FROM STRATEGY TO TOTAL REDESIGN
A Presentation to the MAV Future Of Local Government
Commission of Enquiry
May 2014
Michael McAllum,
[email protected]
© 2014 GLOBAL FORESIGHT NETWORK PTY LTD
LIMITS + SYSTEMIC COMPLEXITY + ADVERSITY
= A BLACK HOLE of HIGH TRANSACTION COSTS
Local Government is a complex mix of different
systems each with completely different
narratives.
Blue : Rules for predetermined outcomes
Planning / Engineering / Finance
Red : Heroes, Competition, Winning.
Politics / Markets / Policy Battles
Green: Inclusiveness, Community, Sustainability
Spaces / Places/ Environment / Arts
WHAT PATH WILL LOCAL GOVERNMENT TAKE?
2
ESCAPE FROM THE MACHINE
1. Creation of a different narrative
2. Plan and design through a different lens
3. Engage with the Community in new ways
4. Recognise that form and shape is changing
AND
5. Do so on the basis that all the technologies
and case studies to vastly lower transaction
costs are already here.
A REVOLUTION IN THE MAKING
1st Industrial Rev.
Circa 1800
2nd Industrial Rev.
Circa 1900
Networked Rev
2005……..
Factory cities
Suburban cities
Interconnected village
ecologies
Steam
Oil & electricity
Renewables
Printing
Telephony & Film
Social networking
technologies
BEYOND TECHNOLOGY:
THE NETWORKED WORLD IS A WAY OF THINKING
Shift from centralised efficiency based
systems to distributed networks
Organisation form changes
Rapid move from supply side to demand
driven thinking and consumption
Advantage moves from head to head
competition to collaboration
Rapid growth in new business models
that use far fewer resources to create
value.
A FUTURE WHERE ORGANISATIONS LOOK
MORE LOOK ECOLOGIES THAN MACHINES
MODERN
POST MODERN
(CIRCA 85 -2005)
NETWORK CENTRIC
Centralised
Mechanistic
Efficiency &
performance
focus
Decentralised
Digital
Specialisation/
Outsource focus
Distributed
Networked
Ecological/connectivity
focus
BEYOND TECHNOLOGY:
THE NETWORKED WORLD IS A WAY OF THINKING
Shift from centralised efficiency based
systems to distributed networks
Organisation form changes
Rapid move from supply side to demand
driven thinking and consumption
Advantage moves from head to head
competition to collaboration
Rapid growth in new business models
that use far fewer resources to create
value.
RETHINKING BLUE IN THE INTERNET OF THINGS
Network and spatial technologies will drive:
Planning
Infrastructure
Finance
Services
1.
Joined up ecologies of services
2.
A rapid shift to cloud based systems
3.
Place based treasury
4.
A demand for 21st century infrastructures ( renewables at point
of demand, local energy storage, mesh technologies, intelligent
roads)
5.
A focus on economies of scope not scale (because transaction
costs are near zero)
“The internet of things is the first smart infrastructure in history that will
connect every machine, business, resident and vehicle in an intelligent
communications, energy and logistics network.”
RETHINKING RED ON THE COLLABORATIVE COMMONS
Interconnectivity and mobility reframes everything.
1.
Collaboration in the new form of competition
2.
The idea of work will require the development of
many local markets (3D printing / remote work /the
Hub)
3.
Access will be valued more than ownership
4.
Everything will need to be redesigned from a
demand driven NOT a supply push perspective
5.
Crowd sourcing and crowd funding will be the norm
“The machine age was dominated by contractual thinking
and relationships.
The Distributed Age will be dominated by interpersonal
relationships.”
Collaboration
Engagement
Markets
Crowd
RETHINKING GREEN IN A DISTRIBUTED WORLD
Machine thinking (efficiency) gives way to ecological
systems (optimisation)
1.
Built form will reflect a rapid evolution into multi use
ecologies
2.
People will prefer EXPERIENCES not TRANSACTIONS
3.
A DIVERSITY of informal real and virtual 3rd spaces will
be frame the sense of community
4.
Institutions will be rethought
5.
Built form
Belonging
More with less
Expression
Distributed and networked allows the use of far fewer
resources to create more
“In a future where the over use of resources in not an option, we will discover
that the arts, the celebration of culture, festivals and togetherness are what will
define meaning and success not money.”
BEYOND THE BLACK HOLE:
THE AUTHENTIC LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE
1. NETWORKED
INTELLIGENCE
2. A FUTURE
STORY
3. DEEP
DESIGN
4. NAVIGATION &
VALUE CURATION
5. IDENTITY
RESONANCE
DESIGNING BETTER FUTURES
We need to move beyond the noise and the
blame,
We must find new frameworks for
conversation,
In order to create new narratives that are
inclusive and allow all to contribute
So that we can transcend where we are now.
13
For to do otherwise is to contemplate
scenarios that are nightmarish if they were
to come to pass.