The Indian Business Process Outsourcing Industry: An Evaluation of Firm-Level Performance Arti Grover Delhi School ofEconomics Agenda ◈ Background ◈ Theoretical Models ◈ Data ◈ Preliminary Analysis ◈ Econometric Model ◈ Empirical Results Introduction ◈ Motivation: • No theory of BPO Firm: Pre-cursor to build a theory of BPO firm • Outline the factors that impact the performance of a typical service provider firm ◈ Importance: Macro perspective • Key to the expansion of the global offshoring industry: • BPO industry makes a crucial contribution to the host economy through trade. Micro perspective • Buyer: If the factors determining the performance of the supplier are known, then an increase in the vendor’s efficiency is an additional source of productivity for the client. • Supplier: For optimal resource allocation, it is crucial to know how a change in one variable filters through the organization to affect the bottom-line performance. Introduction ◈ Theoretical Framework: Aghion et al (1999): • Firms in BPO industry provide differentiated services and thus fit in the Monopolistic Competitive set up • BPO firm leverage technologies to provide services • Needs to update technology to improve service quality • Factors: VC funded firms, Fixed Cost of Operations, High variable /Labor Costs, Seat Utilization, No. of Clients Arora and Asundi (1999) • Impact of Investment in Quality (ISO Certification) • Quality Effect and Signaling Effect • Other Factors with similar effect: Number of plants/locations (Additional signaling effect of BCP), Information Security Certifications, Quality measure: Degree of Specialization – Voice based services (Wipro, Technovate) Introduction ◈ Theoretical Framework: Antràs (2005) • Which organizational form (captive or TPV) has higher productivity ◈ Data: Firm Level: • CMIE, CRIS INFAC, DqIndia, Voicendata, NASSCOM Aggregate Data: • NASSCOM Preliminary Analysis: Partial Correlations Preliminary Analysis: Partial Correlations Empirical Specification ◈ Productivity Measure: Revenue per employee - Arora and Asundi (1999) , Aron, Yeaple (2003), Idson, and Oi, (1999), Bernard and Jensen, (1999) and Bernard, Jensen, and Schott, (2003) ◈ Based on Aghion et al (1999), Arora and Asundi (1999) 1VC 2Operational Cost Variables 3 y 4 SignalingVariables 5 Experience factor ◈ To ensure that results are invariant to estimation procedure: Number of Clients determined endogenously with revenue per employee y 1 SignalingVariables 2 Empirical Results ◈ Ordinary Least Squares: BPO Firm Performance Empirical Results ◈ Testing for Normality 8 Series: Residuals Sample 1 22 Observations 22 6 Mean Median Maximum Minimum Std. Dev. Skewness Kurtosis 4 2 Jarque-Bera Probability 0 -4 ◈ -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 Testing for Heteroskedasticity 3 4 5 0.006820 0.141564 4.922343 -3.619899 1.989774 0.074041 3.420573 0.182242 0.912907 Empirical Results ◈ Ordinary Least Squares: Number of Clients Firm Models – Resembling BPO Firms Aghion et al (1999) – Endogenous growth model Intermediate Good Supplier Profit Maximizing • Self ◈ Funded BPO Non-Profit Maximizing • VC funded or outside source of finance Similarity with Input suppliers of Aghion et al - Firms in BPO industry provide differentiated services and thus MC model is fit - BPO firm leverage technologies to provide services: BPM combines management and implementation technologies like BPMS - Needs to update technology to improve service quality Aghion et al (1999) ◈ Examples from BPO: • • Initial VC funded firms – Infowavz and Tracmail Fixed Cost of Operations/Technology Acquisition: Lowers T – Example from BPO – Voice Based Processes (Wipro Spectramind made a concious decision to lower from 84% to 60% in 1.5 yrs) • • • High variable /Labor Costs: Lowers T -- expected profit from adoption and the cost of adoption rises – Evidence from BPO – High Attrition rates (Voice versus Non Voice, 50-55% versus 30-35% eg. GE, Wipro) Suggestion: Increase Shift Utilization – Lowers operational Costs Sell to more number of clients – Example - IBM Daksh Model Attracting Clients – Arora and Asundi (1999) p z w N z ◈ Profit Function: ◈ Impact of investment in quality: N z p z N z p z w z z z Quality Effect ◈ - Signaling Effect Other variables which have similar effect: Number of plants/locations (Additional signaling effect of BCP) Information Security Certifications Quality measure: Degree of Specialization – Voice based services (Wipro, Technovate, Trinity Focus), change demand induced Organizational Structure – Antràs (2005) ◈ Demand Function: y p 1 1 x y h 1 z 1 z xl z z ◈ Production Function: ◈ Difference between Captive and TPV: 1 ◈ Final good Producer maximizes: p. y w N x h ◈ Profit Maximizing Price: ◈ w w N 1z p S z 1z (1 )z Technology adoption, Spillovers higher for high-tech industries: Denny, Bernstein, Fuss, Nakamura & Waverman (1992) Organizational Structure – Antràs (2005) Captives have higher productivity: Large Size – Amass larger capital for Investments Attract better talent – brand name Captives of International BPO Players: Convergys, Accenture, Sitel BPO arms of IT Outsourcing firms/Indian Business Houses: Progeon, Zenta, Epicenter Export Revenue by Organizational Mode 5000 Export Revenue ($m) ◈ ◈ ◈ ◈ ◈ Third Party Captives 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 Year Empirical Specification ◈ Importance of the Study: All firms ◈ Importance of the Study: Domestic TPV
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