The average retail price of unleaded petrol (ULP) across the Territory was 133.2 cents per litre (cpl). The monthly average retail ULP price differential between the Territory and the national average was 6.2 cpl (Chart 1). 30 Darwin Average retail ULP price Monthly change 131.4 cpl 0.2 cpl Alice Springs Katherine n.p. 2 140.5 cpl Tennant Creek n.p. 0.1 cpl 2 price differential 10 -10 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Year ended June Source: Australian Institute of Petroleum, DTF Chart 2: Retail ULP Price and Gross Indicative Retail Difference (March 2017 average) cpl 160 140 Northern Territory Average1 133.2 cpl 0.8 cpl 120 Australia1 127.0 cpl 1.8 cpl 100 126.6 125.4 127.2 129.8 131.4 123.5 124.4 138.7 127.0 1 weighted average 2 AIP did not publish fuel price data The Darwin average retail price of ULP was 131.4 cpl, the second highest retail price of all capital cities (Chart 2). Darwin recorded an average GIRD for ULP of 12.4 cpl, equal with the national average GIRD for ULP (Chart 3). This was the third highest GIRD for the month, behind Melbourne and Hobart. GIRDs across the capital cities ranged from 8.9 cpl in Brisbane to 19.2 cpl in Hobart. ACCC Fuel Price Monitoring The ACCC released its Report on the Australian Petroleum Market for the December quarter 2016 on 22 February 2017. The Report can be accessed here. The Report follows the ACCC’s regional study into the Darwin petrol market in 2015, which found that fuel prices in Darwin over 2012-13 and 2013-14 were significantly higher than expected, largely driven by weak retail competition. In the December quarter 2016, the average retail ULP price in Darwin was 126.0 cpl, 4.0 cpl higher than the five largest cites (Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth). In the December quarter 2016, monthly average GIRDs in Darwin were 10.6 cpl, an increase of 3.1 cpl from the previous quarter. 80 60 40 20 0 Bris Syd Adel Perth Melb Can* Dar Hob Aust Retail Price (labelled) GIRD *No fuel import terminal in Canberra Source: Australian Insitute of Petroleum, DTF Chart 3: ULP Gross Indicative Retail Difference (monthly average) cpl 35 Darwin 30 25 20 15 10 5 Australia 0 -5 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 Year ended June Source: Australian Insitute of Petroleum, DTF Economic Group │ Department of Treasury and Finance │ (08) 8999 6801 │ www.treasury.nt.gov.au │ [email protected] 16 17 economic brief Fuel Prices May 2017 Diesel The monthly average retail price of diesel in the Territory was 131.9 cpl. This was 11.4 cpl higher than the same time last year and 0.3 cpl higher than the previous month (Chart 5). The monthly average retail diesel price differential between the Territory and the national average was 3.7 cpl. Average retail price of diesel Monthly change Darwin 131.2 cpl 0.5 cpl Regional Average1,2 133.0 cpl flat Northern Territory Average2 131.9 cpl 0.3 cpl Australia2 128.3 cpl 0.5 cpl 1 AIP does not report on diesel prices for individual regional areas of the Northern Territory 2 weighted average In Darwin, the monthly average retail price for diesel was 131.2 cpl. This was the second highest retail price of diesel recorded amongst all capital cities (Chart 6). Nationally, the average price of diesel was 128.3 cpl. The average Darwin GIRD for diesel was 15.5 cpl. This was the third lowest of all capital cities, which ranged from 12.9 cpl in Adelaide to 20.1 cpl in Hobart (Chart 6). Darwin GIRD for diesel was 0.8 cpl lower than the national average of 16.3 (Chart 7). Chart 5: Retail Diesel Price (monthly average) cpl Northern Territory 190 170 150 130 Australia 110 90 70 50 price differential 30 10 -10 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Year ended June Source: Australian Insitute of Petroleum, DTF Chart 6: Diesel Price and Gross Indicative Retail Difference (March 2017 average) cpl 140 127.6 128.0 130.7 131.0 131.2 124.8 124.9 136.7 128.3 120 100 80 Tapis Crude Oil Average spot price (per barrel) Monthly Change Annual Change Tapis Crude $US 51.84 4.1% 5.5% Tapis Crude Oil $AU 69.83 3.1% 3.2% The monthly average spot price of Tapis crude oil decreased by 3.1 per cent in the month to $69.83 per barrel in Australian dollar terms (Chart 4). This corresponds to a decrease of 1.4 cpl in the month, in Australian dollar terms. 