Canada’s Oil Sands: Challenges and Opportunities Mike Ashar Executive Vice President Suncor Energy Inc. Woodrow Wilson Forum October 17, 2005 Washington DC Legal Notice This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements, including statements about Suncor's growth strategy and expected and future production, operating and financial results that are based on Suncor's current expectations and assumptions. The forward-looking statements, identified by words such as “vision”, “goal”, “targets”, “estimates”, “plans” and “objectives”, are not guarantees of future performance. Actual results may differ materially as a result of risks, uncertainties and other factors, such as changes in general economic, market, regulatory and business conditions; fluctuations in commodity prices and currency exchange rates; the successful and timely implementation of capital projects; the accuracy of cost estimates and uncertainties resulting from potential delays or changes in plans, among others. See Suncor's current Annual Report and other documents Suncor files with securities regulatory authorities for further details, copies of which are available from the company. The forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof, and Suncor undertakes no duty to update these statements to reflect subsequent changes in assumptions (or the trends or factors underlying them) or actual events or experience. Unless noted otherwise, financial information is for the most recent quarter or year end. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas: one barrel of crude oil is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Accordingly, boe’s may be misleading if used in isolation. Suncor Energy at a Glance Integrated energy company with more than 4,500 employees Crude oil production capacity of 260,000 barrels/day Refining capacity of 160,000 barrels/day Market capitalization about US$24 billion 11 billion barrels reserves and resources Resources 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Exxon Mobil Petrobras Chevron BP proved Total RD Shell Conoco Phillips Suncor resources All company data, except Suncor, is based on 2003 year-end proved reserves. Under U.S. reporting requirements, companies cannot disclose resources. Accordingly, Suncor’s reserve and resource estimate will not be comparable to those made by U.S. companies. Source: Oil and Gas Journal Comparative Advantages No exploration costs High recovery rates Competitive fiscal regimes Secure connection to North American markets Suncor Oil Sands Production Growth Thousands of barrels per day 600 50 500 400 300 500 200 350 100 94 123 1998 2001 217 227 ** 260 206 2002 2003 2004 2005* 0 *Production capacity targets 2008* **Includes in-situ bitumen production 2010 to 2012* Challenges Costs – operating, capital and labor Environmental impacts Pipeline capacity Refinery capability Operating costs Industry average about US$20 for upgraded product Constant cost pressure Natural gas a major cost component risk Capital Costs US$35 billion planned in next five years Industry working to manage project costs and infrastructure impacts Peak labor force of 25,000 Environmental Issues Must manage impacts to air land and water Collaboration is key Progress is being made Pipeline Access Fort McMurray Edmonton Hardisty Vancouver Kerrobert Puget Sound Regina Cromer Gretna Great Falls Clearbrook Billings Montreal Superior Mandan Salt Lake City San Francisco Casper Sinclair St. Paul Toronto Cheyenne Denver Bakersfield Los Angeles Artesia El Paso Detroit Toledo Chicago Canton Lima McPherson El Dorado Coffeyville Ponca City Cushing Borger/Sunray Robinson Patoka Wood River Catlettsburg Tulsa Memphis Ardmore Big Spring Port Arthur Houston Texas City Freeport Corpus Christi Buffalo Lake Charles New Orleans Canadian Supplied Not Canadian Supplied Source: Enbridge, Terasen, ExxonMobil Refinery Capability: Heavy/Sour Crudes Processed in the U.S. 1.6 35 API Gravity Sulfur 1.5 % of Sulphur has been increasing from 0.9% to 1.5 33 1.3 32 API % Sulphur 1.4 34 1.2 31 1.1 30 1 Average API is going down as more Canadian crude is heading to the US 0.9 0.8 29 28 Source: EIA, January 2005 Canada’s Oil Sands: Challenges and Opportunities Mike Ashar Executive Vice President Suncor Energy Inc. Woodrow Wilson Forum October 17, 2005 Washington DC
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