60 40 20 0 Syd Adel Bris Melb Perth Can* Dar Hob Aust Retail Price (labelled) GIRD *No fuel import terminal in Canberra Source: Australian Insitute of Petroleum, DTF Chart 4: Tapis Crude Oil Prices Chart 7: Diesel Gross Indicative Retail Difference (monthly average) $ per barrel 160 (monthly average) cpl 40 35 140 Darwin 30 120 $A 25 100 $US 80 20 60 15 40 10 20 5 Australia 0 0 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Year ended June Source: Reserve Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank, DTF Released: 5 June 2017 │ Next Release: 3 July 2017 (indicative) 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Year ended June Source: Australian Insitute of Petroleum; DTF 2 economic brief Fuel Prices May 2017 Table 1: Monthly Average Fuel Prices Monthly average for the week ending (cpl) 05 Jun 16 07 May 17 04 Jun 17 Unleaded petrol Retail price Northern Territory Darwin Alice Springs Katherine Tennant Creek Australia -0.8 -0.2 15.0 16.5 -0.1 22.5 -1.8 7.4 119.0 114.6 -2.2 -2.2 4.8 4.5 10.4 12.0 12.4 12.4 2.0 0.4 11.6 2.9 -1.3 -4.6 5.2 2.8 6.2 4.4 1.0 1.6 7.6 9.0 Diesel Retail price Northern Territory Darwin Regional Average* Australia 120.5 118.9 122.9 116.7 131.6 130.7 133.0 128.8 131.9 131.2 133.0 128.3 0.3 0.5 0.0 -0.5 11.4 12.3 10.1 11.6 Terminal gate price3 Darwin Australia 110.7 107.0 118.0 114.2 115.7 112.0 -2.2 -2.3 5.1 4.9 8.2 9.6 12.7 14.5 15.5 16.3 2.8 1.8 7.3 6.7 3.8 2.2 2.9 1.9 3.7 2.9 0.8 1.0 -0.1 0.7 Terminal gate price Darwin Australia 118.3 114.9 129.9 118.1 n.p. 119.6 134.0 131.6 n.p. 140.6 n.p. 128.8 133.2 131.4 n.p. 140.5 n.p. 127.0 114.1 110.1 121.1 116.8 0.8 9.5 Change (cpl) monthly 1 annual2 3 Gross Indicative Retail Difference (GIRD)4 Darwin Australia Retail Price Differential from Australia Nothern Territory Darwin Gross Indicative Retail Difference (GIRD)4 Darwin Australia Retail Price Differential from Australia Nothern Territory Darwin Table 2: Monthly Average Crude Oil Prices Monthly average for the week ending ($) 05 Jun 16 07 May 17 04 Jun 17 Tapis spot price in $US per barrel Tapis spot price in $A per barrel 1 49.15 67.67 54.08 72.05 51.84 69.83 Change (%) monthly 1 annual2 -4.1 -3.1 5.5 3.2 compares the average of the last four w eeks w ith the average of the corresponding four w eeks of the previous month. 2 compares the average of the last four w eeks w ith the average of the corresponding four w eeks of the previous year. terminal gate prices (TGPs) are the published daily spot prices at w hich fuel can be purchased from the fuel import or refinery terminal and provide an indication of the actual w holesale price of fuel. The largest component of the TGP is the price of crude oil, follow ed by the Commonw ealth Government's fuel excise and goods and services tax. 3 4 gross indicative retail differences are equal to the monthly average retail price less the monthly average TGP and are used as a broad indication of gross retail fuel margins. * AIP does not report on diesel prices for Alice Springs, Katherine and Tennant Creek. n.p .: data not published for this month Caution is advised w hen using data for the Territory, w hich is often derived from small samples and can be highly volatile. Source: Department of Treasury and Finance, Australian Institute of Petroleum, Reserve Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank Although all due care has been exercised in the preparation of this material, no responsibility is accepted for any errors or omission. Released: Fuel Prices May 2017 Released: 5 June 2017 │ Next Release: 3 July 2017 (indicative) 3
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